Wavetheory
USDJPY Looking for correction ??The USD/JPY pair has completed the impulsive wave sequence labeled as 1-2-3-4-5 and is now entering a corrective phase, typically labeled as A-B-C. The price has already formed waves A and B and is currently progressing towards wave C, which is expected to extend to the 1.618 Fibonacci extension level.
Additionally, the formation of a head and shoulders pattern suggests a potential reversal or a downward correction in the price. Here’s a written summary of the analysis:
USD/JPY Technical Analysis: - Impulsive Waves: Completed (1-2-3-4-5) - Corrective Waves: In progress (A-B-C) - Wave A: Completed - Wave B: Completed - Wave C: Targeting 1.618 Fibonacci extension Pattern Analysis: - Head and Shoulders pattern observed, indicating a potential reversal or correction.
Hellena | GOLD (4H): Long to resistance area of 2358.71.Dear Colleagues, I suppose that the wave "4" of the higher order is completing its movement. I expect a possible update of the minimum and reaching the area of 2281.89 or the beginning of the upward movement to the resistance area of 2358.71.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | DJI (4H): Long to the resistance area 39156.49.Dear Colleagues, I suppose that the price has started the wave "5" of the higher order. At the moment I expect a correction in wave "2" of lower order, then I expect the beginning of wave "3" with the aim to reach the resistance area 39156.49.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | SPX500 (4H): Long to 100% Fibo lvl 5209.Colleagues, in the coming trading week I expect the uptrend to continue after the formation of corrective wave “2”, which I expect in the area of 50% Fibonacci level 5025.
After that I expect the beginning of the formation of wave “3”, with the aim to reach 100% of the Fibonacci extension level 5209.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
📍Part #1, Elliott Waves: "Introduction. Classification".Hello!
Dear colleagues, because I am constantly analyzing the markets with the help of wave analysis. Many colleagues ask me about it and I decided to make some tutorial posts to help you in this difficult task.
I want to present this information to you in a simple and straightforward manner.
Well, enough unnecessary text, let's get started!
A bit of history from Wikipedia.
Ralph Nelson Elliott (1871-1948), an American accountant, developed a model for the underlying social principles of financial markets by studying their price movements, and developed a set of analytical tools in the 1930s. He proposed that market prices unfold in specific patterns, which practitioners today call Elliott waves, or simply waves.
Elliott stated that "because man is subject to rhythmical procedure, calculations having to do with his activities can be projected far into the future with a justification and certainty heretofore unattainable."
In simple words, human behavior is quite predictable. And since it is mostly people who trade on the markets, we can predict its movement with some probability.
Well. Let's explore what these waves are.
Let's start by categorizing them.
The movements are mostly carried out by a five-wave structure.
📍 Modes: Motive & Corrective
Waves unfold in two distinct forms: motive and corrective. Motive waves exhibit a five-wave structure, featuring both a five-wave model and its co-directional components—waves 1, 3, and 5. The term "motive" is attributed to this structure due to its inherent ability to energize and set the market in motion. On the other hand, corrective waves, prevalent in countertrend movements, follow a three-wave structure or its variations. The name "corrective" stems from their nature as responses to preceding motive waves, executing partial retracements or "corrections" of the prior progress. Hence, these two wave types stand apart not only in their roles but also in their fundamental construction.
Motive
📍 Styles: Impulse & Diagonal.
There are two types of motive waves: impulse and diagonal. As a rule, they alternate in the position of waves 1-5 impulses and waves A-C of the zigzag.
📍 Patterns: Impulse, Leading Diagonal & Ending Diagonal
Five-wave action model. Creates forward progress.Motive waves are limited to three patterns: Impulse, Leading and Ending Diagonals.
Corrective
📍 Groups: Simple & Combined
The corrective mode has two groups, simple and combined. Combined corrections are subdivided into simple corrective structures.
The group of simple corrections includes: flat, triangle and single zigzag. Combined group — multiple zigzag and combination.
📍 Styles: Sharp & Sideways
There are two styles of corrective processes: sharp and sideways. If wave two of an impulse is a sharp correction, expect wave four to be a sideways correction, and vice versa.
📍 Patterns: Flat, Triangle, Single Zigzag, Multiple Zigzag and Combination 📍
Three-wave or five-wave (which have characteristics of both fives and threes) or their combination model of counteraction. Always produces a net retracement from the previous wave.
