AMD Wave Analysis – 28 July 2025
- AMD broke resistance zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 185.95
AMD recently broke the resistance zone between the resistance level 166.75 and the upper resistance trendline of the daily up channel from April.
The breakout of this resistance zone accelerated the active impulse waves 3 and (3).
Given the overriding daily uptrend, AMD can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 185.95 (former multi-month high from July of 2024).
Wave Analysis
ZORA — Parabolic Rally Nearing ExhaustionZORA has been on an explosive run, pumping +1239% in just 20 days. But after such a vertical move, the question is:
Is this rally nearing exhaustion?
Let’s dive into the technicals 👇
🧩 Elliott Wave Structure
Looking at price action through the lens of Elliott Wave Theory, ZORA appears to be completing its 5th wave:
➡️ Wave 3–4 zone: Held around the $0.05 trading range
➡️ Wave 5: Now pushing into the $0.097–$0.103 zone
This area aligns with:
The 1.618–2.0 Fib extension pocket — a typical exhaustion zone for wave 5s
The $0.10 psychological level
🔴 Short Trade Setup
This zone between $0.097–$0.103 is the ideal reversal area to consider shorting, with clearly defined targets and confluence:
Entry: $0.097 – $0.103
Stop-Loss: Above the 2.0 Fib Extension
TP1: Around $0.08
TP2: Around $0.064
Confluence: TP1
Daily Open (dOpen)
0.786 Fib of the local move
0.382 Fib of the 5-wave structure
TP2 (Lower Target):
0.618 Fib retracement of the 5-wave move at $0.064
Risk-to-Reward:
TP1 gives an R:R of 1:8
TP2 offers potential 1:13+
Watch for signs of weakness.
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NZDCHF – Bullish Breakout Sets Stage for ReversalNZDCHF has broken decisively out of a long-term descending channel, signaling a potential trend reversal. Price action confirmed multiple bullish flags within the falling structure, followed by a clean breakout and higher low retest, supporting a bullish continuation bias.
Currently, the pair is stabilizing just above prior resistance turned support around 0.4760–0.4780, forming a potential launchpad for the next leg higher.
Upside Targets:
TP1: 0.48336
TP2: 0.48844
TP3: 0.49319
Invalidation Zone:
A drop below 0.4720 would invalidate the breakout structure and expose the downside.
Fundamental Drivers:
🇳🇿 NZD Strength: RBNZ remains relatively hawkish compared to other central banks, and the Kiwi may gain from improving risk sentiment and easing global recession fears.
🇨🇭 CHF Weakness: Swiss Franc is under mild pressure as safe-haven flows weaken amid improving tone on US-China-EU trade headlines and fading ECB rate cut bets.
🗓️ Macro Flow: Upcoming risk events (Fed comments, trade updates, and NZ economic prints) could inject momentum into the pair, especially if risk appetite improves.
Bias: ✅ Bullish (Buy)
Confidence: ★★★★☆
Watch for: Clean hold above 0.4770 zone + bullish momentum continuation.
EURUSD at Make-or-Break Zone: Time to Short?EURUSD – Key Data Out Today, Short Setup Confirmed?
Today, several important economic indexes were released for both the Euro(EUR) and the Dollar(USD) . Let’s break them down in a simple way:
Eurozone PMI Data: Mixed to Weak
France:
Manufacturing PMI: 48.4 (slightly lower than forecast)
Services PMI : 49.7 (flat, but below 50 = contraction)
Germany:
Manufacturing PMI: 49.2 (weaker than expected)
Services PMI : 50.1(slightly expansionary)
Eurozone Overall:
Manufacturing PMI: 49.8 (still below 50)
Services PMI : 51.2 (slightly stronger than forecast)
ECB left the Main Refinancing Rate unchanged at 2.15% , which was widely expected.
U.S. Data( TVC:DXY ): Strong and Surprising
Unemployment Claims: 217K (better than expected 227K)
Manufacturing PMI: 49.5 (below forecast of 52.7 – a negative surprise)
Services PMI: 55.2 (well above forecast and previous – bullish for USD)
Interpretation :
The Eurozone's growth remains sluggish, especially in France and Germany.
Despite a drop in U.S. manufacturing, the services sector remains strong, and unemployment data confirms labor market resilience.
