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Wave Analysis

DXY reversal, Bullish for BTC, but 50 day chop is likelyGood Sunday, dear friend! I'm scribbling down some ideas I had. It's good to be back home after a week on a job project. TradingView on a phone is awesome, but I definitely prefer a bigger screen. The chart was not as clean as I wished, but it just tells some history with the correlations between DXY and BTC. For instance: Q4 2022 - DXY tops (BTC bottoms). Trend reversal for DXY (BTC corrects ABC after W1 after bear market). DXY declines to a WCL, BTC soars from 25k to 73k. In the meantime, as BTC soared, DXY also inclined, which led to an extended correction of 7.5 months. DXY rolled over in June 2025, and there was a 60-day lag before BTC felt the boost from the DXY decline. This leads us to today. DXY and BTC have gone up together. I believe the last leg up is a consequence of the June - September decline of DXY, and BTC went up with DXY, and BTC is now left to feel the consequences of the DXY upturn. Given DXY (most likely) topped 11 days ago, we might chop for 50 more days before BTC resumes upward. In the last WCLs, DXY retraces a minimum to 0.786. In this case, the trendline suggests a March timeframe for a low in DXY. History suggests the BTC local top is in when DXY bottoms, or is soon to top in about 2 months.
TVC:DXYShort
by martinxi5u4
Hellena | GOLD (4H): SHORT to 38.2% Fibo lvl 3050.Dear colleagues, the price has been in an upward movement for quite a long time and I believe .that it is time for a correction in the “2” wave. I think it is possible that there may be a small update of the maximum of the top of wave “1” to 3176.771, then I expect a correction to the area of 38.2% Fibonacci level 3050. As usual there are 2 possible entry options: 1) Market entry 2) Entry by pending limit orders, if the price updates the maximum. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Hellena_Trade
14
Hellena | Oil (4H): SHORT to support area 65.268.We need to talk about one important nuance. Many people ask “Hellena, you say you can't buy oil, but it's going up. Well, it is, yes. But all my data and wave markings suggest that the price will soon start a downward movement. There are major changes in geopolitics and I am not in a position to stop them. I just set a stoploss and wait for the trade that will bring me profit. Now coming to the forecast, I think that the downward movement will start soon, but before it, the price may rise quite high, maybe even to the area of 74.000. But the main direction is the support area of 65.268. There are 2 possible ways to enter the trade: 1) Entry at market price. 2) Limit pending sell orders if the price starts an upward movement to the area of 74.484. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
PEPPERSTONE:SPOTCRUDEShort
by Hellena_Trade
17
CHF/JPY BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT Hello, Friends! CHF-JPY uptrend evident from the last 1W green candle makes short trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 169.279 area still presents a good opportunity for us to sell the pair because the resistance line is nearby and the BB upper band is close which indicates the overbought state of the CHF/JPY pair. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
1
NZD/JPY BEST PLACE TO BUY FROM|LONG Hello, Friends! NZD/JPY pair is in the uptrend because previous week’s candle is green, while the price is evidently falling on the 2H timeframe. And after the retest of the support line below I believe we will see a move up towards the target above at 84.794 because the pair is oversold due to its proximity to the lower BB band and a bullish correction is likely. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Long
by EliteTradingSignals
1
XAUUSD H4 Updat- Selling Pressure Sends Gold Tumbling Toward SupFOREXCOM:XAUUSD After struggling to stay above the 3100 area, XAUUSD is currently consolidating, awaiting the next momentum shift. Selling pressure continues to dominate, and buyers seem unable to push gold higher in the short term. From a technical perspective, the current lack of buying strength may be attributed to market uncertainty following comments from former U.S. President Donald Trump regarding potential tariff policies. These remarks have added a layer of risk-off sentiment, causing investors to step back from safe-haven assets like gold. On the 4-hour chart (H4), there's a visible downside potential with key support levels seen in the 2955–2930 range. This zone previously acted as a strong demand area, making it an important level to watch in the coming sessions. Key scenarios to consider: A confirmed break below the 3100 zone could pave the way for a retest of the 2955–2930 support area. However, if gold forms a higher low above 3100, a potential bullish reversal should not be ruled out. At this stage, the best approach is to wait for clearer price action confirmation — whether gold will bounce from support or extend its correction deeper. I'll continue to monitor the price development and update accordingly if the technical structure changes significantly.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by algonauthx
SPX: When things get scary, get ready!Wave C of 4 is ongoing and quite emotional. Wave B didn't quite get high enough, so chance of a larger C wave is high. This could last for a few days to a few months depending on how long this trade shenanigans continue. But, ultimately I don't think this will be a permanent situation and once things settle, markets will recover strongly. The underlying economic strength is still intact and there is still a lot of money in the system. If the Fed does start to cut the interest rates, it will initially boost the stock market but will weaken the economic conditions significantly. That might play out the final blow off top narrative perfectly. But for now, plan is to start nibbling on SPY when SPX gets inside the box. Some kind of butterfly strategy to limit the downside risk would be the play. Below 4100 will be the time to really panic!
SP:SPXShort
by mukit1
XAUUSD: THE RESISTANCE IS COMING!XAUUSD Sell Setup: Wave 4 Retracement Expected After Wave 3 Peak at 3032.92 (Elliott Wave + Fibonacci Analysis) Trade Rationale: Wave Structure: Wave 3 has likely completed at 3032.92 (projected via 261.8% Fibonacci extension of Wave 1). Wave 4 is now anticipated as a corrective pullback, typically retracing 23.6%-50% of Wave 3. Technical Confluence: Price is at a major resistance zone (Wave 3 high). Bearish divergence on RSI/MACD suggests weakening momentum. Fibonacci retracement levels align with Elliott Wave rules for Wave 4. Trade Plan: Entry Zone: 3032–3040 (short on bearish reversal confirmation: pin bars, rejection candles, or breakdown below 3032). Targets: TP1: 2744.89 (23.6% retracement of Wave 3) TP2: 2565.98 (38.2% retracement) TP3: 2421.75 (50% retracement – strongest support) Stop Loss: 3080 (above Wave 3 high to allow volatility). Key Chart Levels: Support: 2744 (23.6%) → 2565 (38.2%) → 2421 (50%) Resistance: 3032 (Wave 3 peak) → 3080 (invalidates bearish bias if breached).
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by KingReni