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Wave Analysis

PLTR: Is the fifth wave underway?If we see a higher high on PLTR above today's high at $98.29, then this might confirm wave 1 of 5 of Intermediate wave 5. Some bullish divergences should propel price a bit higher to confirm the price action. Wave 2 should create an inverted head and shoulder look as a classic pattern. PLTR creates strong wave 3 price action and shallower wave 5. So, I will be expecting wave 5 to make it to at least 1.764 fib extension of Intermediate waves 1 and 2, which takes things to around $160. Depending on how far wave 2 goes, we can set some targets at a later time. I am off loading my positions from $75. Hoping to rid of everything close to $100. Will be reloading during the wave 2 retracement for the final push up. If by any chance Intermediate wave 4 extends, then things might get a bit complicated. Not getting another higher high now and correction back down to $86 would be a very good indication of that. Until then will be playing one leg at a time...
NASDAQ:PLTRLong
by mukit1
Macro Quarterly Chart of NZ50G (NZX50)Big picture view of NZX 50 Index NZ50G Quarterly Chart Basic Elliott Wave - 8 wave structure shown... with where I think we are now We appear to be in a long term 5 wave trending move higher Currently within a choppy wave 4 structure that is near completion of a triangle pattern Triangle patterns are typically Wave 4's and lead to continuation of the trend that proceeded it Therefore its quite likely we will base out somewhere around the 11,000 point mark (Currently at 12,116) before finding some support and moving higher I suspect this could lead to a large 30-50% move higher, but then expect things to get choppy and sideways for a number of years... as its going to take a lot of time to correct this 15 year trend, at least 5 years... Am looking for buy levels on some key levels on NZX stocks to start loading up long term multi year positions
TVC:NZ50G
by dionvuletich
#HBAR Current Setup Showing Warning Signs | What's Next?Yello Paradisers! Is #HBAR teasing one last move up before everything collapses? Let’s break down what this suspicious structure on #Hedera is telling us: 💎#HBAR is currently trading at $0.183, sitting just beneath a heavy resistance zone around $0.190–$0.200. Price has been unfolding inside a clear Ending Diagonal structure—one of the most deceptive patterns in technical analysis. Wave 5 is still technically in play, but momentum indicators and volume behavior are telling a different story. 💎Volume has been steadily declining even as the price has been climbing, which is never a good sign this deep into a wedge pattern. On top of that, the RSI is pushing into overbought territory, showing that buyers are pushing the market higher, but with weakening strength behind them. 💎The resistance zone above current price is absolutely key. If #HBARUSD manages to break above the red zone and sustain momentum above $0.200, this would invalidate the current bearish setup and could open the door for an impulsive extension toward $0.220 and even higher. However, that scenario currently remains the less likely one unless we see a clear and strong breakout above the zone backed by volume. 💎Until then, bears are in control of the probabilities. The market structure favors a reversal from the Ending Diagonal, and if that plays out, the move could unfold quickly. First, we’ll be watching how price reacts at $0.142, which is the first major support and likely target if the wedge breaks down. A confirmed close below that level would likely lead to a continuation of the drop, with the next strong support zone near $0.125. This area has acted as a solid demand level previously and is also the region where the Volume Profile starts to spike again. Play it safe, respect the structure, and let the market come to you! MyCryptoParadise iFeel the success🌴
Short
by MyCryptoParadise
3
$LINK Chainlink-An Indispensable Part of the Digital EconomyChainlink: A Cornerstone in Blockchain and DeFi Chainlink ( BIST:LINK ) stands as a cornerstone in the blockchain and decentralized finance (DeFi) sectors, thanks to its decentralized oracle network that bridges smart contracts with real-world data. This article delves into Chainlink's current integration strategies and technological advancements, assesses its position in the competitive oracle market, and anticipates the challenges and opportunities awaiting in the near future. By understanding these facets, stakeholders can better appreciate Chainlink's pivotal role in the rapidly evolving blockchain landscape. Understanding Chainlink's Integration and Interoperability Chainlink's integration strategies, particularly through the Cross-Chain Interoperability Protocol (CCIP), have positioned it as a pivotal player in enabling seamless interactions across diverse blockchain environments. This protocol allows for secure and efficient multi-chain communication, facilitating the development of decentralized applications that require interaction with