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Wave Analysis

TSLA WEEKLY OPTIONS SETUP ### 🚗 TSLA WEEKLY OPTIONS SETUP (2025-07-28) **Big Call Flow. Low VIX. Can Bulls Hold \$325?** --- 📊 **Momentum Overview:** * **Daily RSI:** 48.2 🔻 → *Neutral-to-Weak* * **Weekly RSI:** 57.1 🔻 → *Still bullish zone, but falling* ⚠️ **Interpretation:** Momentum is softening, trend in question. 📉 **Volume Context:** * **Volume Ratio:** 1.3x ⬆️ (vs. last week) * **Price Change:** -0.77% despite that volume 🔍 *Distribution Alert:* Institutions may be selling into strength. 📈 **Options Flow:** * **Call/Put Ratio:** **1.70** = 🚨 *Bullish flow confirmed* * **Volatility (VIX):** 15.16 🟢 Favorable for directional plays ✅ Strong setup for options traders riding short-term momentum --- ### 🧠 **Weekly Sentiment Scorecard:** * ✅ **Bullish Signals (2):** Options Flow, Volatility * ⚠️ **Neutral Signals (2):** Daily & Weekly RSI * ❌ **Bearish Signal (1):** Volume pattern = distribution risk **Overall Bias:** 🟢 *Moderate Bullish* --- ### 🔥 **TRADE SETUP IDEA:** 🎯 **Strategy:** Long Call Option * 📌 **Instrument:** TSLA * 💵 **Strike:** \$355C * 📅 **Expiry:** Aug 1, 2025 * 💸 **Entry:** \~\$0.75 * 🎯 **Profit Target:** \$1.50 * 🛑 **Stop Loss:** \$0.45 * 🔒 **Key Support to Watch:** \$327.50 — lose that = exit fast 📈 **Confidence Level:** 65% ⚠️ **Gamma Risk:** High → trade small, manage tight. --- ### 📦 TRADE\_DETAILS (JSON Format for Algo/Backtest): ```json { "instrument": "TSLA", "direction": "call", "strike": 355.0, "expiry": "2025-08-01", "confidence": 0.65, "profit_target": 1.50, "stop_loss": 0.45, "size": 1, "entry_price": 0.75, "entry_timing": "open", "signal_publish_time": "2025-08-01 09:30:00 UTC-04:00" } ``` --- ### 🧭 **Quick Notes for Traders:** * ✅ Bulls have short-term edge — but **momentum is fading** * ⚠️ If TSLA breaks below **\$325**, exit fast. * 🔍 Watch for fakeouts: options flow is bullish, but volume says “not so fast.” --- 📊 TSLA \$355C → Risk \$0.75 to potentially double 📈 💬 Will this hold, or is it a bull trap before a dump? 👀 Comment below ⬇️ and follow for Monday updates! --- **#TSLA #OptionsFlow #WeeklyTrade #TradingSetup #GammaRisk #AITrading #TeslaStock #UnusualOptionsActivity #SmartMoneyMoves**
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by quantsignals
Potentially, A Safer Way To Long The EURUSDIn contrast to my previous outlook, the current price action suggests an increased probability of a deeper bearish move—potentially invalidating the buy zone marked out in the previous analysis. This sudden change is largely driven by the prospect of untapped liquidity residing beneath that zone, reinforcing the well-known market principle that price seeks out liquidity before committing to directional moves. Given this development, the newly identified zone on the chart emerges as a more technically sound and reliable area from which to anticipate bullish interest. It aligns better with the broader liquidity profile and offers a stronger base for accumulation. Traders may opt to wait for confirmations within this zone or, depending on their risk appetite, consider executing buy positions upon price entry. As always, patience and clarity are key as we allow price to reveal its intention. Fingers crossed 🤞 Wishing you all a focused and profitable trading week. Catch you on the next one. 🫡
Long
by MiratonicFx_Trading
EURUSD - Monday analysis - Tarifs EUR/USD Analysis – Market Response to US–EU Tariff Agreement Following the agreement between the United States and the European Union to implement 15% tariffs, the DXY is strengthening, which is triggering a sharp decline on EUR/USD. I’m focusing on a potential pullback to rejoin the move or the formation of a new structure. Given that such strong moves often lack long-term sustainability, I’ll be watching the 1.16654 level closely — looking for a possible structure break and the beginning of a corrective phase. Trade management will be based on the evolving price action throughout the session. 🔻 In summary: Today, I'm looking for opportunities to either join the ongoing move or enter a fresh structure that sets us up for the next leg — especially with a news-heavy week ahead. 👉 Follow me for more EUR/USD trade ideas, market updates. 💼 I share structured analysis every Monday and Wednesday to help you stay aligned with the market 🗓️📊
by Oak_Fund
CADJPY Trading Opportunity! SELL! My dear followers, I analysed this chart on CADJPY and concluded the following: The market is trading on 108.08 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 107.79 About Used Indicators: A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
