Wave Analysis
Trading Plan For Cardano ADA Revealed!Hello, Skyrexians!
I tried multiple times to understand what is happening on BINANCE:ADAUSDT chart. The Elliott waves analysis was too complicated and I didn't share anything, but today I found the scenario which fits with the trading system rules.
Let's take a loot at the weekly time frame. The bull market wave 2 has been finished with the green dot on the Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator then the wave 3 has been started. Technically it could be finished at 1.61 Fibonacci and Awesome oscillator tells us that it's not the trend finish, but anticipated wave 4 has significantly overlapped the wave 1. It can't be wave 4 and it can't be trend finish. It means that now price is entering into the wave 3 inside 3 and the higher degree wave 3 has the target mush higher approximately at $3.
Best regards,
Ivan Skyrexio
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Gold - 25% crash to 2650, then pump to 7000! (must see)A crash to 2650 is very likely in the next few weeks! Why? Let's take a look at the most popular oscillators - RSI, MACD and STOCHASTIC.
Let's start with the RSI indicator on the monthly chart. The RSI indicator moves between 0 and 100. What we can see here is a strong horizontal resistance at the 85 level in the overbought region. Every time gold hits this strong resistance, a huge crash follows, specifically in 2006, 2008, 2020, and now in 2025. So this is a sell signal. We don't want to chase gold, while the RSI indicator is at such high levels - we want to wait for a pullback.
The next is the MACD indicator - the histogram hit a new all-time high on gold. We have never seen such crazy levels on gold. The histogram is currently too far away from the 0 line, which is a sign of an extremely overbought market. What we want to do here is to wait for the histogram to return to 0 and buy. There isn't really any bearish sign on the MACD indicator yet, but if you want to wait for a confirmation, then wait for a first downtick on the histogram and sell.
The last very popular indicator is STOCHASTIC . This indicator pretty much screams to sell, because both lines have been in the overbought territory since 2023. Plus, we have a bearish crossover this month (if the candle closes like today's price). To see this bearish crossover, you have to zoom in. So this indicator is giving us a bearish signal to sell gold.
Additional bearish reasons: The first reason is that the price of gold just hit a major trendline on the monthly chart. Monthly charts are incredibly powerful, so you want to make sure to know what is going on here. Always trade with a valid trend. The next reason is an untested POC on the volume profile. This POC is exactly at 2650, so this should be a great buying opportunity!
Please write a comment below and let me know what you think about this upcoming crash on GOLD? And are you bullish or bearish? Also hit the like button for more ideas on gold, so I know you are interested!
GOOGLE: Attention!!! Bullish force assured!!Alphabet, Google's parent company, presented its results for the first quarter of the year this Thursday, in which it obtained a profit of $34.540 billion, representing a 46% increase compared to the $23.662 billion obtained in the same period of the previous year.
The company also exceeded expectations with its revenue figure, which stood at $90.234 billion, after registering a year-on-year increase of 12%, while the consensus expected it to be $89.120 billion. For its part, operating profit grew to $30.606 billion, with a margin of 34%.
In summary: VERY GOOD RESULTS, and if we add to this the favorable moment we are experiencing due to the TARIFF issue... it WILL go up, no doubt!
---> What is the technical aspect?
If we observe the H1 timeframe chart and its summary table, its trend was clearly bearish, but showing THE FIRST BULLISH SIGNALS. On Wednesday, the bullish force (Bull) signal appeared on the H1 chart, and yesterday, Thursday, it appeared on the H4 chart. Although its trend is still bearish, since its FORCE is now bullish, we can start thinking that its trend could change to BULLISH in the coming days if there are NO NEWS that get in the way.
---> Where do we make the entry?
As the results were published at the close of the American market, today it is most likely to open with a bullish GAP. Here we can do 2 things:
1) If the gap is small, enter at the opening.
2) If the gap is VERY LARGE, wait for a pullback during the day to enter at a better price.