multiple blockchain networks. Among its various applications, CCIP has been instrumental in extending Chainlink’s influence across major blockchain platforms such as Hedera and Ronin . Hedera's adoption of CCIP highlights its significance, with the protocol being deployed on its mainnet, enabling cross-chain applications over 46+ blockchain networks. This supports the tokenization of real-world assets (RWA) and advances decentralized finance (DeFi) operations, leveraging CCIP's robust security framework and the Cross-Chain Token (CCT) standard for efficient token management . Similarly, Ronin's migration to CCIP underscores the protocol's importance in gaming ecosystems, providing seamless and secure token transfers between Ronin and Ethereum Beyond technical infrastructure, CCIP’s integration efforts are crucial in the realm of DeFi and RWA adoption. Notably, collaborations with entities like Coinbase and Paxos for the USDO stablecoin incorporate Chainlink's Proof of Reserve mechanism alongside CCIP for enhanced transparency and cross-chain capabilities. This level of interoperability and security is further extended into traditional financial markets through partnerships with Swift and Euroclear, facilitating seamless blockchain connectivity using existing standards. One of the standout examples of Chainlink’s strategic partnerships is its collaboration with Shiba Inu’s Shibarium. Announced in March 2025, this integration incorporates CCIP, facilitating cross-chain transactions for tokens like SHIB, BONE, and LEASH across 12 blockchains. This not only strengthens Shibarium's ecosystem but also introduces advanced data solutions through Chainlink’s market data feeds, promising a significant expansion in functional capabilities for decentralized finance applications . Technological Foundations of Chainlink Chainlink's success in the DeFi ecosystem is anchored in its robust technological infrastructure. Three core components—data feeds, Proof of Reserve (PoR) mechanism, and smart contract automation functions—underscore its technical prowess and reliability. Chainlink's data feeds are crucial for bringing off-chain information to on-chain environments, providing real-time and decentralized data essential for blockchain operations. These feeds pull from multiple sources to ensure data integrity and reliability, catering to fields like market data, weather information, and more. For instance, Chainlink's BTC/USD feed on the Ethereum Mainnet exemplifies the system's capability in handling critical financial data with accuracy . Through a network of independent nodes that are motivated to deliver precise information, Chainlink guarantees the high security and tamper-resistance of these feeds, supporting substantial transaction values across diverse blockchains . The Proof of Reserve mechanism stands out as a transformative feature, allowing real-time verification of reserve assets. Chainlink's PoR significantly improves transparency in fiscal environments by enabling institutions like 21Shares and Ark Invest to verify their reserve holdings continuously . This real-time verification negates the need for traditional audits, providing a more fluid and ongoing assurance of reserve backing, essential for applications in stablecoins and tokenized funds . Smart contract automation, leveraging Chainlink Automation and Functions, is another critical facet that enhances Chainlink's offerings. Automation services, previously known as Keepers, enable contracts to execute autonomously based on pre-set criteria like time schedules or external events . By integrating external API data into smart contracts, Chainlink Functions empowers applications to react dynamically to real-world changes, facilitating complex operations such as automatic fee conversions and stablecoin redemptions . Competitive Landscape and Market Dynamics Chainlink stands as a formidable leader in the decentralized oracle market, holding over 80% market share, serving a significant volume of the blockchain ecosystem's contract needs and maintaining partnerships exceeding 1,500, including those with prominent projects like Aave, Uniswap, and Google Cloud . This robust network offers high-value services, ensuring accurate data via technologies such as the Cross-Chain Interoperability Protocol (CCIP) . However, as the decentralized oracle arena evolves, competitors like Band Protocol , API3 , and smaller emergent players such as RedStone Crypto and Pyth Network strive to capture niche segments of the market. Band Protocol , for instance, provides cross-chain compatibility and provides data feeds across 60 partnerships, although still significantly trailing in comparison to Chainlink's vast ecosystem . Band focuses on specific use cases, offering competitive services for niches like sports data and random number generation . API3 stands out by employing direct first-party data feeds, eliminating the need for intermediaries which is a major contrast to Chainlink's node-operated model. Although its current market impact is less prominent