Wave Analysis
BTCUSDT[BITCOIN]: $150,000 On The Way In Making!Hey there everyone!
Bitcoin took a bit of a dip around 105k, but it’s right back at a crucial level now. We’re keeping a close eye on the daily volume and expecting it to soar towards $115,000 before it might take another dip if the buying pressure dries up.
We’ve got three targets in mind, and you can set or look at them however you like based on your own analysis and preferences. The crypto market is going to be buzzing with volume, so keep an eye on the news and stay focused on the fundamentals. In the world of cryptocurrencies, fundamentals are more important than technicals, and it’s a whole different ball game compared to forex or gold.
Good luck with your trading, and please like and comment on this idea to show us your support. We really appreciate your support throughout our journey, and we’re excited to see it grow and continue.
If you’d like us to analyse a specific pair, just let us know!
Cheers,
Team Setupsfx_❤️
BTC - Falling Correction = Continuation?BTC has been playing by the rules lately!
Every time Bitcoin forms a falling correction, it turns out to be a bullish continuation pattern — and history might be repeating itself 👀
As shown on the chart:
Previous falling channels (flag/wedge structures) have consistently led to strong bullish impulses.
The current correction also appears to be a falling channel, hinting at another potential bullish leg soon.
As long as the structure holds and no major support is broken, the next target could be a new all-time high.
Let’s see if BTC continues to respect this textbook behavior.
📌 Remember: Falling corrections in an uptrend = healthy continuation!
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
🇪🇺 EURUSD – Wyckoff Accumulation or Just Another Pullback?📅 Macro Outlook – Major USD Data Ahead
This week, EUR/USD is expected to remain sensitive to macro data, especially with key US CPI, PPI, and Retail Sales on the calendar. Any surprises could spark strong moves in either direction.
Key Events to Watch:
Tuesday, 15 July: US Core CPI & CPI y/y
Wednesday, 16 July: US PPI & UK CPI
Thursday, 17 July: US Retail Sales, Unemployment Claims
Friday, 18 July: US Consumer Sentiment & Inflation Expectations
⚠️ The dollar may strengthen on hotter CPI figures, or weaken sharply if inflation cools off more than expected.
📉 Technical View – Trend is Bearish, But Wyckoff Says "Watch Out"
At first glance, EUR/USD remains in a clear downtrend. A trend trader might consider selling near the current OB/Supply zone.
However...
We’ve identified a potential Wyckoff Accumulation pattern unfolding:
Price is transitioning from Phase B into Phase C
No confirmation yet, but Spring formation is possible
TPO profile from yesterday shows low liquidity above – which price may revisit to fill
🧠 Strategy for the Week:
Avoid entering shorts here, even if structure looks bearish
This is a high-risk zone for sellers due to potential Wyckoff Spring
Let price either break below and show weakness – or break above and confirm Phase D
📌 Key Levels:
1.1730–1.1760: If Phase C holds, this is the target for Phase D
OBS Zone: Currently being tested – not a safe short
1.1670 – 1.1650: Watch for Spring or breakdown
🗣 Analyst’s Note:
This is a classic case where trend structure and smart money logic conflict.
We're staying neutral until the market picks a side. Patience here will save capital – the best trades often come after Wyckoff Phase C confirms.
🔖 Suggested Title (Short & Hooked):
"EURUSD – Trend Sell or Wyckoff Trap?"
🇺🇸🇯🇵 USDJPY Weekly Plan – CPI Could Trigger Reversal🌍 Macro Outlook – Inflation in Focus This Week
USDJPY is entering a critical week with high-impact US economic releases, particularly inflation and retail sales data, which could strongly influence dollar momentum.
🔔 Key Events (GMT):
Tuesday (Jul 15)
– US Core CPI, CPI m/m, CPI y/y
– Empire State Manufacturing Index
Wednesday (Jul 16)
– US PPI (Core + Headline)
– UK CPI y/y
Thursday (Jul 17)
– US Core Retail Sales, Retail Sales, Unemployment Claims
– GBP Labour Market Report
Friday (Jul 18)
– US Consumer Sentiment & Inflation Expectations
⚠️ Higher-than-expected inflation could drive USDJPY toward fresh highs.
But if data cools or jobs data weakens, JPY strength may pull the pair back down sharply.
