Wave Analysis
$RIOT / 3hEventually All Waves Settle!!
The market selloff in five straight trading days has extended the current decline in wave(c) and exceeded the last extreme low at 7.24 as well. It would suggest the ending contracting diagonal in wave (c) to morph into an expanding diagonal,
as adjusted on this frame.
So, NASDAQ:RIOT may have concluded the entire correction in Minor degree wave 2 by an ending expanding diagonal in its wave (c) of ((y)) on the Fib 1.618 expansion level(very close to 6.87).
The Redline >> 6.36
#CryptoStocks #RIOT #BTCMining #Bitcoin #BTC
The DAX is declining in an impulsive structureThe XETR:DAX appears to be tracing a five-wave impulsive decline from its recent high on March 18, 2025. In Elliott Wave theory, an impulsive structure consists of five distinct waves. Wave 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5 as motive wave moves the direction of the prevailing trend, which in this case is downward. This pattern indicates a strong, directional move, with waves ((i)), ((iii)), and ((v)) being motive (driving the decline) and waves ((ii)) and ((iv)) serving as countertrend corrections.
Starting from the March 18 peak, wave ((i)) likely initiated the downturn which ended at 22723.19. It was followed by a corrective wave ((ii)) rebound towards 23204.59. Wave ((iii)), typically the longest and most powerful in an impulsive sequence, should push the index lower with momentum. A smaller corrective wave ((iv)) is then expected to follow, offering a brief bounce. Then wave ((v)) should complete the structure, potentially finding a bottom. The impulsive nature suggests that each motive wave ((i)), ((iii)), ((v))) subdivides into its own five-wave pattern, reinforcing the bearish outlook.
Key levels to watch include support zones where prior corrections have held. Exact targets however depend on the unfolding wave lengths and Fibonacci relationships. Expect further downside until the fifth wave concludes. Afterwards, a larger corrective rally could emerge. This view aligns with sentiment for a continued near-term decline in the XETR:DAX , driven by an impulsive bearish sequence.
BTC ANALYSIS FOR APRIL 2025 BTC ANALYSIS FOR APRIL 2025
BTCUSDT chart: M, W, D1 cycle
So, BTC has closed its March candle, ushering in an April candle full of intrigue but not surprises. This is because BTC has already confirmed its movements for the next 1-2 months, at least until June, before resuming its upward trend. This means BTC will continue to move sideways with a downward correction—yes, a correction downward.
February:
High: $102,700
Low: $78,700
March:
High: $95,000
Low: $76,800
April (Projected):
High: $90,000 to $92,000
Low: $68,000 to $72,000
This implies that BTC will continue to form a new low on smaller timeframes, lower than the bottom established in March. The new bottom will likely be around $68k, possibly slightly higher or lower. During the formation of the April candle, there will be moments when you see the price adjust upward to the low $90k range. However, this doesn’t mean BTC is starting a new uptrend. These are ideal zones for you to look for short opportunities. From the perspective of the monthly (M) timeframe, if you’re following the trend, wait for strong short signals from the low $90k range. Observe the upward moves on smaller timeframes and wait for the SHORT entry point rather than going LONG. This is about following the monthly trend (M). If you prefer trading smaller timeframes, feel free to long or short as you see fit.
When the monthly (M) timeframe enters April with these projected highs and lows, the daily (D1) and weekly (W) timeframes will align accordingly. You’ll notice that the weekly (W) is still in the process of forming its bottom, with no clear signal yet confirming that the decline has stopped or that the bottom structure is complete. BTC’s current price is $82,700, still over $14,000 away from the projected low for next month.
The nearest roadmap suggests that BTC’s D1 cycle will adjust upward to the low $90k range, peaking there. This process will be supported by the weekly timeframe. After pushing the price to the $90k- GETTEX:92K zone, BTC will hit a peak, followed by a strong, decisive short signal unified across D1, W, and M timeframes. The price will then drop to the $68k zone, where D1 will form its bottom, and W will also establish its bottom. From there, BTC will begin to move sideways, gradually inching upward while awaiting the monthly candle close to confirm and kick off its next upward wave.
Goodluck.
Robinhood: Turn Off the SELL Button?I don't have to remind you what Vlad and the boys did back in 2021
Crime has always been a part of Markets..I get that
Crime will ALWAYS be a part of markets as long as GREED is rewarded
But thats where Regulators are supposed to help hold the crooks accountable..right?
As we all know that has NEVER happened
Why? Because the size of fines are never large enough to truly deter..they are simply a cost of doing business
But hey...according to the crooks we see paraded across our TV screens we need LESS REGULATION anyways because you know..FREE MARKETS!..and all that stuff right
Ok cool, well then lets do the whole Free Market thing..you know the whole, "We need LESS REGULATION because Free markets will take care of Bad Businesses" thing
Well then thats fine by me...
MAJOR PUT POSITION COMING SOON..Vlad
And GME is going to provide me with the ammo..now isnt that poetic :)
$WULF / 4hThe leading diagonal wave (A) that seems to be ending by an expanding diagonal as wave((c)) still remains in its very late stage!
