GOLD - Expected Move, agreed??#GOLD.. a perfect move as per our analysis and now market just trade above his yesterday high that was very important before breakout.
now keep close and if market hold yesterday high that is around 2763 then we can expect a bounce from here and hopefully market will touch our upside trend line neck.
good luck
trade wisely
Wave Analysis
Crypto Total Market Cap Cycle Elliot Wave AnalysisThe chart explores 3 possibilities of where we could be in the current crypto market cycle.
Case 1 & 2 point to a likely probability that there are still 2 more upward waves to come.
Case 3 explores the possibility that there is at least one more upward move remaining for the cycle. All cases demonstrate that it is highly unlikely that we are at a market top in this cycle.
Bitcoin and altcoin overview (January 24-25)Yesterday for Bitcoin, as we predicted, we saw buying resume, but with a slight breach below the buyer's zone.
During the rise, strong volume formed again, keeping the $105,000-$102,700 zone active.
At the moment, we expect rotations to continue in a narrow range. Although all buyer's market activity was absorbed, a strong seller who would take the initiative has not yet emerged, so we assess the probability of breaking out into either long or short from the sideways movement as 50/50.
Selling zones: $107,000-$109,000 (volume anomalies).
Buying zones: $105,000-$102,700 (mirror volume zone), $102,000-$99,600 (volume zone), $97,400-$96,300 (volume zone), $92,400-94,300 (volume anomalies), $90,600-$86,300 (accumulated volumes).
Interesting altcoins
For AVAAI coin, there is a high probability of breaking through the local minimum. We open a short position when there's a reaction from the selling zone $0.17-$0.184.
For HIVE, we have consolidated above the volume zone of 0.43-0.413 and positioned it for buying, on pullback we open a long position with an intermediate target of $0.5
USD/JPY - Bank of Japan / Will BoJ decide to raise rate? Hello everyone!
On January 24, the Bank of Japan will make its decision on the key interest rate—will they finally raise it, or hit the snooze button again?
Either way, the USD/JPY pair looks like a solid short opportunity.
Main target - 148,80 & intermediate target - 157,90
P.S. Blue count is main
Maroon count is alternative
ONDO USDT💰 LSE:ONDO looking primed on the 2D Timeframe 😤
😳 Consolidation within the Fibo Zone Long setup, perfectly holding the 0.618 support level.
🐃 Bullish breakout from the descending wedge signals a strong continuation.
🔥 Early stages of a major trend reversal!
If you're not longing #ONDO while it's gearing up for a breakout, you're missing out 🚀
🎯 Target 3: $2.76567
GBPUSD holds 1.23 and prepares to jump? Hello All!
The GBP/USD pair is clinging to 1.23 like a cat to a warm laptop. If nothing shakes it loose, there’s a high chance it will crawl up to the 1.239–1.244 area.
But don’t get too excited—this is where the pair will face a veteran resistance level, the 200-period moving average on the 4-hour chart, and the upper boundary of the H4 downtrend. In other words, a whole party of obstacles is waiting to greet it.
So, it might be a good idea to lock in profits at this point.
However, if the pair suddenly decides to flex its muscles and break out of the local parallel channel, consolidating above the 4-hour moving average, it could make a daring leap toward the next resistance level at 1.26.
And yes, this might happen without much of a correction—like skipping leg day at the gym.
Stop-loss? Safely below the 1.23 level—because no one likes unpleasant surprises!
GBPUSD Is Bullish! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for GBPUSD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 1.230.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 1.241 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
ETH USDT💰 Make #ETH Great Again 🚀
CRYPTOCAP:ETH is reclaiming its throne with a solid Double Bottom reversal pattern forming on the weekly chart 🐃
Key support at $2,947.83 holding strong, fueling the bullish momentum toward new highs!
🎯 Target 1: $4,103.26
🎯 Target 2: $4,788.46
🎯 Target 3: $5,568.18
LINK USDT13 Days of accumulation below the $28 key level for CRYPTOCAP:LINK 🔥
In my opinion, current levels are ideal for buying as we are still in accumulation and above the breakout zone☝️
Worst-case scenario: Add more if CRYPTOCAP:LINK revisits the breakout area. Anything below $2 is a buy opportunity!
