Get started

Wave Analysis

#HBAR: Unlocking Enterprise Blockchain PowerDescription: This trading idea focuses on HBAR, the native token of Hedera Hashgraph, a next-generation blockchain alternative designed for enterprise adoption. Unlike traditional blockchains, Hedera uses a unique consensus mechanism that enhances speed, security, and scalability while maintaining low transaction costs. HBAR powers the network by facilitating transactions, securing the ecosystem, and supporting decentralized applications (dApps) across industries such as finance, supply chain, and identity verification. With major corporations like Google, IBM, and Boeing backing the Hedera Governing Council, HBAR has strong institutional support that strengthens its long-term potential. However, cryptocurrency markets remain highly volatile, with prices influenced by regulatory developments, macroeconomic trends, and market sentiment. As a result, investing in HBAR requires careful risk management and a thorough understanding of its fundamentals. Disclaimer: This trading idea is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading cryptocurrencies like HBAR carries significant risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. Always perform thorough research, evaluate your financial position, and consult with a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Long
by MoonTradingForecast
VOO TRACKS EVERYTHING THAT IS TRADED IN THE USA.I AM IMPLYING THAT THE MARKETS WILL RALLY VERY HARD. The Impact of Tariffs and Monetary Policy on VOO and the U.S. Economy The Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO) has been experiencing significant growth, mirroring the strength of the U.S. economy and the shifting landscape of global finance16. This upward trajectory can be attributed to several interconnected factors, including changes in monetary policy, the implementation of tariffs, and their effects on liquidity and investment patterns. Central Bank Policies and the Carry Trade Recent adjustments in interest rates by central banks worldwide have been made to align with the United States' monetary stance24. These changes have implications for the carry trade, where investors borrow in low-interest-rate currencies to invest in higher-yielding assets. The recalibration of interest rates globally could be contributing to increased capital flows into U.S. equities, benefiting funds like VOO. Tariffs and Domestic Liquidity The implementation of tariffs by the Trump administration, while controversial, may have unexpected positive effects on U.S. liquidity. Unlike the issuance of Treasury bills, which requires interest payments to foreign buyers, tariff revenues remain within the U.S. economy. This retention of capital can lead to increased domestic liquidity, potentially boosting equity values through direct investment or improved lending conditions for companies1. The Money Multiplier Effect Tariff revenues deposited in U.S. banks can trigger a significant money multiplier effect. Through fractional reserve banking, each dollar of tariff revenue could theoretically expand into much larger amounts of credit availability. This process, known as reflation, can stimulate economic activity without necessarily causing inflation5. Shift from Treasuries to Equities The influx of tariff revenue may reduce the government's reliance on Treasury bill issuance for funding. This shift could lead to a reorientation of investment patterns, with both domestic and foreign investors potentially increasing their allocation to U.S. equities. For countries seeking to anchor their currencies to dollar-denominated assets, U.S. equities may become an increasingly attractive alternative to Treasuries3. Global Implications The changing dynamics of U.S. fiscal and monetary policies have far-reaching effects on global markets. Smaller economies, in particular, may find themselves needing to adjust their currency management strategies, potentially leading to increased investment in U.S. equities as a means of stabilizing their own currencies2. Inflation Considerations It's important to note that while the stock market, including VOO, has seen significant nominal gains, the real value of these gains must be considered in light of inflation. With prices having roughly doubled, the purchasing power of investment returns has been affected, underscoring the importance of robust equity performance5. In conclusion, the current rally in VOO and the broader U.S. equity market can be seen as a result of complex interplay between monetary policy, fiscal measures such as tariffs, and global economic dynamics. As these factors continue to evolve, they are likely to shape the trajectory of U.S. equities and the global financial landscape in the coming years.
