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Wave Analysis

GOLD → Retest of risk zone 2880. A pullback is possibleFX:XAUUSD is breaking the local trend and is testing the panic and risk zone of 2880 as part of the correction. A retest of this area will increase the chances of a trend change Gold is losing growth due to uncertainty of Trump's tariff plans and economic problems in the US. Contradictory statements from the president are supporting the dollar, while rising bond yields are holding back gold prices. Markets are waiting for US GDP data: if the figures are lower than forecast (2.3%), gold may rise. Fed speeches are also important, but the key will be Trump's statement, which may change the market sentiment Technically, locally we have a bearish market structure and in this case we expect the decline to continue after a small correction. Support levels: 2878, 2888 Resistance levels: 2890, 2907 False breakdown of the above support, after such a strong fall, may form a correction. Initially, the price may head towards 0.5 Fibo, after a small pullback we may test 0.7 Fibo. But then we will have to watch the price reaction. If the gold will go down, the focus will be on 2880. If the movement will be difficult and the price will start to test the resistance, then in this case, against the background of high risks, we can return to the growth phase. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
14
Elliott Waves SHows That Gold Is Turning South For Corrective ReGold started the year bullish with a strong extended leg to the upside close to 3k, but the move looks impulsive and may have found a temporary top near 2950. The reversal this week is coming from an ending diagonal, with the price now attempting to break the lower trendline support of the bullish channel. This suggests gold could be entering a corrective wave 4, likely unfolding in three waves. For those looking to join the trend, it’s better to wait for a deeper correction and a retest of lower support in this wave  four pullback. Supports are at 2864 and 2789 At the same time, keep an eye on USD/CNH—if it pushes higher now for wave four, to retest its 2022 highs, gold could remain sideways for a while. In such case the new opportunities to rejoin the gold uptrend may come after USD/CNH completes its recovery from the 2024 lows, possibly around 7.40. GH
by ew-forecast
Chainlink $LINK Growth Factors in 2025 Chainlink is expected to experience significant growth due to several key factors influencing its adoption and market value by 2025: 1. Decentralized Oracle Network: Chainlink's role as an oracle network allows it to connect smart contracts to real-world data, enhancing the functionality and reliability of decentralized applications, particularly in decentralized finance (DeFi). 2. Strategic Partnerships: Collaborations with firms like Ripple and Swift are establishing Chainlink as a critical player in traditional finance, emphasizing its importance for providing secure, real-time data for various financial applications. 3.Broader DeFi Implications: The rising adoption of stablecoins, such as RLUSD, and the liquidity they provide are solid foundations for DeFi growth, which Chainlink supports through its reliable oracle services. 4. Technological Innovations: Chainlink is advancing the Cross-Chain Interoperability Protocol (CCIP), aiding in seamless asset transfers across blockchains, making it more attractive for developers and enterprises alike. 5.Integration of Real-World Assets: As asset tokenization grows, Chainlink's oracles will be pivotal in verifying data, reinforcing its utility in DeFi ecosystems and extending its reach into capital markets. 6. Overall Market Sentiment: Predictions for LINK’s price in 2025 $60+, primarily driven by adoption rates and market dynamics, but optimistic scenarios could see much higher valuations. Conclusion In summary, Chainlink is strategically positioned for growth in 2025 through its innovations, partnerships, and persistent integration into both the DeFi space and traditional finance. I see a standard pattern here of accumulation, pre-pump, pump, real pump. There aren't many fundamentally strong infrastructure projects right now, but link is one of the strongest. That's why many people are adding it to their portfolios Best regards EXCAVO
Long
by EXCAVO
18
(USOIL) on the 4-hour (4H) timeframe, (USOIL) on the 4-hour (4H) timeframe, showing technical analysis and potential price movement. Chart Details: • Current Price: Around 69.01 - 69.07 • Technical Analysis: • Support Zone: 68.26 - 69.18 (marked in red) • Resistance Levels: 75.14 - 77.03 (yellow and purple zone) • Chart Pattern: Possible double bottom or bullish reversal setup • Expected Movement: If the support holds, price may rise towards 74-75 • Previous Resistance: Horizontal key levels and a head & shoulders pattern Conclusion: This chart suggests a bullish breakout possibility, especially if the price stays above 69 and moves upward. However, if it breaks below 68.26, further downside pressure could build up.
