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Wave Analysis

2025.05.24 Bitcoin Elliott Wave AnalysisWe are the SeoVereign Trading Team. With sharp insight and precise analysis, we regularly share trading ideas on Bitcoin and other major assets—always guided by structure, sentiment, and momentum. 🔔 Follow us to never miss a market update. Let's analyze the current Bitcoin trend based on the Elliott Wave Theory. First, the strong upward trend starting from 102K and ending at 112K can be identified as an impulse wave (Wave 1 to 5) in the Elliott Wave structure. The subsequent decline from 112K appears to be part of a C wave that began at the peak of the B wave. The rebound near 107K seems to be a so-called "Dead Cat Bounce," interpreted as a technical rebound due to a strong support/resistance zone in that area. To make the wave count easier to understand, you can view a chart showing only the wave count at the link below: The wave ratios used in this idea are as follows: higher-degree Wave 1 analysis: Wave 1 to 3 × 0.618 = Wave 5 higher-degree Wave 3 analysis: Wave 1 × 0.618 = Wave 5 higher-degree Wave 5 analysis: Wave 1 × 1 = Wave 5 higher-degree Wave C analysis: Wave 1 × 2.618 = Wave 3 Based on this analysis, the trend still leans toward the upside, and the following take-profit levels are suggested: First target: 109,980 USDT Second target: 111,361 USDT Thank you.
Long
by SeoVereign
eurusd 20 short-term market update short it exit 1160🏆 EURUSD Market Update m20 short-term trade 📊 Technical Outlook 🔸Short-term: BEARS 1160 🔸5 waves impulse completed 🔸1090/1240/1140/1350/1270/1410 🔸a/b/c/ correction 1160 🔸short sell and exit at 1160 🔸Price Target Bears: 1160 Key recent developments in EURUSD 📉 The U.S. dollar weakened as investors grew concerned over President Trump's proposed tax and spending bill, which could significantly increase the national debt 📈 The euro reached a one-month high after President Trump delayed the implementation of 50% tariffs on European Union imports, providing a temporary boost to investor confidence 🗣️ European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde suggested that the euro could become a global alternative to the U.S. dollar, contingent on strengthening the EU's financial and security infrastructure 📊 Technical analysis indicates that the EUR/USD pair may edge higher within a range of 1.1360 to 1.1420, though upward momentum is slowing 📉 Soft inflation data from France has increased selling pressure on the euro, as markets anticipate a stronger divergence between the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank 📉 The EUR/USD pair is under bearish pressure, trading near 1.1350, as the U.S. dollar finds demand ahead of upcoming economic data and ongoing Senate tax debates
Short
by ProjectSyndicate
42
COW/USDTKey Level Zone: 0.4100 - 0.4230 HMT v8.1 detected. The setup looks promising, supported by a previous upward/downward trend with increasing volume and momentum, presenting an excellent reward-to-risk opportunity. HMT (High Momentum Trending): HMT is based on trend, momentum, volume, and market structure across multiple timeframes. It highlights setups with strong potential for upward movement and higher rewards. Whenever I spot a signal for my own trading, I’ll share it. Please note that conducting a comprehensive analysis on a single timeframe chart can be quite challenging and sometimes confusing. I appreciate your understanding of the effort involved. Important Note : Role of Key Levels: - These zones are critical for analyzing price trends. If the key level zone holds, the price may continue trending in the expected direction. However, momentum may increase or decrease based on subsequent patterns. - Breakouts: If the key level zone breaks, it signals a stop-out. For reversal traders, this presents an opportunity to consider switching direction, as the price often retests these zones, which may act as strong support-turned-resistance (or vice versa). My Trading Rules Risk Management - Maximum risk per trade: 2.5%. - Leverage: 5x. Exit Strategy