Wave Analysis
Weekly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 30 – July 3, 2025🔮 Weekly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 30 – July 3, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
📈 US Stocks Rally to Record Highs
Following a volatile first half, U.S. equities surged into record territory in late June on a combination of easing Middle East tensions, cooling inflation data, and the 90-day tariff pause
💵 Dollar Weakens on Fed and Trade Uncertainty
The U.S. dollar fell to a 3½-year low, pressured by persistent speculations over President Trump replacing Fed Chair Powell and extending rate-cut expectations, as well as progress in U.S.-Canada trade talks
🇨🇦 U.S.–Canada Trade Talks Lift Sentiment
Canada temporarily repealed its digital services tax to facilitate talks seeking a broader trade agreement by July 21, boosting U.S. equity futures
🛢️ Oil Prices Stabilize
After spiking on geopolitical fears, oil traders settled between $65–78/bbl amid supply relief following ceasefire developments and easing Middle East risks
⚠️ July Risks Loom
The coming week will spotlight:
July 4 deadline for Trump’s tax bill
Expiry of the tariff pause on July 9
U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls on July 3
Each poses potential for increased volatility if outcomes disappoint
📊 Key Data Releases & Events 📊
📅 Monday, June 30
9:45 AM ET – Chicago PMI (June): Gauge of Midwestern factory activity
📅 Tuesday, July 1
U.S. markets open, watch trade developments
📅 Wednesday, July 2
Global PMI readings released
📅 Thursday, July 3 (Early close ahead of Independence Day)
8:30 AM ET – Nonfarm Payrolls (June)
8:30 AM ET – Unemployment Rate (June)
8:30 AM ET – Average Hourly Earnings (June)
These labor metrics will be critical for Fed rate outlooking
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #jobs #Fed #oil #trade #technicalanalysis
June 30, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunitySummary:
Keep a close eye on fundamental news — any major headlines could instantly invalidate technical levels and short-term indicators.
From the current chart structure, the trend remains clearly bearish, so the primary strategy is to sell on pullbacks to resistance.
Watch key levels like 3283, 3300, and 3350 closely — if price breaks above these, it could signal weakening bearish momentum, requiring a quick strategy adjustment.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 3310–3312 – Resistance zone
• 3300 – Psychological level
• 3295 – Resistance
• 3283 – Intraday key resistance
• 3266 – Intraday key support
• 3250–3255 – Support zone
• 3245 – Support
• 3233 – Support
📈 Intraday Strategy:
• SELL if price breaks below 3266 → target 3260, then 3250, 3245, 3233
• BUY if price holds above 3283 → target 3295, then 3301, 3312, 3320
👉 If you want to know how I time entries and set stop-losses, hit the like button so I know there's interest — I may publish a detailed post by the weekend if support continues!
Disclaimer: This is my personal opinion, not financial advice. Trade with caution and always manage your risk.
DOT 4H Chart CorrectionI´m treating the recent upside as a corrective movement, and still expect a lower low. Reasons:
-> Upside does not look like a motive wave.
-> Lack of RSI divergence on the 4H or Daily Chart on the recent low.
I will look for reversals in the green resistance levels for short trades.
Silver Analysis – June 29, 2025Over the past two weeks, silver surged to the $37 level, forming a new high.
Given the speed of this move from the $33 area, this nearly 20% rally appears a bit too sharp in a short time frame.
💡 As a result, profit-taking around $37 is likely, making it harder for silver to break above this level in the near term.
We expect a period of consolidation or a minor pullback, potentially dragging the price back toward the $33 zone — where buy orders may start getting triggered.
📌 The $33 area could offer a more attractive buying opportunity.
Whether silver can retest the previous highs will largely depend on the strength and volume of demand at that level.
EURCHF What Next? BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for EURCHF below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 0.9343
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 0.9377
Recommended Stop Loss - 0.9329
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Weekly trading plan for Solana Last week, BINANCE:SOLUSDT price followed our bullish (green) scenario perfectly and hit the first target. At this point, the upward corrective phase may be complete, so we could reasonably expect a pullback to either the weekly pivot point or support zone
Write a comment with your coins & hit the like button and I will make an analysis for you
The author's opinion may differ from yours,
Consider your risks.
Wish you successful trades ! mura
GBPAUD: Growth & Bullish Continuation
Balance of buyers and sellers on the GBPAUD pair, that is best felt when all the timeframes are analyzed properly is shifting in favor of the buyers, therefore is it only natural that we go long on the pair.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GOLD: Bearish Continuation & Short Signal
GOLD
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short GOLD
Entry - 3280.9
Sl - 3287.7
Tp - 3267.4
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GOLD Will Grow! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 3,281.18.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 3,396.94 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
SUI Wave 3 of 3 Started?SUI appears to have completed a local wave (2) at the .618 Fibonacci retracement and a larger degree wave 2 at the alt-coin golden pocket between .618-.782
Triple resistance looms ahead of the daily 200EMA, major resistance High Volume Node and descending resistance trend line.
