Boeing is ready for next leg up to $200On December 10, 2024, we had a look at the weekly chart of NYSE:BA Boeing and it was a very good opportunity to get into this stock. Since then, we made over 20% in under one month.
After consolidating for nearly three weeks, we may have another chance to get in for the next leg up to $200. The only thing to worry about are the earnings on January 28. Those could have a huge impact on the stock price, but chances are the impact will be positive. Since 2024 was a very challenging year for Boeing with lower net orders booked compared to Airbus the comparisons are much easier to beat than it is for Airbus.
Boeing experienced a decline in various metrics last year. The company recorded 569 gross orders, representing a 61% decrease compared to the previous year. Cancellations increased by 50 units, mainly due to the anticipated cancellation of 135 jets ordered by Jet Airways. Net orders fell by 71% to 377 orders, and the net order value also decreased by 71% to $33 billion. This reduction in orders is attributed to the uncertainty surrounding Boeing's production schedule, which makes it less attractive for airplane orders. Deliveries fell by 34% to 348, and the delivery value decreased by 35% to $26.1 billion due to the grounding of the Boeing 737 MAX 9 and a subsequent strike.
If we assume no further crashes or problems with Boeing aircrafts the numbers are easier to beat, and we come from a very low base. In addition, most analysts are quite conservative right now.
Looking at the technical setup we just bounced from the 0.382 fib from the current upward movement. Below the fib we have another support at around $160 as well as a resistance at $200 with an open gap. Assuming no surprises during the earnings we’re up for another leg up to $200 (15% ROI).
Target Zones
$198-200
Support Zones
$165
$160
Wedgebreakout
AMD: Ready to Break Out – Confluence Supports and Bullish PatterI’ve already written a weekly analysis on NASDAQ:AMD , which you should read before this one, as it explains the broader technical and fundamental support in the bigger picture.
Looking at the 4-hour chart, we can see the more granular movement of the stock over the last few months. The fact that we held the trendline, which has been in place since 2023, is a good sign that overarching algorithms still have an interest in the stock. The trendline also corresponds to a so-called "confluence support," where multiple support levels overlap.
1. Trendline
Trendlines alone are not reliable price action structures, as they are often broken during consolidations without affecting the overall trend. However, since this trendline is older, has been tested multiple times, and now coincides with other support levels, it serves as one of several building blocks.
2. Fibonacci Retracement
We hit the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement (horizontal yellow line) exactly and bounced upward from there. The 61.8% Fib is always a good reversal point during pronounced consolidations, as we’ve seen here. AMD has been consolidating since March 2024, over nine months now.
3. Horizontal Support
In addition to the Fibonacci retracement, the price range between $117 and $121 was already a support area. This zone has been a support and resistance level since September 2021 and has consistently prompted strong price reactions.
4. Descending Wedge
The current leg down is forming a descending wedge, which breaks upward in more than two-thirds of cases, making it a bullish pattern. The target for a breakout is typically the highest point of the wedge, which currently means a target around $170. However, a conservative trader always plans more cautiously, so we’ve combined our target with the last gap close.
5. Gaps
While not a proper support level, the still-open daily gaps at $137 and $158 act as magnets for higher prices. These gaps lie along the path upward and make good spots to place take-profit levels.
Fundamental Reasons
AMD's Position: With the launch of the MI300 series, AMD has taken a significant step toward competing with NVIDIA in the AI GPU market. These chips are optimized for high-performance computing and generative AI.
Potential: In Q3 2024, AMD generated $1.5 billion in revenue from the data center segment, a 42% year-over-year growth. This growth is expected to accelerate further in 2025 due to AI applications.
Market share: AMD has consistently gained market share from Intel in the CPU market, especially in the server segment. According to Mercury Research, AMD’s server CPU market share rose from 23.4% in Q3 2023 to 26.5% in Q3 2024.
Forecast : With the planned launch of Zen 5 processors in H2 2025, AMD is expected to gain even more market share, driven by improved performance and energy efficiency.
EV Market: Additionally, the electric vehicle market, after weaker years in 2023 and 2024, is expected to regain momentum. This will significantly impact the semiconductor market as a whole.
