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Wave Analysis

BITCOIN - Long Trade Idea Update - We Could See One More Low...In this video, I discuss why Bitcoin may still make another low before the Wave 2 correction is fully complete. Upon closer examination of Wave iv in the previous Wave 5 correction, it appears the level where Wave iv ended was slightly miscalculated. Technically, Bitcoin should have dipped below the perceived low, but either its strength has prevented this, or the ongoing correction is nearing completion. The key level to watch is $82,445—if Bitcoin breaks above this, we should continue higher. However, it’s more likely that we first dip below $81,274 before experiencing a strong upward move. Pay close attention when Bitcoin makes another low, as the reversal could be sharp, potentially piercing through $82,445, which would confirm the trend shift. If we make a new low then I would suggest price would turn back up after tagging $81,071.
by AriasWave
Bitcoin Update: Equilibrium Formation & Triangle Breakout WatchHello traders, welcome to another Bitcoin update. In previous analyses, we discussed the potential for an equilibrium-style price action forming on the intraday time frame. This pattern is now taking shape in the form of a triangle formation, where price is expected to test the lower boundary for an intraday bounce. However, this test has not yet occurred, and Bitcoin remains in a lower time-frame downtrend with no clear reversal signals at the moment. If a bounce does occur, Bitcoin is likely to continue trading within this tightening range, compressing further until a breakout takes place. The key factor to monitor is volume during the breakout. A strong increase in volume would confirm a valid breakout, while a breakout with low volume would increase the chances of a false break, leading to a potential reversion in price action. At this stage, Bitcoin remains within a sideways equilibrium, with no definitive signal on when or in which direction the breakout will occur. Until confirmation is provided, traders should exercise patience and closely watch price action at key levels.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by AzizKhanZamani
GOLD Will Go Down From Resistance! Short! Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD. Time Frame: 1h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 3,118.23. The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 3,093.41 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by SignalProvider
1
USDCAD Will Go Higher! Long! Take a look at our analysis for USDCAD. Time Frame: 7h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.434. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.444 level soon. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
GBPUSD Will Go Up! Buy! Please, check our technical outlook for GBPUSD. Time Frame: 9h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 1.294. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 1.305. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
CADJPY Will Move Lower! Sell! Here is our detailed technical review for CADJPY. Time Frame: 4h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a significant resistance area 104.000. Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 102.916 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
4
BITCOIN - Wave 3 of Wave C In Progress - Wave 2 Breakdown...In this video, I break down why I posted the earlier chart (linked below). After studying this pattern for hours, I finally decoded the Wave 2 correction for Wave C—just in time to take a long trade at support. A solid protective stop is around $81,274, while a break above $82,759 offers partial confirmation. The key confirmation level, however, is $88,788. Since that’s still quite far, AriasWave allows for early entries if the analysis proves accurate. Given the large 1-2 formation, I anticipate price moving close to all-time highs, but I’ll keep you updated along the way.
Long
by AriasWave
Alts Close to an Obvious Break Now. Alts have been in a bear trend all of the year so far. Topping mostly on harmonic patterns at the start of the year. See full post about that here: Since this time, we've completed multiple further steps of trend failure. Let's run through them. First let's refer to my template of things you tend to see in the public during stages of a bubble. It's a multi step process, we'll skip to the advanced stages. We have the public trap (Sharp convincing spike - happened when the harmonics filled I think). Then we have the rug pull. A very clean and consistent sell off from the high during which people bury their head in the sand and use phrases like "Ignore the FUD". Then we're into the Early Panic stage where the market sells off about 50% and then puts in a bit of a bounce. We'd now be in the "mimic the convincers" part. Where the market acts like it did before the previous rallies. The bit where people are common duped into making lifechanging decisions. And the time when it's most important to be warn people about the bubble - but the time they simply will not listen. After this break, is when we tend to head into the lower lows crash section of the trend which develops into a long term grinding downtrend. As well as going through all the classic public phases of a bubble, we now have the classic things like head and shoulders to warn the break may be imminent.