Profit-Taking: - Sell at least 70% on the 3rd wave up (LTF Wave 5). - Typically, sell 50% during a high-volume spike. - Adjust stop-loss to breakeven once the trade achieves a 1.5:1 reward-to-risk ratio. - If the market shows signs of losing momentum or divergence, ill will exit at breakeven. The market is highly dynamic and constantly changing. HMT signals and target profit (TP) levels are based on the current price and movement, but market conditions can shift instantly, so it is crucial to remain adaptable and follow the market's movement. If you find this signal/analysis meaningful, kindly like and share it. Thank you for your support~ Sharing this with love! HMT v2.0: - Major update to the Momentum indicator - Reduced false signals from inaccurate momentum detection - New screener with improved accuracy and fewer signals HMT v3.0: - Added liquidity factor to enhance trend continuation - Improved potential for momentum-based plays - Increased winning probability by reducing entries during peaks HMT v3.1: - Enhanced entry confirmation for improved reward-to-risk ratios HMT v4.0: - Incorporated buying and selling pressure in lower timeframes to enhance the probability of trending moves while optimizing entry timing and scaling HMT v4.1: - Enhanced take-profit (TP) target by incorporating market structure analysis HMT v5 : Date: 23/01/2025 - Refined wave analysis for trending conditions - Incorporated lower timeframe (LTF) momentum to strengthen trend reliability - Re-aligned and re-balanced entry conditions for improved accuracy HMT v6 : Date : 15/02/2025 - Integrated strong accumulation activity into in-depth wave analysis HMT v7 : Date : 20/03/2025 - Refined wave analysis along with accumulation and market sentiment HMT v8 : Date : 16/04/2025 - Fully restructured strategy logic HMT v8.1 : Date : 18/04/2025 - Refined Take Profit (TP) logic to be more conservative for improved win consistency
Long
by Ren_MomentumTrader
CATI/USDTKey Level Zone: 0.1150 - 0.1180 HMT v8.1 detected. The setup looks promising, supported by a previous upward/downward trend with increasing volume and momentum, presenting an excellent reward-to-risk opportunity. HMT (High Momentum Trending): HMT is based on trend, momentum, volume, and market structure across multiple timeframes. It highlights setups with strong potential for upward movement and higher rewards. Whenever I spot a signal for my own trading, I’ll share it. Please note that conducting a comprehensive analysis on a single timeframe chart can be quite challenging and sometimes confusing. I appreciate your understanding of the effort involved. Important Note : Role of Key Levels: - These zones are critical for analyzing price trends. If the key level zone holds, the price may continue trending in the expected direction. However, momentum may increase or decrease based on subsequent patterns. - Breakouts: If the key level zone breaks, it signals a stop-out. For reversal traders, this presents an opportunity to consider switching direction, as the price often retests these zones, which may act as strong support-turned-resistance (or vice versa). My Trading Rules Risk Management - Maximum risk per trade: 2.5%. - Leverage: 5x. Exit Strategy Profit-Taking: - Sell at least 70% on the 3rd wave up (LTF Wave 5). - Typically, sell 50% during a high-volume spike. - Adjust stop-loss to breakeven once the trade achieves a 1.5:1 reward-to-risk ratio. - If the market shows signs of losing momentum or divergence, ill will exit at breakeven. The market is highly dynamic and constantly changing. HMT signals and target profit (TP) levels are based on the current price and movement, but market conditions can shift instantly, so it is crucial to remain adaptable and follow the market's movement. If you find this signal/analysis meaningful, kindly like and share it. Thank you for your support~ Sharing this with love! HMT v2.0: - Major update to the Momentum indicator - Reduced false signals from inaccurate momentum detection - New screener with improved accuracy and fewer signals HMT v3.0: - Added