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Wave Analysis

MRK 5M Long Investment Aggressive CounterTrend TradeAggressive CounterTrend Trade - short impulse + exhaustion volume + volumed T1 + volumed 2Sp- + weak test + first bullish bar closed entry Calculated affordable stop limit 1/2 1M take profit Hourly CounterTrend "- short impulse + 1D SOS level" Daily Trend "+ long impulse + SOS level - before 1/2 correction" Monthly CounterTrend "- short impulse + 1/2 correction + exhaustion volume?" Yearly Trend "+ long impulse + 1/2 correction + exhaustion volume?"
NYSE:MRKLong
by MishaSuvorov
Wave C: The Calm Before the Bullish StormBitcoin’s Epic Comeback: From the Abyss to New Heights (2022–2024) After the brutal 2022 crash, Bitcoin was left battered, trading near $16K. Sentiment was at rock bottom—fear, uncertainty, and doubt ruled the market. But as 2023 unfolded, a silent accumulation phase began. Institutions and whales loaded up while retail investors remained hesitant. Then came the first sparks: inflation cooled, macro conditions improved, and whispers of a Bitcoin ETF surfaced. The market woke up. Bitcoin broke $30K, then $40K, as momentum grew. The long-awaited ETF approval in early 2024 sent shockwaves—institutions poured in, and Bitcoin exploded past $50K, then $60K. By mid-2024, the halving event tightened supply, fueling another leg up. Bitcoin shattered expectations, briefly touching $75K. Corrections came, but the uptrend held strong. As December 2024 approached, the market braced for the next chapter. With wave C on the horizon, the question wasn’t if Bitcoin would break new all-time highs, but when.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDShort
by BenjiQ
NIFTY : Intraday Trading Levels and Plan – 27-Feb-2025📌 This analysis provides a comprehensive trading plan for the NIFTY index on February 27, 2025, covering all possible opening scenarios. We will evaluate Gap-Up, Flat, and Gap-Down openings (with gaps of 100+ points) and outline clear action points, key levels, and risk management strategies. This plan is designed to help traders navigate the market with precision and discipline. 📈🔍 🔹 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (100+ points) If NIFTY opens above 22,784 (a gap of 100+ points from the previous close of 22,684), it signals strong bullish momentum. This opening suggests aggressive buying interest, potentially driving prices higher. If the price sustains above 22,784, it could target the resistance zone of 22,871–22,987. This zone is a profit-booking area where selling pressure may intensify due to historical resistance and recent highs. If the price faces rejection at 22,871–22,987, a reversal trade could be considered, targeting a pullback to 22,710–22,684 (opening resistance and previous close). Should the price break above 22,987 with strong momentum (e.g., high volume and bullish candlestick patterns), we might see a rally toward 23,000 or higher. ✅ Trade Plan: ✔️ Buy on a breakout and retest of 22,784 , targeting 22,871–22,987. Use a stop-loss below 22,684 to manage risk. ✔️ Short if the price rejects 22,871–22,987, aiming for 22,710–22,684. Place a stop-loss above 22,987 to limit potential losses. Explanation: A Gap-Up opening of 100+ points reflects bullish sentiment, but chasing the gap immediately can be risky due to volatility. Waiting for a retest of 22,784 confirms bullish intent, while the resistance at 22,871–22,987 acts as a natural profit-taking zone. A rejection at this level could signal a shorting opportunity if bearish momentum builds. 