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Netflix - Bullish Move Of +50% Ahead!Netflix ( NASDAQ:NFLX ) is trading at an important breakout level: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Netflix is just another one of these stocks which is perfectly following cycles and market structure. After the recent drop of about -80%, Netflix perfectly tested the bottom of the reverse triangle pattern, created bullish confirmation and took off towards the upside. Levels to watch: $700, $1.000 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by basictradingtv
6
ASML (ASML): Massive Sell-Off - What's next after the $50B loss?We are sure you’ve heard about ASML’s massive drop yesterday, erasing $50 billion in market value within hours following a technical error and the earnings report published a day earlier. ASML, Europe's most valuable tech company and a critical supplier to chipmakers, is now facing doubts—not about its long-term prospects but regarding short-term sales and whether it can continue to outperform the market in the long term. As always, we’re not focused on intraday trades but are looking for bigger, high-risk-to-reward swing trade setups. To assess this, we’re turning to the Weekly chart to analyze ASML’s most important levels. Our most likely scenario at this point is that the All-Time High represents a wave B, after exactly respecting the 138% Fibonacci extension level. Coupled with the bearish divergence on the RSI, this pullback was expected. While it's difficult to predict the exact point of reversal, we see $600 as a major psychological support level that could hold in the short term. To reverse the current downtrend, ASML must break above the resistance zone of $850–$895. However, as this is a potential wave ((ii)), even reaching the All-Time High is not out of the question. Merely reclaiming this resistance zone might not be enough to signal a trend change. We’re keeping an eye on all major support zones, but the largest position we plan to open would be between $250 and $140. While this is still far off, and there will likely be opportunities along the way, this zone would provide the most textbook setup according to Elliott Wave Theory. The recent dip has also opened up more potential plays for the future. Stay tuned as we monitor the situation for further developments! 🔥
NASDAQ:ASML
by freeguy_by_wmc
6
Can You Use Math to Elevate Your Trading Strategy?In the world of trading, understanding market movements is crucial for success. One of the most effective frameworks for interpreting these movements is Wave Theory, a concept that helps traders identify price trends and potential reversals. By incorporating mathematical projections, traders can enhance their analysis and make informed decisions. In this article, we’ll explore the fundamentals of Wave Theory and demonstrate how to project price movements using wave measurements—specifically, measuring Wave 1 to project the size of Wave 3. Understanding Wave Theory Wave Theory, popularized by Ralph Nelson Elliott, posits that financial markets move in repetitive cycles or waves, driven by collective investor psychology. Elliott identified two primary types of waves: Impulse Waves: These are the waves that move in the direction of the prevailing trend, typically comprising five waves (labeled 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5). Corrective Waves: These waves move against the prevailing trend and consist of three waves (labeled A, B, and C). In a typical bullish market, you will observe a series of impulse waves followed by corrective waves. Understanding these waves allows traders to identify potential entry and exit points based on price patterns. The Mathematics Behind Wave Projections One of the key aspects of Wave Theory is using mathematical relationships to predict future price movements. A common approach is to measure the length of Wave 1 and use that measurement to project the size of Wave 3. Research indicates that Wave 3 often ranges between 1.0 to 1.68 times the length of Wave 1. Steps to Project Wave 3: Identify Wave 1: Begin by determining the starting point of Wave 1 and measuring its length. This can be done by noting the price levels at the start and end of Wave 1. Calculate the Length of Wave 1: Length of Wave 1 = End Price of Wave 1 - Start Price of Wave 1. Project Wave 3: To project Wave 3, multiply the length of Wave 1 by the desired factor (1.0 to 1.68). Projected Length of Wave 3 = Length of Wave 1 × (1.0 to 1.68). Determine the Target Price: Add the projected length of Wave 3 to the endpoint of Wave 2 to determine the target price for Wave 3. Target Price = End Price of Wave 2 + Projected Length of Wave 3. Example: Applying Wave Theory in a Trading Scenario Let’s say we’re analyzing a stock and identify Wave 1 as follows: Start of Wave 1: $50 End of Wave 1: $70 Step 1: Measure Wave 1: Length of Wave 1 = $70 - $50 = $20 Step 2: Project Wave 3: Using the range of 1.0 to 1.68: Minimum Projection = $20 × 1.0 = $20 Maximum Projection = $20 × 1.68 = $33.60 Step 3: Determine the Target Price: Assuming Wave 2 has an endpoint of $80: Minimum Target Price = $80 + $20 = $100 Maximum Target Price = $80 + $33.60 = $113.60 Thus, based on Wave Theory, we would anticipate that Wave 3 could reach between $100 and $113.60. Wave Theory, combined with mathematical projections, provides traders with a structured approach to understanding market dynamics and predicting future price movements. By accurately measuring Wave 1 and projecting Wave 3, traders can make informed decisions based on calculated price targets, improving their chances of success in the financial markets. As you incorporate Wave Theory into your trading strategy, remember that no system is foolproof. Always combine technical analysis with sound risk management practices to protect your capital. With patience, discipline, and a strong mathematical foundation, you can leverage Wave Theory to enhance your trading prowess and navigate the markets with greater confidence. How can you see yourself incorporating mathematical projections like Wave Theory into your trading strategy, and what has been your experience with predicting market movements using these techniques? Let me know in the comments. Happy trading!
