BTC/USDT Analysis: Local EuphoriaYesterday, right after the release of our analysis, Bitcoin absorbed the entire breakout of the trendline with buyer aggression.
At the moment, we have reached the sell zone at $86,000–$87,200 (absorption of buyer aggression) and have already observed an abnormal spike in volume.
The main expectation is a decline, at least to the new local buyer zone at $83,800–$82,800.
On a broader scale, we could still see a drop down to the $76,700 low.
Sell Zones:
$86,000–$87,200 (absorption of buyer aggression)
$95,000–$96,700 (accumulated volumes)
$97,500–$98,400 (pushing volumes)
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies)
Buy Zones:
$83,800–$82,800 (local volume zone)
$77,000–$73,000 (volume anomalies, pushing volumes)
Wave Analysis
XAUUSD Analysis Strategy: still be expected to rise!It has been continuously fluctuating within the range of 3110-3130 during the intraday period, showing a short-term high-level oscillation. With the support above 3100, it indicates that the upward trend still remains.
XAUUSD trading strategy
buy @ 3113-3117
sl 3103
tp 3125-3130
Preserve capital, manage risk, generate returns, achieve sustainable long-term profitability, and continuously learn and develop through trading. Access the link below the article to obtain more information.
Haleon Stock Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# Haleon Stock Quote
- Double Formation
* (EMA Settings)) + Upper & Lower Band Set Up | Completed Survey
* (1) & (2) Wave Feature | Subdivision 1
- Triple Formation
* (Consolidation Argument)) | Subdivision 2
* (TP1) | Subdivision 3
* Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition
- (Hypothesis On Entry Bias)) | Indexed To 100
- Position On A 1.5RR
* Stop Loss At 115.00 GBP
* Entry At 118.00 GBP
* Take Profit At 123.00 GBP
* (Uptrend Argument)) & Pattern Confirmation
* Ongoing Entry & (Neutral Area))
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Buy
BANDHAN BANK LONG SETUPTechnical Analysis
Chart Observations:
Price: Closed at ₹151.53
Candle: Strong green candle, breaking recent resistance
Volume: Healthy volume (approx. 4.92M) — confirms price action
RSI: 61.59 — bullish but not yet overbought, still room to go
Structure : Ascending structure since early Feb 2025 — higher highs and higher lows forming.
Key Levels
Immediate Resistance L: ₹153.50–₹155 Watch for breakout confirmation
Major Resistance : ₹163–₹165 Gap area and previous breakdown zone
Support : ₹147–₹148.5 Last consolidation area
Strong Support : ₹141.50–₹143 Higher low and volume cluster
Trade Setup:
1. Breakout Play
Entry: ₹153.60+ (on strong candle & volume)
SL: ₹147.90
Target 1: ₹158
Target 2: ₹163+
2. Pullback Entry
Entry Zone: ₹147.50–₹149
SL: ₹144.50
Target: ₹153 first, trail after
Additional Chart Insights:
RSI is in bull zone (above 60) — shows growing momentum
Structure resembles an inverse head & shoulders in formation — bullish reversal pattern
Volume spikes seen on bullish days — demand is active
Voyager Token (VGXUSD) - Is Ready For Takeoff! Looking down at the 1D timeframe, VGX is looking like it's ready for takeoff!
I've done analysis on the 1M timeframe and now I'm just zooming into the micro level. Currently the price action has remained quite bullish and we may have found support, VGX has huge upside potential, if things go well, a few thousand percent.
Let me know what you think.
Best regards.
NZDCHF: Will Start Falling! Here is Why:
The recent price action on the NZDCHF pair was keeping me on the fence, however, my bias is slowly but surely changing into the bearish one and I think we will see the price go down.
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EURUSD: Weak Market & Bearish Forecast
It is essential that we apply multitimeframe technical analysis and there is no better example of why that is the case than the current EURUSD chart which, if analyzed properly, clearly points in the downward direction.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Mara has entered an extended bear cycleI do not expect Mara to change trend until at least September 2025, which is based on past data. There will most likely be a push up to the 50 SMA/EMA at some point in the future but It will most likely be rejected , which has happened in the past. Mara is only good for day and swing trading and any long term investment will just fester for months. I have higher confidence that all targets will be hit during this time. I will update when there is an actual trend change.
AUDNZD Buy OANDA:AUDNZD
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Gold Market and the Impact of Trump’s Tariff PolicyAs global economic uncertainty intensifies and gold prices hit record highs, investors are seeking safe-haven assets. After several rounds of market turmoil, investors have recovered somewhat in Asian markets this week.
In the coming week, the focus will be on the reciprocal tariff plan that Trump will announce on April 2. If Trump decides to take tough measures and implement high tariffs across the board, it may have a big impact on the market. However, if there is some relaxation of tariff policies, such as tax exemptions for specific countries, then the market may have a chance to rebound.
