Daily Analysis of Ethereum – Issue 234The analyst believes that the price of { ETHUSD } will decrease in the next 24 hours. This prediction is based on quantitative analysis of the price trend.
Please note that the specified take-profit level does not imply a prediction that the price will reach that point. In this framework of analysis and trading, unlike the stop-loss, which is mandatory, setting a take-profit level is optional. Whether the price reaches the take-profit level or not is of no significance, as the results are calculated based on the start and end times. The take-profit level merely indicates the potential maximum price fluctuation within that time frame.
Wave Analysis
Daily Analysis of Bitcoin – Issue 234The analyst believes that the price of { BTCUSD } will decrease in the next 24 hours. This prediction is based on quantitative analysis of the price trend.
Please note that the specified take-profit level does not imply a prediction that the price will reach that point. In this framework of analysis and trading, unlike the stop-loss, which is mandatory, setting a take-profit level is optional. Whether the price reaches the take-profit level or not is of no significance, as the results are calculated based on the start and end times. The take-profit level merely indicates the potential maximum price fluctuation within that time frame.
Natural Gas !! Bulls are Still on the Road.How's the Josh trader ??
Natural gas has a Good Setup... I am extremely sorry to update so late, I am holding it 225 Levels and I am expecting it to go towards 370-375 Levels.
As we Can Clearly see on Chart ... Natural Gas is on the rally towards Wave 3 ( Wave 3 is the longest in Impulse Wave ) so I am Clearly Betting towards 370-375 Levels.
SO,
LONG NATURAL GAS @ MARKET PRICE
TARGET @ 370-375
STOPLOSS @ OPEN
NOTE : THIS IS FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE PLEASE REFER TO YOUR FINANCIAL ADVISOR BEFORE TAKING ANY TRADE
Have A Good Day Traders.
MARA Marathon Digital Holdings A Crypto Mining Stock to Watch
Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:MARA )
“Bitcoin at $96K? It’s like Monopoly money growing into something real—fueling wealth and lifting stocks like $MARA. Let’s break down the crypto miner making waves in this dynamic market.”
After Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) surged to $96,000, Marathon Digital Holdings ( NASDAQ:MARA ) has positioned itself as a significant player in the crypto ecosystem. For investors, NASDAQ:MARA represents a unique opportunity tied directly to Bitcoin’s price movements and the operational efficiencies of crypto mining. Let’s dive into the details to evaluate its potential.
Current Market Data
Stock Price: Around $22.73
Market Cap: Approximately $4.65 billion
Earnings Per Share (EPS): -$0.42 (last quarter)
At first glance, NASDAQ:MARA ’s financial metrics might raise eyebrows. A negative EPS highlights the ongoing challenges of profitability in the volatile crypto mining industry. However, its substantial Bitcoin reserves tell a different story.
Bitcoin Holdings: A Key Asset
Marathon Digital holds 40,435 BTC, valued at approximately $3.88 billion at the current Bitcoin price of $96,000. This means that 83% of its market cap is backed by Bitcoin holdings alone. Such a significant asset base provides a unique valuation anchor in an otherwise speculative industry.
Book Value Breakdown
Total Bitcoin Value: ~$3.88 billion
Estimated Shares Outstanding: ~204.6 million
Book Value Per Share: ~$19.00
Compared to its stock price of ~$22.73, this suggests NASDAQ:MARA is trading close to its asset-backed value, making it an intriguing option for Bitcoin bulls.
Valuation Metrics
Traditional valuation methods struggle with companies like NASDAQ:MARA , given the negative EPS and the speculative nature of the crypto market. However, using a forward-looking EPS of $1.22 (an optimistic assumption), we can estimate:
Graham Number:
At a stock price of ~$22.73, NASDAQ:MARA appears fairly valued by this metric, though this assumes optimistic future earnings and stability in Bitcoin prices.
Operational Highlights
BTC Yield Growth: Marathon has reported steady improvements in Bitcoin yield, signaling operational success and increased mining efficiency.
