Wave Analysis
Bitcoin Reaches PRZ with Bearish Signals — Is a Drop Imminent?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has reached the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) as I expected in yesterday's post .
Bitcoin is trading in the Heavy Resistance zone($110,720-$105,820) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , and near the Resistance lines .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Bitcoin has managed to complete the main wave 5 with the help of the Ending Diagonal . The structure of wave 5 can be different.
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks.
I expect Bitcoin to drop to at least $105,400 .
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $107,334-$108,250
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $105,037-$103,392
Note: We could be in for a bit of excitement in the financial markets during Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's speech.
Note: Stop Loss(SL)= $109,020 = We can expect more pumps.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Nasdaq-100 Wave Analysis – 26 June 2025- Nasdaq-100 broke major resistance level 22100.00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 23000.00
Nasdaq-100 index recently broke above the major resistance level 22100.00 (which has been steadily reversing the index from the end of 2024 as can be seen from the weekly NDX chart below).
The breakout of the resistance level 22100.00 continues the active primary impulse wave 3 from the middle of 2025.
With the accelerating weekly momentum, Nasdaq-100 index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 23000.00.
EUR/USD Biases (Long, Short, and Today’s View)EUR/USD Trading Biases: Navigating Bullish Momentum and Key Resistance Zones
This will be a concise market analysis essay (around 600–700 words) suitable for a financial audience, such as forex traders or analysts. Let me begin:
EUR/USD Trading Biases: Navigating Bullish Momentum and Key Resistance Zones
The EUR/USD pair, one of the most actively traded currency pairs in the forex market, has exhibited strong bullish momentum in recent sessions. As of June 26, 2025, the euro’s ascent against the dollar has brought it to a critical juncture, testing significant technical and psychological resistance levels. Traders are now weighing the potential for continued upside against growing signals of exhaustion and looming fundamental catalysts.
Bullish Outlook: A Technically Supported Advance
From a technical perspective, the bullish case for EUR/USD remains compelling. The pair is entrenched in a sustained uptrend, marked by successive breakouts above prior resistance levels and validated by daily and weekly closes above 1.1600. The current price action is converging on a crucial supply zone located between 1.1700 and 1.1900—an area historically known for triggering reversals but also pivotal in confirming trend continuation if broken convincingly.
Technical indicators further bolster the bullish narrative. The Relative Strength Index (RSI), while approaching overbought territory, is still supportive of higher prices. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) displays a widening bullish histogram, and the Average Directional Index (ADX) confirms trend strength. Near-term resistance lies between 1.1680 and 1.1730, with potential for an extension to 1.1800 should the pair breach this upper band.
On the fundamental front, improved German Ifo business sentiment data has injected optimism into the eurozone outlook. Additionally, easing geopolitical tensions and a broader risk-on sentiment in global markets have undercut the dollar's safe-haven appeal. Speculation over potential Federal Reserve rate cuts further dampens dollar strength, creating tailwinds for EUR/USD.
Bearish Considerations: Resistance and Reversal Risks
Despite the encouraging trend, caution is warranted. The area between 1.1700 and 1.1900 represents a major weekly order block (OB) resistance—territory where several past rallies have lost steam. Oscillators such as the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) and RSI are showing signs of overextension, and the market is now vigilant for reversal patterns or signs of exhaustion.
Fundamentally, while the recent Ifo data is encouraging, it remains below the key threshold of 100, reflecting lingering skepticism about the eurozone's full recovery. Moreover, upcoming U.S. economic releases, particularly GDP figures and jobless claims, could act as potential catalysts for a dollar rebound. Hawkish commentary from Federal Reserve officials could also tilt sentiment, especially if it dampens expectations of rate cuts.
If EUR/USD fails to hold above the 1.1700–1.1730 resistance zone, a corrective move toward 1.1530–1.1500 becomes plausible. Deeper pullbacks could extend toward 1.1470 and 1.1390, especially if risk sentiment reverses or economic data surprises in favor of the dollar.
Today’s View: Bullish with a Note of Caution
For today, June 26, the prevailing bias remains bullish, yet increasingly cautious. The pair is testing the lower end of the 1.1700 OB zone. A decisive break and hold above this level would likely unleash further upside toward 1.1730 and 1.1800. However, overbought conditions and proximity to a known resistance zone suggest that traders should remain alert to potential rejection.
Intraday strategies favor buying on dips above 1.1600–1.1635, with stops placed just below 1.1600 and targets set at 1.1700–1.1730. Conversely, short positions should only be considered if there is a clear rejection from the 1.1700–1.1730 area, with downside targets at 1.1530–1.1500 and stops above 1.1800.
Conclusion
The EUR/USD is currently at a pivotal inflection point. While the bullish trend is intact and supported by both technical and fundamental factors, the proximity to a major resistance zone introduces a layer of complexity. Traders must remain agile—ready to ride a breakout higher if confirmed, but equally prepared to pivot if the pair falters and signals a reversal. In markets like these, timing and confirmation are everything.
Amd - This is just the beginning!Amd - NASDAQ:AMD - perfectly plays out:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
Despite the harsh drop of about -65% which we have been witnessing starting back in 2024, Amd remains bullish. Just three months ago, Amd retested a textbook confluence of support. We saw bullish confirmation, the bottom is in and Amd will rally significantly from here.
Levels to watch: $200, $300
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
Signs of gold bottoming out are emerging
Weakened safe-haven demand: Iran and Israel ceasefire eased geopolitical risks, and gold was under pressure in the short term.
Fed policy expectations: Trump is considering appointing the Fed chairman in advance, and the market is paying attention to monetary policy trends.
Impact of the US dollar and US bonds: The weakening of the US dollar and the decline in US bond yields support gold prices, but the rebound in oil prices may limit the gains.