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Strategy to follow:
ENTRY: We will open 2 long positions in the current zone or taking advantage of a pullback in price (depending on the market gap).
POSITION 1 (TP1): We close the first position in the 183 zone (+12%)
--> Stop Loss at 148 (-8%).
POSITION 2 (TP2): We open a Trailing Stop type position.
--> Initial dynamic Stop Loss at (-8%) (coinciding with 148 of position 1).
--> We modify the dynamic Stop Loss to (-1%) when the price reaches TP1 (183).
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CLARIFICATIONS OF THE SETUP
*** How to know which 2 long positions to open? Let's take an example: If we want to invest 2,000 euros in the stock, what we do is divide that amount by 2, and instead of opening 1 position of 2,000, we will open 2 positions of 1,000 each.
*** What is Trailing Stop? A Trailing Stop allows a trade to continue gaining value when the market price moves in a favorable direction, but automatically closes the trade if the market price suddenly moves in an unfavorable direction by 1 a certain distance. That certain distance is the dynamic Stop Loss.
-->Example: If the dynamic Stop Loss is at -1%, it means that if the price makes a downward movement of -1%, the position will be closed. If the price goes up, the Stop Loss also goes up to maintain that -1% on the rises, therefore, the risk is increasingly lower until the position enters profits. In this way, very solid and stable trends in the price can be exploited, maximizing profits.
JUP/USDT: New Crypto with 300% Upside PotentialTop 1 newly listed crypto to invest - Jupiter (JUP) – Is it worth your money?
Hello folks, it's Tradevietstock again! As we move through 2025, the crypto market continues to be a rollercoaster of opportunities and risks. With so many projects out there, finding one with real value can feel like searching for a needle in a haystack. Today, I want to talk about Jupiter (JUP), a project that’s caught my attention as a potential investment this year, and I believe this is top 1 newly listed crypto to invest in this year.
i. Overview ofJupiter (JUP) – The Top Decentralized Trading Platform on Solana
1. What Is Jupiter?
Jupiter is a DEX aggregator on the Solana blockchain that finds the best token swap prices across different liquidity sources (DEXs, pools, market makers). It also offers advanced DeFi tools like:
Limit Orders: Buy/sell at specific prices automatically
DCA/TWAP: Reduce volatility risk by spreading trades over time
Bridge Comparator: Find the cheapest route to move assets across blockchains
Perpetuals Trading: Trade futures with leverage
=> With over 1.35 billion JUP tokens in circulation and community governance, Jupiter is a vital infrastructure player in the Solana DeFi ecosystem.
2. 💡 Why Jupiter Matters
Decentralized, Efficient Trading
Aggregates liquidity for best prices & low slippage
You stay in control of your crypto – no middleman
Cross-Chain Transfers
Easily bridge assets between Solana, Ethereum, and others
Pro-Level Trading Tools
Limit orders and DCA/TWAP help both beginners and pros
Perpetuals offer advanced trading strategies
Real-World Integration
SOL-based debit card (via Sanctum) makes crypto spendable in daily life
Boosts Solana Ecosystem
Jupiter provides liquidity for other DeFi apps, supporting growth
3. ✅ Is Jupiter Legit?
Yes. Jupiter tackles real DeFi problems:
Liquidity fragmentation → Solved with aggregation
High fees → Solana keeps transactions under $0.01
Blockchain silos → Bridge Comparator fixes interoperability
Real-world usage → Debit card bridges crypto and finance
Community governance → Token holders vote on proposals
Events like Jupuary airdrops and a 30% token burn in Jan 2025 show strong user focus.
4. 📈 Why JUP Could Be a Top Investment
Solana’s rise: Fast, cheap, and gaining adoption
DeFi growth: More users + institutions entering the space
Jupiter innovation: Advanced tools, debit card, growing dev support
Bullish market trends: 2025 shows signs of crypto recovery
Risks include:
Market volatility
Solana TVL dips
Competition from other DEXs (like Uniswap, Layer 2s)
Still, Jupiter’s real-world use cases and solid roadmap make it one of the top newly listed tokens to watch in 2025.
