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Wave Analysis

BTCUSDT CORRECTION OR REVERSAL?BTCUSDT CORRECTION OR REVERSAL? Hello, colleagues! So, what we have in the middle of the trading week: Since the last review Bitcoin managed to rewrite its high once again and reached above 108K on the Bitstamp exchange. Also yesterday was the Fed meeting, the decision of which was to lower the rate by another 25 basis points and followed by the traditional J. Powell conference, during and after which the shedding started in many markets. #BTC As for bitcoin specifically, the correction was asked for a long time ago and the asset corrected only by 9% from its high and this decline cannot be called unexpected. At the moment, BTC continues to stay in the trend and there is still room for the correction to continue at least to the upward support at $97-98K and we can't exclude the stabbing even lower, to the trading boundary at 94K. But, in general, from these values I expect a buyback and continuation of growth. I expect such another near-term decline, mentioned above, within the framework of working out of the candlestick formation Absorption on 1D. For the first time in a long time the asset showed a strong bearish candle and just covered the gap for the last weekend on the CME exchange. In any case, a correction is necessary for any healthy market, whether bullish or bearish. If we compare each post-halving cycle on the logarithmic chart of the 1Mes TF, we can see that the asset has continued to rise for at least another year. Therefore, there is every chance to continue rising until at least Spring 2025, or even Q4.
Short
by Trade_Hive_Signals
1220 USOIL could not break top zone and turn down sideways againHello traders, This Thursday, Bitcoin's price experienced significant fluctuations, dropping from $102,000 to $97,000, a decline of $5,000 overnight. If we consider the high point from last weekend, the "tulip bloom," to the current "withered" state, it has fallen a total of $11,000 within a week. As a reminder, the second half of December is the period of tightest liquidity in the U.S. Everything is sellable! Therefore, when Federal Reserve Chairman Powell clearly stated, "We are not allowed to own Bitcoin," it can at least be confirmed that the rumors of the Fed holding Bitcoin have been dispelled, and the U.S. government's plans to accumulate Bitcoin are nearly impossible. This means that Bitcoin's price has finally returned to "normal," reflecting the trend of tightening liquidity. On Thursday, there are several important data points to pay attention to: 1. U.S. Dollar Index: 108.3 2. 10-Year Treasury Yield: 4.57% 3. 30-Year Treasury Yield: 4.74% These figures indicate that inflation expectations are rising. In particular, the 30-year Treasury yield is just about 10 basis points away from this year's high of 4.81%, and less than 40 basis points from the 2017 peak of 5.11%. Over the past two weeks, the 30-year Treasury yield has risen by 40 basis points. What is the current market consensus? The small red circle suggests shorting U.S. Treasuries and going long on the dollar. Today is Friday, a special day, as it marks the largest and most important options expiration date (OPEX) of 2024. Given the maximum OPEX, the impending government shutdown, and the tightening liquidity, the market may experience significant volatility!!!!!! Major attention is needed during this time, particularly during U.S. market hours (9:00 PM Beijing time to early Saturday morning). Wednesday's internal tips: On the 4-hour chart, crude oil has retraced below the EMA and the first resistance level, which diverges from the daily chart (where the candlestick is above the EMA) and the weekly chart (which has broken through the bottom resistance line), creating a selection issue for the market. **Idea One:** You can choose to enter new long positions after the 4-hour chart returns above the EMA. **Idea Two:** You can also consider a larger risk-reward ratio, entering the market opportunistically while the 4-hour chart is below the EMA, but the daily and weekly charts remain bullish. For existing long positions that have not hit the stop loss, it is recommended to hold on, based on the second idea mentioned above. TP1: 71.5 TP2: 72.0 TP3: 72.70 On Wednesday, during U.S. market hours, crude oil faced resistance at the first resistance level; On Thursday, during U.S. market hours, crude oil was blocked by the 4-hour EMA. At this point, the long crude oil trades hit their stop loss, and positions were closed, requiring a reevaluation of the trading strategy. Since Wednesday, under the pressure of the Fed's hawkish interest rate cuts, the demand outlook for crude oil has become increasingly bleak. Moreover, the market's further slowdown in easing expectations poses severe challenges for oil prices. Currently, the market generally believes that there will be a significant oversupply of global oil next year. In this market expectation, a rise in oil prices has become almost impossible. Market sentiment is low, and investors are generally cautious about the oil market. In the coming months, oil prices are likely to remain under pressure, making it difficult to regain their former glory. From a technical perspective, on the 4-hour chart, crude oil continues to struggle within a sideways range. On Friday, plan to establish new short positions. On the 1-hour chart, during European and American market hours, look for an opportunity to enter short positions on crude oil based on a 1-hour reversal signal. TP1: 67.50 TP2: 66.60 Mid-term short position take-profit level: 63.50. GOOD LUCK! LESS IS MORE!