📊 Technical Analysis – H4 Smart Money Structure
🔻 SELL ZONE
147.800 – 148.000
SL: 148.300
Weekly high with strong liquidity
Diagonal resistance and BOS (Break of Structure) area
Rejection expected if CPI cools or yields drop
🟢 BUY REACTION ZONE
144.300 – 144.100
SL: 144.000
FVG + previous supply turned demand
Good for a bounce or short-term scalp
🟢 STRONG DEMAND ZONE
142.500 – 142.300
SL: 142.000
Aligned with trendline and structural low
Swing entry if price dumps post-news
🧠 Market Structure Insight:
USDJPY still trending upwards, but RSI divergence and liquidity sweep suggest correction is likely.
Price could form a lower high near 147.800 before retracing to deeper zones.
Key confluences align with macro data timing.
🎯 Trade Scenarios
🔹 Scenario 1 – Short Setup
Entry: 147.800–148.000
SL: 148.300
TP1: 146.000
TP2: 144.300
TP3: 142.300 (Open if USD weakens)
🔹 Scenario 2 – Reaction Buy
Entry: 144.300–144.100
SL: 144.000
TP1: 145.500
TP2: 146.700
TP3: Open
🔹 Scenario 3 – Swing Buy
Entry: 142.500–142.300
SL: 142.000
TP1: 144.000
TP2: 146.000
TP3: 147.800 (if trend resumes)
🔍 Key Price Levels to Watch
148.000 – Weekly Liquidity Zone
144.300 – Short-Term Support / Reaction
142.300 – Swing Buy Zone
📣 Analyst’s Note:
This week, USDJPY direction hinges on US inflation data.
A hot CPI print may push prices toward 148, while weak data could drive a deeper pullback to 144 or 142.
Trade smart, manage risk, and don’t chase breakouts before confirmation.
US100 Short From Resistance!
HI,Traders !
US100 is weaker than we
Expected and failed to break
The key horizontal level
Around 22868.6 and we are
Now seeing a bearish rejection
So we are locally bearish biased
And we will be expecting a
Further bearish move down !
Comment and subscribe to help us grow !
SEI - One More Bullish Impulse Soon!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈After surging by over 75% last week , SEI is currently in a correction phase.
However, it is approaching the intersection of the previous high marked in orange and blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #SEI approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Xrp wave countXrp wave count to see where this bull run is going to take us.
Please be realistic and don’t miss out on massive profits by being greeedy!!! Xrp will not be $100 this year.
Probably have to wait a while, like years. So take your profits at $7-10, and then buy back in after the corrective phases.
Be smart.
GBP-CHF Bearish Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-CHF is trading in a strong
Downtrend and the pair
Broke the key horizontal
Level around 1.0780 which
Reinforces our bearish
Bias and we will be
Expecting a further
Bearish move down
On Monday!
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EUR-AUD Bullish Bias! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-AUD went down but
A strong horizontal support
Level is below around 1.7690
And as the pair is trading in
An uptrend we will be expecting
A round and a move up
On Monday!
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
More upside for BitcoinHi traders,
Last week Bitcoin made a small move down before it shot up again.
It looks like this is wave 3 so we could see a small correction down and more upside for this pair.
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a small correction down on a lower timeframe and a change in orderflow to bullish to trade longs.
If you want to learn more about trading FVG's with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
Gold will continue to sprint next Monday.
Recently, under the background of frequent tariff policies, which should be bearish for the US dollar, the US dollar unexpectedly rebounded and showed signs of turning bullish on the technical side. This may be because the Federal Reserve maintains high interest rates to prevent capital outflows, and at the same time increases the supply of US dollars by means such as issuing bonds. The US tax increase restricts the access of other countries to US dollars, while market demand has not decreased, prompting the rise of the US dollar. This trend is not good for precious metals, but gold has special safe-haven properties. In the long run, macro factors support gold, and in the short term, pay attention to the impact of the US dollar. Recently, it has been deployed at a low level.
