Hellena | Oil (4H): LONG to area of 82.000 (Wave "5"). Colleagues, all trading instruments are behaving extremely unpredictably right now due to the situation with Trump's inauguration among other things.
I see this as an opportunity to redraw the waves.
Apparently now the price is developing wave “4” and will finish it soon. I expect the price to reach the area of 82.000, renewing the high of wave “3”.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Waves
Bitcoin Dominance: Elliott Wave and Harmonics Combo (Part 2)MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN Dominance ( #BTC.D / CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D ) indeed started the rise I predicted back in late '22. CRYPTOCAP:BTC rose to the limits, exceeding the 100K Mark.
In #ElliottWave, this is Cycle Wave C (turquoise).
Primary Wave ① (white) completed, with the Corrective Primary Wave ②now in play.
The Correction will pave the way for Alt Season to commence, so the focus will shift to Alt Coins.
#Harmonics are showing #Cypher Patterns, a combo actually, on different degrees.
Bitcoin Dominance ( BTC.D ) Technical Analysis:
* Elliott Wave Impulse: Cycle C (turquoise)
* Harmonic Patterns: Bullish Cyphers
* 88.6% Fibonacci Retracement
* Break-Out with Divergence
* Leading Diagonal in Primary Wave ① (white)
Conclusion:
After a last rise, expecting MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN to top-out and start a Larger Correction.
Alt Season to start and deliver, based on #BTC losing ground.
After this, CRYPTOCAP:BTC to continue ruling, as the one and only #Cryptocurrency.
SMLT 1D Aggressive Investment CounterTrend TradeAggressive CounterTrend Trade
- short impulse
+ biggest volume T1
+ support level
+ biggest volume 2Sp+
+ weak test
+ first bullish bar closed entry
Calculated affordable stop limit
1 to 2 R/R take profit
CounterTrend 1M
"+ short impulse
+ biggest volume TE / T1 level
+ support level
+ biggest manipulation?"
Trend 12M
"+ SOS test level
- far below 1/2 correction
+ support level
+ biggest volume manipulation?"
They say company is going to bankruptcy, but why would it concern technical analysis?!
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): Short to the 1.00784 support area.Colleagues, I think the downward movement is over. Wave “3” is just developing and it may be shorter or longer than we think, but we can be sure of one thing - the end of the five-wave movement will be lower than the minimum of 1.01753.
I believe that a correction to the 1.03442 area is possible, then I expect a continuation of the decline to the 1.00784 support area.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
FLOT 1D Long Investment Trend TradeTrend Trade
+ long impulse
+ T2 level
+ support level
+ 1/2 correction
+ biggest volume 2Sp+?
Calculated affordable stop limit
1 to 2 R/R take profit
Monthly countertrend
"- short impulse
+ volumed T1
+ 2Sp+
+ bigger volume on test"
Yearly context
"+ long impulse
- correction"
XLV Swing Long 1H Conservative CounterTrend TradeConservative CounterTrend Trade
+ long impulse
+ 1/2 correction
+ T2 level
+ biggest volume Sp
- resistance level
Calculated affordable stop limit
1 to2 R/R take profit before 1/2 of the Day
Daily Context
"- short impulse
- unvolumed T1
+ support level
+ volumed Sp"
Monthly Context
"+ long impulse
- SOS level broken
- far below 1/2 correction"
Yearly Context
"+ long impulse
- resistance level"
Hellena | GOLD (4H): SHORT to the support area (2540).Colleagues, the previous forecast has gone stale and I decided to take a fresh look.
Waves are redrawn, but the target remains the same - the support area 2540.100. This is the minimum of wave “W” of the senior order.
In addition, before starting the upward movement the bulls need to gain strength. This means that the combined correction is still in progress.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
GBPUSD BULLISH SHARKThe Harmonic Pattern SHOULD NOT be used in isolation.
Combine it with 2 or 3 other confirmations to have an extra edge.
(Moving average cross, Bollinger bands, RSI, stoch ... Basically any other indicator/system you're very familiar with).
- Use Proper Risk Management on each trade.
- DO NOT expose more than 3% of your capital on each trade.
NLMK 1H Long Swing Trend TradeTrend Trade
+ short impulse
+ support level
+ biggest volume T1?
- 1 bar reversal?
