DAX – 60-Minute Chart AnalysisLet’s see if this Elliott Wave count plays out as anticipated.
🔸 Invalidation Level: 22,716.4 (CFD – GER40, Capital.com)
🔸 Downside Targets: 21,752 and 21,612
A sustained move above the invalidation level would negate the current bearish wave structure, while continued weakness below recent swing highs keeps the downside scenario in play.
Wave Analysis
USDT.D - The dominance of real moneyThe dominance of the dollar over cryptocurrencies is a real indicator of the growth status of ETH!
The last wave of correction and decline is happening now! Pay attention to the accumulation zone before the Bitcoin price drops/inflates.
Money is being transferred to BTC=>ETH=>ALT=>USDT=>BTC and so on in a circle, during the active participation phase of DOU, money is being transferred to ETH and beyond, so be vigilant
In addition, I would like to draw your attention to the BTC.D indicator.
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for April 2, 2025 🔮 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍:
🇺🇸📈 President Trump’s 'Liberation Day' Tariff Announcement: President Donald Trump is set to announce new reciprocal tariffs on April 2, aiming to align U.S. import duties with those imposed by other countries on American goods. This move is expected to impact various sectors, including automotive and manufacturing, and may lead to market volatility as investors react to potential shifts in trade policies.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Wednesday, April 2:
🏭 Factory Orders (10:00 AM ET):
Forecast: 0.6%
Previous: 1.7%
Indicates the dollar level of new orders for both durable and non-durable goods, reflecting manufacturing demand.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
Nifty analysis 02.4.2025As of April 2, 2025, the Nifty 50 index has experienced notable fluctuations influenced by global economic developments. On April 1, the index declined by 1.5% to close at 23,165.7, marking its steepest drop since February 28. This downturn was primarily attributed to investor apprehension regarding anticipated reciprocal tariffs from U.S. President Donald Trump.
mint
Despite this decline, market indicators suggest a potential rebound. Futures point to a modest recovery, with the Gift Nifty trading around 23,327, indicating a flat to slightly positive opening for the Nifty 50. Technical analyses present a mixed outlook; some indicators show neutral trends, while others suggest a bearish sentiment.
Additionally, a recent shift in investment patterns has been observed, with increased inflows into gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs) as investors seek safe-haven assets amid equity market volatility.
Apple (AAPL) Gains Momentum with 5 Swing Rally, Upside LikelyApple Inc. ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) is showing signs of strength as it builds momentum in a classic Elliott Wave structure. Today’s chart highlights a 5-swing rally from 208.4 low that has propelled the stock higher, signaling potential for further upside in the near term. After establishing a solid base, NASDAQ:AAPL has completed a 5-swing sequence—a bullish pattern often seen in trending markets. The rally began from a key support zone of 184.6 – 209.5. The latest leg up has ended wave (1) in 5 swing, suggesting the short term trend shifts to the upside. As long as pullbacks hold above the recent swing low, the path of least resistance is upward.
The immediate support sits at the prior swing low at 208.4. A hold above this zone keeps the bullish outlook alive. A break below this critical level would negate the bullish view, potentially signaling a deeper correction. Expect pullback in wave (2) to find support in 3, 7, or 11 swing for further upside. For those looking to join the trend, consider waiting for a 3 waves dip toward 100% – 161.8% Fibonacci support to optimize the risk-reward ratio. Define your entry, stop loss, and target ahead of time—tools like the Position Size Calculator can help fine-tune your approach.
IS THE "GOLDEN HOUR" FOR A 20% BTC SHORT DROP APPROACHING?IS THE "GOLDEN HOUR" FOR A 20% BTC SHORT DROP APPROACHING?
Hello everyone,
Yesterday, I provided you all with a detailed and comprehensive analysis of the events BTC will experience in April. After the March candle closed and the April candle opened, things have become quite clear and well-defined.
However, in the "BTC April Analysis" post, the monthly candle and the overview mapping for D1 (daily) and W (weekly) timeframes had some broad leaps. It’s not detailed enough for precise actions—it gives us a nearly complete framework, but there are still some rough edges. To make it more polished, we need a highly detailed analysis with a refined level of completion to guide specific actions.
That’s why today, I’m bringing you a new analysis with the theme: "The Golden Hour for BTC’s SHORT Point – A 20% Value Drop?"
Why 20%, and Is 20% Too Much?
As shown in the analysis chart, one thing is very clear: BTC is currently in an upward correction phase. This upward correction started from two zones:
Zone 1: From 80,000$ to 88,000$.
Zone 2: From 81,600$ to the current level of slightly above 85,300$.
In each phase, we’ve been able to catch the turning points and the starts of new waves.
Back to the main question: From which zone will BTC drop to which zone, and why would it lose 20% of its value from that point?
