Get started

Wedge

USD/CHF looks heavy despite relentless USD strength The Swiss franc has held up remarkably well this week despite some of the G10 FX moves against the USD. Sitting in a rising wedge, it was rejected at uptrend resistance on Wednesday, deliver an inverse candle on the daily. The price now finds itself resting on uptrend support and looks heavy. RSI (14) has diverged from price but the bearish signal on momentum has yet to be confirmed by MACD, although the latter also looks toppy. One short setup would be to sell now or on a break of the uptrend with a stop above Wednesday’s high for protection against reversal. The initial target would be .8617 although, to make the risk-reward stack up, it would be preferable to target the 50-day moving average. Good luck! DS
Short
by FOREXcom
$NVDA Shows Strength - Despite $SPY Weakness!Overall, NASDAQ:NVDA was the name to pay attention to today. Even though the AMEX:SPY traded to the downside, NASDAQ:NVDA held strong with a push above $130. The chart is giving us a clear picture of potential upside if they continue to grow and market the business the way they have. Potential political headwinds are not to be discounted quite yet. This trade carries risk, however, my cost-basis is below $20/share so I'm not sweating it. IF NASDAQ:NVDA continues on this upward trajectory - we should see $170/share by early next year. IF NOT - we can get another great dip buy opportunity in the low $100s.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by PennyBois
2
Gold on the Edge: Rising Wedge Breakdown or Support Bounce?4-Hour Chart: Consolidation Below All-Time High: After reaching the all-time high, the price is consolidating in a rising wedge pattern. This formation reflects indecision in the market, but the overall structure suggests potential for a downward move. Key Levels: 4H LQZ TP1 (2,550.342): A strong support level and a possible target for short positions if the price drops. 4H LQZ TP2 (2,522.172): The second support level, likely to attract buyers if tested. Strategy: If the price breaks down from the rising wedge and fails to hold support at 2,550.342, a move toward 2,522.172 could be expected. A reversal could occur at either of these liquidity zones. 1-Hour Chart: Descending Channel (near support): The price is trending lower after failing to break above the all-time high. The descending channel is not steep, suggesting mild bearish pressure. Support Levels: 1H LQZ (2,542.481): Immediate support for the current descending structure. 4H LQZ (2,522.172): Deeper support, aligned with the broader market structure, giving more room for a potential pullback. Strategy: A break below the 1H LQZ could accelerate the sell-off, targeting the 4H LQZ. Watch for consolidation or buying pressure at these levels, as they are potential reversal points. 15-Minute Chart: Rising Wedge: The price is forming a rising wedge pattern, which is typically a bearish signal, suggesting potential weakness in the uptrend. The price has made lower highs while testing a crucial support zone. Key Levels: All-Time High (2,589.652): The price tested this region but has failed to sustain momentum above it. This could indicate a major resistance level. 1H LQZ (2,542.481): The first level of significant support, serving as a take-profit target (TP1) for short positions. If the price breaks below, it could accelerate toward this level. 4H LQZ (2,522.172): The next key support zone (TP2), which could act as a strong buying area if the price corrects further. Strategy: Watch for a potential breakdown from the rising wedge. A confirmed break below the wedge and support levels could indicate a stronger move downward toward 1H LQZ or 4H LQZ. Overall Summary: Bearish Bias: Across all time frames, the rising wedge formation points to potential bearish pressure, especially with failure to break above the all-time high. Key Levels: The all-time high (2,589.652) remains the major resistance. Watch for reactions around 1H LQZ (2,542.481) and 4H LQZ (2,522.172) for potential support and buying opportunities. Breakout or Breakdown: If the price breaks below the wedge patterns on the 15-minute and 4-hour charts, further downside toward the liquidity zones is likely. However, a rebound could signal renewed bullish momentum. This setup is perfect for monitoring entry points based on key support/resistance levels and the wedge formations' breakdown potential.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MommaPreneur
Can the HOUSE Catch SHORT from Daily Consolidation EQ Level...?NYMEX:CL1! "When you want to succeed as bad as you want to breathe, then you'll be successful. It's not about craving success like you crave food or water, it's about needing it like air. That urgency, that necessity—that's when you break through." -Eric Thomas I consider this published narrative SHORT to be as HIGH probable as they come. Why? Due to the PA on the Daily TF... I have went into Gr8 detail here in the video as to why I'm SHORT Biased on this asset this week. Now of course this is all based upon probability!! IF PA can develop price building back into Daily Consolidation EQ Level ($74.75) / S&R Zone ($75.00 to $74.65) then i'll be compelled to go SHORT... My absolute STOP Level will be ($75.50) not willing to risk any higher... Remember our ultimate GOAL is to Master our SYSTEM over-time. We aim for 3-5 Possible HIGH PROBALE setups a week, nothing more than that!!! LESS IS MORE!! Less Trades-Massive Profits!! 1) I'll keep close update as PA develops and we have more data to work with. Remember when it comes to FRM (Financial Risk Management) our job is to manage the downside costs of printing High side returns of $$$ consistently. Let's Keep Steppn!! Stay Focused & Reach Excellence!! #BHM500K #NewERA #Champions
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by TreyHighPwr
