Get started

Wave Analysis

Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June  26, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June  26, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 💱 Dollar Mounts Decline on Fed Credibility Concerns The U.S. dollar dropped to a 3½-year low against the euro after reports that President Trump is considering replacing Fed Chair Powell as early as September or October. The move fueled market concern about the Fed’s independence and prompted traders to raise the likelihood of a July rate cut to 25%, with nearly 64 bps of rate cuts priced in by year-end 📉 Markets Stay Cautious Ahead of Powell’s Testimony Traders remain on edge as Fed Chair Powell’s Capitol Hill testimony continues. He reiterated caution, noting inflation risks tied to tariffs despite growing calls for easing, keeping interest-rate expectations in limbo . 📈 S&P 500 Nears All-Time Highs in Second-Biggest Bi‑Monthly Rally The S&P 500 has notched its second-largest May–June rally on record (6.2% in May, further gains in June), bolstered by cooling inflation, easing Middle East tensions, and strong AI earnings momentum led by Nvidia. Bull-case scenarios could push the index to fresh highs 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Thursday, June 26: (No major U.S. economic release—markets are focused on Powell’s remaining testimony and global risk dynamics.) ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #Fed #inflation #geopolitics #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
BULLISH SENTIMENT ELLIOT WAVE PREDICTION Wave 2 cannot retrace more than 100% of Wave 1. It can go deep, but not lower than the start of Wave 1. Wave 3 cannot be the shortest of the three impulse waves (1, 3, and 5). Often, Wave 3 is the longest and most powerful. Wave 4 cannot enter the price territory of Wave 1. This means no overlap between Waves 1 and 4 in a standard impulse. Wave 5 must move in the direction of the overall trend. It completes the five-wave impulse sequence. BULL FLAG PREDICTION Strong Uptrend (Flagpole) Consolidation (Flag) Measured Move Target - we want to see volume coming out of our consolidation phase. $150k would be a nice ATH CRYPTOCAP:BTC (MAXI) Market sentiment (IMO) : The dollar has fallen -10% this year. - Less Trust in the Dollar. #bitcoin #ethereum #vechain #ada #xrp #ltc Conflicts overseas usually push prices up because they threaten oil supplies. -Wars spark spikes in oil, food, gas and metals due to disrupted supply chains. Historically, most commodity prices double during conflicts
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by isaiahescobarrr
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD Plan for June 26, 2025 🌀 Wave Structure On the H1 chart, our previous plan anticipated price movement within green wave 3. However, the current price action lacks the sharp, impulsive characteristics typically seen in wave 3. Instead, the overlapping structure of minor waves suggests that we may not be in wave 3. This leads us to consider two primary scenarios: 🔹 Scenario 1 – abc Correction (black): Price may be forming wave c (black). However, due to the overlapping nature of recent price moves, it is likely that wave c is developing as an ending diagonal (wedge). ➡️ Confirmation signal: A sharp, steep decline that breaks below the 3297 level would signal that wave c has completed. 🎯 Target zone for wave c: 3352 – 3356 🔹 Scenario 2 – Leading Diagonal in Wave 1: The overlapping price structure could also be forming a leading diagonal (3-3-3-3-3) as wave 1. In this case, price is currently in wave 3 or 4 of this formation. ➡️ Once wave 1 completes, we expect a retracement to the 0.618 Fibonacci level of the entire wave 1 – forming wave 2. 🎯 Target zone for the end of wave 1: 3352 – 3356 📉 Momentum Analysis Momentum plays a crucial role in determining which wave structure is unfolding. D1 Timeframe: Momentum is turning upward from the oversold zone – indicating that the downtrend may be ending. This supports the scenario of a leading diagonal wave 1 and suggests we may see a sustained bullish move over the next 5 days. H4 Timeframe: Momentum is preparing to reverse downward from the overbought zone. This is a key signal to monitor today, especially during tonight’s news events. If price continues to move sideways within a wedge, it would support the leading diagonal scenario. If price breaks down sharply, it would favor the abc correction scenario. 🧭 Trade Plan 🔻 Sell Zone: 3352 – 3355 ⛔️ Stop Loss: 3362 🎯 Take Profit 1: 3333 🎯 Take Profit 2: 3323 📌 The market’s behavior during the U.S. session tonight will be critical in confirming the wave structure. Stay alert and ready to adjust the trade plan accordingly.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
