USD-CHF Free Signal! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
USD-CHF is once again
Retesting a horizontal support
Level around 0.8189 and the
Pair seems to have formed
A H&S pattern, so we are bearish
Biased, however, a local bullish
Rebound from the support
Is possible so while risky
A long trade still makes sense
With the Take Profit of 0.8238
And the Stop Loss of 0.8184
Buy!
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Wave Analysis
XauUsd Expect ContinuationMarket Context & Fundamental Overview
Gold surged 4.85% last week, closing in on the critical $3,500 resistance zone, as the U.S. Dollar came under intense pressure. Key catalysts include:
Moody’s Downgrade of U.S. credit outlook, driving the DXY below 100.00
Mounting concerns over fiscal stability as the $3.8 trillion tax bill advances to the Senate
Long-dated Treasury yields topped 5%, signalling investor anxiety
Rising geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East (Israel–Iran risks), fuelling safe-haven demand
Anticipation of a dovish shift from the Fed, with this week’s FOMC minutes (Wed) and Core PCE print (Fri) likely to influence USD direction and risk sentiment
These macro conditions reinforce the bullish case for gold, providing fundamental alignment with the current technical setup.
Technical Analysis (Elliott Wave Framework)
Gold appears to be forming a classic 5-wave impulsive structure. Current price action suggests we are in or near the end of Wave 1, which should pullback into a key Fibonacci retracement zone (50–61.8%).
Wave 1: Completed – sharp rally from previous support
Wave 2: Ongoing – corrective pullback into Fib zone
Wave 3: Anticipated next move – typically the strongest impulsive leg
Market Structure Observations:
Price respecting higher timeframe support
Momentum indicators beginning to stabilise
No sign of deeper invalidation yet
Trade Plan
Entry Strategy
Aggressive Entry: Enter on a clear bounce from the Fibonacci zone (~61.8% retracement), with a strong bullish candle or momentum signal
Conservative Entry: Wait for a break above the Wave 1 high to confirm trend continuation into Wave 3
Stop Loss
Below the Wave 2 low / structural invalidation level
Take Profit Levels
TP1: $3,500 (recent high and resistance)
TP2: $3,750 (projected Wave 3 target based on 1.618 Fib extension of Wave 1)
DEGEN/USDT - Continuation DEGEN/USDT has shown a strong bullish structure following a significant recent up move. Price action has now pulled back into a key support zone, offering a potential high-reward entry opportunity.
Entry Zone: $ 0.0051-0.0053
Stop Loss: $ 0.0048
TP1: $ 0.0061
TP2: $ 0.007
TP3 : $ 0.008
if showing strong price action above $0.0083-0.0085 will have second setup for trade
Bitcoin Update– Complex X Wave Completed, New Pattern in Pla📊 Chart Update | Advanced Structure Analysis
We’ve just completed a multi-layered X wave as part of a larger correction:
🔷 Zigzag (off-screen, higher timeframe)
🔷 X Wave structure included:
🔹 Contracting Triangle
🔹 Small timeframe x wave (thrust)
🔹 Classic Flat correction
This entire sequence forms a validated complex X wave, as per Glenn Neely’s NeoWave guidelines.
Now, a new pattern has begun on the higher timeframe:
🔷 Wave A = :3
🔷 Wave B = :3
Based on this, we are likely entering one of the following:
🔷 Flat Pattern
📈 If Wave C develops as :5, expect a strong, impulsive upward move.
🚀 This would mark the final leg of a classic A–B–C Flat.
🔷 Contracting or Running Triangle
🔁 If Wave C unfolds as :3, the market may form a triangle (C–D–E still pending).
⏳ Expect sideways movement with shrinking volatility.
🔷 Diametric Pattern
📐 If price action develops rhythmically past C, we may be inside a 7-legged Diametric.
🔄 Structure would progress to Waves D–G in a balanced fashion.
---
What’s Next?
👁 Watch Wave C closely:
🔹 If it’s emotional and impulsive → 📈 Likely a Flat
🔹 If it’s slow and overlapping → 🔁 Triangle or Diametric
Stay alert — the next move will confirm the dominant pattern!
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
WTI OIL Might be close to the end of correction or finished it.there are definetly more than 1 posibilities in this one, 1 more down wave can occur and that is why i have a invalidation level. long term definetly buy but short and mid term is just not very clear, i am thinking it s time to buy. what i am going to do is keep track of it a bit more in short term and if it gives me good buying opportunity near the below i will enter the trade with a stop loss. and if it upbrakes possible impulse wave will occur and i will buy again to mid term target. so for now keep an eye on it and buy if the opportunity arise.
