Wave Analysis
TAOBUSD – Climb Then CoilTAO climbed steadily from the $306 base to nearly $354, with multiple higher lows along the way. Recently, momentum faded and we’re seeing compression around $336–$340. This is a textbook bull trend cooling off. If the price holds above $332 and reclaims $342, LONG setups become attractive. A breakdown below $330 flips the short-term structure to bearish.
#LUNA Extended ! lONG Term#LUNA
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We have a bounce from the lower boundary of the descending channel. This support is at 0.1480.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, supporting the upside.
There is a major support area in green at 0.1430, which represents a strong basis for the upside.
Don't forget a simple thing: ease and capital.
When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
We have a trend to hold above the 100 Moving Average.
Entry price: 0.1493
First target: 0.1532
Second target: 0.1565
Third target: 0.1608
Don't forget a simple thing: ease and capital.
When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
Thank you.
EURAUD CONTINUING BULLISH TREND STRUCTUREEUR/AUD Continues Bullish Trend – Key Levels to Monitor.
The EUR/AUD pair is sustaining its bullish trend structure, reinforced by a bullish engulfing candle following a secondary correction. This price action signals strong buying interest and suggests the uptrend is likely to continue in the upcoming trading sessions. Traders should watch for potential breakout opportunities toward higher targets while keeping an eye on key support levels for risk management.
Bullish Confirmation: Bullish Engulfing Candle.
The appearance of a bullish engulfing candle after a pullback indicates a resurgence of buyer dominance. This pattern typically marks the end of a temporary decline and the resumption of the primary uptrend. With momentum favoring the bulls, the pair is expected to push higher unless a clear reversal signal emerges.
Upside Target: 1.82700 in Focus.
If the bullish momentum holds, EUR/AUD could advance toward the immediate resistance at 1.82700. A decisive break above this level may open the door for further gains, with traders looking for continuation patterns to confirm strength.
Key Support: 1.76300 as Critical Floor.
On the downside, 1.76300 serves as a crucial support level. Any retracement toward this zone could attract fresh buying interest, maintaining the bullish bias. A sustained drop below this level would be needed to invalidate the current uptrend and signal a potential reversal.
Outlook: Bullish Trend Intact.
Given the recent price action, EUR/AUD remains poised for further upside. Traders should monitor economic developments, including Eurozone and Australian economic data, for additional directional cues.
Conclusion-
EUR/AUD’s bullish trend remains strong, with 1.82700 as the next key target and 1.76300 acting as major support. Unless a bearish reversal pattern forms, buying on dips near support levels may present favorable opportunities. Always use proper risk management to navigate potential volatility.
ZKJ/USDTKey Level Zone: 0.2110 - 0.2135
LMT v2.0 detected.
The setup looks promising—price previously trended upward with rising volume and momentum, then retested this zone cleanly. This presents an excellent reward-to-risk opportunity if momentum continues to align.
Introducing LMT (Levels & Momentum Trading)
- Over the past 3 years, I’ve refined my approach to focus more sharply on the single most important element in any trade: the KEY LEVEL.
- While HMT (High Momentum Trading) served me well—combining trend, momentum, volume, and structure across multiple timeframes—I realized that consistently identifying and respecting these critical price zones is what truly separates good trades from great ones.
- That insight led to the evolution of HMT into LMT – Levels & Momentum Trading.
Why the Change? (From HMT to LMT)
Switching from High Momentum Trading (HMT) to Levels & Momentum Trading (LMT) improves precision, risk control, and confidence by:
- Clearer Entries & Stops: Defined key levels make it easier to plan entries, stop-losses, and position sizing—no more guesswork.
- Better Signal Quality: Momentum is now always checked against a support or resistance zone—if it aligns, it's a stronger setup.
- Improved Reward-to-Risk: All trades are anchored to key levels, making it easier to calculate and manage risk effectively.
- Stronger Confidence: With clear invalidation points beyond key levels, it's easier to trust the plan and stay disciplined—even in tough markets.
Whenever I share a signal, it’s because:
- A high‐probability key level has been identified on a higher timeframe.
- Lower‐timeframe momentum, market structure and volume suggest continuation or reversal is imminent.
- The reward‐to‐risk (based on that key level) meets my criteria for a disciplined entry.
***Please note that conducting a comprehensive analysis on a single timeframe chart can be quite challenging and sometimes confusing. I appreciate your understanding of the effort involved.
Important Note: The Role of Key Levels
- Holding a key level zone: If price respects the key level zone, momentum often carries the trend in the expected direction. That’s when we look to enter, with stop-loss placed just beyond the zone with some buffer.
