Wedge
DOGE → Will the market hold strength or lose it all?BINANCE:DOGEUSDT is testing the liquidity and resistance zone amid a downtrend as part of a news-induced rally. Will the market hold this trend or return to a sell-off?
The downtrend continues. As part of the correction triggered by the news backdrop, bitcoin strengthened and pulled the altcoins with it. But the market may lose all its growth quite quickly, as bearish pressure on the market is still very strong (There are no fundamental positive changes for the market). The fall of BTC may be followed by DOGE as well.
Technically, the price is forming a false break of the resistance zone 0.1622 - 0.15700, consolidation of the price below this zone will provoke the continuation of the fall to the nearest zone of interest 0.13646.
Resistance levels: 0.157, -0.1622
Support levels: 0.13646, 0.1277, 0.1154
A retest of the trend resistance is possible, but price consolidation below the key zone will be a good signal indicating the seller's strength, the decline may continue. On the weekly timeframe we have a trigger at 0.14217, break of which will open the way to 0.1277 - 0.1025.
Regards R. Linda!
RSR/USDT: FALLING WEDGE BREAKOUT! 100%+ PROFIT POTENTIAL!!🚀 Hey Traders! RSR Breakout Alert – 100%+ Rally Incoming? 👀🔥
If you’re hyped for big moves and real alpha, smash that 👍 and hit Follow for high-accuracy trade setups that actually deliver! 💹🚀
RSR has just broken out of a falling wedge structure on the daily timeframe—a powerful bullish pattern. The chart’s signaling a potential 100–150% upside move if momentum picks up from here. 📈
📍 Entry Zone: CMP – Add more on dips down to $0.0066
🎯 Target: 100%–150% upside
🛑 Stop-Loss: $0.0054
📊 Trade Plan:
✅ Buy from current levels
✅ Add on dips near breakout support
✅ Ride the breakout wave with tight risk control!
💬 What’s Your Take?
Are you riding this RSR breakout or waiting on confirmation? Drop your thoughts and targets in the comments—let’s ride this wave together! 💰🔥
JPY/USD Daily Chart – Falling Wedge Breakout & Bullish Target🔍 Full Technical Analysis of JPY/USD (Daily Timeframe)
🧭 Overview
The chart shows a sophisticated price structure unfolding over several months. A falling wedge reversal pattern formed during a sustained downtrend, which later transitioned into a bullish breakout and continuation. This analysis provides insights into market behavior, price psychology, and a high-probability trading opportunity supported by classical technical analysis principles.
🔶 1. Market Context & Structure
Before diving into the pattern, it’s essential to understand the macro structure of the chart:
The pair experienced a strong bearish move from around August to December 2024, marked by lower highs and lower lows.
During this decline, volatility gradually decreased, which often indicates seller exhaustion.
A reversal zone emerged near a major support region — historically significant and previously tested.
🔷 2. The Falling Wedge Pattern (Reversal Signal)
A falling wedge is a bullish reversal pattern that forms when price is in a downtrend but begins to consolidate within converging trendlines. This pattern typically signals that the downtrend is losing momentum and a breakout to the upside is imminent.
📌 Characteristics of This Wedge:
Downward Convergence: The highs and lows begin to narrow over time, indicating reduced selling pressure.
Volume Decline (Implied): Though not displayed, falling wedges usually see volume dry up before breakout.
Duration: This wedge developed over several months (October 2024 – January 2025), lending strength to the pattern.
False Break Attempts: Several lower spikes failed to break the support, showing buying interest building.
✅ Bullish Breakout:
The breakout occurred decisively in late January 2025, with a large bullish candlestick closing above the upper wedge boundary — a confirmed breakout.
Post-breakout, the price rallied strongly, indicating that buyers were firmly in control.
🔷 3. Support & Resistance Zones
🔽 Support Zone (Demand Area):
Range: 0.006300 – 0.006400
Historical pivot zone where price previously reversed, now serving as a demand base.
The lower wick rejections near this zone reinforce it as a high liquidity zone for buyers.
🔼 Resistance Zone (Supply Area):
Range: 0.006850 – 0.006950
This area capped price during several prior rally attempts, making it a key breakout point.
