Makarios Strategy - XAU/USD 1H Ultra-Precision Analysis💰 Current Price: $3,084.20
📊 Strategy Accuracy: 75% (Mathematical Precision)
1. Elliott Wave Count - (Final Wave (v) Projection)
📌 Current Market Phase: Extended Impulse (Final Stretch)
Wave (i): $2,880 → $3,032 (First Impulse)
Wave (ii): $3,032 → $2,977 (Shallow Retrace - 38.2% Fib)
Wave (iii): $2,977 → $3,086.76 (Extended Wave - 1.618 Fib Reached)
Wave (iv): $3,086 → Target $3,060 (Retracement Expected - 0.236 Fib)
Wave (v) (Final Push): $3,060 → Target $3,120 - $3,180
Elliott Wave Projections (Mathematical Precision)
🔹 1.618 Extension (Golden Ratio Zone): $3,120.43 (Final Liquidity Sweep)
🔺 2.618 Extension (Overextension): $3,180.12 (High-Risk Profit Zone)
⚠ Bearish Breakdown Invalidation: Close Below $3,032 (Structural Shift)
2. Key Levels - (Mathematical Perfection)
🔵 Major Levels (Institutions & Smart Money Zones)
$3,120 → 1.618 Golden Ratio
$3,180 → 2.618 Expansion
$3,032 → Root Reset - Final Demand Zone
3. Market Timing & Liquidity Strategies ( Gann Synergy)
📌 Strongest Bullish Confirmation: Break above $3,086 before April 2nd → 🚀 Target $3,120 → $3,180.
📌 Bearish Breakdown Zone: Failure at $3,032 by April 7th → 🔻 Target $2,977 → $2,880.
📌 High-Volatility Windows: April 2-5 and April 12-17 (Major Market Moves Expected).
4. Volume Profile & Liquidity Zones - (Smart Money Validation)
📊 Point of Control (POC): $3,032.03 (Highest Traded Volume - Key Retest Level)
📈 High Volume Node (HVN): $3,060 (Major Liquidity Absorption Zone)
📉 Low Volume Node (LVN): $2,977 (Smart Money Liquidity Grab Zone)
✅ Break & Hold Above $3,086 → Strong Bullish Continuation
❌ Drop Below $3,032 → Bearish Momentum Shift Begins
5. Trade Execution Plan -
📈 Long Entry Setup (Final Wave (v) Expansion)
✔ Entry: $3,060 - $3,065 (POC Retest Confirmation)
✔ Stop-Loss: $3,032 (Cycle Liquidity Zone)
✔ Target 1: $3,120.43 (1.618 Fibonacci - Primary Exit)
✔ Target 2: $3,180.12 (2.618 Fibonacci - Final TP)
✔ Risk-Reward: 1:5+ (Perfect Precision - High RR)
📉 Bearish Hedge (Short Scenario in Case of Breakdown)
🚨 Trigger: Confirmed 1H Close Below $3,032
⛔ Entry: $3,020 (Retest & Breakdown Confirmation)
📉 Target: $2,977 (Liquidity Grab Zone)
📉 Final Target: $2,880 (Full Bearish Reversal)
💎 Final Thoughts - 75% Mathematical Precision
🔹 Bias: Bullish Towards $3,120 - $3,180, But Needs $3,086 Breakout
⚠ Key Risk: Break Below $3,032 Invalidates Bullish Thesis
🚀 Execution Plan: Enter & Manage Trades With Mathematical Confidence
Wave Analysis
NEXT HIGH is 3100 It's coming !! XAUUSD GOLD next move We have seen the gold rally from 2978 to 3058 , toped the level of 3058 which is the last all time high in last week , last fri day in US session we have seen some profit booking and also it retested the last swing low of asia of this week .
I'm predicting now that XAUUSD GOLD will make a new ALL TIME HIGH again in upcoming day's .
