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Wave Analysis

USTC/USDTKey Level Zone: 0.012500 - 0.012700 LMT v2.0 detected. The setup looks promising—price previously trended upward with rising volume and momentum, then retested this zone cleanly. This presents an excellent reward-to-risk opportunity if momentum continues to align. Introducing LMT (Levels & Momentum Trading) - Over the past 3 years, I’ve refined my approach to focus more sharply on the single most important element in any trade: the KEY LEVEL. - While HMT (High Momentum Trading) served me well—combining trend, momentum, volume, and structure across multiple timeframes—I realized that consistently identifying and respecting these critical price zones is what truly separates good trades from great ones. - That insight led to the evolution of HMT into LMT – Levels & Momentum Trading. Why the Change? (From HMT to LMT) Switching from High Momentum Trading (HMT) to Levels & Momentum Trading (LMT) improves precision, risk control, and confidence by: - Clearer Entries & Stops: Defined key levels make it easier to plan entries, stop-losses, and position sizing—no more guesswork. - Better Signal Quality: Momentum is now always checked against a support or resistance zone—if it aligns, it's a stronger setup. - Improved Reward-to-Risk: All trades are anchored to key levels, making it easier to calculate and manage risk effectively. - Stronger Confidence: With clear invalidation points beyond key levels, it's easier to trust the plan and stay disciplined—even in tough markets. Whenever I share a signal, it’s because: - A high‐probability key level has been identified on a higher timeframe. - Lower‐timeframe momentum, market structure and volume suggest continuation or reversal is imminent. - The reward‐to‐risk (based on that key level) meets my criteria for a disciplined entry. ***Please note that conducting a comprehensive analysis on a single timeframe chart can be quite challenging and sometimes confusing. I appreciate your understanding of the effort involved. Important Note: The Role of Key Levels - Holding a key level zone: If price respects the key level zone, momentum often carries the trend in the expected direction. That’s when we look to enter, with stop-loss placed just beyond the zone with some buffer. - Breaking a key level zone: A definitive break signals a potential stop‐out for trend traders. For reversal traders, it’s a cue to consider switching direction—price often retests broken zones as new support or resistance. My Trading Rules (Unchanged) Risk Management - Maximum risk per trade: 2.5% - Leverage: 5x Exit Strategy / Profit Taking - Sell at least 70% on the 3rd wave up (LTF Wave 5). - Typically sell 50% during a high‐volume spike. - Move stop‐loss to breakeven once the trade achieves a 1.5:1 R:R. - Exit at breakeven if momentum fades or divergence appears. The market is highly dynamic and constantly changing. LMT signals and target profit (TP) levels are based on the current price and movement, but market conditions can shift instantly, so it is crucial to remain adaptable and follow the market's movement. If you find this signal/analysis meaningful, kindly like and share it. Thank you for your support~ Sharing this with love! From HMT to LMT: A Brief Version History HM Signal : Date: 17/08/2023 - Early concept identifying high momentum pullbacks within strong uptrends - Triggered after a prior wave up with rising volume and momentum - Focused on healthy retracements into support for optimal reward-to-risk setups HMT v1.0: Date: 18/10/2024 - Initial release of the High Momentum Trading framework - Combined multi-timeframe trend, volume, and momentum analysis. - Focused on identifying strong trending moves high momentum HMT v2.0: Date: 17/12/2024 - Major update to the Momentum indicator - Reduced false signals from inaccurate momentum detection - New screener with improved accuracy and fewer signals HMT v3.0: Date: 23/12/2024 - Added liquidity factor to enhance trend continuation - Improved potential for momentum-based plays - Increased winning probability by reducing entries during peaks HMT v3.1: Date: 31/12/2024 - Enhanced entry confirmation for improved reward-to-risk ratios HMT v4.0: Date: 05/01/2025 - Incorporated buying and selling pressure in lower timeframes to enhance the probability of trending moves while optimizing entry timing and scaling HMT v4.1: Date: 06/01/2025 - Enhanced take-profit (TP) target by incorporating market structure analysis HMT v5 : Date: 23/01/2025 - Refined wave analysis for trending conditions - Incorporated lower timeframe (LTF) momentum to strengthen trend reliability - Re-aligned and re-balanced entry conditions for improved accuracy HMT v6 : Date : 15/02/2025 - Integrated strong accumulation activity into in-depth wave analysis HMT v7 : Date : 20/03/2025 - Refined wave analysis along with accumulation and market sentiment HMT v8 : Date : 16/04/2025 - Fully restructured strategy logic HMT v8.1 : Date : 18/04/2025 - Refined Take Profit (TP) logic to be more conservative for improved win consistency LMT v1.0 : Date : 06/06/2025 - Rebranded to emphasize key levels + momentum as the core framework LMT v2.0 Date: 11/06/2025
Long
by Ren_MomentumTrader
$AAVE Going Through a Major Bullish Trend Shift!CRYPTOCAP:AAVE continues to outperform on pumps and retracements this cycle after being beaten down for many years! Price consolidated below the weekly pivot and found support, only retracing to the .618 Fibs. Wave 3 of iii pf a new Elliot Motif Wave looks well underway with the next price target being the R1 weekly pivot High Volume Node at $448. Long term outlooks is very bullish for AAVE with a terminal target of the R5 weekly pivot £1155 Safe trading
COINBASE:AAVEUSD
by Maddox_Metrics
1
EURUSD Bullish Setup: Watching for a Break and Retest📈 Looking at EURUSD right now, we’re in a strong bullish structure 🔼 — but it’s clearly overextended 🚀 As we head into the end of the week, there’s still potential for more upside today ⬆️ — but ⚠️ be cautious, since Fridays often bring retracements as we move into the weekly close 🕒📉 🔍 I’m watching for a bullish opportunity if we get a break above the current equal highs, followed by a retest and failure to break back below 🧠📊 If that setup doesn’t materialize, we’ll simply step aside and abandon the idea 🚫 💬 Not financial advice — always trade at your own risk.
Long
by fxtraderanthony
Gold Supported by Trade HopesGold traded around $3,360 per ounce on Thursday, supported by news of a US-Vietnam trade deal and ongoing dollar weakness. The deal, which eases some tariffs on Vietnamese goods, increased hopes for further bilateral agreements. Meanwhile, softer US labor data, ADP figures showed the first payrolls drop in over two years, strengthened the case for Fed easing. Tensions in the Middle East, with Iran halting cooperation with the UN nuclear agency, added a touch of geopolitical risk. Resistance is at $3,395, while support holds at $3,330.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ChartMage
GBP/USD Slides with Fiscal WorriesGBP/USD edged lower toward 1.3625 in Asian trading, pressured by a sharp selloff in UK government bonds and growing fiscal concerns. Gilts suffered their biggest drop since October 2022 after the government’s decision to cut welfare benefits and mounting doubts over the Chancellor’s political future. Marc Chandler, Chief Market Strategist at Bannockburn Global Forex LLC, noted: “The drop isn’t limited to the British Pound, UK gilts are also under heavy selling. It seems to be a broader crisis of confidence in the Labour government.” Resistance is at 1.3675, while support holds at 1.3570.
by ChartMage
JPY Steadies, Trade Optimism Counters Dollar WeaknessThe Japanese yen held near 143.7 against the dollar on Thursday, stabilizing after recent losses, supported by improved trade sentiment and a weaker greenback. Japan reiterated its aim for a fair trade deal with the US, though Trump raised pressure by threatening tariffs up to 35% on Japanese imports over low US rice and car sales. Meanwhile, a finalized US-Vietnam deal added to market optimism. The yen also found support as investors awaited key US jobs data, which could increase the odds of a Fed rate cut. Key levels: Resistance at 145.70; support at 143.55.
