Watch This Wedge! AUDNZD Primed for Upside PushThe AUDNZD pair forms a falling wedge pattern, a bullish reversal formation that typically occurs after a downtrend. The price action is being squeezed between a descending resistance line and a descending support line, creating a narrowing range. The market is now attempting to break out of the wedge, with the current price testing the resistance line. A breakout and close above this trendline would signal bullish strength and could lead to a reversal of the recent downtrend.
Targets:
TP1: 1.07605
TP2: 1.07922
Stop Loss: Below the recent low at 1.06542
Wedge
Expect ENPH breakout by EOY 2025. Buy <$60Trends:
- LT parallel channel shown marks some key trendlines for the company since IPO
- LT falling wedge intersects the bottom of this channel H2 2025 --> a buying opportunity above $50. If that breaks, falling wedge ends around $35, a 30% downside (or 40% vs today's price).
- The early 2023 peak aligned with peak in revenue and net income (decline matched stock decline). We're now seeing revenue and net income growth again (growth can bring back stock growth)
My Bias:
I'm a long-term believer in solar. ENPH plays mostly in the residential solar space (and is expanding into small commercial). They are often lauded for their high levels of customer service.
Investment Thesis:
We're back to financial growth but the stock is down. We're in a few months window before LT trends converge mid / H2 2025. If we break bullish from falling wedge and hit LOWEST point of parallel channel by EOY 2026, we'd be at $70/share (16% upside from $60; 40% upside from $50). This is my expected worst case scenario, meaning anything under $60/share is now a buying opportunity.
USOIL – Key Levels in Play. Here's What I'm WatchingAfter rejecting the 65.27 resistance, USOIL sold off sharply, dropping to the 59.5 support zone — just as anticipated.
This confirms that the market is still respecting key support and resistance levels and trend lines.
Current Scenario:
Price is sitting around 59.5. If this support holds, we could see a corrective move (buy) back to the 62 region. But that zone is now a strong area of interest — previously a broken support, now likely to act as resistance.
Here’s my game plan:
– If price pulls back to 62 and fails to break above, I’ll be watching for a sell setup targeting the 57 or even 55 area.
– If price breaks and holds above 62 with momentum, then I’ll re-evaluate for possible upside continuation.
– Right now, a short-term buy from 59.5 to 62 is valid, but it's riskier. The safer bias remains to the downside until 62 is broken cleanly.
So, while buyers might attempt something from current levels, the dominant trend and structure still favor the sellers — especially below 62.
XRP Potential Falling Wedge / Bull PennantBINANCE:XRPUSDT is consolidating within a structure that could be interpreted as either a Falling Wedge or a Pennant — both typically bullish in the current context.
Dual Scenario Setup
• Falling Wedge – A classic bullish continuation structure. Breakout target: ~$4.00.*
• Bull Pennant – A high-conviction continuation pattern. Breakout target: ~$5.30.*
* Both targets are measured from the presumed breakout point and are only valid if price breaks out in the near term.
Key Technical Levels
• Resistance: ~$2.40 – The descending trendline capping price since January.
• Support: ~$1.60 – Confluence of support support trendline + 0.618 Fib retracement of the rally + 1-Year EMA.
• Supply Zone: ~$3.40
• A break below ~$1.60 would invalidate both patterns and shift bias to bearish.
Volume Note: Gradual decline during consolidation supports both wedge and pennant interpretations. A spike in volume post-breakout would confirm strength.
Until a confirmed breakout above ~$2.40 resistance, this remains in a No-Trade Zone for me — but one worth watching closely.
NZDCHF → The global bearish trend may continueFX:NZDCHF has been within a local upward wedge pattern for a long time. A breakout of support could trigger a continuation of the downtrend.
After breaking through the wedge support, the currency pair is one step away from the start of the realization. The focus is on consolidation at 0.4982 - 0.4919. A breakout of support could trigger a decline in the currency pair amid a weakening NZD and a rising dollar index, which overall creates a negative backdrop for the pair.
A retest of the previously broken boundary of the figure or resistance at 0.4953 is possible before the decline continues, but a consolidation of the price below 0.4918 will be a good signal for the start of the movement.
Resistance levels: 0.4953, 0.4981
Support levels: 0.4918, 0.4872
Trend pressure plays an important role, as does the fact that the price is coming out of a wedge consolidation. The breakout is directed towards the main trend, and price consolidation below the key support will only confirm this.
Best regards, R. Linda!
USDJPY: Bearish Outlook Explained 🇺🇸🇯🇵
I see a very bearish price action on USDJPY:
The price formed a head & shoulders pattern after a test of
a key daily/intraday resistance and violated its neckline
and a rising support of a rising wedge pattern.
The next strong support is 141.75
It will most likely be the next goal for the sellers.
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Wajani Investments: BCHUSDPair has formed invest neck and shoulder (same formation as XRP). A bullish wedge is also indicated on the chart. In addition, the market tested a very strong resistance become support level or zone. All these indicators point to a bullish move.
NB: Always check your entries and make necessary adjustments.
Let me know your thoughts.
