Hellena | Oil (4H): SHORT to support area of 55.204.Colleagues, I believe that the price will continue its downward movement. At the moment we are observing a combined correction. I expect the completion of wave “Y”. Even if it is already completed, the price is still waiting for a downward correction to the support area of 55.204. Therefore, I think that 55.204 is the 1st minimum target.
There are two possible ways to enter the position:
1) Market entry
2) Pending Limit orders.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Wavetheory
Hellena | GOLD (4H): SHORT to 38.2% Fibo lvl 3143.50.Dear colleagues, I expect a correction in the coming week. Wave “V” has started its development and now I think that wave ‘1’ of medium order is completing its development and I think that the correction in wave “2” will last until the area of 38.2% Fibonacci level 3143.50.
There are two possible ways to enter the position:
1) Market entry
2) Pending limit orders.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Vanar Morgulis, boizSoo, Do u think Im done?
Nooope :) Patience and cold calculation are what is needed in trading high-risk assets.
AND THIS EXPERIENCE COST ME A LOT!! I share it with you.
Anyway. I have been studying trading platforms for a long time and I am returning to the game, faster, smarter, stronger.. as it was with Daft Punk
If Im genious enough (yas IT IZ), then we have two options:
LOOK closer, folkz and don't be fooled - wave 5 of C is yet to be set , if it is ED (option 2)
Othawise, if the correction is really over, then it was ZZ and we can take Longz (option 1)
zoom out my chart and look at the Fibonacci levels - if there is a correction, it will be very little. And this is the case with almost all altcoins.
I was very surprised by the amount of sleepy memes that Binance listed through, it's real madness. But, money doesn't smell, you can trade both lead and cheese
A Zoom of the Weekly DXY into a Daily viewI kept the colored rectangels from my weekly analysis, to keep the focus and knowledge where we are on the chart.
DXY is doing a long A-B-C before it's is going into the last impulse og the C of Y of x of the larger degree.
It's quite a lot of corrections to manage, but if you swipe from the daily to the weekly timeframe, it makes good sense. For me at least :D.
The purple B wave took some time to figure out, but this was what made most sense to me. I was trying to look at it as a triangle, but that wouldn't have a good shape, so I ended out with this white ((w))-((x))-((y)) correction.
DXY is right now performing, what I see as, a extended 5th wave in the white ((iii) wave, before it goes into the white ((iv)) correction.
The white ((iv) wave correction could be become a long shallow drawn out correction for two reasons.
We had a steep and swift white (ii) followed by an extended white ((iii) wave. This usually means we are going to spend some time correcting that white (iii) wave and the rule of alternation tells us, if we have a quick 2nd wave, we are usually going to see a slow fourth wave.
I don't believe we have completed the white (iii) yet, so we have a long time to go still until that white (iv) wave is done.
When the white (iv) wave is done, the white (v) wave is probaly going to take us down to that green box.
So relax for the next 6 months and grab yourself a cup of coffee.
A crucial level to monitor is $205.80.Apple Market Update:
The market has recently formed a bearish GAP, transitioning into an inverse GAP zone where it's currently finding support at the upper quadrant level. This development warrants close attention, as the market's behavior around this zone will likely dictate its next move.
Notably, a previous Break of Structure (BOS) was observed, which typically indicates a bullish sentiment. However, the emergence of the bearish GAP suggests a potential shift in market dynamics.
A crucial level to monitor is $205.80, which marked the starting point of the bearish GAP. Interestingly, the market has previously rejected at this level, adding to its significance. Traders should closely observe price action around this level for further direction and potential trading opportunities.
As the market navigates this critical juncture, it's essential to remain vigilant and adapt to changing market conditions. We'll continue to provide updates as the situation evolves.
XAUUSD Long Term ProjectionsThe wave we traced is defined as
A=680
B=1920
C=1044
Therefore, our targets if Au makes a new all time high are:
N=2284
V=2796
E=3160
with a projected resistance at:
NT=1408
You can see we are well above the projected resistance, now gold only needs to continue its climb and make a new all time high in order for these targets to be in play. I will make a subsequent post taking a closer look at what has been developing more recently. For now, this is the overarching picture. Time theory markings have been added and I may make a post focusing more on that as well.
DXY In Difficult Circumstances Since the Start 80's I decided to give a go at the Dollar Index given the circumstances around the world. And to be honest, I tried to put on the positive glasses.
