XAUUSD - UptrendFRANKFURT (Reuters) -The euro could become a viable alternative to the dollar, earning the 20-nation bloc immense benefits, if governments could only strengthen the bloc’s financial and security architecture, ECB President Christine Lagarde said on Monday.
Unnerved by erratic U.S. economic policy, global investors have been reducing their exposure to dollar assets in recent months but many have opted for gold instead, not seeing a direct alternative.
In fact, the euro’s global role has been stagnant for decades now since the European Union’s financial institutions remain unfinished and governments have shown little appetite to embark on more integration.
"The ongoing changes create the opening for a ’global euro moment,’" Lagarde said at a lecture in Berlin. "The euro will not gain influence by default - it will have to earn it."
For this, Europe needs a deeper, more liquid capital market, must bolster its legal foundations and needs to underpin its commitment to open trade with security capabilities, Lagarde argued.
The dollar’s role has been on the decline for years and now makes up 58% of international reserves, the lowest in decades, but still well above the euro’s 20% share.
Any enhanced role for the euro must coincide with greater military strength that can back up partnerships, Lagarde said.
"This is because investors – and especially official investors – also seek geopolitical assurance in another form: they invest in the assets of regions that are reliable security partners and can honour alliances with hard power," Lagarde said at a Hertie School lecture.
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Europe should also make the euro the currency of choice for businesses invoicing international trade, she said. This could be supported by forging new trade agreements, enhanced cross-border payments and with liquidity agreements with the ECB.
Reforming the domestic economy may be more pressing, however, Lagarde said. The euro area capital market is still fragmented, inefficient and lacks a truly liquid, widely available safe asset investors could flock to, she said.
"Economic logic tells us that public goods need to be jointly financed. And this joint financing could provide the basis for Europe to gradually increase its supply of safe assets."
Wave Analysis
MACFL LONG TRADEMACFL was previously in uptrend – afterwards it has been trading in a downward corrective channel from Dec 2023 till April 2025. It has showed strong reversal signs; price trading above EMA-20 and Bullish FVG on 1D TF along with supportive Volume Gradient.
🚨 TECHNICAL BUY CALL – MACFL 🚨
🎯 BUY MACFL: Rs. 16.6-15.7
📈 TP1 : Rs. 18
📈 TP2 : Rs. 20.5
📈 TP3 : Rs. 22.5
🛑 STOP LOSS: BELOW Rs. 14.6 (Daily Close)
📊 RISK-REWARD: High Conviction | 1:3.3
Caution: Please enter/exit in 3 parts in give range. Close at least 50% position size at TP1 and then trail SL to avoid losing incurred profits in case of unforeseen market conditions.
PLEASE BOOST AND SHARE THE IDEA IF YOU FIND IT HELPFUL.
GOLD Set To Grow! BUY!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on GOLD and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 3338.3 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 3350.1
Safe Stop Loss - 3332.2
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
PIOC SHORT-SELL/EXIT CALLPIOC has been in an uptrend since Jan 2023. It made a Scallop formation and gave breakout from that formation in March 2024. It has exactly achieved the target price as projected by measured move. (TP 236), It has now formed a double top with right top lower than the left top. Though targets from the measured move projection of double top are much bigger, but those will be shared at later stage.
🚨 TECHNICAL SHORT-SELL/EXIT CALL – PIOC 🚨
🎯 SHORT-SELL/EXIT ZONE: Rs. 210-220
📈 TP1 : Rs. 195
📈 TP2 : Rs. 175
🛑 STOP LOSS: ABOVE Rs. 234 (Daily Close)
NOTE – Prices are of ready market
📊 RISK-REWARD: Medium Conviction | 1:2.7
Caution: Please enter/exit in 3 parts in give range. Close at least 50% position size at TP1 and then trail SL to avoid losing incurred profits in case of unforeseen market conditions.
PLEASE BOOST AND SHARE THE IDEA IF YOU FIND IT HELPFUL.
