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Wave Analysis

EURUSD Bearish Reversal AnalysisPrice has broken the strong weekly support zone and initiated a reversal last week to the weekly level inside a channel with an impulsive 5-wave structure. The end of this trend is on a very strong resistance level (due to principal of polarity ) with a divergence. Meanwhile, a daily downtrend structure has been broken as well. Therefore price has a very high bearish potential for the upcoming week as the correction of the the impulsive wave. This downtrend is at least to the bottom of the hourly channel. This bearish reversal can be also a retest for a broken daily structure. In the longer term (next weeks) after this bearish movement, the price can either continue the bearish momentum as it has reversed from the weekly resistance zone, or it can initiate the next hourly impulsive wave (third wave), break the strong resistance zone, and confirm the daily structure breakout. However, the downtrend is expected.
Short
by soheil.salarimanesh
VSA Rays: Mastering the Art of Predicting Future Price MovementsThe cryptocurrency PUFFER/USDT.P has captured our attention today as it flirts with a critical moment of decision. Currently trading at $0.5659, the price reflects a staggering 44% deviation below its all-time high of $1.0122, achieved just 50 days ago. Yet, it has also soared over 138% from its absolute low, a testament to its volatility and potential for rapid moves​. With a Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovering near a neutral 50, and buy volume patterns increasingly dominant over the past 24 hours, the market appears to be in a state of consolidation​​. The Moving Average 50 (MA50) at $0.5752 suggests minor overhead resistance, while psychological resistance levels are forming near $0.5961, possibly triggering the next rally​. Fundamentally, macroeconomic whispers of liquidity adjustments and renewed interest in altcoin markets are setting the stage for a bold shift. The big question remains: Is this your chance to ride the wave up, or will the bears claw back dominance at this critical threshold? For both traders and investors, the stakes couldn't be higher. The coming days will determine whether PUFFER/USDT.P’s momentum builds into a breakout or fades into retracement. Are you ready for the ride? The clock is ticking, and this could be your chance to capitalize on a decisive market move. Stay tuned for our detailed analysis on key levels and patterns shaping this opportunity. PUFFER/USDT.P Roadmap: Decoding the Patterns for Success Understanding the flow of market movements is crucial for both traders and investors. Here’s a detailed roadmap of the key patterns recently observed in PUFFER/USDT.P, using historical data to confirm their validity and align with anticipated price directions. January 25, 2025 – VSA Manipulation Buy Pattern 4th Direction: Buy Trigger Point: Low of the last 3 bars ($0.5514) Outcome: The market closed slightly higher at $0.5564, hinting at a bullish impulse. This aligns with the main direction, as the next pattern confirmed upward movement to a high of $0.5777. This is a textbook pattern execution, showing strong buyer momentum. January 26, 2025 – Increased Buy Volumes Direction: Buy Trigger Point: Open price ($0.5628) Outcome: This pattern delivered as expected, with a close above the open at $0.5768. The immediate next high of $0.5777 supports this buy direction, emphasizing consistent buyer dominance. January 25, 2025 – Increased Sell Volumes (Skipped) Direction: Sell Trigger Point: High of the last 3 bars ($0.6345) Outcome: Contrary to the sell direction, subsequent price action leaned bullish. This pattern did not trigger effectively, and its impact is minimal in the broader roadmap. January 24, 2025 – VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st Direction: Buy Trigger Point: Not applicable Outcome: The market moved consistently higher, with the high extending to $0.6112 shortly after. This pattern highlighted the continuation of a buying trend, supported by increasing volume and a steady climb. January 22, 2025 – Sell Volumes Take Over (Skipped) Direction: Sell Trigger Point: Low of the last 3 bars ($0.5873) Outcome: While sell volumes showed a momentary dip to $0.5873, the market rebounded quickly, invalidating the sell direction and confirming a persistent bullish bias. January 23, 2025 – Buy Volumes Take Over Direction: Buy Trigger Point: Open price ($0.6024) Outcome: The price continued upward to $0.6094, marking this as