I believe the dollar has been in a complex correction since the mid 80's. Starting out with a large dump in '85 with the a-wave, the correction slowed down and only grew more and more complex.
Thought about current wave: What I believe we are going through now is, that we are finishing up the purple C-wave in a green (C)-wave. This wave can end at any time now, since it's now at the 61.8% fib level of the purple A-wave. But it might go down to the 95 level (The green box) to complete at the 100% fiblevel of the purple A-Wave.
But first we will have the fourth wave meaning the DXY is gonna struggle for some weeks. Because we had a swift two week wave 2, which means we are probably going have a slow fourth wave according to the rule of alternation. This mean the purple C-wave could drag out into the end of '25 into early '26.
This is also with that in mind that a C-wave most likely will take longer than an A-wave. These are the Purple boxes.
BUT, after this, DXY is gonna experience some happy years again, going back up to the yellow box somewhere between 110 and 120 to finish the WXY of x of the larger degree. This will take DXY into a couple of years bull-run as long as the green (C) wave runs and completes no earlier than late '27, depending when the purple C-wave prior to the green (C) wave ends. But I believe the green (C)-wave will take about two years to complete.
But after this, DXY could again go into some dark ages and considering the high degree purple w-wave took 23 years to complete (blue giant box), there is no reason to believe this high degree purple y-wave will be a swift matter and actually don't complete before the year 2050. And it will take the DXY all the down to start 60's or lower.
The reason I said I tried to put on the positive glasses, is that I tried seeing the white channel as a leading diagonal for a new bull run, but I just don't see it as such.
I also tried seeing it as a C-wave of a flat diagonal, but this would result in another C-wave afterwards, and also take us down to the 60's level. So that didn't do us any good.
For the sake of DXY, I hope I'm wrong, but this is how I see it.
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): LONG to the resistance area 1.11613.Colleagues, the price is in the correction of wave “2”. I believe that the upward five-wave impulse is not yet complete. In any case, I think that the price will still reach the maximum of wave “1” at 1.11613.
The question is how far will the correction of wave “2” go or is it over? There is no way to know for sure, so I don't recommend selling. I think we should stick to long positions.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
US yeilds in a corrective rebound In analysis from a few weeks back, we talked about bearish USD and presented a bearish outlook. Since then dollar fall nicely and one of the reason are also lower US yields.
Looking at US yeilds I see bearish impulsive price action down from 4.8%, which could keep the US dollar in a downtrend. What we’ve seen so far is a strong rebound from 3.8%, as shown on the updated 4-hour chart. This rebound suggests that yields are stepping into a correction now, which could unfold as an A-B-C structure. So, it looks like we could see a bit more upside in the near term before US yields turn back to the downside. At the same time, this could mean the US dollar may find some support soon or remain in consolidation a bit longer.
GH
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance lvl 3100 (wave B).Colleagues, at this point I have redrawn the waves a bit and realized that the upward movement is not over yet, but a rather large correction is possible within waves “ABC” and if wave ‘A’ is finished or almost finished, I expect wave “B”. I believe that the price will reach the level of 3100. After that a reversal and continuation of a small downward movement is possible.
But for now I would look at long positions.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Crypto Market at Critical Crossroads: Is History Repeating?Maybe an altcoin season seems too luxurious for us investors right now.
The TOTAL market cap is currently at a critical point, showing price action similar to past cycles.
Previously, we had COVID as our black swan event - could today's equivalent be a trade war?
We're probably approaching the final wave before the market truly enters a downtrend. It's crucial now to stay alert and prepare carefully.
Everything the US is currently doing—including tariffs—serves one goal: shrinking their huge federal debt load, absorbing wealth from other global economies, and keeping gold prices in check. This gives the FED more room to reduce interest rates and reignite growth.
Eventually, global markets always rebalance. Governments typically respond by printing more money to ease the pain, and historically, that's positive news for BINANCE:BTCUSD
Cheap money policies always return; it's just a matter of when.
Your job now is straightforward:
- Be patient
- Stay flexible
- Maintain solid cash reserves
Remain calm, stay sharp, and be ready for opportunities.
#BTC #FED #TotalMarketCap #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoVeteran #TheCryptoFire
Hellena | GOLD (4H): SHORT to 38.2% Fibo lvl 3050.Dear colleagues, the price has been in an upward movement for quite a long time and I believe .that it is time for a correction in the “2” wave.