Renewable Energy Investments: Recent moves to secure wind farms and other renewable energy sources could reduce mining costs and enhance profitability.
Scalability: With a solid foundation and operational upgrades, NASDAQ:MARA is well-positioned to benefit from further Bitcoin price increases.
Risks and Volatility
Crypto Dependency: NASDAQ:MARA ’s performance is tightly coupled with Bitcoin’s price. While this offers significant upside during bull markets, it exposes the stock to extreme downside risk in bear markets.
Regulatory Uncertainty: Potential changes in crypto regulations could impact mining operations and profitability.
Operational Costs: Fluctuations in energy prices and mining difficulty could strain margins.
Buffett’s Perspective: Speculation vs. Strategy
Warren Buffett famously avoids speculative assets like Bitcoin, and by extension, Bitcoin-focused companies. However, Marathon’s strategic moves—such as renewable energy investments—showcase a long-term vision that could appeal to more risk-tolerant investors.
Conclusion: Is NASDAQ:MARA a Buy?
NASDAQ:MARA ’s substantial Bitcoin reserves and operational improvements make it a compelling choice for investors who believe in Bitcoin’s continued growth. At a price of ~$22.73, the stock seems fairly valued relative to its book value and intrinsic potential. However, investing in NASDAQ:MARA requires:
A strong belief in Bitcoin’s future.
A high tolerance for crypto market volatility.
An understanding of the risks tied to mining operations and regulatory changes.
For those ready to embrace the volatility, NASDAQ:MARA offers an opportunity to ride the crypto wave with a company building for the future.
For more in-depth market insights and strategies, visit DCAlpha.net and stay ahead of the game. 🚀
The Nifty spot intraday trend forecast for December 23, 2024The Nifty spot intraday trend for December 23rd indicates a bearish outlook. With the previous support level breached, the next strong support is at 23,020. However, it is important to note that timing plays a crucial role in all market activities. Our bearish outlook is expected to continue until December 27th, 2024.
Please be aware that the mentioned levels may vary due to potential gaps on either side. This content is intended solely for educational purposes, and I strongly advise against trading in derivatives.
A new signal to maintain purchasesTo date, we have passed the middle of the month, I want to consider the prospects for the end of the year. The second half of the month opened positively on the air above 3750 and 3850, which gives signals to exit above 4000 in order to test the 4250-4500 range. This is a positive signal for altcoins, and therefore we have seen new growth impulses for coins for the upcoming continuation of the trend. Bitcoin opened the second half of the month above 100k, which reduces the probability of a retest of 75-85k in the near future. However, an opening below 102.5 gives a signal for a flat of about 100k with attempts to go lower. With this picture, it is likely to go to the 110-115k test with a further return to 100k by the end of the year, which will lead to a rollback on the air, even taking into account positive signals.
According to the overall picture, the probability of growth this week prevails as part of the continuation of the trend of the current month and quarter. But from next week until the end of the year, it is worth keeping in mind the likelihood of a new wave of pullback in the market according to the annual schedule, which may continue in January. With such a picture, it is worth being careful about overbought coins with large capitalization. As I wrote earlier, the rollback on such coins, which began at the first market disruption at the beginning of the month, may continue until the end of the year with the transition to active sales in the new year. More interesting are the oversold coins, which continue to turn the annual candle into a bullish one.
New waves of growth on the local market, in particular, can be expected for VIB. Signals have been left for further overshooting and in the event of a breakdown from the third wave of 0.125, the road to the range of 0.15-25 will open. Growth is still going against the entrenched bearish trend on the monthly chart, giving rebounds from key levels and new opportunities for safe earnings without excessive overbought.
A local replay can also show OG TROY AST. According to OG, there are clear signals for a retest of 7.5-9$ at least. The token has quite a lot of liquidity, which provides sharp breakouts.