+ volumed 2Sp
+ weak test to 1/2
+ first bullish bar closed entry
Calculated affordable virtual stop
1 to 2 R/R expandable to 1D if closed Sp take profit
Daily Trend
" + long impulse
+ 1/2 correction
+ JOC level
+ support level
+ volumed manipulation"
Monthly Trend
"+ long impulse
+ T2 level
+ support level
+ volumed manipulation"
HUBB 1H Long Swing Aggressive Trend TradeAggressive Trend Trade
- short impulse
+ biggest volume TE / T1 level
+ support level
+ boggest volume Sp
Calculated affordable stop limit
1 to 2 R/R take profit
Daily Trend
"+ long impulse
+ T2 level
+ 1/2 correction
+ support level"
Monthly Trend
"+ long impulse
+ T2 level
+ 1/2 correction
+ support level"
Yearly Trend
"+ long impulse
+ neutral zone"
GOLD TREND FOR 2025Dear all my trader friends.
As I wish disciplined life for you then you can figure out how I care about you.
HAPPY NEW YEAR
.
.
We are still in a down trend till a shot under 2600.00 Dollar.
Thats a psychological trick to make fear in market.
.
.
So many other news are here that seems nothing is normal like Donald Trump wants to replace BTC with Gold.
Its even crazy to talk about and seems to be a over 5 years plan.
So i dont care about it I want trade this Lovly XAU daily.
Hellena | Oil (4H): Short to support area at 66.867.Colleagues, oil has been in a sideways movement for the last month and is not living up to our expectations, but I still believe that the price will start a downward movement to the support area at 66.867.
Now the price is in a complicated wave movement, which I named (A, B, C). In fact, the movement is more complicated, but I will not describe the rules of the Leading diagonal now.
So I expect that the price will reach the area of 72, complete wave 2 and start a downward movement.
But there is a variant when the price will start the movement at once.
Therefore, I do not recommend long positions.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
$BA eyes in the sky.. Off lows in November 13th to 15th, NYSE:BA Boeing has soared 33% ($44) in 30 or so trading days. Off recent news this weekend, 12/28-12/29, three planes crashed which two were Boeing made and all had deaths from said crashes. Seeming how this stock has risen intensely and quickly I think this could be a good spot to short it within 30 days or so expiration. It may be down in premarket tomorrow, 12/30, I'm hoping I can get a piece of the action. Short term puts here and a possible long for 2025. Bullish momentum for the last 3-4 weeks, RSI is over 65, it happened to drop from $200 zone into its lows in November. My price targets are $175 and $170.
WSL
PIKK 1H Swing Long Conservative Trend TradeConservative Trend Trade
+ long impulse
+ 1/2 correction
+ T2 level ? (new spread)
+ support level
+ biggest volume Sp
+ weak test
Calculated affordable stop limit
1 to 2 R/R take profit
Daily context
"+ long impulse
+ 1/2 correction
- SOS level above JOC
+ support level
+ volumed Sp
+ weak test"
Monthly context
"- short impulse
+ volumed T1
+ support level
+ biggest volume 2Sp+ in 4d"
Yearly context
"- no trend
- context direction short"
ALRS 1D Long Investment Aggressive CounterTrend TradeAggressive CounterTrend Trade
- short impulse
+ volumed T1
+ support level
+ biggest volume Sp
+ weak test
+ first bullish bar close entry
Calculated affordable stop limit
Take profit
1/3 - 1 to 2 R/R
1/3 - 1D T2 / 1M T2
1/3 - 1/2 of 1Y
Calculated affordable stop limit
Take profit
1/3 - 1 to 2 R/R
1/3 - 1D T2 / 1M T2
1/3 - 1/2 of 1Y
Monthly CounterTrend
"- short impulse
+ volumed TE / T1
+ support level
+ volumed Sp
+ test"
Yearly Trend
"+ long impulse
+ 1/2 correction
+ T2 level
+ support level
+ manipulation"
SMLT 1H Swing Long Aggressive CounterTrend TradeAggressive CounterTrend Trade
- short impulse
- unvolumed T1
+ support level
+ volumed 2Sp+
+ weak test
+ biggest volume first buying bar close entry
Calculated affordable stop limit
1 to 2 R/R take profit
Daily CounterTrend
"- short impulse
+ volumed T1
+ support level
+ volumed manipulation"
Monthly Trend
"+ long impulse
+ T2 level
+ support level
+ biggest volume manipulation"
Yearly trend
"+ T1 level
+ support level
+ biggest volume manipulation?"
ANF rocket fuel primed: Price Discovery ActivatedGreetings Everyone,
I couldn’t delay sharing this exciting analysis on Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF), as it’s showing a significant technical setup that demands immediate attention.
Supplementary Photos:
www.dropbox.com
🌀 ANF’s Fourth Wave Triangle: What’s Unfolding?
Abercrombie & Fitch is currently forming a classic 4th wave triangle as part of a larger Elliott Wave structure. Based on my analysis, it appears this consolidation phase has just completed, setting the stage for a potential breakout into the 5th wave. Here’s why this matters:
📈 Key Insights into ANF’s Wave Structure
Fourth Wave Triangles in Elliott Wave Theory
Fourth waves often manifest as contracting triangles—periods of lower volatility and sideways price action.