2
LA Analysis (2H)From the point where we placed the red arrow on the chart, it appears that LA has entered a correction phase. There isn’t much data available for this coin, but the correction seems to be forming a diametric pattern. We’ve highlighted the most optimal zone for the completion of the final wave of this diametric (wave G) with a green area on the chart. Targets are marked on the chart. A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
BYBIT:LAUSDT
by behdark
2
AVAX Analysis (1D)From the point where we placed the red arrow on the chart, it seems a correction has begun. This correction appears to be a Diametric pattern, and wave E does not seem to be complete yet. It's expected that wave E will finish within the green zone. The target could be the red box area. A daily candle closing below the invalidation level would invalidate this analysis. invalidation level: 10.90$ For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
1
BTCUSD – Short Setup in Play📉 BTCUSD – Short Setup in Play Exchange: Coinbase | Timeframe: 1D Price has just tapped into a key supply zone after reclaiming a prior level, but momentum looks overextended. If the rejection holds, I’m expecting a drop toward the 103.3K zone, with possible continuation into 102.8K and below. 🔽 Short Bias Active 📍 Entry Region: 107.8K 🎯 Target: 103.3K ⛔ Invalidation: Clean breakout above 112K A pullback first wouldn’t surprise me—liquidity still needs to be swept. Let’s see how BTC behaves at the highs. ⚔️ #Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #PriceAction #TradingView #BTCUSD #GlobalHorns
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by GlobalHorns
This chart suggests a bullish bias in the medium term. This is a 1-hour candlestick chart for Gold Spot (XAU/USD) . The chart includes various Smart Money Concepts (SMC) annotations used by traders to anticipate price movements. Here's a breakdown of the key elements and what they suggest: --- ### **Key Annotations & Zones:** 1. **CHoCH (Change of Character)** * Located near the center of the chart around the 3,335–3,340 zone. * Indicates a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish. 2. **FVG (Fair Value Gap)** * Same region as the CHoCH zone (3,335–3,345). * A price imbalance where price might revisit before continuing upward. 3. **SSL (Sell-side Liquidity)** * Highlighted below the current price (around 3,310). * Denotes liquidity below a previous low where stop-losses from long positions may reside. * Price could dip here to grab liquidity before heading higher. 4. **BSL (Buy-side Liquidity)** * Marked near the top (around 3,395–3,400). * A target area where stop-losses from short positions or breakout buy orders may reside. --- ### **Price Forecast Path (Dashed Arrows):** * The forecast suggests a **short-term dip** into the **SSL zone**. * Followed by a **strong bullish move**, possibly triggered after a liquidity sweep. * The price is expected to return to the **FVG zone**, consolidate, and then push up toward the **BSL zone** at \~3,400. --- ### **Overall Interpretation:** This chart suggests a bullish bias in the medium term. The trader anticipates: * A brief decline to gather sell-side liquidity. * A rally fueled by a CHoCH and FVG retest. * An ultimate aim to target buy-side liquidity above the recent highs.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Mariam_Olv
1
EURUSD Extends Its Bullish Run Amid Fed CautionEURUSD continues to surge as technical and fundamental forces align. The pair has broken out of consolidation and is now trading within a clear ascending channel. Price is currently retracing into a well-defined demand zone around 1.1590 – 1.1600, where a potential bullish continuation is anticipated. Supporting the move, dovish signals from Fed Chair Jerome Powell suggest the central bank may hold off on further rate hikes, weakening the USD. Meanwhile, euro demand is recovering as geopolitical tensions ease and European funds reduce dollar-based hedging. Technically, the 34 and 89 EMA offer dynamic support, reinforcing this area as a key re-entry point for buyers. Targets for this bullish leg are set near 1.1687 (TP1) and 1.1748 (TP2), provided price holds above the short-term support. Will EURUSD maintain this momentum or face resistance ahead? Let the chart guide your next move.