🔹 Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Near 22,684–22,710) If NIFTY opens within the range of 22,684–22,710, it suggests a balanced market with no clear directional bias. This zone acts as a critical opening support/resistance area where price action could consolidate or break out. A breakout above 22,710 could drive prices toward 22,871–22,987, signaling bullish momentum. A breakdown below 22,684 might lead to selling pressure, targeting 22,505–22,356 (opening support and last intraday support) or even 22,400 (key support level). ✅ Trade Plan: ✔️ Buy above 22,710 , targeting 22,871–22,987. Use a stop-loss below 22,684 to protect against a false breakout. ✔️ Sell below 22,684 , targeting 22,505–22,356 or 22,400. Set a stop-loss above 22,710 to manage downside risk. Explanation: A Flat opening often results in consolidation, making it challenging to trade without confirmation. The 22,684–22,710 range is a no-trade zone unless a decisive breakout occurs. Traders should wait for clear price action (e.g., strong candlestick patterns or increased volume) to avoid fake moves and ensure higher probability trades. 🔹 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (100+ points) If NIFTY opens below 22,584 (a gap of 100+ points from the previous close of 22,684), it signals bearish sentiment and potential weakness in the market. Immediate support lies at 22,505–22,356 (opening support and last intraday support). If this holds, a pullback toward 22,684–22,710 could occur. If 22,505 breaks with strong selling pressure, expect further downside toward 22,070 (buyer’s support for a possible reversal). ✅ Trade Plan: ✔️ Buy near 22,505 , targeting a pullback to 22,684–22,710. Use a stop-loss below 22,356 to limit risk. ✔️ Short below 22,505 , targeting 22,070. Place a stop-loss above 22,505 to protect against a quick recovery. Explanation: A Gap-Down opening of 100+ points indicates panic or profit-taking, but prices can rebound if support levels hold. Waiting for confirmation near 22,505 ensures the price isn’t just oversold, while a break below this level confirms bearish momentum for shorting opportunities. The 22,070 zone offers a potential reversal point if buying interest emerges. 📌 Risk Management Tips for Options Trading 💡 🛑 Always Use a Strict Stop-Loss: Protect your capital by setting stop-loss orders at key support/resistance levels to limit potential losses. 🎯 Take Partial Profits: Lock in gains at intermediate targets (e.g., 22,871 or 22,505) to secure profits while allowing room for further moves. 🕰️ Avoid Overtrading: Stick to the plan and wait for clear price action confirmation—don’t force trades in uncertain conditions. 💰 Use Proper Position Sizing: Risk only a small percentage of your capital (e.g., 1–2%) per trade to ensure longevity in the market. 📌 Summary & Conclusion 🎯 ✔️ Bullish Above: 22,710 → Target: 22,871–22,987. ✔️ Bearish Below: 22,684 → Target: 22,505–22,356 or 22,070. ✔️ No Trade Zone: 22,684–22,710 (Wait for a breakout). Trade with discipline, follow your plan, and prioritize risk management to navigate the NIFTY market effectively on February 27, 2025. 🚀 ⚠️ Disclaimer I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making any trading decisions. 📉📈
NSE:NIFTYShort
by LiveTradingBox
BANKNIFTY : Intraday Trading Levels and Plan – 27-Feb-2025📌 This analysis provides a comprehensive trading plan for the BANKNIFTY index on February 27, 2025, covering all possible opening scenarios. We will evaluate Gap-Up, Flat, and Gap-Down openings (with gaps of 200+ points) and outline clear action points, key levels, and risk management strategies. This plan is designed to help traders navigate the market with precision and discipline. 