Wave Analysis
10/27/2024 Bitcoin Idea. It will go down...For now, I believe that the downward ABC is still ongoing. Currently, we are seeing a rise within the B wave of the Green ABC correction.
RED ABC- I expect the "Red ABC" to either form a triangle or a flat ABC. If it turns out to be a flat ABC, it would actually be more convenient for trading since the stop-loss would be much shorter.
If we enter a position around 69,000 which is end of "Red ABC correction", we can set a simple stop-loss at around the previous high of 69,500 and aim for a take-profit at least around 64,700.
This would make for a very favorable risk-to-reward trade. However, since the chart isn’t fully formed yet, we should wait and see.
GOLD IS GOING TO MAKE NEW HIGH PEAK??Gold prices may increase next week due to concerns about Israel's attack on Iran, but if Iran does not respond gold prices may decrease slightly. In addition, important economic data will be released, especially the non-farm payrolls (NFP) report. Information about the US Personal Consumption Expenditure Index (PCE) also attracts attention, because high inflation and a weak labor market may cause the FED to only cut interest rates by 25 basis points this month. next. This can create profit-taking pressure, negatively affecting gold prices.
Technically, from a short-term perspective on the H1 chart, the gold price still shows an uptrend when the price is above the EMA89 moving average. Next week, if the gold price trades above the 2720 threshold, we can expect the price to continue to conquer the round resistance level of 2800. In case the support level of 2710 is broken, the immediate gold price will decrease and adjust to around the 2680 mark-
SETUP TO TRADE ✨
SELL GOLD PRICE 2801-2799
Stoploss 2805
BUY GOLD PRICE 2679-2681
Stoploss 2675
Hope this will helpfull for u have a Good weekend"💞
LayerZEROCSE:ZRO is a new coin that doesn't have many previous data.
Generally, I expect a decline to the green demand area. Although, I expect it to have a good buying opportunity from there @ $2.65 with a stop-loss at the lowest bottom.
Passing the green lines above is considered cancellation of the idea.
If it breaks the ATL, a re-evaluation will be needed.
A bit more upside for BitcoinHi traders,
It looks like the wavecount for the extended wave 5 (red) is invalidated. So I go with the analysis of an ending (or leading) diagonal. Last week Bitcoin started a correction down (wave 4 orange). This looks like a triangle is in the making.
So after the finish of the correction down we could see another upmove for wave 5 (orange).
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for the bigger correction down to finish (ideally into the Daily FVG), a change in orderflow to bullish again and after a small correction down on a lower timeframe you could trade longs.
If you want to learn more about my analysis, please make sure to follow me, give a like and respectful comment.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. I do not provide signals.
Don't be emotional, just trade!
Eduwave
EURNZD Set To Fall! SELL!
My dear friends,
EURNZD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 1.8055 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 1.7932
Recommended Stop Loss - 1.8125
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GOLD Will Collapse! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the GOLD next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 2747.2
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 2714.3
My Stop Loss - 2764.9
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
ELROND - Bullish pattern with big possibilities !Elrond is a layer 1 that has seen great success during the 2021 bullrun. Since then, price has now fully retraced the price surge of 2021.
Since Juli 2022 price has slowed down its decline and created a range. Price has never fully broken out from that range, but has seen a surge in price in October 2023. This creates the possibility for a big W-pattern to be formed as seen on screenshot 1. Price has also been inside a downward parallel channel (bullish) since April 2024 favouring a push up. This still won’t tell us if price will form a big M-pattern at the 0.618, 0.786 or 0.886 Fib at 56.5$, 66$ and 71.5$ respectively or if price will break the local top at 78$ and create the aforementioned big W-pattern with the resulting target at 112$ that also exactly coincides with the lows of the previous range.
What it does tell me is that we are now sitting at interesting prices for either outcome. Even if we get the most dissapointing wave up possible, we will most likely be able to sell our tokens in profit.
A sure win ! But let’s keep in mind that this is the cryptocurrency market and a breakdown from BTC or the traditional markets could hinder all of our chances for a profit in a matter of hours !
Elrond - On the daily timeframe price has been holding the big Hammer candle from the 5th of August. Price has also been following a downward parallel channel that tipically has a bullish bias. Price has also been able to hold the central trendline of the parallel channel and as long as price remains above it, there is a bias for price to hit the upper trendline.