The ongoing wave ((c)) diagonal's 5th wave will be searching for its extreme low likely in the week, and it might reach the diagonal wave (A)'s boundary-line as well.
So, further decline by 13% is expected.
The following retracement of 78.6% in a three-wave sequence as a countertrend advance of Intermediate degree wave (B), soon would lie ahead.
The estimated target >> 2.37 >> extreme low & reversal point
#CryptoStocks #WULF #BTCMining #Bitcoin #BTC
EURJPY Trade Analysis with key levels to watchTI haven't traded currencies in a while as you can see I trade mostly XAUUSD but I do like a few currency pair and EURJPY has always been a favourite!
The pair is clearly ranging between ~163.00 and ~161.60.
Recent price action swept a local demand area at 162.00-ish and showed an impulsive reaction.
The market looks undecided, stuck between lower supports and that upper supply zone.
Key Levels
Upper Supply: 162.80 - 163.00 (big sell zone, likely liquidity sitting above)
Mid-demand: 161.80 - 162.10 (where the reaction happened before market closed.
Lower Demand: 161.50 and below (untested zone)
Market Bias for Monday:
I would personally stay neutral until either Tokyo or London session gives us a proper clue.
Scenario A — Bullish:
If the market holds above ~162.10 and breaks 162.50 with momentum, I could see a move back to the 162.80 - 163.00 liquidity zone.
Even better if there's a liquidity sweep of the 162.20 lows again first (trap + reversal).
Scenario B — Bearish:
If Monday open with a gap down or quickly rejects around ~162.40 - 162.50, I expect another drive into the 161.80 and possibly deeper into the 161.50 zone.
The fact that price left equal lows near 161.80 is suspicious, could be bait for a sweep.
Only trade the breakout if it confirms with momentum.
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for April 1, 2025🔮 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍:
🇺🇸📈 ISM Manufacturing PMI Release: The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) will release its Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for March. A reading below 50 indicates contraction in the manufacturing sector, which could influence market sentiment.
🇺🇸🏗️ Construction Spending Data: The U.S. Census Bureau will report on February's construction spending, providing insights into the health of the construction industry and potential impacts on related sectors.
🇺🇸📄 Job Openings Report: The Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) for February will be released, offering a view into labor demand and potential implications for wage growth and consumer spending.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Tuesday, April 1:
🏭 ISM Manufacturing PMI (10:00 AM ET):
Forecast: 49.5%
Previous: 50.3%
Assesses the health of the manufacturing sector; a reading below 50% suggests contraction.
🏗️ Construction Spending (10:00 AM ET):
Forecast: 0.3%
Previous: -0.2%
Measures the total value of construction work done; indicates trends in the construction industry.
📄 Job Openings (10:00 AM ET):
Forecast: 7.7 million
Previous: 7.7 million
Provides insight into labor market demand by reporting the number of job vacancies.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
Chart Pattern Analysis Of Bitcoin
The demand from K1 to K3 is decreasing,
It verified the downtrend momentum here.
The demand at K3 slightly increased,
But it failed to close the bear gap at K0.
If the following candles is a weak rebound to test the upper limit of the channel,
It will be a good place to short it there.
Short-86518/Stop-87800/Target-75K
GBPUSD: Continue to shortThe short-selling strategy given previously has reached the first target position. If it rises again, you can continue to short.
GBPUSD trading strategy:
GBPUSD sell@1.2950-1.3000
tp:1.2850-1.2800
I will continuously send out accurate signals, and all signals have been profitable. If you need accurate signals, please click the link below the article.
EURUSD: Continue to shortThe short-selling strategy given previously has reached the first target position. If it rises again, you can continue to short.
EURUSD trading strategy:
EURUSD sell@1.0850-1.0900
tp:1.0750-1.0600
I will continuously send out accurate signals, and all signals have been profitable. If you need accurate signals, please click the link below the article.
Today's trading strategy for USOILAfter experiencing a long period of sideways trading at a low level, USOIL has once again returned above the $70 mark. Influenced by the news, it has successively broken through the upper resistance levels. The previous key resistance level of $69.5 has been converted into support, and the upward trend has been confirmed. If there is a continuous upward movement today, it is necessary to trade in line with the direction of the market.
Today's trading strategy for USOIL:
usoil buy@70-70.5
tp:71.5-72
I will continuously send out accurate signals, and all signals have been profitable. If you need accurate signals, please click the link below the article.
April 1, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunitySummary:
Yesterday marked the monthly candle close, forming a very strong bullish candle with almost no lower shadow — clear evidence of dominant buying momentum.
Although price is currently at a high level, from a broader perspective, as long as no significant negative news emerges or the signal of SELL, the strategy of waiting pullbacks to support for buy the dip remains reliable.
Key Levels to Watch:
3130–3135: Bullish target zone
3128: ATH resistance
3118: Bullish/Bearish pivot line
3112: Key intraday support
3106: Minor intraday support
3098: Bullish defense zone
I will update my trading idea during the Asian Trading Session.
👉 If my insights have been helpful to you, or if you traded based on my ideas, please consider giving a like — it’s a great encouragement for me! Thanks for your support!
Disclaimer: This is my personal opinion and not financial advice. Please manage your risk accordingly.