US Small Companies Index ‘Russell 2000’ in Critical Trend!US Small Companies Index ‘Russell 2000’ in Critical Trend!
Let's take a look from a Fundamental and Technical perspective;
In 2020, the middle band (main trend line) of the logarithmic rising channel was broken and the upward movement had continued since then. Today, however, the same critical support level is being tested again.
If it cannot hold at this level, a long-term trend break may occur. This would significantly increase the risk perception in Russell 2000 companies.
What is Russell 2000?
It does not include large technology giants such as Nasdaq or S&P 500, but small and medium-sized companies that hold the real pulse of the US economy.
These companies are more fragile and more vulnerable to economic fluctuations.
The spread of anti-Trump protests shows that small businesses are starting to be affected both physically and economically.
The prospect of no interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve (FED) is crushing these companies under high borrowing costs.
The contraction in consumer spending can directly hit the profits of these companies because they are dependent on the domestic market.
Possible Scenarios for This Week:
🔴 If the protests deepen and the market panics:
If a break below $180 comes, the $170 support level is tested.
With panic sales, the $150 - $160 region, which is the lower band of the channel, may come to the agenda.
🟢If the environment calms down and economic data signals a recovery:
Strong purchases come from the middle trend line.
$200 - $210 band can be targeted.
In short, support is now being tested, if it breaks, the risk of serious decline is on the table.
Wave Analysis
SGDMYR Short: Completed 3-waves correction upThere are a handful of macroeconomic reasons for Singapore dollar to weaken against the Malaysian Ringgit, but I'll point out only the First EW counts here. As you can see, I've drawn the wave down in 5 waves and the wave up in 3 waves. That is the wave A and wave B respectively. And so I will be expecting a 5-wave wave C down. A 1-to-1 measurement will bring this currency pair below 3.0.
xrp update Here's a polished version of your message that you could use for a post or update:
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**XRP Update:**
Currently trading around **$2.085**, we're anticipating a **pullback toward the $1.40** levels. That zone could offer a **great opportunity** for long-term investors and spot traders to enter.
🎯 **Targets:**
- First target: **$3**
- Second target: **$5**
**⚠️ Patience is key — wait for the opportunity. Don’t jump in too early.**
Good luck, everyone! 💰🚀
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TON/USDT – LONG Setup
✅ Entry Zone: $3.00 – $3.30
📍 Current Price: ~$3.30
🎯 Targets:
• T1: $4.515
• T2: $6.038
• T3: $7.857
🔻 Stop Loss: $2.60
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
Price action shows reversal signs after a sharp drop into a weekly support block.
Structure suggests a potential double bottom with bullish engulfing confirmation forming.
Clean breakout above $3.60 would validate continuation toward $4.5 and above.
🚀 Strategic Note:
A break and hold above the $3.80 resistance would likely accelerate momentum. Ideal for swing traders targeting medium-term gains.
ETH CHART: I FOUND THE BOTTOM!HERE IS MY FUNDA REASON OR NEWS WHY I THINK THIS IS THE LAST DROP~! BEFORE WE RECOVER AND START THE BUILDING OF CRYPTO!
Price Decline and Market Sentiment: Ethereum's price has dropped below $1,800, marking a significant decline of over 45% since the start of the year. This has raised concerns about its market stability, with some analysts predicting further drops to $1,550 if key resistance levels aren't reclaimed.
Investor Sentiment and FUD: Fear, uncertainty, and doubt (FUD) have led to increased selling pressure. Retail traders have been offloading ETH holdings, resulting in reduced trading volumes and network activity. Active addresses and transaction volumes have also declined, signaling lower demand!
Technical Challenges and Resistance Levels: Ethereum has struggled to break past critical resistance levels, such as $1,900. Its failure to reclaim these levels has validated bearish patterns, with some analysts warning of a potential drop to 17-month lows!
Macroeconomic Factors: Broader economic uncertainties, including geopolitical events like tariffs, have contributed to Ethereum's struggles. These factors have added to the negative sentiment in both the financial and crypto markets.
Network Activity and Whale Behavior: While some large investors (whales) are accumulating ETH, the overall network activity has seen a decline. This mixed behavior has created uncertainty about the asset's short-term trajectory
Why Did the #VIX Explode?Trump protests escalated the markets sharply. The VIX exploded because nobody knows what will happen.
💢Why did the #VIX explode?
What we see in the chart is not just a panic, it is an ‘uncertainty shock’.
Although Trump has only been in office for 3 months, he is facing serious street protests due to his aggressive policies and rhetoric.
Such crisis situations are enough to momentarily shake the confidence of global investors in the US, because markets are emotionless, shaped according to events.