Corrective patterns include: single and multiple zigzags, triangle, flat, combination.
Variations
📍Divergences in Elliott Wave patterns manifest in two conditional categories: variations in form and variations in the quantity of simple structures. Impulses, diagonals, flats, triangles, and single zigzags are distinguished by the proportional length of their sub-waves, shaping the model uniquely. On the other hand, combined corrections, incorporating multiple zigzags and combinations, maintain a consistent shape, and their identification is based on the count of simple corrective structures they encompass.
This was an introductory lesson on Elliott waves. Further we will examine each type and subspecies of waves in detail in a separate lesson!
🔔 Click on the links below this lesson! 🔔
📍Part # 8, Combination - Corrective Waves.👩🏻💻 Hello !
This time we're going to look at combinations.
It may seem too complicated, but don't worry. In fact, any combination simply consists of two corrective patterns that you and I already know, only between these two patterns there is a connecting wave.
Let's go straight to the rules and everything will become clear to you at once!
✅ Rules ✅
📍A “double three” combination comprises two corrective patterns separated by one corrective pattern in the opposite direction, labeled 'X'. The first corrective pattern is labeled 'W', the second 'Y'.
📍A "double three" combination comprises (in order) a zigzag and a flat, a flat and a zigzag, a flat and a flat, a zigzag and a triangle or a flat and a triangle.
📍Wave 'X' appears as a zigzag or flat.
📍Wave 'X' always retraces at least 90 percent of wave 'W'.
📍Combinations have a sideways look. With respect to waves 'W' and 'Y' in a double three, only one of those waves in each type of combination appears as a single zigzag.
📍Combinations can occur in the same wave positions as flats and triangles (except for the triangle subwave) but cannot occur in waves 'W' and 'Y'.
✅ Guidelines ✅
📍Wave 'X' is often 123.6-138.2% the 'W' wavelength, less often wave 'X' retraces 161.8% or more. Don't expect wave 'X' to be more than 261.8% of wave 'W'.
📍Wave 'X' is usually a single or multiple zigzag.
📍When a zigzag or flat appears too small to be the entire wave with respect to the preceding wave (or, if it is to be wave '4', the preceding wave '2'), a combination is likely.
Thank you for your attention! There will be another lecture next week! Don't miss it!
🔔 Links to other lessons in related ideas. 🔔
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): Long to resistance area of 1.07923.Dear Colleagues, I suppose that the price has completed the correction and is now in an impulsive movement. Presumably in wave “3”, which means that the upward movement will continue. A small correction to the support area of 1.06595 is possible, then I expect the price in the resistance area of 1.07923.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Unfolding Waves in Chambal Fertilisers: Bullish Path AheadAn analysis of Chambal Fertilizers using Elliott Waves, we can observe an interesting progression in the stock's price movements on a weekly cycle. The chart has completed the initial waves I through IV, and it is currently unfolding wave V, signaling a strong potential for a bullish trend ahead. Let's delve deeper into the details of this wave analysis.
Weekly Cycle
Wave V: We are observing the unfolding of wave V on the weekly cycle. This wave is showing potential for further upside as the stock completes its final wave in the longer timeframe.
Subdivision of Wave V: Within wave V, the stock has already completed waves (1) and (2), and it is now unfolding wave (3).
Wave (3) of Wave V
Progression within Wave (3): In the ongoing wave (3) of V, we've seen waves 1 through 4 completed, and the current focus is on wave 5 of (3).
Hourly Timeframe
Progression within Wave 5 of (3) of V: In this specific timeframe, wave 5 has already seen the completion of sub-waves ((i)), ((ii)), ((iii)), and nearly all of wave ((iv)). This suggests we are likely at the end of wave ((iv)), poised for wave ((v)).
Elliott Waves Fundamentals
Wave Counts: The stock's progression through each wave provides valuable insights into potential market behavior. The typical characteristics of an impulsive wave, as seen in the unfolding of wave V, include strong, directional movements, which are followed by corrective waves.
It’s essential to apply appropriate risk management techniques, such as setting stop losses, to mitigate potential downsides. Be cautious in managing your exposure and avoid over-leveraging.