Canopy Growth: Further UpwardThe WEED stock has already realized considerable increases during the current green wave B, which we credit with even more upward potential. However, we primarily expect the top of this movement to be marked below the resistance at C$3.11, and subsequently, the price should move deeper into our magenta Target Zone between C$2.96 and C$0.90 to complete the larger wave ii in orange. The following wave iii should then lead WEED out of the magenta zone and peak above the mentioned C$3.11 resistance. If the stock already rises above this mark during the current movement, we will have to assume that wave alt. ii in orange has already concluded (probability: 37%).
USDT Dominance Tells Us That Shakeout AheadHello, Skyrexians!
Despite most of traders now already do not believe in correction for Bitcoin, CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D is showing the potential warning sign. For sure my global forecast for this chart that Tether dominance will go below 2% is still actual. You can find it here . By the way it's playing out great. But in the short term shakeout is likely.
12 hours time frame Awesome Oscillator shows that wave 1 of global C has been finished. Now it's time for reactive wave 2. The most likely target is 5.3% at 0.5 Fibonacci. Only from there I expect crypto bull run continuation (for BTC) and start (for altcoins).
Best regards,
Ivan Skyrexio
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TOMCL SHORT SELL/EXIT TRADETOMCL was previously in an uptrend from Feb 2024 to Aug 2024. Then it switched to WYCKOFF Distribution Phase till April 2025. It broke down from the Distribution Phase and now has retested the break down level and confirmed downward reversal/rejection.
🚨 TECHNICAL SHORT-SELL/EXIT CALL – TOMCL 🚨
🎯 SHORT-SELL/EXIT ZONE: Rs. 31-33
📈 TP1 : Rs. 28.5
📈 TP2 : Rs. 25.1
🛑 STOP LOSS: ABOVE Rs. 34.6 (Daily Close)
NOTE – Prices are of ready market
📊 RISK-REWARD: High Conviction | 1:3
Caution: Please enter/exit in 3 parts in give range. Close at least 50% position size at TP1 and then trail SL to avoid losing incurred profits in case of unforeseen market conditions.
PLEASE BOOST AND SHARE THE IDEA IF YOU FIND IT HELPFUL.
FLYING SHORT-SELL/EXIT CALLFLYING was previously in Accumulation Phase from Jan 2025 till April 2025 – It broke out of this phase and plotted a high of 56, with remarkable Volume Distribution. It has completed Elliot Waves 1-2-3-4-5 of uptrend. In last up-wave, it has gone through SOT and variation in Volume Gradient. These factors suggest an impending corrective wave A-B-c in coming days.
🚨 TECHNICAL SHORT-SELL/EXIT CALL – FLYING 🚨
🎯 SHORT-SELL/EXIT ZONE: Rs. 54-50.1
📈 TP1 : Rs. 45.9
📈 TP2 : Rs. 38.7
🛑 STOP LOSS: ABOVE Rs. 57.5 (Daily Close)
NOTE – Prices are of ready market
📊 RISK-REWARD: Medium Conviction | 1:2.34
Caution: Please enter/exit in 3 parts in give range. Close at least 50% position size at TP1 and then trail SL to avoid losing incurred profits in case of unforeseen market conditions.
PLEASE BOOST AND SHARE THE IDEA IF YOU FIND IT HELPFUL.
GBPUSD - One More Leg for Bears to Take Over!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈GBPUSD has been overall bullish trading within the rising broadening wedge pattern marked in red.
However, it is currently approaching the upper bound of the wedge acting as an over-bought zone.
And the $1.365 - $1.375 is a strong resistance zone.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of resistance and upper red trendline acting as a non-horizontal resistance.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #GBPUSD approaches the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
FFL SHORT-SELL/EXIT FOLLOW UP TRADE (FRESH ENTRY)FFL has been repeatedly rejected from POI between 15.7-16.7. It has once again reversed from the same level with bigger Volumes.
