Saudi Aramco Base Oil Co. (Luberef - 2223) on the Daily timefram🔻 Sell Plan Summary
🔴 Key Supply Zones:
Monthly Fair Value Gap (FVG) / Premium Supply Zone — (Red Box around 108–110 SAR)
Labeled as “M fvg T2,4” on your chart.
Price previously reversed from this zone, indicating strong selling pressure.
Daily Bearish FVG / Rejection Zone — (Red Zone around 104.5 SAR)
Price is reacting to this short-term supply area.
It hasn't closed above this zone, showing weak bullish momentum.
🔵 Target Zone:
Daily Bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) — (Blue Box: 96.5–98.5 SAR)
This is your likely downside target, situated in the discount zone.
A strong demand area where price may find support.
📉 Market Structure:
Price formed a lower high, suggesting bearish structure.
Recent candles show rejections from supply, supporting a short bias.
The chart includes a red arrow showing expected downward movement.
Wave Analysis
#MAGIC/USDT#MAGIC
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is on its way to breaking strongly upwards and retesting it.
We have support from the lower boundary of the descending channel, at 0.1560.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to break and retest, supporting the upside.
There is a major support area in green at 0.1555, which represents a strong basis for the upside.
Don't forget a simple thing: ease and capital.
When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
We have a trend to hold above the 100 Moving Average.
Entry price: 0.1600.
First target: 0.1640.
Second target: 0.1677.
Third target: 0.1719.
Don't forget a simple thing: ease and capital.
When you reach your first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
Thank you.
USD/CAD Institutional Buy Zone – Thief Trading Alert!🔥 USD/CAD "LOONIE BANK HEIST" 🔥 – THIEF TRADING STYLE (BULLISH SNIPER PLAN)
💸 ATTENTION: Market Robbers & Profit Pirates!
"Steal Like a Pro – Escape Before the Cops Arrive!"
🎯 MASTER TRADE PLAN (Based on Thief Trading Tactics):
Entry Zone (Pullback Heist):
📌 Pullback-1: Market Maker Trap Zone (1.35400+) – Wait for retest!
📌 Pullback-2: Institutional Buy Zone (1.33500+) – Confirm bullish momentum!
"Patience = Perfect Heist Timing. Don’t rush—ambush the trend!"
🎯 Profit Target: 1.38100 (or escape earlier if momentum fades).
🛑 Stop Loss (Escape Route): Nearest 4H Swing Low (wick/close) – Adjust based on risk & lot size!
🚨 SCALPERS’ WARNING:
"Only snipe LONG! Big pockets? Strike now. Small stack? Join swing robbers & trail your SL!"
📉 WHY THIS HEIST? (Bullish Triggers):
Technical + Fundamental alignment (COT, Macro, Sentiment).
Overbought but institutional demand holding strong.
"Bears are trapped—time to rob their stops!"
⚠️ CRITICAL ALERT:
News = Volatility = Police Ambush!
Avoid new trades during high-impact news.
Trailing SL = Your Getaway Car! Lock profits before reversals.
💥 BOOST THIS HEIST!
"Hit 👍, 🔔 Follow, and 🚀 Boost to fuel our next robbery! Let’s drain the banks together!"
🔮 NEXT HEIST COMING SOON… Stay tuned, partner! 🎭💰
#DYM/USDT#DYM
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is on its way to breaking strongly upwards and retesting it.
We have support from the lower boundary of the descending channel at 0.2795.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, supporting the upside.
There is a major support area in green at 0.2746, which represents a strong basis for the upside.
Don't forget a simple thing: ease and capital.
When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
We have a trend to hold above the 100 Moving Average.
Entry price: 0.2860.
First target: 0.2923.
Second target: 0.2976.
Third target: 0.3060.
Don't forget a simple thing: ease and capital.
When you reach your first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
Thank you.
GBPJPY LONGHello, as you can see on the GBPJPY chart, there is a very strong support zone that price has not broken. In fact, we can also identify a fake breakout below that level, which reinforces the strength of the support.
My first target (TP1) is set at the next strong resistance zone, which aligns with a previous support turned resistance. The second target (TP2) is the Order Block (OB) at the top, which also aligns with where my strategy predicts the price will move. This setup suggests a potential bullish move from the current levels.
S&P 500 Counter-Trend Setup After Bullish Week US500Currently watching the S&P 500 (US500) closely 👀. The index has been in a strong bullish trend 📈, but I’m now evaluating a potential counter-trend opportunity.