by Edward_TradingFX
[XAUUSD] GOLD – Bullish Setup in Play🟡 *Key Context* - Geopolitical calm (Trump ceasefire remarks) lowered risk aversion, pushing Gold down — but key support is holding. - Fed uncertainty continues, yet technicals point to a possible reversal. 📉 *Price Structure* - Price dropped into a falling wedge, testing 3285–3295 (H4 demand zone). - RSI bullish divergence + harmonic ABCD pattern seen on 30m. 📌 *Trade Setup – Long Bias* 🔹Entry: 3285–3295 zone (watch for bullish candle confirmation) 🔹Stop Loss: Below 3280 (structure invalidation) 🔹Target 1: 3320–3330 🔹Target 2: 3390 (longer-term move) ⚠️ Volume confirmation is key — wait for breakout strength. Avoid entries during news events. Risk must be managed tightly. #XAUUSD #Gold #TradingSignal #TeconLab #BuyTheDip
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by teconlab
1
XAUUSD Technical Outlook – Rebound or Trap?1. Market Overview After a sharp rejection near the 0.618 Fibonacci level, XAUUSD has pulled back and is now trading around 3,323 USD. Although price has stabilized somewhat, technical indicators suggest this is likely a corrective move within a prevailing downtrend. 2. Technical Analysis Price Action XAUUSD is currently hovering near 3,323 USD after a failed attempt to break above the resistance zone at 3,373–3,392 USD — an area marked by: The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement from the recent downtrend Repeated historical rejections. The upper boundary of a sideways consolidation range from early June. Recent candlesticks show indecision and rejection from higher levels, suggesting sellers are still in control. Support Zone Behavior The price recently bounced from the 3,294–3,317 USD range, where strong historical support and the 0.382 Fibonacci level align. This zone continues to hold, but if broken, could open the door to deeper declines toward the 3,250 or even 3,224 USD levels. RSI Indicator RSI remains flat around the neutral zone, indicating a lack of bullish momentum. No significant divergence or breakout signals are currently visible on the daily RSI chart. 3. Key Technical Levels Resistance: 3,373 – 3,392 USD: Confluence resistance zone (0.618 Fib + historical supply). 3,435 – 3,453 USD: Previous swing high – key medium-term benchmark Support: 3,294 – 3,317 USD: Immediate support, holding for now. 3,250 – 3,224 USD: Potential next target zone if bearish pressure resumes. 4. Trade Setup Scenarios. Scenario 1 – Buy if support holds and bullish confirmation appears Entry: 3,295 – 3,305 USD. Stop-loss: Below 3,289 USD. Take-profit: 3,340 – 3,355 – 3,370 USD. Condition: Look for bullish reversal patterns (e.g., Bullish Engulfing, Pin Bar) on H1–H4. Scenario 2 – Sell on rejection from resistance zone Entry: 3,370 – 3,375 USD. Stop-loss: Above 3,392 USD. Take-profit: 3,330 – 3,310 – 3,290 USD. Condition: Clear bearish rejection candlestick with diminishing volume Note: XAUUSD remains in a vulnerable state. The current move may be a technical rebound rather than a true reversal. Traders should watch closely how price behaves around the 3,373–3,392 USD zone in the coming sessions. A breakout could signal a new bullish leg, while another rejection would likely confirm a continuation of the bearish trend.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
3
Gold Price Struggles at Key Support ZoneTechnical Analysis – Data as of June 25–26, 2025 In the latest trading sessions, XAUUSD continues to move within a narrow range, reflecting a cautious market sentiment awaiting clearer signals. The daily chart shows price hovering around the 3,341 USD level — aligning with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement and intersecting key descending trendlines and previous correction zones. 1. Notable Price Action: Gold has bounced slightly from the 3,294 USD support and retested the 3,360–3,365 USD resistance but failed to break through. Small-bodied candles with long wicks indicate indecision, suggesting that neither buyers nor sellers have a clear upper hand. The descending trendline (blue line) is acting as a significant resistance barrier, with each bullish attempt being rejected. 2. Key Support and Resistance Levels: Immediate Support: 3,294 – 3,296 USD Nearby Resistance: 3,360 – 3,365 USD Crucial Breakout Zone: 3,382 – 3,394 USD (Fibonacci 0.618 – 0.786 of the latest downleg) 3. Short-Term Trading Strategy: If XAUUSD maintains support above 3,294 USD, a short-term technical rebound toward 3,360 – 3,394 USD is possible. However, a clean break below 3,294 with strong volume could trigger further downside momentum, potentially targeting 3,265 USD or even 3,221 USD. 4. Overall Outlook: The market is currently in a state of uncertainty, with neither side showing dominance. Traders are advised to wait for a decisive breakout in either direction before entering new positions. Breakout trading strategies with volume confirmation should be prioritized in this phase.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
