Wave Analysis
GOLD - wave analysis, update for wave 4 Hi All!
Wave 4 Correction Before Further Growth
Gold appears to have entered Wave 4 of a five-wave Elliott impulse from the 2955 level and is now in a corrective phase before resuming its uptrend.
🔹 Key Levels to Watch:
1️⃣ 2860 – A potential termination point for Wave 4, as multiple support levels converge here:
• 0.23 Fibonacci retracement
• Upper boundary of the Wave 1-2 channel
• Median line of the Wave 1-2-3 channel
Gold is expected to find support at this level unless significant bearish fundamental factors emerge.
2️⃣ 2800 – If 2860 is broken due to negative data, the next key support zone is around 2800, which coincides with:
• 0.38 Fibonacci retracement of Wave 3
• Previous historical high zone
• Lower boundary of the primary parallel channel
• Median line of the Wave 1-2 channel
🔹 Potential Wave 4 Structure:
• Most likely scenario: A triangle formation, making 2860 the key Wave 4 extreme.
• Alternative scenario: A zigzag correction, extending down to 2800.
🔹 Momentum Indicators to Watch:
• AO Indicator should reset to zero, eliminating overbought conditions.
• RSI should drop to at least 50-40 to confirm a sufficient correction.
🔹 Timing Expectations:
• Wave 4 is expected to complete by mid-to-late March.
• At the latest, the correction could extend into April before the uptrend resumes.
📊 First target for Wave 4: 2860. Monitoring price action at this level to refine further projections.
Gold (XAU/USD) Elliott Wave Analysis by Pro Ally MugaboWave 3 Completion: The chart suggests that Gold has completed its Wave 3, marked by a strong bullish impulse.
Wave 4 Correction Expected: A corrective decline (Wave 4) is projected, targeting the 2,200 - 2,300 USD support zone. This aligns with typical Elliott Wave structures, where Wave 4 retraces a portion of Wave 3 before resuming the trend.
Potential for Wave 5 Rally: After Wave 4 finds support, a strong Wave 5 rally is expected, potentially pushing Gold beyond 3,200 USD.
📢 Trading Considerations:
Traders should wait for Wave 4 completion and look for buy confirmation around the 2,300 - 2,400 USD zone before entering long positions.
Fibonacci retracement levels and price action confirmation can help determine the exact entry point.
💡 Final Thoughts:
Since Elliott Wave analysis evolves with price action, it’s essential to monitor the market closely and validate the expected movements. If Wave 4 unfolds as anticipated, it could present a great long-term buying opportunity.
GOLD - Still Bullish Indeed!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈XAUUSD has been overall bullish, trading within the rising wedge marked in orange.
Moreover, the blue zone is a strong structure and support.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of structure and lower blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #GOLD is around the the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
If the blue zone is broken downward, a deeper bearish movement towards the $2,775 demand zone would be expected.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
LINK - Wait For The Bulls!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈LINK has been in a correction phase trading within the falling blue channel and it is currently retesting the lower bound of it.
Moreover, the blue zone is a strong structure and round number $15.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of structure and lower orange trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #LINK approaches the blue circle, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Rea Group Stock Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# Rea Group Stock Quote
- Double Formation
* A+ Set Up)) At 180.000 AUD
* 012345 Wave Feature | Completed Survey | Subdivision 1
- Triple Formation
* (Uptrend Argument)) | Entry Bias & Configuration | Subdivision 2
* 0.786 Retracement Area | Subdivision 3
* Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition
- (Hypothesis On Entry Bias))
* (Uptrend Argument))
* Ongoing Entry & (Neutral Area))
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Buy
China’s Financial Power Play: CICC and Galaxy Sec. Set to MergeChina’s Financial Power Play: CICC and Galaxy Securities Set to Merge into a $193B Giant ✨💼
By: @DCAChampion
| Date: February 26, 2025
Introduction
China’s financial sector is buzzing with blockbuster news: state-owned China International Capital Corp (CICC) and China Galaxy Securities are poised to merge, creating the nation’s third-largest brokerage with a staggering $193 billion (1.4 trillion yuan) in assets. Announced on February 26, 2025, this deal signals Beijing’s bold strategy to forge domestic financial titans ready to compete with global heavyweights like Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley. Is this the start of a new era for China’s securities industry? Let’s break it down. 🕵️♂️💰
Trending Sector Performance
🔍 Merger Highlights
Massive Scale: The CICC-Galaxy merger will form a financial powerhouse with $193 billion in assets, vaulting it past Huatai Securities to claim the No. 3 spot behind CITIC Securities and the recently merged Guotai Junan-Haitong Securities.