If price is able to break above and retest the downwards parallel channel, price movement could quickly accelerate higher. The almost assured targets would be the 0.618, 0.786 or 0.886 Fibs, meaning a topping pattern between 56-72$.
Altough, if price is able to get above the local top at 78$, it would open the possibilities for a big W-pattern breakout with a first 1.618 Fib target at 112$. A good return on investment from where we are sitting at right now.
Total3 - Total3 (crypto market cap excluding BTC and ETH) is moving in a downward parallel channel (bullish), similar to BTC. We're still trading between the 21 and 50 daily moving averages after bouncing from the latter. If the price can remain above upper trendline of the downward parallel channel and the 50-day moving average, there is still a chance for a big surge in altcoins. a break and confirmation back into the parallel channel would be very detrimental for the altcoin market.
The last step before the market cap can accelerate is for it to break 650B$ mcap. This could bring the funds that Elrond and other altcoins need to start pushing up and breaking resistances.
I wish you all a nice end of the weekend and good luck trading !
ZEDDIT
BTCUSD Buyers In Panic! SELL!
My dear friends,
BTCUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 67614 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 67240
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Little more upside for goldHi traders,
Last week XAUUSD did exactly what I've said in my outlook. After a small correction it continued up again.
For next week we could see the continuation of the leg up to finish the impulsive leg wave 3 (blue).
Let's see what price does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a (small) correction down on a lower timeframe to trade (short term) longs.
If you want to learn more about trading with ICT/ SMC concepts and wave analysis, please make sure to follow me, give a like and respectful comment.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. I do not provide signals.
Don't be emotional, just trade!
Eduwave
NIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 28-Oct-2024Nifty Trading Plan for 28-Oct-2024
**Previous Day Recap**: Nifty experienced volatility yesterday, with a downward bias. Major support levels held around the **24080-24100** mark, indicating potential buying interest. However, resistance levels remain active, with **24,276** serving as a pivot zone. For today, trends are illustrated as follows:
- **Yellow** trend signifies a sideways market.
- **Green** trend indicates a bullish outlook.
- **Red** trend reflects a bearish sentiment.
Opening Scenarios for 28-Oct-2024
Gap Up Opening (+100 points or more)
If Nifty opens with a gap up of 100+ points:
- Immediate resistance can be seen at **24,276**. A break above this may push the index towards the **24,392** level, which acts as the Last Resistance for Intraday .
- Consider booking profits if Nifty approaches the **24,531 - 24,589** zone (highlighted as Profit Booking Zone ) as sellers might attempt to re-enter.
- If resistance at **24,276** holds and shows weakness, expect a potential pullback towards **24,143** for support.
Flat Opening
In case of a flat opening near **24,210**:
- Initial support is at **24,191**, followed by a stronger base around **24,143**.
- If Nifty moves up from these levels, the next resistance can be expected at **24,276**. Watch closely for consolidation in this area, as a breakout could trigger a rally toward **24,392**.
- A failure to hold support at **24,143** could signal a downtrend, targeting **23,998** and below.
Gap Down Opening (-100 points or more)
For a gap down opening of -100 points or more:
- Initial support will likely emerge around **23,998**. If this holds, a bounce is expected toward **24,143**.
- If **23,998** breaks, the next significant support level sits at **23,740**, marked as the Possible Bottom Zone for Current Trend . This is a critical level; a breach could lead to a deeper correction towards **23,590**.
- A recovery from this lower level may indicate reversal buying, ideal for intraday long positions up to **24,086**.
Risk Management Tips for Options Trading:
- Always define your stop-loss levels based on the nearest support/resistance zones to manage risk effectively.
- Avoid aggressive positions in high-volatility scenarios like gap openings. Start small and scale up if the trend confirms.
- Be cautious of time decay when trading options, especially if the price is near critical support or resistance zones.
- Consider hedging positions if holding overnight, given the volatility in global markets.
Summary and Conclusion
For 28th October 2024, key zones to watch are **24,276** on the upside and **23,998** on the downside. A breakout or breakdown from these levels could determine the day’s trend. Remember that the market may consolidate before choosing a direction, and it’s wise to wait for confirmation at these levels before entering trades.
