Hellena | SPX500 (4H): Long to resistance area 6117 (Wave “3”).Dear Colleagues, I believe that price will still make new highs. I expect that the wave “5” of the middle order is not yet complete.
Perhaps the price will test the 50% Fibonacci level of 5847 and then start an upward movement to the resistance area of 6117 (Wave “3”).
This correction may not happen, then it would mean that the price continued the wave “3”.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Wavetheory
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): Short to support area at 1.06749.Colleagues, the US presidential election has made some adjustments to the wave markup and I now believe price is in a contested position.
I think that the downward movement will continue and the price will update the lows, but for now I expect the price to reach the support area at 1.06749.
If the price updates this level - I will consider that the price is in a complex correction and I will look for a long position entry, but for now I prefer short positions.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | GOLD (1H): Short to support area 2641.84.Colleagues, I believe that the price will continue the downward movement, but before this movement there is a high probability that the price will reach the area of 2734, then continue the downward movement.
There are only 2 options to enter the position.
Either you take a risk and enter on the market.
Or you wait for the local high of 2710 to be updated.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Cardano most passive scenario when Crypto/BTC pops Here a lidle Fib/Waveanalysis of Cardano aka ADA.
Just dont forget to mention that this is the most passive wave target with the assumption that we in thie case allready bottomed in WAVE2 Correction, waiting for impulsive start into Wave 3.
Wave 3 to 5 are more or less assumptions that only work out when my theory of done wave 1 and 2 has been done allready and validated by a impulsive wave 3.
Facts that we can mention is, that after last bullrun WAVE1 is perfectly arrived in Fib range 88.6 to 78.6 thats a detail that makes me really safe about that whole structure i drawed in that chart.
At the end i will update Target when we drag a bit from actual price to 0.23$ and my thesis still would be valid.
!!! If we go lower then the 0.23$ then my thesis would be invalidate and we are still in correction of the last bullrun. !!!
Target of Wafe 5 is when everything runs minmimalistic with elliotwave targets is around 1.19$
Stay tuned folks
Hellena | SPX500 (4H): Long to area 5915 (Wave 5).Dear colleagues, I believe that the upward movement is not over yet and the end of the movement in wave “5” is ahead.
At the moment I see the support area of 5800, from which I assume that the price will reach the area of 5915.
Then we will look for a short trade entry, but for now all my thoughts are only on long positions.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | GOLD (4H): Short to support area 2603 (after wave 5).Dear colleagues, I believe that wave “5” is not completed yet, but it can end at any moment, so I consider 2 variants of events, but in both the target is the support area 2603.
1) The riskier one is to open a short position on the market.
2) Conservative - wait for the price to rise, and enter with less risk.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): Long to the resistance area 1.09508.Dear Colleagues. I have redrawn the waves and it seems that the price has not reached the minimum values yet. Apparently wave “4” is the longest correction we have had recently.
According to the data, the price tends to the area of strong resistance at 1.07575. This will be the completion of the corrective wave “C”. Then I would still like to see an upward movement with a renewal of the upper levels. At a minimum, I expect to reach the 1.09508 area.
A more risky entry into a long position is possible - from current levels.
And a more conservative entry is possible - from the area of 1.07575.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | Oil (4H): Short to support area at 67 (Again).Dear Colleagues, I believe that price is still in a five-wave downtrend. The mid-order wave “3” is in a small correction, but very soon the downward movement will continue.
I believe that the price has already closed the gap and may reach the resistance area of 74, then I expect the price to decline to the support area of 67.046.
There are 2 possible courses of action:
1) The riskier one is to open a short position on the market.
2) Conservative - wait for the price to rise, and enter with less risk.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | Oil (4H): Short to support area at 67 (Wave "3").Dear colleagues, I believe that at the moment we have a great opportunity to find an entry into a short position that will bring us many pips.
The fact is that the wave “2” of the middle order is completed, which means that the wave “3” of the higher order continues the downward movement in the wave “3” of the middle order.
I expect the price to rise a bit more to the 78 level, then I expect the price to drop to the 67 level. It will not be a quick drop, but we will be able to go short several times.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
TONUSDT: Why TONCOIN Remains Bullish and Its Next Potential MoveTONNCOIN is forming a falling wedge on Daily timeframe , Up we go if we do breakout. the price can be bullish and I expect the price to go up to the Fibonacci line of 0.618 = $6 Stay tuned for more updates, thanks.