Gold: Potential Bullish Surge or Bearish Correction?Gold: Potential Bullish Surge or Bearish Correction?
On the 60-minute chart, GOLD is forming a bullish pattern between 3067.50 and 3086.80.
If the price breaks above 3086.80, bullish momentum could strengthen significantly, with GOLD potentially raising to the 3100–3110 range in the short term.
On the other hand, if the price falls below the support level of 3067.50, there’s an increased possibility of a short-term bearish correction, pushing GOLD towards 3057, 3045, or even lower.
While the pattern looks bullish, the overall market picture remains complex.
It's essential to stay flexible and watch how the price develops further.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
GOLD → Correction after a false breakout. A reversal?FX:XAUUSD is forming a false break of the channel resistance within the rally, we should wait for a correction, but not for a trend reversal. Let's see what we can expect from the price in the short and medium term.
Gold is reacting to market turmoil over Trump's tariff plans. Investors are looking for protection ahead of the possible imposition of new duties from April 2, boosting demand for the metal
Fears of a trade war and a slowing global economy are supporting gold despite positive US GDP data. PCE data and tariff updates will be key catalysts for further movement. Higher inflation could dampen the rally, while weak data will reinforce bets on a Fed rate cut, helping gold to rally further.
The energy to continue the move is gone, so I am waiting for a correction to the imbalance zone or to 0.7 Fibo to accumulate potential. The price may consolidate in the zone of 3050 - 3075 before it continues its growth
Resistance levels: 3075, 3085, 3095
Support levels: 3059, 3055
The correction after a strong rally can be quite deep. The imbalance zone 3066 - 3063 and liquidity zone 3057 play an important role. False breakdown of support may resume growth.
Regards R. Linda!
USOIL Strategy AnalysisUS crude oil inventories have declined, while expectations of tariff hikes by Trump on Russia and Iran provided short-term market catalysts. However, the economic implications of such measures have also fueled concerns about growth, leading crude oil prices to retrace after a rebound.
For intraday crude oil trading, prioritize selling on rallies with buying on dips as a secondary strategy.
Oil trading strategy:
sell @ 69.4-69.7
sl 70.2
tp 68.7-68.9
Preserve capital, manage risk, generate returns, achieve sustainable long-term profitability, and continuously learn and develop through trading. Access the link below the article to obtain precise signals.
GBPJPY - Short - 1hr setup on daily structure!Forecasting quite a move on this and other yen pairs, due to an expectation of yen strength for the coming weeks.
The early bird gets a seat in first row, i.e. the best risk to reward ratio, if you keep the trade all the way to the end.
Levels on the chart,
trade with care.
Bitcon On Track For 73.3K - Daily BreakdownBy now it's fairly obvious we've entered a bearish market. From a peak of 109k to now 82k this is hard to argue. We can view our earning moving average data with the red(10day), blue(20day), and yellow(50day) to see the candles are well below all levels. The most important level on the bearish confirmation is the 50 day EMA cross. This is known as a 'death cross'. When price crosses below the 50 day EMA price historically will continue to decline.
Our second major confirmation to enter short is by looking at lower Support zones for price. Looking at price to the left there are long periods from 73.3k to 87k where price action took off very rapidly with zero consolidation.(side ways market action). This means when price comes back down as it is there are zero support levels(as in the orange box) until 73.3k.
73.3k was previously a resistance level(where price did not go above) four times as in circled. These levels will now become a support zone for buying liquidity.
I do believe this bearish market will be much different than previous years. It will be a much more drawn out process with less typical overall volatility. This is due to the increase in the market cap is much higher than before. That being said the major confirmations based upon EMA data and zero support levels make this overall trend very clear.
Don't be stupid NEVER trade against the trend! Do not except price to snap to target over night either. This is a daily view on the overall direction of BTC and is not a short term trade. We should except price to decrease overall, but remember the market increase and decrease in 'waves'.