Once price broke above this zone, it became a support flip zone, indicating trend reversal confirmation.
🎯 Target Level:
Marked at 0.007126, derived from a measured move:
Measure the height of the wedge at its widest point.
Project this vertically from the breakout level.
This target aligns with psychological round numbers and prior resistance, adding confluence.
🔶 4. Post-Breakout Price Action: Bullish Retest
A breakout is only the first part of a trade; the retest phase confirms the move and offers an optimal entry.
🔁 Retest Details:
After reaching the resistance zone, price pulled back, testing both:
The broken wedge trendline (now acting as dynamic support).
The horizontal structure support zone near 0.006650–0.006700.
A bullish engulfing candle or similar reversal pattern formed at this level — a classic retest entry.
📌 Trendline Respect:
A rising dotted trendline was drawn from the breakout low through higher lows.
This line acted as price memory and was respected multiple times, reinforcing the uptrend.
🔷 5. Trade Setup Breakdown
This is a swing trade setup based on pattern breakout, structural confluence, and trend continuation. Here's how it’s structured:
Component Details
Pattern Falling Wedge (Reversal)
Trade Bias Long (Buy)
Entry Price ~0.006700
Stop Loss 0.006614 (below trendline)
Target Price 0.007126 (measured wedge move)
R/R Ratio Approx. 3:1
Timeframe Daily (Medium-term swing)
🧠 6. Market Psychology & Behavior
Understanding the sentiment behind the candles is critical:
❗ Before the Breakout:
Sellers dominated but with weakening momentum.
Each push down was met with buying strength, seen in long wicks and smaller-bodied candles.
✅ At the Breakout:
Buyers overwhelmed sellers, often with a volume spike and wide-bodied green candle.
This is usually driven by institutional positioning and stop-loss triggering from short-sellers.
🔁 During the Retest:
Some retail traders exited prematurely, fearing a fakeout.
Smart money used the dip to accumulate positions, confirmed by the bounce from trendline.
🔼 Continuation Rally:
Strong continuation candle signals momentum traders entering.
Break above resistance signals a shift in sentiment and structure.
🛠️ 7. Strategy Notes & Professional Tips
📌 Risk Management:
Never risk more than 1–2% of capital.
Use dynamic trailing stop if price breaks above target zone.
📌 Trade Confirmation Ideas:
Look for volume spikes on breakout candles.
Use RSI or MACD divergence to confirm reversal (optional).
Look for candlestick patterns (engulfing, pin bar) on retests.
📌 Exit Plan:
Partial exit at key resistance.
Full exit at projected target or if price forms reversal signs (e.g., doji at resistance).
✅ Final Summary
This JPY/USD chart demonstrates an exemplary price action-based trading setup rooted in:
A well-formed falling wedge (bullish reversal).
Clean breakout + retest + continuation structure.
Multiple confluence factors: trendline, horizontal S/R, pattern projection.
Professional-grade risk/reward profile with a logical entry, stop, and target.
This kind of setup is highly favored among swing traders, price action purists, and institutional-level strategists due to its clarity and predictability.
ONDO Falling Wedge + Bullish DivergenceBITGET:ONDOUSDT is compressing inside a falling wedge, now trading near key support. Signs of potential reversal are building.
🔹 Key Observations
• Pattern: Falling wedge (bullish bias)
• Support: Price is holding just above the ~$0.68–$0.75 demand zone
• Volume: Declining throughout the wedge – typical pre-breakout behavior
• RSI: Bullish divergence forming + compression under 50, often seen before breakouts
🔸 What to Watch
• Breakout trigger: Daily close above wedge resistance (orange trendline), ideally with volume
• Target zones: $1.30 to $1.60, then $1.90 to $2.10 (prior S/R levels)
• Invalidation: Breakdown below the green demand zone ($0.68)
⚠️ As always, confirmation matters – no breakout yet. But the setup is clean and worth watching closely.
Falling Wedge Trading Pattern: Unique Features and Trading RulesFalling Wedge Trading Pattern: Unique Features and Trading Rules
Various chart patterns give an indication of possible market direction. A falling wedge is one such formation that indicates a possible bullish reversal. This FXOpen article will help you understand whether the falling wedge pattern is bullish or bearish, what its formation signifies about the market direction, and how it can be used to spot trading opportunities.