Education
by TLTurnerTV
BITCOIN → Bearish Pressure !!! (Short term)As I mentioned in my previous analysis, Bitcoin experienced a good rise after breaking out of the Megaphone and is now It has completed 5 ascending waves and considering that the price has reached the weekly pivot line, we can expect price correction from this point. Previous Analysis and ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard .💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by CobraVanguard
1
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): Long to the resistance area at 1.11551.Colleagues, price made a strong downward move and I redrew the waves. At this point, I believe price has just now completed wave “4” and I believe price will start an upward movement. First of all I don't want to set the target too high. The 1st target is the resistance area at 1.11551. This is the area where volume accumulations have been taking place. In any case, I do not recommend entering short positions now. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Long
by Hellena_Trade
25
Hellena | Oil (4H): Short to support area at 67 (Wave "3").Dear colleagues, I believe that at the moment we have a great opportunity to find an entry into a short position that will bring us many pips. The fact is that the wave “2” of the middle order is completed, which means that the wave “3” of the higher order continues the downward movement in the wave “3” of the middle order. I expect the price to rise a bit more to the 78 level, then I expect the price to drop to the 67 level. It will not be a quick drop, but we will be able to go short several times. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
PEPPERSTONE:SPOTCRUDEShort
by Hellena_Trade
3
Hellena | Oil (4H): Short to support area at 72.299.Well, colleagues, the price did not stop and continued its upward movement. At the moment, I understand that the price should turn around and start the long-awaited continuation of the downward movement. I believe that wave 2 should end in the area of 79.338 or it has already ended and the downward movement has already started. In any case, I see the first target is the support area at 72.299. This scenario will be canceled by reaching the level of 84.601, as this is the top of the wave “2” of the higher order, which means that the wave movement needs to be reconsidered. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
PEPPERSTONE:SPOTCRUDEShort
by Hellena_Trade
13
NEO → movement in the coming days !!!If we use the pitchfork for NEO chart we can see that the price couldn't break the middle line of the pitchfork , so this means that the price would reach the bottom of the pitchfork and than start It's uptrend movement . ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard .💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Long
by CobraVanguard
2
Bitcoin - Time to buy again!Currently, it can be said that Bitcoin has completed its fourth corrective wave and from now on, the price can be expected to rise to the top of the triangle. If the triangle breaks, we expect a new ATH to occur, but in new year. Recently analysis (Daily) And (weekly) ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard .💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by CobraVanguard
1
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): Long to the 100%-161.8% Fibo lvl 1.13296Colleagues, I reviewed the waves a bit and realized that the upward movement is likely to continue. At the moment I believe that the price is in wave “3” lower wave and in wave “5” higher wave. Therefore, I think that the nearest target is in the area of 1.13296, which is 100%-161.8% of Fibonacci extension levels. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Long
by Hellena_Trade
13
Hellena | SPX500 (4H): Long to area 5791 (Wave 3).Dear colleagues, it seems that the price continues the upward movement in the wave “3” of the higher and lower order. This means that two scenarios are possible: 1) I expect a small correction to the area of 50% Fibonacci level 5550, then continuation of the upward movement. 2) Price will continue the upward movement in wave “1”, possibly immediately to the area of 5791. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by Hellena_Trade
9
Hellena | GOLD (4H): Long to 100% Fibo lvl 2673 (Wave 3).Colleagues, I believe that the price has not finished the upward movement in wave “3” of the higher order and wave “3” of the lower wave. After a small correction of 2603 I expect a continuation of the upward movement to the area of 100% Fibonacci extension (level 2673). It is quite possible that this movement will not start immediately and will be preceded by a slightly deeper correction. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Hellena_Trade