Weekly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for March 31 – April 4, 2025🔮 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍:
🇺🇸📈 Anticipated U.S. Jobs Report: The March employment data, set for release on Friday, April 4, is expected to show a slowdown in job growth, with forecasts predicting an increase of 140,000 nonfarm payrolls, down from 151,000 in February. The unemployment rate is projected to remain steady at 4.1%. This report will be closely monitored for signs of economic momentum and potential impacts on Federal Reserve policy.
🇺🇸💼 President Trump's Tariff Announcement: President Donald Trump is scheduled to unveil his "reciprocal tariffs" plan on Wednesday, April 2, dubbed "Liberation Day." The announcement is anticipated to include a 25% duty on imported vehicles, which could significantly impact the automotive industry and broader market sentiment. Investors are bracing for potential volatility in response to these trade policy developments.
🇺🇸📊 Manufacturing and Services Sector Updates: Key indicators for the manufacturing and services sectors are due this week. The ISM Manufacturing PMI, scheduled for Tuesday, April 1, is expected to show a slight contraction with a forecast of 49.5%, down from 50.3% in February. The ISM Services PMI, set for release on Thursday, April 3, is projected at 53.0%, indicating continued expansion but at a slower pace. These reports will provide insights into the health of these critical sectors.
MarketWatch
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Monday, March 31:
🏭 Chicago Business Barometer (PMI) (9:45 AM ET):
Forecast: 45.5
Previous: 43.6
Measures business conditions in the Chicago area, with readings below 50 indicating contraction.
📅 Tuesday, April 1:
🏗️ Construction Spending (10:00 AM ET):
Forecast: 0.3%
Previous: -0.2%
Indicates the total amount spent on construction projects, reflecting trends in the construction industry.
📄 Job Openings (10:00 AM ET):
Forecast: 7.7 million
Previous: 7.7 million
Provides insight into labor demand by measuring the number of job vacancies.
📅 Wednesday, April 2:
🏭 Factory Orders (10:00 AM ET):
Forecast: 0.6%
Previous: 1.7%
Reflects the dollar level of new orders for both durable and non-durable goods, indicating manufacturing demand.
📅 Thursday, April 3:
📉 Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET):
Forecast: 226,000
Previous: 224,000
Measures the number of individuals filing for unemployment benefits for the first time, providing insight into labor market conditions.
📊 Trade Balance (8:30 AM ET):
Forecast: -$123.0 billion
Previous: -$131.4 billion
Indicates the difference between exports and imports of goods and services, reflecting the nation's trade activity.
📅 Friday, April 4:
💵 Average Hourly Earnings (8:30 AM ET):
Forecast: 0.3%
Previous: 0.3%
Measures the change in earnings per hour for workers, indicating wage inflation.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult with a professional financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
BTC Price Prediction and Elliott Wave AnalysisHello friends,
# Bearish
>> Thank you for joining me in my analysis. As we explained in my previous idea about the White wave W, we returned before our supply which we created and go down directly to make another extension as we explained and expected but we are still never reach to our target yet.
>> Breaking 82.8K will be indication for ending this extension and also end the White wave W, but the confirmation will at breaking 83.55k level.
keep like and support me to continue, See you soon!
Thanks, Bros
AMDNot a whole lot to add to my AMD analysis. I have said for some time now that I anticipate price to make OML to the $85-$87 area down at the 1.618's. We did hit the 1.382's in the $95 area for our last low. Price did not breach the prior high of $116.55 though. This would have been a big clue that a bottom for (A) had been struck. However, the fact that it was not broke is a clue in itself. Especially with the strength this thing is showing to the downside, I will remain with my analysis that we hit the area if the 1.618's for the bottom of (A). If that is the case, the target for wave (B) will be in the $160-$190 area. Keep in mind, price won't head straight for that area when (A) is over. It will take its sweet time getting there and frustrate traders in the process. It is a (B) wave after all, and they are some of the most complex structures within EWT. For now, if price does hit my lower target, I will very likely buy a small position with a stop in place. Regardless on if price makes it all the way to my (B) wave target or not, that will be a very small risk entry point at the least.
