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Wave Analysis

Bitcoin and altcoin overview (January 23-24)Yesterday, Bitcoin continued its weak decline. Looking at Bitcoin on the daily chart, we missed a mirror volume zone of $105,000-$102,700, at the lower boundary of which we are currently located. At the moment, it's natural to expect a resumption of buying. Otherwise, if this buyer's zone is passed without defense, the priority will shift from sideways movement within 2 zones to a local downward trend. Selling zones: $107,000-$109,000 (volume anomalies). Buying zones: $105,000-$102,700 (mirror volume zone), $102,000-$99,600 (volume zone), $97,400-$96,300 (volume zone), $92,400-94,300 (volume anomalies), $90,600-$86,300 (accumulated volumes). Interesting altcoins For VANA coin, trading volumes increased after a prolonged decline. We're waiting for consolidation above $12 and will enter a long position upon testing and reaction from the volume zone $11.2-$10.
by Crypto_robotics
Gold Today: Buy or Sell ?Hello everyone, what do you think—should we buy or sell gold today? Currently, gold remains highly attractive to bullish investors, climbing to its highest levels in weeks, supported by a sharp decline in the USD Index, with prices hovering around the $2750 region. On the 4-hour technical chart, gold consistently shows BOS (Break of Structure) patterns, signaling that the bullish momentum may continue for now. Key levels to watch are the $2760 resistance and $2720 support zones, which are critical areas for potential breakouts and strength for the metal. Personally, I lean toward a buying strategy. What’s your take? Don’t forget to set your TP and SL when trading!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by WIN_Vachirawit
1
Gold Bullish Continuation (Another Top OR New Prominent High?)Gold price seems to exhibit signs of overall bullish continuation as the price action may form another credible Higher Low on key Fibonacci and Support levels. There might be a possibility that Gold may break it's All Time High Price of 2791. It might be worth observing price the action further if 2791 breaks. A potential break may be indicative of another top OR a new high. Trade Plan : Entry @ 2727 Stop Loss @ 2679 TP 1 @ 2775 (Before All Time High) TP 2 @ 2823 OR Ride Further With Caution (After All Time High) Move Stop Loss to Break Even if TP 1 hits.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SalaarBT
COFFEE // on the way upThe market is long on every timeframe, and broke the last clean H1 breakdown, so the weekly target fibo 138.2 level is valid again. KEEP IT SIMPLE!🏄🏼‍♂️ ——— Orange lines represent impulse bases on major timeframes, signaling the direction and validity of the prevailing trend by acting as key levels where significant momentum originated. Level colors: Daily - blue Weekly - purple Monthly - magenta H4 - aqua Long trigger - green Short trigger - red ——— Stay grounded, stay present. 🏄🏼‍♂️ <<please boost 🚀 if you enjoy💚
ICEUS:KC1!Long
by TheMarketFlow
2
Hellena | SPX500 (4H): LONG to resistance area 6104 (Wave 3).Colleagues, I see that the price has completed wave “4” and is now forming wave “5” of the higher order. I believe that the price may go into correction in the lower wave “2” to the area of 50% Fibonacci level 5896.9, after which I expect the upward movement to continue to the resistance area 6104. The upward movement is the priority, so I warn that the price may just continue to move upward, updating the wave “1”. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by Hellena_Trade
3
EUR/USD - High Probability Trade SetupLooking at this chart price is appearing Bearish but I have other beliefs. As you can see on a Monthly TF you can notice a clear Elliots Wave 1-5 Pattern Followed by this current breakout. Typically Liquidity will sit higher and will remain untouched after breakout as shows in this graph, I believe we have seen a large swing point being at a Phycological Level and now on smaller time frames we are seeing Bullish movements. To confirm this Theory on the Daily we have noticed the previous Bullish movment took out Swing High Liquidity and is extremely Oversold. Price will be falling but to where..? We have creating a Change Of Character and unless this changes im now looking for Buy positions. We are creating Higher Highs in the 4H and breaking previous structure points. On the Chart I have market out key levels being OTE zones, Discount areas and Liquidity all being lower than the current price suggesting this pullback period will inverse this imbalance before pushing us into Higher Highs once again Will be adjusting our Entry Models as price action moves Good Luck to all Traders who follow along
Long
by jamesibartram
1
AWC - Analysis on price movementN wave with E, V, N & NT projection. Price Position: The price is currently above the Kumo, a bullish indicator suggesting positive momentum. Tenkan-sen is above the Kijun-sen, reinforcing a bullish outlook. The cloud being green signifies a favorable environment for long positions. N at 0.995: A near-term resistance target providing insight into trade exits. NT at 0.920: Serves as a critical support level; a drop below this would signal a shift in market sentiment and potential trend reversal. Look to enter a long position around the current price of 0.960 or on a confirmed breakout above the N level at 0.995 with significant volume. Confirmation: Seek bullish candle formations or significant upward movement in volume to validate the buy decision. Set a stop-loss at 0.910, below the NT support level, to protect against adverse market movements. Volume Analysis: Pay attention to volume trends, particularly during upward movements. Increased volume will bolster the bullish case. Market Sentiment: Monitor broader market conditions and news affecting AWC and the construction or engineering sectors. Risk Management: Adjust position sizes according to risk tolerance and overall market volatility. Note: 1. Analysis for education purposes only. 2. Trade at your own risk.
