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Wedge

Gold Overbought Daily, Weekly, Monthly: But Does it Matter?Gold Talking Points: Gold bulls have continued to push an impressive trend throughout 2024 and there was another extension of that this morning with another fresh all-time-high. At this point chasing fresh breakouts in gold can be seen as challenging given that it’s now showing overbought conditions on the daily, weekly and monthly charts. But – that doesn’t mean that price has to turn. Instead, the focus can shift to pullbacks of higher-low support, like what had showed around FOMC last week. It’s been an astounding rally in gold so far in 2024 and that’s continued through another week, with the metal getting another push-higher this morning on the back of dovish Fed comments from Neel Kashkari and Austan Goolsbee. The big USD driver for this week is unveiled on Friday with the most recent release of Core PCE, often considered to be ‘the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge.’ Until then, however, there’s numerous iterations of Fed-speak, including a speech from Chair Powell on Thursday morning. Markets have high expectations for more dovish-speak as rate expectations are currently showing a 76.5% probability of at least 75 bps more in cuts by the end of the year, standing against a current 23.5% probability of 50 bps, which is what the Fed’s projections pointed to last Wednesday. In gold, that FOMC rate decision delivered the last pullback as prices softened down to the $2550 zone of support. That didn’t last for long, however, as bulls pounced and continued to drive through last week’s close and this week’s open, setting another fresh all-time-high. Gold Bigger Picture: Overbought Daily, Weekly, Monthly At this point chasing gold-higher on breakouts can be a challenge. There’s been a proclivity for bulls to soften the drive on tests of resistance or at fresh highs, thereby leading to the build of a rising wedge pattern. And there’s also the matter of overbought dynamics to consider as gold is currently showing overbought readings on all of the daily, weekly and monthly chart. That does not mean that gold has to turn, however. The monthly overbought read started way back in April and, of course, gold has continued to drive since then. The weekly overbought reading re-appeared in early-September, just as bulls were gearing up for another breakout. And the daily overbought reading showed last Friday, and this is the first time that’s happened since April. That’s when gold began to stall and range which largely held through the Q2 close and the Q3 open. So, overbought doesn’t mean that this is ready for reversal. It does, however, highlight the challenge of chasing and instead points to pullback potential such as the scenario I was talking about ahead of the FOMC last Wednesday. On the below chart, I’ve highlighted the two prior episodes in 2024 when daily RSI pushed into overbought territory. Gold Shorter-Term Strategy I had shared a zone on twitter this morning that was highlighting short-term resistance around the 2625 level. Bulls breached that on the way to fresh highs and it’s now back in the picture as short-term support, which is confluent with the trendline taken from the higher-low produced after the FOMC pullback last week. This is also what I’m considering as support side of a rising wedge formation, which is often approached with aim of bearish reversals or pullbacks in bullish trends. I’m more interested in pullbacks at this point and that highlights the 2619 swing of prior resistance as a possible spot of support. Below that I have another prior swing of resistance-turned-support at 2614. If that can’t hold, the door is open to a 2600 re-test which is what held the highs just after the FOMC statement release last Wednesday. When bulls drove price above that level, the pullback showing after couldn’t even get down to 2600, holding at 2602 and this sets up a support zone of note for retracement scenarios this week. --- written by James Stanley, Senior Strategist
WHSELFINVEST:GOLDLong
by WHSelfInvest
#PENDLEUSDT #1D (Bybit) Broadening wedge breakout and retestPENDLE regained 50MA daily support then pulled back to it twice, forming a hammer. Looks good for bullish continuation towards 200MA resistance, buckle up! ⚡️⚡️ #PENDLE/USDT ⚡️⚡️ Exchanges: ByBit USDT Signal Type: Regular (Long) Leverage: Isolated (4.0X) Amount: 5.1% Current Price: 3.5533 Entry Targets: 1) 3.2645 Take-Profit Targets: 1) 4.2309 Stop Targets: 1) 2.9419 Published By: @Zblaba SEED_DONKEYDAN_MARKET_CAP:PENDLE BYBIT:PENDLEUSDT.P #DeFi pendle.fi Risk/Reward= 1:3.0 Expected Profit= +118.4% Possible Loss= -39.5% Estimated Gaintime= 1 month
Long
by TradingOn
AMC to jump 1700% with move to $90 in 2024?There is evidence for such a move. On the above 5 day chart price action has corrected 99% (August 2023 share split accounted for). A number of reasons now exist to consider a long position, including: 1) Price action and RSI resistance breakouts. This breakout occurs after 1071 days of resistance. 2) Market participants are opening up long positions on every test of the golden ratio. See daily chart below. You have to look left until early 2021 to see a repeat of this behaviour. 3) The falling wedge is used to forecast a target area. Oddly enough that target area is matched by the top of the downtrend channel. Is it possible price action continues the downtrend? Sure. Is it probable? No. Ww Type: trade Risk: <=3% Timeframe for long: sooner than late Return: 1500% at least Golden ratio test (green line)
NYSE:AMCLong
by without_worries
40
EURO - Price can bounce down from resistance area to $1.1100Hi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Some time ago price made upward impulse from $1.1025 level and reached $1.1165 level, after which corrected. Then price entered to wedge, where it made a fake breakout of $1.1165 level and started to decline to support line of wedge. Euro reached support line, it bounced up, thereby exiting from wedge, and then rose to $1.1135 points. Next, price started to trades in another wedge, where it first declined to support area, where it reached support line. After this, price made a fake breakout of $1.1025 level and in a short time rose to $1.1165 and made a fake breakout again. Now, price trades very close to this level, and I think EUR can bounce down to $1.1100 from resistance area. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Short
by WalterMoon
1
Bitcoin can rebound from support zone and start to growHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. By observing the chart, we can see that the price traded inside the range, where it at once rebounded from the buyer zone to the bottom part. After this, it turned around and rose back, and some time traded between 58000 level. Soon, the price broke this level, thereby exiting from the range and later entering the wedge, where it turned around from the resistance line and started to decline. In a short time, BTC declined to the buyer zone, where it reached the support line of the wedge. Then, the price started to grow from this line and rose from the buyer zone, but later it made a correction to the support line, after which turned around and continued to move up. Later BTC reached 62600 current support level, which coincided with the support zone and broke this level. Next, the price reached the resistance line of the wedge and then rebounded down. A not long time ago Bitcoin exited from the wedge and now trades inside the support zone. In my mind, BTC can decline to support zone and then start to move up. For this reason, I set my TP at 65500 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Long
by LegionQ8
2
Honestly, I don't feel like explaining, the chart says it all !!As you can see, MATIC has created an ascending Triangle and is also located in the Broadening wedge . , which means that if it breaks, we expect the price to reach the top of the Broadening wedge . ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Long
by CobraVanguard
2
ETH: This May Be Your Last Chance Before Exploding to UpsideAs I mentioned in the previous analysis, Ethereum can experience significant growth after breaking out of the wedge, which indeed happened. Now, we can set the target at 2800. If this zone is broken, the price can reach the top of the megaphone pattern. Previous Analysis ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by CobraVanguard
7
BITCOIN: This May Be Your Last Chance Before Exploding to UpsideBitcoin can go up to 65k to complete the wedge, but every uptrend has to be corrected, that's the nature of the market . if wedge broken i expect the price can falling to 61K ! And we have to wait for failure so that the wedge is not broken, as if there is no wedge! ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Short
by CobraVanguard
2