Trump was proud of Wall Street's record highs during his first term, but now seems to be less concerned about the stock market and more focused on the adjustment of overall economic policies. I think this may be the time to make structural changes to the US economy, although these adjustments may bring challenges in the short term, but the hope is that the economy will recover before the mid-term elections next year.
In addition, Asian stock markets have also been affected by volatility, especially the automotive industries in Japan and South Korea are under pressure. The automotive manufacturing industries in these countries face the challenge of change due to the upcoming 25% tariffs. Investors are full of doubts about Trump's tariff policy, and market sentiment is cautious, and all parties are waiting for the policy announcement on April 2.
In conclusion, although the market has rebounded in the short term, future trends still need to focus on Trump’s tariff decisions and their potential impact on the global economy.
The analysis focuses on the short-term to medium-term timeframe.The analysis focuses on the short-term to medium-term timeframe.
Tug-of-War Between Bulls and Bears: At the current price of 157.04, the market is in a tug-of-war between buyers (bulls) and sellers (bears).
Bulls are defending key support levels near 152.48 (Fibonacci 100% retracement of Wave C) and 154.34 (Expanded Flat target). A hold above these levels could signal a potential reversal.
Bears are attacking resistance levels at 160.31 (Fibonacci 100% projection of Wave C) and 162.82 (Expanded Flat target). A break below 152.48 could accelerate downward momentum.
Recent Price History: The market has been in a downtrend recently, with the price dropping from 191.18 (July 10, 2024) to 157.04. Key Fibonacci levels (e.g., 161.8% retracement at 159.84) and Elliott Wave patterns (e.g., Diagonal Ending Downward Candidate) have guided this decline. Momentum indicators (e.g., RSI at 47.51) suggest the downtrend may be losing steam, but the MACD histogram turning positive hints at a potential short-term bounce.
Current Sentiment (Technical & News):
Technical Indicators: Mixed signals. RSI (47.51) is neutral, while MACD shows a bullish crossover (histogram turning positive). The price is below key moving averages (e.g., 200-day SMA at 167.35), indicating a bearish bias.
News Sentiment: Mixed to slightly negative. Ad revenue pressures and regulatory risks weigh on sentiment, but long-term growth catalysts (AI, cloud) provide optimism. Analysts maintain a "Buy" rating despite near-term challenges.
Synthesis: The technical picture aligns with the news—short-term bearishness (price below MAs, ad revenue concerns) but potential for a reversal if support holds (undervaluation, bullish MACD).
Key Levels & Momentum:
The price is currently below the 50-day SMA (161.89) and 200-day SMA (167.35), signaling bearish dominance.
Momentum is fading (RSI neutral, Stochastic not oversold), but the MACD histogram suggests a possible short-term bounce.
2. Elliott Wave Analysis (Contextualized to Current Price)
Relevant Elliott Wave Patterns:
Diagonal Ending Downward Candidate (Valid): Suggests the downtrend may be nearing completion, with Wave 5 potentially ending near 152.48-154.34 (Fibonacci 100% projection).
Expanded Flat Upward Candidate (Potentially Valid): If the price holds above 152.48, this pattern could signal a corrective rally toward 162.82.
Wave Count vs. Indicators/Sentiment:
The Diagonal Ending pattern contradicts the bearish news sentiment but aligns with oversold technicals (RSI, MACD). This divergence suggests a potential reversal if support holds.
The Expanded Flat pattern would confirm a bullish reversal if the price breaks above 160.31.
Near-Term Projections:
Downside: A break below 152.48 could extend losses to 148.36 (161.8% Fibonacci projection).
Upside: A hold above 152.48 and break above 160.31 could target 162.82 (Expanded Flat target) and 167.35 (200-day SMA).
3. Strategy Derivation (Realistic, Actionable NOW, News Considered)
Primary Strategy: WAIT (due to conflicting signals).
Why Wait? The technical setup is mixed (bullish MACD vs. bearish MAs), and news sentiment is neutral-to-negative. The upcoming Q1 earnings could add volatility.
If Price Holds Support (152.48-154.34):
BUY with confirmation (e.g., break above 160.31).
Entry Zone: 154.34-156.13 (Fibonacci 78.6% retracement).
Stop-Loss: 151.44 (below recent low).
Take Profit: TP1 at 160.31 (Fibonacci 100%), TP2 at 162.82 (Expanded Flat target).
Risk/Reward: ~1:2 for TP1.
If Price Breaks Below Support (152.48):
SELL with confirmation (e.g., break below 150.06).
Entry Zone: 152.48-151.44.
Stop-Loss: 154.34 (above support).
Take Profit: TP1 at 148.36 (161.8% Fibonacci), TP2 at 145.90 (Wave 5 projection).
News Context Check:
Earnings uncertainty and ad revenue pressures favor caution. Reduce position size if trading.