NVDA – Buy the Dip for a Short BounceOur last NASDAQ:NVDA trade went very well. Within a few weeks we made more than 15% re-testing the ATH and generating a new one. Directly after hitting the ATH we saw a sell on good news event during the CES and the presentation of the “Home AI PC”. The perfect time to buy was yesterday minutes before markets closed. The price formed a falling wedge with a RSI divergence. Nevertheless, buying today could still give results. Target is the ATH again and invalidation point is a close below our $140 support.
Target Zones
$154
Support Zones
$140
RACE (Ferrari) – Quality has its PriceMIL:RACE has a technically interesting setup that also fits well with the weekly setup that I presented a few weeks ago.
The current consolidation has once again reached the lower zone and should find support from here one more time. Recently, a significant bounce was achieved from here several times. In addition, Ferrari is moving at the daily SMA 200 line and has bounced upwards from this (as well as from the horizontal support). In the 4h chart we see a nice RSI divergence as well as a breakout from a falling wedge. Both bullish signals.
Fundamentally, Ferrari is not cheap, but quality has its price. The backlog extends years into the future, the pre-order lists are full to bursting, the line-up presented is technically flawless and in demand and the cash flow is immense. In addition, the company is still family-owned (which secures the share price) and the current F1 season with Hamilton and Leclerc as the team should also be interesting.
We are initially targeting the area around EUR 438 and then the previous ATH at EUR 457. This results in an ROI of 10%. Should the daily closing price fall below EUR 400, the trade would be disqualified and closed.
Target zones
438 EUR
457 EUR
Support Zones
400 EUR
PEPE/USDT Ascending Channel Breakout WatchThe price is currently moving within an ascending channel pattern, indicating a potential bullish continuation. A breakout to the upside is expected, but confirmation is key. We'll look to accumulate PEPE near the lower trendline support around 0.0001995 for a long position. The breakout target is set at 0.0002412, offering a promising risk-to-reward opportunity. Ensure proper risk management by placing stop-losses below the lower trendline. Keep an eye on volume during the breakout attempt for stronger validation.
SOL $260 (up to 18%) - Consolidation could be overBINANCE:SOLUSDT is consolidating since the end of November after hitting the zone at $260. The consolidation looks overall very bullish (bull flag) and healthy. As you've seen in my analyse from 4 days ago the situation looks very good.
Also, Bitcoin is still holding very strong at $100K (currently at $103K). To determine, if the consolidation might be over we need to look a bit closer.
As we can see, we're currently still within the bull flag / consolidation channel between $260 and $200. Since December 11 we can see a bull flag within the bull flag after bouncing off from the support level at $203/$200. This might indicate that we've seen the low for now and are going to break the bull flag / consolidation channel. We've bounced from the 61,8 Fib from this little bull flag. A possible first target would be the resistance at $235. The next two targets would be $242 and finally $260.
If we go below $215 we might see another test of the $203/200 level. If you decide to test a long here, try to place your SL below $215 or (if you trade with a smaller size) below the $203/$200 level. Do not forget that we see a lot of liquidity grabs in crypto, so don't trade with a SL to close to support levels or they will be detected.
Target Zones
$235
$242
$260
Support Zones
$215
$203
$200
Let me know what you think!
SPY Ascending Triangle pattern AND Rising WedgeAMEX:SPY Printing a nice ascending triangle pattern along a rising wedge. Could go either way as marked out but considering last weeks action the time for the rally of santa is here as we head into the day of the great Turkey. Some fat wall street bankers have to cover and generate returns they keep pushing people out of positions just to buy them up. Very likely we set a new ATH on SPY this week. We just as easily could reverse as rising wedges tend to be bearish signals.
Ahead of $NYSE:ANF EarningsThere is an unfinished Bullish flag that formed in April and earnings may be the spark needed to propel the price to the $210 target.
NYSE:ANF may be breaking out of a wedge pattern, with the price gapping up and outside of the wedge today.
Earnings are reported on Tuesday ahead of the market open.
My plan is to open a position IF the stock remain above the wedge during Monday's trading.