- Breaking a key level zone: A definitive break signals a potential stop‐out for trend traders. For reversal traders, it’s a cue to consider switching direction—price often retests broken zones as new support or resistance.
My Trading Rules (Unchanged)
Risk Management
- Maximum risk per trade: 2.5%
- Leverage: 5x
Exit Strategy / Profit Taking
- Sell at least 70% on the 3rd wave up (LTF Wave 5).
- Typically sell 50% during a high‐volume spike.
- Move stop‐loss to breakeven once the trade achieves a 1.5:1 R:R.
- Exit at breakeven if momentum fades or divergence appears.
The market is highly dynamic and constantly changing. LMT signals and target profit (TP) levels are based on the current price and movement, but market conditions can shift instantly, so it is crucial to remain adaptable and follow the market's movement.
If you find this signal/analysis meaningful, kindly like and share it.
Thank you for your support~
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From HMT to LMT: A Brief Version History
HM Signal :
Date: 17/08/2023
- Early concept identifying high momentum pullbacks within strong uptrends
- Triggered after a prior wave up with rising volume and momentum
- Focused on healthy retracements into support for optimal reward-to-risk setups
HMT v1.0:
Date: 18/10/2024
- Initial release of the High Momentum Trading framework
- Combined multi-timeframe trend, volume, and momentum analysis.
- Focused on identifying strong trending moves high momentum
HMT v2.0:
Date: 17/12/2024
- Major update to the Momentum indicator
- Reduced false signals from inaccurate momentum detection
- New screener with improved accuracy and fewer signals
HMT v3.0:
Date: 23/12/2024
- Added liquidity factor to enhance trend continuation
- Improved potential for momentum-based plays
- Increased winning probability by reducing entries during peaks
HMT v3.1:
Date: 31/12/2024
- Enhanced entry confirmation for improved reward-to-risk ratios
HMT v4.0:
Date: 05/01/2025
- Incorporated buying and selling pressure in lower timeframes to enhance the probability of trending moves while optimizing entry timing and scaling
HMT v4.1:
Date: 06/01/2025
- Enhanced take-profit (TP) target by incorporating market structure analysis
HMT v5 :
Date: 23/01/2025
- Refined wave analysis for trending conditions
- Incorporated lower timeframe (LTF) momentum to strengthen trend reliability
- Re-aligned and re-balanced entry conditions for improved accuracy
HMT v6 :
Date : 15/02/2025
- Integrated strong accumulation activity into in-depth wave analysis
HMT v7 :
Date : 20/03/2025
- Refined wave analysis along with accumulation and market sentiment
HMT v8 :
Date : 16/04/2025
- Fully restructured strategy logic
HMT v8.1 :
Date : 18/04/2025
- Refined Take Profit (TP) logic to be more conservative for improved win consistency
LMT v1.0 :
Date : 06/06/2025
- Rebranded to emphasize key levels + momentum as the core framework
LMT v2.0
Date: 11/06/2025
GOLD/SIlver Ratio Signals Risk On Gold/Silver ratio represents the appetite for risk
Stronger gold means risk off and vice versa
In spring, the ratio had hit the target for leg 2 (blue) within
large consolidation that took over 4 years to emerge
It travelled the equal distance of leg 1 (blue) and then reversed.
The next step might be the continuation to the downside for the ratio.
The minimum target is to hit the bottom of red leg 1 at 63.
The next target is located at the distance of the red leg 1 subtracted from the peak of blue leg 2. It was set at 43.
Both downside targets are within historical range.
Gold/Copper ratio shows same dynamics of "Risk-On" attitude on the market.
BTC/USD Technical Analysis – Weekly Elliott Wave StructureIn this video, we analyze the weekly chart of Bitcoin ( BYBIT:BTCUSDT ) using Elliott Wave theory.
The current structure suggests the beginning of a new bullish impulse (waves 0, 1, and 2) following a clearly completed and technically correct corrective phase.
We explore potential impulsive scenarios starting from wave 2, using Fibonacci extensions to project possible targets and identifying key support zones and invalidation levels.
This analysis aims to provide a macro perspective based on price action, helpful for traders and investors following BTC from a medium- to long-term technical view.
🛑 Disclaimer: This content is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice. Each user is responsible for their own trading decisions.
$GC / $MGC / Gold - Weekend Update - 6/29Hello fellow gamblers,
The target for the ABC retracement has been hit and we are now looking for a reversal confirmation to enter any buying positions.
