GBPAUD → Countertrend liquidity captureFX:GBPAUD is forming a countertrend correction within a global uptrend and testing the support level with W1-D1, forming a false breakdown...
Against the backdrop of the dollar's correction, GBP/XXX pairs are strengthening. On the weekly timeframe, GBPAUD is forming a retest of support at 1.067 (false breakdown) within an upward bullish trend.
Unable to continue falling, the price returns above 1.0673 and consolidates in the buying zone. A breakdown of the structure will confirm the bullish sentiment.
Support levels: 2.0673
Resistance levels: 2.0785, 2.0852
If the bulls manage to hold their ground above the 2.067 support level within the current structure, the currency pair will have a good chance of returning to the bullish trend.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Wave Analysis
EURAUD → Breakout and consolidation above key supportOANDA:EURAUD is trying to consolidate above the key support zone of 1.76 - 1.77. Within the uptrend, bulls have a fairly good chance.
The market continues to break of structure, confirming the bullish sentiment on the chart. A correction is forming from 1.7882. Before rising, the price may test support. The currency pair is supported by its own bullish trend and the falling dollar (especially against the backdrop of economic problems with the USD (DXY)).
Technically, the currency pair looks quite positive. After the formation of another ‘bos’, we are seeing a correction to the Fibonacci zone of 0.7 and support at 1.7696. If, during the retest, the bulls manage to hold their ground above the key support level, growth may continue in the medium term.
Support levels: 1.7696, 1.7629, 1.7463
Resistance levels: 1.7882, 1.7988
Locally, a reversal pattern is forming relative to the specified zone (as part of a correction). We need to wait for confirmation (price consolidation above the level). The potential within the bullish trend is quite large, and in the medium and long term, the price may test 1.85.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD → Declining interest. Retest of supportFX:XAUUSD experienced significant volatility toward the end of the US trading session. This was due to developments in the Middle East. The de-escalation of the situation is leading to a decline in interest in the metal.
The announced ceasefire between Iran and Israel has reduced demand for gold as a safe-haven asset, while falling oil prices have reduced its appeal as a hedge against inflation. Gold is supported by expectations of a Fed rate cut in July. The focus is on Fed Chair Powell's testimony before Congress and further developments in the Middle East.
Technically, the price confirms the local bearish structure. A continued assault on the 3340 support level could trigger a further decline.
Support levels: 3343-3340, 3320
Resistance levels: 3360, 3366
Focus on the trading range (consolidation) 3340 - 3400. De-escalation of the conflict in the Middle East may lead to a decline in interest in gold as a hedge asset, which may cause the price to break down of consolidation. If the retest of 3340 continues, the price will begin to contract before the level, in which case the chances of a breakdown and decline will only increase. The target will be the liquidity zone of 3320 - 3306
Best regards, R. Linda!
Bearish Money Flow looking for 101kPer 2hr chart I can see a bearish divergence as smart money is unloading. This is is a liquidity grab by the whales. I eventually see Bitcoin retracing back to 98k. I will layered my charts gradually for you to review... disclosure I do have a short position active.
#Nifty directions and levels for June 25:Good morning, Friends! 🌞
Here are the market directions and levels for June 25:
Market Overview
The global market is showing bullish sentiment, while our local market is still maintaining a moderately bullish bias.
However, Gift Nifty is indicating a positive start of 103 points today.
So, what can we expect today?
Once again, the same thing happened in the previous session — even though the market started with a positive bias, it couldn't sustain.
Structurally, we are still in a range-bound market,
so even if the market opens positive, we can expect a correction at some point.
Let’s look at the chart for more clarity.
Both Nifty and Bank Nifty appear to be showing a similar structure.
Current View
The current structure suggests that even if the market opens with a gap-up, it may not sustain.
If the initial market declines and consolidates around the 78% Fibonacci level, then we can expect the correction to continue.
On the other hand, if the decline sees a solid pullback around 24,968, then we can expect a minimum pullback of 38% to 61% in the minor swing.
Alternate View
Structurally, the probability of a rally continuation is low,
which means we won’t get a bullish signal unless the price breaks above the 78%,level.
If it does break, we can expect a rally, though some rejections may occur along the way.
#Banknifty directions and levels for June 25:Current View
The current structure suggests that even if the market opens with a gap-up, it may not sustain.
If the initial market declines and consolidates around the 78% Fibonacci level, then we can expect the correction to continue.
On the other hand, if the decline sees a solid pullback around 50%, then we can expect a minimum pullback of 38% to 61% in the minor swing.