AUDCAD Short UpdateAfter seeing some more development the 4h has now turned bearish, lining up with my bearish bias on the Daily and Weekly timeframes. The blue zones are my daily areas of interest (support & resistance) which i would like to see price come back into to look for further opportunities short. Let me know what you think! 💭
APPLE SHARE - WHY BEARISH !!!!! Chart Story Tell That.Price action of Apple Shares looks bearish, atleast until level of 165.59 which is strong support. market has formed wedge pattern before taking a bearish run. it has further good support of 216 and then previous HL of the longer bull trend.
we are looking for selling opportunity if the market breaks the 191 support level. we can easily target TP1 of 216 and if that further breaks then we can plan TP2 as marked accordingly.
But the question is , why APPLE getting down > ?
XAU/USD 26-30 May 2025 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis:
Swing Structure -> Bullish.
Internal Structure -> Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 16 March 2025.
In my analysis dated 27 October 2024 I mentioned (below) that price could potentially print higher-highs in order to reposition CHoCH. This is exactly how price printed. CHoCH positioning has been brought significantly closer to current price action. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a shortened blue dotted horizontal line.
The remainder of my analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 09 February 2025.
Price has printed a further bullish iBOS.
Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dashed line.
Price Action Analysis:
In my analysis dated 27 October 2024, it was noted that the first sign of a pullback would be a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), indicated by a blue dotted line. Price's consistent upward momentum had repositioned previous CHoCH much closer to recent price levels as expected for weeks. Current CHoCH positioning is quite a distance away from price, therefore, it would be viable if price continued bullish to reposition ChOCH.
Note:
It is highly unlikely price will "crash" as many analysts are predicting. My view is this is merely a corrective wave of the primary trend.
Given the Federal Reserve's dovish policy stance alongside heightened geopolitical risks, market volatility is likely to remain elevated, influencing intraday price swings.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty and potential repricing of Gold.
Weekly Chart:
Daily Analysis:
Swing -> Bullish.
Internal -> Bullish.
Analysis and Bias remains the same as Analysis dated 11 May 2025.
Since my last weekly analysis price has finally printed a bearish CHoCH.
This is the first indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Price should now technically trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or Daily demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s continued dovish stance, coupled with escalating geopolitical uncertainties, is expected to sustain elevated market volatility, influencing both intraday and broader trend developments.
Additionally, price action may be further shaped by U.S. policy decisions, including measures enacted under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic policymaking could introduce further uncertainty, contributing to the ongoing repricing dynamics within the gold market.
Daily Chart:
H4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
Solana SOLUSD Periodic Analysis-Issue 84 (Free Access)The analyst believes that the price of SOL/USD will decrease within the time specified on the countdown timer. This prediction is based on a quantitative analysis of the price trend.
___Please note that the specified take-profit level does not imply a prediction that the price will reach that point. In this framework of analysis and trading, unlike the stop-loss, which is mandatory, setting a take-profit level is optional. Whether the price reaches the take-profit level or not is of no significance, as the results are calculated based on the start and end times. The take-profit level merely indicates the potential maximum price fluctuation within that time frame.
Gold analysis strategy for next week
The super-invincible sweep of spot gold will continue to be staged, mainly determined by the current fundamentals! Under the background of tariff wars, geopolitical situations, central bank gold purchases, de-dollarization, uncertainty of the Fed's policies, and global economic recession, investors are enthusiastic, speculative funds follow suit, and spot gold surges and plunges have become the norm, and more and more! For a long time in the future, spot gold will most likely be repeatedly swept between 3400-3100 or 2950-3500, and then seek a large range breakthrough!
You can go long or short, as long as there are sufficient reasons, take good losses, don't resist orders, and control your positions; as long as you don't lose, it's easy to make a lot of money. The market fluctuates greatly, and if the profit does not exceed 20-30 US dollars, don't consider selling, otherwise it will waste a good market; the profit is as little as 20-30 US dollars, as much as 50-70 US dollars, and if the position is good, it is not difficult to make a profit of more than 100 US dollars!
Next, let's talk about the strategic layout for next week:
Gold is currently in a critical technical decision-making stage, and the 3370-3400 US dollar area has become a watershed between long and short positions.
From the technical structure, the daily level maintains a bullish pattern above 3295, and the golden cross of the stochastic indicator continues, but the 3430-3440 area will face a three-top test; although the 4-hour level maintains an upward channel, the MACD top divergence suggests short-term adjustment risks.
If the 3400 mark is effectively broken, it will open up the upward space to hit 3500; on the contrary, if it falls under pressure, it may fall to the 3250-3200 support area. The current market needs to be wary of the potential suppression of the double bottom pattern of the US dollar index, and sudden factors such as geopolitics may intensify volatility.
In terms of operation, it is recommended to take 3370-3400 as the axis, follow up after breakthroughs, reverse when blocked, and strictly control risks. It is necessary to focus on the three test results of the 3430 area and the effectiveness of the 3295 support. These technical signals will determine the medium-term direction of gold in the next stage.