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Thank you.
Bitcoin may little correct and then continue to grow in wedgeHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Analysing the current chart, the market behaviour becomes much more understandable. Initially, Bitcoin was moving inside a clean upward channel, showing steady growth with rebounds from the support line and multiple corrective phases. After a strong breakout above the buyer zone, the price maintained bullish momentum and reached the current support level at 88500. Later, BTC consolidated within the support area, confirming its role as a springboard for the next impulse move. The price eventually broke higher, leaving the channel behind and forming a new structure, an upward wedge. This wedge is a natural development after a strong uptrend, often suggesting that the price may continue climbing toward the upper boundary before any potential reversals occur. At the moment, BTC is trading between the wedge's support and resistance lines, precisely respecting both structures. Small corrective pull-backs have already been observed, but buyers quickly defended the support area, keeping the bullish structure intact. Given the clear market structure, the strong breakout momentum from the support area, and the continuation pattern in the form of the upward wedge, I expect Bitcoin to continue moving higher toward the 97000 points, which aligns with the resistance line of the wedge. This level also serves as my TP1 for the current bullish move. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Russell 2000: Signs of Topping as Macro Risks LoomRussell 2000 futures look sluggish heading into a week laden with macro risk events. Given the cyclical characteristics of the underlying index, any hint of weakness may amplify U.S. recession fears, increasing the risk of renewed downside for stocks.
Sitting within what resembles a rising wedge and with a possible evening star pattern forming, the risk of a resumption of the broader bearish trend is arguably growing. While bearish momentum has weakened recently, the uptrend in RSI (14) and MACD also appears to be topping out.
A break and close beneath 1917 would generate a setup where bearish positions could be established with a stop above the level for protection. The April 21 low of 1831 screens as a potential target. A break of that would open the door for a run towards the double bottom of 1712 set in early April.
On the topside, a break and close above 1994.8 would invalidate the bearish bias.
Good luck!
DS
OTHERS/BTCUSD: The Ultimate Indicator for Altcoin SeasonsHey TradingView community! I’ve been analyzing the OTHERS/BTCUSD metric, and it’s painting an exciting picture for altcoin traders. This chart might just be the key to timing the next big altcoin rally — let’s break it down!
What is OTHERS/BTCUSD?
This metric calculates the total altcoin market cap (excluding Bitcoin) divided by BTC/USD. It shows how altcoins perform relative to Bitcoin.
High Metric : Altcoins are outperforming Bitcoin — think altcoin season!
Low Metric : Bitcoin dominance takes over, and altcoins take a backseat.
Historical Patterns: Falling Wedges Stealing the Show
The OTHERS/BTC Weekly chart reveals three Falling Wedge patterns, a bullish setup that’s historically preceded massive altcoin bull runs:
1st Altseason (2017-2018) : A Falling Wedge formed in 2016 (prior pink zone). The breakout unleashed a legendary altcoin rally — remember Ethereum and Ripple going parabolic?!
2nd Altseason (2020-2022) : Another wedge in 2018-2019 (blue zone) led to the 2021 altcoin boom, with projects like Solana and DeFi tokens soaring as the metric hit 10M.
3rd Falling Wedge (2022-Now) : Since 2022, a new wedge is forming (green zone), resurfacing the setups that sparked the last two altseasons.
Current Setup: A Critical Support Zone
As of April 27, 2025, the metric is approaching a key support zone of 2M-1.5M (where the altcoin market cap equals 1.5M to 2M Bitcoins).
Historical Significance : This level has been a launchpad in the past — both in 2016 and 2019, it marked the bottom before altcoins reversed and surged.
What’s Next : If this wedge breaks out, the metric could climb to 7M, 9M, or even 11.5M by 2025-2027. That could mean 5-10x gains from bottom for altcoins, depending on the pair!
A sinusoidal wave at the bottom of the chart — it reflect market sentiment cycles, with troughs (like now) often preceding altcoin season greed phases.
Why This Metric Matters
OTHERS/BTCUSD captures the flow of capital in crypto:
Bitcoin often leads bull cycles, pulling in capital first (metric drops).
When BTC’s rally cools, investors chase higher returns in altcoins (metric rises).
The Falling Wedges highlight this cycle — consolidation during Bitcoin dominance, followed by breakouts when altcoins take the spotlight.
Trading Takeaway
Monitor the 2M-1.5M Zone : A breakout here could be your green light to stack altcoins.
Cross-Check Bitcoin Dominance : A drop in BTC.D (Bitcoin Dominance) would confirm capital flowing into altcoins.
Pick Strong Projects : Look for altcoins with solid fundamentals — layer-1s, DeFi, or AI tokens could lead the charge.
What’s your take, TradingView fam? Are you gearing up for the next altseason?
Drop your favorite altcoin picks or charts in the comments — I’d love to hear your thoughts!