AMEX:VOOLong
by imcnf5c4ff
Bitcoin’s Candlestick Pattern- Reversal Signal Confirmed?As I expected in the previous post , Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to fall with the help of a Symmetrical Triangle Pattern . Bitcoin is moving near Support lines and the important Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . According to the theory of Elliott waves , Bitcoin seems to have successfully completed its 5 downward impulse waves . One of the signs of the completion of the main wave 5 is the Regular Divergence (RD+) between two consecutive valleys . Another sign of Bitcoin's reverse can be the Hammer Candlestick Pattern . Let's take some risks today and swim against the current, but please follow capital management and follow your strategy . I expect Bitcoin to rise to at least the Heavy Support zone($93,300-$90,500)(broken) after breaking the Resistance zone($88,200-$87,450) . Do you think Bitcoin can rise to at least $90,000 again? Note: If Bitcoin goes below $84,500, we can expect more dumps . Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
20
Polkadot: Now It’s Crunch TimePolkadot has been unable to resist the widespread downturn in the altcoin sector, giving up much of its recent gains after a solid performance in recent days. Our grayed-out Target Zone for the low of the green wave is coming back into focus – though under our primary scenario, DOT shouldn’t fall much lower in the short term. If the coin drops below the $3.80 support, however, a new bear market low in our orange Target Zone between $2.40 and $1.07 will be on the horizon. In this 39% probable alternative scenario, the coin would erase all gains since the low in October 2023, implying a new bottom for the magenta wave alt. . In our primary scenario, we expect renewed buying pressure soon, which should allow the green wave to surpass the resistance at $5.38.
BINANCE:DOTUSD
by MarketIntel
1
BITCOIN Final update !!! We're about to BOOM!!!According to bigger picture, we're still in bull market, 5th of macro and ending 4th of micro elliott wave. Good news is, that we're about to get back into bullish mega green candles soon!! BTC's major CME gap has been filled and this was also the region where FVG is also available and also corrective pattern (double three) Y ends in this region in combining with expanded flat's C. we may most probably by will of GOD almighty will see green days in coming weeks. Targets of wave 5 are up to 120-130K region.
Long
by CryptoBlinders
Trump Media ($DJT) – Truth Social’s Latest MovesTrump Media ( NASDAQ:DJT ) – Truth Social’s Latest Moves (1/9) Good afternoon, TradingView! 🌞 Trump Media ( NASDAQ:DJT ) is trending 📈, last at $ 29.23 per Feb 18, 2025, close (Yahoo Finance), down 3.82% that day. Q4 2024 showed a $ 401M loss, yet cash reserves hit $ 777M 🌿. Let’s dive into this social media play! 🔍 (2/9) – PRICE PERFORMANCE 📊 • Feb 18, 2025: $ 29.23, down 3.82% from $ 30.39 💰 • Q4 2024: Revenue at $ 1M, down from $ 1.1M year prior 📏 • Full Year 2024: $ 3.6M sales, $ 401M net loss 🌟 It’s volatile, with cash as a lifeline! ⚙️ (3/9) – MARKET POSITION 📈 • Market Cap: $ 6.43B as of Feb 18, 2025, per Yahoo 🏆 • User Base: 9M Truth Social sign-ups as of Feb 2024 ⏰ • Trend: Exploring M&A, per Feb 14 filing 🎯 Firm, betting on growth! 🚀 (4/9) – KEY DEVELOPMENTS 🔑 • Q4 Earnings: $ 401M loss reported Feb 14, 2025 🔄 • Expansion: Plans for Truth.Fi ETFs, per Feb 6 Reuters 🌍 • Market Reaction: Flat post-earnings, per CNBC 📋 Adapting, diversification’s key! 💡 (5/9) – RISKS IN FOCUS ⚡ • Losses: $ 401M hit in 2024, per Feb 14 filing 🔍 • Competition: Meta, X pressure social media 📉 • Regulation: Legal woes linger, per Feb 14 SEC ❄️ Tough, but risks loom large! 🛑 (6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS 💪 • Cash Reserves: $ 777M buffer, per Feb 14 filing 🥇 • Brand: Trump loyalty drives interest 📊 • Flexibility: M&A plans in motion 🔧 Got resilience in the tank! 🏦 (7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES ⚖️ • Weaknesses: Revenue down, losses up 📉 • Opportunities: Crypto ventures, M&A growth 📈 Can NASDAQ:DJT turn cash into wins? 🤔 (8/9) – NASDAQ:DJT ’s $ 23.93 , cash-rich but loss-heavy, your take? 🗳️ • Bullish: $ 35+ soon, M&A pays 🐂 • Neutral: Steady, risks balance ⚖️ • Bearish: $ -20 looms, losses weigh 🐻 Chime in below! 👇 (9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY 🎯 NASDAQ:DJT ’s $ 29.23 Feb 18 close masks $ 777M cash stash 📈, but $ 401M losses sting 🌿. Volatility bites, yet dips are our DCA gold 💰. We grab ‘em low, climb like pros! Gem or bust?
