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Wave Analysis

GBPUSD – Rejected at Multi-Month Resistance Amid Weak UK DataGBPUSD has clearly rejected the 1.3413–1.3443 resistance zone—a key area that previously acted as strong supply in September 2024. The pair has formed a bearish rejection candle and is now showing signs of downward momentum. Key Levels: Resistance: 1.3413 – 1.3443 (major rejection zone) TP1: 1.3176 (minor structure) TP2: 1.3014 (key demand zone) TP3: 1.2890 (deeper support target) Bearish Confluences: Price rejected from major resistance Bearish candle formation Previous similar reaction from the same level Momentum indicators favor downside 📰 Fundamental Analysis: 🔻 UK Data Weakens Further: According to the latest S&P Global Flash UK PMI (Apr 23): Composite Output Index: 48.2 (vs 51.5 in March) – 29-month low Services PMI: 48.9 – 27-month low Manufacturing PMI: 44.0 – 20-month low This shows UK private sector activity contracting, led by a steep fall in new export orders, the worst since May 2020. 🔺 Inflation Still High: Despite falling activity, input and output prices surged, driven by National Insurance hikes and wage growth. This makes it harder for the BoE to justify a cut, despite recession signs. 📌 Conclusion: The bearish rejection at 1.3413 resistance, combined with deteriorating UK fundamentals, suggests a strong downside setup for GBPUSD. A break below 1.3176 would confirm the bearish move, targeting 1.3014 and potentially 1.2890.
Short
by ultreosforex
4
DEFLATION CRASH IS NEARING HEAD N SHOULDER TOP The chart posted should be viewed with the other chart I just posted on twitter .DEFLATION CRASH IS NEARING .Can they reflate the system just enough to create a 5the wave super bubble ?? Not sure But the fact that the drop was perfect fib math and that the high was as well leads me to think I will wait just a little as I feel the world and the markets are at the crossroads of a final bubble or that the 2007 top is in place and we are bouncing back up in the ABC rally as we did in 2007 that rally was .618/66% and .786 in NYA See 2025 forecast so far it is 99% on target .Best of trades WAVETIMER
by wavetimer
COS/USDTKey Level Zone: 0.003380 - 0.003400 HMT v8.1 detected. The setup looks promising, supported by a previous upward/downward trend with increasing volume and momentum, presenting an excellent reward-to-risk opportunity. HMT (High Momentum Trending): HMT is based on trend, momentum, volume, and market structure across multiple timeframes. It highlights setups with strong potential for upward movement and higher rewards. Whenever I spot a signal for my own trading, I’ll share it. Please note that conducting a comprehensive analysis on a single timeframe chart can be quite challenging and sometimes confusing. I appreciate your understanding of the effort involved. Important Note : Role of Key Levels: - These zones are critical for analyzing price trends. If the key level zone holds, the price may continue trending in the expected direction. However, momentum may increase or decrease based on subsequent patterns. - Breakouts: If the key level zone breaks, it signals a stop-out. For reversal traders, this presents an opportunity to consider switching direction, as the price often retests these zones, which may act as strong support-turned-resistance (or vice versa). My Trading Rules Risk Management - Maximum risk per trade: 2.5%. - Leverage: 5x. Exit Strategy Profit-Taking: - Sell at least 70% on the 3rd wave up (LTF Wave 5). - Typically, sell 50% during a high-volume spike. - Adjust stop-loss to breakeven once the trade achieves a 1.5:1 reward-to-risk ratio. - If the market shows signs of losing momentum or divergence, ill will exit at breakeven. The market is highly dynamic and constantly changing. HMT signals and target profit (TP) levels are based on the current price and movement, but market conditions can shift instantly, so it is crucial to remain adaptable and follow the market's movement. If you find this signal/analysis meaningful, kindly like and share it. Thank you for your support~ Sharing this with love! HMT v2.0: - Major update to the Momentum indicator - Reduced false signals from inaccurate momentum detection - New screener with improved accuracy and fewer signals HMT v3.0: - Added liquidity factor to enhance trend continuation - Improved potential for momentum-based plays - Increased winning probability by reducing entries during peaks HMT v3.1: - Enhanced entry confirmation for improved reward-to-risk ratios HMT v4.0: - Incorporated buying and selling pressure in lower timeframes to enhance the probability of trending moves while optimizing entry timing and scaling HMT v4.1: - Enhanced take-profit (TP) target by incorporating market structure analysis HMT v5 : Date: 23/01/2025 - Refined wave analysis for trending conditions - Incorporated lower timeframe (LTF) momentum to strengthen trend reliability - Re-aligned and re-balanced entry conditions for improved accuracy HMT v6 : Date : 15/02/2025 - Integrated strong accumulation activity into in-depth wave analysis HMT v7 : Date : 20/03/2025 - Refined wave analysis along with accumulation and market sentiment HMT v8 : Date : 16/04/2025 - Fully restructured strategy logic HMT v8.1 : Date : 18/04/2025 - Refined Take Profit (TP) logic to be more conservative for improved win consistency
Long
by Ren_MomentumTrader
Dow Inc.: Low in PlaceDow Inc. managed to hold and respond well within our active Target Zone(s) between $35.93 and $22.83 at the relevant Fibonacci levels. We currently assume that wave (II) in blue has been successfully completed, which leads us to anticipate a rise above the two indicated resistance levels ($55.67 and $71.86). Our zones remain active and could still be used for entering long positions. However, it should be noted that the price range could be tested further, and a completely new low is even possible under our alternative scenario: this wave count outlines a significantly stronger setback with the blue wave alt.(II), which would mean breaking through our dark green-blue Target Zones (probability: 35%).