MYX:AWCLong
by mg6112
SOL/USDTKey Level Zone: 226 - 235 HMT v5 detected. The setup looks promising, supported by a previous upward/downward trend with increasing volume and momentum, presenting an excellent reward-to-risk opportunity. HMT (High Momentum Trending): HMT is based on trend, momentum, volume, and market structure across multiple timeframes. It highlights setups with strong potential for upward movement and higher rewards. Whenever I spot a signal for my own trading, I’ll share it. Please note that conducting a comprehensive analysis on a single timeframe chart can be quite challenging and sometimes confusing. I appreciate your understanding of the effort involved. Important Note : Role of Key Levels: - These zones are critical for analyzing price trends. If the key level zone holds, the price may continue trending in the expected direction. However, momentum may increase or decrease based on subsequent patterns. - Breakouts: If the key level zone breaks, it signals a stop-out. For reversal traders, this presents an opportunity to consider switching direction, as the price often retests these zones, which may act as strong support-turned-resistance (or vice versa). My Trading Rules Risk Management - Maximum risk per trade: 2.5%. - Leverage: 5x. Exit Strategy Profit-Taking: - Sell at least 70% on the 3rd wave up (LTF Wave 5). - Typically, sell 50% during a high-volume spike. - Adjust stop-loss to breakeven once the trade achieves a 1.5:1 reward-to-risk ratio. - If the market shows signs of losing momentum or divergence, ill will exit at breakeven. The market is highly dynamic and constantly changing. HMT signals and target profit (TP) levels are based on the current price and movement, but market conditions can shift instantly, so it is crucial to remain adaptable and follow the market's movement. If you find this signal/analysis meaningful, kindly like and share it. Thank you for your support~ Sharing this with love! HMT v2.0: - Major update to the Momentum indicator - Reduced false signals from inaccurate momentum detection - New screener with improved accuracy and fewer signals HMT v3.0: - Added liquidity factor to enhance trend continuation - Improved potential for momentum-based plays - Increased winning probability by reducing entries during peaks HMT v3.1: - Enhanced entry confirmation for improved reward-to-risk ratios HMT v4.0: - Incorporated buying and selling pressure in lower timeframes to enhance the probability of trending moves while optimizing entry timing and scaling HMT v4.1: - Enhanced take-profit (TP) target by incorporating market structure analysis HMT v5 : Date: 23/01/2025 - Refined wave analysis for trending conditions - Incorporated lower timeframe (LTF) momentum to strengthen trend reliability - Re-aligned and re-balanced entry conditions for improved accuracy
Long
by Ren_MomentumTrader
BTCUSDT ELLIOTT WAVE ANALYSIS: 23 JAN, 2025 - DOUBLE THREE©Master of Elliott Wave: Hua (Shane) Cuong, CEWA-M (Master's Designation). Risk Analysis / Risk Assessment: - Major Trend: Bullish - Which Wave Count Scenario Has Higher Probability: Definitely the Main Wave Count Scenario. - Should I Go Long?: No, Not Now. - When to Confirm Bullish Trend with High Probability?: On Breakout Above 107,240. Details: Since the 89,0256.69 Low, we are witnessing a corrective wave following the completed wave (i)-orange, which I mentioned in my last analysis of BTC, so this is a good opportunity to review the upcoming outlook. Wave (ii)-orange is completing as a Combination Double Three. Its y-grey wave may need a little more time to complete as a Triangle, then wave (iii)-orange will move higher. Alternative scenario: Wave (ii)-orange has ended, and wave (iii)-orange has started. (Less likely, lower probability). Conclusion: Need a little more time. Or when the price breaks through 107.240, it will immediately trigger the alternative scenario ALT, and wave (iii)-orange can move much higher.