TROY, along with OG, has signals for further overshooting. In the case of a 0.0075 breakdown, there is a probability of a powerful growth wave for the 0.0125-150 test. At the moment, we are working out the sales momentum of 0.0035, which occurred before the last wave of growth. From 0.035-40 from the third wave, there is already a chance to break above 0.0075. However, with a negative market, there is a probability of a breakdown to 0.0250-275 before the start of growth on the move.
AST has targets at 0.21-25, where it can break through in case of consolidation above 0.15. However, incomplete emission exerts additional pressure, which leads to trend disruptions and increases the likelihood of a breakdown as we approach the end of the year.
This month, there has not yet been a new delisting announcement, which threatens the dynamics of coins with the monitoring tag. If there is no announcement in the next couple of days, I will be looking at new AKRO and VITE purchases in the second half of the week. Also, with them, HARD can give a new impetus. However, the threat of delisting next week is likely to make the growth waves quite short-term.
GBPCAD A Fall Expected! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for GBPCAD is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.8206
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 1.8179
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
CADJPY Technical Analysis! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for CADJPY below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 109.05
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 108.00
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURJPY Under Pressure! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for EURJPY below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 163.20
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 161.54
Safe Stop Loss - 164.03
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Forecasting gold priceForecasting gold prices is a complex task, as it's influenced by a multitude of factors. Here's a breakdown of the key elements and some current forecasts:
Factors Influencing Gold Prices:
US Dollar: Gold is often priced in US dollars, so its value tends to move inversely to the dollar's strength. A stronger dollar makes gold more expensive for holders of other currencies, potentially dampening demand.
Interest Rates: Rising interest rates can make holding gold less attractive, as it doesn't offer a yield like bonds or other interest-bearing assets.
Inflation: Gold is often seen as a hedge against inflation. When inflation rises, investors may turn to gold to preserve their purchasing power.
Geopolitical Uncertainty: Economic or political instability, such as wars or financial crises, can increase demand for gold as a safe haven asset.
Supply and Demand: Physical demand for gold, including jewelry, industrial uses, and central bank purchases, also plays a role in price fluctuations.
Current Forecasts:
Trading Economics: Their global macro models and analysts expect gold to trade at $2,682.04 USD/t oz. by the end of the current quarter and $2,783.76 in 12 months.
FXEmpire: They highlight that the US dollar's strength and the Federal Reserve's monetary policy are key factors currently limiting gold's upward momentum. They are closely watching the US PCE Price Index for inflation insights, which could significantly impact gold prices.
Other Analysts: Some analysts suggest that geopolitical tensions and concerns over a potential US government shutdown could boost gold's safe-haven appeal. However, strong economic data could reinforce the Fed's policy stance and limit gold's upside.
Important Considerations:
Forecasts are not guarantees: These are just predictions based on current information and models. Unexpected events can significantly impact gold prices.
Multiple factors at play: It's crucial to consider the interplay of various factors, rather than focusing on any single element.
Stay updated: Keep an eye on economic data releases, central bank announcements, and geopolitical developments to stay informed about potential influences on gold prices.
In conclusion, the outlook for gold is mixed, with both upward and downward pressures at play. The US dollar's strength and the Fed's monetary policy are key factors to watch, along with inflation data and geopolitical events. It's essential to stay informed and consider multiple perspectives when making any investment decisions related to gold.
GOLD → Consolidation after the fall. Trading inside the rangeFX:XAUUSD is forming consolidation in a new bearish plane after a strong fall on Wednesday. The emphasis is on 2622 - 2581. The fundamental background is negative and technically the price is testing the lows.
On Wednesday, the Fed adopted a more conservative approach to monetary policy, laying down only 2 rate cuts in 2025, which generally had a negative impact on the whole market except for the dollar, which is breaking through local highs.
Today traders await the release of the PCE, which is the Fed's preferred measure of inflation. Any surprise in the PCE data or an escalation of political uncertainty could push metal prices up.
