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Wave Analysis

USDT Dominance on its way to 3.80%: Bullish or Stormy?USDT Dominance on its way to 3.80%: Bullish or Stormy? USDT Dominance (USDT.D) is approaching the critical threshold with the recent decline. As seen in the chart, the direction is now down with the break of the uptrend. However, the general acceptance that this decline is the beginning of the bull season may mislead many investors. Because when we look at the past, the 3.80% - 3.60% range has usually been the end point of the bull season, not the beginning. What does this mean? 🔹USDT.D falls while BTC rises. However, these declines usually coincide with the last days of the bull. 🔹If there's a rapid descent into this zone, we could see a sharp rise in BTC. But this move is often the last wave. 🔹So when it comes to that level, while everyone is waiting for new highs, smart money may be preparing to exit. Also another point to pay attention to; 🔸 On the BTC side, the 102K - 104K zone still remains the strongest liquidation area. 🔸 If USDT.D falls below 3.80% while testing this region, attention! That peak may be the last. Therefore, while waiting for the above liquidation levels, we should keep an eye on the USDT.D chart. Because when it approaches 3.80 levels, risk bells may start ringing. This is the target for now. As a result, when you start dancing to the song that will soon play in the background, do not forget that the music may suddenly stop and the lights may be switched off.
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.DShort
by ugurtash
Wyckoff Cycle - Practical Example (SUI)Dear TradingView community and fellow traders, I am Richard, also known as theSignalyst. I find the SUI daily chart to be intriguing as it appears to be following the famous Wyckoff Cycle. I would like to apply Richard Wyckoff's four market stages/phases to this chart for analysis as a practical example. 1️⃣ Accumulation SUI rejected the $0.50 round number and entered an accumulation phase, consolidating for several months. 2️⃣ MarkUp After breaking above the accumulation range at $1, SUI kicked off the markup phase. 3️⃣ Distribution SUI found resistance at the $5.50 round number, with the lower bound of its range near $4—forming a wide distribution phase. 4️⃣ MarkDown Once SUI broke below the $4 major low and exited the distribution zone, it transitioned into the markdown phase. 🔄🔄🔄🔄🔄⬇️ 1️⃣ Accumulation After finding support around the $2 round number, SUI hovered within a range, forming another accumulation phase. 2️⃣ MarkUp We're here 🙂 This week, SUI broke above the $2.80 major high and the accumulation range—signaling the beginning of a new markup phase. ❓ What's next? Will SUI continue to trade higher from here, or will this cycle play out differently? I hope you find this post useful, and I would appreciate your likes and support. Which scenario do you think is more likely to happen first? and why? 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard
Long
by TheSignalyst
4
XAUUSD- 1H UpdateChart Description – XAUUSD 1H (Gold Spot vs. USD) This is a multi-scenario Smart Money Concept (SMC)-based projection chart for Gold (XAUUSD), focusing on potential bullish retracements and major bearish continuations, incorporating Buy Zones, Sell Zones, and Change of Character (CHOCH) areas. 🔍 Key Components: 🟣 Sell Zones Two sell zones are identified, with the highest near the All-Time High (ATH) around the $3,500 mark. These are areas of expected bearish reaction if price retraces upward after a low. 🟢 Buy Zones Located between $3,200 – $3,160 and another deeper one near $2,960, where potential bullish reactions may occur. 🔵 CHOCH - 4H Marked in red around $3,260 area, indicating a 4-hour Change of Character, suggesting a potential shift from bullish to bearish sentiment. 🔸 Key Price Levels $3,120: Historical support/resistance. $2,956.20: Major swing low and key demand zone. 📊 Projected Market Path (Colored Waves) 🔹 Blue Path (Bullish Retracement Scenario) Price is expected to retrace into a sell zone around $3,400–$3,460 after testing the current demand. From there, a major sell-off is anticipated. 🔷 Cyan Path (Bearish Continuation) Following the retracement, the market is projected to break below the recent low and head toward lower buy zones, potentially near the $3,120 and $2,960 regions. Shows lower-high and lower-low formation, consistent with a bearish trend. 🧠 Market Sentiment This chart suggests a bearish outlook for Gold unless a structural shift invalidates the CHOCH zone and supply levels. The chart highlights the importance of: Waiting for confirmation in the supply zones before shorting. Considering buy opportunities only in valid buy zones with bullish reaction confirmation.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by The_FxTricks
Key Insights: Financial Markets Transformation by 2030For years, this page has been my space to share in-depth market research and personal insights into key financial trends. This post reflects my perspective — a strategic outlook on where I believe the digital finance industry is heading. The financial world is evolving at an unprecedented pace, and it's easy to overlook subtle shifts. But the undeniable fact is that we are now standing at the intersection of three powerful industries — financial markets, blockchain, and artificial intelligence. We are positioned at the cutting edge of technology, where innovation is not a future concept but a present reality. This post serves as a reference point for future trends and a guide to understanding the transformative forces shaping financial markets by 2030. These are not just facts, but my vision of the opportunities and challenges ahead in this rapidly converging digital ecosystem. Staying ahead today means more than following the market — it means recognizing that we are part of a technological shift redefining the core of global finance. 