Due to the protests, the S&P and NASDAQ have been feared to sell hard
Investors play hedge in such situations.
At the same time, algorithms may even be opening temporary long positions in anticipation of ‘Will the FED intervene?’.
Let's take a look at the scenarios;
If the protests grow, if the clashes spread:
🔸VIX overflows over 50
🔸S&P500 experiences serious selling pressure
🔸Gold and bonds come to the fore
If Trump steps back or the situation calms down:
🔹VIX is quickly withdrawn
🔹Indexes may regain strength
🔹Investors switch to risk-taking again
In short, if the protests grow, this could be not just a VIX jump, but the potential collapse spark of 2025.
#vix #spx #spx #spx500 #nasdaq #nasdaq100
US Technology Companies at Great Risk #NDX US Technology Companies at Great Risk
Let's take a look from a fundamental and technical perspective;
If the protests against Trump, who has been in the presidential seat for 3 months, gain strength and reach a level that disrupts economic activity, uncertainty pricing increases in the markets .
Technology-weighted indices such as NASDAQ sell faster in such periods of uncertainty because they are in the ‘risky asset’ class.
The FED's interest rate cut expectations were first postponed, and now the possibility of cancellation is on the table. This creates negative pressure for technology stocks.
2025 Q1 balance sheets have not yet been fully announced. However, growth rates are slowing in many major technology companies, which means an extra threat to NASDAQ.
Let's take a look at the scenarios that could happen this week;
🔴 Protests increase, if the security problem grows:
NDX may fall below 16,700 again.
If panic sales come into play, there may be a decline to around 15,000.
🟢 If protests are quickly brought under control:
Buying comes from 17,000 level, reaction rise starts.
18.500 - 19.000 band can be retested.
🔸This week there was a very sharp decline of -9.77
🔸It is currently at 17.397 , which corresponds to the middle band of the logarithmic channel (black dashed line).
🔸 16,764 - Persistence below this level may lead to sharper selling.
🔸If the price closes weekly below 17,000 , stronger support around 15,000 may be tested.
🔸This decline may also cause large investors to switch to ‘risk off’ mode.
#CGPT/USDT#CGPT
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is on its way to breaking it strongly upwards and retesting it.
We are seeing a bounce from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 0.0650.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to break and retest, supporting the upward trend.
We are looking for stability above the 100 Moving Average.
Entry price: 0.0654
First target: 0.0678
Second target: 0.0692
Third target: 0.0721
#GALA/USDT#GALA
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is on its way to breaking it strongly upwards and retesting it.
We are seeing a bounce from the lower boundary of the descending channel, this support at 0.01443.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to break and retest, supporting the upward trend.
We are looking for stability above the 100 Moving Average.
Entry price: 0.1460
First target: 0.01476
Second target: 0.01500
Third target: 0.01530
#SEI/USDT#SEI
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We are experiencing a rebound from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 0.1600.
We are experiencing a downtrend on the RSI indicator, which is about to break and retest, supporting the upward trend.
We are looking for stability above the 100 Moving Average.
Entry price: 0.1614
First target: 0.1625
Second target: 0.1642
Third target: 0.1665
SPX keeping it simple looking at the weekly chart on SPX. Using fib and basic wave theory.
There is plenty of panic in the markets right now besides one guy.
WARREN Buffet he's looking for opportunity.
The simple way to break it down is a 50% retracement from Oct 22 low to the ATH is the top of the post covid high. looking at in an Elliot wave theory 5 wave
1 is our post covid high on Jan 3 2022. Then we head to the second wave. this wave ended in October 22 the 3rd wave has ended on Feb 18th 2025. we are currently in the 4th wave. this is a correction phase. Wave 4 is 14.6%, 23.6%, or 38.2% of wave 3 but no more than 50%. it is typically 38.2% of wave 3.
Wave five will come or we free fall.
Enter a bear market and ride it out. Buffet said this people do it wrong they buy high and sell low. yes, the turmoil is high but there is always those who will be scared and run
or you find the right place to buy and take the chance.
Trump is a business man and he's doing business. he's playing chess when everyone else is playing checkers. once the 9 trillion debt that is due for refinance is taken care of do you really think he will let the market crash and him and his goons loose money? He stated he is doing this on purpose. Bring interest rates down and stocks down. Equals good buying opportunities
Hold tight it will be a wild ride.
Crude OIL CRASH - OPEC & Trump - Recession Catalyst#Recession is here, Markets are bleeding.
Crude #Oil is the kicker.
I shorted TVC:USOIL on Friday.
Hunting on this trade for a while now.
Very #Bearish outlook on #WTI.