SELL SILVER ( XAGUSD)for bullish trend reversal STOP LOSS : 3SELL SILVER ( XAGUSD)for bullish trend reversal
STOP LOSS : 34.24
Regular Bearish Divergence
In case of Regular Bearish Divergence:
* The Indicator shows Lower Highs
* Actual Market Price shows Higher Highs
We can see a strong divergence on the MACD already and There is a strong trend reversal on the daily time frame chart.....
The daily time frame is showing strength of trend reversal from this level resistance so we are looking for the trend reversal and correction push from here .....
TAKE PROFIT : take profit will be when the trend comes to an end, feel from to send me a direct DM if you have any question about take profit or anything
Remember to risk only what you are comfortable with…….trading with the trend, patient and good risk management is the key to success here
XAGUSD Silver outlookThis is my current view on XAGUSD. I have a trade running which has a lose target starting around $36, but will be subject to change as the price action develops. I'm in silver for the chance that we see much higher prices than that!!. Trading spot is a small part of my exposure to the silver sector.
GOLD UPDATESHello folks, like I said from previous note , I closed the idea with single target. with a buy/long positions at 3015.
Now I'm expecting manipulations since we have news today.
The initial target would be the previous highs.
Look for higher targets also 3100 zone.
This is only my view, I Base my idea on Fibonacci retracements expansion above.
Follow for more.
This is not a financial advice. The idea here is long and the target would be the previous high, above price 3100 is just speculation on Fibonacci.
Trend continuation within channel (15M & 1H confluence)Bias: Bullish
Strategy: Trend continuation within channel (15M & 1H confluence)
Setup: Buy $3,085–$3,090 → TP1 $3,105 → TP2 $3,110
why ?
#1D Chart (Top Left):
Elliott Wave Count suggests price is in Wave (5) of a bullish impulse.
A bullish breakout just happened from a bull flag (Wave 4).
RSI: Overbought (74) — caution of potential short-term pullback, but momentum remains strong.
#4H Chart (Top Right):
Strong impulse wave forming post corrective ABC.
Currently in sub-wave (5) — upside continuation likely toward $3,110–$3,120 before potential exhaustion.
#1H Chart (Bottom Right):
Inside a rising parallel channel.
Breakout from small range (flag) just occurred.
Expect continuation toward top of channel (~$3,110) if momentum continues.
#15M Chart (Bottom Left):
Clean structure of higher lows, ascending trendline support.
Strong bullish reaction from recent consolidation = likely institutional demand.
Elliott Wave | Final Bullish Push Before the Big Drop? | (C) of MEXC:SOLUSDT
🔵 Elliott Wave Setup | Complete structure - Final move incoming?
The current wave structure suggests we're approaching the end of the corrective (B) wave. Price is now testing the 78.6%–88.7% Fibonacci support zone, which is a typical launch area for a bullish (C) wave.
➡️ My Outlook:
- (B) correction is nearly completed at the key Fibonacci support.
- Expecting a bullish move up into the 78.6%-88.7% target box to complete wave (C) of (b).
- After that, a strong bearish move is likely towards the "End of the bear" zone.
➡️ Trading Idea:
1️⃣ Long entry within the 78.6% – 88.7% retracement support.
2️⃣ Target: Red box area (potential top of wave (C) of (b)).
3️⃣ Prepare for a short setup after confirmation of reversal from that zone.
‼️ Risk Note:
- If the price breaks below the 88.7% level, the setup becomes invalid.
- Always use proper risk management and wait for confirmation.
💬 What do you think? Is wave (B) already complete or are we getting one more push?
#ElliottWave #ChartAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #Fibonacci #Crypto #Forex #Trading