FULL SEND #LINK 🚀
🎯Target - $39.48
BTCUSD m15 BearishBITSTAMP:BTCUSD M15timeframe btcusd if make double top then market watar if continue current possition 105,300 if we selling this if we hold to 107,200 stop loss is a market current line a sell limit area if we place order to stop loss is 108,246
BTCUSD Current Price and Enty point: 105,499
Target: 102,684
Stop Loss: 105,300
If BTCUSD Sell limit 106,645
Target: 103,628
Target: 101,000
Stop Loss: 108,246
US100 Will Fall! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for US100.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 21,855.7.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 21,446.9 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
BITCOIN Will Go Higher From Support! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for BITCOIN.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 105,399.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 109,493 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
AUDUSD Will Go Up From Support! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for AUDUSD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 0.632.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 0.650 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
NZDUSD Will Go Higher! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for NZDUSD.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 0.571.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 0.580 level soon.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Oil Market Update: Bearish Trend ContinuesOil Market Update: Bearish Trend Continues
The oil market is currently facing a bearish trend, with prices experiencing a significant decline. The highest price was recorded on January 15th at $80.73 per barrel, and it has since dropped to $74.50 per barrel, representing a depreciation of nearly 8.5% over about 9 days
Technical Analysis:
Technically, the price decline has broken several support levels, confirming the bearish trend. The next potential targets for the oil price are $73.00 and $71.30, which are critical support levels.
Key Factor Driving the Decline:
U.S. President Donald Trump demanded OPEC lower oil prices and the world drop interest rates in a speech to global business and political leaders and warned them they will face tariffs if they make their products anywhere but the U.S.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
GBP/USD Buy Opportunity: Riding the 3rd Wave Uptrend
The GBP/USD currency pair is currently presenting a potential buy opportunity as it appears to be in the middle of a 3rd wave uptrend—a strong impulsive move according to Elliott Wave theory. This article highlights the setup, entry, target, and stop-loss levels, with supporting technical reasoning.
Market Overview
The GBP/USD has been trending higher over the past few sessions, with strong bullish momentum indicating the development of an impulsive Elliott Wave structure. Based on recent price action and Fibonacci projections, the pair is currently in the 3rd wave, often the most powerful and extended wave in a 5-wave sequence.
Current Price Action: The pair recently broke above key resistance levels, confirming the bullish structure.
Fundamental Drivers: Hawkish expectations for the Bank of England (BoE) and signs of USD weakness amid a dovish Federal Reserve outlook are providing fundamental tailwinds.
Buy Setup
To capitalize on this uptrend, the following trade setup is recommended:
Entry Level: 1.2400
This level aligns with minor support based on a previous breakout zone and Fibonacci retracement levels. Buyers can aim to enter around this area, where the market could resume its upward trend.
Stop-Loss: 1.2344
The stop-loss is placed just below the most recent swing low, protecting the trade against invalidation of the bullish structure. This level is key because a break below would indicate a potential shift in sentiment.
Target Level: 1.2556
The target is derived using Fibonacci extensions of the previous wave 1 and wave 2 structure. The 161.8% Fibonacci projection aligns with this level, reinforcing its significance as a likely resistance zone.
Elliott Wave Analysis
Wave 1 and Wave 2 Completed:
GBP/USD formed a clear impulsive wave 1, followed by a corrective wave 2, which retraced approximately 61.8% of wave 1—typical behaviour for wave 2.
Wave 3 in Progress:
The current price movement shows strong bullish momentum characteristic of a 3rd wave. Volume and price acceleration further confirm this scenario.
Fibonacci Projections:
The 161.8% extension of wave 1 predicts a potential wave 3 target near 1.2556.
Retracement levels between 38.2% and 61.8% of wave 2 suggest 1.2400 as a key entry zone.
Risk-to-Reward Ratio
This trade offers an excellent risk-to-reward profile:
Risk (Stop-Loss): 56 pips (1.2400 - 1.2344)
Reward (Target): 156 pips (1.2556 - 1.2400)
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: ~1:2.8
This favorable ratio makes the trade attractive to swing traders and position traders alike.
Conclusion
The GBP/USD presents a compelling buy opportunity in the middle of a 3rd wave uptrend, with the potential to reach 1.2556. Traders can look to enter around 1.2400 with a well-defined stop-loss at 1.2344 to limit downside risk. The trade aligns with both Elliott Wave and Fibonacci principles, offering a high-probability setup with a strong risk-to-reward ratio.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please perform your own due diligence before entering any trades.