From a technical point of view, the gold market remains in the previously mentioned consolidation, and prices fluctuate in wide ranges, which is generally logical for the end of the calendar year: reduced liquidity and increased volatility...
Resistance levels: 2616, 2622
Support levels: 2589, 2581, 2560
Since the price is inside the consolidation, it is worth considering trading from the boundaries of this range. In the long term, I expect a retest of the key resistance 2616-2622 in the form of a false breakdown and a fall towards local lows
Regards R. Linda!
SOLANA // Will the correction reach 61.8?The daily short countertrend is valid, and the market has reached the correction fibo 50 level.
The question is: will it reach 61.8?
If the market can significantly break the last clear H4 breakout, it may have a chance.
If it turns up, and there is a significant (trigger) candle in the long trigger zone, my target is the weekly target fibo 200.
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Stay grounded, stay present. 🏄🏼♂️
Your comments and support are appreciated! 👊🏼
BITCOIN // Start of the weekly correction?After a nice expansion, Bitcoin has reached the weekly target fibo 300 and the monthly 200.
From this level, the chance of a deep correction is significant.
If the weekly candle closes like this, below the weekly impulse base, the market breaks the weekly structure and enters the correction space of the last weekly impulse.
There may be a correction of the corrective impulse, but chances are high that it will turn below the peak and go south.
There is a clean (not yet tested) H4 breakdown that triggers the longs. Below that, I'll be looking for short trades.
I don't know anything about the fundamentals, though, can anyone enlighten me in the comments?
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We may not know what will happen, but we can prepare ourselves to respond effectively to whatever unfolds.
Stay grounded, stay present. 🏄🏼♂️
Your comments and support are appreciated! 👊🏼
EURAUD: Bearish Continuation is Expected! Here is Why:
It is essential that we apply multitimeframe technical analysis and there is no better example of why that is the case than the current EURUSD chart which, if analyzed properly, clearly points in the downward direction.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Broke The Falling Wedge Bought mine between 1.3 and 1.4 again at the support of 1.73
My game plan
TP 1: 2.34 (take 20% of investment)
TP 2: 2.84 (take 20% of investment)
TP 3: 3.40 (take 20% of investment)
TP 4: 4.14 (take 40% of investment)
Above 4.14 everything will be in profit and let it run will sell 70% on old ATH
GBPUSD → One step away from breaking support and falling awayFX:GBPUSD is facing difficulties. Negative fundamental background, strong dollar and price entry into the selling zone gives a bunch of preconditions hinting at the continuation of the fall
Yesterday the UK GDP came out, which remained at the same level, there is no driver for GBP at the moment, but there is for USD, which is growing after interest rate cuts, but the growth is not because of this, but because of hints of stopping the cycle of further rate cuts and the change of officials' mood to hawkish, which in general, against the background of Trump's policy indicates medium-term potential. Technically, the currency pair is testing the risk zone, a false breakout will form a rebound reaction and I think it will be a short-term reaction.
Resistance levels: 1.257, 1.2597, 1.2665
Support levels: 1.2488, 1.245
After the false breakdown, the currency pair may test the local resistance. But retest of the support within 1-3 days will play an important role. Formation of a pre-breakout base at 1.2488 will strengthen the potential for further decline
With Respect R. Linda!
Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) - Top is In; Time to ShortPLTR is presenting a potential short setup as it approaches a short zone within the Fibonacci retracement levels.
This area aligns with strong resistance, suggesting a downside move could follow.
Trade Details:
- Entry (Short Zone): $74.25
- Stop-loss: $78.30
Targets:
- Target 1: $65.10 (Fibonacci 1.0 extension)
- Target 2: $57.15 (Fibonacci 1.618 extension)
Analysis:
The rejection of the resistance zone could trigger a bearish wave down to the targets. Fibonacci extensions provide additional confluence for the downside targets.
Monitor price action closely for confirmation.
DXY Will Grow! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for DXY.
Time Frame: 30m
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 108.242.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 108.539 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!