Waves
Double Top: Target reached.Hello Trades,
Am sorry for not sharing this idea earlier before the breakout, but I was waiting for anyone to share it but I found no one shared it !
You still can count it as an educational idea.
-
if you zoom out on your 1h Chart, You will see a double top pattern formed and already broken, thats why waves got about 20% down in the past few days.
-
Educational:
The double top is one of the most popular patterns in trading. It's a reliable reversal pattern that can be used to enter a bearish position after a bullish trend. It consists of 2 tops at nearly the same level with a valley in between, which creates the neckline. The second top does not break the level of the first top, so the price retested this level and tried to make a higher high, but failed. Price breaking the neckline and closing below it would complete the pattern.
Conservative traders look for additional confirmation and aggressive traders may enter a bearish position from the second top. The target can be estimated by measuring the height of the pattern and projecting this downwards from the neckline. Common stop levels are just above the neckline, halfway between the neckline and the tops or above the tops. The double bottom is the bullish version of this pattern that can form after a downtrend.
-
Thumb up for updates
Follow for calls on different coins
-Remember: am not a financial advisor, whatever I publish you have to do what you see on your chart and what you agree with.
[UPDATE] Wyckoff on WAVESHello Traders,
This is a quick update on waves for the targets !
I hope you made some profits from this idea <3
Thumb up for more on WAVES
Follow for more on ALTCOINs.
Have a nice day !!
-
Educational :
The distribution schematic has similar phases to the accumulation schematic, but with many of the same events along the way happening in the opposite direction.
Phase A - Arriving with the Markup Phase of the cycle is the Preliminary Supply (PSY), which demonstrates the first opportunity to sell for strong profit is nearing. The Buying Climax ( BC ) where the Composite Operator and bears first sell-off, creating a new resistance line. Price drops until a new Automatic Reaction (AR) occurs, bouncing the price up again to a Secondary Test (ST).
Phase B - Similar to Phase B of the Accumulation Schematic, in that, this is now where the Composite Operator will sell off its investments and realize profits from the previous schematic phases. Again, bear traps and bull traps may occur between the trading range. An Upthrust (UT) may also occur, briefly surpassing the BC , and setting a new resistance line.
Phase C - Just as with the Accumulation Schematic, this phase may or may not occur. An Upthrust After Distribution (UTAD) could find the market a new high. Whether or not this happens, Phase D eventually takes place.
Phase D - This is the last point for investors to sell at higher prices before the price begins to capitulate. Usually, a Last Point of Supply (LPSY) is found within the trading range, then a buy/sell reaction occurs, and another LPSY is located at or below the support line, triggering Phase E.
Phase E - The downward capitulation begins with a clear drop under the trading range as investors sell off, diminishing demands and tanking the price.
------
Wave 5 of 5 Gold?If this wave count remains valid expect nothing less than a vertical blow off top type move. In commodities wave 5 can be the strongest wave. The higher could be interrupted by wild corrections to the downside. Keep in mind this is a long term chart so the move isn’t necessarily imminent.
Not investing advice and do your own due diligence.
US100 Trading Idea Hello, traders
In today's session I am watching the US100 for a short Term sell opportunity if I get confirmation that the trade is executed
The OCEAN is Bumpy 🌊 Analysis #14/50Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
on DAILY: Left Chart
OCEAN is overall bearish , however we are approaching a strong demand zone and previous major high. So we will be looking for buy setups on lower timeframes.
on H4: Right Chart
OCEAN is bearish from a short-term perspective trading inside the falling red channel.
🏹 Trigger => for the bulls to take over, we need a new high to form and then a break above the upper red trendline and red zone.
Meanwhile, until the buy is activated, OCEAN can still trade lower till the 0.25 demand zone .
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
BITCOIN TO $31K WHO'S WITH ME?first analysis for the year on bitcoin, in this analysis, we noticed price broke-out from a long time continuation correction. i see some nice setups on bitcoin for confirming a bullish momentum for bitcoin.
i see bitcoin to $31k soon
WHAT ARE WE EXPECTING:
a bullish rally (impulse)
HOW DO WE ENTER:
a break of trendline followed by a correction (bullish rejection candle formation)
TRADE INVALIDATION:
when bearish continuation pattern forms
TRADE CRITERIA:
3:1
double bottom
candle formation
THANKS FOR READING
AS ALWAYS TRADE SAFE AND STAY SAFE!!