than Chainlink , API3 's Oracle Extractable Value (OEV) rewards system has incentivized dApps use, successfully distributing substantial rewards to various projects such as Compound . While these competitors chip at specific market needs, Chainlink strengthens its position by embracing AI integration and maintaining a seamless cross-chain application framework. Its innovative steps into data streaming for sub-second updates and comprehensive AI enhancements further solidify its position as the oracle of choice, capable of handling a wide variety of blockchain needs effectively . Emerging technologies, such as AI-driven analytics and real-time data services by competitors, suggest intense competitive pressures on Chainlink's foundational strengths. Therefore, Chainlink's continued dominance relies on strategic adaptation, robust technological advances, and maintaining its extensive partner network to combat niche encroachment by these alternative services . Challenges and Strategic Responses Chainlink is currently navigating a complex landscape of challenges, from market volatility and regulatory scrutiny to scaling its technical operations. To sustain its growth and maintain its market position, Chainlink must implement strategic responses that address these concerns dynamically. Market volatility remains a formidable challenge for Chainlink, as the cryptocurrency market is known for its rapid fluctuations. High volatility can lead to unpredictable price swings that affect investors' confidence and market positioning. To mitigate these risks, Chainlink should focus on strengthening its ties within the DeFi ecosystem, ensuring robust integrations with major blockchains like Ethereum, and leveraging its expansive network of 1,500+ partnerships to stabilize its influence and market relevance . Governmental scrutiny and regulatory compliance are additional hurdles. The regulatory landscape for cryptocurrencies constantly evolves, with heightened focus on transparency, anti-money laundering (AML), and know-your-customer (KYC) standards. Chainlink’s proactive engagement with regulatory bodies, as evidenced by co-founder Sergey Nazarov's advocacy for regulatory clarity around real-world asset (RWA) tokenization, positions the company to influence favorable policy outcomes that support its operational goals . Establishing partnerships that enhance compliance will ensure that Chainlink remains adaptable in a rapidly changing legal environment. Prospects for Chainlink’s Future Growth Chainlink is poised to significantly influence the blockchain landscape by leveraging technological innovations and strategic positioning. As the blockchain ecosystem matures, Chainlink’s proactive adoption of advanced technologies like the Cross-Chain Interoperability Protocol (CCIP) will be pivotal. This protocol facilitates secure cross-chain asset transfers and interactions, which are essential for enhancing decentralized finance (DeFi) and enabling enterprise-level tokenization—a key avenue for future growth . In the ever-evolving blockchain environment, maintaining robust interoperability through CCIP can position Chainlink as a leader in cross-chain solutions. They continue to expand their reach with significant integrations across multiple blockchains, such as Arbitrum, Avalanche, and Ethereum. These integrations underscore Chainlink's growing footprint in decentralized applications, further solidifying their influence in the industry . Market trend analyses for Chainlink vary broadly, reflecting investor sentiment and anticipated market developments. While some forecasts suggest conservative price estimates for 2025, ranging from $14.17 to $19.74, others project moderate optimism, predicting values between $25 and $39.2 driven by continued DeFi influence and technical innovations . Long-term outlooks are more bullish, with anticipated values reaching up to $181.79 by 2031, highlighting potential substantial growth as Chainlink capitalizes on macroeconomic crypto trends. My prediction is the same Chainlink’s decentralized oracle network remains crucial for bridging smart contracts and real-world data, playing a foundational role in supporting not only DeFi but also broader enterprise solutions. The expansion of Chainlink’s integrations and services enhances its capability to harness cross-chain functionality, vital in driving its future success . Preemptively positioning itself within emerging enterprise dynamics and leveraging cross-chain solutions effectively can ensure that Chainlink maintains a competitive edge. As blockchain technology integrates deeper into various industry sectors, Chainlink's forward-looking strategies, particularly in enhancing interoperability and service expansion, will be key to sustaining its growth trajectory and tapping into new market opportunities over the next decade. Conclusions Chainlink solidifies its position as a leader in decentralized oracle services, with strategic integrations and technological advancements fortifying its market presence. While it faces competition and regulatory challenges, its potential for growth remains significant. By maintaining innovation and strategic alliances, Chainlink is poised to navigate future challenges effectively, offering considerable opportunities for investors and stakeholders. The insights discussed underscore Chainlink’s resilience and its continuous influence in shaping the future of blockchain and DeFi ecosystems. Best regards EXCAVO