📈 1. Electronic Trading Evolution Full transition from traditional trading floors to AI-driven digital platforms. Integration of blockchain and smart contracts ensures transparency, automation, and risk reduction. Real-time data analytics democratizes market access and enhances strategic decision-making. 🤖 2. Algorithmic Trading Growth Accelerated by AI, machine learning, and big data analytics. High-frequency trading (HFT) boosts efficiency but introduces new volatility factors. Adaptive algorithms dynamically adjust strategies in real time. Strong focus on regulatory compliance and ethical standards. 🔗 3. Tokenization of Real World Assets (RWA) Transforming asset management with projected growth to $18.9 trillion by 2033. (now 18.85B) Enhances liquidity, accessibility, and transparency via blockchain. Institutional adoption is driving mainstream acceptance. Evolving regulations (DLT Act, MiCA) support secure tokenized ecosystems. 🏦 4. Institutional Adoption & Regulatory Frameworks Digitalization of fixed income markets and exponential growth in institutional DeFi participation. Key drivers: compliance, custody solutions, and advanced infrastructure. Global regulatory harmonization and smart contract-based compliance automation are reshaping governance. 💳 5. Embedded Finance & Smart Connectivity Embedded finance market to hit $7.2 trillion by 2030. Seamless integration of financial services into everyday platforms (e-commerce, mobility, etc.). AI, blockchain, and IoT power real-time, personalized financial ecosystems. Smart contracts reduce operational friction and enhance user experience. 🛡 6. Financial Crime Risk Management Market expected to reach $30.28 billion by 2030. AI-driven threat detection and anomaly monitoring strengthen AML compliance. Blockchain ensures data integrity and automates cross-border regulatory adherence. Global collaboration (FATF, EU AML) fortifies defenses against evolving financial crimes. 🌍 7. Consumer Behavior & Financial Inclusion Digital banking bridges the gap for underbanked populations, especially in emerging markets. Mobile solutions like M-Pesa revolutionize access to financial services. Biometrics, microfinance, and AI-powered engagement tools foster inclusive economic participation. 🚀 Conclusion By 2030, financial markets will be defined by technology-driven efficiency, regulatory adaptability, and inclusive growth. Success will favor those who embrace innovation, leverage automation, and engage in cross-sector collaboration. The future belongs to agile stakeholders navigating a landscape shaped by AI, blockchain, tokenization, and smart finance connectivity. Best regards, EXCAVO _____________________ Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:BTCUSDLong
by EXCAVO
7
Gold Analysis – What’s Next? Right now, Wave 5 looks stretched, and the price action inside it feels a bit off. Makes me wonder—what if this whole move is actually still part of Wave 3? Take a look at the proportions: we’ve hit exactly 361% of Wave 1 . That’s a classic spot for a pullback. Also, the weekly chart is flashing a Shooting Star —a possible reversal signal. ** What does this mean?** - If this is the start of **Wave 4**, we could see a dip toward **3101, 2854, 2654, or even 2454**. - But if price bounces hard from one of these levels and starts a fresh five-wave rally, then this whole move was likely just **Wave 3**, and we’re gearing up for another leg higher. **Bottom line?** Watch how the next bounce plays out—that’ll tell us whether this is a deeper correction or just a pit stop before new highs. ---
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ferusa
1
APTUSDT → Retest of the liquidity zone. Downward trendBINANCE:APTUSDT.P failed to realize its potential. The price made a false breakout of resistance and formed a reversal pattern. Correction or continuation of the downtrend? Bitcoin is rebounding from resistance. Technically, the market may enter a correction or consolidation. Altcoins are reacting accordingly — correction Within the downtrend but local ALT rally, APT failed to realize its potential and formed liquidity accumulation and a false breakout of the downtrend channel resistance before a possible decline... Resistance levels: 5.2, 5.458 Support levels: 4.76, 4.48, 4.17 A consolidation of the price below the trend resistance or below 5.20 could trigger a continuation of the global and local trends. The coin is likely to remain near the bottom and test new lows... Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
3
Gold Head and Shoulders Pattern🔍 Pattern Identified: Head and Shoulders (Bearish Reversal Pattern) This is a classic Head and Shoulders pattern, which often signals a potential trend reversal from bullish to bearish. Left Shoulder: Formed after a strong uptrend, followed by a small correction. Head: A higher peak than the shoulders, indicating the last strong bullish push. Right Shoulder: A lower high, indicating weakening bullish momentum. Neckline: The support level connecting the lows between shoulders and the head. In this chart, it's slightly sloped upward. 💡 Current Price Action: Price is hovering just around the neckline (~$3,300–3,310). A break below the neckline with strong volume would confirm the pattern and likely trigger a move lower. Volume has spiked during the right shoulder drop, suggesting sellers are already getting aggressive. 📉 Bearish Scenario (Most Probable if neckline breaks): Breakdown from the neckline could lead to a drop toward the $3,160–3,180 zone initially. Measured move target (height from head to neckline projected downward) could push price even lower, around $3,100–3,120. 📈 Bullish Rejection (Invalidation): If price fails to break the neckline and instead rebounds, watch for resistance around the $3,360–3,400 zone (right shoulder high). A break above the head (~$3,520) would completely invalidate this pattern and suggest a continuation of the uptrend. 🔄 Trading Strategy Suggestions: Aggressive bears could short on a break and close below the neckline. Conservative bears might wait for a retest of the neckline after the breakdown. Bulls should wait for confirmation of support above the neckline or a higher high formation.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Forexbeats