5. 🔧 Technology Highlights
Built on Solana: 65,000 TPS, <$0.01 fees
Proof of History + Proof of Stake for speed & security
Smart Contracts automate trades, strategies, and bridging
6. Who’s Behind Jupiter? The Team Driving the Project
Jupiter was founded by a team with the right mix of skills to make it a success:
Fabiano Solana: The tech expert, responsible for Jupiter’s blockchain infrastructure and ensuring the platform runs smoothly.
Rolex Gold: A financial markets veteran, guiding Jupiter’s strategy and positioning it to meet the needs of traders.
Mei: Focuses on community engagement and partnerships, helping Jupiter grow its user base and ecosystem.
Meow: Played a key role in launching and managing the JUP token, though there have been some minor controversies around partnerships.
Before moving on, I will explain some key terms in the image above:
Team Tokens: This refers to the portion of tokens allocated to the team behind the project. These tokens are usually subject to certain vesting schedules to ensure that team members are incentivized to remain involved in the project over time.
Mercurial Holders: This refers to the percentage of tokens allocated to holders of the Mercurial token, which could be part of a partnership or incentive program.
Jupary: This might be referring to a group or entity related to the Jupiter ecosystem. It's likely a token allocation meant for contributors or important stakeholders associated with the Jupary initiative.
Community Reserve: These tokens are set aside for the community, often used for future incentives or governance purposes, ensuring the community has a stake in the project's success.
Strategic Reserve: These tokens are held for strategic purposes, like partnerships, future fundraising rounds, or to stabilize the market if needed.
DAO Funding: Tokens allocated to the Decentralized Autonomous Organization (DAO), which is responsible for decision-making within the project. These tokens could be used for funding the DAO’s activities or decisions.
Jup LFG Fee: Likely refers to a fee associated with the Jupiter Liquidity Fund Generation (LFG) program, which may involve creating liquidity for the project or incentivizing liquidity providers.
MM Loans (CEX): This represents tokens allocated for market-making (MM) loans in centralized exchanges (CEX), which are used to maintain liquidity and facilitate trading on exchange platforms.
Immediate LP Needs: Tokens set aside to meet immediate liquidity pool (LP) requirements, helping to ensure that there is enough liquidity available for trading on decentralized exchanges (DEX).
Launch Pool: These tokens are part of the pool used for launching the project, often to facilitate the early stages of a token's distribution or public sales.
Initial Airdrop: These tokens are distributed via an airdrop, which is a common way of giving free tokens to early adopters, participants, or holders to promote the project.
Currently, the proportion of team tokens is 20% of the total supply of JUP. After one month, the team will receive a fixed amount of JUP worth $20 million. The total the team will receive will be worth $735.57 million in 2027. Just to clarify, the total supply of JUP is 10 billion.
The team's total share will be 14% of the total supply of JUP, which is not a significant concern for price manipulation. The total tokens allocated to Jupary will make up over 14% of the total supply, and these will then be distributed to staking holders.
However, one scenario to consider is that after the team receives the full amount of their tokens, they could potentially dump the project and liquidate. Yet, this will only happen in 2027, and the project is not designed to solve real-life problems. Despite this, I believe JUP is not likely to follow such a path.
ii. Investment analysis - Top 1 newly listed crypto to invest
1. Price chart
Jupiter is one of the recently listed tokens, and its price is still near the bottom, which I believe it should be included in the list of top 1 newly listed crypto to invest
Let’s move on to some technical analysis. The JUP price has reached its historical bottom at around 0.49 USDT. There has been no breakout below the ATR Bands, which indicates there are no bearish signals or a bearish trend expected in the near future. According to the Quantum indicator, there are some early crossover signals (green dots), suggesting that the bearish trend is coming to an end.
