EURUSD Will Move Lower! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 1.133.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 1.124 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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Wave Analysis
AUDJPY Will Go Lower! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for AUDJPY.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 93.565.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 92.996 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Check the trend If a trend change occurs within the current support area, the start of an uptrend is likely. Then, depending on the price behavior within the resistance area, the continuation of the trend will be determined.
If the red support area is broken, the continuation of the downtrend is likely.
MTF outlook: local wave X/A finished, looking for retracementThe local wave X (or A) from April 8 low seems to have finished at $2790 on May 28th.
Now looking for a retracement (wave Y or B).
Locally, 0.382 Fib level at $2250 provide an interesting level for counter-trading, and I'd be looking for sign of local strength for a short-term long position.
I'll start looking for sign of strength at 0.5 level ($2087), but in reality, I'd really like to see the POC tapped at $1875 for the best risk-to-reward ratio, and to finish the wave X (or B) move. The POC is derived from the larger wave Y since Dec. 2024 to April 2025.
Timing is a guess but based on time-fib projection and understanding of the traditional market summer lull days, I'm expecting wave Y (or B) to finish late June to mid-July. June, July, August are dubbed the 'dog days of summer' because not a lot of price action happens, so trend usually stalls or corrects (this is statistical average). Just an intuitive guess.
WTI Crude Oil – Bearish Elliott Wave SetupOn the 15-minute chart, I’m tracking a corrective rally in wave (ii) heading toward the 0.618 Fib zone (around 62.2–62.3) before the next major leg lower.
🔻 Bearish target: 52.00
📈 Looking for the final push up before confirming downside continuation.
💬 What are your thoughts on this Elliott Wave count?
For more updates and ideas, check my profile bio!
#WTI #CrudeOil #elliottwave #priceaction #technicalanalysis
S&P 500 4 HR. WAVE C IS LIKELY OVER ON CORRECTION!1). Price is very likely heading towards the fair Market value @ 5870. 2). Risk Assets are weak today on US$ strength! 3). BANKS ARE SELLING! 4). Volume is dropping. 5). Trendline intersecting with target fib. level. 5). ONCE COMPLETED PRICE WILL PROGRESS NORTH ON WAVE 5 VERY LIKELY
S (Ex FTM) UpdateS is Preparing for a Key Liquidity Grab and Potential Reversal
Previously, S swept the liquidity from the upside and formed a zig-zag corrective structure within a descending channel. Following a clean breakdown, it has struggled to recover — despite broader bullish conditions in the market.
Now, the structure is showing strong signs of a potential long-side liquidity grab in the coming days or weeks. This setup often marks the final phase of accumulation before a major upside move.
Additionally, the price action aligns perfectly with Fibonacci extension levels, particularly around the $0.38 zone, which could act as a key support and entry area for long positions.
A decisive reaction from this zone could trigger the beginning of a strong reversal, leading to the next impulsive leg.
— Thanks for reading.
AUDCAD On The Rise! BUY!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on AUDCAD and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 0.8864 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 0.8903
Safe Stop Loss - 0.8843
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EUR/AUD BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
EUR/AUD pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is obviously rising on the 3H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 1.756 because the pair is overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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XAUUSD 15MThanks for the second chart. Here's a breakdown of what this image shows:
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📉 Chart Summary:
Instrument: Gold Spot (XAU/USD)
Broker/Exchange: OANDA
Timeframe: 15-minute chart
Current Price: ~3,293.970 USD
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🧠 Trade Setup Analysis:
Entry Point:
Clearly marked near 3,300.000 USD
Indicates a short (sell) trade taken at a resistance level after price bounced up and started declining.
Target:
Labeled as “Target Successful”
Appears to be around the 3,255.000 – 3,260.000 USD zone.
Suggests the short trade reached its take-profit level successfully.
Trade Direction:
This is a bearish setup.
Arrows show the expectation of price dropping from the resistance back down to the target zone.
Price Action Confirmation:
Before the entry, we see a reversal pattern from the high.
The drop afterward confirmed the setup was effective.
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✅ Summary:
This chart demonstrates a clean resistance-based sell trade on XAU/USD that hit its take-profit (TP) target. The purple arrow highlights the price movement downward, reinforcing the visual confirmation of a successful short trade execution.