a clean execution of a bullish pattern. Traders who spotted this transition capitalized on the trend. Key Takeaways from the Roadmap Bullish patterns like VSA Buy Pattern 4th and Buy Volumes Take Over consistently outperformed, confirming strong market optimism. Sell patterns were largely invalidated, indicating underlying buyer control over the asset during the observed period. Trigger points proved reliable markers for entry, with clear follow-through seen in consecutive highs. This roadmap demonstrates how understanding pattern execution and aligning with validated directions can significantly enhance trading success. Watch for future VSA Buy Patterns—they've consistently marked golden opportunities for upward momentum. Stay sharp, and ride the trend! Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Levels to Watch When it comes to trading, knowing your levels is half the battle. Below are the critical support and resistance zones for PUFFER/USDT.P, straight from the charts. If these levels fail to hold, you can expect them to flip and act as resistance in the future. Mark these on your radar—miss them at your own risk! Support Levels 0.5201 – Your first line of defense; a break below could open the door to further downside. 0.2934 – A deeper support level that traders should keep an eye on if the price dives lower. Resistance Levels 0.5961 – The immediate overhead barrier. Bulls need to clear this for any meaningful push higher. 0.6934 – A higher resistance zone that could attract sell-side interest. 0.7277 – A strong ceiling to watch, marking the upper range of current price action. 0.8881 – A psychological level that’s likely to be a battleground for bulls and bears alike. Powerful Resistance Levels 1.0122 – The absolute high. Breaking and holding above this level would signal a major trend reversal. What Happens If These Levels Fail? If support levels crumble under selling pressure, they’ll likely become resistance as sellers defend their positions. The same goes for resistance—if bulls break through, it flips to support, creating a solid base for further upward momentum. Keep these levels in mind to navigate the chop and make informed decisions in this dynamic market. This is your roadmap to the action—stay sharp, and let the levels guide your trades! Trading Strategies Using Rays: From Concept to Actionable Scenarios The Rays from the Beginning of Movement concept provides a systematic approach to predicting price reactions based on Fibonacci-based geometrical rays. These rays, combined with dynamic factors like moving averages, offer traders a reliable method to identify high-probability trade setups. Below, we outline the framework and suggest two scenarios—optimistic and pessimistic—to align with potential market conditions. Concept of Rays in Action Fibonacci Rays and Their Purpose: Each ray defines key dynamic levels derived from the beginning of the price movement. They help map the probable path of the price and identify zones for potential reversals or continuations. Dynamic Factors: Moving averages (e.g., MA50, MA100, MA200) act as secondary confirmation tools. When price interacts with a ray and aligns with a moving average, the probability of a valid move increases. Actionable Levels: Traders focus on interactions between rays, moving averages, and VSA patterns on the chart. After a confirmed interaction, the price typically moves from one ray to the next, presenting opportunities for profitable trades. Optimistic Scenario: A Breakout with Momentum Initial Interaction Zone: $0.5752 (MA50) First Target: $0.5862 (MA100, next ray level) Second Target: $0.6272 (MA200, upper ray boundary) Third Target: $0.6468 (Extended ray, potential continuation) Commentary: In this scenario, the price demonstrates bullish momentum after interacting with the MA50 and first Fibonacci ray. Buyers take control, driving the price to subsequent ray levels. Pessimistic Scenario: A Controlled Decline Initial Interaction Zone: $0.5752 (MA50) First Target: $0.5201 (Key support level) Second Target: $0.2934 (Lower ray boundary) Third Target: $0.2375 (Absolute low) Commentary: Here, the price fails to sustain above the MA50, leading to a downward interaction with Fibonacci rays. Sellers dominate, targeting progressively lower levels. Potential Trade Setups Based on Ray Interactions Bullish Entry: After price confirms an upward bounce from $0.5752, enter long, aiming for $0.5862 (first target). Place a stop-loss below $0.5730 to manage risk. Bearish Entry: If the price rejects $0.5752, consider a short