SLPUSD Wave Ana Trend AnalysisBe sure to stick to Stop Lost and TAkE Profit. This is an idea and not a bargain offer
This is just idea, not trading advice, use at own risk.
reasons:
It is recommended to buy in this price limit
It is mandatory to pay attention to the stop loss and the target marked on the chart
Do not be greedy and adhere to the specified principles. I hope you will be profitable
Note that there is no 100% analysis and it is possible to stop flirting
This is a personal analysis and you should not enter into a transaction without review
If you know this, make a purchase
Be sure to adhere to the principles of capital management and do not invest more than 2% of your capital in each transaction.
High-risk individuals can enter a maximum of 5% of risk capital in this transaction by accepting risk-taking.
This analysis has been analyzed with the classic Elliott topics and neo wave style. Also, the principles of price action have been used.
Wavetheory
AAPL - Short Term Burst Before The Fall Continues?Following the recent sell off in the US market is it time buy the dip for the tech companies like Apple?
Let's look at it in more detail.
Fundamental indicators:
Revenue and Profits - demonstrated consistent long-term earnings growth over the past 10 years
Profit margin - a decent 23% margin in 2021, but not as high as some other FANGMAN competitors
P/E - still quite high at 24x, considering the increasing risks it may need to let more steam out to become attractive to investors
Liabilities - no problems with debt
Technical Analysis (Elliott Waves):
Following the Ascending Triangle of wave 4 that had lasted for over a year it looks like the fifth wave completed in January 2022 finalising the global wave 3
Since then we have been observing the development of the new corrective wave that is likely to last longer than the previous correction, i.e. at least until March 2023
So far the proposed scenario suggests that after two double zigzags of W to the downside there was a sharp impulse to $179.61, 14 March 2022
It is often that when these impulses occur against the main movement, in this case against the correction, we can expect another one later on to complete a Running Flat or Running ZigZag
Hence with the market bounce that took place Friday the 13th it is likely that we are going to see another rapid impulse to the upside with the target of $168
Once this Running Correction is completed within the outlined channel lines we can expect another complex corrective wave Y to the downside with the target range between $118-$134
Given that the global 4th wave is going to last until March 2023 it is early to forecast the next movement structure after wave Y is completed
What do you think about Apple and its short term prospects?
Also let me know if you would like to see other stocks, indices, Forex or Crypto analysed using Elliott Waves.
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This is an update to the previous idea
UNIUSD Trend And Wave Analysis The loss limit of this deal is 25%
Be sure to stick to Stop Lost and TAkE Profit. This is an idea and not a bargain offer
This is just idea, not trading advice, use at own risk.
reasons:
It is recommended to buy in this price limit
It is mandatory to pay attention to the stop loss and the target marked on the chart
Do not be greedy and adhere to the specified principles. I hope you will be profitable
Note that there is no 100% analysis and it is possible to stop flirting
This is a personal analysis and you should not enter into a transaction without review
If you know this, make a purchase
Be sure to adhere to the principles of capital management and do not invest more than 2% of your capital in each transaction.
High-risk individuals can enter a maximum of 5% of risk capital in this transaction by accepting risk-taking.
This analysis has been analyzed with the classic Elliott topics and neo wave style. Also, the principles of price action have been used.
Amazon - Time to Buy or to Expect Deeper Correction? A trillion dollar giant Amazon has been upsetting investors with poor earning reports since July 2021 and its market price has already dropped by nearly 40%.
But is the price fair now to buy the dip or should we expect deeper and longer correction?