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Would you like a comparison between this gold trade setup and the Bitcoin one you previously shared (e.g., risk/reward, timing, effectiveness)?
xauusd 15mThe chart you've shared is a 15-minute candlestick chart for Gold Spot (XAU/USD) from TradingView. Here's a breakdown of the analysis presented:
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🔍 Key Chart Annotations & Levels
1. Current Price:
Around 3,293.175
2. Support Zone (Register Zoon):
Marked in red, around 3,275.000 - 3,285.000
This appears to be a strong demand/support zone where price might bounce.
3. Resistance Levels:
1st Level Resistance:
3,305.930
Price must break this to confirm a bullish reversal.
Target Point (Major Resistance):
3,329.135
Considered the upside goal if price breaks above the first resistance.
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📈 Price Action Scenarios
1. Bullish Scenario (Green Arrows):
If price finds support around current levels or in the red "register zoon"
A bounce could take price above the 1st level (3,305.930)
Target: 3,329.135
2. Bearish Scenario (Red Arrows):
If price fails to hold above the support zone
Possible breakdown below the red register zone leading to further downside
3. Neutral/Wait-and-See (Black Arrow):
Shows price could range before confirming direction
Suggests waiting for a clear break above 3,305.930 for confirmation
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📝 Observations:
The chart combines support/resistance with trend reversal signals.
Entry might be ideal if price tests and holds above the red zone, or breaks above 3,305.
Typo note: "register zoon" should likely be "register zone".
Would you like help interpreting this strategy in a trading plan or coding it into a trading bot/script?
Why Do Trendlines, Chart Patterns Only Work Probabilistically?Why Do Resistance, Support, Trendlines, Fibonacci, and Chart Patterns Only Work Probabilistically?
(Meaning they are sometimes accurate, sometimes not)
In an uptrend, we follow the strategy of "buying at the bottom, selling at the top." But in a downtrend, what strategy should guide us? It’s the opposite: "shorting at the top and closing the short at the bottom." The approach is not much different from spot trading. We still use tools to identify tops and bottoms to execute our shorting plan and close positions.
For BTC on the D1 timeframe, the trend remains bearish. According to my system, BTCUSDT formed a peak on D1 on May 27 and May 28, with two "has peak D1" signals. This suggests that if we follow a short strategy, we would take profits at the D1 bottom.
In terms of price, we could wait around the $100k level to observe price action for profit-taking. Alternatively, using a bottom-detection system, we would close the position when a "has bottom" signal appears, regardless of whether the price hits $100k. It depends on the real-time market dynamics at that moment. The price might drop further to $95k or $93k, or it may not even reach $100k. Fixing a specific price level—whether it’s a resistance, support, trendline, or Fibonacci level—may not fully capture the overall real-time market context.
This is why sometimes the price hits the exact fixed zone, but other times it overshoots, undershoots, or a larger timeframe intervenes and breaks these fixed zones. That’s because price zones, trendlines, resistance, support, and Fibonacci levels are based on historical context.
In real-time, we are dealing with the present, which is vastly different from historical context. For example, differences in political leadership, monetary policies, wars, geopolitics, or capital inflows can all create disparities. This is why trendlines, resistance, support, Fibonacci levels, and chart patterns are not always accurate in the present or only work probabilistically.
Stay sharp, brothers!
Tesla: Completed!TSLA has moved somewhat closer to the resistance at $373.04 since our last update, but these gains have now been tempered. We now consider the turquoise wave 4 as finished and anticipate imminent sell-offs during wave 5. These should eventually complete the magenta wave (3) of a larger downward impulse below the support at $215.01. However, due to recent upward momentum, we have increased the relevance of our alternative scenario. We now consider it 38% likely that the stock has already completed the large correction of the blue wave alt.(II) with the last significant low and will continue to rise directly during wave alt.(III). In this case, the price would next not only rise above the nearby resistance at $373.04 but also overcome the higher levels at $405.54 and $488.50.
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
GOLD What Next? BUY!
My dear friends,
GOLD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 3293.8 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 3307.5
Recommended Stop Loss - 3287.2
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBPJPY Is Very Bullish! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for GBPJPY.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 193.933.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 195.006 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
USD/JPY BEST PLACE TO BUY FROM|LONG
USD/JPY SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 143.655
Target Level: 145.800
Stop Loss: 142.221
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 3h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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