USDCAD Will Move Higher! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for USDCAD.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.437.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.445 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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Wave Analysis
AUDNZD will soon finish bullish cycle and usher in a sell-off? AUDNZD has been on a 2-year rally for 2 years. However, it appears price is correcting the sell-off in the last quarter of 2022 before the eventual resurgence.
Structurally, a zigzag structure is emerging with (A) and (B) finished as impulse and double zigzag structures respectively. Meanwhile, wave (C) is on the verge of completing an ending diagonal structure. Price is currently in the 5th leg of wave (C) and may continue to 1.12 which is roughly 100% of (A) from (B). So I believe, the sellers may have a chance between 1.12-1.135 in 2025.
Caveats
1. The 4th wave of the proposed ending diagonal could extend lower but should finish above 1.081 to keep the diagonal valid. Thus, buyers can buy lower again toward the zone mentioned above.
2. The (A)-(B)-(C) of ((B)) doesn't correspond in time magnitude with the sharp wave ((A)) impulse decline. Thus, the current rally alternatively could be a leading diagonal. If so, a pullback should happen as expected but shallower (should end above ((A)). Similar path but different counts.
NAS100USD Will Go Lower! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for NAS100USD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 21,471.9.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 20,314.7 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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Hellena | Oil (4H): Short to support lvl 63.5 (Wave 3).Colleagues, the last forecast is still active, but I thought it was worth doing another one that will show more clearly what is happening now.
In my opinion, the price is still in wave “2” of low order, but in a three-wave correction.
This means that wave “2” (black, lower wave) should not update the level of 73.114, but it can update 71.695, although this condition is not necessary.
As a result, I still believe that the price will continue its downward movement, although it is in a prolonged correction.
There are 2 possible courses of action:
1) The riskier one is to open a short position on the market.
2) Conservative - wait for the price to rise, and enter with less risk.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
EUR/CAD SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
EUR/CAD pair is trading in a local uptrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 1D timeframe the pair is going up too. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 1.478 area.
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EURCAD POSSIBLE SELLThe market is currently testing the current Weekly 0.786Fib area. Based on 4HR TF, the market seems to be forming a possible reversal pattern via price action.
We could see SELLERS coming in strong should the current level hold.
Disclaimer:
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is solely intended for educational and informational purposes only.The analysis provided is based on my own view of the market. Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account.
High-Risk Warning
Trading in foreign exchange on margin entails high risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. In this case, the high degree of leverage can act both against you and in your favor.
EURUSD POSSIBLE SELLThe market is currently testing the current Daily 0.5Fib area. Based on 4HR TF, the market seems to be forming a possible reversal pattern via price action.
We could see SELLERS coming in strong should the current level hold.
Disclaimer:
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is solely intended for educational and informational purposes only.The analysis provided is based on my own view of the market. Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account.
High-Risk Warning
Trading in foreign exchange on margin entails high risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. In this case, the high degree of leverage can act both against you and in your favor.
Polkadot Dot usdt Daily analysis
Time frame 4hours
Risk rewards ratio >2 👈👌
Technical analysis base on Eliot waves
The correction 3points (ABC) Eliot waves has finished ✅️
Now, I think, impulse Eliot waves starts . (1-5)
I designed the fist impulse wave on the first branche of main Eliot waves. ✅️
If this analysis happens, we will have a unbelievable alt-season. 🎅💥💥🎅
What's your analysis? 🤔
Do you think impulse wave is started?🤔
XRP drop to $1.10 in Jan 2025 and pump to $3.35 in Apr 20251. Understand that the market makers (manipulators) will not easily allow you to be rich 😁. You have to beat them to understand their script and algorithms. So, $27 may not come that fast. Maybe not even in Q1'25
2. The big movers look at quarterly performance. To me we are not at a similar trend as 2017/2018 moves. But, worth comparing against it.
3. Now look at 2017, it was a 1000% move on the first 3M candle in Apr. Then the 2nd 3M candle had a 50% drop in July. Another pump came in Oct with a 800% move.
4. Now, if you simulate the same movements, in Oct'24 we had a 261% move. If there is a 50% drop, it will take XRP to $1.10 in Jan'25. Then another conservative pump of 200% in Apr'25 will take XRP to $3.35 . Then a 77% move down similar as 2017 will take XRP to $0.74 in July 2025.
However, note that our first pump in Oct'24 did not even touched an overbought RSI of 96, it only touched 75. This is why I feel we cannot look past trend, something new is going to happen and XRP has more to come.
Not financial advice - but hang in there 😉
Dow Jones Trend Day Setup 5* OpportunitiesMy goal going forward into 2025 is to only trade the Parabolic Trend trades and to master them. They happen roughly 5-8 times per month. Just catching 1 of these per month is all I need. Using 3% risk per one of these setups can deliver 15-20% gains.
The universal entry criteria is the 5 minute close back inside the 20sma.
The timeframe for entries are either 1 hour before the open, the open, and 1 hour after the open.
Profit targets are generally until the close or a range expansion target of 1-2 times the Asia/London box.
Below are multiple charts of the same setup with the green box being the ideal entry.
If I can only trade 1 trade PER MONTH, this is what I will focus on.
AAVE/USDTKey Level Zone : 283.76-296.03
HMT v3.0 detected. The setup looks promising, supported by a previous upward/downward trend with increasing volume and momentum, presenting an excellent reward-to-risk opportunity.