FX:USOILShort
by FUNTRADER-Vera
HERITGFOOD : Hungry for recoveryHERITGFOOD Analysis (20th Dec 2024) The chart demonstrates a liquidity buildup, golden retracement zones, and corrective wave completion. Here’s a detailed breakdown for actionable trading. Current Structure: The price has retraced into a golden zone (467-488) and is showing signs of reversal. Buying at this level could target 614 as the first target and 685-715 as the extended range. Stop-loss is placed below 420, indicating bearish continuation if breached. Action Plan: Buying Opportunity: Consider entering near 467-488 (retracement zone), supported by wave C completion. Targets: First profit zone at 614. Trail stop-loss to 500 and aim for 685-715 for extended gains. Stop Loss: Place below 420 to avoid significant losses. Risk-Reward Ratio: Entry around 480 with targets at 614 and 715 provides a favorable risk-reward ratio of nearly 1:3. Key Educational Note: Liquidity buildup indicates institutional activity. The corrective wave completion often aligns with major turning points in price. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes. Consult with a SEBI-registered professional before trading. Support by liking and sharing!
NSE:HERITGFOODLong
by LiveTradingBox
IREDA :High Voltage DramaIREDA Analysis (20th Dec 2024) The chart showcases a Bullish Flag Breakout , a golden retracement zone, and defined targets. Let’s analyze actionable insights and strategies. Current Structure: The stock has broken out from a bullish flag pattern, indicating a strong uptrend. Retracement to the green zone (191-204) is likely before continuing its rally. The first target zone is 243-248, with an extended target at 278. A stop-loss at 186 is set below the golden retracement zone. Action Plan: Buying Opportunity: Enter between 191-204 (retracement zone). This level aligns with Fibonacci retracement and prior resistance turned support. Targets: Partial profit booking near 243-248. Trail stop-loss to 220 for a move towards the extended target at 278. Stop Loss: Place below 186 to limit downside risk. Risk-Reward Ratio: Buying at 200 with targets at 243 and 278 offers a strong risk-reward of approximately 1:4. Key Educational Note: The breakout from a bullish flag pattern signifies continuation. Retracements are opportunities to enter the trend with limited risk. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always verify with a certified financial advisor. Like and share to support!
NSE:IREDALong
by LiveTradingBox
SBIN : at Wave C completion zoneSBIN Analysis (20th Dec 2024) The chart of SBIN (State Bank of India) illustrates an extended retracement to mitigate liquidity, a failed breakout (BO), and a corrective wave completion. Let us dive into a step-by-step educational breakdown of actionable levels. Current Structure: The price has recently formed a corrective wave structure (A-B-C) and is trading near a potential demand zone around 818-834. The first target zone lies between 850-852. Further breakout could lead to an extended target between 900-912. The stop-loss is below 814, where failing the deep retracement may result in bearish continuation. Action Plan: Buying Opportunity: Consider entering near 818-834, as this aligns with the golden retracement zone. This is a low-risk entry given the confluence of previous support and corrective wave completion. Targets: Book partial profits around 850-852. If momentum sustains, trail stop-loss to 845 and aim for 900-912 as the extended target. Stop Loss: Place a stop-loss below 814 to manage risk. A failure here could invalidate the setup, resulting in further downside risk. Risk-Reward Ratio: Buying around 830 with a target of 850 (initial) and 900 (extended) offers a risk-reward ratio of approximately 1:3, making it a favorable trade setup. Key Educational Note: Green trendlines denote bullish movement, while red illustrates potential bearish risks. The yellow trends indicate a sideways range, highlighting consolidation zones. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always consult with a SEBI-registered advisor before trading. Like and share if you find this analysis helpful!