MARKETSCOM:OIL Weekly
#FundamentalAnalysis
- #OPEC+ Output Hike (411K bpd)
- #Trump #Tariffs & #TradeWar
I'm looking at a #CrudeOIL #MarketCrash, similar to the #Covid era, when NYMEX:CL1! went in minus on #Nymex #Futures.
TVC:USOIL & my BIG SHORT
#Trading EASYMARKETS:OILUSD via CFDs with #Leverage.
Executed my #Sell Position on #WTI at $64.
* DYOR before, it's not a financial advice, I just share.
#TechnicalAnalysis
- #ElliottWave Impulse Cycle a (white)
- #Correction in Primary ABC (red)
- #LeadingDiagonal in Primary A (red)
- #Descending Triangle in Primary B (red)
Why will BLACKBULL:WTI Crash?
#Bearish Primary C (red) has started.
#Break-out below the Triangle Flat Line.
Important Note:
The #Bearish #Impulse will continue lower.
After the short-lived pull-back, Sellers will dominate.
$63-64 Range is the Entry.
MARKETSCOM:OIL Daily
TVC:USOIL #Short #TradeSignal
- Entry @ $63-64 Range
- SL @ $73
- TP1 @ $40
- TP2 @ $30
- TP3 @ $20
Stay in the green and many pips ahead!
Richard (Wave Jedi)
#RSR/USDT#RSR
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is on its way to breaking it strongly upwards and retesting it.
We are seeing a bounce from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 0.007050.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to break and retest, supporting the upward trend.
We are looking for stability above the 100 moving average.
Entry price: 0.007100
First target: 0.007309
Second target: 0.007556
Third target: 0.007816
Looks like $ investors switch possible - Crypto rules??Hello fellow traders,
Just looking at the chart of total market cap and based on trend line weekly focus- this is it- a point at which crypto market might start to recover and go for 2 x what it has in total, heading for 5t?? Let me know in your comments what do you think? Also, many investors might start diversifying their portfolio since Fridays 'crash' hence I wouldn't be really surprised if next week brings some $ into crypto !
It's just my idea don't copy think and do your own stuff
USOIL BEST PLACE TO BUY FROM|LONG
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 62.31
Target Level: 71.18
Stop Loss: 56.40
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
long-term investor (EGX:LCSW) (EGX:LCSW) Lecico Egypt (S.A.E.) produces and sells sanitary ware products and various tiles in Egypt and Lebanon. The company’s products include bathroom suites, toilets, washbasins, and bidets and urinals; and squatting pan, shower trays, kitchen sink, and taps, as well as other complementary products.The company exports its products. It sells its products under the Lecico brand.Lecico Egypt (S.A.E.) was incorporated in 1975 and is based in Alexandria, Egypt
Mid-Term Target Price (Fair Value Avg): ~85 EGP, implying ~237% potential upside from current levels.
• Technically Weak in Short-Term: Below EMA 200 and entering the Wave C correction suggests consolidation or dip toward the 21–25 EGP range before an upside move.
Technical Overview
• Current Price (April 3, 2025): 25.2 EGP/share
• 52-Week Range: 15.00 – 34.84 EGP/share
• Book Value per Share is 46.68 EGP
• Below EMA 200: Bearish sign; technically under long-term resistance
• Rate of Change (ROC): 24.6 EGP/share
• Gann Analysis TP: ~34.5 EGP in May 2025 (based on (15.02)2+2(15.02)^2 + 2(15.02)2+2)
• Elliott Wave Analysis: In Wave C (correction), target zone: 21–25 EGP/share (current price near upper bound)
Financial Highlights – FY 2024
• Revenue: EGP 6.64 billion (↑ 37% YoY)
• Net Profit: EGP 890.3 million (↑ 99% YoY)
• EPS: 11.13 EGP
• Sanitary Ware: 64.8% of revenue, 77.9% export-driven
• EBIT: EGP 1,151 million (↑ 22%)
• Margins:
o Gross: 28.22%
o Operating (EBIT): 17.32%
o Profit: 13.40%
o EBITDA: 19.47%
Interpretation & Conclusion
• Fundamentally Undervalued: With a P/E of 2.26× and P/B of 0.54×,
Lecico appears significantly undervalued given its strong profitability and book value.
Investment Strategy
If you’re a long-term investor:
• Accumulate in the 21–25 EGP correction zone.
• Monitor EMA 200 breakout and ROC reversal for momentum entry.
Mid-Term Upside Targets
• TP1: 34.5 EGP (Gann target)
• TP2: 58.8 EGP (DCF Value )
• TP3: 65.6 EGP (CHF estimate) refer to Cairo Financial Holding company
• TP4: 85.0–105.6 EGP (Sector-based fair value) refer to Ostoul Securities Brokerage Bond Trading Company
Dow Jones Trend Analysis (Elliott Wave + AO + Volume)📊 Dow Jones Intermediate Trend Analysis (Elliott Wave + AO + Volume)
🌀 Elliott Wave Interpretation
The chart reflects a clear Elliott Wave count from the post-COVID low:
Wave I and Wave II are well-established.