Alternate View
Structurally, the probability of a rally continuation is low,
which means we won’t get a bullish signal unless the price breaks above the 56736)level.
If it does break, we can expect a rally, though some rejections may occur along the way.
GOLD Risky Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD made a bullish
Rebound but will soon
Hit a wide horizontal
Resistance of around 3,345$
And as we are locally bearish
Biased after the recent rising
Support breakout we will be
Expecting a bearish pullback
And a local move down
Sell!
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Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 25, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 25, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
💱 Dollar Slides on Middle East Ceasefire Optimism
A fragile ceasefire between Israel and Iran lifted risk sentiment across global markets. The U.S. dollar weakened, while the euro and British pound hovered near multi‑year highs
📈 Equities Near Record Highs
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq pushed toward all-time highs on June 25, supported by the Middle East truce and retreating energy prices. The S&P 500 rallied ~1.1%, with tech and discretionary sectors leading the charge
🛢 Oil & Treasuries Dip, Yield Cuts Anticipated
Oil plunged ~6% to ~$65/bbl as conflict fears eased. Softer prices plus weak consumer confidence spurred expectations of up to 60 bps in Fed rate cuts by December; Treasury yields pulled back accordingly
📉 Consumer Confidence Falls Again
The Conference Board’s index dropped to 93—the lowest level since May 2020—as concerns over tariffs and job availability weighed on households
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Wednesday, June 25:
(No major U.S. economic data scheduled)
Markets remain focused on geopolitical dynamics, Fed commentary, and next week’s PCE inflation release.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #geopolitics #Fed #inflation #technicalanalysis
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) Affirms Bullish Outlook with Five Wave RallyThe Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) has continued its upward trajectory, confirming a five-wave Elliott Wave structure originating from the April 7, 2025 low. This development solidifies a bullish market outlook and eliminates the possibility of a double correction scenario. Starting from the April 7 low, wave (1) concluded at 443.14. Wave (2) pullback then followed which ended at 404.44. Subsequently, the ETF surged in wave (3) to 537.5, exhibiting an internal five-wave impulse structure. As depicted in the 1-hour chart, the wave (4) pullback unfolded as a double three Elliott Wave pattern.
From the wave (3) peak, wave W declined to 524.61, and wave X rebounded to 535.37. Last leg wave Y descended to 523.65, completing wave (4) at a higher degree. The ETF has since resumed its ascent in wave (5). From the wave (4) low, wave 1 of (5) is nearing completion, with a forthcoming wave 2 pullback expected to correct the cycle from the June 24, 2025 low before the rally resumes. This pullback should attract buyers at the 3, 7, or 11 swing levels, setting the stage for further upside potential. The bullish structure underscores confidence in continued upward momentum for QQQ.
Indicates where institutional sellers may enter the market.smart money concept (SMC) trading setup. Here's a breakdown of what's depicted:
🔍 Chart Overview
Timeframe: 1 Hour (1H)
Instrument: GBP/JPY
Analysis Date: June 25, 2025
Price at Time of Screenshot: ~197.198
📌 Key Zones and Levels
Supply Zone (Top red box near 198.163):
Indicates where institutional sellers may enter the market.
Labeled with BSL (Buy-side Liquidity) above, suggesting liquidity resting above the highs.
Demand Zone (Bottom red box near 196.454):
Represents an area where institutional buying interest is expected.
SSL (Sell-side Liquidity) is marked just below, pointing to liquidity under previous lows.
Accumulation Zone (Middle of chart):
Consolidation area suggesting potential accumulation by smart money before a possible move down.
🏷 Annotated Elements
HH (Higher High) and BOS (Break of Structure):
"HH" indicates recent local high points.
"BOS" suggests a market structure break to the downside—typically a bearish signal in SMC.
SSL & BSL (Liquidity Zones):
SSL (Sell-side Liquidity): Stops of long positions below swing lows.
BSL (Buy-side Liquidity): Stops of short positions above swing highs.
Price Projection:
Arrows show a bearish projection, expecting price to drop from the current area (~197.2) towards the SSL near 196.454, possibly hitting the demand zone.
📉 Interpretation
Bearish Bias:
After the BOS and accumulation phase, the chart anticipates a breakdown, targeting liquidity below.
Entry/Exit Zones:
Potential short entry in the red supply/accumulation area.
Targeting the green demand zone near 196.500 for a take-profit.
June 25, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunitySummary:
Gold remains in a consolidation range between 3340 and 3400.