Looking back at the gold market, the previous high point near 3,500 points was mainly due to the safe-haven frenzy caused by Trump's tariff measures, and the influx of funds pushed the gold price to the top quickly. As the tariff negotiations progress, the impact of the news fades, and the gold price returns to the dominance of the technical side, and has been in a narrow range of fluctuations in the past two months. Extending the time dimension, the volatility characteristics of gold change, the volatility narrows, but the long-short conversion becomes more frequent. This week, gold stabilized and rebounded near 3,282. On the weekly chart, 3336 is a support level, which is also a key dividing line between long and short positions. 3393 is a resistance level, and after an effective breakthrough, it is expected to move towards the 3400-3410 area. The upper resistance is 3368-3373, and the lower support is 3345-3340.
Gold is ready to go up againHi traders,
Last week gold went up again after a correction to finish (orange) Wave D just as I've said in my outlook.
Next week we could see another move down for Wave E and after that the next impulsive wave 5 up.
Or the last correction down was already wave E and gold started the next impulsive wave up.
In both cases gold will shoot up after a correction down.
Let's see what price does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a small correction down on a lower timeframe and a change in orderflow to bullish to trade longs.
If you want to learn more about trading FVG's & liquidity sweeps with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
EURGBP - Follow The Bulls!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈EURGBP has been overall bullish trading within the rising channel marked in blue. And it is currently retesting the lower bound of the channel.
Moreover, the orange zone is a strong daily support.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the lower blue trendline and support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #EURGBP approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURUSD NEW HIGHS?The 1h timeframe reminds me of this book, LIQUIDITY AND MANIPULATION.
"The markets need to generate liquidity in order to move, so if liquidity isn´t
already there, it will be created. So when new traders come in to forex and
learn about it for the first time, what they usually do is gonna be retail based
trading.
So support and resistance, chart patterns which are extremely popular in the
industry, and things of that nature.
So what some brokers do is they offer free education for their clients once we
start trading. Now this education will usually be retail methods support and
resistance. "
Thanks for this idea.
here is the chart relative to this, see the price above it will clear?
I have more on this kind of idea.
This is not a financial advice.
Follow for more .
trade it or see it.
Goodluck
Bitcoin facing breakout, active management recommended__________________________________________________________________________________
Technical Overview – Summary Points
Strong bullish momentum across all timeframes (MTFTI “Strong Up”).
Key supports: 110,483–111,949. Major resistances: 118,689–119,499.
Volumes normal to slightly elevated. No anomaly or climax.
Behaviour: early caution signals on ISPD DIV (4H–2H), sector “sell” trigger on the Risk On / Risk Off Indicator (15min).
__________________________________________________________________________________
Strategic Summary
Overall bullish bias on all timeframes. Structural uptrend confirmed, but early behavioural/sector divergence at short term.
Buy zones: pullback to 110,483–111,949. Stop/alert below 110,483 H4/H6 close.
Opportunities: tight trailing above 118,689 to capture extension. Partial take profit advised in upper range (118,689–119,499) if divergences persist.
Risks: geopolitical risk-off catalysts, start of selling extension, or loss of support.
Plan: active management required, avoid overexposure, plan for key break levels, readiness to exploit imminent breakout.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Multi-Timeframe Analysis
1D : Price above all pivots, strong momentum. Key resistance in play (119,499), supports at 110,483/105,054. Volumes normal, bullish alignment.
12H : Confluence of resistances (119,499–115,495), structure intact, buy opportunity on retrace. No major alert.
6H : Strong buying extension, pure momentum. No excess signals.
4H : First divergence (ISPD DIV “sell”). Consolidation on resistance, consider partial profit-taking.
2H : Bullish momentum but ISPD DIV “sell” and moderately high volumes. Localized euphoria risk.
1H : No excess, post-breakout consolidation.
30min : Extreme consolidation, decelerating volumes, possible fatigue.
15min : Sector “sell” trigger (Risk On / Risk Off Indicator “Sell”). Trend remains up, but caution is advised.
Multi-tf summary:
Bullish alignment across all horizons. Short-term behavioural caution, but trend remains unchallenged as long as above 110,483–111,949.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Synthesis & Strategic Bias
Multi-timeframe momentum confirmed, watch supports at 110,483–111,949.
Buy on valid retrace, take profit at highs if behaviour diverges.
Break below 110,483 (H4/H6 close) = invalidation signal.
Key triggers: geopolitical news, broken supports, selling spikes.
Base scenario: likely imminent directional breakout (volatility). Watch for spikes on major headlines.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Fundamentals and Macro News
Uncertain backdrop (Fed, US inflation, bonds & FX), no major macro trigger in 48h but latent volatility.
