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Wave Analysis

BTC - Bulls Charging... However!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. As per our last analysis (attached on the chart), BTC rejected the blue trendline support and has been bullish in the medium term. 📈 However, the overall sentiment remains bearish, as BTC is still trading within the falling channel marked in red. 📉 For the bulls to take over long term and initiate the next impulsive wave, a break above the $91,000 major high in blue is needed. 🔵 Meanwhile, BTC may still retest the blue trendline — where we’ll be looking for new short-term longs. 🎯 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
Long
by TheSignalyst
7
US30 Weekly: Support Under Threat - Prepare for More Downside?US30 Weekly Analysis - Potential Trading Setup Technical Outlook — 21 April 2025 Current Market Condition: US30 on the weekly timeframe is trading within a long-term ascending channel. Price recently experienced a sharp correction, breaking below the middle of the channel and is now testing a key support zone. Potential Trading Setup: Potential Reversal/Long Setup (Primary Scenario): Entry: Look for strong bullish reversal signals within the current support zone (around 37,500 - 38,500). This could include bullish candlestick patterns on the weekly or daily timeframe, coupled with the Stochastic indicator showing a bullish divergence or crossing up from oversold territory. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss below the low of the reversal signal or below the lower boundary of the support zone (below 37,500). Take Profit Targets: TP1: The middle of the ascending channel (around 40,500 - 41,000). TP2: The upper trendline of the ascending channel (currently around 44,000 - 45,000, and rising over time). Bearish Continuation Setup (Secondary Scenario): Entry: If bullish reversal signals fail to materialize and the price breaks decisively below the current support zone (below 37,500), look for short entry opportunities. The Stochastic indicator confirming downward momentum would add confluence to this setup. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss above the high of the breakdown candle or above the broken support zone. Take Profit Targets: TP1: The next significant support level around 34,000 - 35,000. TP2: The lower boundary of the ascending channel (currently around 32,000 - 33,000, and rising over time). Important Considerations: Weekly Timeframe Significance: Trading setups on the weekly chart require patience and can take time to play out. Confirmation is Crucial: Wait for clear confirmation signals, including price action and signals from the Stochastic indicator, before entering any trades. Channel Dynamics: The ascending channel trendlines are dynamic and will change over time. Risk Management: Employ appropriate position sizing and always use stop-loss orders. If you found this analysis valuable, kindly consider boosting and following for more updates. Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
FX:US30
by MarketsPOV
A plan for BNB trading through the 27thMarked the important levels in this video for this week and considered a few scenarios of price performance Locally, the price looks bullish. We have already seen a reaction from the level of $600, if the local top is renewed we may see growth to the level of $620 Write a comment with your coins & hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you The author's opinion may differ from yours, Consider your risks. Wish you successful trades! MURA
BINANCE:BNBUSD
by trading_mura
EURCHF Buy from Key Demand Zone – Recession Fears Cloud UpsideEURCHF has bounced sharply from a long-standing demand zone around 0.9200–0.9260, forming a potential double bottom. Price action suggests a bullish correction is underway, with upside targets at: 🎯 TP1: 0.9352 🎯 TP2: 0.9409 🎯 TP3: 0.9499 🚨 Invalidation Zone: Below 0.9200 The strong rejection from this support zone, combined with bullish structure building, signals the potential for a sustained recovery — if sentiment allows. 🧠 Fundamental Overview: 🔺 Eurozone PMI & Trade Data – Mixed Signals French & German Flash Manufacturing PMIs remain under 50, indicating contraction German Flash Services PMI (50.3) shows marginal expansion Eurozone Trade Balance: 14.9B, slightly below expectations ⚠️ These results suggest slow economic recovery and limited growth momentum in the euro area. 🗣️ ECB Comments – Market Confidence Hit ECB's Kazaks: “Tariff war is adding economic risks” “Euro area recession probability is rising” These statements added to market caution, triggering euro weakness on concerns of slowing growth and potential ECB dovishness if downside risks worsen. 💡 CHF Context: Safe-haven flows remain strong due to global uncertainty However, CHF strength may be capped by Swiss low inflation and potential SNB interventions if EURCHF stays too low 🔍 EURCHF Outlook: Bullish Rebound with Caution Technical view favors bullish retracement toward resistance zones Fundamentals are weak, but the deeply discounted EURCHF pair could see short-term recovery before facing macro resistance Recession and tariff war fears could keep upside limited or choppy 📌 Strategy Summary: Buy Bias above 0.9260 Targets: TP1: 0.9352 TP2: 0.9409 TP3: 0.9499 SL: Below 0.9200 (daily close)
Long
by ultreosforex
1
CADJPY Expected Growth! BUY! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for CADJPY below: The instrument tests an important psychological level 102.02 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 102.88 Recommended Stop Loss - 101.50 About Used Indicators: Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
The potential triple-top pattern of BitcoinFrom the previous chart, the price successfully broke through the upper trendline and started to rise. This could indicate that bullish momentum is taking over. Waiting for the price to break the upper trendline is a solid strategy for confirming bullish momentum. However, there is a potential triple top pattern forming, which could indicate that the price may face rejection at a key resistance level 86056.35 If the triple top pattern becomes more apparent and the price fails to break above resistance, it could signal the start of a bearish move. In this scenario, trading volume and price action around the resistance zone are crucial to observe. If volume declines and selling pressure increases, the price may drop further.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Ram-Karavadra