position targeting $0.5201 with a stop-loss above $0.5770. Breakout Trade: Watch for a breakout above $0.5862 with strong volume. Enter long with targets at $0.6272 and $0.6468. Range Trade: If the price oscillates between $0.5752 and $0.5862, use the range to buy near support and sell near resistance. Final Notes The combination of Fibonacci rays and moving averages creates a robust system for identifying dynamic trade zones. Remember, trades should only be entered after clear interaction and validation from the rays and dynamic factors. Whether the market trends bullish or bearish, these scenarios provide a clear framework for traders to follow and adapt as conditions unfold. Your Turn to Join the Conversation Hey traders and investors! Let’s make this space interactive. If you’ve got questions about the analysis, specific levels, or just want to dive deeper into the strategy—drop them right in the comments. I’ll be happy to answer and discuss with you. If you found this analysis helpful, don’t forget to hit Boost and save the idea to revisit later. Watching how price reacts to these levels is the best way to learn and grow as a trader. Remember, understanding entry and exit points is key to consistent success. For those interested, my proprietary indicator automatically maps out all the rays and levels you see here. It’s available privately, so if you’re curious about using it, feel free to send me a message directly. Have a specific asset in mind? I’m open to providing analysis! Some ideas I’ll post here for everyone to benefit from, and for others, we can discuss more personalized setups. Whether it’s public or private, we can figure out the best approach together. Lastly, don’t forget to follow me here on TradingView. This is where I post all my insights and updates, and I’d love to have you as part of my trading community. Let’s keep learning and growing together—one chart at a time. 🚀
Education
by brandlabelden
BAT/USDTKey Level Zone: 0.2340 - 0.2360 HMT v5 detected. The setup looks promising, supported by a previous upward/downward trend with increasing volume and momentum, presenting an excellent reward-to-risk opportunity. HMT (High Momentum Trending): HMT is based on trend, momentum, volume, and market structure across multiple timeframes. It highlights setups with strong potential for upward movement and higher rewards. Whenever I spot a signal for my own trading, I’ll share it. Please note that conducting a comprehensive analysis on a single timeframe chart can be quite challenging and sometimes confusing. I appreciate your understanding of the effort involved. Important Note : Role of Key Levels: - These zones are critical for analyzing price trends. If the key level zone holds, the price may continue trending in the expected direction. However, momentum may increase or decrease based on subsequent patterns. - Breakouts: If the key level zone breaks, it signals a stop-out. For reversal traders, this presents an opportunity to consider switching direction, as the price often retests these zones, which may act as strong support-turned-resistance (or vice versa). My Trading Rules Risk Management - Maximum risk per trade: 2.5%. - Leverage: 5x. Exit Strategy Profit-Taking: - Sell at least 70% on the 3rd wave up (LTF Wave 5). - Typically, sell 50% during a high-volume spike. - Adjust stop-loss to breakeven once the trade achieves a 1.5:1 reward-to-risk ratio. - If the market shows signs of losing momentum or divergence, ill will exit at breakeven. The market is highly dynamic and constantly changing. HMT signals and target profit (TP) levels are based on the current price and movement, but market conditions can shift instantly, so it is crucial to remain adaptable and follow the market's movement. If you find this signal/analysis meaningful, kindly like and share it. Thank you for your support~ Sharing this with love! HMT v2.0: - Major update to the Momentum indicator - Reduced false signals from inaccurate momentum detection - New screener with improved accuracy and fewer signals HMT v3.0: - Added liquidity factor to enhance trend continuation - Improved potential for momentum-based plays - Increased winning probability by reducing entries during peaks HMT v3.1: - Enhanced entry confirmation for improved reward-to-risk ratios HMT v4.0: - Incorporated buying and selling pressure in lower timeframes to enhance the probability of trending moves while optimizing entry timing and scaling HMT v4.1: - Enhanced take-profit (TP) target by incorporating market structure analysis HMT v5 : Date: 23/01/2025 - Refined wave analysis for trending conditions - Incorporated lower timeframe (LTF) momentum to strengthen trend reliability - Re-aligned and re-balanced entry conditions for improved accuracy
