#GBPUSD Analysis By We Trade WavesHey Traders, this is GBPUSD Analysis and update for all of you, is it forming an Ending Structure or a Leading Structure? You can trade any of the above waves if you get your setups.
I will be looking for sell setups from current levels or above the top/Reaction zone.
DO NOT JUMP IN - Jumping in without using stop loss or risking big or following anyone blindly leads to big losses, never do that. Always wait for your setups and use proper risk management!
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What we are sharing here is only our point of view on what could be the next move in the market based on our wave analysis concept so this is a directional bias and not signals...
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EURUSD & CADJPY Educational AnalysisAnalysing the current trend and wave count in the short term in the EURUSD and the CADJPY.
The pairs have both made a significant decline in the past 24Hrs and based on the wave structures count, I believe these pairs are ready to correct upwards in the short term.
Enjoy!
2 roads ahead for NVDAMy take on NVDA from an Elliott Wave perspective. Maybe it will help someone.
After clearly an impulse wave down who finished on 13th October 2022 that's intermediate wave (A)
we have 2 scenarios:
Scenario nr 1: Bearish
We have an ABC zigzag pattern finished.Why?
We have multiple Fibonacci ratios pointing for a top in NVDA.one of them 1.618multiple for minor wave C.
If this is the right count what we need to see further is an impulsive wave down for intermediate wave (C)
Scenario nr 2 Bullish
This Fibonacci ratio of 1.618 is almost a trademark for wave 3 in an impulse wave.
So key levels here to watch are 0.236 and 0.382 retracements. If this is a shallow time consuming retracement with all the signs of a wave 4 we will still have wave 5 to go.
What do you think?
Legal Disclaimer: The information presented in this analysis is solely for informational purposes and does not serve as financial advice.
BTC Daily Running Flat completing expecting downBTC Daily Running Flat completing, expecting to go down with big Impulse wave.
Update to my Nov 5th 2022 Chart for AAZ - Elliot Wave analysisIn this chart, I am zooming in for closer look at the chart over the last 26 months.
Jan 2021 was the peak of the first Major Wave 1 which ran from 2.5p to £1.825 & which consisted of a clear 1,2,3,4,5 pattern.
From Jan 2021 the Corrective Major Wave 2 then took hold and saw the price fall from £1.82 all the way back down to 62p on 13th October 2022 in a typical A,B,C Zig-Zag Correction.
Since that date, the price action has been very constructive and we have now seen an initial 1,2,3,4,5 advance (from 62p to £1.18) & then another A,B,C Zig-Zag correction from £1.18 back to 90p (50% Fib retracement).
Over the last month the next Motive Wave has got underway wit the price now having moved swiftly to £1.12 & has cleared (B) of the Corrective Wave 2 - first buy signal confirmed.
The longer term £3+ price target remains intact and near-term £1.75 looks highly likely as then Motive Wave gathers followers and steam.
USDJPY - Bullish IdeaAs shown USDJPY has broken out of the bearish channel and showed and showed support with a bullish momentum with a double bottom and by jumping from the trend line of the bearish channel. Moving forward we can expect USDJPY to continue moving towards the target levels of 134.000, 137.000, and 140.900 with an invalidation level of this idea being at 127.996.
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XAUUSD - Short Term Bullish Momentum XAUUSD is currently showing signs of a short term bullish momentum. After showing a break of structure and reversing to the downside it looks like XAUUSD has met a nice level of support where it may continue showing bullish movement until it reaches around the 1900-1925 level where we should see a strong resistance.
After reaching the 1900-1925 level we should see a strong bearish movement. To further this bearish sentiment this level would also be the second wave of the Elliott Wave Theory which would be followed by the 3rd wave. The 3rd wave is usually regarded as the most volatile and impulsive wave of the EWT which would be a great place to enter.
The next form of support that can be seen after should be around the 1777.500 area.
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Bitcoin Weekly AnalysisIt’s the first week of March, let’s take a look at the Bitcoin chart to see what price action we might expect in the near term.
Let’s start Big Picture on the Weekly Time Frame. Taking the Primary trend from the December 2018 low to the recent Nov 2021 high, we can clearly see a 5 wave structure which meets the Elliott Wave definition of an Impulsive move. Note here that while Wave labelling on the price action alone can be somewhat subjective, the MACD 4C allows a much crisper visual wave definition. Of particular importance here is, using the MACD, we see a convergence between waves 1 & 3, indicating trend continuation likely, while divergence appears between waves 3 & 5, suggesting a change in market behaviour to come.
Supporting evidence is provided in the volume signature. We see Supply entering at the top of the structure, with diminishing demand. In sum, this makes a compelling argument for the nearing of the end of the larger movement, which is further confirmed as the price falls below the supply line. At this point, we can start to expect a reversal or a consolidation into a trading range. Note here that volume can be interpreted either in traditional columns or in wave form, which displays accumulative volume, thanks to David Weiss's Weiss Wave.
“Buying waves are followed by selling waves in a seesaw battle until one side gains the upper hand”. David H. Weis
Chart#1:
Once the price has broken down through the supply line, we can apply a Fibonacci retracement tool, based on the entire Impulsive move-up, to provide target levels we can expect to see during the retracement. Note here of interest how the price behaves at each level, often testing, retesting, and ultimately using either as support or resistance.
Looking at chart #2, we see the price has successfully retraced all of the key levels, right down to the 0.78. At this point, we see a change in behaviour, as the price breaks the trend line and consolidates. Further, on the Daily TimeFrame, we now have what I see as a 5 wave corrective structure. (Note; this can also conform to Elliot Wave’s 3-wave ABC correction, with an extended C wave for those who strictly adhere to Eliot Wave Principles). Of significance here is that we see a divergence between Waves Y & Z. In addition, ultra-high volume signatures are entering the market, indicating possible strong demand emerging.
