WDC Western Digital Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought WDC before the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of WDC Western Digital Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 67.50usd strike price in the money Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-9-20,
for a premium of approximately $9.10.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
WDC
Western Digital ($WDC) Reaches New 1-Year High at $70.85Western Digital Corporation (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:WDC ) recently hit a new 1-year high at $70.85, underscoring the company's resilience and growth trajectory amidst dynamic market conditions. As investors analyze WDC's performance, it's essential to delve into the firm's financial health, recent earnings results, and investor sentiment to glean insights into its future prospects.
Financial Strength and Performance:
With a robust quick ratio of 0.98 and a current ratio of 1.67, Western Digital (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:WDC ) demonstrates solid liquidity and operational efficiency. The firm's fifty-day and two-hundred-day moving averages of $59.26 and $51.06, respectively, reflect sustained positive momentum in its stock performance, further bolstering investor confidence.
Earnings Beat and Revenue Growth:
Western Digital's recent earnings report exceeded expectations, with the data storage provider reporting ($0.69) EPS for the quarter, surpassing the consensus estimate by $0.61. Despite challenges, the firm achieved revenue of $3.03 billion, slightly above analyst estimates. However, it's noteworthy that Western Digital's revenue for the quarter experienced a marginal decline of 2.4% compared to the previous year.
Analyst Projections and Investor Activity:
Analysts anticipate Western Digital Co. to post -2.31 EPS for the current fiscal year, signaling cautious optimism amidst evolving market dynamics. Meanwhile, hedge funds and institutional investors have shown confidence in WDC, with several large investors increasing their stakes in the business, underscoring long-term growth prospects.
Business Profile and Future Prospects:
As a leading developer, manufacturer, and seller of data storage devices and solutions, Western Digital ( NASDAQ:WDC ) is poised to capitalize on evolving market trends across various sectors, including consumer electronics, automotive, IoT, and industrial applications. The company's diverse product portfolio, spanning HDDs, SSDs, and flash-based embedded storage products, positions it for sustained growth in the digital age.
WDC Stock Surges as Merger Talks with Kioxia Gains Traction
In a recent turn of events, Western Digital Corporation (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:WDC ) is making headlines in the financial world as reports suggest a renewed interest in merger discussions with Japan's Kioxia Holdings Corp. The potential merger, facilitated by Bain Capital and SK Hynix, has sparked optimism among investors and analysts alike. This development comes after talks broke down last October, but with new discussions on the horizon, there's growing anticipation of a transformative deal that could reshape the landscape of the computer hardware and storage industry.
The Merger Buzz:
According to the Kyodo newswire, Bain Capital has reopened discussions with SK Hynix to explore the possibility of merging memory chip manufacturers Western Digital and Kioxia Holdings. Analysts view this prospect favorably, considering the operational efficiencies and market presence that could be achieved by combining these two industry giants.
Loop Capital analysts note, "While NASDAQ:WDC splitting into two separately trading equities is a positive catalyst, a merger would be an even bigger catalyst." This sentiment underscores the potential positive impact of a merger on both companies and their shareholders. The merger, if successful, could create a more robust entity within the computer hardware and storage sector, leading to improved market dynamics.
Analysts' Perspective:
Market analysts are expressing optimism about the potential merger, highlighting the positive implications for all parties involved. The combination of Western Digital ( NASDAQ:WDC ) and Kioxia is seen as a strategic move that could yield better long-term market dynamics, ultimately benefiting investors in both companies. This sentiment is echoed by Loop Capital analysts who emphasize the potential for a stronger growth rate as a result of the merger.
Technical Outlook:
From a technical standpoint, Western Digital's ( NASDAQ:WDC ) stock has broken the rising trend in the medium long term, signaling a potentially stronger growth rate. The absence of significant resistance in the price chart suggests further upward momentum.
