Wave Analysis
GBPUSD Analysis 4/22 11:22amJust FYI i entered my last trade too early. Ill make sure all the signals align next time. I took my losses and kept it moving.
GBP/USD Analysis – Institutional Liquidity & Price Action Setup
Over the past few weeks, GBP/USD has been in a steady uptrend, posting higher highs and higher lows. However, 1.34234 remains a critical resistance level, and price is showing signs of absorption, suggesting institutions may be stepping in.
Technical Overview
Recent Highs & Lows: Price peaked at 1.34234, with recent support around 1.33750.
Momentum Indicators: The daily RSI remains elevated near 67.8, signaling strong buying interest, but MACD and stochastic fast readings indicate fluctuations.
ADX Strength: The 30-minute ADX at 72.4 confirms trend strength, but a fading Aroon Oscillator hints that past bullish waves might be losing steam.
Price Action Insights
Higher Highs Forming: The past few days show price continuously pushing up, but rejection wicks near 1.33895–1.34234 suggest sell-side pressure building.
Potential Lower High Formation: If institutions are absorbing liquidity here, they could be preparing to push price down—meaning a short trade setup is forming.
Key Levels to Watch: A break below 1.33750 would confirm bearish momentum, while a clean move above 1.34234 with volume would signal continuation.
Volume Profile & Institutional Activity
Liquidity Absorption at Resistance: Institutions may be letting retail traders push price up while absorbing their buy orders. If volume clusters at the highs without a breakout, this suggests a reversal could be incoming.
Delta Imbalance Considerations: Watching order flow, if sell-side aggression picks up near resistance, it strengthens the bearish case.
Volume Spikes & Clustered Activity: If liquidity at 1.33895–1.34234 shows tapering buy-side volume without a breakout, institutions may be trapping longs before driving price down.
Trade Plan
Given all of this data, my best entry setup is a sell near 1.33895–1.34234, waiting for confirmation:
Hourly Rejection Candles: A long upper wick or bearish engulfing candle near resistance would confirm sellers stepping in.
Target: A downside move toward 1.33200, where prior liquidity sits, would be a strong take-profit zone.
On the flip side, if price breaks above 1.34234 with strong bullish volume, I’ll reassess and look for a buy on a retest, confirming institutional accumulation.
This analysis helps me stay disciplined, tracking institutional positioning and liquidity traps rather than chasing impulsive moves. For now, I’m watching hourly candles and volume behavior at resistance before executing my next trade.
AVAX trading plan through the 27th In this video I considered the global possible price movement, also made possible scenarios for the current week
Right now the price has reached an important level and considering the bearish divergences there is a chance to see a quick correction
Write a comment with your coins & hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you
The author's opinion may differ from yours,
Consider your risks.
Wish you successful trades! MURA
GOAT Looks Bullish (12H)It seems that a wave A of a higher-degree structure has completed, and the price is forming a triangle at the bottom, preparing for an upward movement in the form of either a wave B or a new impulse wave. Since this wave belongs to a higher degree, we expect the upcoming bullish wave to take time and show a significant upward retracement.
Try to avoid entering during pumps, and instead focus on entries during price corrections.
As long as the green zone holds, the price has the potential to move upward.
A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this outlook.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Silver: Elliott Wave Shows Room For More UpsideSilver made a very strong drop after breaking out of the upward channel at the end of March. This caused a sharp and fast move below 29 dollars where metal is showing some first evidence of a bottom as price recovers back above 32.00.
In fact, this can be the beginning of a new impulse, especially if we consider that on a daily chart market might complete an A-B-C drop back in wave IV. As such, we think there is room for more gains, after retracements which can give an opportunity to join the trend.
Can gold finally cacth silver? What you think?
GH
Ready for Takeoff: Buy Signal DetectedThe 15-minute chart of the NASDAQ shows a recent bullish move following a correction. I identify an interesting technical structure that could indicate an upcoming directional move.