Still, we need to wait a little longer before buying JUP. So, what exact signals from the indicators should we look for before buying JUP? I’d say we need confirmation of the bottom from the Quantum indicator and a breakout above the ATR Band. This will give us a clear set of confirmation signals.
=> Although I say Jupiter is the top 1 newly listed crypto to invest, when investing in this token, we should treat it as a long-term investment, as tokens priced below $1 tend to experience significant fluctuations. Therefore, when buying JUP on Spot, we should consider staking it to receive a decent APR.
2. Conclusion: Is Jupiter a Good Investment?
After digging into Jupiter (JUP) in this Top 1 newly listed crypto to invest article, I can say it’s a strong contender for your crypto portfolio. It’s solving real problems in DeFi—like liquidity fragmentation, high fees, and blockchain isolation—while adding practical features like the SOL-based debit card that make crypto usable in everyday life. The technology is solid, leveraging Solana’s speed and low costs to deliver a seamless DeFi experience. The team behind it has the expertise and commitment to keep the project on track, and the growth potential is there, especially with Solana’s momentum and DeFi’s broader expansion.
Of course, there are risks to consider. The crypto market is volatile, and Jupiter faces competition from other DEXs. Solana’s recent TVL drop could also impact its ecosystem. But with its focus on utility, innovation, and community engagement, Jupiter stands out as a project with real substance—not just another hyped-up token. If you’re looking for a crypto with strong fundamentals and upside potential, Jupiter is worth adding to your Top 1 newly listed crypto to invest list.
gold bearishGold spot prices are showing signs of strength after dipping into the $3190 liquidity zone and holding firm. The bearish momentum has stalled as price tapped into a key area of interest, suggesting that smart money may have engineered a liquidity sweep to fuel a potential bullish reversal.
EURUSD Correction
Yesterday, EURUSD continued to move sideways above 1,1300, showing no strength for a new push higher.
This suggests we could see a continuation of the correction toward the next support levels.
These levels, identified using Fibonacci retracement and previous highs, are 1,1253, 1,1183, and 1,1055.
Keep an eye out for a continuation of the correction and how the price reacts.
Avoid trading against the main trend!
SAGA RoadMap (1D)From the point where we placed the red arrow on the chart, it appears that SAGA's correction has begun.
This correction seems to be either a diametric or a symmetrical pattern. Now, considering the extended duration of wave C, its relative comparison with the other waves, the heavy drop, and the formation of a demand zone at the bottom, wave C seems to have ended.
A rebuy can be considered on the pullback to the green zone.
The targets are marked on the chart.
A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
POL PROBABLY IN WAVE 'A' OR '1'This is an update on our POL wave count shared earlier, we have modified the wave count looking at the formations and excluded the possibility of the current wave being a wave C.
If the wave count is correct then we are in 5 or Y of wave 1 or A.
With reference to my last idea of POL in which we got greedy and took a loss on 50% of our positions and are still holding 50% of the long positions for long term. Since are preferred wave count is still showing some downside which can reach 500-475 range and even further, It is not wise to just let our investment sit there and wait for the upward movement which can take months from now. Therefore we have decided to hedge our current position with a small portion of short sell in POL futures.
Will share the short sell trade setup tomorrow morning
Let see how this plays, Good Luck!
Disclaimer: The information presented in this wave analysis is intended solely for educational and informational purposes. It does not constitute financial or trading advice, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy or sell any securities.
double three (running)Took a harder look at the surge in the price of bitcoin. It turns out we may have a running double three (WXY) for wave 2.
W is a flat, X is a zigzag and Y is a triangle. And the end of wave 2 is higher than the end of wave 1, thus we call this double three combination a running variation. A strong and powerful wave 3 should follow next with at least 1.618 of wave 1. It could be 2.618 of wave 1, but it definitely will be an extended third wave.