Given the strength we’ve seen this week — possibly a “foolish rally” — there’s a chance we’ve either printed or are close to printing the high of the week 🧱. That opens the door for a retracement setup, particularly as we head into Monday’s open 🗓️.
🧠 Trade idea: If we get a bearish market structure break, I’ll be looking to enter short — targeting a 1R take profit initially, and holding a portion for a 2R–3R extension 🎯.
Friday sessions, especially after strong trends, often present clean intraday pullbacks — and when Monday’s low is set early, it can trap late buyers and fuel the move 📉.
⚠️ This is not financial advice — just sharing my thought process and trade plan.
TASI Key Support & Resistance Levels This idea focuses on the Saudi Stock Market (TASI) key support and resistance levels based on time-sequenced price action.
Current support zone is highlighted (Point 1).
Time-based sequence:
🔺 Resistance on July 31 at 11126
🟢 Support on August 11 at 10885
🔺 Resistance on August 14 at 10999 / 10945
🟢 Support on September 1 at 9576
Connecting these points reveals the expected scenario shown in the second chart.
Key level: 11282 (Point 3) – A confirmed breakout above this level signals a strong buy opportunity, as it:
✔ Acts as a major support
✔ Breaks the descending channel
✔ Invalidates the bearish continuation scenario
📈 Watching for a bullish breakout above 11282 to enter long positions.
ADAUSDT|Triangle Setup WXYX2Z (1-2) +180% - Revisit $1.82 TargetPrimary Pattern: A contracting triangle within a larger corrective structure, likely wave 4.
Wave Count: A diagonal 5-wave impulse (i–v), followed by a WXY (X2) Z complex correction, suggesting wave 4 is still unfolding, possibly nearing completion.
Current Price: $0.83 with volume and SMA ribbon golden crosses showing bullish signal and near completion of accumulation phase.
Fibonacci Extension:
Targeting diagonal wave 5 at 261.8% extension from the base of wave 1 aligns with the projected target of $1.82, which matches the height of the triangle target. This also coincides with a +180% move from the possible upcoming wave Z or wave 2 —technically ambitious, but plausible if wave 5 kicks off with momentum.
Wave 4 Triangle Context:
The WXY(X2)Z structure implies a complex sideways correction which is typical of wave 4 behavior 1.6x - 2x wave 2 time extension
Key Support:
Entry: If X or 1 is nearing completion, and triangle support holds at key support MA20W Fibonacci 61.8%, the breakout into wave 5 could be explosive—especially with diagonal structure suggesting a leading diagonal pattern.
SL: Triangle Support is the last liquidity / smart money entry
Always trade with affordable risk and respect your stoploss!
GER40 in Motion: This Setup Speaks Volumes 🌅 Good morning, my friends,
I’ve put together a fresh GER40 analysis just for you. Even if the 1-hour timeframe shows some upward momentum, I fully expect the price to reach my target level of **24,050**.
I'm holding firm until that level is hit.
Every single like from you is a massive source of motivation for me to keep sharing analysis. Huge thanks to everyone supporting with a tap!
SOL/USDT Technical OutlookPrice may push higher towards the $194 resistance zone.
From there, a sharp rejection is expected, targeting the $171 support area.
If the market fails to hold $171, the next potential downside target lies around $140.
Key Levels:
Resistance: $194
Support: $171, then $140
Structure: Rising channel breakdown in play
📉 Bearish scenario activated if $171 fails to hold.
Monthly position for niftyExpecting a reversal, yes geo political and 1st August announcement will play a major role.
just wait for one day candle closing on your area.
If you wish to be on buying side (buy nifty future) a positive candle on top of the trend line.
Selling future for the month is only wise if 24k is crossed. Technically a bounce is expected and hopefully a green candle for August month.
AUD/USD Sell SetupOANDA:AUDUSD
Timeframe: m30
Entry: 0.66151
SL: 0.66266
TP1: 0.66033
TP2: 0.65914
TP4: 0.65681
📊 Setup Rationale
🔺 Channel Top Rejection (8H Overlay) Price has touched the upper boundary of a descending channel visible on the 8-hour chart. This zone has historically acted as a strong resistance, increasing the probability of a reversal.
🧱 Local Structure (30min) Entry aligns with a minor double top (in lower TFs) and bearish momentum. The tight SL allows for a high R:R profile.
🔄 Momentum Shift Watch for bearish engulfing or rejection wick on lower timeframes to confirm entry.
#MJTrading #Forex #AUDUSD #Sell
Psychology always matters:
HEI/USDTKey Level Zone: 0.4020 - 0.4100
LMT v2.0 detected.