Fundamental indicators:
Revenue and Profits - consistent growth for the past 10 years, however, it is slowing down since 2021
Profit margin - just 7%, considerably lower than the rest of FANGMAN
P/E - still overwhelmingly overpriced with 54x ratio
Liabilities - no problems with debt
Technical Analysis (Elliott Waves):
Since IPO and the first deep correction in 2001 the share price has been accelerating and developing in a series of first waves
The first considerable correction of wave 4 can be observed between September 2018 and March 2020 in the shape of a Running Flat
And since the historic high $37773 culminating in wave 3 there has been next corrective wave 4 developing
Using the Fibonacci retracement levels from the high, the potential price zone where the correction may find support is between $1880 - $2240, representing 0.786 and 0.618 levels respectively
Considering that the previous wave 4 has lasted for 560 days, the one we are observing now is most likely to last even longer, at least until August 2023
And given that the correction is quite deep it is also likely that correction will be in the shape of triangle, of course other corrective wave patterns are also possible
Given all the above points the price range $1880-$2240 might be good for some purchases. However, considering the risks of recession and lengthy correction in the market - is it worth investing in Amazon ?
What do you think about the prospects for Amazon ?
Please share your thoughts in the comments and like this idea if you would like to see more stocks analysed using Elliott Waves.
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Amazon - Time to Buy or to Expect Deeper Correction (Update)?A trillion dollar giant Amazon has been upsetting investors with poor earning reports since July 2021 and its market price has already dropped by nearly 40%.
But is the price fair now to buy the dip or should we expect deeper and longer correction?
Fundamental indicators: :
Revenue and Profits - consistent growth for the past 10 years, however, it is slowing down since 2021
Profit margin - just 7%, considerably lower than the rest of FANGMAN
P/E - still overwhelmingly overpriced with 54x ratio
Liabilities - no problems with debt
Technical Analysis (Elliott Waves):
Since IPO and the first deep correction in 2001 the share price has been accelerating and developing in a series of first waves
The first considerable correction of wave 4 can be observed between September 2018 and March 2020 in the shape of a Running Flat
And since the historic high $3773 culminating in wave 3 there has been next corrective wave 4 developing
Using the Fibonacci retracement levels from the high, the potential price zone where the correction may find support is between $1880 - $1660, representing 0.786x of Wave 3 and 1.618x of wave A
Considering that the previous wave 4 has lasted for 560 days, the one we are observing now is most likely to last even longer, at least until August 2023
And given that the correction is quite deep it is also likely that correction may take shape of Triple Three pattern
Given all the above points the price range $1880-$1660 might be good for some purchases. However, considering the risks of recession and lengthy correction in the market - is it worth investing in Amazon now?
What do you think about the prospects for Amazon ?
Please share your thoughts in the comments and like this idea if you agree wit it.
Also let me know if you would like to see other stocks, indices or Forex pairs analysed using Elliott Waves.
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This is an update to the previous idea following the latest development in Amazon
Russell 2000 - US Economy in Trouble, 50% Shorting Opportunity?Although big indices like S&P500 and Nasdaq, favouring large cap companies, have still got potential to update historic highs - what is small caps index Russell 2000 telling us?
It has already dropped by 30%, is there more downside and is it indicating that real US economy already in trouble?
Technical Analysis (Elliott Waves):
Looking at weekly timeframe it is visible that sharp drop in March 2020 has completed fourth wave of an impulse that has been developing since the great financial crisis of 2008
The proposed scenario suggests that the 5th wave has culminated in November 2021 and since then the next global correction has started which is likely to last even longer than the previous one that stretched from 1998 to 2009 - it's shocking to think of a correction for 11 years or longer
The most interesting opportunity however, is the potential development of an Expanding Triangle which may have been formed with A-B-C-D waves already
And given that there was an optimistic bounce on Friday 13th May in all the markets, there is a potential move for Russell 2000 towards $2140 to complete this triangle
In this case the next move to the downside may have a great opportunity with nearly 50% for shorting the index and expect the target in the range between $1000 and $1300 which represent 0.618x and 0.5x Fibonacci retracement levels of the global wave 3
What do you think about this idea and US economy as a whole?
Please share your thoughts in the comments and like this idea if you agree wit it.
Also let me know if you would like to see other stocks, indices or Forex pairs analysed using Elliott Waves.
