Gold on a bearish run(sells)Gold been making LH and LL indicating a bearish trend right now ,this might be a counter trend trade but I expect gold to make a correction and fill either the gap on 3330 /3375
Thus grabbing liquidity on its way up ,before the continuation of its bearish run
Comment what your bias is.
Wave Analysis
BNBUSD – Inverse Head & Shoulders PlayBNB formed a messy inverse head-and-shoulders structure with neckline at $649. After multiple rejections, it finally broke through and is holding above. Now consolidating just under $651, preparing for the next leg. Entry above $651 confirms continuation, while falling below $648 invalidates the bullish case.
XRPUSD – Squeeze After SurgeXRP exploded out of a compression base near $2.04 and surged to $2.19 before stalling. Price has since gone flat in a very tight $2.17–$2.19 band, suggesting strong distribution or a bullish flag. Expect a big move: breakout above $2.195 could re-ignite the trend; a break below $2.165 opens downside retrace toward $2.12.
ETHUSD – V-Recover, Then WaitEthereum broke down heavily to $2,371 before mounting a V-shaped recovery. After reclaiming the $2,420–$2,430 area, price entered a broad chop zone. Multiple local higher lows signal strength building, though upside is capped near $2,460. Breakout traders should watch for a clean move above $2,465 for momentum continuation. Breakdown below $2,435 invalidates.
GBPCHF: Will Start Growing! Here is Why
The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the GBPCHF pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move up.
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BITCOIN/USD "Eyes $112K target!"Key facts today! 1). Bitcoin is trading over $107,000, with analysts eyeing a potential all-time high above $112,000. Bulls are holding prices above $105,000 amid easing inflation and institutional buying.
2). Investor Dan Tapiero predicts Bitcoin could hit $180,000, highlighting the need to break the $115,000 resistance level for strong upward momentum.
SHIB - Lesson 15 this is how to read the chartUsing Lesson 15 to read the chart (annotations in sync with chart):
1. Support (coming from daily chart)
2. Largest down wave (buyers could be in there)
3. Placed AVWAP wait for the price to cross upwards and pull back
4. PFBL Long signal on the pull back and up we go
Enjoy !
AAVE - Lesson 15 said Long and the pull back another LongReading the chart using Lesson 15 and Exit from Range methodology (annotations in sync with the chart)
1. Fib Location (buyers might enter)
2. Largest down volume wave (potential buyers in there) - Placed AVWAP at the beginning of the down wave wait for price to cross upward and pullback
3. Entry Long with PRL signal - first target fib closed with profit
4. Fib was reached and pull back started
5. PRL long on AVWAP acting a resistance
6. This my last Entry using strategy Exit from Range with a Plutus signal.
This is a risky Long since we are on Fib area, but I will take the risk.
Enjoy!
Bitcoin Offensive plan for S/R, risk-on scenario confirmed__________________________________________________________________________________
Technical Overview – Summary Points
__________________________________________________________________________________
Momentum : Strong across all timeframes, driven by the Risk On / Risk Off Indicator (“Strong Buy” bias from 1D to 1H).
Key Supports : 98–100k remains the crucial zone to defend. Interim supports at 103.6k and 106k.
Major Resistances : 107–110k critical cluster, intermediate resistance at 108.2k.
Volume : Normal to moderately increasing volumes on all timeframes, short-term spike at 15min (caution warranted).
Multi-TF behavior : No signs of euphoria or capitulation except for 15min (behavioral overheating & high volume detected).
__________________________________________________________________________________
Strategic Summary
__________________________________________________________________________________
Structural bias : Strong bullish, confirmed by technical and sector data.
Opportunities : Pullback entries at 107–107.5k, trend-following plans on validated breakouts >108.2k/109.9k.
Risk zone : Major break under 106k then 103.6k = invalidation, watch for seller excess (ISPD)/extreme volume on 15min.
Macro catalyst : No major event expected; wait & see climate, caution around Middle East geopolitical headlines.
Action plan : Buy support, monitor breakout/volume, stop-loss below 106k then 99k.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Multi-Timeframe Analysis
__________________________________________________________________________________
1D – 12H – 6H : Durable bullish structure, price capped below 107–110k, momentum confirmed by Risk On / Risk Off Indicator (“Strong Buy”), no volume climax, healthy volume. 98–100k supports remain crucial.