This mixed picture slightly tilts the balance in favor of the U.S. dollar, especially as the ECB remains on hold while the Fed may still consider being restrictive.
Bias: Short EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD )
Fundamentals support a Short position in EURUSD, in line with the current technical setup.
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Now let's take a look at the EURUSD chart on the 4-hour time frame to find the best Short position .
EURUSD is currently trading in an Ascending Channel and at a Heavy Resistance zone($1.1845-$1.1602) .
Also, in terms of Elliott wave theory , it seems that EURUSD is completing a microwave 5 of the main wave 5 .
One of the most important supports ahead for EURUSD could be the 100_SMA(4-hour TF) .
If the currently 4-hour candlestick forms a Shooting Star Candlestick Pattern , it is a better sign for EURUSD to fall .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
I expect EURUSD to decline to at least $1.169 AFTER breaking the lower line of the ascending channel .
Second Target: Support zone($1.1642-$1.158) and Monthly Pivot Point.
Note: Stop Loss(SL)= $1.1850
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 4-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
End of the Wave-(e) Natural Gas
In the previous analysis I said that:
Currently, wave-(e) is forming and I do not expect a strong upward movement until August 12-September 12 and this wave can take time until the time range I specified for it.
In the picture you can see that the price has started to decline again exactly from where we specified and has fallen by 27% so far. The price is not necessarily going to fall to 2.66 but time must pass and the price must enter the specified time range.
Good luck
NEoWave Chart
From Hype to Hesitation: What’s Next for Pump Fun ($PUMP)?Today, I want to break down the recent developments and fundamentals of Pump fun ( BYBIT:PUMPUSDT ) and its token PUMP — a project that initially launched with strong hype but is now facing serious investor concerns .
What is Pump fun?
Pump fun is a memecoin launchpad that allows users to launch and trade memecoins in a gamified, simplified environment. The idea was to create a frictionless way for anyone to generate and speculate on meme tokens, leveraging viral growth and community culture.
Its native token, PUMP , was introduced via an ICO priced at $0.004, with 12.5% of the total 1 trillion supply offered during the sale.
Latest Updates – Past 24 Hours Recap
PUMP Crashes Over 50% After ICO :
The token initially spiked to $0.0068 on launch day (July 16) , but has now dropped over 50%.
This is roughly 14% below its ICO price , creating concerns for short-term investors.
Founder Confirms No Airdrop Anytime Soon:
In a livestream with ThreadGuy , project founder Alon Cohen confirmed:
“ The airdrop is not going to be taking place in the immediate future. ”
While the team still plans to deliver an airdrop, Alon emphasized it must be well-executed and meaningful, not rushed for hype.
The current focus is on long-term growth and ecosystem sustainability, not short-term incentives.
Mixed Investor Sentiment:
High-profile trader Machi Big Brother ( Jeffrey Huang ) reportedly increased his long position in PUMP — even though he’s down over $5.8M on his position.
Meanwhile, two wallets linked to private sale investors dumped over 1.2B PUMP at $0.003 , taking a combined loss of $1.19M.
Declining Volume and Market Cap:
Trading volume has dropped significantly.
PUMP has lost over 40% of its value in the past 7 days.
Short-term holders appear uncertain, while the project team asks for patience and long-term vision.
Fundamental Outlook:
Pump fun’s future now heavily depends on:
The real utility of the platform as a meme coin incubator.
The team’s ability to regain trust after delaying the airdrop.
Whether new features or hype can revive volume and user engagement.
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Now, let's examine the PUMP token from a technical analysis perspective
From the outset, I must say that due to the small number of candlesticks that create the PUMP token, technical analysis may be a bit difficult , but we will use technical analysis tools to analyze this token.
The PUMP token seems to be moving in a descending channel since the beginning of its correction (over -50%) until now, we need a second price bottom to confirm the descending channel.
I expect the PUMP token to rise from the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and near the Support lines to $0.0029(+15%) . PUMP Token increase can also be from the bottom of the ascending channel .
Second target: the upper line of the ascending channel.
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $0.002810-$0.002530
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $0.003498-$0.00327
Note: Stop Loss(SL): $0.002391
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Pump fun Analyze (PUMPUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
EURUSD NEW IDEASee the chart above, were on decling its momentum, I believe more trap longs this move.
SEE it in 2 days how things works. targets see charts.
