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Wave Analysis

Up for BitcoinHi traders, Last week Bitcoin made a small correction up and after that another drop just as I've said. After it retested the Weekly FVG and broke the previous swing low it went impulsive up again. This could be the next impulse wave to new ATH's. So wait for the correction down to finish and trade longs. Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for the correction down to finish to trade longs. If you want to learn more about trading FVG's with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. Don't be emotional, just trade your plan! Eduwave
Long
by EduwaveTrading
Down for goldHi traders, Last week gold went lower then expected (wavecount updated). The last wave down could be wave 2 or it's part of a big Triangle/ Flat. Next week we could see this pair to go lower to sweep the liquidity below the lows and fill the 4H bullish FVG. After that it could go up again. Let's see what price does and react. Trade idea: Wait for a small correction up on a lower timeframe to finish and trade (short term) shorts. If you want to learn more about trading FVG's & liquidity sweeps with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis. Don't be emotional, just trade your plan! Eduwave
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by EduwaveTrading
EUR/USD Wave 5 Topped? Correction Incoming to 1.076FX_IDC:EURUSD PEPPERSTONE:EURUSD OANDA:EURUSD 📈 Chart Breakdown 🔢 Elliott Impulse Wave Completed: Waves (1) to (5) appear to form a clean 5-wave impulse structure upward. Final wave (5) is diverging on the oscillator (RSI), signaling potential bullish exhaustion. 🧾 ABC Correction Expected: After the 5-wave impulse, you project an ABC corrective move: Wave A: initial drop Wave B: partial recovery Wave C: deeper move likely toward the 1.07680 support (blue horizontal line) ⚠️ Bearish RSI Divergence: The label "Div" confirms bearish divergence between price and RSI → typical at end of Wave (5). 🧠 Summary: Structure: 5-wave impulse + projected 3-wave correction Bias: Short-term bearish targeting 1.07680 Confirmation: Look for break below support or trendline + momentum shift
Short
by Trwin
Watch out for SPX500USDHi traders, Last week SPX500USD made a gap lower but after the fill it went further up and broke the previous swing high (ATH). This could be the last wave 5 (orange) of wave 3 (red). So next week we could see this pair go lower for a (big) correction down. Let's see what the market does and react if it reaches the Daily bullish FVG's. Trade idea: Wait for price come into the Daily bullish FVG's to trade longs again. At the moment price is too high to trade. If you want to learn more about trading FVG's & liquidity sweeps with Wave analysis, then please make sure to follow me. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis. Don't be emotional, just trade your plan! Eduwave
OANDA:SPX500USD
by EduwaveTrading
1
Hourly SAR moved above priceThis is an earlier signal compared to the standard bearish Wolfewave entry - which is price entering back below the 1-3 line. Here, I placed a 1:3 risk/reward ratio. Keep in mind that there could be stop hunters just above the bear risk tolerance. Next in line in the fractal order to mark a swing high will be the 4 hour SAR. Standard bearish Wolfewave Target is the 1-4 line. Alternative Targets are the Magic Lines. Patterns can fail Do your own due diligence.
SP:SPX
by FibonacciTradingCrew
1
More upside for EUHi traders, Last week EU started with a gap down. After the fill it swept the lows and after that it made the next impulsive wave up. So next week after the finish of the correction down we could see more upside. Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for the finish of the correction down and a change in orderflow to bullish on a lower time frame. After a small correction down you could trade longs again. If you want to learn more about trading with FVG's, liquidity sweeps and Wave analysis, then make sure to follow me. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis. Don't be emotional, just trade your plan! Eduwave
Long
by EduwaveTrading
1
US30 DETAIL ANALYSIS 1. Fundamental Analysis The US30, tracking 30 of the largest publicly traded companies in the U.S., currently reflects a mixed but cautiously optimistic macroeconomic backdrop. Economic Growth Outlook The U.S. economy contracted by 0.5% annualized in Q1 2025, revised down from initial estimates. The contraction was largely driven by a surge in imports before new tariffs took effect, which distorted net exports. As a result, the Federal Reserve revised its 2025 GDP growth forecast to approximately 1.4%—a downgrade from the previous 1.7% projection. Private-sector forecasts, including those from Deloitte and S&P Global, echo this view, suggesting a growth range between 1.1% and 1.5% for the year. Inflation & Federal Reserve Policy Core PCE inflation—the Fed’s preferred metric—rose to 2.7% year-over-year in May, above the central bank's 2% target. Similarly, core CPI held at 2.8%. While inflation is cooling compared to previous cycles, it remains sticky. Consequently, the Fed has signaled no immediate plans to cut rates, with the earliest possibility being in September. Inflation expectations for year-end 2025 have been revised up to around 3%, in part due to geopolitical shocks and new tariffs. Labor Market & Consumption Trends The