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
EURJPY: Bearish Continuation & Short Trade
EURJPY
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short EURJPY
Entry Point - 164.34
Stop Loss - 164.84
Take Profit - 163.37
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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BANKNIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 28-Oct-2024**Introduction:**
In the previous trading session on 25th October 2024, BankNifty displayed a Drop to the support line and showed sign of recovery in the last hour of the session, with notable movements observed around the 50,458 support level. Price action showed a consolidation phase with buyers stepping in at lower levels to prevent a significant downside. However, resistance zones around 51,083 acted as a barrier, limiting upward momentum. Heading into the session of 28th October 2024, we’ll analyze different opening scenarios to strategize effectively.
**Trading Plan for 28th October 2024:**
Gap Up Opening (200+ points):
If Bank Nifty opens above 51,083 with a 200+ point gap up:
- The First Resistance Zone to watch will be at 51,478. Yellow trend lines indicate possible sideways movement if the index tests this resistance and fails to break through.
- If momentum carries Bank Nifty above 51,478, the next target would be the Profit Booking Zone at 51,955 to 52,160, where significant selling pressure is anticipated. Green trend lines indicate a bullish trend with potential pullbacks.
- Observe for rejection signals near resistance before considering short positions. Sideways consolidation near 51,478 could indicate a potential retracement, targeting the 51,083 level as a support for a bullish continuation.
- A fallback below 51,083 would target the 50,775 level, acting as an intraday support.
Flat Opening:
If Bank Nifty opens around the previous close near 50,854:
- Key support levels to monitor include 50,775 and 50,458. Initial support at 50,775 should offer a foundation for buyers, allowing an upward move towards 51,083.
- In the event of a breakout above 51,083, Bank Nifty may challenge 51,478, but watch for sideways movement (yellow trend) near this resistance level.
- Should the 50,458 level break on an hourly close, expect bearish momentum to intensify, possibly targeting the last intraday support at 49,899, as indicated by the red trend line.
- Look for bullish confirmation above 51,083 and bearish confirmation below 50,458 before committing to a directional trade.
Gap Down Opening (200+ points):
If Bank Nifty opens significantly lower, near 50,458 or below:
- The Opening Support zone between 50,458 and 50,326 should provide buying interest, with potential for a rebound toward 50,775.
- A decisive move below 50,183 could test the Last Intraday Support at 49,899. Failure to hold this level would likely increase selling pressure, potentially leading to further downside towards the 49,534 zone.
- In the case of a recovery from 50,458, watch for resistance at 51,083, with a cautious approach to bullish entries due to volatility risks in gap-down scenarios.
**Risk Management Tips for Options Trading:**
Use hedged positions like Bull Call and Bear Put spreads to limit exposure in volatile market conditions.
Maintain strict stop losses, especially in trending moves. Position sizing should be conservative to avoid outsized losses.
Avoid entering positions during extreme gap-ups or gap-downs without clear confirmation, as volatility is typically high at such times.
For short-term trades, trail stop losses and secure partial profits at key resistance levels.
**Summary & Conclusion:**
For the trading session on 28th October 2024, Bank Nifty will likely test major support and resistance levels with sideways consolidation (yellow trend), bullish potential (green trend), and bearish risk (red trend). Key levels to watch include 51,083 as a potential resistance and 50,458 as a key support. Patience and confirmation of price action are essential for effective entries and exits. Option traders should focus on spreads and hedging strategies to manage risks effectively.
**Disclaimer:**
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. All levels and strategies shared are based on personal analysis. Please conduct your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
USOIL: Weak Market & Bearish Continuation
Balance of buyers and sellers on the USOIL pair, that is best felt when all the timeframes are analyzed properly is shifting in favor of the sellers, therefore is it only natural that we go short on the pair.
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SPX500USD could go up some moreHi traders,
Last week SPX500USD dropped into the Daily FVG and slowly went up again.
I think next week we could see the last leg up to finish wave 5.
Trade idea: Wait for a change in orderflow to bullish and a correction down on a lower timeframe to trade (short term) longs.
If you want to learn more about wave analysis, please make sure to follow me, give a like and respectful comment.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. I do not provide signals.
Don't be emotional, just trade!
Eduwave