liquidity factor to enhance trend continuation - Improved potential for momentum-based plays - Increased winning probability by reducing entries during peaks HMT v3.1: - Enhanced entry confirmation for improved reward-to-risk ratios HMT v4.0: - Incorporated buying and selling pressure in lower timeframes to enhance the probability of trending moves while optimizing entry timing and scaling HMT v4.1: - Enhanced take-profit (TP) target by incorporating market structure analysis HMT v5 : Date: 23/01/2025 - Refined wave analysis for trending conditions - Incorporated lower timeframe (LTF) momentum to strengthen trend reliability - Re-aligned and re-balanced entry conditions for improved accuracy HMT v6 : Date : 15/02/2025 - Integrated strong accumulation activity into in-depth wave analysis HMT v7 : Date : 20/03/2025 - Refined wave analysis along with accumulation and market sentiment HMT v8 : Date : 16/04/2025 - Fully restructured strategy logic HMT v8.1 : Date : 18/04/2025 - Refined Take Profit (TP) logic to be more conservative for improved win consistency
Long
by Ren_MomentumTrader
Apple - Please look at this chart!Apple - NASDAQ:AAPL - is just wonderful: (click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻) Last month, Apple created a quite strong bullish rejection wick of about +25%. It was actually no surprise at all, because market structure was perfectly pushing price higher. Following the bullish break and retest pattern, new all time highs will most likely follow. Levels to watch: $200, $300 Keep your long term vision! Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by basictradingtv
11
$RIOT / 2hThere is no change in my NASDAQ:RIOT 's analysis. The rising leading diagonal ended with an ending diagonal inside!! Trend Analysis  >> Respecting the wave structure of the leading diagonal in which the 5th wave has revealed an ending diagonal and decline by 12% since the May high, all quite well indicate that the anticipated correcting down should be a relatively deep retracement. And it will take the coming few weeks. The first retracement target >> 7.68 #CryptoStocks #RIOT #BTCMining #Bitcoin #BTC
NASDAQ:RIOT
by ElliottChart
Wheat Futures – Quick Update | May 28, 2025Wheat Futures – Quick Update | May 28, 2025 --- 📈 Overview Swing low formed at $5.06 on May 13 (capitulation volume spike) Pullback to $5.26–5.28 now likely completed Wave 2 of a new impulse Indecision candles (daily spinning top, 4 h dragonfly doji) signal exhaustion of selling --- 🔑 Key Technical Levels Support: Short term: $5.26–5.28 Medium term: $5.20 Long term floor: $5.06 Resistance: Initial: $5.35–5.38 (50 EMA 4 h/1 h) Next: $5.50–5.55 (daily 50 EMA 5.40, 200 EMA 5.58) Stretch:$5.75–6.00 --- 🧰 Indicator Snapshot | Indicator | Short-Term Bias | Confirmation Needed | | ---------------------- | --------------------- | ------------------------- | | RSI (1 h/4 h) | Bullish divergence | Break above 60–65 | | Momentum (4 h) | Turning up | Close >\$5.35 | | Volume | Above-average on dips | Sustained rise on rallies | | MACD (1 h) | Positive | 4 h bullish cross | | Candlesticks | Spinning top / doji | Follow-through above high | | Elliott Wave | New Wave 3 unfolding | Hold >\$5.26 | | Fibonacci Time | .618 cycle low hit | Time window May 29–31 | | Seasonality | Bullish into June | No new lows | | COT Positioning | Commercial buying | Fund short covering | | Intraday/Weekly Cycles | Early June turn | Break \~June 4–6 | --- 🎯 Trading Plan 1. Short-Term (1–5 days): • Buy dips into $5.26–5.30 • Targets: $5.38 → $5.50 • Stop: $5.24 • R:R: 2:1 2. Medium-Term (1–3 weeks) • Accumulate $5.20–5.28 • Targets: $5.57 → \$5.75 • Stop: Daily close < $5.20 3. Long-Term (1–2 months) • Build core above $5.06 • Targets: $5.75–6.08 (1×–1.618× Wave 1) • Stop: Weekly close < $5.00 --- 📅 Outlook Bullish continuation likely into early June if $5.26 holds High-probability breakout above $5.35–5.38unlocks next leg toward $5.75+ Invalidation: Close below $5.20 delays rally toward lower retest --- 💡 Stay tuned for updates as we approach the May 29–31 cycle window.