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SPX - This is it or S&P500 is Still Alive, for a While at Least?One thing is clear that volatility has considerably increased in S&P500 as investors are feeling nervous about sky-rocketing inflation, geopolitical risks, the slow down of the economy and even possibility of global recession which US is not immune to.
Following FOMC meeting 5 May 2022 markets have briefly reacted positively but the next day all gains have been lost. This might indicate that the current correction has not finished yet and investors are evaluating their risks and options before buying the deep.
Technical Analysis (Elliott Waves):
Sharp fall in March 2020 has completed two year correction which has been formed in the shape of expanding triangle, a rare type of correction but usually followed by the rapid impulse
Since then there was an explosive growth in the final impulse and it is likely that waves 1 to 3 have already been completed and wave 4 is currently forming
Alternative scenario may suggest that the whole impulse have already completed and we are observing the global correction. However, fundamentally there was no trigger yet to collapse the markets - although US economy is struggling, it is not in recession just yet
Using Fibonacci retracement it is likely that wave 4 will end at the level of 0.382, i.e. around $4010
The completion of wave 4 will be followed by impulse or ending Diagonal in wave 5 to update the historic high
What do you think about S&P500 and its prospects?
Please share your thoughts in the comments and like this idea if you would like to see more stocks analysed using Elliott Waves.
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Block Inc - Time to Buy or Wait?Is one of the leading fintechs Block cheap enough with the current 70% plunge to start buying its shares or the long term investors should wait just a little longer?
Fundamental indicators:
Revenue and Profits - although revenue grows exponentially the company is not making any sizable profits
P/E - outrageously high at over 200, it is crying for correction
Liabilities - no problems there
Technically:
The overall wave count is quite clear and typical to all the growth companies at their infancy stage, just look at Amazon in the early years and you will see similar structure
The initial impulse with 5 wave structure completed in February 2021 and we are observing the development of what looks like an Extended Flat
Impulse in the wave C is typically very deep with 0.786 Fibonacci retracement or even deeper so the overall correction may go to $67 or deeper
Wave 4 of C does not look completed yet and one of the potential scenarios may suggest a short term move towards $149 to finish it and then to continue descent
Do you think it's time to buy Block or there is more correction to follow or it is better to wait it out?
Please share your thoughts in the comments and like this idea if you would like to see more stocks analysed using Elliott Waves.
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Block Inc - Time to Buy with 150% Upside or Wait (Update)Is one of the leading fintechs Block cheap enough with the current 77% plunge to start buying its shares or the long term investors should wait just a little longer?
Fundamental indicators: :
Revenue and Profits - although revenue grows exponentially the company is not making any profits
Liabilities - no problems with debt
This is an update to the previous scenario (attached below).
Technical Analysis (Elliott Waves):
The overall wave count is quite clear and typical to all the growth companies at their infancy stage, just look at Amazon in the early years and you will see similar structure
The initial impulse with 5 wave structure completed in August 2021 and we are observing the development of what looks like an ABC correction
An impulse of wave A is currently wrapping up and the price may go a little lower to $50-60 area
Once wave A is completed we can expect bounce to the region of $150 - 175 making an attractive 150% upside
However, this is a highly speculative scenario and would not be suitable for long term investors given the looming troubles in the economy and poor fundamentals of the company.
What do you think about this scenario for Block ?
Please share your thoughts in the comments and like this idea if you agree wit it.
Also let me know if you would like to see other stocks analysed using Elliott Waves.
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HCA - Is Healthcare Worth Considering Now? Given that we are coming out of pandemic now and the pressure on hospitals is going to reduce is it worth picking up hospital operator for a potential 30% upside?