AERGO/USDT for weekend AERGO/USDT for a short-term weekend trade with a high-risk/high-reward profile. The chart is showing potential for a breakout move, supported by recent volume upticks and technical structure forming a bullish continuation pattern.
upside: 30–40% from current levels if momentum sustains.
Buy Entry : green DCA box
🎯 Targets:
TP#1: $0.18
TP#2: $0.21
TP#3: $0.23
SL: $0.15
This is a high-risk weekend trade idea
BANKNIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 26-may-2025📊 Bank Nifty Trading Plan – 26-May-2025
Timeframe: 15 Min | Reference Spot Price: 55,389
Gap Opening Threshold: 200+ Points
🚀 Gap-Up Opening (Above 55,589) – 200+ Points
If Bank Nifty opens above 55,589, it will directly enter or hover near the crucial Opening Resistance Zone of 55,417–55,510 and potentially head toward the upper Profit Booking Zone: 55,834–55,999.
🟥 This zone has shown signs of supply in the past and may act as a trap for early breakout buyers if price action isn't strong.
✅ Plan of Action:
– Avoid aggressive longs immediately after the gap-up.
– Wait for price to sustain above 55,510 and then break and close above 55,834 on a 15-min candle to confirm strength.
– If this happens, you may look for long entries targeting 55,999 – 56,065 with stop loss just below 55,700.
– However, if Bank Nifty faces rejection in the red zone (55,834–55,999), then Sell-on-Rise opportunity can be considered with a downside target back to 55,510 – 55,417 and eventually 55,136.
– Use a bearish reversal pattern (like Evening Star or Engulfing) in the red zone to trigger shorts.
🎓 Educational Insight: A gap-up into resistance often gives a false breakout if momentum and volume are not supportive. Always wait for confirmation before going long.
📈 Flat Opening (Between 55,189 – 55,589)
This keeps Bank Nifty between the Opening Support (55,136) and the Opening Resistance Zone (55,417–55,510).
🟧 This is the choppy zone. Expect mixed emotions in the market during the first 15–30 mins.
✅ Plan of Action:
– Avoid early trades in the first 15–30 mins.
– Wait for directional cues.
– If price holds above 55,417 and gives a strong bullish breakout above 55,510, you can ride a potential move toward 55,834–55,999.
– On the downside, if price slips below 55,136, expect momentum to pick up toward 55,005 and possibly 54,758.
– Only trade if clear breakout or breakdown candle appears with volume support.
🎓 Educational Insight: Most fake breakouts happen in flat openings. Let the market show its hand—follow only when structure and strength align.
📉 Gap-Down Opening (Below 55,189) – 200+ Points
A gap-down below 55,189 would bring prices near key demand zones: Opening Support: 55,136, Intraday Support: 55,005, and Last Strong Support: 54,758.
🟩 These levels can either absorb the fall and bounce or lead to further decline if broken decisively.
✅ Plan of Action:
– Observe price action near 55,005 and 54,758.
– If bullish reversal candles (like hammer or bullish engulfing) form and price sustains above support, consider a long setup targeting a bounce back to 55,136 – 55,417.
– On the other hand, if price decisively breaks 54,758, then consider short entries with next downside target in swing low regions (can extend 100–150 pts down).
– Stop loss for longs: below 54,700.
– Stop loss for shorts: above 54,850.
🎓 Educational Insight: Gap-downs to support can offer great R:R long entries if price shows strength. But wait for candle structure to confirm reversal before entering.
🛡️ Options Trading – Risk Management Tips
✅ Don’t rush into trades at the open —allow price structure to develop.
✅ Use slightly ITM options instead of deep OTM for better delta movement and less decay.
✅ Don’t overleverage —risk only 1–2% of your capital per trade.
✅ Always define your stop loss based on spot levels , not just the option premium.
✅ Exit after 2 consecutive stop-losses to maintain discipline and emotional stability.
✅ Book partial profits as the trade moves in your favor and trail SL for the rest.
✅ Avoid chasing momentum blindly ; volume and structure confirmation are key.
📌 Summary & Conclusion
🔹 Opening Resistance Zone: 55,417 – 55,510
🔹 Profit Booking Zone: 55,834 – 55,999
🔹 Opening Support: 55,136
🔹 Last Intraday Support: 55,005
🔹 Final Strong Support: 54,758
📈 For Gap-Ups, watch for price rejection near upper zones or breakouts beyond 55,999.
📉 For Gap-Downs, reversal setups at 55,005 or 54,758 are key—don’t short blindly.
🕒 In Flat Openings, let the market settle for 15–30 minutes. Trade only on confirmation.