Chart#2:
At this point, we can start to expect a more significant retrace of the corrective move. By inverting the Fib Retracement and applying it to the corrective move, our first initial target is 0.236, which is in the 28000 regions for BTC. In further support of this target, we have still to see a significant retest of the Low that Created the High of the prior Impulsive move, which would be Wave 4 (see Chart#3).
Ideally, for the continuation of the Trend, we would like to see this final Low breached by a sharp Impulsive move on high volume, with a retest and consolidation, turning this level into solid resistance before a continuation. In our Chart#3, Wave Y fulfils the criteria of a sharp impulsive move down, yet has still to significantly retest this area. A retest of Wave 4 Lows would be in the 29400 price region for BTC. So we have a strong case for further upside, but are we out of the woods yet? Let’s look closer on the Daily & 4 Hr.
Chart#3:
On Chart#4 we see Supply entering and price getting rejected at the high of Wave X. Until this price level is broken, we can’t confirm a change in structure. Within Wave Z we have an internal high, which preceded the ultimate low of 15473. This level has been breached, subsequenlty retested, allowing us to retest the broken trend line. Is there an argument for a further retest of this level? Certainly. To support this, we can apply the Volume Profile fixed range tool to the entire corrective move. We see here that the high volume at price level (Point of Control POC) or the highest level of liquidity is at the 20700 area. We know that price likes to move from one high liquidity zone to another, so there is a strong case for a return to this region. Of comfort to the Bulls is that price so far has remained above this level, indicating that the volume that entered the market was on balance mostly demand, as prices subsequently rose.
Chart#4:
Let’s now go to the 4hr to further inspect the most recent price action. We see here (Chart#5), we have divergence, and price has broken the trend line indicating we have a possible a change in behaviour (either a consolidation or reversal). We have retraced to the 0.236 fib, but this is yet to be retested to act as short-term resistance. We have seen a sharp, impulsive move down to be followed by choppy sideways action. This would suggest the down move is yet to be completed, and a further sharp wick down to the high liquidity 20600 - 21600 region is likely. Let's go further into the 1hr.,
Chart#5:
Zooming right in, looking at the corrective move from the recent 25300 highs, the argument for continued downside seems solid. We have yet to see divergence on the smaller time frames. We have yet to see a retest of either the recent high volume bar or the larger liquidity pool in the 20600 - 21600 region. On the other side, as mentioned, we have yet to see the 29000 region tested. At this point my bias would lean towards a sharp push down in price to the high liquidity zone, followed by an impulsive move up, trapping shorts, and a grind up to 29000.
If you enjoyed this analysis or would like me to analyse any of your crypto coins please contact me.
Thanks, Tom.
USDJPY CARRY TRADE UPDATEFrom a technical standpoint we can see both momentum and trend intensity (angle) increasing. The retests in USDJPY are becomming less frequent and not as deep. Chances of continuing to the fib extension area of 138 is extremely high.
Fundamentally the new BoJ gov nominee is known to be very DOVISH, Japanese yen should continue coming down to earth. Which makes the long term outlook of this pair rather difficult to analyze, however from a medium term a trip to the next fib zone should be expected
CADCHF high potential to reach lower pricesIf the Canadian banks do not create a big demand, it is very likely that the strength of the Canadian dollar will decrease compared to the franc, and we will see the fall of this chart in the coming hours.
CADCHF has been examined in different dimensions:
1- Strong supply and demand levels that I identify with my own indicator and system.
2- The structure of recently formed waves
3- Current market momentum
4- The structure of classical and price patterns
In this idea, I identified the direction of the market in different ways and in the second step, I analyzed the potential of continuation or reversal. Usually, paying attention to the trend and strength of the trend can greatly increase the accuracy of the analysis.
In general, I tried to describe the continuation of the movement in the simplest possible way in the diagram.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is a personal opinion and you are responsible for any trading decisions.
EURUSDEURUSD has been examined in different dimensions:
1- Strong supply and demand levels that I identify with my own indicator and system.
2- The structure of recently formed waves
3- Current market momentum
4- The structure of classical and price patterns
In this idea, I identified the direction of the market in different ways and in the second step, I analyzed the potential of continuation or reversal. Usually, paying attention to the trend and strength of the trend can greatly increase the accuracy of the analysis.
In general, I tried to describe the continuation of the movement in the simplest possible way in the diagram.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is a personal opinion and you are responsible for any trading decisions.
XAUUSD - Ascending Channel Breakout As Shown XAUUSD has broken out of its ascending channel and impulsed downward giving indication gold may be in a bearish trend now and the trend has reversed.
It seems we are in the first wave of the Elliot wave theory which is the impulse wave that is shown on the chart. We may see a further continuation or we will see a retrace to the key FIB levels of 61.8 (1922) or 78.6 (1939) before we see a continuation downward.
Either way we should wait for confirmation of the trend line breaking or confirmation of the key FIB levels showing signs of resistance. I marked this Idea to be Invalid around 1961 and the target levels to be around 1830 and 1777.
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UasCad 5 wave done now lets go for ABCWhat I see!
Looking for Impulse down.
UsdCad completed wave 1,2,3,4, & 5 now its waiting to move down to complete wave abc. Make sure you have your own rules on RR and follow them. This is just a trading idea to help you/ give better knowledge. If you have any question ask me in comments.
Learn & Earn!
Bitcoin: Short-term Outlook Chart is pretty self explanatory, but as you can see, price broke above the downward trends resistance (red line), before reversing and using it as support. This is one of many signs of a reversal. We are currently testing new resistance (blue line), but given the momentum and breaking the downward terns, we should have enough buying to break above the current level being tested.