SOLANA → BINANCE:SOLUSDT.P is consolidating after breaking through trend resistance. The market trigger is 148.0, and Bitcoin is provoking the market to recover...
The market is buying back all the losses. SOL breaks the local downward resistance and forms consolidation with a trigger of 148.0. The market has come to life following the rallying Bitcoin. If the general trend continues, SOL may break out of the accumulation zone and form a distribution towards 154.0
The latest retest of resistance is provoking a correction. Before rising, the price may test the zone of interest at 144 or the lower boundary of consolidation at 142.2. The ideal scenario would be a false breakdown of support at 142.2 before rising.
Resistance levels: 148.0, 154.2
Support levels: 142.2, 137.5
Fundamentally, the situation for the crypto market is improving. Technically, the market is also showing positive dynamics. SOL is consolidating after growth, which is generally a positive sign. Now we need to wait for the price to break out of consolidation and continue its growth. One of the signs of this is a rebound from the 0.5 range and a quick retest of resistance with a gradual squeeze towards the trigger.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Wave Analysis
HYPE — How to Combine Fibonacci, VWAP and Market StructureAfter an explosive +392% rally in just 70 days — from $9.298 to a peak of $45.8 — HYPE has entered a consolidation range as expected. Structurally, this appears to be a 5-wave impulse now transitioning into a corrective ABC pattern. Based on current structure, we may now be forming wave B.
What’s Unfolding Now?
A potential Head & Shoulders pattern is developing, with price currently working on the right shoulder. The $40 mark stands out as a key resistance — both technically and psychologically:
0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the down move sits at $40.108
Structural resistance from prior highs
Ideal area for a short rejection
🎯 Short Setup:
Entry: Laddered short between 0.618 ($40.108) and 0.786 ($42.611)
Stop-Loss: Above $44 (after rejection adjust to entry)
Target: $28–$27 zone
R:R potential: 1:3 up to 1:9 depending on entry quality
📍 Why $28–$27 Is Key Support:
0.5 Fibonacci retracement of entire +392% rally sits at $27.549
Anchored VWAP from the rally origin ($9.298) aligns around this zone
Weekly & Monthly S/R convergence
VAH (Value Area High)
0.618 Fibonacci Speed Fan also aligns as dynamic support
Fair Value Gap (FVG) lies in this region
Weekly 21 EMA at $28.05/Weekly 21 SMA at $24.10 — both key moving averages providing layered support and trend structure
📐 Bonus Confluence Insight:
If this is indeed wave B, then projecting a 0.786/1.0 Trend-Based Fib Extension from wave A aligns well with the 0.5 fib retracement at $27.5.
📚 Educational Insight:
Stacking confluences such as Fibonacci retracements, anchored VWAPs, volume zones, EMA/SMA levels, and harmonic structures helps identify high-probability zones where smart money is likely to act. These levels become even more powerful when they align across multiple tools and timeframes. Always confirm with price action.
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Maintain gold selling pressure at the beginning of the weekXAU / USD trend forecast JUNE 30, 2025
⚠️Gold (XAU/USD) extends its slide to the $3,265 zone in early Asian trade Monday, plumbing near one-month lows as risk appetite returns to the forefront. A breakthrough US-China rare earth agreement, hailed by markets, has tempered safe-haven demand, sending bullion lower. The ceasefire pact between Iran and Israel further fuels the risk-on tone. With the metal under pressure, traders now turn their focus to upcoming Fedspeak for direction, as rate path clarity remains elusive.
⚠️Gold prices continue to move below 3300, still mostly consolidating in a bearish range as Middle East peace talks move forward
🚨/// SELL XAU : zone 3327-3330
SL: 3335
TP: 50 - 100 - 300pips ( 3300 )
🚨/// BUY XAU : zone 3245 - 3248
SL: 3240
TP: 50 - 100 - 300pips ( 3275 )
When you make enough money, there is nothing you can't do.
GBPAUD Elliot waves Short IdeaPrice made a leading diagonal to the downside which completed potentially wave 1. At it is currently pulling back up for wave 2 which unfolds as a zigzag ABC. If this count is correct we should expect price to find resistance on the golden zone which is in line with the upper trendline of the channel. So we should be looking to short GBPAUD at either upper trendline of the channel or somewhere between 50% and 61.8% fib retracement.
GOLD (XAU/USD) Breakdown Imminent: SK System Signals Further DowThe 4-hour chart for GOLD (XAU/USD) shows the price is currently testing a critical support zone around $3,224.18, which aligns with previous swing lows and a confluence of technical factors. The SK System, which combines price action, support/resistance levels, and momentum indicators, highlights the following key observations:
Support Zone: The price has reached a strong historical support level near $3,224.18, where buyers have previously stepped in. This zone is further reinforced by the nearby psychological level of $3,200.00.
Prediction:
Bearish Scenario: A decisive close below $3,224.18 with increasing volume may extend the downtrend toward $3,150.00 or lower.
DXY: Weekly OutlookWeekly DXY Outlook
On the weekly chart, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has reached a critical zone that was last tested in February 2022.
While a rebound is not guaranteed, the fact that the DXY has declined nearly 12% over just six months—despite a resilient U.S. economy—suggests the potential for renewed strength in the dollar.