Market Reaction: Investors are all in—CICC’s Hong Kong shares soared over 8%, while Galaxy Securities jumped more than 10% following the news, reflecting sky-high expectations for this union.
Beijing’s Backing: Five sources confirm Chinese authorities greenlit the merger in recent weeks, with an official announcement potentially just days away. This follows a wave of consolidation, marking the second mega-merger in China’s $1.6 trillion securities industry in months.
This isn’t just a merger—it’s a seismic shift in a crowded market of over 140 brokerages.
Sector Valuation 📊
The combined entity promises to reshape the competitive landscape:
CICC (601995.SS): Known for its investment banking prowess, CICC brings expertise in IPOs and high-stakes deals to the table.
Galaxy Securities (601881.SS): A leader in retail brokerage, Galaxy adds a robust client base and operational scale.
Together, they’ll command $193 billion in assets, positioning them as a formidable player. While specific P/E ratios aren’t detailed in recent reports, the market’s enthusiastic response suggests investors see undervalued potential in this blockbuster pairing.
Risk Assessment ⚠️
Every big move comes with risks:
Regulatory Hurdles: The deal awaits approval from regulators and shareholders, a process that could hit snags despite government support.
Market Volatility: A consolidating sector faces fierce competition from global firms like Goldman Sachs, which are expanding their China footprint.
Integration Challenges: Merging CICC’s investment banking focus with Galaxy’s retail strengths could spark operational growing pains.
Strategic Sector Analysis 🛠️
SWOT Analysis
Strengths:
✅ Complementary strengths: CICC’s deal-making savvy + Galaxy’s retail dominance.
✅ Beijing’s push for world-class financial firms gives this merger strategic clout.
Weaknesses:
❌ Integration risks could slow momentum.
Opportunities:
💡 A stronger foothold in wealth management and capital markets.
💡 A chance to rival global giants on the international stage.
Threats:
🚨 Regulatory delays or shareholder pushback.
🚨 Intensifying competition from Wall Street’s China expansions.
Key Trends Shaping the Sector:
Consolidation Wave: Beijing’s directive to merge and restructure brokerages is gaining steam, aiming for 2-3 global banks by 2035.
Global Competition: As foreign firms deepen their roots in China, domestic players are bulking up to stay ahead.
Accuracy and Data Validity ✅
All insights here are drawn from the latest reports on February 26, 2025, including Reuters and X posts, ensuring this reflects the freshest developments as of 11:58 AM CET.
Conclusion 🏁
The CICC-Galaxy merger is a game-changer for China’s financial sector. With $193 billion in assets and Beijing’s blessing, this new giant could redefine the industry’s future—domestically and globally. But success hinges on navigating regulatory waters and blending two distinct powerhouses. Is this the golden ticket for China’s financial ambitions? Time will tell.
Poll Time! 📊
What’s your take on this merger?
🔺 Bullish: It’s a masterstroke for China’s markets!
➡️ Neutral: Let’s see how it plays out.
🔻 Bearish: Too many risks to shine.
Vote and share your thoughts below!
Bitcoin: Correction or Trend Reversal?Bitcoin remains in a correction phase, but I do not believe the broader uptrend is over or that we have shifted into a sustained downtrend.
Looking at the hourly chart, the сurrent upward movement appears weak and lacks impulsive characteristics, suggesting that the correction is not yet complete. A potential dip toward the $75,000 zone remains a possibility before the market finds support and resumes its bullish trajectory.
At this stage, no clear trade setups have formed, so I remain on the sidelines, waiting for confirmation signals before considering new positions.
FFM Targeting 1.5??Hi dear trading lovers and FFM buyers...