Fundamental indicators:
Revenue and Profits - demonstrated consistent long-term earnings growth over the past 10 years. However, increasing wages are eating into the profits
Profit margin - low margin with 8.7% in 2021
P/E - very attractive 9.9x ratio compared to 22x for the whole market
Liabilities - historically liabilities are on the level with assets, and debt to shareholder equity is negative
Technical Analysis (Elliott Waves):
Since March 2020 crash HCA has enjoyed a good rally peaking in April 2022
The sharp drop from the historic high is indicating that there was an Expanded Flat correction formed with an impulse in wave C
Since then there was a zigzag like movement to the upside which indicates that an Ending Diagonal is potentially forming. However, at this stage it is difficult to predict how the waves are going to develop at this stage
If the proposed scenario is correct we can expect waves 3 and 5 also formed by zigzags and correction in wave 4 intruding into the territory of wave 1
Let's see how it develops further.
What do you think about this scenario for HCA Healthcare Inc ?
Please share your thoughts in the comments and like this idea if you agree wit it.
Also let me know if you would like to see other stocks analysed using Elliott Waves.
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EW - Is Medical Tech with 40% Upside is More Attractive Now? Given that all the tech companies are experiencing a lot of pressure at the moment is it worth investing into medical tech company with potential short term 40% upside?
Fundamental indicators:
Revenue and Profits - demonstrated consistent long-term earnings growth over the past 10 years
Profit margin - high efficiency with 20% on average
P/E - quite high with 38x ratio but reduced from 54x in January 2022
Liabilities - no problems with debt
Technical Analysis (Elliott Waves):
EW has enjoyed explosive growth since 2013 and it is clearly visible that this growth cycle is finishing
The last considerable correction was formed by an Ascending Triangle in March 2021
Since then there was was a rapid impulse like movement which has peaked in December 2021. The main question if it was wave 5 or wave 3
Looking at the lower timeframe it is more likely that motive waves 1 and 3 have been formed by zigzags hence we can expect another zigzag of wave 5 after the current Flat correction is completed
What do you think about this scenario for EW ? Do you the alternative scenario where an impulse has already completed is more likely?
Please share your thoughts in the comments and like this idea if you would like to see more stocks analysed using Elliott Waves.
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Adobe - Still to Fall or Has It Reached Support Area? Is one of the leading digital media companies Adobe already attractive for investors?
Let's look at fundamentals and technical aspects.
Fundamental indicators:
Revenue and Profits - demonstrated consistent and explosive long-term earnings growth over the past 10 years
Profit margin - impressive 40% in 2021
P/E - still overpriced with 37x ratio
Liabilities - no problems with debt
Technical Analysis (Elliott Waves):
The sharp drop in March 2020 has completed a Running Flat correction that lasted for more than year and a half
Since then Adobe has enjoyed over 170% gain in its share price with a clear impulse movement
Having peaked at nearly $700 in November 2021 it has completed global wave 3 that started in August 2011 - very lengthy growth cycle
And hence it is time for even longer correction than the one we observed in 2018-2020, the duration target is end of 2023
Global wave 4 has already started with rapid correction from the historic high, the potential support levels using Fibonacci retracement are 0.5x and 0.618x, $360 and $280 respectively. But given still quite high P/E ratio it is more likely for Adobe to reach lower level of this zone
Once support is found then we are likely to observe a very lengthy corrective movement in the range between the lower support level and the maximum price of $700, which will provide short term opportunities for bull and bears
What do you think about this scenario for Adobe ?
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Nasdaq - Panic Over and Time to Get Discounts? With nearly 30% fall in Nasdaq , similar slaughter of tech stocks that we observed in March 2020, so is panic sell off over and is it time to buy stocks with strong fundamentals?