NZDUSD CHART UPDATEHey everyone,
In our previous analysis price failed to give us the sharp impulse and retest/correction we were expecting after the break but instead price took the break out and rejected back into the patterns. Now we are approving the 3rd touch confirmation of the structure where we need to see patterns only or rejection candle formation.
WHAT ARE WE EXPECTING:
pattern formation(reversal patterns) or candlestick reversal formation.
TRADE BIAS:
BULLISH
HOW DO WE ENTER:
when pattern forms a sharp impulse followed by a retest/correction
SETUP INVALIDATION:
bearish pattern formation
TRADE CRITERIA:
#3 touch confirmation
#3:1
#double bottom and reversal pattern
thanks for reading
AS ALWAYS TRADE SAFE AND STAY SAFE!!
Weekly Analysis BTC via IchimokuGood start to the week,
Let us analyze at a glance the daily chart of BINANCE:BTCUSDT with Ichimoku Kinko Hyo. We use the traditional settings. There are other indicators in the analysis. We have developed and released them Open Source.
Trend:
Kumo has been green for 65 days and is about 2.5% wide. It has risen since the last analysis but has shrunk a lot. The situation is getting more and more uncertain: price has entered the Kumo and in the short term there is a sideways/ bearish momentum while in the long term there is still an uptrend.
The Kijun Trend indicator now indicates looking for short positions.
Heikin-Ashi:
The Heikin-Ashi confirms the bearish movement of the past week.
Supports and resistances:
- 29800.00 Chikou cusps and Kijun and Tenkan flat zones.
- 25000.00 Fibonacci
- 24800.00 Chikou cusps and flat zones of Kijun and Tenkan
- 24400.00 Chikou cusps and flat zones of Kijun and Tenkan
- 24200.00 Chikou cusps and flat areas of Kijun and Tenkan
- 23300.00 Chikou cusps and flat areas of Kijun and Tenkan
- 21200.00 Chikou cusps and flat areas of Kijun and Tenkan
- 20200.00 Chikou cusps and flat zones of Kijun and Tenkan
- 19100.00 Fibonacci
For static price levels, the lower right chart plots the Tenkan, Kijun, Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B flat zones on different timeframes, and the Chikou for the daily time frame.
For dynamic price levels, the Ichimoku lines can be observed: the Tenkan Sen (short term), the Kijun Sen (medium term) as well as the Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B (long term).
Conclusions:
The situation is bullish/lateral.
Hosoda waves calculated on a bearish ABC pattern, shows the following price levels on the waves: 22750 (NT), 21472 (N), 21444 (V), 20194 (E).
From a fundamental point of view, it is interesting to note that-despite the moment of uncertainty-U.S. equities closed the week on the upside while crypto-related assets are doing the opposite and are now on an important level for a retracement or continue the downtrend, also influenced by the liquidation of the Voyager fund.
It is important to assess the price close during the week on the following price structures:
- Bullish: 22750.00
- Bearish/Lateral: 22000.00-21200.00
Altcoin Cycle:
For Bitcoin Dominance and Altcoin Cycle we can consider the weekly variation:
- Total cryptocurrency market capital: Decreased.
- Dominance of BTC: Decreased.
- Price of BTC: Decreased.
- Alt cycle expectation: Stable.
Thanks for your attention, happy to support the TradingView community.
Indicators used:
Analysis Tool
Kijun Trend Indicator
Ichimoku Support and Resistance
Chikou Support and Resistance
Waves 2023catching the vibe is thought to be a thing of the past but it seems not, catch this wave to the moon around 2025. bullish divergence looks frothty
WAVES/USD Main trend. Accumulation and distribution zones. Logarithm. Main trend. Time frame 1 month.
Are you scared in the market right now? If yes, then rejoice and change your fear into a positive. After all, if you're scared, then other market participants are similarly scared, and this is an understanding of the surrender zone.
Linear schedule . 1 month.
Accumulation and distribution. The average price of recruitment and resetting.
In this trading idea, I will describe how a big player works and manipulates the price of an asset. You need to understand the mechanism of market play according to cycles and the psychology of people's behavior in the market in different phases of the cycle.
The big player in the asset accumulation zone "makes volatility," allowing you to earn locally (he buys into you). On pamp, you sell coins with a profit of +50%, +100% +200% is not particularly important.
