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Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 27, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 27, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 📉 Global Markets Bet on Dovish Fed Pivot Markets are pricing in more aggressive Federal Reserve rate cuts—approximately 125 bps by end-2026—due to speculation that President Trump may replace Chair Powell with a dovish successor. Investors caution excessive political influence could jeopardize Fed independence 🏦 Fed Governor Warns of Tariff Risks Fed’s Michael Barr emphasized that tariffs could trigger inflation and unemployment, reinforcing the Fed’s wait‑and‑see approach. Expect modest rate cuts later this year, contingent on economic signals 📉 Q1 GDP Revised Sharply Lower First-quarter U.S. GDP was downgraded to an annualized contraction of 0.5%, a deeper fall than previously reported. The revision underscores drag from weak consumer spending and trade disruptions 📃 Trade Deficit Widens in May U.S. goods trade deficit expanded 11% to $96.6 billion, driven by a $9.7 billion drop in exports. Trade gap dynamics remain a headwind for growth projections 🐘 JPMorgan Sees Stagflation Risks JPMorgan revised its U.S. GDP growth forecast down to 1.3%, warning that tariff-related “stagflationary impulse” is complicating growth and inflation outlooks—and making recession risks more real 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Friday, June 27: 8:30 AM ET – U. of Michigan Consumer Sentiment – June (Prelim.) Expected to reflect growing economic caution. The index fell in May; traders will watch for further weakness. 10:00 AM ET – Fed Stress Test Results Fed to release annual bank stress-test outcomes. Strong results support financial stability, while weak spots could unsettle markets ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #Fed #inflation #macro #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
Gold Slips Deeper – Bears in Full ControlGold extended its losing streak to a sixth straight day, sliding closer to the critical $3,300 level as a rebounding US dollar and Powell’s cautious tone dampen market sentiment. Technically, the breakdown below the short-term ascending channel has validated a bearish structure. Daily chart indicators are turning decisively negative, suggesting the path of least resistance is still to the downside. Unless a fresh risk event triggers safe-haven demand, any bounce from here may simply offer sellers a better price to re-enter. The downtrend is in motion — and it’s gaining steam.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Edward_TradingFX
Gold to $3,600? Hey traders! Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) is back in the spotlight — not just for its shine, but because macro and technical signals are starting to align again. Why gold still matters? The US Dollar is weakening as markets expect the Fed to cut rates later this year. Geopolitical tensions (like Iran–Israel) are still lurking despite temporary ceasefires. Central banks are buying gold heavily — a clear long-term signal. 📈 Technically speaking: Gold remains in a long-term uptrend. Weekly EMAs are pointing upward. Strong support sits around $3,260–$3,300. A break above $3,440 could push prices toward $3,600 in the coming months. 💡 My take & strategy: As a gold trader for 7 years, I always allocate part of my portfolio to long-term gold exposure. “You don’t need to dig for gold — just wait for the market to sleep, then strike.” 😄 📌 Trade plan: Buy on dips near $3,280–$3,300 Target: $3,480 – $3,600 What’s your take? Is gold still worth holding — or is it time to chase other trades? Let’s discuss below! 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Edward_TradingFX
3
Chart Pattern Analysis Of MSTZ From K1 to K3, It is a bullish three soldiers advancing pattern, But unfortunately, it still failed to close upon a nearest resistance. K3 start with a bull gap and break up a downtrend line of a large scale consolidation range. If the following candles break up the resistance or consolidate around it, It will be a good place to buy it there. On the other hand, If the following candles successfully retest the downtrend line, It is also a good place to buy it then. Long-4.75/Stop-4.35/Target-10
CBOE:MSTZLong
by nothingchangehere
GBP/USD Rally in Full Swing – Bullish Targets AheadHi everyone, Price achieved the 1.36850 having found support near the 1.33800 level. As previously noted, the clearance of these levels strengthens our expectation for further upside, with the next key level of interest around 1.38400. We'll be watching to see how price action develops from here. We’ll continue to provide updates on the projected path for GBP/USD as price approaches this target. The longer-term outlook remains bullish, and we expect the rally to continue extending further from the 1.20991 January low towards 1.40000 and 1.417000. We’ll be keeping you updated throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support! All the best for the week ahead. Trade safe. BluetonaFX