📈🔍 🔹 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (200+ points) If BANKNIFTY opens above 48,998 (a gap of 200+ points from the previous close of 48,798), it signals strong bullish momentum. This opening suggests aggressive buying interest, potentially driving prices higher. If the price sustains above 48,998, it could target the profit-booking zone of 49,117–49,400. This zone is a key resistance area where selling pressure may intensify due to historical resistance and recent highs. If the price faces rejection at 49,117–49,400, a reversal trade could be considered, targeting a pullback to 48,878–48,798 (last intraday resistance and previous close). Should the price break above 49,400 with strong momentum (e.g., high volume and bullish candlestick patterns), we might see a rally toward 49,600 or higher. ✅ Trade Plan: ✔️ Buy on a breakout and retest of 48,998 , targeting 49,117–49,400. Use a stop-loss below 48,798 to manage risk. ✔️ Short if the price rejects 49,117–49,400, aiming for 48,878–48,798. Place a stop-loss above 49,400 to limit potential losses. Explanation: A Gap-Up opening of 200+ points reflects significant bullish sentiment, but chasing the gap immediately can be risky due to volatility. Waiting for a retest of 48,998 confirms bullish intent, while the resistance at 49,117–49,400 acts as a natural profit-taking zone. A rejection at this level could signal a shorting opportunity if bearish momentum builds. 🔹 Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Near 48,798–48,878) If BANKNIFTY opens within the range of 48,798–48,878, it suggests a balanced market with no clear directional bias. This zone acts as a critical opening support/resistance area where price action could consolidate or break out. A breakout above 48,878 could drive prices toward 49,117–49,400, signaling bullish momentum. A breakdown below 48,798 might lead to selling pressure, targeting 48,396–48,167 (opening support and last intraday support) or even 47,573 (buyer’s support for a possible reversal). ✅ Trade Plan: ✔️ Buy above 48,878 , targeting 49,117–49,400. Use a stop-loss below 48,798 to protect against a false breakout. ✔️ Sell below 48,798 , targeting 48,396–48,167 or 47,573. Set a stop-loss above 48,878 to manage downside risk. Explanation: A Flat opening often results in consolidation, making it challenging to trade without confirmation. The 48,798–48,878 range is a no-trade zone unless a decisive breakout occurs. Traders should wait for clear price action (e.g., strong candlestick patterns or increased volume) to avoid fake moves and ensure higher probability trades. 🔹 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (200+ points) If BANKNIFTY opens below 48,598 (a gap of 200+ points from the previous close of 48,798), it signals bearish sentiment and potential weakness in the market. Immediate support lies at 48,396–48,167 (opening support and last intraday support). If this holds, a pullback toward 48,798–48,878 could occur. If 48,396 breaks with strong selling pressure, expect further downside toward 47,573 (buyer’s support for a possible reversal). ✅ Trade Plan: ✔️ Buy near 48,396 , targeting a pullback to 48,798–48,878. Use a stop-loss below 48,167 to limit risk. ✔️ Short below 48,396 , targeting 47,573. Place a stop-loss above 48,396 to protect against a quick recovery. Explanation: A Gap-Down opening of 200+ points indicates panic or profit-taking, but prices can rebound if support levels hold. Waiting for confirmation near 48,396 ensures the price isn’t just oversold, while a break below this level confirms bearish momentum for shorting opportunities. The 47,573 zone offers a potential reversal point if buying interest emerges. 📌 Risk Management Tips for Options Trading 💡 🛑 Always Use a Strict Stop-Loss: Protect your capital by setting stop-loss orders at key support/resistance levels to limit potential losses. 🎯 Take Partial Profits: Lock in gains at intermediate targets (e.g., 49,117 or 48,396) to secure profits while allowing room for further moves. 🕰️ Avoid Overtrading: Stick to the plan and wait for clear price action confirmation—don’t force trades in uncertain conditions. 