If price holds above 3350, bullish momentum may return and push toward 3365.
If price breaks below 3315, the strategy remains to sell on pullbacks to resistance.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 3365 – Resistance
• 3350 – Midpoint / Bull-Bear Line
• 3342 – Key Resistance
• 3328 – Resistance
• 3315 – Intraday Key Support
• 3300 – Psychological Support
• 3295 – Support
• 3285 – Support
📉 Intraday Strategy:
• SELL if price breaks below 3315 → watch 3305, then 3300, 3295, 3285
• BUY if price holds above 3350 → target 3356, then 3365, 3370, 3375
👉 If you want to know how I time entries and set stop-losses, hit the like button so I know there's interest — I may publish a detailed post by the weekend if support continues!
Disclaimer: This is my personal opinion, not financial advice. Trade with caution and always manage your risk.
CLSK / 2hAs expected, NASDAQ:CLSK has retraced up today, but also unfolding a flat correction of a larger degree in wave (x), which could have remained in progress and at a very late stage now.
Wave Analysis >> After completion of the retracement up in wave c, it's anticipated the following decline of 24% will develop a three-wave sequence abc as wave (y) to conclude the entire correction in wave ii(circled).
The retracing down target >> 7.93
Trend Analysis >> After the conclusion of the entire correction in the Minute degree wave ii(circled), the trend will turn upward to an impulsive third wave in the same degree.
#CryptoStocks #CLSK #BTCMining #Bitcoin #BTC
#5362025 | EURCHF Demand Zone 1:7 EURCHF Demand Zone Appears in D1 Time Frame Looking Price Action for Long Term Buy
Risk and Reward Ratio is 1:7
After 50 pips Profit Set SL Entry Level
"DISCLAIMER" Trading & investing business is "Very Profitable" as well as risky, so any trading or investment decision should be made after Consultation with Certified & Regulated Investment Advisors, by Carefully Considering your Financial Situation.
$USO Calls entered 6/24With our current geopolitical standing, the degree of the drop the 23rd-24th of June, and the direction. analysis of the SPX, I believe we have been presented with a very fruitful opportunity. We've seen a NASTY dip after what seems to be a 5 wave move up.
After drawing fib retracements, we closed the market with a small dip under the .5 retracement level. its HERE i added.
Should The indexes react to their potential "Abandoned Baby" setups, Oil should rebound.
Dramatic change coming?In response to prospects of a de-escalation in the Middle East tensions, XAU/USD fell and has continued to decline throughout the day.
Despite the apparent breakthrough, Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz ordered retaliatory strikes after claiming Iran violated the agreement hours after both nations agreed to the ceasefire, allegations that Tehran denies.
US President Donald Trump announced the initial ceasefire between Israel and Iran on Monday evening during an address at Capitol Hill, stating that “Stability in the Middle East is essential for global peace.”
The announcement followed Iranian missile strikes on US bases in Qatar, which were intercepted without casualties.
The ceasefire has pressured Gold and Crude Oil prices as traders unwind risk hedges tied to potential disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, a critical chokepoint for roughly 20% of global Oil supply.
The reduced threat of supply disruption would help lower inflation expectations, a key theme for the Fed, which is facing pressure from Trump to cut interest rates.
However, investors expect the Gold price to get supported by a dramatic change in the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) stance on the monetary policy outlook. Fed Vice Chair Michelle Bowman stated in a gathering in Prague on Monday that monetary policy adjustments are becoming appropriate amid growing job market risks and expectations that the tariff policy announced by Donald Trump will have limited impact on inflation.
Tomorrow,Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell testifies about the semiannual Monetary Policy Report before the US Senate Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs.
Smart Money Concepts (SMC) principles.Smart Money Concepts (SMC) principles. Here’s a full breakdown of the chart and its annotations:
📊
Chart Details:
Pair: EUR/USD
Timeframe: 4-hour (H4)
Current Price: Around 1.16093 USD
🔍
Key Annotations & Zones:
🟫
Pink Zone (Supply/Resistance Area):
This area includes:
Accumulation
FVG (Fair Value Gap)
Price has recently entered and reacted from this zone.
🔼
Buy Side Liquidity:
Highlighted at the top of the range.
Price swept above recent highs to trigger buy stops (liquidity grab), possibly setting up for a reversal.
🔽
Sell Side Liquidity:
Marked below the previous consolidation range.
Price had previously dipped to collect sell-side liquidity before moving upward.
📈
Accumulation:
This phase occurred before the bullish breakout.