- The target for a possible Wave 1 of a new cycle will be above 3402.
- 3283 level needs to hold. A break of this level could take price lower towards 3208 to fill the VP gap.
- Levels to watch: 3208 - 3283 - 3357 - 3418
AUDNZD short term LONG idea in M30AUDNZD short term BUY idea. AUDNZD is in reversal in Daily and H4 timeframes.
Possible setup for AUDNZD to turn long in M30 TF.
Please note the historical charts shows this pair has lot of liquidity sweeps and manipulation. Please trade with proper risk management.
This is for educational purpose only. Not a financial or investment advise.
2290 Bullish Wolfe WaveA clean bullish Wolfe Wave setup is emerging, with price action completing the fifth wave just outside the channel – a typical trap zone before reversal.
Wave 5 shows early signs of a bullish reaction, suggesting a potential move toward the target line drawn from points (1) to (4).
Gold Intraday Trading Plan 6/30/2025As explained in weekly post, my weekly target is 3200. In 8hrly TF, I have spotted a head and shoulder pattern. This is another confirmation of bearish continuation.
I am looking for selling opportunity at previous support turning into resistance, which is around 3300.
First target is 3255.
Final target is 3200.
#202526 - priceactiontds - weekly update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Monday was neutral and the warning to bears that the markets do not care about the risk at hand. Tuesday’s gap up then was the sign of bull strength and defending the Globex gap was the sure sign we are going higher. Thursday was the bears giving up and since we have a measured move target up to 24700. I have drawn my 5-wave thesis on the chart, which I think is currently the most likely outcome. All depends if the US markets continue the squeeze as well. There is always the possibility that Friday marked the highs but that is very low and in the absence of bear bars, we can only assume higher prices.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels for next week: 23500 - 25000
bull case: Bulls made the bears give up on Thursday and since we have been going only up. The obvious next targets are 24500 and then 25000. As of now, there is absolutely no reason to assume we reverse from here and print lower lows again. Bulls took over control of the market again and we have two clear legs up, with a third one we may do a new ath but as always, every pattern can fail.
Invalidation is below 23500
bear case: Not much. A pullback is expected but so is the third leg up for W5 and everything below 23500 would be a huge bear surprise and cut this short. As of now I don’t think this chart can lead you to looking for shorts. We would need a break of two bull trend lines and prices below 23500 before you should think bearish again.
Invalidation is above 24400
short term: Bearish was the obvious read last weekend and when bears failed on Monday, it set the stage for an explosive move to the upside. That can always happen since we are in a profession where you play odds.
medium-long term from 2025-06-29: Bull surprise last week but my targets for the second half of 2025 remain the same. I still expect at least 21000 to get hit again this year. As of now, bulls are favored until we drop below 23000
#202526 - priceactiontds - weekly update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Similar to dax and for most other markets. Cash index made a new ath and broke strongly above the trading range. This is W5 which I thought was cut short but I guess not. It’s most likely the end of the trend since the trading range went on for about 6 weeks, which in this case was likely the final flag. Futures could now aim to print 23000 and touch the bull trend line which began in 2021 and went though the ath from 2024-12.
current market cycle: resumption of the bull trend but likely the final flag and we most likely will top out here around/under 23000
key levels for next week: 22000 - 23000
bull case: Bulls printed 5 consecutive bull bars. They are in full control and could pump it to 23000. Purely based on momentum and squeezing shorts. Got nothing else for the bulls.
Invalidation is below 21500
bear case: Bears gave up on Monday and I doubt they want to fight this until we hit the bull trend line or 23000. Most bears will wait for a clear topping sign that bulls are beginning to take bigger profits before they think about shorts. As of now, bears have zero arguments on their side. Only a daily close below 22300 would confirm this bull trap and fake breakout above the bull channel and then we could test down to 21900ish but for now I think it’s most likely we go higher.
Invalidation is above 23100
short term: Neutral. Will only scalp longs on huge momentum and I will only start thinking about shorts once we break below 22300 again.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-06-29: No change in plans. I expect 20000 to get hit over the next 3 months and maybe 19000 again.
BITCOIN NEXTKind of a Messy coorective Structure, this is What I can see right now with the movemments it has done
YIf you lower the time frame you should see the complete map also levels are Highlighted
It should go as follows
Buy from now @ 107.600 to 108.500
Sell from @ 108.500 to 105.000
buy from @ 105.000 to 111.000
Sell from @ 111.000 to 96.000
Buy from @ 96.000/ 94.000 to 120.000 and 130.000
GG