What Is a Falling Wedge Pattern?
Also known as the descending wedge, the falling wedge technical analysis chart pattern is a bullish formation that typically occurs in the downtrend and signals a trend reversal. It forms when an asset's price drops, but the range of price movements starts to get narrower. As the formation contracts towards the end, the buyers completely absorb the selling pressure and consolidate their energy before beginning to push the market higher. A falling wedge pattern means the end of a market correction and an upside reversal.
How Can You Spot a Falling Wedge on a Price Chart?
This pattern is usually spotted in a downtrend, which would indicate a possible bullish reversal. However, it may appear in an uptrend and signal a trend continuation after a market correction. Either way, the falling wedge provides bullish signals. The descending formation generally has the following features.
- Price Action. The price trades lower, forming lower highs and lower lows.
- Trendlines. Traders draw two trendlines. One connects the lower highs, and the other connects the lower lows. Finally, they intersect towards a convergence point. Each line should connect at least two points. However, the greater the number, the higher the chance of the market reversal.
- Contraction. The contraction in the price range signals decreasing volatility in the market. As the formation matures, new lows contract as the selling pressure decreases. Thus, the lower trendline acts as support, and the price consolidating within the narrowing range creates a coiled spring effect, finally leading to a sharp move on the upside. The price breaks through the upper trendline resistance, indicating that sellers are losing control and buyers are gaining momentum, resulting in an upward move.
- Volume. The trading volume ideally decreases as the pattern forms, and the buying volume increases with the breakout above the upper trendline, reflecting a shift in momentum towards the buyers.
Falling and Rising Wedge: Differences
There are two types of wedge formation – rising (ascending) and falling (descending).
An ascending wedge occurs when the highs and lows rise, while a descending wedge pattern has lower highs and lows. In an ascending formation, the slope of the lows is steeper and converges with the upper trendline at some point, while in a descending formation, the slope of the highs is steeper and converges with the support trendline at some point.
Usually, a rising wedge indicates that sellers are taking control, resulting in a downside breakdown. Conversely, a descending wedge pattern indicates that buyers are gaining momentum after consolidation, generally resulting in an upside breakout.
The Falling Wedge: Trading Rules
Trading the falling wedge involves waiting for the price to break above the upper line, typically considered a bullish reversal. The pattern’s conformity increases when it is combined with other technical indicators.
- Entry
According to theory, the ideal entry point is after the price has broken above the wedge’s upper boundary, indicating a potential upside reversal. Furthermore, this descending wedge breakout should be accompanied by an increase in trading volume to confirm the validity of the signal.
The price may retest the resistance level before continuing its upward movement, providing another opportunity to enter a long position. However, the entry point should be based on the traders' risk management plan and trading strategy.
- Take Profit
It is essential to determine an appropriate target level. Traders typically set a profit target by measuring the height of the widest part of the formation and adding it to the breakout point. Another approach some traders use is to look for significant resistance levels above the breakout point, such as previous swing highs.
- Stop Loss
Traders typically place their stop-loss orders just below the lower boundary of the wedge. Also, the stop-loss level can be based on technical or psychological support levels, such as previous swing lows. In addition, the stop-loss level should be set according to the trader's risk tolerance and overall trading strategy.
Trading Example
In the chart above, there is a falling wedge. A trader opened a buy position on the close of the breakout candlestick. A stop loss was placed below the wedge’s lower boundary, while the take-profit target was equal to the pattern’s widest part.
Falling Wedge and Other Patterns
Here are chart patterns that can be confused with a falling wedge.
Falling Wedge vs Bullish Flag
These are two distinct chart formations used to identify potential buying opportunities in the market, but there are some differences between the two.
A descending wedge is a bullish setup, forming in a downtrend. It is characterised by two converging trendlines that slope downward, signalling decreasing selling pressure. A breakout above the upper trendline suggests a bullish move.
