Way
FILUSD WILL IT HIT 20X Sources Say YesBut listen Up Time is running out May 11th is not far away. And you will definatally want to be on top of this one asap. All jokes aside this may be your biggest money maker for 2022. These are the opportunities many wait for and never find or never see the opportunity until it is too late, and they miss out. Please remember what I am saying here because when we look back, I want you to Rember me for next time I post on a coin, and you say to yourself that guy was right last time, and I missed out once again. Don`t be that person.
Happy Trading
See You Soon
Don't be like Bully Maguire...If you are feeling the emotional swings of Bitcoins price and you want to trade with confidence then this is for you.
The following things I am about to talk about drastically changed the way I approach trading.
They are so powerful in their application...
No need for cheap gimmicks and fancy tricks.
So here it goes:
Operate on first principles.
Millions of traders have SOS...
Shiny object syndrome.
They chase every "new" technique that hits the market, it doesn't matter if it works, aslong as they got to try it and didn't miss out on anything they will be happy - for a time.
It is marketing 101 to rile up those emotion in traders, don't fall for it.
Be stoic, hold your ground and stick to first principles.
If you don't I can tell you in my experience (9 years), you will chase strategies and ideas like they are a sold gold brick but they will just turn out to be gold dust that will fall through your fingers at a moments notice.
You will move throughout life with a chip on your soldier, negatively affecting those around you like a cheap knock-off Bully Maguire meme.
So...
What are the first principles of trading?
And how do you act from first principles?
I am not allowed (house rules) to provide you with a link to these questions so instead use your deduction methods Sherlock to find your answers.
$W - Wayfair Weekly Short OpprotunityToday I am sharing my view on Wayfair, which IMHO this is WAY overbought & just absolutely ridiculous. $20 to $200 for a stock that is still reporting a net-loss & selling Crap Chinese goods with awful customer service. Reminds me of wish for furniture, well maybe lets not take it that far lol! Anyhow lots of competition in the space, Amazon, HD, Overstock, and many more local furniture stores, IMHO people still like to sit down and checkout the furniture BEFORE they buy!
Still I don't get any logical reasoning for this to continue going higher. I am not impressed with their latest 10Q which all the hype was around the new orders and what not. Still they are REPORTING A NET-LOSS! Plus a lot of the numbers look better in 2019 compared to 2020 which also isn't a good thing. Here ya go check it out for yourself!
www.sec.gov
Anyhow I am watching the $100-$120 P
GLTA & don't get fomo & buy the top it SUCKZ!
W: Wayfair. Short Entry ConditionsSome personal opinion on Wayfair .
- wayfair is stupendously overvalued
- the stock got lucky off of the pandemic, but without any offline presence, its business model is ultimately unsustainable.
- current price factors in potential high growth, where I see none.
- an online furniture business can only grow so much
- without a full transition in business model, from online to consumers, to (Online + Offline) to consumers, its growth will be stunted. And this will only take a few quarters to reflect on their earnings report growth figures.
- this is not a long term stock to hold, neither is it a short term one, as I will have listed the conditions for entry below
If you disagree, consider:
=> what conditions regarding the stock caused it to be trending downwards before the coronavirus
=> how much has the coronavirus affected those conditions?
=> are these changes sustainable, will they diminish, will they get stronger?
Conditions:
1. Price $199
2. PA and volume showing unwillingness to go beyond.
without meeting these conditions, it would not be wise, for me, as a trader, to enter a position against the current trend, regardless of how tempted it might be.
ETHUSD's Bulls and RoostersWe see yet another pull back, with the bulls slowly climbing slopes without traces of considerate HHs ; Prices will linger near $192.15, and between $178.22 and $192.15 much of this past week's unstable tendencies have seized and 5AM (UCT+2) is the time for Roosters to get on the Bulls back and RIDE.
NAsdaq: Super Long Term View using Gann Time CyclesSuper-Long Term View of World Markets
Back to the Source
The Daddy Cycle
The Faangs (+ Microsoft) make Nasdaq run.
Nasdaq in turn makes the SandP run (but not the Dow which is internationally based).
