📍Part #1, Elliott Waves: "Introduction. Classification".Hello!
Dear colleagues, because I am constantly analyzing the markets with the help of wave analysis. Many colleagues ask me about it and I decided to make some tutorial posts to help you in this difficult task.
I want to present this information to you in a simple and straightforward manner.
Well, enough unnecessary text, let's get started!
A bit of history from Wikipedia.
Ralph Nelson Elliott (1871-1948), an American accountant, developed a model for the underlying social principles of financial markets by studying their price movements, and developed a set of analytical tools in the 1930s. He proposed that market prices unfold in specific patterns, which practitioners today call Elliott waves, or simply waves.
Elliott stated that "because man is subject to rhythmical procedure, calculations having to do with his activities can be projected far into the future with a justification and certainty heretofore unattainable."
In simple words, human behavior is quite predictable. And since it is mostly people who trade on the markets, we can predict its movement with some probability.
Well. Let's explore what these waves are.
Let's start by categorizing them.
The movements are mostly carried out by a five-wave structure.
📍 Modes: Motive & Corrective
Waves unfold in two distinct forms: motive and corrective. Motive waves exhibit a five-wave structure, featuring both a five-wave model and its co-directional components—waves 1, 3, and 5. The term "motive" is attributed to this structure due to its inherent ability to energize and set the market in motion. On the other hand, corrective waves, prevalent in countertrend movements, follow a three-wave structure or its variations. The name "corrective" stems from their nature as responses to preceding motive waves, executing partial retracements or "corrections" of the prior progress. Hence, these two wave types stand apart not only in their roles but also in their fundamental construction.
Motive
📍 Styles: Impulse & Diagonal.
There are two types of motive waves: impulse and diagonal. As a rule, they alternate in the position of waves 1-5 impulses and waves A-C of the zigzag.
📍 Patterns: Impulse, Leading Diagonal & Ending Diagonal
Five-wave action model. Creates forward progress.Motive waves are limited to three patterns: Impulse, Leading and Ending Diagonals.
Corrective
📍 Groups: Simple & Combined
The corrective mode has two groups, simple and combined. Combined corrections are subdivided into simple corrective structures.
The group of simple corrections includes: flat, triangle and single zigzag. Combined group — multiple zigzag and combination.
📍 Styles: Sharp & Sideways
There are two styles of corrective processes: sharp and sideways. If wave two of an impulse is a sharp correction, expect wave four to be a sideways correction, and vice versa.
📍 Patterns: Flat, Triangle, Single Zigzag, Multiple Zigzag and Combination 📍
Three-wave or five-wave (which have characteristics of both fives and threes) or their combination model of counteraction. Always produces a net retracement from the previous wave.
Corrective patterns include: single and multiple zigzags, triangle, flat, combination.
Variations
📍Divergences in Elliott Wave patterns manifest in two conditional categories: variations in form and variations in the quantity of simple structures. Impulses, diagonals, flats, triangles, and single zigzags are distinguished by the proportional length of their sub-waves, shaping the model uniquely. On the other hand, combined corrections, incorporating multiple zigzags and combinations, maintain a consistent shape, and their identification is based on the count of simple corrective structures they encompass.
This was an introductory lesson on Elliott waves. Further we will examine each type and subspecies of waves in detail in a separate lesson!
🔔 Click on the links below this lesson! 🔔
Waves
📍Part # 8, Combination - Corrective Waves.👩🏻💻 Hello !
This time we're going to look at combinations.
It may seem too complicated, but don't worry. In fact, any combination simply consists of two corrective patterns that you and I already know, only between these two patterns there is a connecting wave.
Let's go straight to the rules and everything will become clear to you at once!
✅ Rules ✅
📍A “double three” combination comprises two corrective patterns separated by one corrective pattern in the opposite direction, labeled 'X'. The first corrective pattern is labeled 'W', the second 'Y'.
📍A "double three" combination comprises (in order) a zigzag and a flat, a flat and a zigzag, a flat and a flat, a zigzag and a triangle or a flat and a triangle.
📍Wave 'X' appears as a zigzag or flat.
📍Wave 'X' always retraces at least 90 percent of wave 'W'.
📍Combinations have a sideways look. With respect to waves 'W' and 'Y' in a double three, only one of those waves in each type of combination appears as a single zigzag.
📍Combinations can occur in the same wave positions as flats and triangles (except for the triangle subwave) but cannot occur in waves 'W' and 'Y'.