LGVN Bullish opportunity Longeveron Inc. (LGVN) offers a strong bullish opportunity as it nears a potential breakout from its prevailing downtrend. The stock has been consolidating with increasing volume and tightening price ranges, indicating accumulating buyer interest. A decisive break above the critical resistance level of $1.92, coinciding with the downtrend's upper trendline, could trigger a bullish reversal, propelling LGVN toward an initial target of $2.25, with further upside potential to $2.60. Traders should watch for strong volume confirmation and stay mindful of broader market conditions to manage risks effectively.
Not advise for buying or selling, just I like what I do :)
BITCOIN → Consolidation or reversal? Why is $ 95000 important?BINANCE:BTCUSD held up quite strongly during the tariff war and largely weathered the storm, while the stock market and indices were in free fall. The improvement in the fundamental situation has once again heightened interest in the asset among traders and investors.
Earlier, I pointed out that against the backdrop of falling markets (due to Trump's policies and tariff wars), Bitcoin is holding up fairly well. It cannot be compared to gold, which maintains its status as a safe haven, but overall it has stayed out of the 73K risk zone.
Countries are continuing negotiations in the US, which generally points to an improvement in the trade situation, but all attention remains on relations between China and the US, and a resolution may be close.
Technically, on the daily/weekly timeframe, the price has broken through the trend resistance and the asset has moved from the sell zone to the buy zone, which in general only increases interest in the flagship. Bitcoin is stuck in the 95K-92K range. A false breakout of resistance provokes a correction, and now we need to monitor the price and see where the correction will stop. This will show us important support that could become the basis for consolidation.
Resistance levels: 95K, 100K, 102.5K
Support levels: 93.5, 92.9, 92, 91K
To break through 95K and continue growing, Bitcoin must form consolidation. There is none at the moment, and a correction and halt may indicate the approximate boundaries of consolidation. However, the focus is on 95 - 93.5 - 92K. If the price manages to stay within the local boundaries and continues to storm the 95K resistance, we will have a chance for a breakthrough and continued growth to 100K. Otherwise, Bitcoin may form a deeper correction, for example to 91-88K
Best regards, R. Linda!
Is this the start of a massive dollar rally? Learn how .Price action (falling wedge breakout)
Institutional concept (BOS – Break of Structure, 78.6% Fibonacci retracement entry zone)
Liquidity zones (4H LQ and key levels marked in green)
Higher targets (institutional supply zones highlighted in cream boxes around 104-107)
The next EUR/USD move could pay twice:Forecasted Move:
First, a bullish breakout towards the upper blue levels (around 1.14000–1.14193).
After hitting resistance, a sharp drop is expected.
Pullback (small retracement) near the green trendline.
Then, a bigger bearish move targeting the lower yellow demand zone around 1.11600–1.12225.
Key Levels Marked:
Resistance: 1.14000 – 1.14255
Support: 1.12225 – 1.11600
Timeline:
Major movements are expected between late April and early May (around May 6–8).
Important Detail:
You have drawn two phases — a fast move up (blue zigzag) and then a corrective drop (red zigzag).
Watch out for news events around those dates (you've marked news icons too).
---
Summary:
You are expecting a false bullish rally, followed by a major bearish drop after May 6–7 on EUR/USD.
USDJPY - Already Over-Sold!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈USDJPY has been overall bearish trading within the falling wedge pattern marked in blue and it is currently hovering around the lower bound of it.
Moreover, the orange zone is a strong weekly support.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of support and lower blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #USDJPY approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Euro may rebound from support line of wegde and continue growHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. For a while, price was consolidating in a flat range, bouncing between support near 1.0735 and resistance close to 1.0950 points. The price showed multiple rejections from the buyer zone, indicating strong interest from bulls around that area. Eventually, this led to a breakout to the upside, accompanied by a sharp impulse movement. After the breakout, the pair formed a steady upward wedge pattern, where both support and resistance lines were respected. This pattern helped channel the bullish pressure, allowing the price to gradually push higher while also offering clear correction zones. One of those zones, the support area, is particularly important. Price bounced off this area again recently, signaling that buyers are still in control. The market is currently recovering from a local correction and showing early signs of continued growth, as visible from the bounce off the wedge's support line and the area around the current support level. Given this structure, the breakout from range, the formation of the wedge, and the consistent support reaction, I expect the Euro may to continue its movement upward. So, that's why I set my TP at 1.1550 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Bitcoin can make small correction and then continue to growHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Earlier, the price of price was consolidating for quite some time inside a broad upward wedge. The market found consistent support near the buyer zone, forming a solid foundation for future growth. After several rebounds, the bulls pushed BTC higher, and the pair exited the support area with a clean breakout. The movement above the current 86000 support level was accompanied by a strong bullish impulse, confirming the breakout from the wedge and validating the upward momentum. The price respected the structure of the wedge well, reacting to both the resistance and support lines along the way. After the breakout, Bitcoin reached a new high near 94000, where it turned around slightly, indicating the beginning of a local correction. Now BTC is hovering just above the broken wedge, and I believe a short-term decline, likely before continuing further upward. Given the wedge's structure, the bounce from the buyer zone, and the breakout with confirmation, I remain bullish on Bitcoin. My TP1 remains at 97000 points, which corresponds to the next key resistance above the current price range. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