Suggests institutional buying or smart money positioning.
📉
FVG (Fair Value Gap):
Imbalance between buying and selling, typically gets filled.
Marked in the pink zone where price may return before continuing its move.
📌
Price Structure Analysis:
The chart shows a classic liquidity sweep setup:
Price grabs buy-side liquidity.
Enters a supply zone.
May return to fill the FVG.
Potential reversal or bearish reaction from this zone.
✅
Trading Implications:
Bearish Scenario:
Price may reject from the pink supply zone after the buy-side liquidity sweep, filling the FVG and possibly heading toward previous lows.
Bullish Scenario (less likely immediately):
If price holds above the pink zone, it could continue trending upward.
Chart Pattern Analysis of Bitcoin.
K4 close at high price area, but still failed to close upon the downtrend line,
If K5 close upon the line,
The strong bullish momentum will be verified here,
And the market will accelerate to test or break up 112K area.
It is also possible that the market consolidate around the downtrend line,
And days later, it chose to break up or fall down.
If I didn’t bought it earlier,
I will not buy it here.
It is still possible that the following candles fall to test 101K or 103K area.
I will try to buy it there.
WULF / 2hAs illustrated on the NASDAQ:WULF 2h-frame above, considering the internal structure of the ongoing wave (c) would suggest now respecting an expanded diagonal as the ending formation of the entire correction in wave b(circled) as an alternative.
So after the completion of retracing up in the 4th subdivision, A final decline of 20% is expected to follow to conclude the entire correction in wave b(circled) in an expanded flat formation.
The next retracement target >> 3.20
Trend Analysis >> The trend will turn upward very soon! to a Minute degree impulsive wave c(circled) after completion of correcting down in the same degree wave b(circled).
#CryptoStocks #WULF #BTCMining #Bitcoin #BTC
FVG (Fair Value Gap) or Imbalance Zones (grey boxes):Key Zones & Markings:
SSL (Sell Side Liquidity) - "True return to support" (bottom horizontal line around 1.13700):
Indicates that price has swept the sell-side liquidity, grabbing stop-losses below previous lows.
This often precedes a reversal if it aligns with a key support zone.
FVG (Fair Value Gap) or Imbalance Zones (grey boxes):
Price is expected to retrace back into these imbalanced zones.
These zones act as magnet areas where price might rebalance before further continuation.
Target Zone (Top Horizontal Line at ~1.16200):
Marked as the bullish target, likely aligning with buy-side liquidity (BSL) or unfilled imbalances.
Potential take profit area for long entries from the support zone.
📈 Market Structure:
Price made a lower low, swept liquidity (SSL), and is now showing potential bullish intent.
Anticipated move:
Reversal from support
A clean bullish move toward FVGs
Final target near 1.16200
🎯 Strategy Idea:
Long Entry Zone: Near 1.137–1.140 (liquidity sweep + support).
Target: 1.15500 (intermediate) and 1.16200 (final).
SL (Stop Loss): Could be below the most recent low (if re-entry needed).
🧠 Concept Used:
Liquidity sweep (SSL)
Return to support
Fair Value Gap (FVG) fill
Smart Money long setup
XAU/USD – 5-Minute Scalping Outlook🟢 XAU/USD – 5-Minute Scalping Outlook
🕐 Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar – Heikin Ashi
The market structure on the 5-minute chart confirms a bullish bias, supported by multiple structural shifts and a recent Break of Structure (BOS) following a valid trading range.
🔍 Key Highlights:
After a clear BOS and bullish consolidation, price tapped into the TLQ (True Liquidity Zone) and reacted strongly from the Extreme Zone just above $3,316.
The EPA (Entry Point Area) held effectively as a short-term support, fueling a sharp breakout move.
The current price has surged past $3,322, pushing into an area of minor resistance near $3,332 – $3,336.
The recent price action shows the market is inefficient, which often leads to rebalancing — watch for a potential retrace toward EPA or TLQ before continuation.
📈 Scalping Strategy Note:
Traders could look for short-term retracement entries between $3,318 – $3,320, targeting the upper resistance zone while managing risk below $3,316.
📊
Structure: Bullish ✅
Efficiency: Inefficient ❌ (expect potential re-tests)
Momentum: Accelerating
Trend Bias: Intraday Bullish
---
💬 Scalpers should remain cautious around high volatility zones and news-driven sessions.
This chart reflects an excellent model for liquidity-based entries in a trending environment.
📌 Analysis by: Mohsen Mozafari Nejad