I think it is possible that there may be a small update of the maximum of the top of wave “1” to 3176.771, then I expect a correction to the area of 38.2% Fibonacci level 3050.
As usual there are 2 possible entry options:
1) Market entry
2) Entry by pending limit orders, if the price updates the maximum.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | Oil (4H): SHORT to support area 65.268.We need to talk about one important nuance. Many people ask “Hellena, you say you can't buy oil, but it's going up. Well, it is, yes. But all my data and wave markings suggest that the price will soon start a downward movement. There are major changes in geopolitics and I am not in a position to stop them. I just set a stoploss and wait for the trade that will bring me profit.
Now coming to the forecast, I think that the downward movement will start soon, but before it, the price may rise quite high, maybe even to the area of 74.000.
But the main direction is the support area of 65.268.
There are 2 possible ways to enter the trade:
1) Entry at market price.
2) Limit pending sell orders if the price starts an upward movement to the area of 74.484.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): LONG to the resistance area 1.09484.Dear colleagues, the upward impulse of the five-wave movement is not over yet, and at the moment we see the end of the correction of wave “4”.
I believe that the price can still slightly update the low and reach the area of 1.07232 , but the priority is the upward movement in wave “5”, so I expect the price to reach the resistance area of 1.09484.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | SPX500 (4H): LONG to resistance area of 5788.8.Dear colleagues, I am still counting on an upward movement. It seems that the sellers have not lost their strength yet and I see that an update of the low in the area of 5445 is possible. Then I expect a resumption of the upward movement with a target to reach the 5788.8 area.
As usual there are 2 possible entry options:
1) Market entry
2) Entry by pending limit orders if the price starts a small downward movement.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area 3100.Wave “3” is still continuing its progression. This means that the five-wave impulse is not over yet and we expect the upward movement to continue.
Of course I would like to see wave “4” as a corrective wave in the area of 3024 level, then I expect an upward movement to the area of 3100 level. This level is also considered to be quite strong, from which there could be a correction.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
DODGE - Short - This is how to read the short using Lesson 15Lesson 15 Methodology:
1. Fib 61.8 (sellers might come in on this level)
2. Highest up volume wave after a while (probable sellers inside)
3. Anchor AWVAP at the beginning of the up volume wave. Wait for price to cross downward and then pull back.
4. Highest down volume wave after a long time (sellers)
5. Price respects AVWAP acting as resistance
6. Enter Short on one more confirmation of weakness - Plutus Short signal PS
...and down we go!!!
Enjoy!
DJI US stock market forecast 2025-2026Assumption:
oct-22 — nov-24 (1-2-3-4-5) wave is over.
correction (a)-(b)-(c) is expected.
likely structure is a 3 wave regular flat.
Time:
the correction is expected to last until at least sep-25.
Price:
it's too early to predict final price for wave (c).
anticipated range is 35000-39000.
wave (a) shall reach 39600.
Long term waves:
Major uptrend lasts 25 years.
Major correcting downtrend lasts 9 years.
Next major downtrend is expected to start in 2033-2034.
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area 3075.Colleagues, I believe that price will reach the 3075 area, completing an upward five-wave impulse. Earlier I talked about the level of 3100 and I believe that it will be reached too, just a little later and after a correction.
In any case, within the wave “3” of the senior order, gold is waiting for an upward movement, because the big impulse is not completed yet.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | SPX500 (4H): LONG to resistance area of 5830.Colleagues, the previous forecast is not canceled, but I decided to update it a bit in the form of a new forecast. I have set the target a little closer, so that I don't have to wait too long.
I believe that the price will continue its upward movement and will reach the area of 5830. It is quite possible that the price will correct to the area of 5597, completing the wave “2” of small order.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | Oil (4H): SHORT to the area of 65.268.Colleagues, I believe that the downward movement is not over yet, and now the price is in a complex combined correction. The second correction also consists of “ABC” waves.
In an ideal scenario, the price completes wave “C” in the 70.000 area and starts the downward movement to the support area of 65.268.
In general, the plan has not changed since the last forecast, but the bulls still have strength, so we should take the upward movement as an opportunity to profitably go short.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): SHORT to the support area at 1.07279.Dear colleagues, price is still in an uptrend, but wave “5” is often unpredictable, so I do not recommend buying.
I will look out for short positions. I believe that the price can renew the high and reach the area of 1.10000 or even a little higher, but I will place pending limit orders to sell.
Or the price will immediately start a downward movement.
The target is the support area at 1.07279.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!