Long
by Ren_MomentumTrader
EDELTEQ - Looking for bullish sentiment.N wave with E, V, N & NT projection. The price is currently at 0.315 and is above the Kumo, signaling a potential bullish sentiment. However, the cloud appears thin, indicating uncertainty. The Kumo is green, suggesting a supportive environment for upward movement, though caution remains due to proximity to key resistance levels. But Tenkan-sen is below Kijun-sen, it typically indicates bearish sentiment in the market. Watch for scenarios where the Tenkan-sen crosses above the Kijun-sen, which can signal a potential shift from bearish to bullish sentiment. This crossover would indicate that recent price movements are starting to gain strength NT at 0.325 serves as immediate resistance. Confirm a breakout above NT for stronger validation. 0.290 acts as immediate support; a drop below this may indicate bearish reversal. Look for bullish candlestick patterns or a close above the cloud, which would indicate the continuation of bullish momentum. Note: 1. Analysis for education purposes only. 2. Trade at your own risk.
MYX:EDELTEQLong
by mg6112
#WIF Return to starting pointThis is a rule that comes true 95% of the time. Meme Coins return to where they started. They go back to the starting point very quickly, but it takes years to get back up. It has been falling for three and a half months and has fallen 74% so far. Meme coins that do not have a proper community have a short lifespan and do not expect them to experience such growth again because new meme coins are coming out every day with new colors and glazes and most people tend to invest in new meme coins to go back and think about old meme coins again. And with new meme coins, the possibility of old meme coins growing again is low unless their community wakes up.
by geniuscoinacademy
Short- and Medium-Term Gold Analysis Market Overview: Gold is at the end of its buyers' movement; professional traders are looking for signs of weakness to enter short positions. The static supply level at $2,735–$2,770 is active, but the dynamic supply ceiling has yet to form. Short-Term Forecast: $2,770–$2,800: Heavy supply is expected, which is crucial for the continuation of the upward trend. Key Level: As long as prices remain above $2,760, buyers maintain control. If this level is breached, prices could drop to $2,700–$2,730 in the short term. Medium-Term Forecast: Breaking the demand at $2,730 and $2,690 could accelerate a price drop to $2,530. $2,500–$2,530: A key level for medium-term buyers, with a strong likelihood of renewed demand. Trading Recommendations: Short Position Entry Range Key Levels to Monitor: $2,755–$2,760: Crucial for observing buyer weakness. $2,690–$2,730: Determines new demand or supply trends. $2,500–$2,530: Attractive for medium-term buyers, with potential for strong demand formation. Summary: The market remains under buyers' control, but increased selling pressure at current levels indicates a critical phase. Risk management and precise analysis of price patterns are essential to capitalize on market opportunities.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BourseNegar
EURUSD: Key Levels and Scenarios for the Next MoveEURUSD has completed a clear five-wave structure to the downside, signaling the end of a dominant bearish phase. Following this, the pair has entered a corrective phase, which currently appears to be forming a double Zigzag pattern. To confirm a resumption of the bearish trend, we need a decisive break below the key level of 1.03356, which would validate the continuation of the downtrend and present an opportunity for short positions. However, it’s important to note that this corrective structure even has yet to reach the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. This incomplete retracement suggests the possibility of a more extended correction. Should the price fail to break downward, the corrective wave could evolve into a more complex triple Zigzag pattern, extending the upward movement and delaying the bearish scenario. Should remain vigilant and monitor price action around the 1.03356 level and the retracement zones for clearer signals. A break below would indicate the dominance of bears, while failure to do so might point to a prolonged correction. As always, manage risk effectively and prepare for multiple scenarios.