Price Momentum:
Western Digital ( NASDAQ:WDC ) is currently trading near the top of its 52-week range and above its 200-day simple moving average. This indicates that investors have been actively pushing the share price higher, reflecting positive sentiment and confidence in the stock's future value.
Conclusion:
As Western Digital ( NASDAQ:WDC ) and Kioxia Holdings revive merger discussions, the market is abuzz with anticipation. Investors and analysts see the potential for a transformative deal that could enhance operational efficiencies and market presence, creating a more powerful player in the computer hardware and storage industry. With the stock still displaying upward momentum and trading near its 52-week high, it appears that investors are optimistic about the future prospects of Western Digital ( NASDAQ:WDC ), making it a stock to watch closely in the coming weeks.
Western Digital: Navigating the Waves of Tech Stock SurgeWestern Digital (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:WDC ) has emerged as a dynamic player, making waves in the market with recent developments that have caught the attention of investors and analysts alike. This article delves into the recent surge in Western Digital's stock, examining the factors contributing to its rise and the broader market dynamics shaping its trajectory.
The Morgan Stanley Boost:
The recent 5.2% surge in Western Digital's ( NASDAQ:WDC ) shares following Morgan Stanley's endorsement as a "Top Pick" has undoubtedly piqued investor interest. The decision to replace Nividia as a top choice and the substantial increase in the price target from $52 to $73 speaks volumes about the confidence that influential financial institutions have in the company's potential.
Morgan Stanley's analysts emphasize the compelling valuation disparity between Western Digital and its peers, highlighting the upcoming separation of the memory business in the second half. This move is anticipated to unlock the sum of the parts value, offering investors an attractive proposition. The optimism surrounding Western Digital ( NASDAQ:WDC ) is further fueled by the accelerated improvement in its business and the nuanced evaluation of the NAND cycle's pluses and minuses.
Market Resilience and Macroeconomic Context:
Against the backdrop of major indices reaching all-time highs, particularly the S&P achieving a milestone on January 19, 2024, the tech sector has been a standout performer since the second half of 2023. The anticipation of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in 2024 has contributed to the sustained momentum, with investors eyeing opportunities in growth stocks.
Despite the overall bullish sentiment, the market's response to Western Digital's surge reflects a measured approach. The shares initially soared in the pre-market session but eventually cooled down, signaling that while the news is deemed meaningful, it may not fundamentally alter the market's perception of the company.
Volatility and Previous Movements:
Western Digital's ( NASDAQ:WDC ) shares have been marked by volatility, experiencing 10 significant moves greater than 5% in the past year alone. The recent surge, though notable, is contextualized within this broader trend. Investors appear to view these fluctuations as indicative of a stock with the potential for significant moves, yet not altering the fundamental outlook of the business.
Closing Thoughts:
Western Digital's ( NASDAQ:WDC ) journey over the past year reflects a company navigating the currents of market dynamics, with recent endorsements from reputable financial institutions adding a layer of confidence. As investors weigh the compelling valuation, the imminent separation of the memory business, and the broader tech sector trends, Western Digital stands at the intersection of opportunity and volatility, inviting careful consideration in an ever-changing market landscape.
WDC Western Digital Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of WDC Western Digital Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 72.50usd strike price at the money Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-4-19,
for a premium of approximately $4.35.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Western Digital Shares Soars Despite Market VolatilityShares of Western Digital Corp. (WDC) surged more than 6 % in early trading Tusday before giving back some gains after the computer hard drive manufacturer said it would spin off its flash memory business.
The decision comes amid lower demand for flash memory chips that has led to a supply glut in recent quarters. Last week, Western Digital abandoned lengthy discussions of a merger with Kioxia, a Japanese memory drive maker, which is owned by a consortium led by Bain Capital and is the former semiconductor unit of Toshiba.
Western Digital's decision to spin off its flash memory unit is a win for activist investor Elliott Investment Management, which last year advised the company to make such a move.
Western Digital first ventured into the flash drive business in 2016, when it acquired SanDisk, a California-based manufacturer of flash memory cards, for $19 billion. The spinoff of the flash memory unit will effectively unwind that transaction.