These patterns serve as a pause in the trend before the final impulsive wave (Wave 5).
ANF’s price action fits this structure perfectly, with decreasing volume during consolidation, a hallmark of Elliott Wave triangles.
What’s Next? : If the triangle breakout is confirmed, I anticipate a strong 5th wave rally.
Support and Resistance Zones
The lower boundary of the triangle is providing robust support, while the breakout level near the upper resistance aligns with key Fibonacci retracement levels.
Monitor for volume spikes as price approaches the breakout zone—this will validate the bullish move.
Volume Dynamics
Similar to what we’ve seen in past examples (like Chainlink’s accumulation breakout), volume during the breakout phase is crucial. ANF recently showed strong buying pressure near the triangle’s apex, indicating potential momentum.
📊 Strategy and Risk Management
To maximize this opportunity, here are the key levels and strategies to consider:
• Entry Point: A confirmed breakout above the triangle’s resistance with sustained volume.
Stop-Loss: Place stops just below the triangle’s lower boundary to limit downside risk.
Target: Based on Elliott Wave projections, the 5th wave could aim for 1.618 extension of Waves 1–3. Keep this level in focus as a profit-taking zone.
Invalidation: A breakdown below the triangle would signal that the 4th wave correction is incomplete or that the larger wave structure is failing.
Why This Setup is Important
Abercrombie’s breakout would align with:
• Broader market recovery trends.
• Improved earnings performance (as seen in its Q3 highlights).
• Continued strength in consumer spending and brand expansion efforts.
Closing Thoughts
This is a pivotal moment for ANF. With the completion of the 4th wave triangle
Hellena | SPX500 (4H): Short to support area 5846.5.Colleagues, I assume that price is completing a five-wave upward movement. I believe that the price may reach the resistance area of 6181.6 then I will consider only downward movement in correction to the area of 5846.5.
It is possible that the price will immediately start moving towards this area, but this is a more risky plan.
Still, I would like to see the completion of all waves “5” in one place!
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
LLY 1H Swing Long Aggressive Trend TradeAggressive Trend Trade
- short impulse
+ volumed TE / T1
+ support level
+ biggest volume Sp
+ weak test
+ first bullish bar close entry
Calculated affordable stop limit
1 to 2 R/R take profit
Daily Context
"+ long impulse
+ 1/2 correction
- expanding T2
+ support level
+ volumed manipulation"
Monthly Context
"+ long impulse
+ 1/2 correction
+ T2 level
+ support level
- biggest volume manipulation"
Yearly Context
"+ long impulse
- neutral zone"
AFKS Swing 1H Long Conservative CounterTrend TradeConservative CounterTrend Trade
+ long balance
+ 1/2 correction
+ volumed ICE level
+ support level
+ biggest volume 2Sp-
+ weak test
- above first bullish bar close entry
Calculated affordable stop limit
1 to 2 R/R take profit
Daily Context
"- short impulse
+ volumed TE / T1 level
+ volumed manipulation
+ support level"
Monthly Context
"- short impulse
+ biggest volume T1 level
- below 1/2 correction
+ support level
- one bar reversal?!"
Yearly Context
"- short impulse
- neutral zone"
waves waves usdt daily analyses
time frame daily
risk rewards ratio >1.5
waves price raised good but it heated to a weak resistance (red box on the range 2.5 $ ) and it fell down corrected 20% and started to pump again . my first target is shown in the chart 3.24 $. we see in the chart strong resistance ( red box on the range 3-3.5$) and I think here will be good for my first target
(1D) MICROSOFT ANALYSIS (MSFT)Inspired by today's failed Bitcoin shareholders' vote, I've put up my prognosis for Microsoft MSFT for the next few months. MSFT is down almost 1.5% on the day, rejecting at the 78.8% retracement of the down move from the ATH.
There are a couple possible scenarios going forward. Bullish case is that MSFT started a Bull Flag Correction (waves labeled in blue) with the pivot from the ATH in July. If so, we are completing Wave B of this flag (internal waves labelled in purple) , which may have completed already with this 78.6% rejection. However, we could still see it complete a 100% retracement instead and terminate as a Double Top, retesting and getting rejected at the ATH. This would signal the start of Wave C. We could expect this final wave to have a similar size to Wave A, giving us a short-term 17% Short play from the ATH before ultimately continuing the larger upside trend.
Bearish case would be that Wave B described above (labelled in purple) is instead actually a Bear Flag for downside. This would have to be confirmed with a break below the $385 Support Range.
**This analysis would be invalidated if we do indeed get a breakout above the current ATH, factoring in for some % overshoot (aka fake breakout).