Long
by EXCAVO
7
TSLA: An alternate (bullish) viewMy primary count on TSLA is still bearish. On my primary view, this move is supposed to be wave Y of Primary wave 4. If that is still in progress, then the current consolidation is only wave b of Y and TSLA should fall back more towards the lows of $100 area. But we cannot ignore the other side altogether. In this alternative view, Primary wave 4 was complete back in Jan 2023 and since then TSLA has been making a gigantic ending diagonal wave5 to complete the cycle wave 3. If that is the case, then we should see some kind of a bottoming pattern to complete wave Y intermediate wave 4 and resume wave 5 upward. So, how can we prepare for whichever direction things play out? If price to follow the bearish count, price would break below the $214 low and continue on a strong 5 waves C down to complete the correction. If price to take the bullish route, should not create any lower low from $222.79 and ultimately break above $291.85.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by mukit1
RIOT: Double bottom to the moon or false break nosedive?The move up today looks very encouraging, but we only have a 3 waves move so far. Price broke above $7.39, which is a good sign, a higher high. Now price needs to stay above $6.67 and complete a full 5 waves sequence. Even then, the danger might not be over until price breaks above $8.24 and better yet, above $8.86. I will be ready to get my bag filled on wave 2 retrace and will have stop loss at the last low. If we don't see price making another high before the retrace, chances are RIOT will go lower one last time. At the moment, crypto market overall seems to be on a rebound. Has the mighty bull market started? We will find out soon enough! I am following M2 money supply chart closely. There are some very intriguing analyses out there on correlation between M2 global money supply and total crypto market cap. Fundamentally, it makes a lot of sense. And if BTC rebounds, RIOT and other miners will rebound stonger. Recently, the Gold bull run has made GDX spike higher (almost 33% for gold this year compared to almost 60% for GDX). If GDX breaks to all time high, that will be an extreme move by the miners. If RIOT and other big BTC miners see similar move against BTC, it will be multiple times gains. Not trying to bet on something theoretical, but if it plays out, it will make a lot of very rich holders...
NASDAQ:RIOTLong
by mukit1
3
BINANCE DELISTING, IS THERE STILL HOPE FOR THESE COINS?BINANCE DELISTING IS THERE STILL HOPE FOR THESE COINS? Binance has delisted the trading pairs for STMX, NULS, BAL, and FIRO. So, is there still a chance for these tokens? Currently, these pairs still have liquidity on a few other exchanges. Now, let’s dive back into the charts to see if there’s anything worth exploring. Overall, the Weekly (W) and Monthly (M) cycles are in a downtrend. The Weekly cycle is nearing the completion of its bottom and starting to rise. We will enter at the current price based on the D1 cycle. Once the D1 cycle forms a peak, we will exit our spot positions. The green line zone represents the expected profit area for this upward move. Stay disciplined and trade according to the D1 cycle, no longer. LOOK CHART: STMXUSD BALUSD NULSUSD
CRYPTO:FIROUSDLong
by rainbow_sniper
FTSE Short-Term 5 Swing Pattern Favors Additional GainsThe FTSE index experienced a significant decline from its high on April 3, 2025, reaching a low of 7552.65. We identify this as the completion of wave II. This downturn followed a zigzag pattern, a common structure in Elliott Wave analysis. Starting from the April high, the decline unfolded in three phases: wave ((A)) dropped to 8481.1, wave ((B)) rebounded to 8742.75, and wave ((C)) fell further, structured as a five-wave impulse. Within wave ((C)), the sub-waves progressed as follows: wave (1) hit 8615.96, wave (2) recovered to 8717.03, wave (3) fell to 8023.45, wave (4) rose to 8123.27, and wave (5) concluded at 7547.69, finalizing wave ((C)) and wave II. Since hitting this low, the FTSE has begun to recover. The ongoing rally from the wave II low is unfolding in a five-wave upward pattern, suggesting potential for further gains. So far, wave 1 of this rally peaked at 8021.77, and wave 2 pulled back to 7599.56. We anticipate wave 3 to push higher soon, followed by a wave 4 pullback, and then a final wave 5 to complete wave (1) of the broader upward move. In the short term, as long as the 7547.69 low holds, any dips are likely to attract buyers at key levels (often referred to as 3, 7, or 11 swings in Elliott Wave terms), supporting further upside.