Long
by ShaneHua
1
Lockheed Martin: A Compelling Addition to Your PortfolioHello, today we look at a potential company that might benefit in the Trump administration. Lockheed Martin Corp. is a global security and aerospace company, which engages in the research, design, development, manufacture, integration, and sustainment of technology systems, products, and services. It operates through the following business segments: Aeronautics, Missiles and Fire Control (MFC), Rotary and Mission Systems (RMS), and Space. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS- Checklist Structure drawing (Trend line drawing on past price chart data)- As shown below Patterns identification (Naming patterns on past price chart data for future wave)- as shown Future indication (Reading indicator for future wave)- 0 crossover on the MACD Future wave (Drawing on future price chart using future indication from indicator)- As shown Future reversal point (Identifying trend reversal point on price chart using structure)- Target point $660 Global defense spending has surged as nations strengthen their military capabilities, driving demand for advanced weaponry such as fighter jets, which are critical for air combat. These is largely because we are currently facing a resurgence of wars in the globe. In January 2025, over 10 countries hosted extreme levels of conflict, including: Russia, Ukraine, Israel, Gaza, Lebanon, Myanmar, Syria, Palestine, Mexico, Nigeria, Brazil, Taiwan, Colombia, Haiti, Yemen, and Sudan. This trend significantly benefits Lockheed Martin, a leading combat aircraft manufacturer, through steady orders from the Pentagon and U.S. allies. Long-term, the Pentagon has prioritized modernizing military capabilities to counter aggression from major powers like China and Russia, while managing threats from terrorism and hot spots like Iran and North Korea. Lockheed Martin is well-positioned to capitalize on these priorities with its exposure to key programs such as the F-35 fighter jet, hypersonic missiles, and the militarization of space. In December 2024 Lockheed Martin secured a nearly $12-billion contract to produce 145 additional F-35 Lightning II stealth fighter jets for the US military and its international allies. The F-35 program, the largest weapons program in history, provides Lockheed Martin with stable revenue streams through procurement and maintenance contracts. As of September 30, 2024, Lockheed had delivered 1,040 F-35 aircraft since the program's inception. Its advanced sensors, mission readiness, and ability to connect air, land, sea, space, and cyber domains have driven strong demand globally. We expect Lockheed to remain a reliable partner in supporting the United States Government’s defense goals. While the shift towards unmanned systems is being explored, experts like AeroDynamic Advisory Managing Director Richard highlight the continued relevance of manned fighter jets. Richard notes that drones cannot yet match the versatility of jets in intercepting enemy bombers, supporting naval operations, or achieving other strategic objectives. This bodes well for Lockheed Martin's continued success in the sector. While all these looks quite positive for the industry, the primary risk for defense spending is budgetary pressure. Under cost-cutting measures, Musk through the new cost cutting department DOGE has pointed to defense procurement, which represents less than 4% of the $6.8 trillion 2024 federal budget. Musk’s co-lead, Vivek Ramaswamy, has also advocated for shifting funds toward unmanned platforms instead of traditional fighter jets. While the defense budget might face stress, we anticipate reductions to come from non-military items used by the Department of Defense rather than core defense capabilities. We do not see a significant cut in the arms procurement or a shift to unmanned platforms. Another risk Lockheed Martin faces is associated with its reliance on U.S. military funding, which is inherently political and uncertain. Moreover, competition from SpaceX could challenge Lockheed’s dominance in space-related contracts. In 2023, Lockheed Martin’s space division generated $12.61 billion in revenue, a substantial contribution to its total $67.57 billion revenue for the year. To strengthen its position, Lockheed Martin completed its acquisition of Terran Orbital and its subsidiary Tyvak International, leading manufacturers of modular spacecraft. Lockheed has collaborated with Terran Orbital on several projects, including Space Development Agency programs and technology demonstrations. Should this risk materialize, then we would see a significant income wiped out. The 2024 Republican Party platform emphasize the development of a U.S.