Right now, BTC hasn’t confirmed a drop, but there are key price zones emerging for us to monitor:
Zone 1: 87,600$
Zone 2: 88,800$
Zone 3: 92,000$
Current Situation Analysis
Current BTC price: 85,000$.
These zones are quite close to the upper peak zones. This is the second upward wave, so we need to be very cautious because an "earthquake and tsunami" could hit soon without prior warning.
Think of it like climbing a mountain: At the base, we can’t see the peak. But as we climb closer to the top, the peak gradually comes into view. Right now, it’s clearly visible.
From the peak zones (87,600$, 88,800$, or 92,000$), BTC could drop to a target zone around 70,000$. This is the zone where we identify the drop as approximately 20%.
Market Capitalization:
If BTC drops 20%, the crypto market cap (currently around 2-3 trillion USD, depending on the time) could lose 15-20%, as BTC accounts for about 50-60% of the total market cap.
The exact percentage depends on the broader market’s reaction.
Altcoins:
Altcoins typically experience stronger volatility than BTC. If BTC drops 20%, altcoins could fall 30-50% or more, especially smaller coins.
Stronger altcoins (like ETH) might only drop 20-25%, but most will be hit harder.
Conclusion
BTC is currently in an upward correction phase, but signs suggest that the "Golden Hour" for a SHORT entry with a 20% drop could be approaching. Keep a close eye on the peak zones (87,600$, 88,800$, 92,000$) and prepare to act when the price hits these levels.
Enjoy the analysis, everyone!
GOLD DAILY CHART MID/LONG TERM UPDATEGOLD Daily Chart Update: 24th FEB 2025
Hi Everyone,
Here’s the latest update on the GOLD daily chart, which we've been closely monitoring and trading. Below, we break down recent price movements, updated key levels, and provide actionable insights for the days ahead.
Recap of Recent Chart Success!
Gold recently achieved a record high of $2,954.80. Our analysis has consistently highlighted that after reaching each target level, prices tend to reverse by over 40+ pips to the GoldTurn level. This pattern was evident when, after hitting TP3 at $2,933, the price retraced more than 40+ pips to the GoldTurn level at 2870, which acted as a support, before rebounding bullishly to surpass resistance and reach the all-time high of $2,954.81.
Current Outlook: Bullish or Bearish?
Presently, gold's price is oscillating between a resistance gap at $2,990 and a support gap at $2,933. The $2,990 level serves as a key resistance, while $2,933 acts as support. Additionally, the Fair Value Gap (FVG) offers support at $2,920.
In summary, while the long-term outlook remains bullish due to factors like central bank demand and economic uncertainties, short-term fluctuations between the $2,933 support and $2,990 resistance levels are expected. Traders should monitor these key levels and indicators closely to inform their strategies.
KEY LEVEL: 2870
Resistance Levels: 2990, 3052
Support Levels (GoldTurn Levels): 2933, 2870, 2801, 2744, 2671, 2595
EMA5 Behavior:
* Or If EMA5 crosses and locks above 2933, it strengthens the bullish case.
* If EMA5 fails to hold above 2933, cross and lock below this level 2933, expect a pullback to key GOLDTURN levels below.
Recommendations:
* Capitalize on Dip Opportunities: Use smaller timeframes (1H, 4H) to trade around GOLDTURN levels, targeting 30–40 pips per trade.
* Stay focused on shorter trades in this range-bound market to manage volatility effectively.
Long-Term Bias:
Maintain a bullish outlook while viewing pullbacks as buying opportunities.
Accumulate positions near key support levels for a safer approach instead of chasing highs.
Final Note:
Trade with confidence and precision. Our analysis ensures you’re well-prepared to navigate the evolving market landscape. Stay updated with our daily insights across multiple timeframes for deeper clarity.
Thank you for your continued trust! Don’t forget to like, share, and comment to support our work.
Best regards,
The Quantum Trading Mastery Team
Ford’s 30+ Year ConsolidationWill this wedge break fords consolidation since 1989?? Long term this is a trade/investment to hold onto and collect dividends. I Measured the potential up move by the last bull run Ford had. I’m a firm believer auto’s are gonna jump fast in the coming future. Tell me your thoughts or am I crazy!!
2025-04-01 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaq
Good Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Bear trend line from 20536 broken again and market is probing higher to remain in a trading range at the lows. Bears need lower lows below 19300 tomorrow and bulls want to continue with the higher highs and higher lows. As long as the big bear trend line from 20452 holds, bears remain in control and see this as a more complex W2. To keep this possibility alive, the bounce has to stay below 20000.
current market cycle: strong bear trend but currently in W2
key levels: 19000 - 20600
bull case: Bull wedge, stairs pattern, doesn’t matter what you want to call this, it’s not strong buying. We have deep pullbacks that retrace more than 60% of the move and we are barely making higher highs. If bulls want to hit 20000, they need a stronger breakout above this wedge and for now I doubt it. Bulls did good in trapping late bears hoping for bigger selling already but as long as bears can scale in higher and make money because we stay low, bulls are not winning this. Their next target is the big bear trend line around 20000 which is also close enough to the daily 20ema.