The setup looks promising—price previously trended upward with rising volume and momentum, then retested this zone cleanly. This presents an excellent reward-to-risk opportunity if momentum continues to align.
Introducing LMT (Levels & Momentum Trading)
- Over the past 3 years, I’ve refined my approach to focus more sharply on the single most important element in any trade: the KEY LEVEL.
- While HMT (High Momentum Trading) served me well—combining trend, momentum, volume, and structure across multiple timeframes—I realized that consistently identifying and respecting these critical price zones is what truly separates good trades from great ones.
- That insight led to the evolution of HMT into LMT – Levels & Momentum Trading.
Why the Change? (From HMT to LMT)
Switching from High Momentum Trading (HMT) to Levels & Momentum Trading (LMT) improves precision, risk control, and confidence by:
- Clearer Entries & Stops: Defined key levels make it easier to plan entries, stop-losses, and position sizing—no more guesswork.
- Better Signal Quality: Momentum is now always checked against a support or resistance zone—if it aligns, it's a stronger setup.
- Improved Reward-to-Risk: All trades are anchored to key levels, making it easier to calculate and manage risk effectively.
- Stronger Confidence: With clear invalidation points beyond key levels, it's easier to trust the plan and stay disciplined—even in tough markets.
Whenever I share a signal, it’s because:
- A high‐probability key level has been identified on a higher timeframe.
- Lower‐timeframe momentum, market structure and volume suggest continuation or reversal is imminent.
- The reward‐to‐risk (based on that key level) meets my criteria for a disciplined entry.
***Please note that conducting a comprehensive analysis on a single timeframe chart can be quite challenging and sometimes confusing. I appreciate your understanding of the effort involved.
Important Note: The Role of Key Levels
- Holding a key level zone: If price respects the key level zone, momentum often carries the trend in the expected direction. That’s when we look to enter, with stop-loss placed just beyond the zone with some buffer.
- Breaking a key level zone: A definitive break signals a potential stop‐out for trend traders. For reversal traders, it’s a cue to consider switching direction—price often retests broken zones as new support or resistance.
My Trading Rules (Unchanged)
Risk Management
- Maximum risk per trade: 2.5%
- Leverage: 5x
Exit Strategy / Profit Taking
- Sell at least 70% on the 3rd wave up (LTF Wave 5).
- Typically sell 50% during a high‐volume spike.
- Move stop‐loss to breakeven once the trade achieves a 1.5:1 R:R.
- Exit at breakeven if momentum fades or divergence appears.
The market is highly dynamic and constantly changing. LMT signals and target profit (TP) levels are based on the current price and movement, but market conditions can shift instantly, so it is crucial to remain adaptable and follow the market's movement.
If you find this signal/analysis meaningful, kindly like and share it.
Thank you for your support~
Sharing this with love!
From HMT to LMT: A Brief Version History
HM Signal :
Date: 17/08/2023
- Early concept identifying high momentum pullbacks within strong uptrends
- Triggered after a prior wave up with rising volume and momentum
- Focused on healthy retracements into support for optimal reward-to-risk setups
HMT v1.0:
Date: 18/10/2024
- Initial release of the High Momentum Trading framework
- Combined multi-timeframe trend, volume, and momentum analysis.
- Focused on identifying strong trending moves high momentum
HMT v2.0:
Date: 17/12/2024
- Major update to the Momentum indicator
- Reduced false signals from inaccurate momentum detection
- New screener with improved accuracy and fewer signals
HMT v3.0:
Date: 23/12/2024
- Added liquidity factor to enhance trend continuation
- Improved potential for momentum-based plays
- Increased winning probability by reducing entries during peaks
HMT v3.1:
Date: 31/12/2024
- Enhanced entry confirmation for improved reward-to-risk ratios
HMT v4.0:
Date: 05/01/2025
- Incorporated buying and selling pressure in lower timeframes to enhance the probability of trending moves while optimizing entry timing and scaling
HMT v4.1:
Date: 06/01/2025
- Enhanced take-profit (TP) target by incorporating market structure analysis
HMT v5 :
Date: 23/01/2025
- Refined wave analysis for trending conditions
- Incorporated lower timeframe (LTF) momentum to strengthen trend reliability
- Re-aligned and re-balanced entry conditions for improved accuracy
HMT v6 :
Date : 15/02/2025
- Integrated strong accumulation activity into in-depth wave analysis
HMT v7 :
Date : 20/03/2025
- Refined wave analysis along with accumulation and market sentiment
HMT v8 :
Date : 16/04/2025
- Fully restructured strategy logic
HMT v8.1 :
Date : 18/04/2025
- Refined Take Profit (TP) logic to be more conservative for improved win consistency
LMT v1.0 :
Date : 06/06/2025
- Rebranded to emphasize key levels + momentum as the core framework
LMT v2.0
Date: 11/06/2025
- Fully restructured lower timeframe (LTF) momentum logic
USDCHF Outlook: Further Downside Expected Next WeekUSDCHF is likely to continue its bearish momentum in the coming week. Technical signals suggest that the pair could drop further, potentially heading toward the 0.779 support zone. Traders should monitor for confirmation signals before entering short positions.