Short
by The_Traders_Memoirs
Next Week’s Market Forecast: Potential Price Correction:Next Week’s Market Forecast: Potential Price Correction: Since the price is near the Premium Zone and a resistance level, a short-term correction towards support levels may occur. Key Support Levels to Watch: Equilibrium Zone: A strong support zone around $2720 - $2730. Discount Zone: Lower support at $2617 - $2630, where buyers may step in. Continuation of the Uptrend: If the price breaks above the current resistance (Weak High at $2778 - $2780) and consolidates, it may continue its bullish momentum. Critical Levels for Traders: Monitor price action at resistance zones to confirm rejection or breakout. Use BOS and CHoCH signals to align trades with the trend. Key Support and Resistance Levels: Resistance Levels: $2780 - $2800: A major resistance zone (Premium Zone), likely to cause selling pressure. $2775 - $2778 (Weak High): Another strong resistance, which could lead to price rejection. Support Levels: $2720 - $2730 (Equilibrium Zone): An initial support zone for potential price rebounds. $2700 - $2710 (PDL): Another strong support level from previous daily lows. $2617 - $2630 (Discount Zone): A major demand zone for potential bullish reactions. Suggested Trading Strategy: Resistance Reaction: If the price reaches $2778 - $2780 and shows weakness, consider short-term selling opportunities targeting lower support levels. Support Reaction: If the price drops to $2720 - $2730 or $2700 - $2710 and reversal patterns emerge, look for buying opportunities.
SAXO:XAUUSDShort
by hesamdrgym
TRU/USDTKey Level Zone: 0.06830 - 0.06880 HMT v5 detected. The setup looks promising, supported by a previous upward/downward trend with increasing volume and momentum, presenting an excellent reward-to-risk opportunity. HMT (High Momentum Trending): HMT is based on trend, momentum, volume, and market structure across multiple timeframes. It highlights setups with strong potential for upward movement and higher rewards. Whenever I spot a signal for my own trading, I’ll share it. Please note that conducting a comprehensive analysis on a single timeframe chart can be quite challenging and sometimes confusing. I appreciate your understanding of the effort involved. Important Note : Role of Key Levels: - These zones are critical for analyzing price trends. If the key level zone holds, the price may continue trending in the expected direction. However, momentum may increase or decrease based on subsequent patterns. - Breakouts: If the key level zone breaks, it signals a stop-out. For reversal traders, this presents an opportunity to consider switching direction, as the price often retests these zones, which may act as strong support-turned-resistance (or vice versa). My Trading Rules Risk Management - Maximum risk per trade: 2.5%. - Leverage: 5x. Exit Strategy Profit-Taking: - Sell at least 70% on the 3rd wave up (LTF Wave 5). - Typically, sell 50% during a high-volume spike. - Adjust stop-loss to breakeven once the trade achieves a 1.5:1 reward-to-risk ratio. - If the market shows signs of losing momentum or divergence, ill will exit at breakeven. The market is highly dynamic and constantly changing. HMT signals and target profit (TP) levels are based on the current price and movement, but market conditions can shift instantly, so it is crucial to remain adaptable and follow the market's movement. If you find this signal/analysis meaningful, kindly like and share it. Thank you for your support~ Sharing this with love! HMT v2.0: - Major update to the Momentum indicator - Reduced false signals from inaccurate momentum detection - New screener with improved accuracy and fewer signals HMT v3.0: - Added liquidity factor to enhance trend continuation - Improved potential for momentum-based plays - Increased winning probability by reducing entries during peaks HMT v3.1: - Enhanced entry confirmation for improved reward-to-risk ratios HMT v4.0: - Incorporated buying and selling pressure in lower timeframes to enhance the probability of trending moves while optimizing entry timing and scaling HMT v4.1: - Enhanced take-profit (TP) target by incorporating market structure analysis HMT v5 : Date: 23/01/2025 - Refined wave analysis for trending conditions - Incorporated lower timeframe (LTF) momentum to strengthen trend reliability - Re-aligned and re-balanced entry conditions for improved accuracy
Long
by Ren_MomentumTrader