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Wave Analysis

MLN-USDT Starting From the Big Frame Weekly: accumulation for 864 days Daily Frame: falling wedge patterns were detected with a trend breakout, and we can see previously when the same patterns have taken place how the price reacts, a good Volume has been dictated at the beginning of the month with high-volatility candles Multiple retests to the resistance at 18 will lead to a break eventually + the way how the price reacts at the support 14 is good, TP1- 18 TP2- 22 TP3- 32
Long
by moussadz
GOLD ANALYSIS: Sell above 2.800?Hi Traders| Gold remained above $2,780 per ounce on Thursday, holding at record levels due to increased demand for safe-haven assets amid uncertainties surrounding the US elections and geopolitical risks. Markets are also evaluating the latest US economic data, which shows a 2.8% annualized GDP growth for the third quarter, slightly below the 3% expectation. Meanwhile, personal consumption and sales rose significantly, indicating American consumers' resilience and maintaining elevated inflation risks, as highlighted by unexpectedly high core PCE price figures from the last quarter. Still, traders are poised for further monetary easing at the upcoming meeting, which benefits gold as lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-interest-bearing bullion. Investors are now awaiting PCE figures and payroll data due Thursday and Friday. 📊 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS That said our bullish setup is still in play with Target 2 (see chart below), but at the same time, above the 2,800 area an important resistance area and some Reversal Patterns on lower time frames should appear in the short term. If this happens we can try to take a short position. 🔴 ANALYSIS TARGET 1 (long/bullish) (click & play on chart below) 🔴 ANALYSIS TARGET 2 (long/bullish) (click & play on chart below) Thanks for watching.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TheAnonymousBanker
BitTorrent - Tron's AlphaBitTorrent is an old coin on the Tron's Network TRX. I think the Tron's Network run didn't end for good and shall return in multiple tokens in this chain. BTT or BTTC shall have a mega run that should pass above $0.00000250 in my opinion. But first, I think a last dip around $0.00000050 : $0.00000060 shall occur first. A soft cancellation of this idea is passing $0.00000097 without dropping first to the expected area above. Passing $0.00000220 is a final cancellation of this idea.
CRYPTO:BTTUSD
by MohamedSewid
1
XAU/USD Intraday Trading Plan: Key Price Levels and Scenarios1. Immediate Key Price Levels Primary Resistance (2,790.115): This is the near-term resistance level to watch. Price approaching this area without breaking it could signal a potential short setup. If broken with strength, this level may act as new support. Point of Control - POC (2,782.227): This level is today's pivot point due to high trading volume in this zone. Price holding above this level suggests bullish sentiment; a drop below signals potential bearish control. Secondary Support (2,773.665): This is the critical support level in case of a downtrend. If price reaches this area and holds, it may provide a buying opportunity; however, a break below indicates strong bearish momentum. 2. Scenarios for Today Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout (Continuation) Trigger: Price breaks and closes above Primary Resistance (2,790.115) with increasing volume, indicating buyers are in control. Target Price Levels: Short-Term Target: 2,795.051 (minor resistance from Fibonacci level 0.272) as the initial upside target. Extended Target: 2,803.705 (High Invalidation Point for Wave 5) – this is a major resistance level with possible volume divergence. It is crucial to monitor volume here, as lower volume at this level could suggest an imminent pullback or trend reversal. Stop-Loss: Set below 2,782.227 (POC), since a move back below this level would invalidate the bullish breakout. Invalidation Point: POC (2,782.227) – a drop below this level may indicate a false breakout. Scenario 2: Reversal at Resistance (Bearish) Trigger: Price rejects near 2,790.115 (Primary Resistance) with weak volume, indicating that sellers are stepping in. Entry Point: Initiate short