This analysis is purely for educational purposes and should not be taken as investment advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a financial professional before making any investment decisions. Remember, market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
This analysis aims to provide an overview of the potential trajectory of Chambal Fertilisers based on Elliott Waves. It's always important to stay vigilant and adjust your approach as new information becomes available. Happy trading!
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
WAVES/USDT ready for potential move? 👀🚀waves Analysis💎 Paradisers, get ready for a promising opportunity with #WAVESUSDT as it positions itself within a demand zone, gearing up for a potential bullish move.
💎 Historically, we've observed #WAVES adhering nicely to a pattern of descending resistance. Currently, after rebounding from a potential bottom, the price is maintaining momentum within the demand zone. If it can sustain this momentum at the demand level of $2.358, there's a strong chance it could break through the descending resistance and initiate a bullish movement.
💎 Consider this alternate scenario: if PSX:WAVES struggles to maintain its momentum at the demand level, a bullish rebound from the double bottom area or key support might be expected. However, should #WAVES fail to find support at this level and instead break below, it may indicate a continuation of the bearish trend. Overcoming the descending resistance is crucial for #WAVES to sustain its bullish trajectory.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
Caution: Expect FI (Fiserv) to Sell OffThe fundamentals are looking great for FI no denying that. However, we have a text book 4th wave triangle you can see on the chart then with a thrust into a 5th wave. We have met the measured target of Wave A of the triangle = Wave 5. It's also interested to note a lot of top insiders have been selling at these prices. Also, not shown is monthly divergence, which is expected in a 5th wave. Expect prices to move to at least below Wave 4 around $109 or lower. Once a wave A sell off happens we can project for a wave C projection before prices could move up.
Elliott Wave Analysis of HCLTECH: Wave 5 in FocusElliott Wave Analysis of HCLTECH
In this analysis, we will examine the Elliott Wave count of HCL Technologies Limited (HCLTECH) and provide insights into the current wave structure on various time frames. This is purely for educational purposes and should not be taken as investment advice.
Monthly Time Frame:
Bigger Wave I and II: HCLTECH has completed its Bigger wave I and II on the monthly time frame.
Wave III: The stock is currently unfolding wave III on the monthly time frame.
Weekly Time Frame:
Within wave III, we observe weekly counts unfolding as subdivisions in wave ((1)) & ((2)). The stock is currently in wave ((3)).
Inside wave (3), subdivisions as wave 1-2-3 & 4 have been completed.
Daily Time Frame:
We are now possibly unfolding wave 5, which is a subdivision of wave ((3)).
Wave 4: The daily wave 4 has completed its subdivisions as wave ((w)), ((x)), ((y)), ((x)), and ((z)).
Wave ((i)) of 5: If our assumptions are correct, we have started to unfold wave ((i)) of wave 5.
Key Levels and Risk Management:
Invalidation Level : The low of wave 4 is set at 1435, serving as the invalidation level for going long. This is the stop loss level to be mindful of when entering a trade.
Upside Target : Wave 5 could cross above the highs of wave 3, which is the all-time high at 1697, and more.
Insights:
Confirmation of Trend: Watch for a clear breakout and confirmation of trend to validate the start of wave ((i)) of 5.
Caution: As with any investment, caution should be exercised, and risk management is essential.
Market Behavior: Keep an eye on market behavior and patterns as they unfold to validate the count.
This analysis is intended for educational purposes only and should not be considered a trade or investment tip. Always conduct your own analysis and consult with a professional before making any investment decisions.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Hellena | Oil (4H): Long to resistance area of 87.47.Dear Colleagues, at the moment the price has made a strong downward movement. I suppose that the price is in wave "4" and can continue its movement to the support area of 80.22, but I consider only long positions, because the price can make a reversal at once. I recommend to work with pending orders.
The nearest target is the resistance area at 87.47.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
XAUUSD - Bearish Alert!Looking at the current GOLD trend which is increasingly showing a downward trend. Geopolitically, the Middle East is stable amid the issue of massive demonstrations on American college campuses, but this has not had a significant impact.
.
We will continue to monitor market patterns and also the formation of price action on XAUUSD, considering that next week a lot of important American news and data will be released. We will wait together, and stay patient.
📍Part #7, Multiple Zigzag - Corrective Waves - Combined.👩🏻💻Hello!