✅ Guidelines ✅
📍Wave 'X' is often 123.6-138.2% the 'W' wavelength, less often wave 'X' retraces 161.8% or more. Don't expect wave 'X' to be more than 261.8% of wave 'W'.
📍Wave 'X' is usually a single or multiple zigzag.
📍When a zigzag or flat appears too small to be the entire wave with respect to the preceding wave (or, if it is to be wave '4', the preceding wave '2'), a combination is likely.
Thank you for your attention! There will be another lecture next week! Don't miss it!
🔔 Links to other lessons in related ideas. 🔔
WAVES/USDT is Ready For a Breakout From Descending Channel 👀🚀💎Paradisers, We are seeing that #WAVES is in an intense accumulation phase and building up for a breakout from its descending channel.
💎Once it breaks out, we'll look for a retest for confirmation before planning our trade. The retest often follows a breakout and provides us a prime opportunity to validate the bullish momentum. If #Waves maintains support at $2.36 and continues its upward trajectory, the next target lies in the resistance zone within our projected range.
💎However, if #WAVESUSDT struggles to uphold support and falls below this zone, it might signal a weakening of the bullish trend. In that case, the price could further drop to the next significant support level, around $2.089.
💎Historically, PSX:WAVES has shown resilience by decisively rebounding from this support level. If this support holds, we might see a strong bounce. A firm close below this key support could challenge the bullish outlook, potentially signaling a more bearish trend.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success
WAVES/USDT ready for potential move? 👀🚀waves Analysis💎 Paradisers, get ready for a promising opportunity with #WAVESUSDT as it positions itself within a demand zone, gearing up for a potential bullish move.
💎 Historically, we've observed #WAVES adhering nicely to a pattern of descending resistance. Currently, after rebounding from a potential bottom, the price is maintaining momentum within the demand zone. If it can sustain this momentum at the demand level of $2.358, there's a strong chance it could break through the descending resistance and initiate a bullish movement.
💎 Consider this alternate scenario: if PSX:WAVES struggles to maintain its momentum at the demand level, a bullish rebound from the double bottom area or key support might be expected. However, should #WAVES fail to find support at this level and instead break below, it may indicate a continuation of the bearish trend. Overcoming the descending resistance is crucial for #WAVES to sustain its bullish trajectory.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
WAVES currency analysis#WAVES time 1W currency analysis
The price has reached a favorable level and you can wait for more arrivals in the areas of 2 and 1.5 dollars, and the price will be there for the intended purpose in a possible period of time.
📍Part #7, Multiple Zigzag - Corrective Waves - Combined.👩🏻💻Hello!
Dear colleagues, this is the 7th lesson on wave analysis and today we are going to look at Multiple Zigzag. We already know what a Zigzag is, so we will not look at this pattern for a long time, but just to clarify that Multiple Zigzag consists of several Zigzags.
Let's get to the rules and guidelines!
✅ Rules ✅
📍A Multiple Zigzag comprise two (or three) single zigzags separated by one (or two) corrective pattern(s) in the opposite direction, labeled "X". In the first case, it is called «double zigzag», in the second - «triple zigzag» (The first single zigzag is labeled "W", the second "Y", and the third, if there is one, "Z".)
📍Waves "W", "Y" and "Z" are always single zigzags.
📍Wave "X" never goes beyond the beginning of waves "W" and "Y".
📍Wave "Y" always ends past the end of the "W", and wave "Z", if any, always ends past the end of the "Y".
📍The first "X" wave always ends on the territory of the "W" wave, the second "X", if any, on the territory of the "Y" wave.
📍In a triple zigzag, the first "X" wave is always a zigzag, flat or combination. The second "X" wave is always a zigzag, flat, triangle or combination.
📍In a double zigzag, wave "X" is always a zigzag, flat, triangle, or combination.
📍Double and triple zigzags replace single zigzags, but cannot appear as "W", "Y", or "Z" waves.
✅ Guidelines ✅
📍In a double zigzag, wave "Y" can equal wave "W", .618 wave "W", 1.618 wave "W", or terminate at a distance equal to 1.618 wave "W" past wave "W". In a triple zigzag, there can be equality among waves "W", "Y" and "Z", or wave "Z" can equal 1.618 wave "Y", 1.618 wave "Y", or terminate at a distance equal to 1.618 wave "Y", past wave "Y". In a triple zigzag, the Fibonacci relationships between waves "W" and "Y", would be the same as a double zigzag.