ETHEREUM Long Outlook – Grand Supercycle Perspective(2025.05.21)Hello everyone, This is SeoVereign, operator of the SeoVereign Team. Today, I would like to share an Ethereum analysis based on the daily (1D) chart for the first time in a while. Before reading this post, please refer to the idea I uploaded on April 18, 2025, through the link below. It will help you better understand the context: 🔗 (Clicking the image will take you to the corresponding link.) If you look at the April 18 idea, you’ll see that I presented a bullish outlook based on the Deep Crab pattern. This analysis is a continuation of that idea. Through years of research, I’ve observed that when a Deep Crab pattern sees a rebound from the PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone), the trend that begins from that point tends to extend for a long time. If you look closely at the chart, you’ll also see the 2.24 Fibonacci extension level. Some people messaged me saying, “Since it went above 1.902 and even exceeded the 2.0 Fibonacci line, isn’t this Deep Crab invalid?” However, I’ve studied harmonic patterns in depth for a long time and have set my own Fibonacci criteria based on that research. In this particular Deep Crab case, I define the invalidation level as 2.24. Therefore, I judged that the pattern is still valid, and this allowed me to forecast a long-term bullish trend. Back to the main point, Based on this Deep Crab pattern, I’ve consistently maintained a bullish outlook on the daily chart, and so far, there have been no clear signals indicating a reversal into a bearish trend. Thus, I would like to post a continuation of the bullish outlook on the daily chart. On May 19, 2025, there was a sharp drop around the 2,587 USDT level. At that time, our team expected the bullish trend that started from around 2,447 USDT to hold its low and continue. However, the price broke below 2,447 USDT and made a new low. We then closely monitored Bitcoin’s movement in response. Typically, strong volatility occurs before a major trend begins. Bitcoin was also showing significant volatility at the time. So we concluded: “Let’s maintain a bullish stance, but do not be fully convinced until the previous high of 2,587 USDT is clearly broken upward.” And by the time this post is published, we’ve confirmed that the price has indeed broken above 2,587 USDT. Therefore, I have come to the conclusion that the bullish trend is still valid. Based on this, I present the following three target levels. 🎯 SeoVereign’s Ethereum Bullish Targets 1st Target: 3,000 USDT 2nd Target: 3,400 USDT 3rd Target: 3,700 USDT The market still shows strong volatility. I sincerely hope you all trade wisely and calmly, achieving great returns, and may great fortune be with you both in trading and in life. I’ll see you again in the next daily analysis. Thank you. - SeoVereign
Long
by SeoVereign
BTC Long Outlook – Grand Supercycle Perspective (2025.05.21)Hello everyone, This is SeoVereign, the operator of the SeoVereign team. It's been nearly a month since I returned to TradingView and started posting ideas again. During that time, I’ve frequently shared short-term ideas based on minute charts. However, since real-time responses are crucial in short timeframes, there are practical limitations in explaining all the reasoning behind our analysis in detail each time. But when it comes to larger timeframes like the daily chart, we have a bit more flexibility. So I see this as a valuable opportunity to explain our thought process and key reasoning more thoroughly. Now, let’s get into the Bitcoin daily chart briefing. Please refer to the following link first. This is a post I made on April 18, 2025: 🔗 At the time, I shared the view that the upward wave starting near 75K had the potential to extend to 88K and even 96K. However, it was difficult to determine exactly how far the wave would extend at that point. Now, I want to make one thing very clear. If someone uses wave theory to say something like "Bitcoin will definitely go to X price," that person is either a scammer or someone who fundamentally misunderstands wave theory. Elliott Wave Theory can be somewhat useful in anticipating short-term moves, but it has clear limitations when applied to long-term predictions. After many years of studying Elliott Wave Theory in depth, I've come to a simple but important conclusion: "You cannot predict the distant future with technical analysis alone." That said, there is one exception: very short-term movements — the immediate price action right in front of us — can often be approached with some confidence using technical analysis. Here’s an example. If someone bought Bitcoin at 10K and says, “I’m going to sell at 100K,” while it hasn’t even broken past 50K, that’s just reckless optimism. But if Bitcoin has already approached 100K, and several bearish signals are starting to emerge and become confirmed, that’s when we can begin considering short positions. The key is to make decisions based on the data right now — not based on hopes or assumptions. That was a long introduction. Now, let me explain why I believe Bitcoin could break to new all-time highs and possibly reach as high as 130K. As I mentioned in the April 18 post, I believe an Ending Diagonal was completed around the 74K region, and I anticipated an upward impulse wave to follow. In my view, the current market structure clearly suggests we are in an uptrend. Many of you have reached out via private messages asking, “What kind of wave are we in right now?” But in this case, that question doesn’t hold much value. Whether this current move is part of an impulse wave or a corrective structure, what matters is that the price is going up. If, for instance, the A-wave has completed — as confirmed by Fibonacci — then the B-wave would follow, and we can plan accordingly with long positions. Or, if the ABC correction is already over, then a new impulse wave could be starting. Either way, the key takeaway is that we’re likely in an upward phase. Back to the main point: A Deep Crab harmonic pattern formed near 74K, and that zone concluded with an Ending Diagonal, which is now leading to a bullish reversal. I've studied harmonic patterns for years, and in the case of the Deep Crab, the upper boundary of the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) is typically around the 2.24 Fibonacci extension. As long as this level is not broken, the pattern remains valid. And when a reversal happens near the 1.618 or 1.902 zones, it’s often a highly reliable bullish signal. So, what are our targets in this current rally? 