NASDAQ:DJTLong
by DCAChampion
NASDAQ 100 Short continuation or Start of next Bull Leg? 1. Top-Down Bias • Weekly (Long-Term) • Bias: Still in a primary uptrend (higher highs & higher lows, trading above key SMAs and the Ichimoku Cloud). • Current Pressure: Latest weekly candle shows a sharp pullback; momentum indicators (MACD, RSI) are rolling over from positive territory. • Daily (Intermediate) • Bias: Turned short-term bearish (clearly below daily Ichimoku Cloud, 10/50/100-day SMAs; lower highs & lower lows formed). • Key Pivot: 200-day SMA (~20,272). A sustained break below strengthens the intermediate downtrend; a defense of this level may spark a bounce. • 4H & 2H (Short-Term & Intraday) • Bias: Both are firmly bearish with a sequence of lower highs and lower lows, supported by high ADX and negative momentum readings. • Oversold Conditions: RSI and Stochastics are near oversold on lower timeframes, hinting at possible short-term bounces within a broader downtrend. Net Takeaway: • Long-term (Weekly) remains bullish. • Intermediate to short-term (Daily/4H/2H) is currently bearish. • Expect potential downward continuation unless the market reclaims key daily/4H resistance levels (around 21,000–21,200). 2. Key Levels & Confluences 1. Support Zones • Weekly/Daily Major Support: • 20,300–19,800 region: Aligns with the 200-day SMA (~20,272), 50% Fibonacci (~19,800), and previous bullish order blocks. • 19,500–19,200 area: Next layer of institutional demand if the 20k handle fails. • Deeper Weekly Support: 17,600–16,000 (if the sell-off becomes more pronounced). 2. Resistance Zones • Daily/4H Supply & Bearish Order Blocks: • 21,000–21,200: Confluence of broken support-turned-resistance, daily Ichimoku Cloud lower boundary, multiple SMAs overhead. • 22,000–22,200: Higher-timeframe supply zone where previous rallies failed. 3. Fibonacci Confluence • From the Weekly Swing (~17,378 low to ~22,206 high): • 38.2% (~20,362) near current price. • 50% (~19,796) is a critical deeper support. • Daily Extensions: If below 20,272, watch potential extension toward 1.618 (~19,475). 4. Trend Lines / Channels • Ascending Weekly Channel: Still intact overall, but price is testing lower bounds. • Broken Daily/4H Channel: Price has slipped beneath shorter-term ascending channels, reinforcing the current correction. 3. Scenario 1 (Bullish Continuation / Bounce) Despite the short-term downtrend, there is a chance that the weekly uptrend reasserts itself if price stabilizes above major support (particularly near the 200-day SMA or 19,800–20,300). Here’s how different risk appetites might approach a bullish scenario: 3.1 Narrative • Why Bullish? The weekly structure remains intact, and momentum oscillators (RSI, Stochastics) on lower timeframes are oversold. If price holds the 200-day SMA (~20,272) or the broader 19,800–20,300 demand zone, a relief rally could ensue—potentially aligning back with the higher-timeframe uptrend. 3.2 Aggressive / High-Risk Bullish Approach 1. Where/When to Enter • Look for early signals on 2H/4H near 20,300–20,500 (if tested and shows a bullish engulfing or strong volume spike). • Could also enter on a quick intraday bounce off 20,200–20,300 (if price wicks into that zone). 2. Stop-Loss Placement • Tight stop just below the most recent intraday swing low (e.g., below 20,200 or 20,100), giving minimal room for volatility. 3. Confirmation Level • Minimal confirmation: Possibly only a bullish candlestick pattern or a short-term RSI cross back above 30–35 (showing a slight momentum shift). 4. Pros & Cons • Pros: Best potential reward if you catch the exact turning point. • Cons: Higher chance of false break or whipsaw if price continues downward. 