positions near 2,790.115, ideally after observing bearish candlestick patterns or volume declining near this level. Target Price Levels: First Target: 2,782.227 (POC), where price might find some support. Partial profits could be taken here, as POC often serves as a consolidation zone. Secondary Target: 2,773.665 (Secondary Support) – the next significant support level below the POC. Stop-Loss: Above 2,803.705 (High Invalidation Point). If price surpasses this level, the bearish reversal scenario is invalidated. Invalidation Point: A confirmed break above 2,790.115 would indicate potential upside continuation and invalidate this short position. 3. Additional Key Terms and Concepts Volume Divergence: Monitor for volume divergence at the 1.236 (around 2,802) level, as this could indicate reduced buying interest and signal a potential reversal. Break of Structure (BOS): If the price breaks below POC (2,782.227), it signals a BOS (Break of Structure), favoring bearish momentum. This would confirm a downtrend for the rest of the day. Inducement Wave 3: Part of the current wave structure suggests an inducement, which might attract buyers at Primary Resistance only to see a potential reversal if it fails to break. Point of Control (POC): This is the area with the highest traded volume (2,782.227). If price holds above this level, it acts as a bullish pivot point, while a breakdown signals bearish sentiment. 4. Summary of Today's Plan Bullish Bias if price breaks and holds above 2,790.115, aiming for 2,803.705 as an extended target. Bearish Bias if 2,790.115 is rejected, targeting 2,782.227 (POC) initially and 2,773.665 (Secondary Support) as an extended target. Risk Management: Tight Stop-Losses: Use key levels such as 2,803.705 for shorts and 2,782.227 (POC) for longs to manage risk. Volume Monitoring: Pay close attention to volume behavior, especially near resistance and support levels, to gauge the strength of any breakout or rejection.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by spacedevil
2
Ending diagonal structureA couple weeks ago i have identified Diagonal at TOTAL chart 8d TF. Now i managed to recognize it on BTC. Diagonal structures are found at the termination points of larger patterns, indicating exhaustion of the larger movement. Ending diagonal often ends in a throw-over, ie, a brief break of the trendline connecting the end points of waves one and three. A rising ending diagonal is usually followed by a sharp decline retracing at least back to the level where it began and typically much further. A falling ending diagonal by the same token usually gives rise to an upward thrust. Fifth wave extensions, truncated fifths and ending diagonals all imply the same thing: dramatic reversal ahead.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by dogecoin_chain
Bitcoin and altcoin overview (October 31-November 01)Yesterday, as we anticipated, Bitcoin paused and went into a slight correction. Currently, selling pressure is fairly weak, but for now, we can expect continued rotations within the current volume zone and its boundaries at $73,000-$71,000, with a priority for an upward breakout and a test of the ATH. Buy zones: $70,000-$68,900 (pushing volumes) $67,500-$66,800 (maximum sideways volume) $63,100-$62,500 (mirror volume zone) $60,000-$59,000 (buyer activity) Interesting altcoins: For SXP , below the current prices, there’s a zone of pushing volumes at $0.24-$0.234. If this zone is filled and there’s a buyer reaction, we open a long position.
by Crypto_robotics
1
EURUSD : Will it continue to increase or decrease again ?EURUSD is currently in a correction phase following an extended period of decline. The pair has reached a support zone near 1.0789, sparking some potential for a rebound. From a bullish perspective, we might see EURUSD target key levels at 1.091 and possibly even reach the resistance at 1.096. However, for this upward correction to gain traction, the bulls will need stronger confirmation to truly revive an uptrend. Technical and market sentiment factors still favor the bears, with a reversal signal from the 34 EMA and a newly formed resistance level emerging from a previously broken support zone, as highlighted on the chart. These are my brief thoughts on EURUSD for now. Do you share the same view?