TVC:UKX
by Elliottwave-Forecast
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for April 23, 2025🔮 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🇺🇸 U.S.–China Trade Tensions Ease: President Trump announced plans to "substantially" reduce tariffs on Chinese imports, signaling a potential de-escalation in the trade war. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent labeled the current tariffs as "unsustainable," and the IMF warned of a "major negative shock" to global growth due to the ongoing trade conflict. 📉 Tesla's Profit Decline: Tesla reported a 71% drop in Q1 profits, attributing the decline to backlash over CEO Elon Musk's involvement in government affairs. Musk announced plans to reduce his role in the "Department of Government Efficiency" (Doge) starting in May. ​ 🛫 Boeing's Earnings Under Scrutiny: Boeing is set to report earnings, with investors closely watching for impacts of trade tensions on Chinese plane deliveries. The company's performance is seen as a bellwether for the aerospace sector amid global economic uncertainties. 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Wednesday, April 23: 🏠 New Home Sales (10:00 AM ET): Forecast: 675,000 Previous: 662,000 Measures the annualized number of newly constructed homes sold, indicating housing market strength.​ 📈 S&P Global Manufacturing & Services PMI (9:45 AM ET): Manufacturing Forecast: 49.5 Services Forecast: 51.0 Provides insight into the economic health of the manufacturing and services sectors.​ 🛢️ EIA Crude Oil Inventory Report (10:30 AM ET): Reports on the weekly change in the number of barrels of commercial crude oil held by U.S. firms, influencing oil prices and energy sector performance.​ ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.​ 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
What is Mapping?The discrepancy between mapping and the real-time market is almost zero. This is pure luck, nothing else. What is Mapping? Mapping is a method of projecting outcomes based on reading current and historical real-time data. To achieve accurate mapping results, you need a system that correctly identifies trends, accurately detects peaks and troughs, and clearly defines what constitutes a Swing and what constitutes Scalping, as well as what a test is, where the test occurs, where the peak price is, and so on. Among these systems, the trend-reading system is the most critical—it must be absolutely accurate for the other systems to function correctly. If the trend is misread, the other systems are almost guaranteed to fail. Mapping is merely a projection based on recommended data for users who lack such a system. With this system in place, we don’t need projections or mapping. We can wait for results, proactively seek results, or monitor outcomes as they unfold to take action. For example, if you want to buy MAGIC again, you must wait for the H4 timeframe to signal a bottom. When the H4 system indicates that MAGIC has formed a bottom, we know it’s safe to buy. If you buy before the H4 confirms a bottom, you’re buying too early, the price may not move, and you’re likely to hit a Stop Loss (SL).
Long
by rainbow_sniper
XAUUSD at a Critical JunctureAs I previously mentioned, the upside potential in XAUUSD appears relatively limited. At present, I estimate that XAUUSD is forming wave iv of wave (v) as indicated by the black label (best-case scenario), suggesting a potential correction toward the 3,228–3,292 range. Should this scenario hold, the next bullish target lies within the 3,483–3,561 area. However, you should also be mindful of the bearish scenario (red label), where XAUUSD may have completed wave 3. In such a case, the current movement could represent the beginning of a deeper correction as part of wave 4, with the potential downside projected toward the 2,854–3,101 range.
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by herdityawicaksana
1