HMT (High Momentum Trending):
HMT is based on trend, momentum, volume, and market structure across multiple timeframes. It highlights setups with strong potential for upward movement and higher rewards.
Whenever I spot a signal for my own trading, I’ll share it. Please note that conducting a comprehensive analysis on a single timeframe chart can be quite challenging and sometimes confusing. I appreciate your understanding of the effort involved.
If you find this signal/analysis meaningful, kindly like and share it.
Thank you for your support~
Sharing this with love!
HMT v2.0:
- Major update to the Momentum indicator
- Reduced false signals from inaccurate momentum detection
- New screener with improved accuracy and fewer signals
HMT v3.0:
- Added liquidity factor to enhance trend continuation
- Improved potential for momentum-based plays
- Increased winning probability by reducing entries during peaks
#202451 - priceactiontds - year end special - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well.
dax xetra - outlook 2025
comment: We look at the chart from the beginning of the current bull trend in 2022-10. Dax has gained 71% while German GDP is now negative for two consecutive years. The bull trend has 3 clear and big legs up. The upper and lower trend lines were respected and we have seen an acceleration upwards in the last leg. This is not the start of a new and stronger one but the climactic ending which traps the weak & late traders. These are the people who started gambling with Bitcoin as it hit 100k because they wanted some of that fairy dust.
A healthy correction would be around 20% which is very close to the 50% retracement of this whole trend, the 2023-11 previous ath and the big bull trend line from the Covid lows. More than enough magnets to test down to that price around 16000. How will we get there? Absolutely no idea and all of my drawings with a potential wave series, are just rough guesses how I think it could potentially play out. Sometimes those are accurate and other times they are way off. It’s a good habit of anticipating what markets could do and take the trade if they do it.
Final thoughts. Buying the dax above 19000 hoping for a new and stronger trend upwards because surely this time it’s different, is as unwise as can be if you want to invest your money. Meaning buying and holding or trading on a daily/weekly chart. The odds of this breaking above two major trend lines while we already made 70%+ without any meaningful correction, are so slim that the only reason your are doing it is because of FOMO.
current market cycle: Bull trend of the past two years has likely ended and new lows below 18780 will be the confirmation.
key levels for 2025: 16000 - 20000 (decent chance we will see 20000 only in the first couple of weeks and then only in a couple of months or years again)
bull case: 2 years, 70%+. What more can you dream of? No matter how you draw your technicals on the chart, you can only see this as bullish, if you think we can break strongly above the two upper trend lines and go for 25000 or more. That is trading on hope and nothing else. If you have bought any dip the past two years you were never wrong and that is why we have so many articles about “this time it’s different”. In a bull trend, everyone is a genius. I can not come up with any legitimate reason why this should go meaningful above 20600. The absolute best I can do for this section is that we will likely see a lot of sideways price action at the big magnets. 19000 will be the first over the next days/weeks and at this point, we can’t expect the bulls to just give and let the market melt through those prices. BTFD mentality has been profitable and it will take a while or a huge drop, before it ends and we shift to STR (sell the rips).
Invalidation is below 14600. Below that price, an event has happened or is happening. For now it’s unreasonable to ever think this market could see prices below 12000 again.
bear case: Peak bullish sentiment and option positions over the past weeks can only go on for so long before the market reverses big time. It’s perhaps because there is literally no one left to buy because everyone and their dog went max long. The chart is clear and the downside risks are much greater than any coke-induced perma-bull argument on why the markets will break higher another 10-20%.
Bears short term targets are the weekly 20ema near the small bull trend line around 19000. There we can probably expect more sideways movement before we get another impulse down to the huge support around 17700. My chart is a best guess about price but the timing could be way off. My biggest target for 2025 is the 2011-11 previous ath 16290, which is very close to the 50% retracement of this bull trend. There is also the big bull trend line from the Covid low and I expect this to be tested in Q1 or Q2 2025.
Invalidation is above 20700.
short term: The year end rally could give us another new ath or lower high. It does not matter because the upside will probably be very limited. My highest price is 20700 give or take. I fully expect 19000 to be hit over the next 2-6 weeks.
medium-long term: Any short near 20000 is reasonable if you can hold for another 1000 points higher. 17000 is much more likely than 21000 though. My first target for the next months is 19000, followed by 17700ish and ultimately down to 16000-16300 in 2025.
current swing trade: None but I think any short ETF, levered or not, is reasonable. Short term is 19000 and medium term (2-5 months) is 17000-18000.
Prepare to BUY Spot XVGUSDT on the D1 Cycle
🌟 Get Ready for the Next Move with XVGUSDT! 🌟
🌍 Market Overview:
XVGUSDT is showing bullish potential on the D1 timeframe, offering a promising setup for short-term gains.
📊 Trade Plan:
📌 Entry: $0.011 - $0.013 – Accumulate within this range for optimal positioning.
🎯 Target: $0.022 or x2 – Aim for a potential 2x gain with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
⏳ Hold Time: Up to 1 week – Designed for short-term traders seeking quick returns.
🔍 Strategy Insights:
My custom indicator RainBow MG3 confirms strong potential for a breakout.
The current market trend aligns with a high-probability D1 cycle setup.
🚀 Next Steps:
💬 Contact me if you need personalized guidance or more strategy insights!
💡 Note: This is not financial advice. Always DYOR before trading.
🔥 XVGUSDT is primed for action – Don’t miss the opportunity! 🔥