by BluetonaFX
EUR/USD Rally Continues – 1.18000 in SightHi Everyone, As outlined in our analysis last week, we anticipated a continued move higher toward the 1.16564 and 1.18325 levels, provided price held above 1.14483. Price respected this level, and EUR/USD extended its rally, reaching our first key target at 1.16564 and pushing above 1.17400 — marking the highest level since February 2022. A successful bounce from above 1.16680 or slightly lower at 1.15998 would offer near-term support for a potential retest of the 1.17400 zone. A confirmed break above this resistance could pave the way for a move toward 1.18000, where we anticipate encountering dynamic resistance. We will provide further updates on the projected path for EUR/USD should price reach this level. The longer-term outlook remains bullish, with expectations for the rally to extend toward the 1.2000 level, provided the price holds above the key support at 1.10649. We will continue to update you throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas and positions. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support! All the best for a good end to the week. Trade safe. BluetonaFX
by BluetonaFX
Bitcoin Top is In! Bear considerationsPrice has been carving out an unclear correction off the high. The recent structure has many squinting. Is it done or the calm before another wave of selling? I am weighing two bearish scenarios here. One is more aggressive than the other. But both start with the same idea. No new high before another low. Let’s start at the top. The initial move down off the recent high could count as an impulse. Whether that is a wave 1 or a wave A is still up for judgment. Either way, that first leg sets a bearish tone at the larger degree. Here’s where it gets interesting. The correction since then shows traits of a flat. A running one at the moment. This opens the door to two active bearish projections: A wave C collapse, implying a completed A B C correction and a downside resolution. A wave 3 drop, for a possible top if this is an impulsive sequence. That is the fork in the road. And it all hinges on the next move. Right now, the smallest degree impulse off the low is doing some heavy lifting. If that pivot holds and we only get an internal retracement like a micro wave 2, the door is still open for upside continuation. But if that impulse gets invalidated, I would expect bears to press. First for a break below 100k, then toward the 95k area. Here is how to think about it: Hold the small impulse → Potential upside Break the impulse base → Wave C or 3 likely underway Context still leans bearish. Lower highs are still in play. But we are hunting a specific structure to confirm it.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by CryptoKnee
1
CLSK / 2hNASDAQ:CLSK may have ended the impulse in wave c of an expanded flat in wave (x) at 10.83 today. Wave Analysis >> The retracement in impulse c of the flat correction in (x) may have ended at 10.83 today, and the anticipated following decline of 26% will soon develop a three-wave sequence as wave (y) to conclude the entire correction in wave ii(circled). The retracing down target >> 7.93 Trend Analysis >> After the conclusion of the entire correction in the Minute degree wave ii(circled), the trend will turn upward soon to an impulsive third wave in the same degree. #CryptoStocks #CLSK #BTCMining #Bitcoin #BTC
NASDAQ:CLSK
by ElliottChart
1
BSL (Buy-side Liquidity):Symbol: EUR/USD Timeframe: 1 hour Price Range Displayed: ~1.15300 to ~1.17500 Current Price: 1.16935 🔍 Key Chart Markings BSL (Buy-side Liquidity): Marked at the top in the yellow zone (~1.17250–1.17500). Indicates where buy-side liquidity was likely taken—suggesting liquidity grab or stop hunt. SSL (Sell-side Liquidity): Marked at the bottom yellow zone (~1.15700–1.15900). Indicates a potential drawdown area—price may seek this liquidity next. Price Action: The price recently made a higher high into the BSL zone, followed by a bearish rejection. A projected path is shown: short-term retracement upward, followed by a larger move downward toward the SSL zone. 📉 Potential Outlook (Bearish Bias) The chart suggests a bearish move is anticipated: BSL has been swept, signaling a reversal point. Target: Sell-side liquidity around 1.15800, possibly lower. ⚙️ Technical Implication This setup follows Smart Money Concepts (SMC) or Liquidity Engineering: Liquidity is taken from one side of the market (BSL), and price is expected to move to the other (SSL). Possible setup for a short trade after confirmation of the retracement.