KAIA Buy/Long Setup (12H)It seems that a large symmetrical pattern has completed, and the price has broken out above the resistance line. We are looking for Buy/Long positions on pullbacks.
We have identified two entry points for this asset. If the price reaches these entry zones, we will enter a position.
The targets are also marked on the chart.
A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for April 25, 2025🔮 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
📉 Procter & Gamble Cuts Outlook Amid Consumer Pullback: P&G shares declined after the company lowered its full-year earnings guidance, citing reduced consumer spending due to economic uncertainty and higher tariffs. CFO Andre Schulten noted significant consumer hesitation, linking it to volatility in mortgage rates and declining stock markets affecting retirement savings.
📊 Durable Goods Orders Surge, Core Spending Stagnant: March durable goods orders jumped 9.2%, driven by a spike in aircraft demand. However, core capital goods orders, excluding aircraft, rose only 0.1%, indicating cautious business investment amid ongoing tariff uncertainties.
🏠 Existing Home Sales Decline Sharply: Existing home sales fell 5.9% in March to an annual rate of 4.02 million units, reflecting affordability challenges associated with high mortgage rates and economic uncertainty.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Friday, April 25:
🗣️ Fed Governor Neel Kashkari Speaks (5:00 PM ET):
Remarks may provide insights into the Federal Reserve's perspective on current economic conditions and monetary policy direction.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
April 25, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunitySummary:
At the current price range, treat gold as moving within a sideways consolidation zone between 3342–3373.
If the price breaks above 3373, it signals strong bullish momentum — long entries can be considered.
If the price breaks below 3342, bearish momentum may take over — short opportunities could emerge.
Pay close attention to 3305 — if this level is broken, it may trigger further downside and allow room to continue selling.
Key Levels to Watch:
3398–3400: Psychological round-number resistance
3385: Key intraday resistance
3373: Upper boundary of consolidation
3342: Lower boundary of consolidation
3335: Support
3325: Support
Short-Term (15m) Strategy:
For Shorts: Enter a SELL if the price breaks below 3344. Watch 3342 for quick reaction; if the drop continues, monitor 3335, 3332, and 3330.
For Longs: Enter a BUY if the price stabilizes above 3355. Watch 3348 for confirmation; if momentum continues, target 3328, 3362, and 3364.
👉 If my insights have been helpful to you, or if you traded based on my ideas, please consider giving a like — it’s a great encouragement for me! Thanks for your support!
Disclaimer: This is my personal opinion and not financial advice. Please manage your risk accordingly.
Stacks: Psychological Effects Of Trading & Technical AnalysisI was about to call it quits for now but I saw Stacks.
There was a guy here, a few years back. You know these people that are a true pain in the muladhara? That type of guy. He was always going about STXUSDT and as usual, I would give him the entry, the levels, the exit and he would always get it wrong.
Write, write, write, comment, comment; back and forth but never right, always wrong.
Jesus Christ!
Brahman please help!
I have positive impressions on my mind for this pair. That is because some time ago I shared a chart and it did great. This happens. When the prediction goes as planned, it records pleasant memories and each time I go through the pair the sanskaras are activated. It also works the other way. When a trade goes wrong, when I see the pair I tend to feel, "Yuck!"
Each time, good or bad, I have to overcome my mental attachments to be able to look a the pair fresh, with a new perspective, new!
If you get attached to the positive outcome, you are likely to jump in before the time is right.
If you get attached to the negative outcome, you are likely to miss it the next time prices are about to rise.
Both these need to be avoided if you are looking at charts or doing your own numbers. Detach completely and look at it fresh.
Today it is a new day. Whatever happened in the past, good or bad, has nothing to do with this present moment.
I am looking at Stacks, STXUSDT, what does the chart have to say?
A long-term support zone, mid-2023, has been activated.
All the action in 2024 has been removed. We are back to baseline, back to baseline is good for the bulls.
This pair allows buying at support in expectation of long-term growth.
Namaste.
