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Wave Analysis

BTC Mid-Term Outlook: Key Levels & Wave StructureAs long as March lows hold, there remains a technical possibility for one more wave up toward the 130K resistance zone. However, given the corrective three-wave structure of the recovery (rather than an impulsive five-wave move), I am now leaning toward the mid-term top being in place at January highs. If price remains below last week’s high, my operative scenario favors one more leg down to the 64K–55K–51K macro support zone. If the downside scenario unfolds, it would still be technically valid for the entire corrective wave (2) to complete within the support zone mentioned, especially considering the underlying fundamental strength of the asset. Should price break above last week’s high in the coming weeks, the odds shift in favor of a renewed uptrend, potentially reclaiming ATH and targeting 130K. The super-macro structure that I'm following as an operative wave count, assumes multi-decades bullish cycle, with the next long-term expansion phase expected once price establishes a firm bottom in the discussed support zone: Wishing you successful trading & investing decisions. Thank you for your attention! PS: The wave structure of BTC, proposed in March 2024 idea, has fulfilled itself:
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by artemfedorov
1
I think bitcoin will bounce here on the .618 On the macro we are inside an impulse wave and just touching the .618 fib level. Also, if the measure the cycles top to bottom, you will find the end of the cycle this time actually falls around October 2025. I still think 2025 will be an amazing year for bitcoin, but the sentiment right now is very low. I think now is the best time to buy. Even if stocks continue to fall, I think bitcoin will absorb the liquidity from the stock market, as has been seen before.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by dukeofthemoon
Hellena | SPX500 (4H): LONG to resistance area of 5788.8.Dear colleagues, I am still counting on an upward movement. It seems that the sellers have not lost their strength yet and I see that an update of the low in the area of 5445 is possible. Then I expect a resumption of the upward movement with a target to reach the 5788.8 area. As usual there are 2 possible entry options: 1) Market entry 2) Entry by pending limit orders if the price starts a small downward movement. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by Hellena_Trade
13
Crypto Market at Critical Crossroads: Is History Repeating?Maybe an altcoin season seems too luxurious for us investors right now. The TOTAL market cap is currently at a critical point, showing price action similar to past cycles. Previously, we had COVID as our black swan event - could today's equivalent be a trade war? We're probably approaching the final wave before the market truly enters a downtrend. It's crucial now to stay alert and prepare carefully. Everything the US is currently doing—including tariffs—serves one goal: shrinking their huge federal debt load, absorbing wealth from other global economies, and keeping gold prices in check. This gives the FED more room to reduce interest rates and reignite growth. Eventually, global markets always rebalance. Governments typically respond by printing more money to ease the pain, and historically, that's positive news for BINANCE:BTCUSD Cheap money policies always return; it's just a matter of when. Your job now is straightforward: - Be patient - Stay flexible - Maintain solid cash reserves Remain calm, stay sharp, and be ready for opportunities. #BTC #FED #TotalMarketCap #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoVeteran #TheCryptoFire
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALLong
by TheCryptoFire
1
GBPCAD - Is Bullish Breakout Ahead?TF: 4h GBPCAD is initiating along opportunity by completing 4th intermediate wave at 1.83464 . We can expect a retracement then reversal with near the lower trendline of the parallel channel. Once price comes down, we will have the opportunity to go long with minimum stop level at low of the wave 4 at 1.83640 . The bullish scenario is capable GBPCAD to provide 1.8654 - 1.8748 targets to the buyers. If the breakdown occurs, wave (4) will go deep. We update this chart time to time. Traders should only buy after a clear reversal.
by Money_Dictators
1
Big Capitulation Pattern and Bull Trap Would Make Sense Now.We now have a lot of match up in how the BTC and SPX moves have formed with both of them showing properties of what could be a choppy wave 4. This would predict we see a period of panic selling (likely driven by news) and then we enter into the ABC correction. Now ... by the book, if a bigger bear move is happening the high should now be in. If there's to be a big bull trap it'll be an ABC to the 76 retracement and then there'll be a sharp second down leg - surpassing the first. By the way things actually are, we have to be wary of the butterfly bull trap. This would look and act identical to a 76 reversal up to a certain point and then it would make a hyper parabolic spike - which would briefly trade at new highs before setting up a big rug-pull event. I explained in a previous post 70K was a critical make or break area. Upon further swing development I still think that's broadly correct but a false breakout could go as far as 65K. If we get a sharp period of capitulation here I'll be very careful with my shorts. Trailing stops aggressively. And likely be very bullish around 65K. So long as I can get reasonable stop entries (breaking of this area could mean an out and out waterfall - would not be a fun knife catch if you tried to hold it). I kinda have a feeling the worst for the BTC drop might be directly ahead of us, but that is also likely the low for the foreseeable future. Contingent on there being the sharp drop (ideally with news to explain it) and me seeing things I like in the 65K zone I can see me being extremely bullish on this in the coming month.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by holeyprofit
4
SHIB New Update/Roadmap (3D)The correction for this coin started from the point where we placed the red arrow on the chart. The price appears to be inside a Triangle or Diametric, nearing the end of wave D. The green zone is a low-risk rebuy area. There is a liquidity pool on the chart, which we expect to be swept soon. Targets are marked on the chart. A weekly candle close below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry Comment if you have any questions Thank You
CRYPTO:SHIBUSD
by behdark
1
Cable Is Trading Impulsively HigherCable is making a very nice and strong extension higher on the 4-hour time frame, so it appears to be impulsive. We should be aware of further upside, especially as the market has broken out of a base channel, which typically happens within wave three of three. In fact price is now even higher after a triangle in wave four so wave 5 of red (3) is in progress as expected, but it can target 1.32, so be aware of a new red higher degree wave (4) correction before the bullish trend for wave (5) resumes. Ideal support is at 1.29 – 1.28 area.