by King_Maker_FX
After grabbing buy-side liquidity (BSL),Instrument: XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs US Dollar) Timeframe: 1 hour (1h) Current Price: Approximately $3,322.345 🔍 Marked Zones and Labels BSL (Buy-side Liquidity): Highlighted near the top yellow zone around the $3,336 - $3,344 range. Price previously swept above this zone and then reversed, indicating a liquidity grab. SSL (Sell-side Liquidity): Indicated near the bottom zone, around the $3,300 level. This suggests a potential target area for price to draw down into. Supply Zone: The top yellow rectangle, where price was previously rejected. Demand Zone (or Support): The bottom yellow rectangle labeled with “SSS” (possibly short for “Strong Support Structure”). 📉 Price Action & Forecast A downward arrow projection is drawn, suggesting a bearish bias. After grabbing buy-side liquidity (BSL), the expectation is for the market to seek sell-side liquidity (SSL). Potential downside target near $3,300 or below.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by King_Maker_FX
6/25 Gold Analysis and Trading ViewGood morning, everyone! Gold experienced a sharp decline yesterday. Technically, the conditions for a rebound are in place, but since a solid bottom structure has yet to form, a retest to the downside is likely during today’s session. Key levels to watch: Resistance zone: 3336–3348 Support zones: Primary support at 3313–3303, with additional support around 3296–3282 Today’s overall strategy remains buying on dips as the primary approach, with short opportunities near resistance as a secondary option. Key scenario to monitor: If the price drops to around 3280 but fails to rebound toward 3336, and the daily close ends below 3300, then the buy-on-dip strategy will likely continue into tomorrow.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by China_MsWang
WULF / 2hNASDAQ:WULF rose by 15.5% today! An unexpected counter-trend rally, which may be considered the last high in June. Wave Analysis >> According to my bearish alternative >> as depicted on the 2h-frame above, the correction in wave b(circled) may have remained at the extreme of its second subdivision in wave (b), a final decline as the last subdivision in wave (c) would likely follow to complete the entire correction of wave b(circled) in a three-wave sequence like a zigzag or flat formation. The expected targets >> 3.36 >> 3.28 >> 3.05 #CryptoStocks #WULF #BTCMining #Bitcoin #BTC
NASDAQ:WULF
by ElliottChart
Tencent Holdings – Potential Wave Count and ForecastAs current price action unfolds, a Wave 5 (gray) forming as an ending diagonal appears to be the most likely scenario. However, the micro count remains open to interpretation and may differ slightly. Continued observation should eventually provide clarity and confirmation at the lower degrees.This ending diagonal seems to be approaching completion. A sudden reversal could suggest that Wave 4 (pink) within the diagonal is not yet finished, as the recent downward move resembles a single impulse rather than a full ABC correction. That said, this alternative is less probable given that, by the rules of a contracting ending diagonal, Wave 4 (pink) should be shorter than Wave 2 (pink). Structurally, the current labeling still fits well with Wave 4 (pink) already being completed.For now, the focus should shift to the upside, watching for a developing ABC structure within Wave 5 (pink), which would complete both the ending diagonal and the larger-degree Wave 5 (gray). Upon completion, we should anticipate a significant correction. Based on current wave dynamics, this gray Wave 5 is likely to end in a truncation or produce only a marginal new all-time high. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. All trading involves risk, and you should perform your own due diligence before making any trading decisions. The author is not responsible for any losses that may arise from reliance on this content. Always trade at your own risk.
HKEX:700Long
by UnbieX
June 27, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunitySummary: The 3310 zone has shown strong support. If this level breaks, bearish pressure is likely to increase. On the upside, the 3350 area remains a strong resistance — if price approaches but fails to break through, it could offer a good short opportunity. Keep a close watch on these two zones. Until a breakout occurs, treat price action as range-bound. I'll be updating again during the London session — need a quick rest now 😴. Stay tuned! 🔍 Key Levels to Watch: • 3364 – Resistance • 3350 – Midpoint / Intraday Key Resistance • 3345 – Resistance • 3337 – Critical Resistance • 3321 – Support • 3310–3312 – Intraday Key Support • 3300 – Psychological Support • 3295 – Support • 3285 – Support 📉 Intraday Strategy: • SELL if price breaks below 3325 → watch 3321, then 3318, 3310, 3300 • BUY if price holds above 3337 → target 3343, then 3350, 3358, 3364 👉 If you want to know how I time entries and set stop-losses, hit the like button so I know there's interest — I may publish a detailed post by the weekend if support continues! Disclaimer: This is my personal opinion, not financial advice. Trade with caution and always manage your risk.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Ombabibi
Nasdaq: At the Upper EdgeYesterday, the Nasdaq climbed above resistance at 22,475 points. Currently, the index is positioned outside our turquoise Target Zone (coordinates: 21,751 – 22,425 points), which remains active. Stops for short positions 1% above the zone have not yet been triggered. Our primary scenario remains intact for now: technically, there is room for wave B to reach the next resistance at 23,229 points. Following the B-wave peak, a downtrend is expected with the corrective wave C. With a 42% probability, we anticipate that wave alt.(4) is already complete, and the index may break directly higher within the magenta-colored wave alt.(5), surpassing the 23,229-point mark. 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by MarketIntel
2