Invalidation is below 18960.
bear case: Bears can argue this is a retest of the breakout but they need to print a strong down day again soon. Otherwise this could lead to more sideways to up movement and break the bear trend line. For now the pullback is still minor, compared to the move from 20500 to 19000 and bears remain in full control until the bear trend line is broken. Problem for the bears is the weekly tf. We are at prior bigger support since market has not closed below 19000 since 2024-04. Bears don’t want to repeat the pattern from last year, where we went straight down for 4 weeks, to then rally 25% form low to high.
short term: Slightly bearish around 19600 for trading back down to 19500 or maybe 400. Bull wedge is valid until clearly broken and as of now I think the odds for either side to break out are even. The closer we get to the big bear trend line, the better they become for the bears again.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-03-16: My most bearish target for 2025 was 17500ish, given in my year-end special. We don’t know if we have printed the W1 of the new bear trend or repeat the pattern from 2024, where we sold of very strong to reverse even more strongly and make new all time highs. Market needs a bounce and around 20000/20500 we will see the real battle for the next weeks.
trade of the day: Big down, big up, big confusion. Buy low, sell high and scalp. Market clearly is not in trending mode since the pull-backs are too deep and every decent follow-through buying & selling is followed by disappointment. Best trade was buying near 19300, since it was bigger support yesterday and just a breakout-retest from Monday.
BTC Price Prediction and Elliott Wave AnalysisHello friends,
# Bearish
>> Thank you for joining me in my analysis. As we explained in my previous idea about Reaching to 85k~85.5k, we have already got it successfully, till now not clear to break this zone,
>> I have two scenarios:
1st: Breakout this area 85k~85.5k, we will go to the area around 87.3k~88.3k, maybe to create the wave A in the final Green wave C.
2nd: down from this zone or 85.7 will may lead to create the white micro wave x in the Green wave B, Or the Blue the wave A in the final Green wave C
keep like and support me to continue, See you soon!
Thanks, Bros
abrdn Physical Gold ETF Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# abrdn Physical Gold ETF Quote
- Double Formation
* (EMA Settings)) | Completed Survey
* (Uptrend Argument)) At 26.00 USD | Subdivision 1
- Triple Formation
* Wave (3)) Feature Ongoing Set Up | Subdivision 2
* (TP1) | Subdivision 3
* Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition
- (Hypothesis On Entry Bias)) | Logarithmic Settings
- Position On A 1.5RR
* Stop Loss At 28.00 USD
* Entry At 30.00 USD
* Take Profit At 32.00 USD
* (Uptrend Argument)) & Pattern Confirmation
* Ongoing Entry & (Neutral Area))
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Buy
To the moon? Hang on a second...I'm reluctant to jump to a conclusion on this count as yet, but it certainly looks like that centre line strike is as much as we get. I can't imagine there would be as big an announcement possible as American Bitcoin, with Eric T "all in ".
Well, seems like moon it is then, but nothing wrong with some skepticism nonetheless. I'm not convinced it can't still get down to that 41k ish level although it might be wishful thinking. Maybe more realistic is an accumulation around here plus or minus 5k or so, while it rolls around the converging daily moving averages, perhaps even with another spikey test of the 75k region. Losing that level would be great for a 41k superbuy, with 59 another potential barrier on the way to it.
If break outs to the upside happen, there will always be a back test to look for good buying opportunities.
41k though one time please thanks
Is Bitcoin on the Verge of a Massive Breakout?Bitcoin's wave ((4)) has successfully completed a W-X-Y corrective formation. If Bitcoin manages to decisively break above the key resistance level of 88,826, it could trigger a powerful impulsive rally, potentially driving prices toward the next major targets at 95,250 - 99,508 - 109,176.
Additionally, the parallel channel's lower trendline is offering substantial support, preventing further downside movement. A strong breakout above this channel could significantly enhance bullish momentum, increasing the probability of Bitcoin reaching new all-time highs.
We will update you with further information.
BTCUSDT.. single supporting area , holds or not ??#BTCUSDT.. so market just reached at his most important area is around 81400 to 81600
And that is our in-between range area actually so keep close it and if market hold that area then again buying expected towards range upper line.
Note: below 81400 we will go for CUT n reverse on confirmation.
Good luck
Trade wisely
GOLD - single supporting area , holds or not??#GOLD. well guys now we have 3112 as immediate supporting area and upside we have 3125 as immediate resistance area so keep close and if market hold 3112 then we can expect another bounce towards upside next targets.
keep in mind that 3112 is our single supporting area so if market clear that level then we will go for short means cut n reverse but on confirmation.
good luck
trade wisely