A breakthrough and close above will be a bullish sign with an initial target of the December swing high range $4.48
Analysis is invalidated below the $2.5 swing low, locking in ABC correction instead.
The bullish case is in jeopardy below $2.29 swing low.
Safe trading
$BTC Weekend Update - A New Hope - 6/29Hello fellow degenerates,
Price held beautifully above 106.6k key level and is now attempting a test of 110.4k level. We are in a high risk zone as we do have a lot of levels that could initiate a reversal down, so ultimate caution is needed.
- Price hit the target where a Wave 1 could be so I am looking for a possible retracement that would take us towards 103k.
- In the most bullish scenario, both Wave 1 and 2 have been completed and price could just break above ATH and continue higher, but this is just wishful thinking.
- Currently watching for a break above the Parallel channel resistance
- Levels to Watch: 110.4k, 106.6k, 103.4k, 101k
Weekly trading plan for EthereumBINANCE:ETHUSDT Last week, price mostly traded in a range. For this week, I've updated key levels, marked them on the chart, and modeled several scenarios. We can expect a pullback—possibly a deeper correction—before another push toward resistance levels. If price breaks the local low but then reclaims the weekly pivot point, I'll consider opening long positions without waiting for a deeper pullback.
Write a comment with your coins & hit the like button and I will make an analysis for you
The author's opinion may differ from yours,
Consider your risks.
Wish you successful trades ! mura
Weekly trading plan for BitcoinLast week price action showed a local correction before reaching the first target. This week, we may see a deeper pullback before the next targets are hit and ATH is revisited. In this idea I marked the important levels for this week
Write a comment with your coins & hit the like button and I will make an analysis for you
The author's opinion may differ from yours,
Consider your risks.
Wish you successful trades ! mura
Next week's gold trend analysis strategy:
1. News interpretation: Fed policy and market sentiment dominate the direction
✦ Review of key factors:
The situation in the Middle East has eased
The safe-haven demand for gold has declined, which is bearish for gold prices.
Fed Focus: PCE Price Index
If PCE data rises → Strengthen interest rate hike expectations → Gold prices are under pressure
If personal spending is weak → Interest rate hike expectations slow down → Favorable gold price rebound
Investors' wait-and-see sentiment heats up
→ There is no panic selling in the market, and it tends to fluctuate downward rather than plummet.
2. Technical analysis: Bearish dominance, pay attention to key support areas
Daily structure:
The bearish trend is clear, and the moving average system turns downward;
The price is running near the lower track of the Bollinger band, and there is a suspicion of short-term oversold;
The 3280-3295 area constitutes a pressure zone, which has not been broken after multiple tests.
Key points at the 4-hour level:
A step-down channel is clearly formed;
Support levels gradually move downward, a typical bearish pattern;
Lower support: 3270 → 3263 → 3250-3245
Upper pressure: 3280 → 3300 → 3310
III. Gold trend forecast for next week
📉 Main trend: bearish, short-term or bottoming out
If it falls to the 3245-3250 area, a short-term technical rebound can be expected;
After the rebound, it may be blocked again in the 3280-3295 range, suitable for short selling;
Unless it strongly recovers above 3310, it will be difficult to reverse the downward trend.
IV. Operation strategy suggestions (core)
Sell on highs 3285 - 3295 Stop loss 3310 Target 3255 / 3245 Layout short orders near resistance
Trend bottom-picking 3245 - 3250 Stop loss 3238 Target 3275 / 3280 Oversold rebound expected, try to buy long with a light position
Aggressive short selling near 3310 Stop loss above 3336 Target 3280 / 3263 Top and bottom conversion resistance level, if the test is not broken, short
V. Summary and Outlook
✅ Conclusion: Next week, the trend of gold will still be "high-short as the main and low-long as the auxiliary", focusing on the game between 3250 support and 3295 pressure level.
Gold has not yet broken out of the short structure, and the inertial decline after breaking 3295 will continue. It is recommended that traders avoid chasing ups and downs, strictly implement stop losses, and remain flexible.
SOL Ready To Breakout?SOL had a decent move this weekend overcoming descending resistance and now testing as support.
Price appears to have a completed a wave (2) at the .618 Fibonacci retracement and S1 daily pivot and a larger degree wave 2 at the channel bottom, High Volume Node support and .618 Fibonacci retracement.
If a wave (3) of 3 is underway then we should expect a strong move sooner rather than later with an initial target of the swing high resistance a/ R2 daily pivot $208-$216 range
Safe trading.