Fundamental indicators:
US Consumer Confidence - bounced from the low of March 2022 but still at the lowest levels since 2011
US Consumer Credit- at the highest since 2011, a positive sign, however, this can also be accredited to sharp rise in costs, hence people are spending more and getting less in return
US Industrial Production - also at its historic peak
US Jobless Claims - dropped to pre-pandemic levels
Nasdaq P/E - at 20.9x ratio, lower than in March 2020
Technical Analysis (Elliott Waves):
The sharp drop in March 2020 has completed a Running Flat correction that lasted for more than a year and a half
Since then there was initially an explosive growth which has started slowing down from September 2020 - this is a sign that there is not enough bull power to complete an Impulse and Ending Diagonal is developing instead with 3-3-3-3-3 structure
It is likely that wave 3 formed by a zigzag peaked in November 2021 and now wave 4 is developing which has already intruded into the territory of wave 1 and is nearly 0.786 of wave 3 using Fibonacci retracement
Given all the above it is likely that wave 4 will find support above $10680 price level of wave 2 and will start the final bull run in the shape of another zigzag
What do you think about the prospects of Nasdaq and US market as a whole?
Please share your thoughts in the comments and like this idea if you would like to see more stocks analysed using Elliott Waves.
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D. R. Horton - 60% Upside Opportunity? Is there an opportunity for a considerable gain on a homebuilding company D. R. Horton that operates in 31 states, before potential recession in the US.
Fundamental indicators:
Revenue and Profits - demonstrated consistent and explosive long-term earnings growth over the past 10 years
Profit margin - showing higher efficiency every year and currently at 16.5%
P/E - under-priced with just 4.8x ratio
Liabilities - no problems with debt
Technical Analysis (Elliott Waves):
Although it is a complex scenario but it is likely that there is an Ending Diagonal forming in the final fifth wave since the global correction completed in March 2020
Wave 1 with a zigzag culminated in May 2021 and since then second wave has been forming with an Extended Flat pattern where wave C is currently getting completed
Wave 3 is also expected to be formed by a zigzag targeting price range of $111 to $130 representing 0.5 and 0.786 Fibonacci retracement levels respectively
What do you think about this scenario for D. R. Horton ?
Please share your thoughts in the comments and like this idea if you would like to see more stocks analysed using Elliott Waves.
Centene Corp - 25% Short Opportunity? A government-sponsored health care company which looks like it's in trouble.
Is it time to short it?
Fundamental indicators:
Revenue and Profits - although revenue has been consistently growing for the past 10 years, the profits remained consistently low. Earnings (EBIT) are insufficient to safely cover interest payments on company debt
Profit margin - very low at 2% in 2021
P/E - extremely overpriced considering poor fundamentals - 31x ratio
Liabilities - debt relative to shareholder equity is rising
Technical Analysis (Elliott Waves):
This company has survived 2008 financial crisis and enjoyed explosive growth since then
However, the impulse like movement peaked in December 2018 with completion of a global wave 3 and since then it has been forming a complex Running Correction
With poor fundamentals and difficult economical situation it is very likely that wave X has completed and we are observing the development of wave Y to the downside now
There are two options for the final corrective wave - (1) a rapid impulse completing a Running Flat correction as ABC, or (2) complex form of a wave similar to wave W
The target for this wave is in the range of $64 to $57, representing 0.786x and 1x Fibonacci retracement levels against wave W
What do you think about this scenario for Centene Corp?
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Microsoft - Time to Buy the Dip? Still the undefeated software giant Microsoft , top 3 company of the world has corrected for 25%, nearly as much as we have seen in March 2020.
Is it time to buy?
Fundamental indicators:
Revenue and Profits - consistent strong growth for the past 10 years
Profit margin - impressive 35% in 2021
P/E - although still above the norms with 27x ratio it can be considered by many very much acceptable for this highly effective company
Liabilities - no problems with debt
Technical Analysis (Elliott Waves):
The rapid drop in March 2020 has completed correction that has been observed for nearly year and a half and formed by a Running Flat
Since then Microsoft has enjoyed an explosive growth with over 150% increase in an impulse movement
And having peaked at $350 there is another correction developing now
Given the rank of this highly sought after stock it is possible to assume that this correction is going to be similar to the previous one and the depth is not going to exceed 0.382 Fibonacci retracement of wave 3, i.e. not lower than $230, and it will also be shaped as a Running Flat
Duration of this running correction is likely to be longer than the previous one lasting at least till end of 2023 followed by another rocket-like movement to the moon
What do you think about the prospects for Microsoft ?