Analysis of the latest gold trend on January 22
On Wednesday (January 22), spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range at a high level in the Asian session, currently trading around $2,751/ounce. Gold prices rose 1.39% on Tuesday, jumping to a more than two-month high of $2,745.83/ounce and closing at $2,744.59/ounce, supported by a weaker dollar. Under the uncertainty of possible tariffs imposed by US President Trump, the market flocked to safe-haven gold. The U.S. dollar index fell back after its rebound on Tuesday was blocked. It once refreshed a two-week low to 107.86 during the session and closed down 0.12% at 107.94, making gold cheaper for holders of other currencies. Affected by Trump's tariff threats, investors flocked to safe-haven assets such as gold, and the US dollar's highs and declines, US Treasury yields plummeted, and gold prices soared to their highest point in more than two months. US President Trump also said on Tuesday that he might impose sanctions on Russia if Russian President Vladimir Putin refused to negotiate an end to the war in Ukraine. This also provided safe-haven support for gold prices. Trump did not disclose specific details of possible additional sanctions. The United States has imposed severe sanctions on Russia since the Russian-Ukrainian conflict. Trump said his administration is also looking into sending weapons to Ukraine and said he believes the European Union should do more to support Ukraine. In early Asian trading on Wednesday, Trump said he would impose tariffs on the European Union. Affected by this news, the euro had a short-term dive of about 30 points, and the price of gold did not fluctuate much in the short term, but investors need to pay attention to the further fermentation of market sentiment.
Gold is considered a safe investment in times of economic and geopolitical uncertainty, but the policies proposed by Trump are widely seen as inflationary, which may prompt the Federal Reserve to maintain higher interest rates for a longer period of time to curb price pressures. It is expected that Trump's extensive trade tariffs will further stimulate inflation and trigger a trade war, which may increase the safe-haven appeal of gold. The market may also be waiting for the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting of the Federal Reserve next week and the personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index, especially the inflation data. I don't think anyone is expecting the Fed to take any action next week, but will certainly be watching the policy statement closely for hints about the rest of the year. "Analysts say Trump's immigration, tax and tariff policies may boost economic growth but also spur inflation. The Fed is expected to keep interest rates steady this month but remain vigilant against inflation. According to calculations by the London Stock Exchange Group (LSEG), the market expects the Fed to cut interest rates by about 38 basis points this year and may resume cutting interest rates at the June meeting. There are relatively few economic data on this trading day. Continue to pay attention to Trump-related dynamic news and changes in market sentiment, and pay attention to the Davos Economic Forum and the speech of European Central Bank President Lagarde.
Gold technical analysis: The recent trend of gold has continued to fluctuate and rise, and the high and low points can be switched flexibly. At present, the gold price has once again refreshed the high of 2750 in early Asian trading. Gold has started a new round of rise. The daily positive line of gold closed higher, breaking the recent The upper track of 2725 in the wide range hit another high point this week. As the daily line consolidates, it rises again after pulling Yang. The daily line has further momentum to reach higher levels. Yesterday, it fell back to the lowest level of 2702 and started to rise steadily. In line with expectations of an immediate rise in the Asian market yesterday. It's just that the upside space has been increased after a direct breakthrough. Yesterday, it was also emphasized that the bulls will look further if it breaks through 2725. At the same time, when it is confirmed by stepping back, it will be a second opportunity to enter the long position. The higher closing price on the daily line will drive further short-term gains during the day.
The 4-hour chart is running in the ascending channel. In the strong unilateral market, the middle track of Bollinger Bands moves upward as the critical point for bulls. Combined with the support of breaking the high point of 2726 and the retracement of the 2716 line after breaking the high yesterday, the price started to stabilize for the second time. This is the defensive critical point of the bulls. The strong market will not be stepped on deeply, and the breaking high conversion point of the previous day will not be lost. The bulls will still maintain their momentum. From the perspective of the 1-hour structure, the bullish trend remains good, and the adjustment is also a short-term behavior. The general direction is still continuing to rise, especially after breaking through 2730 US dollars, the European session on Tuesday quickly fell back to below 2720 to complete the top and bottom conversion. The focus after today's retracement is on the position of 2738-2742, which is also the retracement of the previous high point. The European session should also pay attention to the retracement confirmation.
From the perspective of time, since the 21st trading day of gold's rebound from 2583, that is, Monday this week, the change of the market has not been successful, then the next change of the market time node will focus on next Friday, which is the 55th trading day of the rise of 2536. Therefore, in terms of operation, gold is now entering a stage of accelerated rise. Today, our professional and senior gold analyst team recommends buying with the trend near 2740, and the upper target is further up to 2765-2770 area!
Taken together, in terms of today's short-term gold operation ideas, our professional and experienced gold analyst team recommends to focus on longs on callbacks, supplemented by shorts on rebounds. The top short-term focus is on the first-line resistance near 2765, and the bottom short-term focus is on the first-line support of 2738-2742.