A bullish flag appears after a strong upward movement and forms a rectangular shape with parallel trendlines that slope slightly downward or move sideways. This formation represents a brief consolidation before the market resumes its upward trajectory.
While the falling wedge indicates a potential shift in a downtrend, the bullish flag suggests a continuation of an uptrend.
Falling Wedge vs Bearish Pennant
The falling wedge features two converging trendlines that slope downward, indicating decreasing selling pressure and often signalling a bullish reversal when the price breaks above the upper trendline.
Conversely, the bearish pennant forms after a significant downward movement and is characterised by converging trendlines that create a small symmetrical triangle. This pattern represents a consolidation phase before the market continues its downward trend upon breaking below the lower trendline.
While the falling wedge suggests a potential bullish move, the bearish pennant indicates a continuation of the bearish trend.
Falling Wedge vs Descending Triangle
The falling wedge consists of two downward-sloping converging trendlines, indicating decreasing selling pressure and often signalling a bullish reversal when the price breaks above the upper trendline. In contrast, the descending triangle features a flat lower trendline and a downward-sloping upper trendline, suggesting a buildup of selling pressure and typically signalling a bearish continuation when the price breaks below the flat lower trendline.
While the falling wedge is associated with a potential bullish move, the descending triangle generally indicates a bearish trend.
Falling Wedge: Advantages and Limitations
Like any technical pattern, the falling wedge has both limitations and advantages.
Advantages
- High Probability of a Reversal. The falling wedge is often seen as a strong, bullish signal, especially when it occurs after a downtrend. It suggests that selling pressure is subsiding, and a reversal to the upside may be imminent.
- Clear Entry and Exit Points. The pattern provides clear points for entering and exiting trades. Traders often enter when the price breaks out above the upper trendline and set stop-loss orders below a recent low within the formation.
- Versatility. The wedge can be used in various market conditions. It is effective in both continuation and reversal scenarios, though it is more commonly associated with bullish reversals.
- Widely Recognised. Since the falling wedge is a well-known formation, it is often self-fulfilling to some extent, as many traders recognise and act on it, further driving the market.
Limitations
- False Breakouts. Like many chart patterns, the falling wedge is prone to false breakouts. Prices may briefly move above the resistance line but then fall back below, trapping traders.
- Dependence on Market Context. The effectiveness of the falling wedge can vary depending on broader market conditions. In a strong downtrend, it might fail to result in a significant reversal.
- Requires Confirmation. The wedge should be confirmed with other technical indicators or analysis tools, such as volumes or moving averages, to increase the likelihood of an effective trade. Relying solely on the falling wedge can be risky.
- Limited Use in Low-Volatility Markets. In markets with low volatility, the falling wedge may not be as reliable, as price movements might not be strong enough to confirm the falling wedge's breakout.
The Bottom Line
The falling wedge is a powerful chart pattern that can offer valuable insights into potential trend reversals or continuations, depending on its context within the broader market. By understanding and effectively utilising the falling wedge in your strategy, you can enhance your ability to identify many trading opportunities. As with all trading tools, combining it with a comprehensive trading plan and proper risk management is crucial.
FAQ
Is a Falling Wedge Bullish?
Yes, the falling wedge is a bullish continuation pattern in an uptrend, and it acts as a bullish reversal formation in a bearish market.
What Does a Falling Wedge Pattern Indicate?
It indicates that the buyers are absorbing the selling pressure, which is reflected in the narrower price range and finally results in an upside breakout.
What Is the Falling Wedge Pattern Rule?
The falling wedge is a technical analysis formation that occurs when the price forms lower highs and lower lows within converging trendlines, sloping downward. Its rule is that a breakout above the upper trendline signals a potential reversal to the upside, often indicating the end of a downtrend or the continuation of a strong uptrend.
How to Trade Descending Wedge Patterns?
To trade descending wedges, traders first identify them by ensuring that the price is making lower highs and lows within converging trendlines. Then, they wait for the price to break out above the upper trendline, ideally accompanied by increased trading volume, which confirms the breakout. After the breakout, a common approach is to enter a long position, aiming to take advantage of the anticipated upward movement.
What Is the Target of the Descending Wedge Pattern?