unemployment rate remains stable near 4.2%, reflecting labor market resilience. However, real disposable income and consumer spending both declined in May, down 0.3% and 0.7%, respectively. The drop indicates potential weakening in consumer demand and future GDP prints. Confidence indices also showed a dip, although a decline in inflation expectations could moderate the downside pressure. Tariff Effects and Global Risk Average U.S. tariff levels are at historic highs, ranging between 15–19%, weighing on import costs and corporate margins. The ongoing trade frictions with China, coupled with Middle East tensions (particularly between Israel and Iran), add geopolitical volatility and inflationary risks. Leading institutions warn of stagflation—a toxic mix of slow growth and persistent inflation—pressuring equity valuations. 2. Commitment of Traders (COT) Report Evaluation The latest COT data reflects a nuanced view of institutional behavior in equity index futures: Asset Managers have increased net long exposure to US indices, including the Dow, suggesting underlying bullish conviction from long-term holders. Leveraged Funds (Hedge Funds) have shown mixed sentiment—reducing short positions, but not aggressively adding longs—indicating a cautious optimism. Retail Traders are predominantly short , which often signals further upside potential due to their tendency to be positioned against the dominant trend. This asymmetric positioning—combined with macro and structural tailwinds—strengthens the smart money bias toward continuation of the bullish trend, especially as the Dow approaches key technical levels. 3. Technical & SMC-Based Analysis The daily US30 chart reflects a clear bullish structure, rooted in classic Smart Money Concepts: Market Structure A Valid Break of Structure (BOS) confirms upside intent, following a successful sweep of internal liquidity. The sequence of Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL) remains intact. Internal Liquidity has been swept, with price now targeting external liquidity near the All-Time High (ATH) zone. Key Technical Levels Buying Area 1: Around 43,150 – labeled as the H4 inducement zone. A retest here with bullish price action (engulfing or FVG fill) may trigger continuation long entries. Buying Area 2: Between 42,450–42,650 – a deeper demand zone where price previously showed strong displacement. A high-probability re-entry zone upon confirmation. Short-Term Sell Area: Around 44,800 – this zone aligns with potential distribution. Short positions should only be considered here upon confirmation of bearish BOS. ATH & BSL: The final liquidity target in the current structure, marking the range highs. Liquidity Pools Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL): Around 41,800, and a Strong Low exists near 40,900 – both are key areas to be respected in the bullish thesis. Price is currently aiming toward external BSL above ATH, which is likely to be swept before any significant correction. 4. Strategic Outlook & Trade Plan ✅ Bullish Continuation Scenario Buy Entry #1: 43,150 zone – confirmation through bullish PA on retest. Buy Entry #2: 42,450–42,650 – deeper re-entry upon mitigation of FVG or OB. Take Profit Targets: TP1: 44,800 (potential distribution zone), TP2: 45,200 (external BSL at ATH). Stop Loss: Below 42,200 (under Demand Area 2 or SSL). ⚠️ Bearish Contingency (Only if BOS to Downside) Monitor for failed structure or strong rejection at 44,800–45,200. BOS below 43,000 could shift structure and signal a move toward the 42,200 zone. Break of Strong Low (~40,900) invalidates bullish structure. Conclusion The current market environment supports a measured bullish bias in the US30, driven by: Resilient labor and inflation expectations moderating; Institutional accumulation per COT data; A technically clean smart money bullish structure; Potential for liquidity sweep above ATH before any significant distribution. That said, macro risks such as tariffs, global geopolitical tensions, and sticky inflation remain key wildcards that could introduce volatility. NOTE: ONLY FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE NOT A FINANCIAL ADVICE
BLACKBULL:US30
by Awii_Khan
SMC Trading Basics. Change of Character - CHoCH (GOLD FOREX) In the today's post, we will discuss one of the most crucial concepts in SMC - Change of Character. Change of Character relates to market trend analysis. In order to understand its meaning properly, first, we will discuss how Smart Money traders execute trend analysis. 🔘Smart Money Traders apply price action for the identification of the direction of the market. They believe that the trend is bullish , if the price forms at least 2 bullish impulse with 2 consequent higher highs and a higher low between them. The market trend is considered to be bearish , if the market forms at least 2 bearish impulses with 2 consequent lower lows and a lower high between them. Here is how the trend analysis looks in practice. One perceives the price action as the set of impulse and retracement legs. According to the rules described above, USDCAD is trading in a bullish trend because the pair set 2 higher lows and 2 higher highs. 🔘Of course, trends do not last forever. A skill of the identification of the market reversal is a key to substantial profits in trading. Change of Character will help you quite accurately identify a bullish and bearish trend violation. 