by Pierce_Bowers
BTC Update (still bearish)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section According to previous scenarios, this diametric is forming for Bitcoin. We expect a correction and drop to the green range (for wave F) and then Bitcoin rejects upwards from the green range (for wave G). Closing a daily candle below the invalidation level will violate this analysis For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
XAUUSD 1M1. Elliott Wave Analysis Wave 5 Completion at 1.618 Extension (2,747.14): The chart shows Wave 5 peaking at $2,747.14, corresponding to a 1.618 Fibonacci extension. This level is typically a significant reversal point, suggesting potential for a corrective move downwards. ABC Corrective Pattern Projection: After the completion of Wave 5, an A-B-C correction is projected. The expected trajectory shows a downward movement to the liquidity void zone, followed by a potential retracement up in a Wave B before a final decline in Wave C. 2. Wyckoff Distribution and Accumulation Phases Phase B (Accumulation - $1,046.23 to $1,920.80): This region marks the accumulation phase with a Sign of Weakness (SOW) in Phase B, where price forms a base before starting the upward trend. Notably, price action within this phase shows consolidation, preparing for a breakout. Phase C (Mark-Up): After the accumulation, price enters the mark-up phase, breaking past resistance and forming new highs. This phase is highlighted by significant upward momentum, taking the price into higher Wyckoff distribution phases. Distribution Pattern in Recent Highs: The recent highs around $2,747.14 align with Upthrust (UT) and Upthrust After Distribution (UTAD) signals, suggesting the end of the mark-up phase and a shift towards potential distribution. 3. Key Fibonacci Levels and Extensions 1.236 Extension (2,744.68): This level is another Fibonacci extension associated with Wave 5, acting as a point of possible reversal. Volume divergence at this level further indicates potential weakness in upward momentum. 0.618 Retracement (Inducement Wave 4): A 0.618 retracement from the previous lows serves as a key support level. If price retraces here during the corrective phase, it may offer a possible entry for continuation trades. 4. Liquidity Zones and Order Blocks Liquidity Void (3M): There’s a liquidity void in the three-month time frame, which price might revisit during the corrective move. This void represents an inefficiency where price could fill gaps created by the upward trend, making it an area of interest for re-entries. Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL): The Buy-Side Liquidity area near the recent highs includes stop losses and limit orders, making it a zone where institutional players might target liquidity. 5. Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Line - BC Distribution (1,920.80): This level acts as a strong resistance line in the accumulation phase. If price revisits this area, it may encounter selling pressure. Support Line - AR Distribution (1,525.84): The support around $1,525.84 represents the Automatic Rally (AR) point in the Wyckoff structure, marking a potential level of demand if price retraces to this level. 6. Break of Structure (BOS) BOS in Wave 3 (12M): The Break of Structure in Wave 3 on the 12-month chart indicates a potential shift in the trend’s momentum, suggesting possible trend continuation or reversal. BOS within Phase B (3M): Another BOS is marked in Phase B, highlighting a structural shift in sentiment. This often leads to an uptrend or a change in market direction as the BOS level confirms a key pivot point. 7. Dealing Ranges and Key Points of Control (POC) Dealing Range (12M-3M): This range, spanning the recent swing highs and lows, establishes boundaries within which price is expected to fluctuate. The Point of Control (POC) within this range often corresponds with areas of high volume, which could act as pivotal zones for price movement. Current Trend (Dealing Range for Wave 4): The range defined for Wave 4 provides insight into ongoing price action. Watching for breakouts or breakdowns within this range could indicate the next potential trend direction. 8. Proposed Trading Plan for Upcoming Weeks Short-Term Correction Expected: With Wave 5 likely completed, a corrective A-B-C structure appears probable. This suggests a short-term downtrend toward lower support zones. Target Zones: Downside: Potential retracements to $1,920.80 and $1,525.84 are key areas to monitor. These support levels could act as potential bounce points or re-entry zones if the price holds. Upside Resistance: If price revisits the recent highs near $2,747.14, look for bearish setups, as this level may act as strong resistance in the corrective phase. Volume and Divergence: Watch for volume divergence or signs of weakness at the 1.618 and 1.236 extensions to gauge the potential for continued reversal. This can provide additional confirmation for trend reversal setups. Summary of Key Observations Wave 5 completion at $2,747.14 suggests corrective phase ahead. Wyckoff Distribution structure signals potential downside with liquidity voids targeted. Key Support and Resistance zones at $1,920.80 and $1,525.84. Expected A-B-C Correction aligns with price filling previous gaps and testing support.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by spacedevil