🎯 SeoVereign’s Target Strategy 1st Target: 109,000 2nd Target: 118,600 3rd Target: 128,100 Right now, before the market enters a full-scale bullish breakout, we’re seeing unusually high volatility. In times like this, staying calm and grounded is more important than ever. I sincerely wish all of you the best of luck in navigating this volatility, and may a wave of growth come to your accounts as well. 🍀 I genuinely hope great fortune finds its way to all of you. See you in the next daily briefing. Thank you. — SeoVereign
Long
by SeoVereign
Strategic Multi-Swing Analysis – Pivots and Post-FOMC Outlook__________________________________________________________________________________ Technical Overview – Summary Points ➤ Sustained bullish momentum on BTCUSDT across all swing timeframes. ➤ Key supports: 116400–117400 (likely rebound), major supports: 105047–114674. ➤ Main resistances: 119000–120000 (short term), major ceiling at 123240 (1D/12H). ➤ Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: "Strong Buy" signal – tech sector leadership confirmed. ➤ Volumes normal to moderately elevated, no excess or behavioral anomaly (ISPD "Neutral"). ➤ No euphoria or capitulation flags; general wait-and-see attitude, FOMC event ahead. __________________________________________________________________________________ Strategic Summary ➤ Strategic bullish bias remains as long as 116400/117400 supports hold. ➤ Opportunity window: buy pullbacks towards 117400–116400 with tight stops; clear invalidation below 115900. ➤ Risks: FOMC-induced volatility, increased leverage on alts, potential capitulation if key support breaks. ➤ Catalysts: FOMC communication, geopolitical context (no immediate threat), background risk-off climate not yet triggered. ➤ Action plan: Prioritize post-event reaction over anticipation; maintain strict technical protection. __________________________________________________________________________________ Multi-Timeframe Analysis 1D: Uptrend confirmed. Price above all major supports. Strong resistance at 123240, key support at 105047, normal volumes, Risk On / Risk Off Indicator "Strong Buy", ISPD "Neutral". 12H: Bullish bias. Resistance cluster 120002–123240. Intermediate supports 114674/111949. Momentum/volume supported, no excesses. 6H: Bullish near range top, supports at 114674/111949, ceiling at 120002–123240. Solid Risk On / Risk Off Indicator. 4H–2H: Up momentum, resistance 119003–120002–123240, supports 116474/117800. Moderate/normal volumes. 1H: Strong uptrend, thick resistance at 119000–120000, immediate supports 117800/116474. Slight volume uptick ahead of FOMC. 30min–15min: Resistance 119003–120000 (~H4 pivot). Intraday support 117400–117800/118200. Both Risk On / Risk Off Indicator and ISPD neutral, normal volumes, bullish as long as 116474 holds. SYNTHESIS: Broad bullish confluence on MTFTI from 1H to 1D/W. Supports at 116474/117400 are key pivots for maintaining bullish swing view. No behavioral alerts or extreme volumes. Consolidation/waiting likely before FOMC release – monitor reactions at pivot zones. __________________________________________________________________________________ Strategic decision & macro Opportunities: Swing bullish scenario favored as long as key supports hold, buy strategic pullbacks, reverse on clear break. Main risk: FOMC volatility, altcoin excesses, possible post-announcement fake moves. Active monitoring essential. Macro/on-chain: No excess, BTC realized cap > $1T; aggressive rotation into alts, high open interest. No capitulation. Major on-chain & technical support aligned at 114500–118000. Action plan: Favor reactivity (post-FOMC), tight stops, progressive take profits at 119500–123240 resistance. No aggressive pre-positioning. __________________________________________________________________________________ Macro catalysts overview FOMC expected: status quo, market sensitive to any Powell tone shift. Global macro: latent risk-off, geopolitical drivers closely watched. BTC stable, no technical disruptor in the immediate term. __________________________________________________________________________________ Final Decision Summary Robust technical setup with a clear bullish bias. Optimal entries on 117400-116400 pullbacks, stops below support, active management needed during FOMC. No on-chain excess; constructive background unless exogenous shock or resistance failure (119000–123240). Stay alert for breakout/reject pivot. __________________________________________________________________________________
by Ox_kali