After all, the point is for you to sell coins at a profit or a loss. The less liquid the instrument, the wider the range, and vice versa. Then the same coin is sold to you or others like you in the next cycle, but at a profit of +10,000% or more.
For a major player, the % monopoly on coins of the total market turnover is important. A large percentage of the total turnover gives an opportunity to influence the price in its favor, in other words, to control the price of the cryptocurrency.
As a rule, most do not buy in accumulation, they are afraid. They wait for those who are supposed to sell to them to say, "Fools, it's time to buy in triple-dollars."
Accumulation.
You make a lot of money not on the pump but in the growth of the price in a strong trend. It takes time, sometimes a very long time, to accumulate a position in a certain range. On some liquid U.S. stocks, it takes a year or more to gain a position. On cryptocurrencies, this process is much faster, but sometimes this stage of the process is time-consuming.
Most market participants, who are doomed to lose all the time, do the opposite. Projecting into trading what they are in real life. Anything that has to do with money reinforces this effect. Buy expensive (aimed at buying), sell cheap (aimed at selling). Do not inherit this tendency.
Distribution of coins (sale of coins).
Similarly, it takes a long time to reset a large position in an acceptable price range as well. This example of working on this cryptocurrency illustrates this creative process well. It is a creative process because it is work according to the plan, but from the situation that develops, you need to inspire the mice to willingly crawl into the mousetrap with a smile on their face.
We need to keep the price (price level range) and let them earn +30%, +100% +200% is necessary to get everyone used to super-highs. Make a substitution in the concept of “super highs” and “bottom”. And simultaneously, you gradually unloaded your position. Believing hamsters will willingly buy "from the bottom" thereby you will not burn a lot of money to keep the “faith level”. You have to understand the mindset of the majority and their desires.
Most people can't think for themselves, they pass off other people's insinuating thoughts as their own. Such is the psychology of the lower classes. Destructive desires, low intelligence and ideological significance. They do their thing. Intelligence in the crowd evaporates, herd cloning thinking is turned on. It's contagious...
After about 60-70% of the position is sold out in an acceptable range, the dumping of the rest of the asset begins. By moving the price down to the desired new set of positions, you gradually "kill the faith" of the lazy hamster in a bright future. As a rule, the crowd is drained at the very bottom, when it was told to sell, or correctly said, instilled with the idea to get rid of the “unpromising”.
You must know in advance where and at what % of the allocated sum you will fill the position and under what conditions. There should be discipline in everything, and you should determine in advance your future actions according to your trading algorithm, rather than an emotional component.
Closer to the main position set zone-another price increase (optional) to unload another 10-20% of the position. In this coin this was done in the last cycle. Often you can see that this is done differently. Imitation of the accumulation channel, when the remaining extra part of the position is unloaded (not all of it). This method allows deceiving not completely stupid people, namely traders who analyze only price charts and understand the internal processes.
People see an imitation of accumulation. This, by the way, is difficult to understand. After all, skillful work always hides "traces of the crime" in the buying/selling lane. And only experience allows you to determine that. For example, I once got into such a situation due to my inattention, but a timely exit upon confirmation of a breakdown of channel support partially leveled the situation. Unsuccessful experience is also extremely important, you need to make the right conclusions and continue to develop in this area as a player or even as an operator.
In the next cycle of accumulation-pumping-dumping-accumulation, the process naturally repeats itself, if the organizers have enough rationality to support the project. A fool is not a mammoth, he will not go extinct. That's why this market makes super profits. It's very simple.
I copied the entire text from my educational article 2020 , on the same coin.
Profit over +500% since publication.
Maximums as shown +12,300% or $60.66
WAVES/USD Main Trend. What "fuel" doesn't see. Process .
Now there are problems with the USDN Stablecoin near the surrender zone
Importantly, you have to understand that this is DEX WAVES Stablecoin, which is the point of "untethering." Amazingly, I haven't come across anywhere in the comments disgruntled and understanding why this is being done. Is the market to blame, as in LUNA-UST? All accidents of this magnitude are not. On the Internet, in the comments of victims encountered only negative (gave up, anger at losing money, “killed faith”) or conversely positive (the desire to save your money). Any trader understands the essence of cheating.
Any stabelcoin is an altcoin whose stability depends on people's belief in its stability, and the willingness of its creators to maintain that belief in stability.
WAVES/USD Secondary trend. Wedge. Capitulation. Locally. Time frame 1 day.
Locally. Time frame 1 day.