🚨 TECHNICAL SHORT-SELL/EXIT CALL – FFL🚨
🎯 SHORT-SELL/EXIT ZONE: Rs. 15.5-16.1
📈 TP1 : Rs. 13.9
📈 TP2 : Rs. 11.7
🛑 STOP LOSS: ABOVE Rs. 16.7(Daily Close)
NOTE – Prices are of ready market
📊 RISK-REWARD: High Conviction | 1:3.8
Caution: Please enter/exit in 3 parts in give range. Close at least 50% position size at TP1 and then trail SL to avoid losing incurred profits in case of unforeseen market conditions.
PLEASE BOOST AND SHARE THE IDEA IF YOU FIND IT HELPFUL.
CHCC FOLLOW-UP SHORT-SELL/EXIT TRADE (FRESH ENTRY)CHCC has been trading in Downtrend perfect channel since Dec 2024.
Downward Volume Gradient on down waves have been on higher side than up waves.
It has once again been rejected by Supply Zone at the top of the Channel.
This whole scenario makes CHCC High Probability Short Trade.
🚨 TECHNICAL SHORT-SELL/EXIT CALL – CHCC 🚨
🎯 SHORT-SELL/EXIT ZONE: Rs. 270-260
📈 TP1 : Rs. 250
📈 TP2 : Rs. 222
🛑 STOP LOSS: ABOVE Rs. 285 (Daily Close)
NOTE – Prices are of ready market
📊 RISK-REWARD: High Conviction | 1:3.3
Caution: Please enter/exit in 3 parts in give range. Close at least 50% position size at TP1 and then trail SL to avoid losing incurred profits in case of unforeseen market conditions.
PLEASE BOOST AND SHARE THE IDEA IF YOU FIND IT HELPFUL.
Bitcoin's upward movement continuesThe upward movement that Bitcoin started at $74,550 has many similarities between its waves. Considering the similarity in price and the large time between waves A-C-E-G and waves B-D-F, it is clear that a diametric or symmetrical is forming.
Considering that the post-pattern movement after the g-wave has not passed, there are two scenarios:
1- Formation of an x-wave after the diametric
2- Formation of a symmetrical
However, considering that the post-pattern movement after the g-wave has not been confirmed and the high similarity in price in all waves, my opinion is that a symmetrical is forming and we will have another upward wave. This upward wave could end at $115,500 or $123,000.
Good luck
NEoWave Chart
AVN SHORT-SELL/EXIT FOLLOW-UP TRADE (FRESH ENTRY)AVN is trending in a downward channel. After posting a healthy pull-back, AVN has been rejected from Breaker Block.
🚨 TECHNICAL SHORT SELL/EXIT CALL –AVN 🚨
🎯 SHORT-SELL/EXIT ZONE: Rs. 48.3-51
📈 TP1 : Rs. 45.1
📈 TP2 : Rs. 41.1
🛑 STOP LOSS: ABOVE Rs. 53.7(Daily Close)
NOTE – Prices are of ready market
📊 RISK-REWARD: Medium Conviction | 1:2.75
Caution: Please enter/exit in 3 parts in give range. Close at least 50% position size at TP1 and then trail SL to avoid losing incurred profits in case of unforeseen market conditions.
PLEASE BOOST AND SHARE THE IDEA IF YOU FIND IT HELPFUL.
xauusd 15mThis chart shows a 15-minute candlestick chart of Gold Spot against the U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) with clear technical zones:
Support zone (highlighted in red): Around the 3,322 – 3,327 level.
Resistance zone (highlighted in green): Around the 3,352 – 3,356 level.
Current price: ~3,338
The arrows and lines suggest a range-bound scenario or a breakout setup:
A bullish breakout above the green resistance zone could indicate a move higher (green arrow).
A bearish breakdown below the red support zone might trigger further downside (red arrow).
This is a typical consolidation pattern where traders wait for a breakout or breakdown to decide on trade direction. Do you want a strategy suggestion or outlook based on this setup?
GBPAUD: Bullish Bias Remains 🇬🇧🇦🇺
I already shared a confirmed bullish breakout of a falling trend line on a daily.