Gold Blows Past 50-Year Channel — New Supercycle Target $4200Original post + 75,000 pips see below Intra trade idea + 46,000 pips see below Gold has officially broken out of its long-term rising channel, confirming a macro expansion phase. With geopolitical tensions (Russia-Ukraine, Middle East, Taiwan), central bank buying at record levels, and Bitcoin showing signs of a breakdown, gold is being revalued as the ultimate safe-haven. Fibonacci extensions from past cycles point to a third major all-time high between $4,270 and $4,600. We remain long and expect continued institutional rotation from crypto to gold as macro risks intensify. This move appears to be part of a larger historical pattern where each major gold bull market has topped at the -1.414 Fibonacci extension — a level that aligns closely with $4,270. BTC, meanwhile, is showing early signs of correction due to extreme mining difficulty, potential miner capitulation post-halving, and rising macro uncertainty — suggesting capital is flowing back into more traditional hard assets. We’ll monitor how the April open plays out, but with the technicals, fundamentals, and macro narratives all aligning, gold’s breakout seems far from over. 📍Gold has printed one of its most aggressive quarterly candles in history, currently trading around $3,117 — a full breakout above the long-standing macro trend channel, confirming a decisive phase shift in the market. 📍This breakout is not a wick or deviation — Gold has broken clean through the upper boundary of its decades-long rising channel, invalidating the idea of a return to mean and instead pointing to an acceleration phase. 📍Previous all-time highs in Gold have aligned closely with the -1.414 Fibonacci extensions of major bull runs. The first major top (1980) and the second (2011) respected this exact Fib level. Projecting that logic forward, the current structure suggests a third ATH around $4,270 (-1.414), with further upside possible toward $4,608 (-1.618). 📍The March 2025 candle is extremely strong — nearly a vertical move — and while a small short-term pullback is possible depending on April’s open, the longer-term picture remains undeniably bullish. 📊 Technical Outlook: ✅ Breakout above long-term macro channel = structural shift. Re-entry into the channel is highly unlikely at this point. ✅ Major Fib levels ahead: $3,582 (-1.0), $4,270 (-1.414), $4,608 (-1.618). ✅ Gold is showing repeating expansion behavior from prior cycles, with historical confluence at Fibonacci projections. 📍Key Support Levels: ❗ $2,948 – Now flipped to support (-0.618 Fib) ❗ $2,609 – Deeper support (-0.414 Fib), unlikely to be retested unless macro conditions shift 📍Key Resistance Levels: 🎯 $3,582 – Next technical barrier (-1.0 Fib) 🎯 $4,270 – Targeted 3rd ATH (-1.414) 🎯 $4,608 – Macro extension (-1.618), likely terminal point of current cycle 🌍 Fundamental & Geopolitical Context (as of March 2025): 🛑 1. Rising Global Tensions Fueling Safe-Haven Demand The Russia-Ukraine war shows no sign of de-escalation, with new reports indicating increased mobilization on both sides. Simultaneously, conflict between Israel and Hezbollah has intensified, spilling over into broader regional instability in the Middle East. U.S.-China tensions have also resurfaced after Taiwan conducted military exercises and received advanced weaponry from Western allies, provoking responses from Beijing. Trump's renewed political presence and rhetoric on “America First” policies, combined with potential NATO withdrawal, have created uncertainty about future global order. All of this is driving institutions, central banks, and retail investors alike into hard assets like gold — the original safe haven. 📈 2. Central Banks Are Buying Gold at Record Levels 2024 saw the largest central bank gold purchases in history, led by China, Russia, and emerging markets seeking to de-dollarize. The trend has continued into Q1 2025, with multiple central banks publicly declaring increased gold reserves. This structural shift in reserves policy underpins gold demand even during minor pullbacks. 📉 3. Bitcoin Facing Pressure – Gold Poised to Outperform? Bitcoin mining difficulty is at an all-time high as we approach the April 2025 halving. Margins for miners are shrinking rapidly. Many publicly listed mining firms are capitulating or reducing operations — hash rate divergence suggests instability. With interest rates still elevated and risk assets under pressure, Bitcoin is struggling to maintain its highs. Technicals on BTC suggest a correction from current ~$70K levels down to $50K, potentially driven by miner distribution, ETF rotation, and lack of momentum. This has caused a relative rotation from crypto risk assets back into traditional inflation hedges like gold. 🛢 4. Inflation, Oil, and Economic Instability Oil has broken above $100 again amid Middle East instability, feeding back into global inflation concerns. The U.S. economy is showing signs of stagflation: stubborn inflation with weakening job growth. The Fed remains hawkish due to CPI persistence, making liquidity tighter — typically gold-positive. 📉 Bearish Scenario: ❌ Only a breakdown below $2,948 would indicate failed structure. This would put gold back inside the channel, negating the breakout — but with current macro tailwinds, this appears extremely unlikely. ⚡ Summary & Alignment: 🔹 Technicals: Massive breakout above channel + historical Fib extensions imply $4,270–$4,600 targets. 🔹 Fundamentals: War, inflation, de-dollarization, and central bank demand all reinforce gold’s bullish case. 🔹 Bitcoin Weakness: Mining costs + halving + macro pressures = BTC to $50K risk, leading capital rotation into gold. 🔹 Geopolitics: Global uncertainty at multi-decade highs — gold thrives on instability. 📈 Outlook: Extremely Bullish for Gold As fiat volatility, geopolitical instability, and crypto fragility intensify, gold continues to assert its role as the ultimate store of value. Technically and fundamentally, it is aligned for a macro push toward $4,270–$4,600 over the coming quarters. Original idea: Intra idea: Tags: gold, XAUUSD, commodities, forex, technicalanalysis, fibonacci, breakout, macro, geopolitics, safehaven, bitcoin, goldpriceforecast
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Who-Is-Caerus