XAUUSD 3M 1. Elliott Wave Structure and Key Levels Wave 5 Completion (2,747.14): The fifth wave peaks around $2,747.14, reaching a 1.618 extension, suggesting this could be a point of reversal. The formation of volume divergence at this level indicates potential weakness in bullish momentum, marking a critical level to watch for a possible trend change. Wave 1 (Current Correction Phase): The chart shows a beginning corrective move from Wave 5, indicating an A-B-C structure may follow. This corrective phase could bring prices down to fill previous gaps and approach key support levels. 2. Wyckoff Phases and Distribution Structure Phase A (Accumulation - $1,046.23 to $1,512.84): This phase includes a consolidation around the $1,046.23 low and forms the base before a significant rally. The Automatic Rally (AR) and Secondary Test (ST) suggest the end of Phase A and a potential upward shift in market sentiment. Phase B (Mark Up and Distribution at Resistance): After accumulation, prices move up in a mark-up phase, testing the Resistance Line of BC Distribution. This area includes Upthrust (UT) and Upthrust After Distribution (UTAD), which are signs of potential distribution before a downtrend. Phase C (Breakdown Expected): Phase C may involve the start of a downtrend from Wave 5, with price likely returning to lower levels for further testing. This phase includes the Sign of Weakness (SOW) and anticipates a retest of support near $1,512.84. 3. Fibonacci Levels 0.618 Retracement ($890.62): The 0.618 retracement level is marked as a strong support, below which price should not pass without invalidating the bullish wave structure. This level could act as a long-term support area during the corrective phase. 1.236 Extension ($2,369.74): The 1.236 level marks a significant potential reversal area for Wave 5. A move back to this level could signal the completion of a deeper pullback, possibly a key point of interest for traders looking for long-term entries. 4. Liquidity and Key Order Blocks Liquidity Void: The chart highlights a liquidity void in the three-month time frame (3M), representing an area where price may revisit to fill previous inefficiencies. This void may act as a magnet, attracting price downward in the corrective phase. Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) Area: The Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) near the recent highs represents a key area where stop losses and limit orders are likely concentrated. This region may experience volatility as larger players look to capitalize on retail stop losses. 5. Support and Resistance Lines Resistance Line - BC Distribution ($1,720.00): The $1,720.00 level acts as a key resistance line in the distribution phase. A break above or below this level in Phase B may confirm the direction of the trend and could signal a shift in momentum. Support Line - AR Distribution ($1,512.84): The $1,512.84 level serves as a critical support in the accumulation phase and may act as a bottom if the market revisits this area in the corrective structure. 6. Break of Structure (BOS) and Market Sentiment Shifts BOS Wave 3 (12M): The Break of Structure (BOS) in Wave 3 on the 12-month chart signals a major structural shift, often indicating the end of one trend and the beginning of another. This point may see increased volatility and shifts in market sentiment. BOS in Phase B (3M): The BOS within Phase B on the three-month time frame highlights potential points of interest for continuation or trend reversal. It indicates that a shift in sentiment may occur, influencing market participants to prepare for trend changes. 7. Dealing Ranges and Points of Control (POC) Dealing Range (12M-3M): This range, marked at recent swing high and low levels, provides a boundary for price movement, with the Point of Control (POC) likely aligning with high-volume areas. The dealing range helps in identifying areas where price could consolidate or reverse. Current Trend (Dealing Range for Wave 4): The range defined for Wave 4, including swing highs and lows, offers insight into the ongoing market structure. Observing price behavior within this range helps to gauge the momentum of the corrective wave. 8. Next Week’s Trading Plan Primary Strategy: The corrective phase is expected to continue, with a probable downward move to fill liquidity voids and test lower support areas. Key Target Levels: Downside Targets: Monitor support around $1,720.00 (Resistance Line) and $1,512.84 (Support Line). These levels could provide entry points if price tests and holds as support. Upside Targets: Watch for potential shorting opportunities if price retests resistance near the recent swing high at $2,747.14. Risk Management: Stop-loss orders should be placed above recent highs around $2,800.00 to manage risk if there’s an unexpected upward move. Volume and Price Action: Look for volume divergence or signs of weakness near resistance levels, especially around the 1.618 level ($2,747.14), as they could signal a trend reversal. Summary of Key Points Wave 5 likely completed at $2,747.14, with a corrective A-B-C structure now underway. Wyckoff Distribution phase suggests further downside as Phase C unfolds, targeting key support levels. Liquidity voids and POC levels act as magnets for price, which may revisit these areas during corrections. The Resistance Line at $1,720.00 and Support Line at $1,512.84 are essential for tracking entry and exit points in line with the current downtrend.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by spacedevil