TVC:USOIL
by Artiverma256
OPUSDT → There's still a chance for an alt seasonBINANCE:OPUSDT is showing positive momentum relative to what bitcoin has put up this night. The coin is in consolidation and testing trend resistance The main reason for the lack of an altcoin season is bitcoin's huge dominance of the cryptocurrency market. The fall of BTC (open channel to 75K) and further growth after the formation of an intermediate bottom in the 75-80K zone may reduce the dominance phase, which in general will give a chance to the altcoin market, which is going through bad times. I like OP in the fact that it is not falling in the wake of the flagship, but stands in consolidation, where we have clear boundaries for strategy formation. Focus on resistance: 1.212. Resistance levels: 1.212 Support levels: 1.044, 0.983 Thus, a break of the resistance at 1.212 could trigger a rally and an attempt to change the trend. It may happen after correction to 0.5 fibo, or after formation of pre-breakdown consolidation on H1-H4. The structure of the setup will be broken if the coin starts to break 1.044-0.983. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
4
On a Different SKALE: SKL Analysis!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈SKL has been in a correction phase trading within the falling red wedge pattern and it is currently retesting the lower bound of it. Moreover, the green zone is a strong support. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of support and lower red trendline acting as a non-horizontal support. 📚 As per my trading style: As #SKL is around the blue circle, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
Long
by TheSignalyst
1
2025.02.24 GOLD WEEKLY OUTLOOKHello traders, Gold is currently in a very extreme market situation. One can imagine the development process of a black swan event as follows: - **Liquidity Tightening** → Institutions sell paper gold - **Physical Hoarding Wave** → Bank vaults are overflowing - **Futures Delivery Obstacles** → COMEX premiums rise - **Increased Risk Aversion** → Physical gold bars are out of stock - **Final Outcome**: Paper gold prices drop + physical gold premiums continue to rise! Currently, there are three major challenges looming over gold prices, facing a critical decision. **1. Dual Impact of Global Liquidity Tightening** The tsunami of U.S. debt is coming: Starting last Thursday, the U.S. is issuing $183 billion in ten-year treasuries all at once, equivalent to draining a large reservoir from the market. Banks and institutions must free up huge cash amounts to buy bonds, directly leading to less liquidity in the market. It's worth noting that at this time last year, the weekly bond issuance was around $50 billion; now it has tripled, and bond yields are likely to be pushed above 4.4%. On the other hand, there's a massive withdrawal of Japanese funds: After the USD/JPY fell below the psychological barrier of 150, it triggered a chain reaction. Over the past three months, arbitrage trades borrowing yen to buy U.S. treasuries now need to close positions worth 1.2 trillion yen (approximately $8 billion) daily. This capital is flowing back to Japan, which is equivalent to the global market losing the liquidity support of a medium-sized central bank every day. **2. Historical Lessons: Insights from the Oil Futures Incident** Event Recap: On April 20, 2020, U.S. WTI crude oil futures unprecedentedly fell to -$37 per barrel. The Bank of China's "Crude Oil Treasure" product faced a loss of 9 billion yuan for 60,000 investors due to the inability to complete physical delivery. This disaster exposed the core contradiction: when paper trading encounters bottlenecks in physical delivery, futures prices may completely detach from reality. Current Reflections on the Gold Market: 1. **Underlying Rush for Physical Gold**: The U.S. imported 2,000 tons of gold in two months (40% of global annual production), but exchange inventories only increased by 674 tons, indicating a significant amount of gold is being hoarded directly. 2. **Paper Gold Bubble Risk**: Gold ETF holdings dropped by 5%, while open futures contracts increased by 23%, showing speculative funds are trying to profit in the derivatives market without actual holdings. 