📍The Fibonacci relationships between waves "W" and "X" in a double zigzag, and waves "Y" and "XX" in a triple zigzag are analogous to the relationships between waves "A" and "B" in a single zigzag.
📍In a double zigzag, as a guideline, wave "b" of wave "Y" should not break the trendline that connects the beginning of wave "W" with the end of wave "X".
📍As a guideline, wave "X" (second wave "X" of the triple zigzag) of a double zigzag should break the trend channel formed by the first zigzag in wave "W" ("Y") and be greater than 80% of subwave "b" of wave "W" ("Y" and "Z").
📍When a zigzag appears too small to be the entire wave with respect to the preceding wave (or, if it is to be wave "4", the preceding wave "2"), the complication of the structure to a multiple zigzag will probably follow.
Thank you for your attention! There will be another lecture next week! Don't miss it!
🔔 Links to other lessons in related ideas. 🔔
USDCAD - Short
Reading the waves and Speed Index
1. Abnormal Speed Index of 14.8 = Sellers
2. Largest down wave with normal Speed Index = market agrees with move
3. 4. Large up wave but with high Speed Index 10.5 = Sellers
5. High Speed Index on the up move 8.0 = Sellers still forming but it looks like we are have a hard time to move up
Therefore Short
EURUSD - You Should be Long!This this chart is read using the volume waves and Speed Index
1. Large Down Wave but Speed Index 11.6 is very high compared to previous SI numbers which means that buyers are stopping the down trend.
2. Largest Up Wave after a long time with normal SI= more buyers
3. Very Large Up Wave with normal SI = more buyers
Therefore Long is the trade!
📍Part #6, FLAT - Corrective Waves-Simple-Sideways corrections.👩🏻💻Hello!
In this lecture, we will cover one of the options for corrective cycles, namely Flat.
Let's now look at the 'flat' separately as a stand-alone correctional structure. I remind you, 'flat' and 'plane' are essentially the same thing. So, the 'flat' always has a three-wave structure, and it looks like this: 3-3-5. That is, you can identify it by the third wave "C", which always has a five-wave structure. But it can also be a Ending diagonal. And all this will be within the scope of a regular 'flat' or 'plane'. If we draw a line from the base of wave A and the maximum of wave "B", and then also draw a line or level from the end of wave "A" and the end of wave "C", we will get parallel lines, which is exactly what the name Flat hints. And this wave "B" should roll back approximately 90% of wave "A" for everything to look nice. But not always, because there is also an expanded 'flat' and a running 'flat', whichever you prefer.
Well then. Let's look at the main rules and guiding norms for flats.
✅General rules✅
📍A flat always subdivides into three waves.
📍Wave "A" is always a zigzag, flat or combination.
📍Wave "B" is always a zigzag.
📍Wave "C" is always an impulse or a ending diagonal.
✅General guidelines✅
📍Wave "A" is usually a zigzag.
✅Regular Flat✅
Rules
📍Wave "B" never goes beyond beyond the start of wave "A".
📍Wave "B" always retraces at least 90 percent of wave "A".
📍Wave "C" always ends past the end of wave "A".
Guidelines
📍The rarest type of flat correction.
✅Expanded Flat✅
Rules
📍Wave "B" always ends after the start of wave "A".
📍Wave "C" always ends past the end of wave "A".
Guidelines
📍Wave "B" usually retraces 123.6 or 138.2% of wave "A", less often — 161.8%.
📍Wave "C" is often equal to 161.8% of wave "A", less often — 261.8%.
📍The most common type of flat correction.
✅Running Flat✅
Rules
📍Wave "B" always ends after the start of wave "A".
📍Wave "C" never goes beyond the end of wave "A".
Guidelines
📍Within such a flat wave "B" should end well above the origin of wave "A" and that means wave "C" might reflect a 61.8% or even a 100% relationship to wave "A".
📍A running flat indicates that the forces in the direction of the larger trend at next higher degree are powerful.
📍Wave "B" is usually no more than twice the length of wave "A".
Keep in mind that a running flat is rare.
Thank you for your attention! There will be another lecture next week! Don't miss it!
🔔Links to other lessons in related ideas.🔔
WAVESWAVES price are moving in upper trend
The price already have the correction
Good for investment
SPOT trade
BR
GTAI is gonna Reach $5 One way or another!!!Hi.
