💊 Walgreens Boot Alliance LONG: WBA - Trend is your friendHi mates is perfect setup for bullish trend continuation in NASDAQ:WBA
here is data for my trade:
------------------------Trade setup ---------------------------
Entry: 54.65
Stop Loss: 51.91
Profit target: 62.83
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WBA
Talk about Wave 5 of Wave 5 | WBA Buy SetupWhen it comes to simple 10 seconds Elliott wave count it can't get simpler than this
We see WBA within a Wave 5 here but the wave 5 itself has not yet reached its termination point
The Wave 5 of the Wave 5 should take it to what is called the TZ1.
Previously we went long into the wave 5 on the 10th of March and exited on the 15. Now there is a 3 candle pullback.
H1 setup 1 long but depends how today opens and goes...
WBA reversal @ $43.35, buy 27NOV PUT $41 @ $1.30-$1.40WBA hit and reversed from $43.35 historical resistance. The 13 SMA & 30 SMA are preparing to cross, the MACD pre-confirmation has already occurred, historically indicating reversals for this stock. There is looming vaccine news that can impact performance but if news is mired in political discourse, reversal should hold. Got in at $1.34, looking to sell at $2.68 o/a 18NOV. $0.80 stop loss in place.
THE WEEK AHEAD: UAL, DAL, SLB, WBA EARNINGS; XOP, SLV, QQQEARNINGS:
There are four options highly liquid underlyings that pop up on my screener for next week with 30-day implied of >50%: UAL (23/88/22.6%)* (on Wednesday after market close); DAL (13/74/19.1%) (Tuesday before market open); SLV (18/59/16.4%) (Friday, before market open), and WBA (43/54/12.2%) (Thursday, before market open).
Pictured here is a directionally neutral 29/50 short strangle in the November monthly with the options camped out at the 16 delta, yielding a 2 x expected move break even on the put side and > 2 x expected move on the call. Delta/theta -.41/6.00; paying 1.87 at the mid price as of Friday close (.94 at 50% max).
The DAL November 20th, 16 delta 27/42 short strangle was paying 1.83 at the mid price as of Friday close; delta/theta 1.48/4.39.
SLB is small enough to short straddle, but would go "skinny," as the November only has 2.5 wides to play with. The November 20th 15/17.5 was paying 1.48 as of Friday close, but treating it as a short straddle and taking profit at 25% max (.37) isn't particularly compelling, so would probably pass on the play and deploy buying power elsewhere.
WBA suffers from a similar affliction (2.5 wides out in November), but the 32.5/40 is paying 1.54 there, albeit with break evens greater than the expected move, but not quite 2 x.
EXCHANGE-TRADED FUNDS RANKED BY PERCENTAGE OF STOCK PRICE THE NOVEMBER AT-THE-MONEY SHORT STRADDLE IS PAYING AND SCREENED FOR THOSE PAYING >10%:
XOP (15/56/14.5%)
SLV (45/51/13.1%)
GDXJ (15/49/12.9%)
EWA (15/42/11.6%)
XLE (27/43/11.2%)
GDX (15/40/10.7%)
XBI (29/43/10.3%)
USO (4/43/10.1%)
BROAD MARKET RANKED BY PERCENTAGE OF STOCK PRICE THE NOVEMBER AT-THE-MONEY SHORT STRADDLE IS PAYING:
QQQ (28/33/8.2%)
IWM (25/32/7.6%)
SPY (19/25/5.9%)
EFA (13/20/4.8%)
DIVIDEND PAYERS RANKED BY PERCENTAGE OF STOCK PRICE THE NOVEMBER AT-THE-MONEY SHORT STRADDLE IS PAYING AND SCREENED FOR THOSE PAYING >10%:
KRE (25/44/11.7%)
EWZ (15/42/11.6%)
XLE (27/43/11.2%)
GENERAL MUSINGS:
I already have a UAL covered call on, so am unlikely to partake in that underlying further here. Moreover, in the IRA/retirement account, I'm already deployed in everything at the top of the heap from an implied volatility standpoint, although I may carry on with my standard weekly 16-delta short put in the broad market instrument with the highest implied volatility, which would be QQQ. Alternatively, I'll do a QQQ 10-percenter (See Post Below) instead, as NDX isn't fantastically liquid, and a November 27th (currently, 48 days until expiry) will be available. To emulate a 50-wide, however, in NDX, I'll have to go 10-wide with 5 contracts or 5 wide with 10, etc. For example, the November 27th 240/245 is paying .50, and I'd have to sell 10 of those to emulate the NDX November 27th 9925/9975, paying 5.04. I would naturally prefer just selling one NDX spread, since it means fewer fees, but if the bid/ask is grotesque, I'll just have to go with QQQ or a RUT 50 wide. (The RUT November 27th 1385/1435 was paying 5.04 at the mid as of Friday close).