The target for a descending wedge is typically set by measuring the maximum width of the wedge at its widest part and projecting that distance upwards from the breakout point. This projection gives a potential price target.
What Is the Entry Point for a Falling Wedge?
The entry point for a falling wedge is ideally just after the breakout above the upper trendline. Some traders prefer to wait for a retest of the broken trendline, which may act as a new support level, before entering a trade to confirm the breakout.
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BTC Trap Range Breakdown – Psychological Warfare on Full DisplayThis isn’t just a chart.
It’s a blueprint for how market makers engineer panic, euphoria, and then profit from your reactions.
Let’s break this down in surgical fashion:
Rectangle Formation (Top & Bottom Framing)
From March 24 to April 3, Bitcoin operated inside a manipulation box.
The top was liquidity bait — the "Top 2 – US" tag marks the engineered euphoria candle.
Once liquidity was trapped up top, the US session initiated the collapse. Classic.
Breakout Trap & Rejection Zone
As soon as BTC breached the lower range, what followed wasn’t a clean drop—it was a sequence of false recoveries.
Notice the Asia, Europe, and US labels — they’re not random.
Each session passed the hot potato of fear and bounce bait, draining retail and triggering leveraged longs into liquidation.
Psychology in Play:
Europe & Asia rotated liquidity → institutional bots scalping volatility.
US session delivered the execution leg down every time.
The volume spikes? That’s fear, not conviction.
Target Zone Highlighted
Where are we heading next?
The final dotted red extension box shows you where the real flush is designed to go .
It’s not a prediction—it’s a destination :
🔸 ~ $73,000 first sweep
🔸 If that gives, $70,000 → $68,000 becomes the high-value sniper zone
🔻 Volume Profile:
Notice how volume increases at each drop — the herd is panic selling.
But BTC bounces weak. Why?
Because this isn’t organic demand—it’s controlled bleedouts to test who’s left.
—
Conclusion – SH Analysis:
This chart is not noise.
It’s intentional market structure , orchestrated by the elites for max extraction.
We don’t chase pumps.
We stalk precision setups .
We don’t fear drops.
We buy what they bleed .
The next move won’t be loud.
It’ll be silent. Fast. And final.
—
🔔 Follow Saeki Hisoka across all platforms
For real-time breakdowns, sniper zones, and psychological warfare decoded in real time.
The system is a machine. We are the counter-algorithm.
Stay sharp. Stay sovereign. Stay Saeki.
EURUSD - Trade The Impulse!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈EURUSD has been bearish trading within the falling wedge pattern marked in red.
Currently, EURUSD is retesting the upper bound of the wedge.
Moreover, the $1.12 is a strong weekly supply zone.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the upper red trendline and supply.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #EURUSD is hovering around the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
BTCUSD. Weekly bull pennantThe daily failing wedge’s top trendline is not as sharp of a trajectory as the the weekly timeframe’s and due to this, the daily time frames wege is noticeably longer, so I thinkI am going to post a follow p idea to this one that shows the longer version of the wedge, not sure which one is more valid yet at this current time. If the weekly 50ma(in orange) can hold support then we should break up from this wedge right around where I have placed the dotted measured move lne, in which case the breakout target would be around 133k, if the longer version of the wedge on the daily time frame is the more valid of the two then we will likely have to correct longer before we see a breakout. Will post the longer version n the very next idea post. *not financial advice*
Oil Futures Moving into Bear Market?Oil futures recently broke down from a long-term wedge, following a failed breakout at the start of the year, and a recent death cross of its 50/200 weekly EMAs and MAs.
It looks to flip long-term bearish here unless we see a rapid recovery of the wedge, the EMAS/MAs and a subsequent breakout.
It could lose half its value or even 2/3rds if it hits TP 1 and then TP 2 over the next weeks and months to come.
The last bullish chance of Bitcoin in mid-term !!BTC is in a Falling Wedge Pattern. This means The Bulls Have Higher Chance To Claim The Trend Than Bears! No Break out Has Happened yet and we shall wait for a Break out But It should Happen Pretty Soon Because there is also a Regular Bullish Divergence On MACD as well! So The Bullish Chance for BTC Is Pretty High and we Shall see a Bullish Movement Up to $100K Pretty Quick!