Though the price went a bit lower, below that after its retest,
we have a significant horizontal support cluster that strongly holds.
I think that the price may start rising from that and reach
2.1 level this week.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
SAHOL2! — 1DThe correction that began in mid-July 2024 does not appear to be complete yet. I interpret this movement as a WXY pattern, and it seems to be in the second sub-wave of the Y wave. I have marked the potential zones (green areas) and the key reversal levels within those zones with yellow lines.
TCS – From Correction to Acceleration?TCS appears to have completed a textbook Zigzag correction (A-B-C) ending at ₹3056.05 — right at the long-term trendline support that has held since 2020.
From this base, the structure is now forming a clean impulsive sequence :
Wave 1 topped at ₹3630.50
Wave 2 retraced to ₹3451.30, holding between 0.236–0.382 retracement zones
The current rally may be the start of Wave 3, with fib projections targeting the ₹4025–4380 zone
Supporting evidence:
Strong RSI bullish divergence at the March low
Breakout above ₹3630.50 would confirm Wave 3 ignition
Invalidation:
Break below ₹3056.05 would invalidate this count and suggest a larger correction.
Tools Used : Elliott Wave, Fibonacci, RSI
Timeframe : Daily
Weekly timeframe view attached below for broader context:
This is a technical analysis for educational purposes only and not financial advice.
Part of the ongoing #WaveTracker series.
Documenting Elliott Wave progression across major stocks.
Will Natural Gas Prices Increase?Weekly Cash Data shows a sharp downtrend that stopped at 2.05 and then formed a sideways trend. Given the size of wave-(c) and the time of the waves, it seems that a reverse contracting triangle pattern is forming.
Currently, wave-(d) has ended and wave-(e) has begun. Under normal circumstances, we expect this wave to decrease to the point indicated by the red arrow, and in terms of time, this wave can continue until the time range of August 12-September 12 unless a political or geopolitical event occurs that causes wave-(e) to be shortened.
So, to trade, you must have a strategy along with analysis.
Good luck
NEoWave Chart
USDJPY – Targeting Structure Break for ABC Sell Setup 📉 USDJPY – Targeting Structure Break for ABC Sell Setup 📉
🔹 Timeframe: 30M
🔹 Methodology: Elliott Wave + AO + Structure Break + BBMA
⸻
🔍 Current Market Outlook:
I’m currently observing Wave 4 playing out as a complex correction. Price is pushing toward the key level 142.796, which I expect to break structure (BOS) to the upside.
Once that level is cleared, I’ll be watching closely for signs of an ABC corrective move to form — setting up a high-probability sell opportunity aligned with the final Wave 5 leg.
⸻
🧠 Key Technical Highlights:
✅ Wave Count:
• Wave 3 is confirmed by the strongest momentum on the AO
• Wave 4 is unfolding and approaching structure at 142.796
• AO shows decreasing bullish momentum, hinting at possible exhaustion
✅ Plan:
• Wait for break above 142.796
• Monitor for completion of ABC correction
• Enter short after C-leg confirmation
• TP at 1.618–1.786 Fib extension zone (141.818–141.614)
• Anticipating bullish divergence on AO by the end of Wave 5
⸻
📌 Confluence Checklist:
✔️ Wave theory
✔️ BOS expected
✔️ Fibonacci targets
✔️ AO divergence setting up
✔️ BBMA structure alignment
⸻
🎯 Strategy Summary:
Break 142.796 ➝ Spot ABC ➝ Enter short on C ➝ Ride Wave 5 ➝ TP @ extension zone
⸻
💬 Share your thoughts—Are you seeing the same potential Wave 5 setup? Let’s discuss.
👉 Follow me for clean structure-based analysis, BBMA setups, and advanced wave insights.
#USDJPY #ElliottWave #ForexSetup #WaveAnalysis #BBMA #AOindicator #MarketStructure #BreakOfStructure #SmartMoney #SellTheRally #Wave5 #ForexStrategy