5. Target Levels & Profit Objectives • T1: ~20,900–21,000 (overhead Fib confluence + broken support). • T2: ~21,600–21,700 (daily middle Bollinger Band / cluster of SMAs). • Partial take-profit at T1; consider moving stop to break-even and aiming for T2 if momentum continues. 6. Invalidation • A decisive 4H close below 20,000 or the 200-day SMA being lost on a daily close with no immediate rebound. 3.3 Moderate-Risk Bullish Approach 1. Entry Conditions • Wait for a 4H candle close above a minor resistance or pivot (e.g., reclaiming 20,700–20,800). • Look for a bullish MACD cross or RSI returning above 40–45 on the 4H. 2. Stop-Loss Placement • Slightly below the newly formed higher low (once price confirms an upward pivot)—for instance, below ~20,400 if that level becomes an intraday support again. 3. Pros & Cons • Pros: Reduces the likelihood of entering on a dead-cat bounce. • Cons: Potentially misses the lowest entry if price rebounds sharply from 20,300. 4. Target Levels & Profit Objectives • T1: ~21,000–21,200 (near daily Ichimoku bottom/cloud edge). • T2: ~21,700–22,000 (upper daily Bollinger / major daily supply). • Scale out at T1 or tighten stop-loss; let the rest run if momentum persists. 5. Invalidation • A return below the 4H pivot or a break under ~20,300 after you’ve entered. 3.4 Conservative / Low-Risk Bullish Approach 1. Entry Conditions • Require a Daily close back above key resistance or the Ichimoku Cloud bottom (~21,200). • Multiple indicators aligned bullishly: RSI > 50 on 4H/Daily, MACD crossing positive, etc. 2. Stop-Loss Placement • Below the reclaimed pivot on the daily timeframe—e.g., below ~20,700–20,800 region—or beneath the 200-day SMA if you want an even wider stop. 3. Pros & Cons • Pros: Higher probability that the correction has ended. Fewer false signals. • Cons: Entering significantly higher reduces your initial risk/reward ratio. 4. Target Levels & Profit Objectives • T1: ~21,700–22,000. • T2: Retest of the most recent swing high around 22,200–22,400. • Could move stop to break-even after T1. 5. Invalidation • A Daily close back below ~20,700 or failing to hold the 200-day SMA on subsequent retests. 4. Scenario 2 (Bearish Reversal / Deeper Correction) Should the short-term downtrend continue, or if weekly support fails near 20k, the path of least resistance is lower. Below are approaches for different risk appetites. 4.1 Narrative • Why Bearish? Daily/4H/2H structure is decidedly bearish. If the 200-day SMA (~20,272) and nearby support (20,000–20,300) give way or fail to spark a sustained bounce, price could accelerate downward toward 19,800–19,500 or even lower. 4.2 Aggressive / High-Risk Bearish Approach 1. Entry Conditions • Short on minor bounces/retests of intraday resistance (e.g., 20,700–20,800) with minimal confirmation. • Possibly enter when 2H/4H candles show a quick rejection of the descending trend line or when RSI ticks back up to ~40 but fails to break higher. 2. Stop-Loss Placement • Tight stop just above the local swing high (e.g., above 20,900 or a short-term pivot). 3. Pros & Cons • Pros: Potentially large reward if price continues to drop swiftly. • Cons: Higher false-break risk if a sudden short-covering rally occurs. 4. Target Levels & Profit Objectives • T1: ~20,000–19,800 (major daily support, near 200-day SMA or Fib zone). • T2: ~19,500 or even 19,200 if momentum accelerates. • Consider partial profit at T1; let the remainder ride if the breakdown continues. 