💰 Use Proper Position Sizing: Risk only a small percentage of your capital (e.g., 1–2%) per trade to ensure longevity in the market. 📌 Summary & Conclusion 🎯 ✔️ Bullish Above: 48,878 → Target: 49,117–49,400. ✔️ Bearish Below: 48,798 → Target: 48,396–48,167 or 47,573. ✔️ No Trade Zone: 48,798–48,878 (Wait for a breakout). Trade with discipline, follow your plan, and prioritize risk management to navigate the BANKNIFTY market effectively on February 27, 2025. 🚀 ⚠️ Disclaimer I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making any trading decisions. 📉📈
NSE:BANKNIFTYShort
by LiveTradingBox
XAUUSD Bearish Trend Started for Correction ABCXAUUSD Bearish Trend Started for Correction ABC Based on recent analyses, gold (XAUUSD) has been on an upward trajectory, reaching record highs above $2,900 in early February 2025. This surge is attributed to factors such as newly imposed tariffs and inflation concerns. However, some Elliott Wave analyses suggest that gold may be entering a bearish correction phase. For instance, a head and shoulders pattern has been identified, indicating potential for a downward move if key support levels are breached. Additionally, forecasts indicate that the XAUUSD pair is correcting and may continue to decline, with an estimated pivot point around 2,788.71. In summary, while gold has recently achieved record highs, certain technical indicators and patterns suggest a possible bearish correction in line with Elliott Wave Theory.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ikhtiarfx
PI NETWORK—CRYPTO’S MOBILE STAR SHINES BRIGHT? $PIUSDTPI NETWORK—CRYPTO’S MOBILE STAR SHINES BRIGHT? (1/9) Good afternoon, TradingView! Pi Network’s buzzing—47M users, $ 2.57 IOUs 📈🔥. Q1 ‘25 mainnet looms—let’s unpack this tap-to-earn enigma! 🚀 (2/9) – USER RUSH • Base: 47M users—18M KYC’d 💥 • Mainnet: 8M migrated—4.4B Pi 📊 • Model: Tap daily—no rigs, no sweat Pi’s humming—massive crowd, mobile zip! (3/9) – PRICE BUZZ • IOUs: $ 2.57—up from $ 0.668 🌍 • ‘25 Hope: 1−5—$ 2B-$ 10B cap 🚗 • Bull Dream: $ 50—$ 100B stretch 🌟 Pi’s flickering—hype or gold? (4/9) – SECTOR SNAP • Crypto Cap: $ 2.5T—BTC, ETH lead 📈 • Vs. Peers: Pi lags utility—Hamster flops 🌍 • Edge: 47M vs. altcoin minnows Pi’s a wildcard—value or vapor? (5/9) – RISKS IN VIEW • Delay: Mainnet stalls—Q1 ‘25 shaky ⚠️ • Control: Core team grips—central snag 🏛️ • Crash: Hype fades—$ 0.50 risk 📉 Hot buzz—can it dodge the bust? (6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS • Crowd: 47M—crypto king 🌟 • Easy: Tap-to-earn—low bar 🔍 • Green: SCP—no power guzzle 🚦 Pi’s a steady beast—user gold! (7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES • Weaknesses: No use, locked Pi—boo 💸 • Opportunities: Emerging markets—zing 🌍 Can Pi zap past the haze? (8/9) – Pi’s $ 2.57 buzz—what’s your vibe? 1️⃣ Bullish—$ 5+ shines bright. 2️⃣ Neutral—Waits, risks hover. 3️⃣ Bearish—Fades below $ 0.50. Vote below! 🗳️👇 (9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY Pi’s 47M users and $ 2.57 IOUs spark zing—crypto wildcard 🌍. Big crowd, big risks—gem or bust?
MEXC:PIUSDT
by DCAChampion
DXY Bearish to 85-90The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY). Here are some key insights from the chart: A zigzag corrective pattern is identified. Resistance levels at 113 and an inverse bearish level at 115 are highlighted. The Exponential Moving Average (EMA 9) and Simple Moving Average (SMA 50) are displayed. Elliott Wave analysis appears to be used, indicating a possible downward correction. A bearish scenario targeting around 90 in the long term is projected. The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY). Here are some key insights from the chart: A weakening dollar will boost growth in the export sector. I believe this will occur during President Trump's term.