📉In a bearish trend, the main focus is the level of the last lower high. While the market is trading below or on that, the trend remains bearish . However, its bullish violation is a very important bullish signal, it is called a Change of Character, and it signifies a confirmed violation of a bearish trend. In a bearish trend, CHoCH is a very powerful bullish pattern. Take a look, how accurate CHoCH indicated the trend reversal on Gold. After a massive selloff, a bullish breakout of the level of the last lower high confirmed the initiation of a strong bullish wave. 📈In a bullish trend, the main point of interest is the level of the last higher low. While the price is trading above that or on that, the trend remains bullish. A bearish violation of the last higher low level signifies the violation of a current bullish trend. It is called a Change of Character, and it is a very accurate bearish pattern. Take a look at the example on Dollar Index below. In a bullish trend, bearish violation of the last higher low level quite accurately predicted a coming bearish reversal. Change of Character is one of the simplest , yet accurate SMC patterns that you should know. First, learn to properly execute the price action analysis and identify HH, HL, LL, LH and then CHoCH will be your main tool for the identification of the trend reversal. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
7
Nifty Auto Index – Breakout Watch with Bullish MomentumNifty Auto Index—Breakout Watch with Bullish Momentum Timeframe: Daily Current Price: ₹24,007.95 Trend: Consolidation Breakout / Bullish Setup 🔍 Technical Highlights: Consolidation Zone: Price has remained in a tight sideways range for the past 5 weeks (~₹23,000–₹24,000), indicating accumulation. Breakout Attempt: Price is currently testing the upper band of this consolidation box (as seen in the green highlighted zone). Support Zone: Strong support from both PEMA Bands and Developing Weekly/Monthly CPR (₹23,670–₹23,837). 📌 Trade Idea: Trade Type: Positional Swing Long Entry: On daily close above ₹24,050 with volume confirmation Targets: T1: ₹24,345 T2: ₹25,343 Stop Loss: ₹23,670 (below Monthly CPR and PEMA support) ⚠️ Risk Management Notes: Risk-to-reward is favorable if entered near breakout with SL below the CPR zone. Monitor for any rejection at weekly/monthly H3 zones for partial booking. Avoid fresh longs if the index fails to hold above ₹24,000 by the end of the week. The Nifty Auto Index shows strong signs of bullish momentum as it attempts to break out of a 5-week range, supported by PEMA and Camarilla levels. A close above ₹24,050 may initiate a new swing leg toward ₹25,000+.
NSE:CNXAUTOLong
by Game_0f_Pivot
#TAI/USDT#TAI The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest. We are experiencing a rebound from the lower boundary of the descending channel. This support is at 0.090600. We are experiencing a downtrend on the RSI indicator, which is about to break and retest, supporting the upward trend. We are heading for stability above the 100 Moving Average. Entry price: 0.09355 First target: 0.09900 Second target: 0.10380 Third target: 0.11000
Long
by CryptoAnalystSignal
IRENs Incredible Surge Continue next wWeek?NASDAQ:IREN has been on a rampage since the April surging 175% and nearing all time high! A great couple of trades for us so far! Price is likely to hit all time high next week with such a strong trend, where resistance and a pullback is a high probability. The weekly pivot is $9.77, the most likely area for price to find support just above the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement (which will be dragged up to the weekly pivot once a new high is made). Price discovery terminal target are the R3 & R5 weekly pivot points at $28 and $40. Safe trading
NASDAQ:IREN
by Maddox_Metrics
1
$HUT Macro Chart Preparing for Breakout?NASDAQ:HUT looks poised for a strong breakout with a wave 3 long term target of $58 and a short term resistances of $21 and $33 HUT is moving strong almost up 100% from the recent swing low, overcoming its weekly 200EMA with ease. A test of the 200EMA as support is likely before continuation. Price is consolidating under major resistance High Volume Node (HVN) and the weekly pivot point. Consolidation under resistance often leads to a breakout. A series of 1-2s appears to be taking place on the Elliot Wave count finding support at the 'BTC-Miners golden pocket' of 78.6 Fibonacci retracement. Analysis is invalidated below $10.10 Safe trading
NASDAQ:HUT
by Maddox_Metrics
BITCOIN Is Bullish! Buy! Here is our detailed technical review for BITCOIN. Time Frame: 12h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a significant support area 106,865.57. The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 112,099.80 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TRADENATION:BTCUSDLong
by SignalProvider
1
EURJPY Is Very Bullish! Long! Take a look at our analysis for EURJPY. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is on a crucial zone of demand 169.470. The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 174.552 level. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
GBPCHF Is Going Up! Buy! Please, check our technical outlook for GBPCHF. Time Frame: 2h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The price is testing a key support 1.095. Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 1.098 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1