4H – 2H – 1H – 30min : Aligned uptrend, no sell signals. Pullbacks absorbed at 103.6–107.5k pivots. 108.2k–109.9k breakout is pivotal, volumes healthy outside 15min.
15min : Emerging behavioral excess (ISPD = Sell), very high volume → risk of short-term overheat, avoid chasing without validation.
Summary : Bullish multi-timeframe confluence, but caution on ultra-short-term excess and geopolitical news flow.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Synthesis & Strategic Plan
__________________________________________________________________________________
Directional bias : Structurally bullish on all higher TFs, supported by Risk On / Risk Off Indicator, MTFTI, no major alert signals.
Action scenarios :
Buy pullback at 107–107.5k, SL below 106k (Swings) or below 107k (Scalps).
Confirmed breakout (vol./no behavioral excess) above 108.2–109.9k, targets >110k.
Risk/invalidation : Any break under 106k then 103.6k then 99k = bullish bias neutralized.
Risk management : Take partial profits on 109–110k extensions; avoid persistence if ISPD turns red & volumes spike on lower TFs.
Fundamental & on-chain factors : No macro catalyst, healthy consolidation, $99k–$100k on-chain supports decisive, breakout requires new inflows.
Decision summary:
Bias = Bullish, buy supports and validate breakouts with volume, watch for 15min excess and Middle East headlines. Strict SL below 106k/103.6k, risk-off below 99k. Partial profit taking on 109–110k extension. No immediate macro catalyst.
US500 Will Go Up! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for US500.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 6,165.52.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 6,451.04 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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EUR/NZD SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
EUR/NZD pair is trading in a local uptrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 17H timeframe the pair is going up too. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 1.915 area.
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#CVX best zone for make some money SOON ?#CVX
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We are experiencing a bounce from the lower boundary of the descending channel. This support is at 2.30.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, supporting the upside.
There is a major support area in green at 2.23, which represents a strong basis for the upside.
Don't forget a simple thing: ease and capital.
When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
We are in a consolidation trend above the 100 Moving Average.
Entry price: 2.41
First target: 2.46
Second target: 2.55
Third target: 2.65
Don't forget a simple thing: ease and capital.
When you reach your first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
Thank you.
GOLD: Technical Analysis based on price structure, key levelsHello Everyone
Let's start ... Next week's BUY/SELL Scenario for GOLD (30 Jun- 4 Jul).
before this make sure to go and check my previous Analysis as they were more than perfect.
Recent Trend: Gold has broken down from a local consolidation zone near $3,325–$3,340.
Structure: Market has formed a lower high and now a lower low — bearish short-term structure.
Key Support Zone: Price has just touched a strong previous horizontal support near $3,270, which acted multiple times as a demand zone.
📈 Bullish Scenario (Buy Setup):
🟢 Buy if price shows reversal signals around $3,270–$3,250 zone.
This zone is historical support. If a bullish engulfing or double bottom forms, it could lead to a bounce.
wait for 4hr/ Daily candle closure above 3,280.
Target Prices will be:
TP1: $3,325 (minor resistance)
TP2: $3,360 (previous structure high)
TP3: $3,398 TVC:GOLD
SL: $3,230 (recent swing low)
Probability: 🔹 55–60% (if clear bullish candle confirms; otherwise lower)
Confirmation Needed: Bullish divergence (e.g., RSI or Stoch), or volume spike reversal
---
📉 Bearish Scenario (Sell Setup):
🔴 (Risky Entry) Sell on retracement back to $3,310–$3,325, if rejection occurs (SL @3,345)
This area is now potential resistance after the recent breakdown.
(Safe Entry) Otherwise You can Sell After a 4hr/daily candle closure below 3,245
Target Prices will be:
TP1: $3,220 (deeper move into next demand)
TP2: 3,205
TP3: 3,175
TP4: 3,135 ( why not!)
Careful: at (3,135-3,170 : A strong rejection is valid to move up again).
Probability: 🔹65–70% — structure and momentum are favoring downside
Pro Advice: 🧭 Bonus – Neutral/Wait Zone:
Between $3,270 and $3,310 — price could consolidate here.
Wait for breakout or rejection before taking positions.
Good Luck
TVC:GOLD
Possible SHORT idea for NZDSGD in H4 timeframe NZDSGD in H4 Timeframe seems to be in downtrend and broke previous swing low.