I don't really explain to gain more tractions on how trading works.
I am here to understand the movement. Don't complicate too much, If you're a swing trader, take it a leap and have patience. stick to your own proper stoploss.
Trade it or leave it.
Goodluck folks.
GBPUSD and The Elliott Wave TheoryThis is the continuation of a larger wave that had started earlier. Our Wave 2(Green) was a Zigzag and our Wave 4(Green), a Flat completed when Wave C(Blue) finished. When Wave 4(Green) completed, we see a 5 Wave move begin, thus Wave 5(Green). This 5 wave move is shown in Black. Wave 2(Black) was a Zigzag meaning a Flat should be expected for Wave 4(Black) - more on this later in this article. Wave 3(Black) expressed itself in a 5 wave move, shown in Red. Wave 2(Red) was a Zigzag meaning Wave 4(Red) should be a Flat. We see exactly that when Wave 3(Red) completes -- a Flat for Wave 4(Red). After Wave 4(Red), a Wave 5(Red) forms to complete the 5 wave move for Wave 3(Black) and is marked as so. Wave 2(Black) was a Zigzag and as mentioned earlier, hence Wave 4(Black) should be a Flat. Indeed, a Wave A(Green) forms for the first leg of the Flat, then a B(Green). Currently, we are on Wave C(Green) and upon completion, this would be our Wave 4(Black). After Wave B(Green) completes we see a Wave 1(Orange) form with a 2 or A forming. This has two readings for now because it could be a Zigzag or the first leg of a Flat. Stay tuned for updates.
Block: Key Resistance HitBlock has made a strong upward move, reaching resistance at $80.31. Thanks to this positive momentum in our primary scenario, we fully focus on further gains as part of turquoise wave 3, which is expected to push the price decisively above the next resistance at $99.96. The subsequent pullback in wave 4 should also occur above this level, before wave 5 ultimately completes magenta wave (1) – marking the first major leg up in the ongoing bullish impulse.
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do (for more: look to the right).
Bitcoin & Altcoins: Technical Analysis and Market OutlookBitcoin (BTC) Analysis
Bitcoin is currently forming a short-term bullish pennant within a larger long-term pattern, projecting a potential target around $135K.
Key Levels: BTC is consolidating between the lower zone at $117.3K and the upper zone at $119.7K.
Breakout Potential: A break above this pattern could propel BTC toward a new all-time high (ATH), surpassing the current ATH at $123K.
Macro Events This Week:
Wednesday: The Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision, with no changes expected.
Wednesday: ADP Employment Report, providing insights into potential future rate cuts.
Friday: Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data release, which could further influence market sentiment.
Ethereum (ETH) Breakout
Ethereum has decisively broken through its 4-year historical resistance around $3,725, closing the week above this level. This breakout signals a strong bullish outlook for ETH, with potential for further upside.
Altcoin Highlights
BNB: Has shattered its previous all-time highs, showcasing significant bullish momentum.
XRP: Reached approximately $3.64, reflecting strong gains and market interest.
Market Context
The crypto market is showing robust activity, with altcoins following Bitcoin and Ethereum's lead. Key macroeconomic events this week could introduce volatility, so traders should stay vigilant.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Every trader is responsible for their own strategy and risk management.
Happy trading and good profits! 🚀
MSFT SUPER CYCLE WAVE 3 TOP MSFT The bell weather .Is now ending what looks to be the 5th wave for super cycle wave 3 top here from 518 to 525 from the 2009 low wave 2 . I am buying late 2027 525 puts Now the downside over the next 18 months is down near the previous wave 4 low 341 area I expect we will that at a min with odds as low as 222 . best of trades Wavetimer
One last Correction till breakoutWith the most recent SFP printed on the higher timeframe and BTC still failing to break a significant high, all signs point toward one final dip – a move to shake weak hands and reload for the breakout that’s been brewing in silence.
⚡ If the orange level holds, consider it a highly bullish signal – supercycle potential unlocked?
Naturally, the Wizard plays both sides of the board:
📉 Short ideas would activate around the blue Order Block / green correction level.
📈 But should we bounce strong from orange… well, let’s just say you’ll want a seat for what comes next.
🟥 Bullish invalidation rests at the red line.
Let’s see how the game unfolds.