4. Trade Setup (Actionable, Realistic, News Aware)
Direction: WAIT (watch key levels).
Key Levels to Watch:
Upside: 160.31 (breakout confirmation).
Downside: 152.48 (breakdown confirmation).
News Reminder: Be mindful of Q1 earnings and ad revenue trends.
5. Summary Section
✅ Investor / Long-Term Holder Summary:
Key Support: 152.48 (accumulation zone if held).
Long-Term Outlook: Undervalued (DCF: $260 vs. $157). Focus on AI/cloud growth.
Action: Wait for pullback to 152.48 or break above 167.35 (200-day SMA).
Trend Changing Pattern (TCP) ExplainedIntroduction
One of the most important skills in forex trading is learning how to read price action and understand what the market is telling you. Price is not just numbers — it’s the collective perception of traders, making it the most reliable leading indicator available.
Today, I want to explain a powerful concept known as the Trend Changing Pattern (TCP) — a crucial tool for identifying potential market reversals and shifts in trend direction.
📈 What Is a Trend Changing Pattern?
In any trending market, whether it's an uptrend or downtrend, the trend won’t change easily. The strength of the trend and the timeframe you're trading on will determine how long it takes for a true reversal to occur.
One key signal of a trend change is a shift in momentum:
In an uptrend, when a momentum low forms during a pullback, it can be a sign that the trend is beginning to reverse.
In a downtrend, a momentum high during a pullback can signal a potential bullish reversal.
These are what we refer to as Trend Changing Patterns (TCPs) — moments where the structure of the market starts to shift.
⚠️ Watch for Manipulation After the TCP
After a TCP appears, it's common to see price manipulation before the new trend fully takes hold:
In an uptrend, price may return to manipulate the previous high before continuing down.
In a downtrend, price often dips to manipulate the previous low before reversing higher.
Being aware of this common liquidity grab helps traders avoid being trapped and instead position themselves in alignment with the new trend.
🧠 Final Thoughts
Understanding how to spot and interpret a Trend Changing Pattern gives you a major edge in forex trading. It helps you stay ahead of the market and make informed decisions based on price action, not emotion.
🎥 In the video, I go into more detail about momentum highs and lows, and how to recognize these key patterns in real time. Be sure to check it out if you want to sharpen your trend reversal strategy.
Wishing you success on your trading journey! 🚀
NAS100/US100/NQ/NASDAQ Long NAS100, US100, NQ, NASDAQ Long, with my back testing of this strategy, it hits multiple possible take profits atleast TP-1, manage your position accordingly.
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
Has gold entered a downward channel?Gold ended its continuous rise. The daily chart was blocked and fell back, falling to 3100. Technically, the gold price is still above 3078/3095 of MA7 and 5-day moving average. At the same time, MA10/7-day moving average still remains open upward, and the price is running on the upper track of the Bollinger Band.
The short-term four-hour moving average narrowed, and the price was running near the MA10-day moving average at 3123. The price retreated to the middle track of the Bollinger Band at 3101/3104. The RSI indicator turned downward after touching the overbought value above 80 yesterday. The hourly moving average is glued together, and the price returns to the middle and lower tracks of the Bollinger Band. Gold is expected to continue to expand its operating range during the day. It is recommended to buy at a low level after the correction and be cautious in chasing the rise. Consider selling after the key resistance level or historical high.
Once Trump's tariff policy is implemented, pay attention to the high and low prices in the gold and silver market, which may usher in a substantial downward adjustment. On the contrary, if Trump continues to announce new tariff policies on the basis of the original tariff policy, gold needs to pay attention to triggering risk aversion and causing a sharp rise or a record high again.
Gold surged higher in the US market yesterday and is stagnant. Bulls are under short-term pressure and may enter an adjustment cycle. In the short-term, gold is expected to fall and adjust! Yesterday, gold rose first and then fell, rising to 3149 and then falling. The European market fluctuated narrowly. From the technical indicators, the 2-hour moving average has formed a dead cross, MACD dead cross and large volume, and the Bollinger band closed. The US market continued to decline after the shock, and currently fell below the 3120 intraday watershed. In the short term, it means that the bulls have temporarily come to an end and started to retrace and adjust.
After yesterday's retracement, today's Asian market quickly rose to 3135.7. With the increase in volume on the hourly chart, it corrected the decline with 3150 as the high point. The fluctuation range was large and the adjustment speed was fast. The current position is too risky to chase the rise. Although shorting is against the trend, the implementation of technically overbought tariffs will also be realized, and there will be more room for profit-taking and downward adjustments. Buying and selling opportunities coexist.
Key points:
First support: 3115, second support: 3102, third support: 3093
First resistance: 3138, second resistance: 3150, third resistance: 3200
Operation ideas:
Buy; 3110-3113, SL: 3102, TP: 3140-3150;
Sell; 3143-3145, stop SL: 3154, TP: 3120-3110;