⚖️ Best trades occur when price moves away from zones with proper volume, pattern, and structure alignment .
⚠️ Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This trading plan is intended purely for educational purposes. Please do your own analysis or consult a SEBI-registered advisor before initiating any trades.
NIFTY : Trading levels and plan for 26-May-2025📊 Nifty Trading Plan – 26-May-2025
Timeframe: 15 Min | Reference Spot Price: 24,845
Gap Opening Threshold: 100+ Points
🚀 Gap-Up Opening (Above 24,974) – 100+ Points
If Nifty opens above the Opening Resistance level of 24,974, it enters a critical resistance zone that may trigger two-sided moves. The area between 25,195 – 25,294 is marked as the Profit Booking Zone / Last Intraday Resistance .
🟥 This zone has historically seen supply, and sharp up-moves may get trapped without strength in broader participation.
✅ Plan of Action:
– Avoid initiating long trades immediately post gap-up unless price shows strong bullish candles above 25,195.
– For intraday buying, wait for a clean 15-min candle close above 25,294 with strength in heavyweights.
– Ideal entry would be on a retest of the 25,195–25,294 zone if price holds.
– Reversal patterns (like Shooting Star / Bearish Engulfing) near 25,195 – 25,294 can offer sell-on-rise opportunities toward 24,974, then 24,845.
– Watch for volume confirmation – avoid shorting just because price is high.
🎓 Educational Note: Gap-ups into strong resistance zones require caution. Momentum without volume and market-wide confirmation often leads to failed breakouts. Let structure confirm before jumping in.
📈 Flat Opening (Between 24,790 – 24,974)
This places Nifty inside the No Trade Zone defined between 24,790 – 24,974.
🟧 This range is uncertain – the index may move sideways with choppy price action and lack of conviction from buyers or sellers.
✅ Plan of Action:
– Stay on the sidelines in the first 15–30 mins.
– Only consider long trades if price breaks and sustains above 24,974, then aim for 25,195 – 25,294.
– For short trades, wait for a clean breakdown below 24,790 with a bearish candle close to ride down to 24,684 and then 24,558.
– Risk reward is best outside this zone, not inside. Patience is key.
🎓 Educational Note: Flat openings in mid-range zones often cause emotional trades. Use this time to assess volume trends, sectoral strength, and structure. Most clean entries happen post-10:15 AM.
📉 Gap-Down Opening (Below 24,684) – 100+ Points
A gap-down below 24,684 pushes Nifty near its immediate supports at 24,558 (Last Intraday Support) and 24,250 – 24,190 (Buyer’s Zone).
🟩 This is a sensitive area where smart money may attempt reversals, especially near 24,250 – 24,190.
✅ Plan of Action:
– Watch for reversal signs (Hammer, Bullish Engulfing) around 24,558 and especially in the Buyer’s Support Zone: 24,250 – 24,190.
– If price finds footing and sustains above 24,558, reversal trades can be initiated with a target back to 24,684 – 24,790.
– A strong breakdown below 24,190 would confirm bearishness – in that case, avoid catching falling knives.
– Only go short below 24,190 on breakdown candle with next target open toward swing lows.
🎓 Educational Note: Gap-downs into major demand areas offer some of the best R:R setups—but only if there's evidence of absorption and reversal structure. Never go long just because price is “low”.
🛡️ Options Trading – Risk Management Tips
✅ Use slightly In-the-Money (ITM) options for better delta movement and less time decay.
✅ Avoid trading in No Trade Zones; theta will eat up your premiums.
✅ Follow the 1–2% capital risk rule – don’t over-leverage in anticipation of a breakout.
✅ Always define your stop loss using the underlying spot level, not just option premium.
✅ Book partial profits once price moves in favor and trail SL for the rest.
✅ If you hit 2 stop-losses in a row, take a break and re-assess the trend.
✅ Monitor OI data and sectoral strength—don’t blindly follow index candles.
📌 Summary & Conclusion
🔹 No Trade Zone: 24,790 – 24,974
🔹 Profit Booking / Resistance Zone: 25,195 – 25,294
🔹 Opening Supports: 24,684 & 24,558
🔹 Strong Buyer’s Support: 24,250 – 24,190
📈 For Gap-Ups, avoid early longs into resistance zones unless breakout is confirmed.
📉 For Gap-Downs, prepare for potential reversal from Buyer’s Support Zone.
🕒 In Flat Openings, wait 15–30 mins to avoid whipsaws inside No Trade Zone.
⚖️ Best trades occur outside the No Trade Zone with price + structure + volume alignment.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This trading plan is purely for educational purposes. Please conduct your own analysis or consult a SEBI-registered advisor before taking trades.
Bitcoin Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring BTCUSDT for a buying opportunity around 105,000 zone, Bitcoin is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 105,000 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.