I think it's today.I admit that today's Nifty surpassed below yesterday's 24800 level, and my rash assumption that this level would act as a strong reversal support was wrong. But my overall opinion hasn't changed: there's a good chance the market will correct this whole wave 1 decline if the GIFT Nifty support level of 25620 isn't broken by tomorrow.
The technical analysis for Natural Gas (NG) 📉 Current Market Structure & Interpretation
🟢 Elliott Wave Count (Bearish Impulse in Progress)
The chart suggests a 1-2-3-4-5 impulsive wave is unfolding on the downside.
Currently, NG appears to have completed Wave 2 (retracement) and Wave 3 is in progress, heading toward a major breakdown.
The structure projects Wave 3 → Wave 4 pullback → Wave 5 final leg.
🔍 Fibonacci & Key Levels (Bearish Projections)
Wave 3 Target Zone:
-1.0 Fib Extension (~3.00) marked as "double"
Strong support break zone; high probability breakdown confirmation
Wave 5 Completion Target:
-2.0 Fib Extension (~2.807) highlighted as major support
Also aligns with a long-term base/accumulation zone
Extreme Bearish Target:
-4.23 Fib (~2.687) – only in case of panic sell-off (marked “Quintuple”)
📊 Volume & MACD Histogram (Lower Panel)
Strong bearish momentum in MACD histogram: red bars extending and deepening.
Bearish volume expansion visible during Wave 1 and Wave 3 fall, validating impulsive nature.
No sign of volume divergence yet – supports continuation.
🔄 Retracement & Pullback Zones
Wave 4 likely to pull back between:
0.25–0.382 retracement of Wave 3
Could test the area around 3.04–3.08, before turning back down
⚠️ Invalidation & Risk Level
If price breaks above 3.13–3.16 (0.618 level of the total fall), wave count may get invalidated.
Otherwise, structure remains bearish.
🎯 Short-Term Trade Plan (Bias: Bearish)
Aspect Details
Entry Zone Any pullback near 3.04–3.08 (Wave 4 zone)
Target 1 3.00 (Wave 3 completion)
Target 2 2.807 (Wave 5 final target)
SL/Invalidation Above 3.13–3.16
Trade Type Short / Put Option / Futures Sell
Bias Intraday to Short-Term Positional
✅ Conclusion
The chart shows a well-structured Elliott bearish impulse, currently in progress with strong downside momentum. Expect further continuation toward 2.80 zone, barring any invalidation above 3.13. The Fibonacci confluence and momentum support this outlook.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial or investment advice. Trading in commodities, options, and futures involves substantial risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any trading decisions. The author or publisher is not responsible for any losses incurred from trading decisions based on this analysis.
Gold Recovery Setup = Divergence + Support ClusterGold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) fell to the lower line of the ascending channel and the Support zone($3,350-$3,326) , as I expected in my previous idea .
Gold is currently near a set of Supports .
Supports:
Support zone: $3,350-$3,326
Monthly Pivot Point: $3,333
Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ): $3,339-$3,329
Lower line of the ascending Channel
50_EMA(Daily)
Support lines
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Gold appears to be completing a bearish wave 5 .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD+) between Consecutive Valleys .
I expect Gold to rise to at least $3,359 .
Second target: $3,367
Note: Stop Loss (SL) = $3,319
Do you think Gold can break the Support cluster by the end of trading hours?
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Euro Drops Hard — Is a 100-Pips Slide Toward 1.1500 Next?Euro’s current situation doesn’t look great — we’re clearly seeing strong selling pressure across the board.
Price has now reached the block zones near 1.1600, and I want to break down what this area means to me.
The lower pivot of the 1.1600 zone was created after the 50% level of the previous bullish leg was consumed — which is typical in many bullish trends. Based on that, we expected a move toward 1.1800 to break the structure and continue the uptrend.
However, the recent bullish move lacked strength, which became quite clear during the last upward leg. And now, after that weak rally, we’re witnessing a sharp and aggressive selloff.
This reaction weakens the 1.1600 block in my eyes — and I’m now watching 1.1500 as the more probable target. It’s a major price level and also aligns with a bank-level midline zone.
In my view, it’s still too early to buy. I’d want to see price range and confirm before looking for longs.
That said, this area could be a good place to partially exit short positions and lock in some profits.
🔁 This analysis will be updated whenever necessary.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Just my personal opinion!!!