5. Invalidation • A sustained 4H close above 20,900–21,000 indicates short-term momentum shifting against you. 4.3 Moderate-Risk Bearish Approach 1. Entry Conditions • Wait for a 4H candle close below 20,400 or 20,300, confirming a new leg down. • Check that RSI remains < 50, MACD is negative, and no immediate bullish divergence. 2. Stop-Loss Placement • Above the retest zone near the breakdown point (~20,400–20,500), giving some room for volatility spikes. 3. Pros & Cons • Pros: Avoids jumping in on whipsaws; the downtrend is confirmed by a fresh breakdown. • Cons: May miss a portion of the initial move if price collapses quickly through 20,300. 4. Target Levels & Profit Objectives • T1: 19,800–19,500 range. • T2: 19,200 or lower, depending on volume flow and broader daily momentum. • Move stops to break-even after T1 if momentum continues. 5. Invalidation • A 4H close back above the breakdown level (~20,400–20,500) or a bullish crossover in MACD that breaks the downward structure. 4.4 Conservative / Low-Risk Bearish Approach 1. Entry Conditions • Wait for a Daily close below the 200-day SMA (~20,272) and/or sub-20k, plus a retest of that broken support that fails. • Indicators (RSI < 50, MACD negative) across Daily and 4H confirm sustained bearish control. 2. Stop-Loss Placement • Above the well-defined structural daily high (e.g., near 20,700–20,800) or above any retest zone. 3. Pros & Cons • Pros: High probability the trend is continuing downward without a sudden reversal. • Cons: You may enter significantly lower, reducing R:R if the biggest chunk of the move has already happened. 4. Target Levels & Profit Objectives • T1: ~19,500–19,200. • T2: If the weekly structure fully shifts, possibly mid- to upper-18k or even 17k in extreme scenarios. • Consider partial TP at T1, trailing the remainder for further downside. 5. Invalidation • A Daily close back above 20,400–20,500 or the 200-day SMA, negating the breakdown. 5. Risk Management & Position Sizing Guidelines 1. Volatility Awareness (ATR) • 4H ATR (~180) and Daily ATR (~379) indicate elevated volatility. If you choose tighter stops, consider reducing position size accordingly. • Alternatively, widen stops to accommodate swings, but reduce overall leverage to keep risk consistent (e.g., risk 1–2% of account). 2. Reward-to-Risk Ratios • Aim for at least 1:2 or better. • If uncertain about the next directional move, trade smaller or wait for confirmation. 3. Timeframe Alignment • When the Weekly and Daily align (bullish or bearish), you can consider a larger position size. • Currently, Weekly is bullish while Daily is bearish, so either trade smaller or adopt intraday strategies until clarity emerges. 4. Partial Profit Strategies • Scale out at T1 (first target) and trail your stop to break-even or near the entry. • Let the remainder run to T2 if momentum continues in your favor. 6. Extra Notes / Contradictions • Weekly vs. Intraday Mismatch: • The long-term chart is still bullish, yet daily/intraday charts are in a firm downtrend. Some traders may opt to only short intraday rallies until price reclaims key daily levels that align with the weekly uptrend. • News & Macro Catalysts: • Any significant economic releases or global risk events could abruptly shift technical setups. Be mindful of volatility spikes. • Ranging vs. Trending: • If the market churns sideways near 20,300–20,700, you might see multiple false breaks. Use higher-timeframe closes for clarity or reduce trade size if in doubt. 7. Final Summary 1. Top-Down Bias • Weekly: Bullish overall but momentum is fading. • Daily & Below: Bearish structure, with oversold indicators that might spark a short-term bounce. 