PLEASE NOTE THAT THIS IS ONLY AN ANALYSIS AND COULD BE WRONG...
Chart and lines are explaining my idea...
SEEMS FFM is in a uptrend targeting 1.5 and finally 1.7...
Also note that:
"Macquarie has initiated coverage of FireFly Metals with an Outperform rating and set a price target of A$1.50"
Copper is gonna to complete the 2nd leg??Hi all trading lovers and copper buyers...
Seems that after BREAKOUT from Descending Triangle and Pullback to breakout level, price is going to complete the 2nd BULLISH Leg in Weekly uptrend with a round level target (5.5555)...
(Pullback could be a bit deeper...)
PLEASE NOTE THAT IS ONLY AN ANALYSIS AND COULD BE WRONG...
MARKET IS BASED ON POSSIBILITIES AND UNCERTAINTIES...
MANAGE YOUR RISK...
#Forex #Trading #Analysis #Copper #Chart #Spike #Wedge #Uptrend
CICC ($601995.SS) Q4—CHINA’S IB STAR KEEPS SHININGCICC ($601995.SS) Q4—CHINA’S IB STAR KEEPS SHINING
(1/9)
Good morning, Tradingview! CICC ($601995.SS) is humming—$ 33.108B ‘23 revenue, steady into ‘24 📈🔥. Q4 hints at grit—let’s unpack this finance champ! 🚀
(2/9) – REVENUE HUM
• ‘23 Total: $ 33.108B—up 0.5% YoY 💥
• ‘24 Wealth: $ 6.657B—subset shines 📊
• Trend: X says stable—no big dips
CICC’s ticking—China’s steady glow!
(3/9) – EARNINGS SNAP
• ‘23 Profit: $ 6.107B—down 11.5% 🌍
• Q4 ‘24: X buzzes mixed—details soon 🚗
• Lead: Tops IB, wealth—no sweat 🌟
CICC’s grit holds—market maestro!
(4/9) – BIG MOVES
• Forum: China-Japan ‘24—global zip 📈
• Lead: Equity financing king—steady run 🌍
• No Merge: Solo path shines on 🚗
CICC’s flexing—China’s finance ace!
(5/9) – RISKS IN SIGHT
• China Slow: Demand wobbles—yikes ⚠️
• Regs: Rules tighten—costs nip 🏛️
• Comp: Fintech bites—heat’s on 📉
Solid run—can it dodge the storm?
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS
• IB Lead: Equity king—top dog 🌟
• Wealth: $ 6.657B—steady juice 🔍
• Global: HK, NY, London—big reach 🚦
CICC’s a steady beast—rock solid!
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES
• Weaknesses: 11.5% dip—slow zing 💸
• Opportunities: Policy lift, global buzz 🌍
Can CICC zap past the bumps?
(8/9) – CICC’s Q4 grit—what’s your vibe?
1️⃣ Bullish—Value shines bright.
2️⃣ Neutral—Solid, risks hover.
3️⃣ Bearish—China stalls it out.
Vote below! 🗳️👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY
CICC’s $ 33.108B ‘23 and Q4 buzz spark zing—$ 6.657B wealth hums 🌍🪙. China’s ace, but risks lurk—gem or pause?
LiteCoin Lesson 15 said LongThe Methodology:
Location - We are in Fib Ares
Largest down volume wave ( many times we have buyers on large down waves.
To confirm that there are buyers we do the following:
Place AVWAP at the beginning of the down wave, wait for price to cross upwards and finally wait for a Plutus Long Signal --------and up we go!!!!
Strong Buying Support for AMDAMD has been in a bearish market for almost a year. Now, the Y downtrend cycle is nearly complete, making it a good place to look for a buying opportunity. In my view, the market will reject at S2 and form a bullish candle. However, if the support doesn't hold, the price may continue downward to complete cycle X. The good indicate to know if market on bullish trend is price can break LH on Daily Time Frame.
Support
S1@105.58, S2@102.44
RSI
b)RSI TF H4 is indicate overbought
c)RSI TF Daily almost touching 30
This is not a buy call. Just sharing Idea, Thanks