6
Hellena | GOLD (4H): Long to resistance area 2619.Dear colleagues, I believe that the upward movement in the impulse of the five-wave structure has begun. At the moment I believe that wave “1” has either completed or is being completed. In the first case, I expect a corrective movement in wave “2”. Wave “2” is indicated by the 50% Fibonacci level. This is the area of 2533. But the main direction is still upward. Therefore, the main target is the resistance area 2619. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Hellena_Trade
23
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): Long to the resistance area 1.11587.Dear colleagues, in the last forecast I counted on the fact that wave “2” is completed, but now it is clear that it is not. I think that the price will complete wave “2” in the area of 100% - 161.8% Fibonacci extension levels. This is the range of 1.09788 - 1.08690. But from here I hope to see the beginning of the upward movement in wave “3”, because I still want to see an update of the highs and the nearest target is the resistance area at 1.11587. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Long
by Hellena_Trade
11
Hellena | DJI (4H): Long to resistance area 41687. Dear colleagues, I believe that the correction in the wave “2” has already taken place and therefore the impulse wave “3” has started, which according to the rules of wave analysis should reach the resistance area 41687. This is possible in 2 cases: 1) wave 1 has not been formed yet 2) after wave 2 in wave 3 (then this level will be reached 2 times). Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
BLACKBULL:DJ30.FLong
by Hellena_Trade
2
Bitcoin Cycles: Predicted Highs and Lows for 2025-2026 In this post, we will explore the Bitcoin market cycle in an effort to predict when the next cycle's top and bottom might occur, along with their potential price levels. Our analysis will cover several key concepts, including the Four-Year Cycle Theory, peak-to-peak and bottom-to-bottom analysis, cycle timing (peak-to-bottom), and the idea of diminishing returns, to support our forecast. Lets go! The Four-Year Cycle Theory: The Four-Year Cycle Theory in Bitcoin refers to a recurring market cycle that aligns with the Bitcoin halving event, which occurs approximately every four years. It suggests that Bitcoin's price moves in predictable cycles, driven largely by the dynamics of supply and demand, with the halving event acting as a significant catalyst. The theory suggests that each four-year cycle consists of four distinct phases: a. Accumulation (Bear Market Bottom) b. Uptrend (Bull Market Start) c. Parabolic Rise (Bull Market Peak) d. Correction (Bear Market Crash) The halving significantly reduces the rate at which new Bitcoin is mined, which leads to a supply reduction. As supply decreases while demand stays the same or increases (due to growing adoption, media attention, etc.), the price often rises after the halving leading to phase c. the Parabolic Rise. With the basics of the Four-Year Cycle Theory covered, we can now analyze the intervals between cycle peaks and bottoms. Cycle interval analysis: A cycle analysis aims to identify recurring patterns by analyzing the time and price movements between key events, such as market tops (peaks) and bottoms, in the case of Bitcoin the halving event may also be considered. By examining these cyclical behaviors it is attempted to predict future tops and bottoms. The simplest and easiest-to-understand patterns are: 1. Top-to-Top The time difference between consecutive market tops 2. Top-to-Bottom The time difference between a market top to the next market bottom. 