XAUUSD 3M 1. Elliott Wave Structure and Key Levels Wave 5 Completion (2,747.14): The fifth wave peaks around $2,747.14, reaching a 1.618 extension, suggesting this could be a point of reversal. The formation of volume divergence at this level indicates potential weakness in bullish momentum, marking a critical level to watch for a possible trend change. Wave 1 (Current Correction Phase): The chart shows a beginning corrective move from Wave 5, indicating an A-B-C structure may follow. This corrective phase could bring prices down to fill previous gaps and approach key support levels. 2. Wyckoff Phases and Distribution Structure Phase A (Accumulation - $1,046.23 to $1,512.84): This phase includes a consolidation around the $1,046.23 low and forms the base before a significant rally. The Automatic Rally (AR) and Secondary Test (ST) suggest the end of Phase A and a potential upward shift in market sentiment. Phase B (Mark Up and Distribution at Resistance): After accumulation, prices move up in a mark-up phase, testing the Resistance Line of BC Distribution. This area includes Upthrust (UT) and Upthrust After Distribution (UTAD), which are signs of potential distribution before a downtrend. Phase C (Breakdown Expected): Phase C may involve the start of a downtrend from Wave 5, with price likely returning to lower levels for further testing. This phase includes the Sign of Weakness (SOW) and anticipates a retest of support near $1,512.84. 3. Fibonacci Levels 0.618 Retracement ($890.62): The 0.618 retracement level is marked as a strong support, below which price should not pass without invalidating the bullish wave structure. This level could act as a long-term support area during the corrective phase. 1.236 Extension ($2,369.74): The 1.236 level marks a significant potential reversal area for Wave 5. A move back to this level could signal the completion of a deeper pullback, possibly a key point of interest for traders looking for long-term entries. 4. Liquidity and Key Order Blocks Liquidity Void: The chart highlights a liquidity void in the three-month time frame (3M), representing an area where price may revisit to fill previous inefficiencies. This void may act as a magnet, attracting price downward in the corrective phase. Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) Area: The Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) near the recent highs represents a key area where stop losses and limit orders are likely concentrated. This region may experience volatility as larger players look to capitalize on retail stop losses. 5. Support and Resistance Lines Resistance Line - BC Distribution ($1,720.00): The $1,720.00 level acts as a key resistance line in the distribution phase. A break above or below this level in Phase B may confirm the direction of the trend and could signal a shift in momentum. Support Line - AR Distribution ($1,512.84): The $1,512.84 level serves as a critical support in the accumulation phase and may act as a bottom if the market revisits this area in the corrective structure. 6. Break of Structure (BOS) and Market Sentiment Shifts BOS Wave 3 (12M): The Break of Structure (BOS) in Wave 3 on the 12-month chart signals a major structural shift, often indicating the end of one trend and the beginning of another. This point may see increased volatility and shifts in market sentiment. BOS in Phase B (3M): The BOS within Phase B on the three-month time frame highlights potential points of interest for continuation or trend reversal. It indicates that a shift in sentiment may occur, influencing market participants to prepare for trend changes. 7. Dealing Ranges and Points of Control (POC) Dealing Range (12M-3M): This range, marked at recent swing high and low levels, provides a boundary for price movement, with the Point of Control (POC) likely aligning with high-volume areas. The dealing range helps in identifying areas where price could consolidate or reverse. Current Trend (Dealing Range for Wave 4): The range defined for Wave 4, including swing highs and lows, offers insight into the ongoing market structure. Observing price behavior within this range helps to gauge the momentum of the corrective wave. 8. Next Week’s Trading Plan Primary Strategy: The corrective phase is expected to continue, with a probable downward move to fill liquidity voids and test lower support areas. Key Target Levels: Downside Targets: Monitor support around $1,720.00 (Resistance Line) and $1,512.84 (Support Line). These levels could provide entry points if price tests and holds as support. Upside Targets: Watch for potential shorting opportunities if price retests resistance near the recent swing high at $2,747.14. Risk Management: Stop-loss orders should be placed above recent highs around $2,800.00 to manage risk if there’s an unexpected upward move. Volume and Price Action: Look for volume divergence or signs of weakness near resistance levels, especially around the 1.618 level ($2,747.14), as they could signal a trend reversal. Summary of Key Points Wave 5 likely completed at $2,747.14, with a corrective A-B-C structure now underway. Wyckoff Distribution phase suggests further downside as Phase C unfolds, targeting key support levels. Liquidity voids and POC levels act as magnets for price, which may revisit these areas during corrections. The Resistance Line at $1,720.00 and Support Line at $1,512.84 are essential for tracking entry and exit points in line with the current downtrend.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by spacedevil