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AMD - Has Correction Completed? AMD might be a challenger or a leader in some specific areas compared to the competitors like Intel and NVIDIA.
But there is no doubt that it is one of few leaders in a semiconductor industry as a whole and it's here to stay.
The question is - is time to buy the dip having a discount at nearly 50% from the historic high?
Fundamental indicators:
Revenue and Profits - consistent growth for the past 10 years
Profit margin - the company is becoming more effective with a respectful 25% in 2021
P/E - although still overpriced with 54x ratio it has considerable reduced from circa 200 since 2019
Liabilities - no problems with debt
Technical Analysis (Elliott Waves):
According to the proposed scenario since the point when the current correction has started we have observed a circa 50% correction to wave 3
The rapid drop tells us that it is most likely to be an ABC pattern
Wave A of this zigzag was an impulse, wave B formed as a running flat and the current choppy movement resembles an Ending Diagonal where waves 1-3 have already completed
Wave 4 can be expected to be quite deep to wave 3 in the region of $116 and then to be followed by the final 5th wave drop to circa $80 to complete the whole corrective wave and start the new growth cycle
Given the deficits in the semiconductor industry which is currently the main source for the expansion of world digital economies do you think AMD is soon to start the new bull run?
What do you think about this idea?
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NVIDIA - Potential 100% Jump before Recession Hits? The absolute leader in graphic processing units NVIDIA has dropped nearly 50% from its historic high.
Is it still overpriced or is it time to start buying some shares of the giant?
Fundamental indicators:
Revenue and Profits - exponential growth for the past 10 years
Profit margin - very effective, one of few companies with impressive 36%
P/E - still overpriced at 48x, however it has considerably dropped from circa 90x just two years ago
Liabilities - no problems with debt
Technical Analysis (Elliott Waves):
Since IPO NVIDIA resembles parabolic graph. However, there might be few alternative options to count waves using Elliott Wave theory hence this presents additional risks
Presented scenario suggests that after forming the historic high in November 2021 there was a sharp correction of nearly 50%
Few alternatives for the developing wave 4 may include - (1) Flat Correction (ABC), (2) Contracting Triangle and (3) Running Correction
The last scenario has been selected due to the following reasons - as the leader in this sector NVIDIA is still most likely to enjoy increased interest from the investors, as there are not that many growth companies left, and given the exponential pattern of the graph every time the price touches Moving Average investors are most likely to buy all the dips
Risks:
Recession - looming recession is going to have inevitable impact even on the leader of this industry
Crypto - Ethereum's move to proof-of-stake model is projected to reduce the need for graphic processing units. However, Bitcoin and other coins using proof-of-work model are still going to remain the main clients
All of this including forecasts and assessment of the risks will be cleared in the next report planned for 25 May.
What do you think about the prospects for NVIDIA ?
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Tesla - Is Hype Over or Can We Still Expect Miracles from Musk? When there is hysteria in the market, sky-rocketing inflation, geopolitical risks and the slowdown of the economy can Tesla still update its historic high before global correction?
Fundamental indicators:
Revenue and Profits - quarterly earnings are beating wall street expectations
Profit margin - getting into double digits with 17% however it's nowhere near enough effective with the current P/E
P/E - outrageously high ratio of 105x
Liabilities - no problems with debt
Technical Analysis (Elliott Waves):
Since the fall of 2020 Tesla has enjoyed enormous 1600% increase in share price - no one can deny that it's a bubble of extreme proportions
The crux of the Elliott Wave count is the movement between January 2021 and February 2022 - in this scenario a Running Correction is proposed as wave 4
Therefore, fifth wave is currently developing and considering choppy movement it is likely to be an Ending Diagonal with 3-3-3-3-3 structure
Wave 1 of this diagonal has been completed and wave 2 with ABC zigzag is still developing which may reach $756 before turning around and starting wave 3
What do you think about this scenario on Tesla ?