Focus during the day: US initial jobless claims, Q1 GDP final value and durable goods orders data. If the data is positive, it may suppress the rebound in gold prices.
Two consecutive days of positive closing, bottoming out and rebounding show signs of short-term bottoming, and the key support has moved up to 3295. If the 3312 low is maintained, it is expected to break through the 3340-3345 suppression and further test the 3357-3367 resistance. The 1-hour low is gradually raised, and the 3340 mark has become a watershed between long and short positions, which may accelerate upward after breaking through.
Support: 3325-3315 (strong and weak boundary), 3295 (medium-term bottom).
Resistance: 3345 (breakthrough key), 3357-3367 (strong pressure zone).
Operation strategy
Long layout: retrace to 3325-3320 to stabilize long, stop loss 3312, target 3340-3357.
Short opportunity: light short at 3357-3367 for the first time, stop loss 3375, target 3340-3330.
Breakthrough follow-up: after stabilizing 3345, pull back to chase long, target 3360-3380.
Key tips
Data risk: If the US economic data is stronger than expected, it may suppress the gold price to step back to support.
Trend confirmation: 3295 will maintain the rebound pattern if it is not broken, and it will turn to weak shock if it breaks down.
EURUSD SHORT TIME O LOSS TIMEI opened a long position on the EURUSD pair at 1.17195 with 10 lots.
Target: 1.174 – If the target is reached, I will take profit and open a short position.
At the same time, expecting USD weakness, I also opened a short position at 1.17200 with 20 lots.
1.168 to 1.166 is a strong support zone.
If price reaches 1.174 and I have an active short, I will close the 1.17200 short and keep the other one.
Targets and support levels are marked on the chart – I plan to close the positions gradually.
I will close 75% of the position at the 1.149 support level.
This is a demo account – I’m practicing in order to qualify for a funded trading account.
Depending on my success rate, I plan to start trading live on Forex.
Analysis and strategy of gold trend on June 26:
I. Analysis of core contradictions
Focus of long and short game:
Short advantage: geopolitical risk premium fades + hawkish stance of the Federal Reserve
Multiple support: technical oversold (daily RSI 28) + physical buying intervention
Key turning point: Whether 3340 breaks through or not determines the short-term direction
Institutional capital trends:
COMEX large sell orders pile up above 3350 (about 150 million US dollars)
Shanghai gold premium maintains 9-10 US dollars (Asian buying support)
II. Technical essentials analysis
Key chart signals:
4-hour chart: The descending channel is complete (upper rail 3342, lower rail 3288)
1-hour chart: Potential double bottom formed (neckline 3332, volume cooperation)
Daily chart: 5/10-day moving average dead cross angle expands (3326 vs 3349)
Key resistance and support levels:
Resistance level: 3335 (Asian session high) → 3342 (trend line) → 3352 (breakthrough level)
Support level: 3315 (intraday low) → 3295 (weekly low) → 3280 (200-day moving average)
III. Practical trading strategy
Main strategy: trend following trading
Entry trigger: 3342-3345 test short selling (4-hour trend line suppression)
Stop loss setting: 3353 (breakthrough previous high + spread buffer)
Target: 3310 → 3295 → 3280
Auxiliary Support strategy: defensive long position
Trigger condition: bullish engulfing + volume expansion below 3300
Stop loss setting: 3285 (0.5% below the previous low)
Target position: 3320-3330
IV. Risk control matrix
Breakthrough scenario response:
Break above 3352: stop loss short immediately, reverse light position to try long (target 3375)
Break below 3285: chase short position not more than 1% (target 3265)
Operational iron rule:
Strictly follow the 1:2 risk-return ratio
Single loss ≤ 0.5% of account net value
Clear 80% of position before the US market closes
Still bearish!If the short-term bull lifeline 3330 is lost, the trend will be bearish again. The first pressure point above is 3350-the secondary top 3345, and then the 3332-35 area. If the price bulls regain 3335 again, then the operation should be carried out in the range of 3350-3310. It is not recommended to enter the market at the halfway point because it is easy to be washed out. If the daily K line closes below 3340, then 3332-35 is the best position at present. At present, the price is bearish below 40, and it can rely on 3332-31 to continue to be bearish. The target is 3310 and 3924.
Ethereum ETH price analysis💰 The price of CRYPTOCAP:ETH tested the strength of the bottom support and failed to consolidate above it.
This means that there will be another correction wave
🔥 Considering that #ETHETF is steadily "bying" every day, it would be a good idea for us/you to buy OKX:ETHUSDT in the range of $1850-1975 for investment portfolio before further growth.
👌 And you can also place a “bucket” with a pending order to buy #Ethereum at $1700, and maybe they will even "draw fall" the price at the moment to break all stops.
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EUR-CAD Local Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-CAD is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair is
About to retest a horizontal
Support of 1.5933 and as
We are locally bullish biased
We will be expecting a
Local bullish rebound
Buy!
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SEI - One More Bullish Impulse Soon!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈After surging by over 75% last week , SEI is currently in a correction phase.
However, it is approaching the intersection of the previous high marked in orange and blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #SEI approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
CAD-CHF Bullish Rebound Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
CAD-CHF fell down sharply
And the pair was oversold
So we are not surprised to
See a bullish rebound from
The strong horizontal support
Around 0.5830 level and we
Think that we are likely
To see a further bullish move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Bearish Divergences - Short TriggeredThis move up in the fifth wave is showing a bearish divergence on the RSI. I expected us to reach the $146-150 level. I have entered a short position with a tight stop loss. Nobody knows when the party's over, I'll take my chance here and if I am proven wrong, it will only be at a small loss.
Not financial advice.