I think the index could begin a recovery toward key levels at 100.00, 101.97, and possibly 106.00/
It’s worth noting that the broader bearish trend began with the trade tensions initiated during the Trump administration, which strained relations with several major trading partners.
Given that this is a weekly chart, it should be used more as a reference point rather than a trading signal.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
#202526 - priceactiontds - weekly update - bitcoinGood Day and I hope you are well.
#btcusd - bitcoin
comment: Neutral since bears fumbled it again. Range is clear, don’t have much else to say about this. Bulls want 113k+ and bears need a strong daily close below 100k for more downside.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 100k - 115k
bull case: Bulls are still hopeful, that’s why we are still above 110k but the next touch could break it and I doubt many will hold long or scale into new ones there. Best bulls can get right now is to go sideways for longer and stay above 100k. I mean… Staying above 100k is as bullish as it get’s if you be honest. Same as last week since nothing has changed for the bulls. Trading range since mid May.
Invalidation is a strong daily close below 100k
bear case: Bears fumbled it again. Strong daily close below 100k or we won’t go lower. Right now odds favor the bears to go down from 107k to 100k but need more selling pressure.
Invalidation is above 110k
short term: As neutral as can be.
medium-long term - Update from 2025-06-29: Strong daily close below 100k will be the confirmation for more downside. First target below 100k is 97k the breakout retest and after that is the 50% retracement around 93k. I have no bullish for the next weeks/months. Once the gap to 97k closes we are likely in a bear trend again and I expect to hit at least 85k over the summer.
NIFTY50.....Next move to ATH!Hello Traders,
The NIFTY50 has shown breake out of the trendchannel vs triangle structure! It has risen to my cited target area @ 25260 to 25300 points and overcome the targets as well!
Another goal!
Chart analysis:
The ATH @ 26277 points will be the next target, and as I wrote many times, this will be not the end of the structure. I will refrain from mentioning any further goals for the time being.
So, the next move should lead N50 to new ATH`s well above the 26277 range. The potential is given for another long-term wave!
On the downside there is, not so much, potential for a corrective move. While the structure doesn't look complete, I think for at maximum downside potential to 23935 area! It should come, but not yet!
More often than not, the diverging trend lines, possibly created by the triangle structure, will be touched again in the next 1-2 weeks! Well, we will see if so to come, and if...we will judge again!
Caused by a busy weekend, this should be all for today!
Have a great week.....
Ruebennase
Please ask or comment as appropriate.
Trade on this analysis at your own risk.
Gold top-bottom conversion confirmed, buy bullish!
Gold quickly dropped after opening today, then pulled up strongly and broke through the Asian session's starting and falling points. Although it seems that the rebound provides a higher point for short selling, this rebound market should not continue to short sell.
Remember: a weak market will not see a strong rise, and a strong rise is no longer a weak market. Trading ideas must remain flexible and avoid stubbornness.
Pay attention to the 3267 support line below in the US market: this area is a top-bottom conversion support point, and long orders can be arranged here. The upper resistance is 3300 in the short term. From the monthly line, the cross K pattern is good, and the upper shadow line for three consecutive months may be a "short inducement" signal. It is expected that a big rise is coming.
Gold recommendation: buy in the 3270-3267 range, target 3300!
CHF-JPY Local Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
CHF-JPY is trading in a strong
Uptrend and the pair made a
Bullish breakout from the bullish
Triangle pattern and is now seems
To be consolidating above the
Support cluster around 180.740
So we are bullish biased and
We will be expecting a further
Bullish move up on Monday
Buy!
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Bitcoin Playing Below The Crucial Area, Im Out of The Market🥱 I’ve been active in this market since 2017, and I’ve never seen it this dull and exhausting.
👉 Bitcoin has been ranging around the $110K level for nearly six months now, and once again, it’s trading below a critical resistance level. In my opinion, staying out of the market and just observing is still the best approach.
📥 Trading in such market conditions can be mentally draining, which is why I prefer to stay on the sidelines and simply watch for now
📉 Any rejection from this area could lead to a price drop down to the 95K zone. Although there’s a possibility of a buying pressure up to the 115K level as a shadow, even if this scenario plays out, it won’t change my overall outlook on Bitcoin
GBPUSD Will Move Lower! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for GBPUSD.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 1.371.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 1.359.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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XAUUSD Under Pressure: What the Market Is Telling UsGold (XAUUSD) is currently trading with a clear bearish bias, showing sustained downside momentum on the 4H timeframe 🕒. Price has been gradually stepping lower, and the structure continues to favor the sellers.
As expected for early in the week, there’s been a bit of choppy movement ⚖️, but the overall sentiment remains weak. Unless we see a strong shift or catalyst, I’ll be maintaining a bearish outlook.
🧭 I’m watching for price to revisit key resistance levels, and if we get a clean break and retest 🔄, I’ll be looking for potential short setups from areas of previous demand that flip into resistance.
🌐 Keep an eye on broader risk sentiment — if NASDAQ starts pulling back or DXY strengthens, it could fuel further downside in gold.
As always, this is not financial advice, but the detailed breakdown is available in the latest video 🎥.