NSE:SBINLong
by LiveTradingBox
1
Elliott Wave View: EURUSD Short Term Remains BearishShort Term Elliott Wave view in EURUSD suggests the decline from 9.25.2024 high is in progress as an impulse. Down from 9.25.2024 high, wave 1 ended at 1.076 and wave 2 rally ended at 1.0936. Pair then resumed lower in wave 3 towards 1.033. Corrective rally in wave ended at 1.063 as the 1 hour chart below shows. Pair still needs to break below 1.033 to rule out any double correction possibility. Wave 5 lower is currently in progress with internal subdivision as a 5 waves impulse. Down from wave 4, wave (i) ended at 1.0539 and rally in wave (ii) ended at 1.0594. Wave (iii) lower ended at 1.0484 and wave (iv) rally ended at 1.0537. Final leg wave (v) ended at 1.045 which completed wave ((i)) in higher degree. Rally in wave ((ii)) ended at 1.0534 and pair has resumed lower again. Down from wave ((ii)), wave (i) ended at 1.0476 and wave (ii) rally ended at 1.0516. Pair resumed lower in wave (iii) towards 1.034 and wave (iv) rally ended at 1.0422. Expect pair to extend lower to end wave (v) of ((iii)), then it should rally in wave ((iv)) before turning lower again. Near term, as far as pivot at 1.063 high stays intact, expect rally to fail in 3, 7, 11 swing for further downside.
by Elliottwave-Forecast
RELIANCE : BET ON FNO AND SWINGTechnical Analysis of Reliance Industries on 1-Hour Chart Overview of the Chart The chart represents Reliance Industries on the 1-hour timeframe , highlighting key concepts such as CHoCH (Change of Character), demand zones, and the golden retracement zone. Tools Used: Price Action : Key highs/lows, retracement zones. Demand Zones : Mitigated demand areas. Golden Retracement Zone : Optimal entry for Wave B based on Fibonacci levels. Swing Target : Projected target for Wave C. Key Levels and Concepts Explained Extended Retracement Zone (Deep Retracement): ₹1,261.20 – ₹1,252.70 This zone marks a potential support area for buyers after a correction in Wave A to B. Buying Tip: Look for reversal signs in this zone. Stop Loss: Below ₹1,252.70 to manage risk effectively. Golden Retracement Zone (Wave B): ₹1,241.30 – ₹1,261.20 Located at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, a high-probability area for a reversal upward. Buying Strategy: Enter within this zone if price shows bullish signs like engulfing patterns or pin bars. Stop Loss: Just below ₹1,241.30. Target: Swing high at ₹1,341 – ₹1,354 (Wave C). CHoCH Zones: Failed CHoCH: Price rejected near ₹1,273.75 and corrected lower. Demand Zone: Strong demand needs to emerge at ₹1,261.20 for a reversal upward. Tip: Look for bullish confirmation near demand zones or the golden retracement. Swing Target Zone: ₹1,341 – ₹1,354 Represents the projected target for Wave C if the retracement zone holds. Partial Profit Tip: Book profits near ₹1,341 – ₹1,354 and trail stops for further upside. Stop Loss Strategy Stop Loss on Failure: Below ₹1,241.30. If price closes below this level, the bullish setup is invalid, and traders should exit to limit losses. Buying Tips at Key Levels Primary Buy Zone: ₹1,241.30 – ₹1,261.20 (Golden Retracement) Look for bullish confirmation like pin bars, engulfing candles. Stop Loss: Below ₹1,241.30. Target: ₹1,341 – ₹1,354. Aggressive Buy Option: ₹1,261.20 Scale into positions near mitigated demand with tight stop losses. Key Observations Wave Structure: Price is in Wave B (corrective phase), aiming for an upward Wave C. Demand Zone: Buyer defense at the golden retracement confirms bullish outlook. Risk Management: Always use stop losses to avoid significant drawdowns. Summary of Key Levels Key Levels Actions ₹1,241.30 – ₹1,261.20 Buy Zone (Golden Retracement) Below ₹1,241.30 Stop Loss ₹1,341 – ₹1,354 Swing Target Zone By following this plan, traders can align with price structure, optimize risk-to-reward, and trade effectively.