3. **Rehearsal of Delivery Crisis**: If a sudden large-scale delivery demand arises, COMEX might repeat the "negative oil price" moment—paper gold plummets, while physical gold premiums soar. **3. The Ghost of Inflation Returns** Two dangerous warning signals have lit up: The raw material payment price indices from the Philadelphia and New York Federal Reserves suddenly jumped to a two-year high. This leading indicator suggests that this month's PCE price index may remain stubbornly high. It's crucial to note that the data that Fed Chair Powell cares about most is this one; if it exceeds a month-over-month increase of 0.4% for three consecutive months, the hope for a rate cut in June will essentially vanish. The Fed's awkward position: Current interest rates are nearly 2 percentage points lower than the theoretical values calculated by traditional formulas. The market is beginning to bet that if inflation data continues to soar, the Fed may not only hesitate to cut rates but could even be forced to reconsider rate hikes before the end of the year. Wait for a 4-hour confirmation signal, and look for shorting opportunities in gold on the 1-hour chart. The shorting targets currently only consider the support levels at the bottom of the top consolidation, namely: TP1: 2906 TP2: 2880 GOOD LUCK! LESS IS MORE!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FUNTRADER-Vera
0227 USOIL looking for a correction on 4H chart!!!Hello traders, On Wednesday, the internal alert stated: "On Wednesday, we are waiting for a new sideways trend in crude oil. Crude oil may experience a short-term decline followed by a pullback around the opening time of the European and American markets. Participation is not recommended!" On Thursday, in the four-hour chart, the C wave of crude oil is oscillating sideways at an extreme position, and there is a high probability of a certain degree of pullback! Pay close attention to the previous support level of 70.00, which is also a key psychological price level. You can consider taking a light position to go long on crude oil! TP1: 70.00 TP2: 70.35 GOOD LUCK! LESS IS MORE!
TVC:USOILLong
by FUNTRADER-Vera
Bitcoin and altcoin overview (February 27-28)Yesterday, Bitcoin broke through the buyer’s zone of $89,000–$86,300 (accumulated volumes), and the main scenario now is the continuation of the downward movement. At the moment, we are testing this zone from the opposite side. If a reaction occurs, we consider a short; if there is no reaction, Bitcoin is likely to return to the global sideways range. Sell Zones: $107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies). $97,500-$98,400 (aggressive selling volumes). $95,000-$96,700 (accumulated volumes). $91,300-$92,600 (accumulated volumes). $86,700-$89,600 (mirror zone, volume anomalies). Buy Zones: $77,000-$73,000 (volume anomalies, aggressive buying volumes). Interesting Altcoins For one of the coins we analyzed yesterday, AVAAI , we almost reached the volume zone of $0.053-$0.049 and instead formed a new volume zone at $0.0567-$0.0545, increasing the chances of a full-fledged long movement. Considering one of the scenarios marked on the chart:
by Crypto_robotics
Gold XAUUSD Intra-day Move 27.02.2025Trend Analysis: The price is moving within a descending channel (marked by parallel dashed lines). The price is near the lower boundary of the channel, suggesting a possible bounce upward. Indicators Used: Bollinger Bands: The price touched the lower band, which might indicate an oversold condition and a potential reversal. Moving Averages: A short-term moving average (blue line) is following the price closely. The price is below the moving average, confirming a bearish trend. Support & Resistance Levels: Support: ~2,868.82 Resistance: ~2,908.39 The price is currently around 2,887.19, showing signs of bouncing. Trade Setup (Highlighted on the Chart): Long Position (Buy Trade) Setup: Entry: Near the lower trendline (around 2,884/87) Stop Loss: Below support (~2,878) Target Profit: Near the upper trendline (~2,908.39) Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Favorable (green box indicates a good upside potential). Trading Signal: 📈 Bullish Reversal Expected If the price stays above the lower boundary and shows bullish momentum, a buy trade is valid. If it breaks below the support, expect further downside movement.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Quinn901