3. Bottom-to-Top The time difference between a market bottom to the next market top. 4. Bottom-to-Bottom The time difference between consecutive market bottoms. There are however also more advanced patterns such as: 5. All-Time-High Break to Top The time difference between a break of the last cycle top to the next market top. 6. Halving event to top The time difference between the halving event to the next market top. It can be observed that market cycle patterns in the 2nd cycle are shorter compared to those in the 3rd and 4th cycles. This is likely due to a lack of market maturation or the fact that it occurs before the first halving. What stands out is the similarity between the 3rd and 4th cycle patterns. By averaging these cycles, we can predict the 5th cycle. Even more striking is that several of these predictions closely match the subsequent cycle top AND bottom. The predicted upcoming market cycle top is predicted as follows: Based on the Top-to-Top pattern, the market top is forecasted for November 3, 2025. According to the Bottom-to-Bottom pattern, the top is expected on October 13, 2025. The Halving Event-to-Top pattern suggests a market peak on October 6, 2025. Additionally, the ATH-Break-to-Top pattern indicates that the Parabolic Rise of the current cycle will begin on December 9, 2024. The predicted upcoming market cycle bottom is predicted as follows: Based on the Bottom-to-Bottom pattern, the market bottom is forecasted for October 19th 2026. According to the Top-to-Bottom pattern, the market bottom is forecasted for October 26th 2026. Here is a graphical overview of our prediction timelines: Price prediction using diminishing Returns: In the context of Bitcoin and market cycles, diminishing returns refers to the phenomenon where, as Bitcoin’s market matures and more capital or resources are invested, the incremental gains or price increases from additional investments become smaller over time. In essence this means the following: Bull Market Peaks: As a market cycle reaches its peak, diminishing returns become evident. The price increases become smaller and less dramatic each cycle compared to earlier in the cycle. Bear Market Corrections: Following the peak, the market often enters a correction phase where prices decline significantly. The decline also becomes smaller and less dramatic compared to earlier cycles. In essence, this results in less dramatic bull cycles but also less severe declines during bear markets: Here is a table overview with the values: The effects of diminishing returns are clearly observable, with one exception: the Cycle Top to the next Cycle Bottom in Cycle 3, which saw a 6x loss. However, if we take the effects of diminishing returns into consideration, we can make the following conclusions: The next Cycle Top will likely not exceed the Cycle 4 Top-to-Top multiplier of 3.4x, meaning it is unlikely to exceed a price of 224K. The next Cycle Top will likely not exceed the Cycle 4 Bot-to-Top multiplier of 20.5x, meaning it is even more unlikely to exceed a price of 333K. After considering the effects of diminishing returns, we believe a Top-to-Top multiplier in the range of 2 to 2.6 is realistic. Therefore, we predict a cycle top price of $131,000 to $170,000. Regarding the next bear market Bottom: The next Cycle Bottom will likely be below the Cycle 4 Bot-to-Bot multiplier of 5.1x, meaning it will likely be below 83K. We believe a Bot-to-Bot multiplier in the range of 3 to 4 is realistic. Therefore, we predict a cycle bottom price of $49,000 to $65,000. Final Conclusion: Predicted Cycle Top: The upcoming market cycle top is forecasted to occur in October or November 2025. Based on our analysis, we predict a price range of $131,000 to $170,000. Predicted Cycle Bottom: The upcoming market cycle bottom is forecasted to occur in October or November 2026. Based on our analysis, we predict a price range of $49,000 to $65,000. These predictions incorporate the effects of diminishing returns and historical cycle patterns.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Cryptonerds
3
Hellena | DJI (4H): Short to 38.2%-50% Fibo lvl`s 40137.Dear colleagues, after I realized that the price is in the upward impulse of wave “1” I realized that we should look for the beginning of the correction of wave “2”. At the moment I expect the price to rise a little more to the resistance area of 41379 and then start a corrective movement to the area of 38.2%-50% Fibonacci levels (40137). Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
BLACKBULL:DJ30.FShort
by Hellena_Trade
1
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): Long to the resistance area 1.12998.Dear Colleagues, In the last forecast I expected a deeper correction, but it didn't happen. Well, so the price is in a strong bullish movement and at the moment I expect the price to complete wave “3” and start a small correction in wave “4” 1.10671, then I expect the resumption of the upward movement and the beginning of wave “5”, which will update the maximum 1.12331 and come to the resistance area 1.12998. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Long
by Hellena_Trade
10