Dear colleagues, this is the 7th lesson on wave analysis and today we are going to look at Multiple Zigzag. We already know what a Zigzag is, so we will not look at this pattern for a long time, but just to clarify that Multiple Zigzag consists of several Zigzags.
Let's get to the rules and guidelines!
✅ Rules ✅
📍A Multiple Zigzag comprise two (or three) single zigzags separated by one (or two) corrective pattern(s) in the opposite direction, labeled "X". In the first case, it is called «double zigzag», in the second - «triple zigzag» (The first single zigzag is labeled "W", the second "Y", and the third, if there is one, "Z".)
📍Waves "W", "Y" and "Z" are always single zigzags.
📍Wave "X" never goes beyond the beginning of waves "W" and "Y".
📍Wave "Y" always ends past the end of the "W", and wave "Z", if any, always ends past the end of the "Y".
📍The first "X" wave always ends on the territory of the "W" wave, the second "X", if any, on the territory of the "Y" wave.
📍In a triple zigzag, the first "X" wave is always a zigzag, flat or combination. The second "X" wave is always a zigzag, flat, triangle or combination.
📍In a double zigzag, wave "X" is always a zigzag, flat, triangle, or combination.
📍Double and triple zigzags replace single zigzags, but cannot appear as "W", "Y", or "Z" waves.
✅ Guidelines ✅
📍In a double zigzag, wave "Y" can equal wave "W", .618 wave "W", 1.618 wave "W", or terminate at a distance equal to 1.618 wave "W" past wave "W". In a triple zigzag, there can be equality among waves "W", "Y" and "Z", or wave "Z" can equal 1.618 wave "Y", 1.618 wave "Y", or terminate at a distance equal to 1.618 wave "Y", past wave "Y". In a triple zigzag, the Fibonacci relationships between waves "W" and "Y", would be the same as a double zigzag.
📍The Fibonacci relationships between waves "W" and "X" in a double zigzag, and waves "Y" and "XX" in a triple zigzag are analogous to the relationships between waves "A" and "B" in a single zigzag.
📍In a double zigzag, as a guideline, wave "b" of wave "Y" should not break the trendline that connects the beginning of wave "W" with the end of wave "X".
📍As a guideline, wave "X" (second wave "X" of the triple zigzag) of a double zigzag should break the trend channel formed by the first zigzag in wave "W" ("Y") and be greater than 80% of subwave "b" of wave "W" ("Y" and "Z").
📍When a zigzag appears too small to be the entire wave with respect to the preceding wave (or, if it is to be wave "4", the preceding wave "2"), the complication of the structure to a multiple zigzag will probably follow.
Thank you for your attention! There will be another lecture next week! Don't miss it!
🔔 Links to other lessons in related ideas. 🔔
DOGE - $0.30 Next Target, Elliot Waves📉Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators of Charts📈
Dogecoin was one of my TOP altcoins to watch for 2024. (Find the others here):
The DOGE fractal I've been following has played out extremely well, and so I will continue to follow this fractal:
Since we have now completed Elliot Wave 2-3, we are seeing the corrective phase of 3-4. This means we have yet another impulse wave upwards to look forward to after the correction is completed.
Fibonacci Ratio is useful to measure the target of a wave’s move within an Elliott Wave structure. Different waves in an Elliott Wave structure relates to one another with Fibonacci Ratio.
Fibonacci Ratio Relationship
• Wave 2 is 50%, 61.8%, 76.4%, or 85.4% of wave 1
• Wave 3 is 161.8%, 200%, 261.8%, or 323.6% of wave 1-2
• Wave 4 is 14.6%, 23.6%, or 38.2% of wave 3 but no more than 50%
• There are three different ways to measure wave 5. First, wave 5 is inverse 123.6 – 161.8% retracement of wave 4. Second, wave 5 is equal to wave 1. Third, wave 5 is 61.8% of wave 1-3
Therefore, if wave 3-4 does not retrace beyond wave 1 our next target price is around 0.33:
The GOOD NEWS though, is that this could very well be a small part of a MARO cycle. I've previously explained that Elliot Waves can be like branches of broccoli - each wave makes up a part of a smaller or bigger wave, including ABC corrective waves in each impulse wave, as demonstrated by the front page chart.