CADJPY Analysis: Uptrend Remains Intact – Look to BuyThe CADJPY pair continues to maintain its strong upward trend on the higher timeframes. Recent pullbacks appear to be temporary corrections and have not broken the overall bullish structure. Therefore, the most appropriate strategy at this stage is to wait for buying opportunities and look for confirmation before entering long positions.
Patience is key — waiting for clear price action signals or technical confirmations can greatly improve your trade success rate.
Suggested Strategy:
Monitor the H1 or H4 timeframe for bullish reversal patterns.
Look to buy when price retests key support zones and shows confirmation (e.g., pin bar, bullish engulfing, breakout).
Stick to your trading plan and follow the trend — the bulls are still in control!
Bitcoin – “topping-zone” update, grounded in the play-book 1️⃣ Big-picture wave count
We are deep inside cycle wave ⑤; sub-wave ③ delivered the textbook power surge, and price has now produced the final “pin” beyond the wedge roof – a move that often marks the last heartbeat of a fifth wave before the engine cools
.
The spike paused almost exactly at a 1-for-1 projection of wave ①, which is one of the three classic objectives for a non-extended wave ⑤ (0.618 ×, 1.0 × or 1.618 × wave ①)
.
Translation: price has reached the textbook exhaustion zone that the slide deck flags as “start thinking about profit-taking”.
2️⃣ What the internals are whispering
The manuals remind us that momentum should start to lag into a wave ⑤ – that’s exactly when bearish divergence appears and warns that the impulse is running out of stamina .
We now have that divergence across the three-day pane, lining up perfectly with the theory. In the past, that signal has kick-started either:
a shallow wave-four-type pullback (23.6 – 38.2 % of the entire leg) if the up-trend is still healthy, or
a full ABC retrace back to the 38 – 50 % pocket when the whole five-wave sequence is complete.
3️⃣ Fibonacci map – unchanged edges, new mid-points
Layer Why it matters (per slides)
117 k – 118 k 0.382 extension cluster and sub-wave ③ peak – first ceiling.
123 k wick 1.0 × wave ① – often the maximum for a regular wave ⑤
.
126 k – 131 k 1.618 overlay of the sub-waves – only reached if wave ⑤ “blows off”.
109 k 23.6 % retrace of the whole advance – first landing pad for a normal pullback
.
103 k – 99 k 38–50 % retrace – where a completed impulse usually rests before the next macro move.
4️⃣ Likely path from here (probabilities courtesy of the slide guidance)
Scenario Odds What you’d expect? How the slides back it up?
Truncated top – the wick was the high ~60 % Price rolls over swiftly; three-leg drop towards 109 k unfolds within weeks. Divergence in a ⑤ is a tired market; truncated fifths are common when wave ③ was extended
.
Mini blow-off to 126–131 k ~30 % Market reclaims the wedge roof quickly, squeezes short sellers, then stalls at 1.618 cluster. Slides label 1.618 × wave ① as the “stretch target” for an extending ⑤
.
Magazine-cover 139 k print <10 % Needs vertical follow-through and no weekly divergence – neither is present. Only seen when sentiment is euphoric and momentum refuses to fade (not the case now).
5️⃣ How to turn this into trades (slide-rule style)
Trail profits, don’t chase: the slide on “profit-taking in wave ⑤” recommends feeding the position back to the market once equality or 0.618 targets print, rather than waiting for a collapse
.
Watch the 23.6–38.2 % retrace band: that zone is the historic sweet spot for a healthy reset after a parabolic run; if price bounces there with improving momentum, the up-trend can restart
.
If— and only if—price vaults the wedge roof again, leave a runner for 126–131 k, but tighten stops using the 78.6 % trailing method highlighted in the slides.