NYSE:DOW
by MarketIntel
XRP Struggles at ResistanceXRP Struggles at Resistance XRP touched the upper band of the falling channel and received the first rejection here. It was rejected from the same area before (red circles). 🔹 The price is now around $2.21 and very close to the resistance of the falling trend. 🔹 The RSI side is trying to stay above the 60 level. This means that the momentum is still positive, but it is also close to the overshooting zone. 🔹 The range of $1.96 - $2.00 is now critical support. If it is broken, there may be a possibility of retracement to the $1.50s again. 🔹 For the continuation of the rise, it is imperative to throw this red falling trend with a net close. Otherwise, the possibility of rejection from this area and return to the horizontal band increases. The blue horizontal line is important; If the daily closing candle comes on it, it will break the downtrend. This is also the ceiling zone of the falling trend channel. If the breakout comes, a rapid rally begins, otherwise a correction is on the agenda again.
by ugurtash
SOLANA → Pre-breakout consolidation relative to 136.00BINANCE:SOLUSDT relative to the range support forms a false breakdown. The market reacts quite positively and the price recovers, forming a consolidation in front of strong resistance Bitcoin is also in consolidation, as well as SOL, in general the movements coincide, but lately bitcoin is leading relative to the stock market. SOL is in consolidation in front of a strong resistance level at 136.00. The primary test may end with a small correction to 0.5 fibo, or consolidation near the level, but a breakout and price consolidation above the current consolidation will be a positive signal for continued growth. The global trend reversal is out of the question, we are aiming at local targets, such as 140, 147, 152. Resistance levels: 147,152 Support levels: 129, 123, 111 In general, the global market situation is bearish, the local situation is neutral as the price is in a sideways range. A false breakdown was formed against the support of the current range. Technically, due to liquidity imbalance (after the false breakdown) the price may head towards such zones as 147 - 152 Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
18
#DOT/USDT#DOT The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading towards a strong breakout and retest. We are seeing a bounce from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 4.05. We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, which supports the upward trend. We are looking for stability above the 100 moving average. Entry price: 4.08 First target: 4.10 Second target: 4.15 Third target: 4.20
Long
by CryptoAnalystSignal
#TAO/USDT #TAO The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest. We are seeing a bounce from the lower boundary of the descending channel, this support is at 326. We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, which supports the upward trend. We are looking for stability above the 100 moving average. Entry price: 330 First target: 338 Second target: 347 Third target: 358
Long
by CryptoAnalystSignal
DeFi Index Completes Irregular Flat Correction; Bulls Back?DeFi Index may have a completed irregular flat correction within an uptrend, which may cause another rally this year, according to Elliott wave theory. Cryptocurrencies are recovering and DeFi Index is now bouncing back above EW channel, so a five-wave impulse into wave (C) of an irregular (A)(B)(C) flat correction in blue wave B can be finished. It means that a higher degree blue wave C can now be in play, which can rally this year all the way back to March 2024 highs. Is this the beginning of an ALTseason? A basic bullish irregular flat correction is a three-wave (A-B-C) pattern where wave B exceeds the start of wave A and wave C dips below wave A before the overall bullish trend resumes.
Long
by ew-forecast
#CRV/USDT#CRV The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest. We are experiencing a rebound from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 0.6600. We are experiencing a downtrend on the RSI indicator, which is about to break and retest, supporting the upward trend. We are looking for stability above the 100 moving average. Entry price: 0.6614 First target: 0.6840 Second target: 0.7120 Third target: 0.7420
Long
by CryptoAnalystSignal
GBPUSD → A false breakout can trigger a correction FX:GBPUSD is strengthening as part of the rally associated with the fall in the dollar index, but there is a technically strong resistance zone ahead that could trigger a correction... The dollar index, due to US politics, desire for lower interest rates, tariff war, continues its decline, giving an advantage to the currency pairs of the main basket. Against this background, the pound sterling is strengthening and is ready to test the key resistance at the moment: 1.343. The huge pool of liquidity, accumulated behind this area may not let the price up at the first time. The last test and confirmation of this level was half a year ago. Resistance levels: 1.343 Support levels: 1.3292, 1.3207 A sharp approach to resistance, a false breakout without the possibility of growth continuation and consolidation below the resistance 1.3430 may provoke a correction in the imbalance zone or liquidity 1.3292. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
10
BTC/USDT Analysis – $100,000 Soon?! Hello everyone! This is CryptoRobotics’ trader-analyst with your daily market analysis. Yesterday, Bitcoin continued its almost uninterrupted upward movement and is now approaching our key long-term resistance zones. In the coming days, we can expect a pullback within the bullish trend toward the $92,000 area, where a strong imbalance in delta and buying activity has been observed. Now is not the time to fall into FOMO and enter long positions at market price — it's better to wait for the mentioned local retracement. We've adjusted one of the buyer zones based on the broader context. The previous $90,300–$89,500 (potential pushing volume zone) has now transformed into $92,000–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance zone). Sell Zones: $95,000–$96,700 (accumulated volume) $97,500–$98,400 (pushing volume) $107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies) Buy Zones: $92,000–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance) $88,100–$87,000 (absorption of market selling) $85,500–$84,000 (accumulated volume) $82,700–$81,400 (volume cluster) $74,800 (key level) $69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volume) Do you think we’ll hit $100,000 this week? Drop your thoughts in the comments — it’s always interesting to compare perspectives! This publication is not financial advice.
by Crypto_robotics
1