Technical Analysis:
Patterns and Structure:
Symmetrical Triangle (A): The price has formed a symmetrical triangle between points (B) and (D), suggesting consolidation before a breakout. This pattern is neutral, but the recent upside breakout indicates a possible bullish continuation.
Fibonacci: The retracement from the high at (D) to the low at (E) reached the 38.2% Fibonacci level, which acted as dynamic support (17,804.1). This level is key and reinforces the validity of the current rebound.
Support and Resistance:
Support: The 17,804.1 level (38.2% Fibonacci) and the triangle base at 17,797.2 are key supports.
Resistance: The next upside target is at 18,230.6, a previous resistance level. If the price breaks above it, it could target 18,400.
Trend:
The breakout of the symmetrical triangle and the rebound from the 38.2% Fib confirm a short-term uptrend. The price is breaking the triangle's downtrend line (E), reinforcing the bullish momentum.
Trading Idea:
Entry: Consider a long entry (buy) at the current level (~18,000) or wait for a pullback to the support at 17,804.1 for a better risk-reward ratio.
Target: First target at 18,230.6 (resistance). If the momentum continues, the next level to watch is 18,400.
Stop Loss: Below the support at 17,797.2, to protect against a false breakout.
Risk/Reward: An entry at 18,000 with a stop at 17,797 and a target at 18,230 offers an R/B ratio of approximately 1:1.2.
Conclusion:
The NASDAQ at 15M shows a bullish breakout following a symmetrical triangle, with support at the 38.2% Fibonacci level. The short-term trend is bullish, with an initial target at 18,230.6. Monitor support at 17,804.1 to confirm the continuation of the move.
This analysis is concise and structured for a TradingView post. If you need adjustments or more details, please let me know.
Disclaimer: Grok is not a financial advisor; please consult one. Do not share information that could identify you.
NASDAQ 100 Elliott Wave Update – Wave (5) in Play?CME_MINI:NQ1!
📊 NASDAQ 100 E-mini Futures – Elliott Wave Analysis
🗓️ Weekly Chart – April 2025
The NASDAQ 100 appears to have completed an ABC corrective pattern, marking the end of wave (4). A bullish move toward wave (5) is now projected, with a potential target zone highlighted in yellow:
🎯 Target 1: 32,291 (100% extension)
🎯 Target 2: 38,678 (127% extension)
This zone marks the Fibonacci projection for the fifth wave, based on the Elliott Wave principle. The bullish structure remains valid as long as the key support at 16,551 holds.
🔎 Key things to watch:
Confirmation of a reversal at wave (C) low
Increasing volume on upward moves
Momentum indicators like RSI / MACD
MBIO MFI deepest red!!Potential lifetime buying opportunity on this if it is not just another WallStreet scam.
I'm stacking for potential upside targets in 1-3 years are $30, $90, $210 & higher.
Often I buy the deepest red and 50% of the time it works half of half the time.
1. MFI effin deep in the red
2. RSI potential double bottom on both 3 week and higher charts
3. 99.99% of all investors are under and burnt by WallStreet
4. TTM squeeze is showing large potential on timeframes 55D, 21D, 9D, 3D, 10 Hour is a FIRE setup.
5. Accum/Distrib pump is at a healthy retracement on multiple larger time frames.
This can lay flat for months and or go to ZERO.
NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!!!
AERGO/USDT Analysis – 2 Strong Buying Zones
For this futures pair, we are approaching zones where abnormal buyer aggression was previously recorded.
If we test the $0.23–$0.205 or $0.185–$0.153 zones and see a reaction from buyers, we could see a strong upward move, potentially reaching at least the $0.30 level.
SOL Market Cap – Bearish Rejection Expected from Resistance ZoneSolana's market cap is approaching a **major resistance zone** near $77.8B, aligning with an ascending trendline. The market is showing signs of exhaustion as price nears this confluence of **horizontal and trendline resistance**.
A bearish reaction is expected from this zone, potentially forming a **lower high** and offering a short opportunity toward the demand zone around $69.6B.