-made "Iron Dome" and the modernization of the military. An Iron Dome, as defined by Wikipedia, is a mobile all-weather air defense system that intercepts and destroys short-range rockets and artillery shells fired from 4 to 70 kilometers away. For this task we expect collaboration between Rafael Advanced Defense Systems and Lockheed Martin on designing and manufacturing the Iron Dome for U.S. use. These two companies have worked together successfully in the past. Notably, in December 2022, Lockheed Martin and Rafael Advanced Defense Systems signed a teaming agreement to jointly develop, test, and manufacture High Energy Laser Weapon Systems (HELWS) in both the U.S. and Israel. The below are the customers of Lockheed Martin as per their website Australia, Brunei, Chile, Colombia, Mexico, Morocco, Philippines, Poland, Romania, Saudi Arabia, Slovakia, South Korea, Taiwan, Thailand, Turkey, Unites states, Israel & others Financial Summary Lockheed Martin reported strong financial performance for the quarter ended September 29, 2024: Net sales: $17,104 million, up from $16,878 million in the same quarter of 2023. Gross profit: $2,117 million, compared to $2,048 million in Q3 2023. Operating profit: $2,140 million, an increase from $2,042 million in the same period last year. Net earnings: $1,623 million, slightly down from $1,684 million in Q3 2023. Diluted earnings per common share: $6.80, compared to $6.73 in the same quarter of 2023. For the nine months ended September 29, 2024, the company reported: Net sales: $52,421 million, up from $48,697 million in the same period of 2023. Gross profit: $6,240 million, compared to $6,184 million in the same period last year. Operating profit: $6,317 million, an increase from $6,214 million in the same period of 2023. Net earnings: $4,809 million, down from $5,054 million in the same period last year. Diluted earnings per common share: $20.05, compared to $19.97 in the same period of 2023. Lockheed Martin's business performance for the quarter ended September 29, 2024, was marked by strong contributions from its four business segments: Aeronautics: Generated $6,487 million in revenue, with the F-35 Lightning II program representing approximately 22% of total consolidated net sales. Missiles and Fire Control (MFC): Reported an increase in net sales to $3,175 million, up from $2,939 million in Q3 2023. Rotary and Mission Systems (RMS): Achieved net sales of $4,367 million, compared to $4,121 million in the same period last year. Space: Recorded net sales of $3,075 million, slightly down from $3,101 million in Q3 2023. Lockheed Martin Corporation Forecasts Fiscal Year 2024 EPS of Approximately $26.65. Lockheed has no major debt maturities over the next three years and has more than sufficient debt capacity to finance incremental acquisitions and/or weather a potential funding trough. Challenges and Risks U.S. Budget Environment: With approximately three-quarters of sales from the U.S. Government, changes in defense spending and funding levels can significantly affect the company's financial performance. Geopolitical and Economic Environment: Global security concerns, supply chain challenges, inflation, and macroeconomic conditions present risks to the company's operations and profitability. Operational Risks: The company faces challenges in ramping up production, managing supplier costs, and maintaining operational efficiency. Foreign Currency Exchange Rates: The company is exposed to risks associated with changing foreign currency exchange rates, although its market risk exposures have not changed materially since December 31, 2023. Our recommendation Lockheed Martin continues to experience increased demand for advanced weaponry like the F-35 fighter jet due to increased global conflict. The company’s strong order book positions it well for long-term growth. While risks exist, including budgetary pressures and competition from SpaceX on space militarization, Lockheed Martin’s strategic collaborations and revenue diversification strategies strengthen its outlook. From a technical standpoint, Lockheed Martin's stock appears to offer an attractive entry point. Since October 2024, the stock has corrected by over 25%, presenting a potential upside opportunity. The MACD indicator suggests a bullish crossover, supported by strong fundamentals. The company recently secured an $11.76 billion contract with the United States government to produce and deliver 145 F-35 jets across all three variants of the program. This contract, set for completion by June 2027, provides stability against short-term market volatility. Furthermore, the ongoing geopolitical climate suggests that more nations are likely to increase their defense budgets, bolstering future sales. Should Lockheed Martin collaborate with Israel’s Rafael Advanced Defense Systems, there is significant potential to develop a superior version of the Iron Dome, further enhancing sales prospects. Profitability is projected to expand by 10–20 basis points annually, with the segment EBIT margin expected to reach 11% by the end of the decade. we recommend a Buy with a target price of $ 660. Sources: Lockheed Martin website Tradingview (News flow) www.tradingview.com Tradingview (Financials) www.tradingview.com
NYSE:LMTLong
by thesharkke