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Hellena | GOLD (4H): Long to 2712 (Where is the end of wave 3? )Friends, I am wary of giving any long-term forecasts, because an interesting situation has developed at the moment.
I believe that the big wave “3” is coming to an end. But it is difficult to say exactly where. Now the price continues its upward movement and I will trade in small intervals.
At the moment I think that the price will rise a little more to the area of 2712. After that I will expect a correction and then we will think where and how we will see wave “5”.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | BITCOIN (4H): Long to 61.8% - 100% lvl 67,912.Dear colleagues, after last week's good forecast, I realized that the upward movement is not over yet.
The price is probably moving in wave “3” of higher order and wave “3” of lower order.
Therefore, I believe that the price will correct a bit and continue the upward movement to the 67.912 area. These are the levels of 61.8% - 100% Fibonacci extension.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Netflix - Bullish Move Of +50% Ahead!Netflix ( NASDAQ:NFLX ) is trading at an important breakout level:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Netflix is just another one of these stocks which is perfectly following cycles and market structure. After the recent drop of about -80%, Netflix perfectly tested the bottom of the reverse triangle pattern, created bullish confirmation and took off towards the upside.
Levels to watch: $700, $1.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
ASML (ASML): Massive Sell-Off - What's next after the $50B loss?We are sure you’ve heard about ASML’s massive drop yesterday, erasing $50 billion in market value within hours following a technical error and the earnings report published a day earlier. ASML, Europe's most valuable tech company and a critical supplier to chipmakers, is now facing doubts—not about its long-term prospects but regarding short-term sales and whether it can continue to outperform the market in the long term.
As always, we’re not focused on intraday trades but are looking for bigger, high-risk-to-reward swing trade setups. To assess this, we’re turning to the Weekly chart to analyze ASML’s most important levels. Our most likely scenario at this point is that the All-Time High represents a wave B, after exactly respecting the 138% Fibonacci extension level. Coupled with the bearish divergence on the RSI, this pullback was expected.
While it's difficult to predict the exact point of reversal, we see $600 as a major psychological support level that could hold in the short term. To reverse the current downtrend, ASML must break above the resistance zone of $850–$895. However, as this is a potential wave ((ii)), even reaching the All-Time High is not out of the question. Merely reclaiming this resistance zone might not be enough to signal a trend change.
We’re keeping an eye on all major support zones, but the largest position we plan to open would be between $250 and $140. While this is still far off, and there will likely be opportunities along the way, this zone would provide the most textbook setup according to Elliott Wave Theory. The recent dip has also opened up more potential plays for the future.
Stay tuned as we monitor the situation for further developments! 🔥
Can You Use Math to Elevate Your Trading Strategy?In the world of trading, understanding market movements is crucial for success. One of the most effective frameworks for interpreting these movements is Wave Theory, a concept that helps traders identify price trends and potential reversals. By incorporating mathematical projections, traders can enhance their analysis and make informed decisions. In this article, we’ll explore the fundamentals of Wave Theory and demonstrate how to project price movements using wave measurements—specifically, measuring Wave 1 to project the size of Wave 3.
Understanding Wave Theory
Wave Theory, popularized by Ralph Nelson Elliott, posits that financial markets move in repetitive cycles or waves, driven by collective investor psychology. Elliott identified two primary types of waves:
Impulse Waves: These are the waves that move in the direction of the prevailing trend, typically comprising five waves (labeled 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5).
Corrective Waves: These waves move against the prevailing trend and consist of three waves (labeled A, B, and C).
In a typical bullish market, you will observe a series of impulse waves followed by corrective waves. Understanding these waves allows traders to identify potential entry and exit points based on price patterns.
The Mathematics Behind Wave Projections
One of the key aspects of Wave Theory is using mathematical relationships to predict future price movements. A common approach is to measure the length of Wave 1 and use that measurement to project the size of Wave 3. Research indicates that Wave 3 often ranges between 1.0 to 1.68 times the length of Wave 1.
Steps to Project Wave 3:
Identify Wave 1: Begin by determining the starting point of Wave 1 and measuring its length. This can be done by noting the price levels at the start and end of Wave 1.
Calculate the Length of Wave 1:
Length of Wave 1 = End Price of Wave 1 - Start Price of Wave 1.