GTAIUSDT
Today, I want to analyze GTAI for you in a 1D time frame so that we can have a SHORT-term view of GTAI regarding the technical analysis. (Please ✌️respectfully✌️share if you have a different opinion from me or other analysts).
🔵We have a Bullish Structure here
GTAI formed a falling wedge on 1D timeframe🤔
Up we go if we do breakout , ended correction waves, & starting 5th impulse waves.
also a bullish Divergence (RD+) on MACD which shows Positive Signs for GTAI.
✅ Due to the Ascending structure of the chart...
🟢 High potential areas are clear in the chart.
🟢 Bullish Wedge.
🟢 5th waves.
🟢Bullish Regular Divergence(+RD)
Stay awesome my friends.
_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
TD Swing Long Conservative Trend TradeConservative Trend Trade
+ long impulse
+ biggest volume T2 level
+ support level
+ biggest volume Sp
Calculated affordable stop loss
1 to 2 R/R take profit
Daily Context
"+ long balance
+ ICE level
+ 1/2 correction
- neutral zone"
Monthly Context
" - short impulse
+ biggest volume T1
+ support level
+ 1/2 correction
+ biggest volume 2Sp+
+ weak test to 1/2 correction"
HD Long Day Aggressive Counter Trend Trade 16Aggressive Counter Trend Trade 16
- short impulse
+ biggest untested volume T1
+ support level
+ biggest volume 2Sp+
+ test
+ below first bullish bar closed level entry
Calculated affordable virtual stop loss
1 to 2 R/R take profit
Hourly Context:
"- short impulse
+ biggest volume T1
+ biggest volume 2Sp-"
Daily Context:
"+ long impulse
+ T2 level
+ support level"
Monthly Context
"+ long impulse
+ SOS level
+ support level
+ 1/2 correction"
TD Swing Long Aggressive Trend TradeAggressive Trend Trade
- short impulse
- unvolumed T1
+ biggest volume 2Sp-
- skipping test expecting gap overnight
Calculated affordable virtual stop loss
1 to 2 R/R take profit at 1/2 of Daily
Daily context
"+ long balance
+ ICE level
+ 1/2 correction
+ support level"
Monthly Context
"- short impulse
+ biggest volume T1
+ support level
+ 1/2 correction
+ biggest volume 2Sp+
+ weak test"
INTC Swing Long Conservative Trend Trade Conservative Trend Trade
+ long impulse
+ expanding T2 level
+ support level
+ unvolumed 2Sp
+ volumed test
+ below first bullish bar closed level entry
Calculated affordable virtual stop loss
1 to 2 R/R take profit
Daily Context
"+ long impulse
+ SOS level
+ support level
+ unvolumed Sp"
Monthly Context
"+ long impulse
+ SOS level
+ support level
+ 1/2 correction"
Give me a way better price at afterhours.
I just need my 2 R and I'm out!
XRP Head & Shoulders + Wave Count Chart.XRP is currently in an ABC correction pattern that is forming a perfect Head & Shoulders pattern. If price action continues to drop, I expect it to hit the lower range of the descending wedge indicated by the purple box, which could act as a launching pad for the next wave up.
Good luck, and always use a stop-loss!
Flare wave count could be indicating a major drop incoming!The current wave count on FLR could be indicating that a big drop is incoming. If price fails to get above the top box, then it will likely come down to the range of the lower one. However, if it breaks through the upper box, then that area could act as a launching pad for much higher prices. We will have to watch and see how it plays out over the next few days and reassess.
Good luck, and always use a stop-loss!
Bitcoin Fib Estimation IIIn this idea I'll document my further observation of long-term price action
The way 0.236 first fibonacci channel defined 2021 ATH
Critical points of prior cycles were also captured by fibonacci channels of same tool.
Significance of second Fibonacci channel is also apparent because it also breaks down historic cycles.
This means that correlation of prices with its derived fibonacci ratios has been occurring over a decade period long.
2012 - 2015 cycle can be measures with 0 - 1 based on direction of the fall of 93.75% where n.618 defined ATHs.
Another way of presenting how price maintains golden rule would be using the metrics of first bullish wave.
Shows exactly how fibonacci channels split up historic cycles into component phases.
For now I see 2 options of LT price movements in respect to whole history:
A squeeze into a triangular formation OR a sooner breakout