Sell CHF/JPY Wedge BreakoutThe CHF/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Wedge pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 176.60, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 175.90
2nd Support – 175.30
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 177.30 This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
Sell EUR/CHF BreakoutThe EUR/CHF pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Wedge Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position Below the Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 0.9385
Target Levels:
1st Support – 0.9350
2nd Support – 0.9330
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 0.9410. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly.
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
Alibaba - Finally The Trendline Breakout!Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) finally broke above the bearish trendline:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Alibaba is breaking out and the breakout is not unexpected whatsoever. For a long time, Alibaba has been hugging the resistance trendline and finally managed to fulfil its destiny. This could very well be the bottom of the bear market and the start of something big: new all time highs.
Levels to watch: $115, $80
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
WIF Stuck in a Wedge Pattern: Patience is Key For a BreakoutWIF is forming a very long but distinct WXYXZ wedge pattern, tightly confined within its channel. The structure is clear, with repeated ABC corrective waves confirming the pattern’s integrity. While the setup is clear, it suggests we may have to trade within the boundaries of the channel for now.
For those looking to trade short-term, focus on the key levels within the wedge, but be prepared to wait patiently for the eventual breakout—it could take time, but when it happens, it should be significant.
NVIDIA $NVDA | NVIDIA WEDGE BREAKOUT SOON - Sep. 20th, 2024NVIDIA NASDAQ:NVDA | NVIDIA BREAKOUT SOON - Sep. 20th, 2024
BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): $118.25 - $130.00
DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): $114.75 - $118.25
SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): $103.75 - $114.75 (can be extended to $92.00)
Weekly: Bullish
Daily: Bullish
4H: Bullish
NASDAQ:NVDA looks choppy and very ranging, but is consolidating towards a zone that has been tested roughly seven times. Bulls should be looking for price to pinch and breakout above $118.25 towards the $130.00 price area, or bears can look for price to pinch and breakdown below the $114.75 level towards the $103.75 area. Bears can also look for price to drop to the $92.00 area that had started the previous bull rally. Despite my three main timeframes indicating a bullish trend, I would be happy with a fast move in either direction.
This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas.
ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!
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MYROUSDT Falling Wedge Breakout: Bullish Momentum BuildingMYROUSDT technical analysis update
MYRO recently broke out of the falling wedge pattern and is now bouncing off retest support. The key resistance lies at the $0.10 level, and once the price breaks through, a strong bullish move in MYROUSDT is expected.
Thanks
Hexa
AUDCAD - Technical Analysis [Short Setup]🔹 AUDCAD Analysis on 1H chart
- The current Trend is BULLISH
- There is BEARISH divergences
- Reversal pattern is present which is rising wedge
🔹 Trade Plan
- Entry Level = 0.93494
- Stop Loss = 0.93746
- TP1 = 0.93264
- TP2 = 0.93008
🔹 Risk Management
- First TP is 1:1
- Second TP is 1:2
🔹 How to Take Trade?
- Only risk 2% of your portfolio
- Take 1% risk entry with 1:1 RR
- Take 1% risk entry with 1:2 RR
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ALGO is breaking out of the current wedge pattern.ALGO has just broken out of the wedge pattern that it has been in for a minute now, and is looking like it could be getting ready to run. It's likely to go the .15 range, retrace back down to the upper wedge trendline, then continue the move from there.
Good luck, and always use a stop-loss!
PDN weekly trendline bouncePDN on the weekly bounced off $8.
Initial entry fell through 9.50 PoC and support.
Price broke daily downtrend to follow the weekly uptrend signaling a potential ranging consolidation.
On 1H, price is making inner levels, watching for a retest of 9 for entry, or a break of 11 to confirm direction.
Refer to recent wedge action on FMG, similar weekly drop followed by strong BO of wedge pattern.
ETH: This May Be Your Last Chance Before Exploding to UpsideAs I mentioned in the previous analysis, Ethereum can experience significant growth after breaking out of the wedge, which indeed happened. Now, we can set the target at 2800. If this zone is broken, the price can reach the top of the megaphone pattern.
Previous Analysis
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!