Crypto: Bitcoin stable, general accumulation, no violent distribution detected.
Geopolitics: rising tensions (Iran, Ukraine). Can prompt sharp risk-off if escalation occurs.
No major macroeconomic event scheduled (empty calendar).
__________________________________________________________________________________
On-chain Analysis
Accumulation phase for all holders, >19k BTC/month absorbed. Extreme volatility compression (coiling).
Realized & implied volatility is exceptionally low, setting up violent move.
ETF (IBIT BlackRock): record accumulation. Downside break could trigger psychological stress.
Baseline: technical & on-chain setup disfavors bears. Any exogenous shock accelerates volatility.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Strategic Recap & Action Plan
Bullish bias validated, risk of market fatigue on short-term signals.
Buy on controlled pullback, tight trailing at highs, partial profit-taking in 118,689–119,499 band.
Swing stop below 110,000 (H4); total invalidation if daily support fails.
Expect directional move + volatility on next impulse (8–48h).
__________________________________________________________________________________
Conclusion
BTC remains in a primary bullish trend, supported by on-chain accumulation and extreme structural compression. Only active management (profit, leverage, stops) optimizes R/R and prepares to respond to an imminent, directional volatility event. Stay proactive and plan!
__________________________________________________________________________________
NASDAQ 100 MAJOR REVERSAL SETUP/VOLUME WANINGElliott Wave Theory is a wonderful forecasting tool that provides confluence in conjunction with many technical such as the MFI, Awesome Oscillator, and Bull Bear Power.
Indicators such as Moving averages and ALL Chart Patterns just to name a few, beautifully align painting an amazing roadmap of reversals.
Motive wave in Green, Corrective wave in Pink
Orange Waves are sub waves.
Solid lines are completed, whereas the dotted lines are in progress. The likelihood of a wave count becoming invalidated has a lower probability on higher timeframes for example Day/Week/Month, whereas on lower timeframes such as 1 minute to 5 minute. I've observed wave count invalidation/recalculation of the wave counts more frequently.
With all the news of Tariffs and such the Elliott Wave follows the data, buy/sell side, liquidity, and volume.
Speaking of volume:
April Vol was 15.39M
May Vol was 10.74M
June Vol was 9.04M
As of July 11th it is at 3.37M with 17 trading days to go.
Don't get BULL trapped!!
HAPPY TRADING
USOIL Will Collapse! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
USOIL looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 68.66 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 67.95
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
DOGEUSDT | Bullish Cup & Handle Revisiting Target +500% (1 USD)?Price Action and Chart Pattern Analysis:
DOGE cup bottom happened around $0.05 with the rim around $0.48. That gives a depth of roughly $0.42. If the breakout occurs near the rim, the measured move target would be $0.90 zone.
This aligns with several analyst projections suggesting DOGE could reach $0.90 to $1.00 if the breakout confirms.
Another way to project this cup & handle is the fibonacci-based target. These levels suggest that if DOGE breaks above the handle and sustains momentum, $0.85–$1.00 is a realistic zone for profit-taking at 161.8% and 200% extension as 1-2-3 wave pattern.
Reliability of the Cup and Handle Pattern for DOGE
The cup and handle is a classic bullish continuation pattern, but when applied to Dogecoin, its reliability depends on several dynamic factors:
Strengths of the Pattern in DOGE’s Context
Historical Accuracy: DOGE has previously respected technical patterns like rounded bottoms or (THE CUP) and breakout channels (THE HANDLE), especially during alt coin rallies.
Current Setup: a well-formed cup and handle on DOGE’s weekly chart, with price rebounding from $0.14 and testing resistance at $0.2 zone which also the key resistance SMA50W and the downtrend channel (the handle)
WATCH OUT: still a possible throw-under pattern or a final bear trap liquidity below previous low!
Key Action: If breakout confirmed with volume > Follow BUY | if not, wait for retraced SMA20 or breakout support.
Always trade with affordable risk and respect your stop...
USUAL/USDT +250%USUAL/USDT recently broke out on July 8 from a 55-day downtrend, signaling a potential trend reversal. After spending 15+ days consolidating and building strong support between the $0.06–$0.07 zone, bulls have regained control.
Trend reversal confirmed with breakout + base formation.