In plain English
Bitcoin has done everything a late fifth wave is supposed to do: overshoot a channel, tag a textbook fib target, and lose its breath while momentum lags. That doesn’t guarantee an immediate plunge, but history – and the curriculum we’ve been working through – say a meaningful pullback is now the path of least resistance. Prepare for a cooling phase toward the low-100 k region; if we sprint instead, treat it as a bonus round, not the baseline.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Weekly Analysis. Bull Market Top1️⃣ Key Market Structure - Elliott Wave Analysis
📉 Elliott Wave Progression:
BTC is in Wave 5️⃣, which historically marks the last bullish impulse before a potential correction.
Wave 3️⃣ was strong, confirming the trend continuation.
Now BTC is approaching the potential Bull Market Top 🚀.
🟢 Current Market Position:
BTC is forming Wave 5, targeting $117K - $139K as per Fibonacci extensions.
The final Wave 5 completion zone is projected within this range.
2️⃣ Fibonacci Retracement & Extension Levels
📊 Fibonacci Levels to Watch:
📍 0.236 Retracement: $93,845.34 ✅ (Minor pullback support)
📍 0.382 Retracement: $85,842.61 ✅ (Stronger correction zone)
📍 0.5 Retracement: $79,876.11 ⚠️ (Critical mid-level support)
🎯 0.382 Extension: $117,331.51 (Potential first target resistance)
🎯 0.618 Extension: $139,205.03 (Bull Market Top Projection)
📌 BTC Weekly High: $109,358.01
📈 BTC Current Price: ~$99,449.97
3️⃣ Technical Indicators - Confirmation Signals
📊 MACD (Momentum Indicator)
✅ MACD Histogram is still positive ➝ Confirming bullish momentum.
⚠️ Flattening MACD lines ➝ Indicates momentum might be slowing.
📊 RSI (Relative Strength Index):
🔼 RSI is near overbought zone (~69-70)
⚠️ Possible local top - BTC might need a correction before further upside
4️⃣ Key Support & Resistance Zones
🛑 Major Support Levels:
🟢 $93,800 (0.236 Fib - Short-term pullback zone)
🟢 $85,800 (0.382 Fib - Stronger correction zone)
🟢 $79,800 (0.5 Fib - Must hold support for long-term bullish trend)
🎯 Resistance Levels - Price Targets:
🔴 $109,000 (Current High - Short-term resistance)
🔴 $117,000 (First Major Resistance - 0.382 Fib Extension)
🚀 $131,000 - $139,000 (Bull Market Top Zone - 0.618 Fib Extension)
5️⃣ Trading Strategy & Market Outlook
💹 Bullish Bias Until BTC Breaks Below $93,800
🎯 Target Areas for TP (Take Profit):
✅ Conservative Traders: Exit near $109,000 - $117,000
✅ Higher Risk Targets: $131,000 - $139,000
⚠️ Risk Management:
🛑 Stop-loss: Below $93,000 to protect against a deeper correction.
📈 Scaling In: Consider adding positions if BTC retraces to the 0.382 ($85,800) or 0.5 ($79,800) Fibonacci level.
💡 Summary & Final Thoughts:
✅ BTC is in the final Elliott Wave 5 move, targeting a potential Bull Market Top of $131K - $139K based on Fibonacci extensions.
⚠️ However, RSI is overbought, and MACD momentum is slowing, meaning a pullback to $93K or $85K is possible before the next move higher.
🚀 Bullish until BTC breaks below key supports. Watch $109K and $117K for short-term resistance.
📊 Strategy: Hold long positions with profit-taking targets at $117K, $131K, and $139K. Use $93K as a support level for risk management.
GOLD (XAU/USD) SHORT TRADE PLAN
July 25, 2025
Trade Overview (My setup)
- Direction: Short (SELL)
- Entry Price: $3,330
- Take-Profit: $3,270
- Stop-Loss: $3,370
- Lot Size: 0.18 lots (18 oz)
- Risk: $720
- Reward: $1,080
- Risk/Reward Ratio: 1.5 : 1
Technical Analysis Supporting the Bearish Bias
1. Price Structure & Trend
- Descending channel observed on the 4H chart - strong short-term bearish signal.
- Series of lower highs and lower lows confirms bearish trend.
- Price is testing $3,325-$3,300 support - breakdown opens downside to $3,270-$3,250.
2. Key Support/Resistance Zones
- Key support: $3,300 being tested.
- Resistance: $3,360-$3,370 zone - logical stop-loss location.
3. Indicator Confirmations
RSI (4H): ~35-40, bearish territory, no bullish divergence.
Moving Averages: Price below 50 EMA and 200 EMA - bearish crossover.
MACD: Bearish crossover, histogram confirms selling momentum.