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): LONG to the resistance area 1.15878.Colleagues, I believe .that the five-wave movement is not over yet and another wave of upward movement is waiting for us. I believe that wave “4” has almost completed the correction or has already completed it. In any case, I consider the main target to be the resistance area at 1.15878, which is the minimum target and the top of wave “3”. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Long
by Hellena_Trade
13
XAU/USD 24 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 23 April 2025 Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price printed as per my note yesterday whereby I mentioned that we should be surprised if price printed a bearish iBOS as all HTF's require a pullback. Price subsequently printed a bearish iBOS which confirms internal structure. Intraday Expectation: Price has traded up to just short of premium of internal 50% EQ where we are seeing a reaction. Price could potentially trade further into premium of 50%, or H4/M15 nested supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,260.190. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Spy Road To $500SPY is currently hovering around $533 in the afterhours session. Based on today’s price action and macro sentiment, if we open between $533–$532, we’re eyeing a potential retracement to the $522 zone. This zone aligns with previous demand structure and key VWAP deviation. Bearish Confirmation Triggers: Failure to reclaim $535 in the first 2 hours. Breakdown below $530 + low volume bounce = short trigger. MACD histogram flipping red on the 1H. Target Zone: $522–$520 Stop Loss: Above $535 reclaim Indicators Used: VWAP, MACD, Volume Imbalance, Daily Pivot Zones, Institutional Flow Heatmap. We’re also watching dark pool prints under $529 and the delta shift on order flow—both signaling increasing bearish pressure. If SPY opens flat and ranges for 2 hours → downside bias continues. As always safe Trades
AMEX:SPYShort
by JoeWtrades
2
Hellena | BITCOIN (4H): LONG to resistance area of 98,000.Dear colleagues, in this forecast I will not make too forward-looking plans. I believe that the upward movement is not over yet, because the wave “C” is not yet completed and consists of five waves. I think that we should expect to reach the resistance area of 98,000. A small correction to the support area of 90,000 is possible. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by Hellena_Trade
11
Gold short-term analysisGold daily line fell 240 dollars from the top of 3500. At present, 3500 is under short-term pressure. Whether the adjustment is over or not cannot be confirmed. The short-term 4-hour middle track 3380 has been lost and converted into a key resistance! The 1-hour level K-line is under pressure and ma10 and ma5 continue to fall. After yesterday's consolidation and pull-up in the NY market, the K-line has now re-run above ma10, plus macd is under the zero axis. The rapid decline of 200 dollars has almost corrected most of the upward trend. If it continues to fall, it may start to build a bottom with the help of the bottom divergence, and then start the next round of gains! Today is also a critical day for gold. After the bottom of 3260, today's strength is very important. If gold continues to rise directly today without a big correction, it means that gold may start to fluctuate and rise again. Key points: First support: 3320, second support: 3300, third support: 3288 First resistance: 3360, second resistance: 3376, third resistance: 3400 Operation ideas: Buy: 3315-3318, SL: 3306, TP: 3340-3360; Sell: 3387-3390, SL: 3400, TP: 3370-3350;
TVC:GOLDLong
by Jun-GoldAnalyst
EURCHF: Watch for Price Reaction Near Support ZoneEURCHF: Watch for Price Reaction Near Support Zone The EURCHF pair has tested a major support zone for the fourth time since December 2023. This level also marks the lowest price, but rather than reflecting CHF strength, the movement seems to be driven by intervention from the Swiss National Bank (SNB). While some analysts suggest a safe-haven shift to CHF due to the Trade War, the sharp drop in GBPCHF—despite GBP's overall strength—raises doubts about this theory. If this support holds, EURCHF could rebound towards key resistance levels: 0.9355, 0.9425, 0.9485, 0.9545, and 0.9600. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️ Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by KlejdiCuni
8
CHFJPY BUY?Market is reacting to daily area on Daily time frame. Based on 4HR TF, the market seems to be forming a possible reversal pattern which could lead to a possible reversal. We could see BUYERS coming in strong should the current level hold. Disclaimer: Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is solely intended for educational and informational purposes only.The analysis provided is based on my own view of the market. Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. High-Risk Warning Trading in foreign exchange on margin entails high risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. In this case, the high degree of leverage can act both against you and in your favor
Long
by WiLLProsperForex