Western Digital shares were nearly 8% higher around 3:30 p.m. ET, after surging more than 10% early in the session. They've risen by almost a third so far this year.
Analysts at Wedbush Securities assigned an "outperform" rating for WDC, and are eyeing a price target of $60 per share.
Price Momentum
WDC is trading in the middle of its 52-week range and above its 200-day simple moving average.
What does this mean?
Investors are still evaluating the share price, but the stock still appears to have some upward momentum. This is a positive sign for the stock's future value.
Hard to ignore this many oversold signalsMy models say the Fed cannot raise rates beyond 0.5 points tomorrow or they cannot be trusted in the future. We should see a quick rally to end this week and perhaps begin next week, before the reality of $6+ fuel prices set in again and we continue the bear market.
Based on historical movement, the trough could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending top should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated BUY on June 10, 2022 with a closing price of 54.66.
If this instance is successful, that means the stock should rise to at least 54.97 which is the bottom of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock rise 2.28% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the bottom of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock rise 4.5675% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock rise 8.4275% from the signal closing price which is the top of the smaller green box. The maximum rise on record would see a move to the top of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well.
The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The peak of the rise can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max rise occurs within the limit of study at 50 trading bars after the signal. A 0.4% rise must occur over the next 50 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 10.0 trading bars; half occur within 27.0 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 45.0 trading bars.
The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement.
As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
1/2/22 WDCWestern Digital Corporation ( NASDAQ:WDC )
Sector: Electronic Technology (Computer Peripherals)
Market Capitalization: 20.321B
Current Price: $65.21
Breakout price: $67.25
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $65.20-$59.90
Price Target: $71.80-$72.90 (1st), $77.00-$78.20 (2nd)
Estimated Duration to Target: 35-41d, 100-110d
Contract of Interest: $WDC 2/18/22 67.5c, $WDC 4/14/22 70c
Trade price as of publish date: $3.25/contract, $3.95/contract
WDC - Long on breakout outside the channel, 5% riskWDC has formed very nice cup and handle pattern and started to move higher, breaking resistance zone which is 73.00 on heavy volume. The trading strategy for now is to buy and hold (stop loss 68.00), possibly it will retest the broken resistance. In case of retest I will provide an update.
The TA is exellent for this stock and fundamentals as well, because CHIA mining requires Hard Drives.
WDC shines with multi-chart oversold signalsI have changed up how to best display projected movement. In the case of WDC, 5 of my algorithms signaled a BUY on March 23, 2021. Equities nearly always obey the signal and move up, but sometimes it may continue to move down first.
I have placed two red boxes and two green boxes on the chart. The larger red box depicts all of the historical movement, from a percentage standpoint, that this stock has moved on the Hourly chart after a BUY signal occurred. Therefore, this box represents 100% of previous movement downward before the stock finally moved upward. The smaller red box represents 50% of all historical movement downward, before the stock moved upward. The smaller box is more of a precise target for the potential bottom in this instance.
The green boxes represent the same thing. In this instance, the smaller green box would be my projected target for the final top.
The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement.
As always, the stock could rise the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never rise (and the green boxes may never come into play).
All statistics and the full analysis are available for free as always at the site below.
Breakout - Western Digital - Long term Bulltrend$WDC just broke the resistance line at $51.56. This is the third time over the past 2 years.
My target is $76 - 40% gain in January 2021.
Entry: $52 , Stop loss: $46,18 at 13 days EMA.
The chart never lies. The trend is your friend until It ends.
#WDC #WesternDigital #BullTrend
WDC - Possible Pullback, Short Term Put GambleI'm a bit scared to make this play, because if this thing breaks out, I lose.
But a backtest is possible, and it might even break the slant support trend line.
Hopefully it pulls back tomorrow, so I sell and leave.
I have a 12/11 $48 put, break even 47.05.