2. Key Levels & Confluences • Support: 20,300–20,000 (incl. 200-day SMA), then 19,800–19,500. • Resistance: 20,700–21,000 for intraday bounces; 21,200–22,000 from daily order blocks. 3. Scenario 1 (Bullish): • Aggressive: Enter near 20,300–20,400 with minimal confirmation. Tight stops just below 20,200. • Moderate: Wait for a 4H close above 20,700–20,800. Stop below the higher low. • Conservative: A daily close above ~21,200 plus aligned indicators. Stop below the reclaimed pivot. 4. Scenario 2 (Bearish): • Aggressive: Short near 20,700–20,800 intraday bounces. Tight stop above swing high. • Moderate: Wait for a 4H close below 20,300–20,400. Stop above the retest zone. • Conservative: A daily close below the 200-day SMA and a failed retest. Stop above a daily pivot. 5. Risk Management: • Control position size based on ATR; keep R:R ≥ 1:2; consider scaling out at T1 and protecting capital. 6. Extra Notes / Contradictions: • A short-term bounce can occur at any time due to oversold indicators. Weekly remains structurally bullish, so watch for strong buying interest near 20k or 19.8k. Bottom line: The market is in a higher-timeframe uptrend but an active short-term correction. Traders can play a potential bounce off key support (Bullish Scenario) or join the short-term downtrend on rallies/fresh breakdowns (Bearish Scenario). As always, maintain disciplined stop-losses, manage position size relative to volatility, and let the market confirm your directional bias before committing significant capital. Disclaimer: This framework focuses on potential probabilities and technical triggers. No outcome is guaranteed; always adjust trade size and stops according to personal risk tolerance.
CAPITALCOM:US100
by EliteMarketAnalysis
Miota ($IOTA)Weekly TF Elliott Wave Crypto Analysis FIB TCAnalysis of the IOTA/USDT Weekly Chart Using Elliott Wave Principle Overview & Key Elements The chart represents the IOTA/USD pair on a weekly timeframe with Elliott Wave structures, Fibonacci retracements, and channel trends. Key observations: • completed five-swing downtrend. • corrective wave (ABC) retracement following the previous bear market. • potential macro bottom around $0.06-$0.07, indicating capitulation. • price has bounced off key Fibonacci levels (0.618, 0.786). • Fibonacci extension targets project potential upside targets at $2.74, $6.61, and $7.50. • Bearish parallel channel: The price recently broke out of the descending structure. • Resistance zones: Around $0.60, $0.85, and $2.75 before reaching the higher targets. • RSI Indicator: previously in oversold territory, now signaling a potential macro reversal. • The momentum is turning bullish, aligning with the forecasted Wave 3 impulse move. What Does This Mean for Price Action? Bullish Reversal Confirmed: The price action suggests a completed bear market correction and the beginning of a new impulsive bullish wave (likely Wave 3). A break above $0.57 and $1.00 would strongly confirm this bullish scenario. Potential Targets for 2025-2026: • $1.00 - $1.50 → Initial major resistance zone. • $2.74 - $3.40 → Key Fibonacci extension level, historically significant. • $6.61 - $7.50 → Maximum projected target based on the 1.236 Fibonacci extension. Risk Factors: If IOTA fails to hold above $0.12 - $0.15, further downside towards $0.06 could occur before resuming upward. A break below $0.06 would invalidate this bullish setup. Conclusion: Highly bullish setup for IOTA with a strong Elliott Wave structure. Long-term accumulation levels: $0.12 - $0.20. Target zones for the next bull run: $2.30 - $7.50. A parabolic breakout is likely in 2025
BINANCE:IOTAUSDLong
by Anakyn