Possible SELL opportunity in NZDSGD in H4 timeframe. It is a late entry, be mindful on risk management.
This is for educational purpose only. Not an investment or financial advise.
#LISTA/USDT#LISTA
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We are seeing a bounce from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 0.1970.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, supporting the upward trend.
We are looking for stability above the 100 Moving Average.
Entry price: 0.1982
First target: 0.2097
Second target: 0.2133
Third target: 0.2273
bank nifty cashtime wise from 2 to 3rd wave top appear wave 4 yet not complete in irregular correction,
Alternatively we may be in wave 5 first wave let see Monday clear more picture , though some people started giving target of 59000+, if so this is wave 1 and still one correction due as bearish divergence also emergins in hourly charts. Thanz just a learner may be wrong and not a sebi registered RA.Thanz
CHR/USDTKey Level Zone: 0.0760 - 0.0765
LMT v2.0 detected.
The setup looks promising—price previously trended upward with rising volume and momentum, then retested this zone cleanly. This presents an excellent reward-to-risk opportunity if momentum continues to align.
Introducing LMT (Levels & Momentum Trading)
- Over the past 3 years, I’ve refined my approach to focus more sharply on the single most important element in any trade: the KEY LEVEL.
- While HMT (High Momentum Trading) served me well—combining trend, momentum, volume, and structure across multiple timeframes—I realized that consistently identifying and respecting these critical price zones is what truly separates good trades from great ones.
- That insight led to the evolution of HMT into LMT – Levels & Momentum Trading.
Why the Change? (From HMT to LMT)
Switching from High Momentum Trading (HMT) to Levels & Momentum Trading (LMT) improves precision, risk control, and confidence by:
- Clearer Entries & Stops: Defined key levels make it easier to plan entries, stop-losses, and position sizing—no more guesswork.
- Better Signal Quality: Momentum is now always checked against a support or resistance zone—if it aligns, it's a stronger setup.
- Improved Reward-to-Risk: All trades are anchored to key levels, making it easier to calculate and manage risk effectively.
- Stronger Confidence: With clear invalidation points beyond key levels, it's easier to trust the plan and stay disciplined—even in tough markets.
Whenever I share a signal, it’s because:
- A high‐probability key level has been identified on a higher timeframe.
- Lower‐timeframe momentum, market structure and volume suggest continuation or reversal is imminent.
- The reward‐to‐risk (based on that key level) meets my criteria for a disciplined entry.
***Please note that conducting a comprehensive analysis on a single timeframe chart can be quite challenging and sometimes confusing. I appreciate your understanding of the effort involved.
Important Note: The Role of Key Levels
- Holding a key level zone: If price respects the key level zone, momentum often carries the trend in the expected direction. That’s when we look to enter, with stop-loss placed just beyond the zone with some buffer.
- Breaking a key level zone: A definitive break signals a potential stop‐out for trend traders. For reversal traders, it’s a cue to consider switching direction—price often retests broken zones as new support or resistance.
My Trading Rules (Unchanged)
Risk Management
- Maximum risk per trade: 2.5%
- Leverage: 5x
Exit Strategy / Profit Taking
- Sell at least 70% on the 3rd wave up (LTF Wave 5).
- Typically sell 50% during a high‐volume spike.
- Move stop‐loss to breakeven once the trade achieves a 1.5:1 R:R.
- Exit at breakeven if momentum fades or divergence appears.
The market is highly dynamic and constantly changing. LMT signals and target profit (TP) levels are based on the current price and movement, but market conditions can shift instantly, so it is crucial to remain adaptable and follow the market's movement.
If you find this signal/analysis meaningful, kindly like and share it.
Thank you for your support~
Sharing this with love!
From HMT to LMT: A Brief Version History
HM Signal :
Date: 17/08/2023
- Early concept identifying high momentum pullbacks within strong uptrends
- Triggered after a prior wave up with rising volume and momentum
- Focused on healthy retracements into support for optimal reward-to-risk setups
HMT v1.0:
Date: 18/10/2024
- Initial release of the High Momentum Trading framework
- Combined multi-timeframe trend, volume, and momentum analysis.