1
#Nifty directions and levels for June 26:Here are the market directions and levels for June 26: Market Overview There have been no major changes in both the local and global markets. The global market continues to show bullish sentiment, while our local market is still maintaining a moderately bullish bias. However, Gift Nifty is indicating a positive start of around 30 points today. So, what can we expect today? The higher-degree structure shows positive signs, but the lower time frame is still reflecting a range-bound market. Open interest data also appears bullish. So, if the market breaks above the previous high, we can expect a further continuation of the rally. On the other hand, if the market faces rejection around that level or if it starts with a decline, the range-bound movement is likely to continue.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
1
RIOT / 2hThe retracement up in wave B has reached the anticipated target at 10.38, although that's not traced out like a flat or zigzag formation in a three-wave sequence. A following decline of 20% lies ahead to develop the wave C as a final subdivision of the ongoing correction in wave (2). Trend Analysis >> The trend remains correct downward in the Intermediate degree wave (2), which will take just a couple of weeks to thoroughly develop. The retracing down targets >> 8.20 >> 7.93 >> 7.67 #CryptoStocks #RIOT #BTCMining #Bitcoin #BTC
NASDAQ:RIOT
by ElliottChart
Elliott Wave Insight: GDX Climbs Higher After Three Wave DeclineThe rally in the Gold Miners Junior ETF (GDX) from its December 30, 2024 low remains intact. This rally is unfolding as a five-wave impulse pattern, as observed on the 1-hour chart below. Wave (4) of this impulse concluded at $44.75, setting the stage for wave (5) higher. Wave (5) is currently progressing with its own impulsive subdivision. From the wave (4) low, wave ((i)) peaked at $46.70, followed by a pullback in wave ((ii)) to $45.19. The ETF then surged in wave ((iii)) to $54.62. Subsequent correction in wave ((iv)) ended at $51.12. The final leg, wave ((v)), completed at $54.73, marking the end of wave 1 in the higher degree. Following this, GDX entered a corrective wave 2, characterized by a clear seven-swing corrective structure. From the wave 1 peak, wave ((w)) declined to $52.19. It was then followed by a recovery in wave ((x)) to $53.74. The subsequent wave ((y)) bottomed at $50.70, completing wave 2. The ETF has since bounced from the 100%–161.8% Fibonacci extension zone of $49.61–$51.18. Currently, GDX could either resume its rally to new highs or stage a three-wave bounce before a potential larger double correction. However, even if a deeper pullback occurs, the corrective nature of the decline from the wave 1 peak supports a bullish outlook, suggesting that any downturn is likely a temporary pause within an ongoing uptrend.
AMEX:GDX
by Elliottwave-Forecast
June 26, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunitySummary: The situation is getting interesting — Trump is reportedly considering naming Powell’s successor early, which is providing support for gold. For now, the plan is to buy on dips to support. However, if Trump changes course again, we must stay flexible and respond to any reversals with clear plans. 🔍 Key Levels to Watch: • 3370 – Resistance • 3364 – Resistance • 3350 – Midpoint / Bull-Bear Line • 3340 – Key Resistance • 3329 – Support • 3312 – Intraday Key Support • 3300 – Psychological Support • 3295 – Support • 3285 – Support 📉 Intraday Strategy: • SELL if price breaks below 3325 → watch 3321, then 3312, 3305, 3300 • BUY if price holds above 3335 → target 3340, then 3345, 3350, 3358 👉 If you want to know how I time entries and set stop-losses, hit the like button so I know there's interest — I may publish a detailed post by the weekend if support continues! Disclaimer: This is my personal opinion, not financial advice. Trade with caution and always manage your risk.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Ombabibi