NSE:RELIANCELong
by LiveTradingBox
RAILTEL: Building Strength at Demand ZoneRAILTEL (Railtel Corp of India Ltd.) Key Levels: Demand Zone: ₹348 - ₹357 First Target Zone: ₹452 Second Target Zone: ₹561 Stop Loss: Below ₹345 (demand zone failure) Structure & Trend: Stock has been in a corrective phase, respecting the demand zone multiple times. A potential double bottom structure may be forming around ₹348-₹357. Golden retracement of the last swing low offers a bounce opportunity. Trade Plan: Entry: Around ₹355 - ₹365 within the demand zone. Targets: First target: ₹452 Second target: ₹561 Stop Loss: ₹345 on a daily close basis. Note: A breakdown below ₹345 could lead to further downside; monitor price action.
NSE:RAILTELLong
by LiveTradingBox
8
Phemex Analysis #45: Pro Guide to Enter ENA - The DeFi Giant!Ethena Labs, the force behind the ENA token ( PHEMEX:ENAUSDT.P ), is making waves in the decentralized finance (DeFi) space. Its synthetic stablecoin, USDe, recently became the third-largest stablecoin by market cap, marking a milestone for decentralized finance. Adding to this success, Ethena introduced USDtb, a stablecoin backed by BlackRock’s USD Institutional Digital Liquidity Fund (BUIDL). This strategic partnership bridges the gap between traditional finance (TradFi) and DeFi, offering a credible and secure platform for institutional investors to participate in the evolving digital asset space. ENA holders stand to benefit significantly from these developments. As the native token of the Ethena ecosystem, ENA is central to governance, stability mechanisms, and incentives tied to USDe and USDtb. With a growing ecosystem and increased adoption, ENA’s value proposition continues to strengthen, presenting a compelling opportunity for traders and investors. When to Enter ENA? The market for ENA/USDT is dynamic, influenced by broader crypto trends, including Bitcoin’s price movements. Key support levels offer potential entry points for different risk appetites: Weak Support: $0.90 This level might hold if Bitcoin maintains its current momentum. However, if Bitcoin drops to the $90,000 area, this support could break. Medium Support: $0.79 & $0.68 These levels present a higher probability of entry and are ideal for traders seeking to accumulate ENA while managing risk effectively. Strong Support: $0.60 & $0.50 If the market takes a bearish turn, these levels are likely where the price will stabilize, offering a safer entry for risk-averse investors. Entry Strategy for ENA 1. Placing Entries Near Support Levels Decide your risk tolerance and position accordingly: • For aggressive traders, consider entering at higher support levels, such as $0.90 or $0.79. • For risk-averse investors, place orders closer to $0.68 or the stronger supports at $0.60 and $0.50, though you may risk missing the entry if the price rebounds early. 2. Utilizing Scaled Orders on Phemex Phemex’s scaled order feature is an excellent tool for entering positions. For Example: If your target is the medium support range ($0.79-$0.68), set a scaled order to gradually accumulate ENA across this range. This approach minimizes risk while ensuring you don’t miss out entirely if the price rebounds from higher levels. Conclusion The recent positive developments surrounding ENA, including the success of USDe and the introduction of USDtb, highlight the token’s growing importance in the DeFi landscape. These innovations are likely to attract significant capital inflows, benefiting ENA holders as the ecosystem expands. By carefully selecting entry points and employing strategies like scaled orders, traders can position themselves to capitalize on ENA’s growth potential while managing downside risk. Whether you are a high-risk investor targeting immediate support levels or a conservative trader waiting for deeper corrections, ENA presents a compelling opportunity to participate in the DeFi revolution. Trade wisely and leverage these strategies to secure your place in the future of decentralized finance. Tips: Trade Smarter, Not Harder with Phemex. Benefit from cutting-edge features like multiple watchlists, basket orders, and real-time strategy adjustments. Our unique scaled order system and iceberg order functionality give you a competitive edge. Disclaimer: This is NOT financial or investment advice. Please conduct your own research (DYOR). Phemex is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss incurred or claimed to be caused by or in association with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in this article.
by Phemex