by ew-forecast
Using Fibonacci/Measured Moves To Understand Price TargetThis video is really an answer to a question from a subscriber. Can the SPY/QQQ move downward to touch COVID levels (pre-COVID High or COVID Low). The answer is YES, it could move down far enough to touch the pre-COVID highs or COVID lows, but that would represent a very big BREAKDOWN of Fibonacci/ElliotWave price structure. In other words, a breakdown of that magnitude would mean the markets have moved into a decidedly BEARISH trend and have broken the opportunity to potentially move substantially higher in 2025-2026 and beyond (at least for a while). Price structure if very important to understand. Measured moves happen all the time. They are part of Fibonacci Price Theory, Elliot Wave, and many of my proprietary price patterns. Think of Measured Moves like waves on a beach. There are bigger waves, middle waves, smaller waves, and minute waves. They are all waves. But their size, magnitude, strength vary. That is kind of what we are trying to measure using Fibonacci and Measured Move structures. Watch this video. Tell me if you can see how these Measured Moves work and how to apply Fibonacci structure to them. This is really the BASICS of price structure. Get Some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
NASDAQ:QQQEducation
by BradMatheny
EURUSD Under Pressure! SELL! My dear subscribers, This is my opinion on the EUR/USD next move: The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.1092 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 1.0900 My Stop Loss - 1.1202 About Used Indicators: On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
XAUUSD H4 Updat- Selling Pressure Sends Gold Tumbling Toward SupFOREXCOM:XAUUSD After struggling to stay above the 3100 area, XAUUSD is currently consolidating, awaiting the next momentum shift. Selling pressure continues to dominate, and buyers seem unable to push gold higher in the short term. From a technical perspective, the current lack of buying strength may be attributed to market uncertainty following comments from former U.S. President Donald Trump regarding potential tariff policies. These remarks have added a layer of risk-off sentiment, causing investors to step back from safe-haven assets like gold. On the 4-hour chart (H4), there's a visible downside potential with key support levels seen in the 2955–2930 range. This zone previously acted as a strong demand area, making it an important level to watch in the coming sessions. Key scenarios to consider: A confirmed break below the 3100 zone could pave the way for a retest of the 2955–2930 support area. However, if gold forms a higher low above 3100, a potential bullish reversal should not be ruled out. At this stage, the best approach is to wait for clearer price action confirmation — whether gold will bounce from support or extend its correction deeper. I'll continue to monitor the price development and update accordingly if the technical structure changes significantly.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by algonauthx
New Upswing in EURUSDYesterday, EURUSD broke above the previous high and reached 1,1146. To identify potential targets in a continuing trend, we use Fibonacci extensions. EURUSD hit the first target (61.8%) yesterday and bounced off from there. The next resistance levels are around the previous highs at 1,1178. If that level breaks, the next target would be 1,1328. At the current levels, it's important not to take excessive risk - consider reducing position size and only entering trades with a solid setup!
Long
by ForexTrendline
ALGO Ready to Break Out—or Fake Out? Watch This Critical ZoneYello, Paradisers! have you been watching #ALGOUSD’s recent moves closely—or are you about to miss the bounce that could catch 90% of traders off guard? 💎After topping out in December 2024, ALGO entered a clear corrective phase. That correction just completed an ABC zigzag pattern right into a strong support region, slightly above its key weekly level—a zone where buyers historically step in. 💎#ALGOUSDT is showing clear bullish reactions between the 0.165–0.145 levels. More importantly, a complex bullish divergence is forming—on both RSI and MACD. This is your first warning sign that the bears are losing steam and bulls are ready to step back into control. 💎On the upside price must break and hold above the moderate resistance zone at 0.22 level. A successful reclaim here would not only validate the divergence but also represent a deviation reclaim, where price recovers a previously broken support level. 💎If this reclaim is successful and supported by volume, the next key zone to monitor is between 0.25 and 0.275. This region carries particular significance, as it aligns with both the descending trendline resistance and the 25% Fibonacci retracement. It is a critical level that will likely determine whether the current bounce evolves into a sustained bullish leg. 💎Should buyers maintain momentum beyond that point, the next upside target lies between 0.365 to 0.380 levels. Paradisers, strive for consistency, not quick profits. Treat the market as a businessman, not as a gambler. MyCryptoParadise iFeel the success🌴
COINBASE:ALGOUSDLong
by MyCryptoParadise