Previous DOGE idea where we first look at the fractal:
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BINANCE:DOGEUSDT
Hellena | DJI (4H): Long to the resistance area of 38458.Dear colleagues, I believe that wave "4" is not yet completed. To complete it, it is necessary to complete the double zig-zag. I expect that the movement "c" will end in the area of 37350, then I expect growth and the beginning of wave "5" with the goal to reach at least the resistance area of 38458. Be careful, perhaps wave "c" will be a bit shorter and it will mean that the upward movement will start earlier.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): Short to 100% Fibo extension 1.05684.Dear Colleagues, Last week the price fell a lot, which prompted me to revise my wave analysis. Now the price is in a prolonged and complex correction, so I believe that the price will reach the area of 100% Fibonacci extension 1.05684. This will be the completion of small wave "c".
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
📍Part #6, FLAT - Corrective Waves-Simple-Sideways corrections.👩🏻💻Hello!
In this lecture, we will cover one of the options for corrective cycles, namely Flat.
Let's now look at the 'flat' separately as a stand-alone correctional structure. I remind you, 'flat' and 'plane' are essentially the same thing. So, the 'flat' always has a three-wave structure, and it looks like this: 3-3-5. That is, you can identify it by the third wave "C", which always has a five-wave structure. But it can also be a Ending diagonal. And all this will be within the scope of a regular 'flat' or 'plane'. If we draw a line from the base of wave A and the maximum of wave "B", and then also draw a line or level from the end of wave "A" and the end of wave "C", we will get parallel lines, which is exactly what the name Flat hints. And this wave "B" should roll back approximately 90% of wave "A" for everything to look nice. But not always, because there is also an expanded 'flat' and a running 'flat', whichever you prefer.
Well then. Let's look at the main rules and guiding norms for flats.
✅General rules✅
📍A flat always subdivides into three waves.
📍Wave "A" is always a zigzag, flat or combination.
📍Wave "B" is always a zigzag.
📍Wave "C" is always an impulse or a ending diagonal.
✅General guidelines✅
📍Wave "A" is usually a zigzag.
✅Regular Flat✅
Rules
📍Wave "B" never goes beyond beyond the start of wave "A".
📍Wave "B" always retraces at least 90 percent of wave "A".
📍Wave "C" always ends past the end of wave "A".
Guidelines
📍The rarest type of flat correction.
✅Expanded Flat✅
Rules
📍Wave "B" always ends after the start of wave "A".
📍Wave "C" always ends past the end of wave "A".
Guidelines
📍Wave "B" usually retraces 123.6 or 138.2% of wave "A", less often — 161.8%.
📍Wave "C" is often equal to 161.8% of wave "A", less often — 261.8%.
📍The most common type of flat correction.
✅Running Flat✅
Rules
📍Wave "B" always ends after the start of wave "A".
📍Wave "C" never goes beyond the end of wave "A".
Guidelines
📍Within such a flat wave "B" should end well above the origin of wave "A" and that means wave "C" might reflect a 61.8% or even a 100% relationship to wave "A".
📍A running flat indicates that the forces in the direction of the larger trend at next higher degree are powerful.
📍Wave "B" is usually no more than twice the length of wave "A".
Keep in mind that a running flat is rare.
Thank you for your attention! There will be another lecture next week! Don't miss it!
🔔Links to other lessons in related ideas.🔔
Hellena | GOLD (4H): Long to resistance area of 2430.961.Colleagues, there is a high probability that price will continue its upward movement to complete wave "5". I expect the completion of wave "4" in the area of 2321.827, then I expect an upward movement to the resistance area of 2430.961.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | Oil (4H): Long to resistance area of 88.00.Dear Colleagues, we expected the price to decline, but it seems that the upward movement is not over yet.
I expect the completion of wave "5", then a corrective movement in wave "B" of higher order in the area of 38.2% - 50% Fibonacci levels (83.62), after which I will consider only long positions to the resistance area of 88.00.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Crypto Has Bottomed! Buy Now!I've been tracking this Elliott Wave count for some weeks now including other coins. We have an obvious 5 waves carved and RSI divergence on the daily/weekly. We now have all the characteristics of a Wave C decline with very rapid price movement declining over the weekend. The Wave 4 bottom was taken out, which can be a spot for liquidity before moving higher and also at the 0.382 Fib level. I am expecting prices to go to $34-$38 next, which will be the 1.618 fib extension of this entire 5 wave move and a previous high where I would expect liquidity to be present.