🔻 **Bearish Setup Highlights:
- Resistance Zone: $75.5B – $77.8B
- Entry Idea: On bearish rejection or confirmation near resistance
- Target: $69.6B support zone
- Stop Loss: Above $77.8B (invalidate setup)
A clean retest and rejection can offer a **high-probability short**, with the risk/reward skewed favorably.
Weekly plan for ChainlinkMarked the important levels in this video for this week and considered a few scenarios of price performance
Write a comment with your coins & hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you
The author's opinion may differ from yours,
Consider your risks.
Wish you successful trades! MURA
Miniso: Holding SteadyMNSO showed little volatility last week, recording only minor single-digit percentage pullbacks. Still, we expect further downside ahead. As the decline continues, the stock should reach the green Target Zone between $9.90 and $7.33. Within that range, we anticipate the low of the green wave . This bottom should then set the stage for a new upward move, which should eventually break above the resistance at $35.22 via a turquoise five-wave structure.
BTC/USDT Analysis – Confirmed Bullish Trend
Hello everyone! This is CryptoRobotics' trader-analyst with your daily market analysis.
Yesterday, Bitcoin continued accumulating around our marked level of $87,000 without dropping below it.
Today, we broke the key high of $88,800 and are now seeing a surge in volume.
Our main scenario remains a continuation of the uptrend toward the next sell zone or until we encounter abnormally strong market or limit sell pressure (a sharp volume spike followed by a failure to hold above, or a technical trend break).
At this stage, it's important to secure a position above $90,500 — in that case, the current volume spike may act as support, providing a good opportunity to join the long side.
If not, we expect a return to the $88,000 area.
Sell Zones:
$95,000–$96,700 (accumulated volume),
$97,500–$98,400 (initiative pushing volumes),
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies).
Buy Zones:
$90,300–$89,500 (potential pushing volume zone),
$88,100–$87,000 (absorption of market selling),
$85,500–$84,000 (accumulated volume),
$82,700–$81,400 (high-volume area),
Level at $74,800,
$69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volume).
This publication is not financial advice.
Gold target: $3500The structure of the bullish trend of gold remains unchanged, so don't guess the top. From 2600 points at the beginning of the year, gold has been rising all the way yesterday. Gold is now very volatile. In fact, it is easy to fluctuate by 20 to 30 US dollars. The current market is a new high every day. The bullish trend of gold is beyond doubt, but you still need to wait patiently. Recently, the trend of gold in the Asian session has been mainly rising. Gold will continue to be bought after it falls back.
Gold is currently maintaining a high-level oscillation and strong trend in the daily trend, and there is no sign of peaking yet. The 4-hour level trend has been repeating the sideways trend after the rise, and then the continued upward trend after a slight decline.
The current trend can no longer be viewed with conventional thinking, and the high point cannot be judged. It is completely driven by emotions. Do a good job of risk control in the short term to follow the operation. The technical side is not of much reference significance. As long as the tariff policy is not relaxed, it will be difficult for gold to fall and pull back!
Gold has hit a record high driven by the weakness of the US dollar and risk aversion. In the short term, the bullish momentum is still strong, but the overbought signal prompts that we need to be alert to the risk of pullback. The medium-term trend will depend on the evolution of trade negotiations and geopolitical situations. $3,500/ounce is still the target of market attention.
In the short term, it has risen three times during the day, so you can't chase more. If you want to go up more, you need to wait for the support level to retrace. You can pay attention to the MA10 and MA20 support on the hourly line to go long. Too much rise is not a reason to fall. You just need to pay more attention to risks as you go up, and keep buying in the short term. The next big target is the 3,500 mark.
Key points:
First support: 3426, second support: 3414, third support: 3400
First resistance: 3477, second resistance: 3486, third resistance: 3500
Operation ideas:
Buy: 3417-3420, SL: 3408, TP: 3490-3500;
Buy: 3400-3396, SL: 3387, TP: 3430-3440;