- Focused on identifying strong trending moves high momentum
HMT v2.0:
Date: 17/12/2024
- Major update to the Momentum indicator
- Reduced false signals from inaccurate momentum detection
- New screener with improved accuracy and fewer signals
HMT v3.0:
Date: 23/12/2024
- Added liquidity factor to enhance trend continuation
- Improved potential for momentum-based plays
- Increased winning probability by reducing entries during peaks
HMT v3.1:
Date: 31/12/2024
- Enhanced entry confirmation for improved reward-to-risk ratios
HMT v4.0:
Date: 05/01/2025
- Incorporated buying and selling pressure in lower timeframes to enhance the probability of trending moves while optimizing entry timing and scaling
HMT v4.1:
Date: 06/01/2025
- Enhanced take-profit (TP) target by incorporating market structure analysis
HMT v5 :
Date: 23/01/2025
- Refined wave analysis for trending conditions
- Incorporated lower timeframe (LTF) momentum to strengthen trend reliability
- Re-aligned and re-balanced entry conditions for improved accuracy
HMT v6 :
Date : 15/02/2025
- Integrated strong accumulation activity into in-depth wave analysis
HMT v7 :
Date : 20/03/2025
- Refined wave analysis along with accumulation and market sentiment
HMT v8 :
Date : 16/04/2025
- Fully restructured strategy logic
HMT v8.1 :
Date : 18/04/2025
- Refined Take Profit (TP) logic to be more conservative for improved win consistency
LMT v1.0 :
Date : 06/06/2025
- Rebranded to emphasize key levels + momentum as the core framework
LMT v2.0
Date: 11/06/2025
USDJPY Poised for Liquidity Grab Ahead of NFP USDJPY is currently undergoing a clear redistribution phase on the 4H chart, having recently broken bullish structure and formed successive lower highs. The first week of July is packed with high-impact economic events from both the US and Japan – most notably speeches from Fed Chair Powell and BOJ Governor Ueda, alongside ADP and Non-Farm Payrolls – all of which could trigger significant volatility and a potential liquidity sweep before a true directional move takes shape.
🎯 Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Flow Analysis
✅ A Break of Structure (BOS) has just occurred following a sharp selloff from the 147.8 supply zone – a bearish structure is now clearly established.
⚠️ Change of Character (ChoCH) near the 145.8 level signals potential institutional involvement and short-term redistribution.
💧 Equal Lows (EQL) around 143.0 and 142.2 suggest prime liquidity targets likely to be swept before any genuine bullish intent emerges.
📈 Price is currently retracing toward the 145.85 – 146.00 short-term supply zone, offering a favourable area for short setups if rejection occurs.
🧠 Trade Scenarios (Planned)
🔻 Priority SELL Setups
SELL at 145.851 – 146.000
SL: 146.351
TP1: 145.351 (+50 pips)
TP2: 144.851 (+100 pips)
TP3: 143.851 (+200 pips)
TP4: Open
This is a fresh supply zone formed post-BOS, ideal for potential short entries upon confirmation.
SELL at 147.750 – 147.950
SL: 148.150
TP1: 147.250 (+50 pips)
TP2: 146.750 (+100 pips)
TP3: 145.750 (+200 pips)
TP4: Open
A key higher timeframe supply zone. If price breaks above 146.3 and rallies further, this is where Smart Money may re-enter shorts.
🔺 Potential BUY Setups Post-Liquidity Sweep
BUY at 143.031 – 142.930
SL: 142.731
TP1: 143.531 (+50 pips)
TP2: 144.031 (+100 pips)
TP3: 145.031 (+200 pips)
TP4: Open
This zone aligns with the trendline and EQL – a possible bounce zone if bullish BOS or strong price rejection appears.
BUY at 142.200 – 142.000
SL: 141.800
TP1: 142.700 (+50 pips)
TP2: 143.200 (+100 pips)
TP3: 144.200 (+200 pips)
TP4: Open
A deeper liquidity pool – likely an institutional entry point if price is flushed prior to NFP data.
📅 Key Upcoming Events – USD/JPY Traders Beware
Tuesday (1 July):
🗣️ Speeches from BOJ Gov Ueda and Fed Chair Powell – high-impact catalysts early in the week.
🧾 ISM Manufacturing PMI, JOLTS Job Openings – insight into the US economy’s momentum.
Wednesday to Thursday (2–3 July):
💼 ADP Employment & Non-Farm Payrolls – major market-moving data to shape USD sentiment.
→ Given the heavy news calendar, it's wise to react to price action at key zones with strong risk management, rather than pre-empt.