Project Wave 3:
To project Wave 3, multiply the length of Wave 1 by the desired factor (1.0 to 1.68).
Projected Length of Wave 3 = Length of Wave 1 × (1.0 to 1.68).
Determine the Target Price:
Add the projected length of Wave 3 to the endpoint of Wave 2 to determine the target price for Wave 3.
Target Price = End Price of Wave 2 + Projected Length of Wave 3.
Example: Applying Wave Theory in a Trading Scenario
Let’s say we’re analyzing a stock and identify Wave 1 as follows:
Start of Wave 1: $50
End of Wave 1: $70
Step 1: Measure Wave 1:
Length of Wave 1 = $70 - $50 = $20
Step 2: Project Wave 3:
Using the range of 1.0 to 1.68:
Minimum Projection = $20 × 1.0 = $20
Maximum Projection = $20 × 1.68 = $33.60
Step 3: Determine the Target Price: Assuming Wave 2 has an endpoint of $80:
Minimum Target Price = $80 + $20 = $100
Maximum Target Price = $80 + $33.60 = $113.60
Thus, based on Wave Theory, we would anticipate that Wave 3 could reach between $100 and $113.60.
Wave Theory, combined with mathematical projections, provides traders with a structured approach to understanding market dynamics and predicting future price movements. By accurately measuring Wave 1 and projecting Wave 3, traders can make informed decisions based on calculated price targets, improving their chances of success in the financial markets.
As you incorporate Wave Theory into your trading strategy, remember that no system is foolproof. Always combine technical analysis with sound risk management practices to protect your capital. With patience, discipline, and a strong mathematical foundation, you can leverage Wave Theory to enhance your trading prowess and navigate the markets with greater confidence.
How can you see yourself incorporating mathematical projections like Wave Theory into your trading strategy, and what has been your experience with predicting market movements using these techniques? Let me know in the comments.
Happy trading!
BITCOIN → Bearish Pressure !!! (Short term)As I mentioned in my previous analysis, Bitcoin experienced a good rise after breaking out of the Megaphone and is now It has completed 5 ascending waves and considering that the price has reached the weekly pivot line, we can expect price correction from this point.
Previous Analysis
and
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): Long to the resistance area at 1.11551.Colleagues, price made a strong downward move and I redrew the waves. At this point, I believe price has just now completed wave “4” and I believe price will start an upward movement. First of all I don't want to set the target too high.
The 1st target is the resistance area at 1.11551. This is the area where volume accumulations have been taking place. In any case, I do not recommend entering short positions now.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | Oil (4H): Short to support area at 67 (Wave "3").Dear colleagues, I believe that at the moment we have a great opportunity to find an entry into a short position that will bring us many pips.
The fact is that the wave “2” of the middle order is completed, which means that the wave “3” of the higher order continues the downward movement in the wave “3” of the middle order.
I expect the price to rise a bit more to the 78 level, then I expect the price to drop to the 67 level. It will not be a quick drop, but we will be able to go short several times.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
TIMECOM Waiting opportunity on 4.5 Reason for Buy this stock
Stock can sustainable provide 7% + dividend per annual
Waiting the Opportunity to buy at $ 4.5 as per technical analysis
Continues growth on profit since 2017 and cooperate with Malaysia government for 5G internet project.
Long Term ( 3 years ) holding stock only and TP on $ 7
7 % dividend per annual * 3 years = 21 %
55 % of capital gain + 21 % = 76 %
76 % / 3 years = 25.33 % per annual
Waiting Opportunity for Buy
Record holding
0 Stock hold as of now.
Hellena | Oil (4H): Short to support area at 72.299.Well, colleagues, the price did not stop and continued its upward movement. At the moment, I understand that the price should turn around and start the long-awaited continuation of the downward movement.
I believe that wave 2 should end in the area of 79.338 or it has already ended and the downward movement has already started.
In any case, I see the first target is the support area at 72.299.
This scenario will be canceled by reaching the level of 84.601, as this is the top of the wave “2” of the higher order, which means that the wave movement needs to be reconsidered.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
NEO → movement in the coming days !!!If we use the pitchfork for NEO chart we can see that the price couldn't break the middle line of the pitchfork , so this means that the price would reach the bottom of the pitchfork and than start It's uptrend movement .
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard .💚
_ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!