by ChartMage
US30 Technical Outlook – 07/03/2025📍 US30 Technical Outlook – 07/03/2025 Another day of consolidation at the highs 💼⏳ Price is holding firmly above both EMAs (20 & 50), showing sustained bullish structure—but struggling to break cleanly above 44,700–44,760 🧱 🧠 Key Observations: Tight consolidation between 44,500 → 44,700 Strong bounce off EMA zones (44,500 area acting as dynamic support) Still no confirmed breakout of the 44,760 top range 📊 Key Price Zones: 🔼 Resistance: 44,708 → 44,762 → 45,000 🔽 Support: 44,500 → 44,250 → 44,000 📈 Trade Setup Ideas: 🔹 Long Setup (Base case): Buy pullbacks to 44,500 or EMA zone (20 & 50 EMA support) Look for a breakout and retest of 44,760 for confirmation Target: 45,000 psychological zone 🔻 Short Setup (Only on breakout failure): Look for rejection wicks or bearish engulfing at 44,760 Scalp back toward 44,500 or lower Only valid if volume drops off or price starts forming LHs/LLs on lower TFs
FX:US30Long
by h4rVey
USD/CAD Institutional Buy Zone – Thief Trading Alert!🔥 USD/CAD "LOONIE BANK HEIST" 🔥 – THIEF TRADING STYLE (BULLISH SNIPER PLAN) 💸 ATTENTION: Market Robbers & Profit Pirates! "Steal Like a Pro – Escape Before the Cops Arrive!" 🎯 MASTER TRADE PLAN (Based on Thief Trading Tactics): Entry Zone (Pullback Heist): 📌 Pullback-1: Market Maker Trap Zone (1.35400+) – Wait for retest! 📌 Pullback-2: Institutional Buy Zone (1.33500+) – Confirm bullish momentum! "Patience = Perfect Heist Timing. Don’t rush—ambush the trend!" 🎯 Profit Target: 1.38100 (or escape earlier if momentum fades). 🛑 Stop Loss (Escape Route): Nearest 4H Swing Low (wick/close) – Adjust based on risk & lot size! 🚨 SCALPERS’ WARNING: "Only snipe LONG! Big pockets? Strike now. Small stack? Join swing robbers & trail your SL!" 📉 WHY THIS HEIST? (Bullish Triggers): Technical + Fundamental alignment (COT, Macro, Sentiment). Overbought but institutional demand holding strong. "Bears are trapped—time to rob their stops!" ⚠️ CRITICAL ALERT: News = Volatility = Police Ambush! Avoid new trades during high-impact news. Trailing SL = Your Getaway Car! Lock profits before reversals. 💥 BOOST THIS HEIST! "Hit 👍, 🔔 Follow, and 🚀 Boost to fuel our next robbery! Let’s drain the banks together!" 🔮 NEXT HEIST COMING SOON… Stay tuned, partner! 🎭💰
by Thief_Trader
Dollar Index (DXY) Bearish Trend IntactThe Dollar Index (DXY) cycle, originating from its September 2022 peak, remains incomplete and exhibits a bearish outlook, signaling potential for further declines. The descent from the May 29, 2025 high is currently unfolding as a five-wave impulse pattern. From this high, wave ((i)) concluded at 98.35, followed by a corrective rally in wave ((ii)). The rally formed as an expanded flat, peaking at 99.43 as depicted on the one-hour chart below. Subsequently, the Index extended lower, forming a nested structure. Within this decline from wave ((ii)), wave i bottomed at 97.7, with a corrective wave ii rally reaching 98.2. Wave iii then drove the Index lower to 97, followed by wave iv peaking at 97.49. The final leg, wave v, completed at 96.37, marking the end of wave (i). Currently, a corrective rally in wave (ii) is underway, aiming to retrace the decline from the June 23, 2025 peak. This rally appears to be unfolding as a zigzag pattern, with wave a concluding at 97.15 and wave b dipping to 96.69. Wave c is expected to target the 100%–161.8% Fibonacci extension of wave a, projecting a range of 97.45–97.9. Should the Index reach this zone, it may encounter selling pressure, potentially leading to further downside or a three-wave pullback. As long as the pivot high at 99.4 remains intact, any rally is likely to falter in a 3, 7, or 11-swing structure, reinforcing the bearish bias for additional declines.
ICEUS:DXY
by Elliottwave-Forecast