Wave III is now completed, accompanied by a peak in AO — which aligns with classical Elliott theory where AO typically peaks during the 3rd wave, showing strong momentum.
Wave IV is currently unfolding.
📉 Wave IV Characteristics (Ongoing Phase)
Wave IV is expected to be complex — commonly forming:
Triangles (contracting or expanding),
Flats,
Double/triple threes.
It is likely to consume time and generate sideways or choppy price action.
Volumes, interestingly, are peaking again, which often occurs toward the end of Wave IV due to emotional volatility and retail panic activity.
🔮 Two Probable Scenarios for Wave IV Completion:
Scenario 1 (Shallow Correction):
Target Zone: ~37,400
This zone coincides with the 0.382–0.5 Fibonacci retracement levels from Wave III.
Would reflect a simple flat or sharp zigzag structure.
Scenario 2 (Deeper Correction):
Target Zone: ~34,100
Corresponds to the lower support band with possible spike to 32,988 (FINAL FIB Support).
May occur if external macroeconomic or geopolitical triggers cause extended selling.
📈 Post Wave IV – Projection for Wave V
Once Wave IV completes:
Wave V is expected to resume the larger bullish cycle.
Price target: New all-time highs, possibly towards the upper blue resistance trendline (~46,000+).
Watch for bullish confirmation with AO flipping and price breaking above Wave IV consolidation highs. before completing 4th wave it always create complex patterns. we need to watch the patterns and it is getting completing before move to 5th wave.
🔍 AO (Awesome Oscillator) Insights
AO peak confirms Wave III completion.
Negative divergence between AO and price also supports Wave V capping out, indicating exhaustion of upward momentum.
AO is now retracing — likely bottoming during the end of Wave IV.
🔊 Volume Behavior
Volume peaked at the end of Wave III — a common occurrence.
Now rising again near Wave IV completion – this suggests:
Panic selling,
Possible final shakeout before market stabilizes for Wave V.
Monitor for volume drop-off during Wave V's beginning – a classic signature of reduced fear and return of trend stability.
🔒 Critical Support & Resistance Levels
Level Description
37,400 Scenario 1 target / shallow correction
34,100 Scenario 2 deeper correction target
32,988 Final strong support (Fib extension)
46,000+ Potential Wave V high / upper trendline
📌 Conclusion
The intermediate trend is corrective, within a larger bullish framework.
Wave IV is currently playing out and might end soon.
Watch key support zones (37,400 and 34,100) for potential reversal setups.
Once confirmed, Wave V rally could offer significant upside opportunities.
Remain cautious during this volatile consolidation and validate reversal signs before positioning.
📜 Disclaimer
⚠️ This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It is based on technical chart interpretation (Elliott Wave Theory, volume, AO) and does not constitute investment advice. Trading and investing in financial markets involves significant risk, including the risk of losing your capital. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Gold XAU/USD Technical Analysis
After completing a clear 5-wave impulsive structure to the upside, Gold (XAUUSD) is now showing signs of a potential corrective ABC pattern.
🔹 Key Observations:
Wave (5) ended at 3167.90, marking the recent high.
Price broke below the lower boundary of the rising channel.
A potential ABC correction is unfolding — we’re currently tracking the development of wave (C).
The area of wave (4) along with the ascending trendline around 3030 could act as a last line of defense for bulls.
If price holds above 3000, a bullish reversal remains possible.
However, a confirmed break below 3000 would signal deeper correction toward 2926 or even 2834.
🔍 Scenarios to Watch:
A bounce from current levels or from the 3000 zone after wave (C) completes → bullish continuation.
Failure to hold the support → deeper corrective move.
📌 Keep an eye on price action around the key trendline and psychological level of 3000. Patience and
BTC Monthly OutlookStrong support confirmed above $80–82K. Market structure points to $95K next — but don’t ignore what happens after.
Analysis:
🔹 Holding above $80–82K = major support (50% monthly FVG + yearly VAH)
🔹 Next upside magnet: $95K — likely first-touch rejection
🔹 Break and hold above $100K = bullish breakout, invalidating bear scenarios
🔹 Rejection at $95K → potential drop to $60–68K zone (monthly demand)
📌 Plan:
April/May rally toward $95K? Possible
Watch reaction at $95–100K — key zone
If we break $100K with conviction: add to longs
If rejected: prepare for downside, not panic — risk management > bias
💡 This isn’t bearish. It’s scenario planning.