The SandP in turn makes FTSE and Dax and Nikkei run. Not always but usually so.
So what is good for Goog and FB and Amzn and Aapl and Msft and Nflx is good for world markets too due to the invisible algo/thread that inter-twines most major markets in 2018.
This chart below shows the Gann master time cycles working very clearly and very accurately so far this century through the main driver of nearly all major markets - the little used Nasdaq composite index.
We can see that the mid-term cycle high reached at the beginning of this year fell just days after the time cycle high was reached, creating the first significant (over 10%) decline since the last cycle high was reached which in turn created the first significant correction (21%) since the Euro problem lows of 2011.
Looking at the longer term we can see that the mid cycle high point has been broken. The next cycle high is due on 27.7.20 - look for the next standard deviation of 9-11% minimum at that point and a maximum of 19-21%. The pattern suggests it will still be the correct policy to buy that dip.
The grand cycle high point arrrives on 13.2.23 when all holdings should be sold into the final high at which point prices should roughly halve in value during the ensuing 2 year bear market.
The future is a J curve. Back in the day of robber barons men would find oil or gold and sell it and hoard the proceeds - now they tend to re-invest profits in AI and the future. And the more they invest in the quest for ultimate domination the faster the future comes at us. Why fight this trend?
It's a buy dips market through to early 2023 according to this chart.
FTSE 100: UKX Inter-Generational High: Super Cycle only half wayFTSE 100 Inter - UKX - Inter-Generational Cycle High - Half-Way House
Nine years from high to low. Nine years from low to High on
FTSE in fact the secondary or final rally high set in week of
13.03 00 as Internet generation 1 peaked with Nasdaq and
techs' peak reached that week). Low reached March 9th 2009.
The next cycle date falls between Friday 2nd March and
Friday 9th March. If the major markets break below the lows
of last week we can therefore most likely expect a low to
form at this point in time - and if they can hold up today and
rally from here the next high is likely to be struck in the 5
trading days between March 2rd '18 and March 9 '18.
Whichever way it breaks from here should be worth following
in the near term - but start to look for a significant change in
trend in either event come 2nd March through 9th.
Looking even further out in time this peak now is likely only an inter-generational cycle high, marking the half-way point in the old 18 year generation cycle. The real grand super-cycle high (high to super-high) is not reached on this chart until March 1st 2027.
Time, as always, will tell.
In the meantime, there's a nearer term FTSE strategy outlined below.
BCHUSD Two Way Bet this WeekendBCHUSD Two Way Bet this Weekend
BCH hangs in the balance this weekend, and will flip as
Bitcoin flips - it's caught within a near term range and setting
itself up for the next trade from here...
Cannot short unless/until 2241 gives way in which case it's a
short to 2068 and close out there (unless market is fast and
there are big reds showing up and it shows no real sign of
holding here) - and then if 2060 fails look to short a second
time down to 1983 at least, and quite likely to 1766 where we
can look to buy once more.
BITCOIN: BTCUSD Way more potential upside in storeBitcoin Update The Shape this is Throwing
So far, the parabolic shape Bitcoin is making remains very
encouraging for the future. If it can now hold up today
between the old high area at 7450 and the new parallel , now
at 7425 between now and Tokyo and China opening we could
see some spectacular gains...it just has to hold up now...
Stops for day-traders remain under the parallel by 20 points
or so for now and under 7330 for longer term holders for now.
The last massive surge from 6000 to 7350 came from the East.
They like break-outs - if we hold up today as above Bitcoin
could begin to fly higher, substantially higher. $15,000 looks
like the next big number: 2, 3, 5, 7.5, 15 - let's see.
But we still need to get through today: depends how involved
you want to get from here...it's still in corrective mode just
trading between the high and a recent low at 7474...but WOW
the shape here, if the highs get taken out later on here and
early in China. Suggest increasing holdings if and when
(hopefully) the high is broken again aat 7577 - whether that
happens soon or later. Use a stop under 7450 and it won't get
hit. Good Hunting, once more, with way more potential
upside once we see a break above the highs than yesterday.
Be Lucky.