BITSTAMP:XRPUSDShort
by holeyprofit
2
BITCOIN Is Going Down! Sell! Here is our detailed technical review for BITCOIN. Time Frame: 4h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 83,714.88. The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 81,433.62 level. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TRADENATION:BTCUSDShort
by SignalProvider
3
The Stock Market Decline Appears to be only in the US as of nowLast week on one of my member live videos I pointed out to the attendees that European markets were currently at, or very close to their All-Time highs...whereas in the US, we've entered the technical definition of a stock market correction...(down 10%). If you're so inclined to Google an economic calendar, it also appears the economic metrics like CPI, unemployment, etc... appear much better as well. There's an old adage in the markets.... "When the US sneezes, the global economy catches a cold" . However, at this very moment in time, the only thing that appears sick is the US. Maybe that changes with time. I suspect that will be the case...but in any event, one thing that is clear is that our stock market indices are signaling that whatever economic sickness is to be contracted, it will have originated here...in the United States. That is certainly a new phenomenon. For the past couple years I have been warning my members (and followers here on Trading View) of a long-term top in the stock markets. Week after week in my trading room, I have commented that I believe I have all constituent waves accounted for, to the best of my ability, to say with a high degree of confidence that a super-cycle wave (III) has topped . What we have lacked is the price action to confirm that statement. This morning, I cannot tell you we have confirmation. That confirming probability only comes when price declines below the area of the wave 4 of one lesser degree. That area is outlined in the SPX daily chart entitled the "Must Hold Region". We are not there yet, nor do I think price makes a bee-line there in one shot. Therefore, I am NOT in panic mode this morning because I do believe we need a retrace higher and only that retracement's structure will inform us the higher probability of future price subdivisions....(higher or lower). Panic is the necessary trader behavior needed to decline in such fashion as I believe a super cycle wave (IV) will start out. However personally, I do not think it's today. Futures are red this morning and closer to the recent lows than last week...the headlines surrounding the stock market appear very negative...but as of this morning, the MACD indicator on intraday charts is saying this type of sentiment is getting slightly weaker and NOT making new lows. Therefore, I continue to maintain the price and technical indications tell me a minor B is either currently underway, or will be confirmed in the short term. Until those parameters get flipped, I'll reserve my panic (so to speak) for the c of (c) of intermediate (A) into the must hold region later this year... where it will probably be justified at that time. Best to all, Chris
CBOE:SPX
by maikisch
NZD/USD ... head & shoulder confrim sell..Based on the analysis of the NZDUSD H4 chart and the provided trade idea, here's a structured breakdown: ### Trade Setup Overview: - *Pattern Identified*: Head and Shoulders (H&S) reversal pattern confirmed by a neckline break at 0.56800. - *Trend Confirmation*: Price consolidating below the EMA-200, reinforcing bearish momentum. - *Entry Point*: Sell at 0.56800. - *Take Profit (TP)*: 0.55890 (91 pips target). - *Key Levels*: - *Neckline*: 0.56800 (serves as resistance post-break). - *Projected H&S Target*: If the head is at 0.5750 and neckline at 0.5680, the minimum target is 0.5610 (70 pips). The TP at 0.55890 may account for extended bearish momentum or historical support. ### Risk Management Considerations: - *Stop Loss (SL)*: Ideally placed above the neckline or right shoulder. For example, 0.57200 (40 pips risk) offers a 1:2.3 risk-reward ratio. - *False Breakdown Risk*: Monitor for a close back above the neckline, which would invalidate the pattern. ### Additional Factors: - *Market Context*: Check for upcoming economic events (e.g., NZ/US economic data, Fed/RBNZ policy) that could impact volatility. - *Confluence Indicators*: Bearish alignment with RSI < 50 or MACD below the signal line would strengthen the setup. ### Conclusion: The trade leverages a confirmed H&S breakdown and EMA-200 resistance. While the TP exceeds the traditional H&S measurement, it may target a stronger support zone. Traders should manage risk with a tight stop and watch for price action confirmation. *Execution Plan*: 🔽 Sell at 0.56800 🎯 TP: 0.55890 🚫 SL: 0.57200 (adjust based on volatility tolerance). Monitor price reaction near 0.5610 (initial H&S target) for potential partial profit-taking or trail stops.
Short
by Algo_Trading_Mql5
1