CBOT:ZW1!Long
by AZ-Technical
NVDA Q1 Earnings: Strong Fundamentals Amid Geopolitical NoiseDespite recent trade restrictions, Nvidia has shown remarkable operational strength, beating expectations with $44.1 billion in revenue and a 73% YoY growth in its data center segment, fueled by rising demand for artificial intelligence. While international tensions led to a projected $8 billion loss, the market responded with confidence—viewing it as a temporary adjustment rather than a structural threat. This strong financial position supports our CALL contract entry, which is already gaining value. If tomorrow’s GDP data confirms economic stability, we could see another bullish move, and if our technical target is reached, we’ll exit as planned.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by perezliz37
Microsoft’s Market Puzzle — The X2 ConundrumAfter a corrective decline from Microsoft’s All-Time High at $467.70, we’ve been tracking a potential complex structure unfolding — and the recent price behavior fits right into a well-formed W–X–Y–X–Z pattern . In this latest move, we may be witnessing the final stages of the second X-wave (X2) — a sharp and extended rally that reached $462.52, pushing marginally above the first X-wave at $456.16. Now before that raises eyebrows — yes, X2 is allowed to extend above X1 . In a complex correction, X-waves are connectors, not trends. They can retrace deeply or even overshoot previous pivot highs — especially in the form of an expanded zigzag or running correction. It’s rare, but perfectly legal in Elliott’s chaotic universe. But this leads to a question: Is this rally impulsive… or is it bait? If the move from $344.79 is truly impulsive, then we’re potentially mid-way through a new bullish leg — with wave 3 ending at $462.78, and a mild wave 4 correction into the $437–$421 zone (0.236–0.382 retracement) expected before another pop higher. This view only holds as long as price remains below the ATH at $467.70 — our immediate invalidation level . However, momentum indicators raise suspicions: RSI is showing a clear bearish divergence — price made a new high, but RSI didn’t confirm it. MACD has started rolling over, with a fading histogram — signaling potential exhaustion in this move. This sets the stage for an alternate, and perhaps more compelling, scenario: The rally from $344.79 to $462.78 is not a new trend — it’s the X2 wave in a still- unfinished W–X–Y–X–Z combo correction . If this is the case, then what comes next is Wave Z — the final leg down to complete the entire corrective structure. And here’s the Elliott rulebook: Wave Z must be a 3-wave structure (likely a zigzag) It often mirrors the size of Wave Y or contracts modestly Projection for Z from the X2 top targets the $393–$351 zone, which represents a 0.618–1.0 retracement of the Wave Y decline This zone becomes the primary downside watch area, should price reject from this level and fail to break above $467.70. Summary: We’re at a critical junction. The rally from $344.79 could either be: An impulsive move needing a wave 4 pullback Or a complex X2 wave — ready to hand over the baton to Wave Z Both scenarios require careful tracking of structure, MACD, RSI, and price action near the retracement zone and the ATH invalidation level.
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by VeerappaKaujageri
AEFES2! — 1DEe observed an all-time high on July 17, 2025. Since then, the market appears to be undergoing an ABC corrective pattern. Based on the wave structure and proportions, it seems we are currently in the final leg of this correction. Two potential target zones, both in terms of price and timing, are marked with yellow lines on the chart. In my view, there is a high probability that the correction will conclude before June 18. However, if the final leg deepens further than expected, the completion of this corrective phase could be extended into September.
BIST:AEFES2!
by ekgencsoy
2025-05-28 - priceactiontds - daily update - dax Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Higher highs and higher lows. Focus on the easy trades. Can only get bearish with consecutive 15m or 1h bars below 24000 and for now that is unlikely. Bulls bought 24000 the whole week so look for longs. current market cycle: broad bull channel key levels: 23000 - 24500 bull case: As long as the bull gap 23700 - 23900 stays open, I would only look for longs. 24500 is the next obvious target and it’s not impossible that markets do a complete meltup tomorrow. Structure is a clear bull channel until we print below 24000. Invalidation is below 23900. bear case: Bears need something below 24000 again, that means lower lows. Right now bulls remain in full control and I doubt we can go from daily new ath to a big reversal down. I got nothing for the bears here. Invalidation is above 24550. short term: Neutral but would only trade long until we see much better selling pressure and prices below 24000. medium-long term from 2025-05-25: My rough guess from early May was down over the summer and up into year end. POTUS certainly helped with the 50% tariffs. I need to see market reaction next week and if there is no 180° reversal until Friday, they will become reality the week after and dax should do 20-30% down over the next months. Markets were not positioned for any risk what so ever. Now we got the atomic trade bomb. trade of the day: Short since the bull trap on the open but I did not take it. I thought chances of a reversal were too high for me. I was wrong but that’s ok.
EUREX:FDXS1!
by priceactiontds