Technical Outlook on XAU/USD: Rising Wedge and Ascending Channel1. Daily Chart (D1) Pattern Observed: There is a noticeable ascending channel forming. The upper boundary is marked by a series of higher highs (HH), and the lower boundary is marked by higher lows (HL). Resistance Zone: The chart indicates a key resistance around the 2,540–2,560 level, highlighted by the upper trendline of the ascending channel. Support Levels: Key support zones are marked around 2,267 (Weekly LQZ) and 2,353 (4HR LQZ), which coincide with significant price action in the past, potentially serving as strong support areas in case of a pullback. Market Behavior: The market is currently testing the upper trendline resistance of the ascending channel. A rejection from this level could indicate a potential reversal or a pullback to the lower boundary of the channel. 2. 4-Hour Chart (H4) Pattern Observed: The 4-hour chart also shows a more defined rising wedge pattern, which is typically a bearish reversal pattern when it forms in an uptrend. The price is trading near the upper resistance line of this wedge. Liquidity Zone: An important liquidity grab/rejection area is marked around 2,476, which aligns with previous price consolidations and rejections. This area could serve as a strong inflection point where price could either rebound or break below, leading to a deeper correction. Highs and Lows: A series of higher highs (HH) are visible, but the formation of a recent lower high (LH) could signal the start of a potential reversal if the price fails to create a new higher high above the previous peaks. 3. 1-Hour Chart (H1) Pattern Observed: The 1-hour chart presents a more detailed look into the price action within the wedge. The price action is currently within a tightening range, reflecting indecision and possible consolidation before a breakout. Support and Resistance: Near-term support is identified at the liquidity zone around 2,476, and the resistance aligns with the upper boundary of the wedge pattern. Potential Setup: A bearish divergence could be developing, given the price action nearing resistance while momentum indicators (not shown here) might start to flatten or decline. 4. Multi-Time Frame Analysis Higher Time Frame Influence: The weekly flag pattern identified on the daily chart is influencing the overall bullish bias. However, the rising wedge pattern on both the daily and 4-hour charts suggests caution as a potential bearish reversal could occur. Key Decision Zones: If the price breaks above the upper boundary of the wedge, it would likely aim for the next resistance levels around 2,560 and possibly beyond, towards 2,600+. Conversely, a breakdown below the wedge's lower boundary could accelerate selling towards the 2,353 and 2,267 levels, where major liquidity zones reside. 5. Trading Strategy Insights For Long Positions: Consider entries upon a confirmed breakout above the upper boundary of the ascending channel/wedge, targeting the next significant resistance levels. Utilize tight stop losses to minimize risk in case of a false breakout. For Short Positions: Look for bearish confirmation such as rejection from the upper boundary or a breakdown below the support trendline. Potential targets would be the 4HR LQZ and the Weekly LQZ, with stops above recent highs to protect against unexpected volatility. Conclusion: The current price action suggests a critical juncture where the Gold Spot (XAU/USD) is at a significant resistance area. Traders should watch for a breakout or breakdown from the wedge pattern on the 4-hour and daily charts to determine the next directional move. Keep an eye on volume and momentum indicators for confirmation, as well as news events that could influence gold prices.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Adlercon333
AAPL - Updated Analysis - Important PA ApproachingWe would love to see yellow strong buying continue to guide price out of our selling algos. First step is a breakout of strong selling purple and then we expect a fight to occur between strong yellow and more tapered blue. Soon enough if blue or yellow holds price (bullish buying continuation) we will see a retest of our teal selling algo and that will be our first sign of a true bullish reversal. Will keep you all updated as price continues to develop! Happy Trading :)
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by ReigningTrades
AAPL - Post market analysis and what to look out forPretty boring price action today but it did tell us a lot in terms of which algorithms are in play. Yellow was activated as a strong buying algorithm which should be used to take us out of tapered orange - But we will need PA over the coming days to confirm this and for price to begin using our strong blue buying continuation to continue a move upward to retest further selling algos. Have a great evening and Happy Trading :)
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by ReigningTrades
GME's Swing to $290? Falling Wedge Breakout Alert! 📊✨ GameStop's Falling Wedge Formation: A Swing Trade Analysis Introduction: In the ever-volatile realm of the stock market, GameStop (Ticker: GME) has caught the eye of traders once again with its intriguing chart pattern formation. A closer look reveals a falling wedge setup, a classic bullish pattern that suggests a potential reversal from the downtrend. Analysis: The falling wedge pattern in GME's chart is characterized by converging trend lines that have been forming over the past months. This pattern typically indicates that the selling pressure is starting to wane, and a bullish reversal might be on the horizon. As we dissect the chart, the immediate target for this swing trade appears to be the top of the wedge. This level, acting as a significant resistance in the past, could be the first milestone GME might hit as it attempts to reverse its downtrend. Long-Term Swing Target: Looking beyond the immediate resistance, the longer-term target for GME could be in the vicinity of the ~$290 region. This ambitious target is derived from the height of the wedge projected upwards from the breakout point, a common practice among traders to determine potential swing targets in wedge patterns. Strategic Considerations: For traders considering this setup, it's crucial to wait for a confirmed breakout above the wedge pattern. Volume should accompany this breakout to validate the move, providing a stronger conviction for the long position. Risk Management: As with any trade, risk management is paramount. Setting a stop-loss below the lower trend line of the wedge or at a recent swing low inside the wedge can help mitigate potential losses should the pattern fail to materialize as expected. Conclusion: The falling wedge formation on GameStop's chart presents an intriguing opportunity for swing traders. With a careful approach, focusing on confirmation and risk management, this setup could offer a favorable risk-reward ratio, aiming first for the top of the wedge and then potentially for the longer-term target in the ~$290 region. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NYSE:GMELong
by STP_MrNodeItAll
3