* -- The first metric is the implied volatility rank (where implied volatility is currently relative to where it's been over the last 52 weeks); the second, 30-day implied volatility; and the third, what the November at-the-money short straddle is paying as a percentage of stock price.
WBA - buy zone (gray)Hello traders,
Description of the analysis:
WBA support zone ideal for timing long positions (gray). Trade what you understand, trade carefully and sparingly according to the business plan.
About me:
Hi, my name is Jacob Kovarik and I´m trading on stock exchange since 2008. I started with a capital of 3000 USD. My first strategy was based on OTM options. (American stock index and their ETF ). I´ve learnt on my path that professional trading is based on two main fundaments which have to complement each other, to make a bussiness attitude profitable. I´ve tried a lot of techniques and many manners how to analyze the market. From basic technical analysis to fundamental analysis of single title. My analytics gradually changed into professional attitude. I work with logical advantages of stock exchange (return of value back to average, volume , expected volatility , advantage of high stop-loss, the breakdown of time in options, statistics and cosistent thorough control of risk). At the moment, my main target is ITM on SPM index. Biggest part of my current bussiness activity comes from e mini futures (NQ, ES). I´m trader of positions. I´m from Czech republic and I take care of a private fund ($4.000.000 USD). During my career I´ve earned a lot of valuable experience, such as functionality of strategies and what is more important, control of emotions. Professional trading is, in my opinion, certain kind of mental training and if we are able to control our emotions, accomplishment will show up. I will share with you my analysis and trades on my profile. I wish to all of you successul trades.
Jacob
Walgreens Monthly Chart $WBAIs it me or is it CRAZY to see Walgreens is down over 60% in the last 4 years. From a contrarian investors POV this could be signaling a great opportunity to get long and collect dividends while this is trading back at discount prices in the 2000's - 2013 price channel. I have no doubt that Walgreens will be around in 5 years as its been in business since 1901.
I find it absurd that WBA is STILL dropping while more people than ever are in need of prescriptions, immunizations and health care products. In 2019 they filled over 1 billion prescriptions (including immunization)
So with all this in mind, I have no doubt Walgreen will eventually see a bounce above $50 but back up to $90 might be a stretch at this moment in time.
Latest 10Q
www.sec.gov
$WBA Trading At Trendline Support$WBA made fresh lows after a disappointing earnings call. On the call, the company issued a somber outlook and said that foot traffic is way down. We believe the market took the news in stride and we now have a buy opportunity as trendline support held. The stock also looks cheap trading at just 0.26x sales and 9.89x FCF.
Walgreens Boots Alliance, Inc. operates as a pharmacy-led health and wellbeing company. It operates through three segments: Retail Pharmacy USA, Retail Pharmacy International, and Pharmaceutical Wholesale. The Retail Pharmacy USA segment sells prescription drugs and an assortment of retail products, including health, wellness, beauty, personal care, consumable, and general merchandise products through its retail drugstores and convenient care clinics. It also provides specialty pharmacy services and mail services; and manages in-store clinics. As of August 31, 2019, this segment operated 9,277 retail stores under the Walgreens and Duane Reade brands in the United States; and 6 specialty pharmacies. The Retail Pharmacy International segment sells prescription drugs; and health and wellness, beauty, personal care, and other consumer products through its pharmacy-led health and beauty stores and optical practices, as well as through boots.com and an integrated mobile application. This segment operated 4,605 retail stores under the Boots, Benavides, and Ahumada in the United Kingdom, Thailand, Norway, the Republic of Ireland, the Netherlands, Mexico, and Chile; and 606 optical practices, including 165 on a franchise basis. The Pharmaceutical Wholesale segment engages in the wholesale and distribution of specialty and generic pharmaceuticals, health and beauty products, and home healthcare supplies and equipment, as well as provides related services to pharmacies and other healthcare providers. This segment operates in the United Kingdom, Germany, France, Turkey, Spain, the Netherlands, Egypt, Norway, Romania, the Czech Republic, and Lithuania. Walgreens Boots Alliance, Inc. was founded in 1901 and is based in Deerfield, Illinois.
As always, trade with caution and good luck to all!
$WBA Trading At Major Support$WBA is trading at major long-term support levels around the $49 level. Besides the technical picture, the fundamentals are also supportive of a LONG position in $WBA. $WBA is trading at just 8x this year's earnings, 0.32x sales, and 14.85x FCF. We are also bullish on its competitor $RAD, which we've written up in the past.
As always, trade with caution and use protective stops.
Good luck to all!