Please share your thoughts in the comments and like this idea if you would like to see more stocks analysed using Elliott Waves.
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CARDANO (ADA/USDT) : Close to upside confirmation level at 1,30CARDANO (ADA/USDT) : Close to upside confirmation level at 1,30
Cardano is a proof-of-stake blockchain platform that says its goal is to allow “changemakers, innovators and visionaries” to bring about positive global change.
To learn more about this project, check out our deep dive of Cardano.
Context :
ADA (Cardano) was one of the Top gainer of the blockchain POS protocol in 2020 with solid upside trend on going between March 2020 and May 2021 before developing a non regular Flat pattern between May 2021 and Feb 2022 (Blue rectangle). The current graphical situation is leaning towards a further trading range with an upside swing towards the former top or a start of a significant wave III (Follower for 2022) as many other Protocol Layer 1 Token. On current level ADA didn't confirm any presignal for a direct bullish acceleration from EMA and Fibonacci key level, only RSI is evolving in positive area.
Key Element to Watch (Mixed element on Daily Basis)
- RSI in positive area above 50% (Bullish)
- 0,75 support (previous bottom of the range) is a key Fibonacci triangle ratio within complex range pattern calling for at least a test of 2,50 (Bullish) and also corresponding to standard fibo retracement from the previous upside trend (Bullish)
- EMA are still resistance (Bearish)
- Key fractal fibonacci level not surpassed at 1,30 (bearish)
Key Level To Watch
- 2,50 (triangle ratio)
- 3,20 (auto-similar move - fractal)
- 3,87 (Wave III first target = 6400 ETH/USDT)
- 0,95 (Key support overlap + key auto similar ratio in 3h chart basis)
Tactical View 3 to 12 Weeks
Prefered scenario : As long as 0,95 remains support , add in dips especially if ADA is not able to surpassed directly 1,30 to anticipate the upside break out and play 2,50 before 3,20
Alternative case : Breaking 0,95 better to go away to other protocol token , risk of setback towards 0,52
Bitcoin $BTCUSD as a store of value or inflation hedge?Inexperienced traders will call this bearish candle manipulation. But this is basically a continuation of counter-trend (overall bitcoin is bullish; bull market) in accordance with the Elliott Wave Theory. Simply, we just experienced a bearish impulse where the 3rd wave is usually the longest so we can expect more strong bearish movements as price moves after consolidation. Also, the bitcoin market contrasted with the dollar index (DXY) shows a correlation where both moves against each other which implies as DXY moves higher, BTC will continue to move lower while trying to create new lows.
Do you think price can sweep the lows of $28615?
FB - Even Deeper Correction, Another 60% Drop?With poor earnings report in the first quarter of 2022 and downbeat forecast for the second quarter, rising competition from TikTok - can we expect even further fall for Meta Platforms ?
Fundamental indicators:
Revenue and Profits - consistently strong growth up until now but 2022 may be the first year when the rate slows down which is putting investors off at the moment
Profit margin - impressive 31% last year but will be reducing with growing CAPEX for Metaverse
P/E - already reasonable ration at 16x
Liabilities - no problems with debt
Technically:
Following IPO back in 2012 Meta has enjoyed explosive growth cycle which has culminated in September 2021
All of this movement can be marked as an initial 5 wave impulse and now we are observing the development of the global second wave which is normally very deep and rapid
The structure of the second wave is very likely to be an ABC zigzag where waves A and B have already completed
Waves 1 to 3 of C have already formed and fourth is taking shape as a Running Flat
The fact that this correction is tilted in the direction of trend, i.e. Running, the fifth wave can be quite aggressive and reach circa $96 which represents 0.786 Fibonacci retracement of the global wave 1, or possibly even deeper
What do you think about Meta Platforms and its future?
Please share your thoughts in the comments and like this idea if you would like to see more stocks analysed using Elliott Waves.
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