TVC:DXYShort
by Mostafa-Mir
1
GOLD M30 DETAILED OVERVIEWGold (XAUUSD) is currently trading within a range-bound structure, forming key supply and demand zones. 🔹 Key Levels & Zones: Strong Demand Zone (2H): Price recently tested a significant demand zone near $2,900 - $2,905, showing signs of potential bullish reaction. Fair Value Gap (FVG) Fill: There is an imbalance in price action, suggesting a temporary push upward to fill the gap before further moves. Strong Supply Zone: A major resistance area is identified around $2,945 - $2,950, making it a potential take-profit zone for buyers and an ideal level for fresh sell entries. 🔹 Trade Plan & Expectations: Short-Term Bullish Move: Price may attempt to retrace higher towards the FVG fill area & supply zone, aiming for $2,940 - $2,945 before facing rejection. Bearish Continuation: Once the price reaches resistance, a potential sell-off could drive XAUUSD back towards the demand zone and possibly lower towards $2,880 - $2,885. EMA Confluence: The moving averages suggest an overall bearish trend, with price struggling to hold above key resistance levels. 📉 Bearish Bias: If rejection occurs at resistance, watch for confirmation before entering short positions targeting the demand zone and lower support. 📈 Bullish Scenario: If price breaks above $2,950, it could signal further upside momentum, invalidating the bearish setup.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by worldofprofits
RIVN looks ready after a flatRIVN bounced off the 61.8% retracement of W-(1), looked like a clean impulse besides the very deep retracement of W-2, but still valid. Wave B looks like 3 waves up and was rejected off the 127% making it look like an expanded flat. This then followed into an ending diagonal for C right into that 61.8% retracement of W-(1) and not quite hitting the 161.8% extension of W-A. On a smaller timeframe, this last leg down could look like a 1-2 1-2 and needs a second 4-5 still. One more low could be in order.
NASDAQ:RIVNLong
by stsmurf
Bitcoin Overall: 2 scenariosIf the weekly candle closes below 89,150; we probably visit 70-80K region, where at this point I am pre-disposed to consider this bull market to be over, despite its relatively short duration. Of course we will have to see what price has done at that point. Regardless, there should be a very significant bounce off those levels if this occurs. My understanding of EW theory suggests price may have completed/has almost completed an 'expanded flat' corrective phase, and that we will have an extended 5th wave as in the 2017 cycle--although probably less explosive. IF price were to recover from these levels, we should have some very nice gains in the months ahead. The alternative scenario is the 5th wave has ended and the bear market has begun--in this case a sell the bounce from the 70'sk should be executed to liquidate any long-term positions. As usual, give the above framework I believe the market will tell us what will happen.
by Ian_Carsen
1
Analysis of gold trend on 2.26th Spot gold fell below $2,900 an ounce for the first time since February 18, after U.S. consumer confidence suffered its largest monthly decline in more than three years in February. Interpretation of the news: With the Federal Reserve remaining cautious and the Trump administration increasing policy uncertainty, the U.S. dollar and gold markets have diverged. At present, the market's focus is still on the Federal Reserve's economic data in the next few months and the Trump administration's policy implementation. The trends of the US dollar and gold may continue to be dominated by these factors. This Friday, the United States will release the core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, which is the inflation indicator that the Fed pays the most attention to. The market expects the data to fall to the lowest level since June last year. If the data meets expectations, it may further strengthen the Fed's reason for cutting interest rates and continue to support gold prices. However, if the inflation data is strong, the Fed may remain more cautious on the issue of interest rate cuts, which may put some pressure on the short-term trend of gold. Analysis of gold trend: Gold fell all day on Tuesday, and the US market also ushered in a waterfall dive. It fell from 2944 and reached a low of 2888 as of the time of posting, with an overall decline of 56 points. Although there is a small rebound now, it is still fluctuating below 2900. Now the technical indicators are all in a bearish state and have no reference significance; now it mainly depends on the consolidation of the late trading, using time to exchange for space consolidation. From the hourly level, the decline of gold prices in the US market directly broke through this week's low of 2921 and 2900. Now the low support is converted to a high suppression reference. Secondly, there is the psychological pressure of the 2900 mark. If the closing price of gold is still below this position today, then Wednesday will still be dominated by rebound shorting. If it effectively stands above 2900, then pay attention to the rebound repair of gold prices in the Asian market on Wednesday; Specific operation suggestions: 1. If the gold price closes above 2900 on Tuesday, short and sell near 2915 with 2922 as protection in the Asian session on Wednesday, and then observe the break of 2900; 2. If the gold price closes below 2900 on Tuesday, then wait for the gold price to rebound and recover to around 2905 in the Asian market on Wednesday and go short and watch the breakout of the low of 2888; 3. As for the long operation, our team of professional and senior gold trading analysts recommends waiting for the gold price to break below 2888, then going long near 2880 to see a rebound, and focusing on the 2900 target above.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Caesar_Gorman1