Gold fluctuates at high levels, market analysisOn Thursday, as the Fed's speech pushed up expectations of rate cuts, the US dollar index fell back and eventually closed down 0.611% at 99.29. US Treasury yields fell, with the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield closing at 4.325%; the two-year Treasury yield, which is more sensitive to monetary policy, closed at 3.805%.
Boosted by the dollar's retreat and bargain hunting, spot gold rebounded sharply, reaching a high of 3367.32, and finally closed up 1.84% at 3348.73.
From a technical point of view, the daily line stood firmly above the 10-day moving average, which is an important reason for the current extremely strong unilateral trend of gold. For the time being, the daily mid-term Bollinger has not closed, and don't guess the top of the rise. Look at 3420 first, and then look at the gains and losses of 3500. If it breaks, don't guess the high. The performance of H4 mid-term is obvious. The bottom is above the lower Bollinger band and the 60-day moving average, and the Bollinger band is just closing. This is a very obvious performance of stopping the decline and bottoming out. Now the Bollinger band is closing. From 3260, it will take at least 3500 to the upper Bollinger band, so this range is very large. The band bullish trend has just begun, so just stick to the bullish trend on Friday. Since the direction is determined, intraday trading will wait for a pullback to go long. For the support below, pay attention to the vicinity of 3340, and continue to look at the 3370-3380 area above, and then focus on the 3300 mark; as for the upper resistance, pay attention to the 3386 area first.
Overall, the short-term operation strategy of gold today is recommended to focus on callbacks and longs, supplemented by rebounds and high-altitudes. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3370-3380 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3330-3320 support.
Buy range: 3330-3328, SL: 3318, TP: 3350-3360
Sell range: 3368-3370, SL: 3380, TP: 3350-3340
Key points:
First support: 3330, second support: 3320, third support: 3310
First resistance: 3370, second resistance: 3380, third resistance: 3390
USDCHF Zigzag Corrective Rally Expected to FailThe USDCHF currency pair has been trending downward since its high on January 13, 2026. The pair follows a pattern known as a 5-wave impulse in Elliott Wave analysis. This pattern helps traders predict price movements by breaking them into distinct waves. Starting from the peak, the first wave (wave 1) saw the pair drop to 0.8965. After this decline, a brief recovery, or wave 2, pushed the price back up to 0.9196. From there, the pair resumed its downward trajectory in wave 3, which unfolded in several stages.
In wave 3, the price first fell to 0.8356, marking the end of an internal sub-wave (wave ((i))). A small bounce to 0.8583 completed wave ((ii)). The decline continued, with wave ((iii)) reaching 0.8096, followed by a slight rally to 0.8203 for wave ((iv)). The final leg of wave 3, wave ((v)), bottomed out at 0.803, wrapping up the third wave.
Currently, USDCHF is in an upward correction in wave 4, which is taking the shape of a zigzag pattern. From the low at 0.803, the pair climbed to 0.8124 in wave (i). Pair dipped to 0.8066 in wave (ii) then rose again to 0.8286 in wave (iii). A pullback to 0.8194 marked wave (iv), and the final push to 0.8311 completed wave ((a)), the first part of wave 4. Right now, the pair is experiencing a short-term pullback, called wave ((b)), correcting the rise that began on April 21, 2025. As long as the key support level at 0.8036 remains intact, USDCHF is expected to resume its upward movement soon, potentially reaching higher levels before the next major trend develops.
GLDGold has extended slightly passed the 2.618 extension fib and then began to fall back down. It is too early to tell if price has finally topped or not. It is no coincidence though that it started moving lower as the market started moving higher. I believe that any drop in price for gold is only temporary. It will, IMO, begin to move higher again around the time this larger consolidation of the indices completes.
Should price start to move higher again, we will need to look towards the 2.786 & 3.0 for points of resistance. However, if a local top is in fact in place, we would then continue lower in an overlapping/choppy fashion. I will update as it warrants.