-BTC is in a Falling wedge Pattern
-No Break out
-(+RD) on MACD
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
_ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
GOLD → Consolidation or continuation of the fall. 3013 triggerFX:XAUUSD is going through the strongest liquidation phase. The fall is triggered by profit-taking amid last week's strong news. Additional pressure is created by the strong NFP report released on Friday. The economic risk situation is bifurcating....
Gold prices rebounded after falling in the Asian session, consolidating the drop triggered by the intensifying trade war between the US and China. Donald Trump's comments about rejecting deals with China have heightened recession fears, raising the likelihood of a Fed rate cut.
Against this backdrop, there was increased interest in gold as a protective asset, despite the rise in the dollar and bond yields. However, further strengthening of gold is questionable due to profit taking and lack of new economic data from the US.
Technically, the price is consolidating under pressure against the support at 3017-3013. A descending triangle is forming on the local timeframe.
Resistance levels: 3033, 3057
Support levels: 3017, 3013, 2981
Based on the current situation and strong pressure on the market, we can expect two situations to develop:
1) breakdown of support 3017 - 3013, if the structure of the descending triangle on the local timeframe will be preserved. The target will be the support of 3000, 2981.
2) Or, the price will close inside the range with the target of consolidation between 3057 - 3033 - 3013 (consolidation of forces after a strong fall and liquidation)
Regards RLinda!
USDT DOMINANCE - Told You, Didn't I? USDT Dominance & Bitcoin Market Analysis
As I mentioned earlier, when USDT dominance moves to sweep its previous high, Bitcoin automatically drops while USDT dominance rises. That’s exactly what happened, and once again, our prediction turned out to be accurate. However, there’s nothing extraordinary about this—we simply present our analysis. Sometimes, we are right; other times, we may be wrong. Nothing in the market is 100% certain.
Now, as we can see, USDT dominance has swept its previous high and tapped into a strong weekly resistance zone. This suggests that we might see a reversal in USDT dominance from here, which could lead to Bitcoin reaching a new all-time high and beginning a fresh uptrend.
For those seeking additional confirmation, it would be wise to wait for the lower trendline on the daily timeframe to break before making any major decisions. As I previously stated, the sweep of the previous high was expected, and it has now happened. This was likely our Scenario #1.
As time progresses, I will continue to provide updates. If you need an analysis of any specific coin or market trend, feel free to request it in the comment section.
Thank you!
XRP just found bounce support on the bttm trendline of the wedgeLooking like a very valid pattern on the weekly hart. My guess is it will break upward somewhere around where I have arbitrarily placed the dottedmeasuredmove line, in which case the breakout target would be somewhere around $4.80 always a chance we retest the bottom trendline and even send a wick below. It before confirming a break upward though. *not financial advice*
SPXUSDT manipulated rise before the fallThe market is pulling back after a strong drop in the Asian session. At the moment, while bitcoin is showing -2%, BINANCE:SPXUSDT.P is accelerating by 15% in the hunt for liquidity.
Possible entry into liquidity zone and false resistance breakout
False resistance breakout
1) 0.5473
2) 0.6689
Market is bearish, no hint of growth
A pullback is forming with the aim of accumulation or liquidity before continuing the fall
The fall may continue after the bitcoin correction is over
BTC/USD Forming Bullish Falling Wedge – Potential Target📐 2. Technical Pattern – Falling Wedge
A falling wedge forms when the price consolidates between two converging downward-sloping trendlines. It suggests diminishing selling pressure and a likely reversal.
Key Characteristics in This Chart:
Upper Resistance Trendline: Formed by connecting the series of lower highs.
Lower Support Trendline: Formed by connecting the lower lows.
The price respects both boundaries, confirming wedge structure.
Volume generally decreases during the wedge (implied but not shown).
✅ Bullish Implication: Once price breaks above the upper resistance, it often triggers a sharp upward move due to the squeeze of supply and the build-up of demand.
🧱 3. Support and Resistance Zones
🔻 Resistance Zone:
Area: ~100,000 to ~108,000 USD
Marked as a wide horizontal band (beige-shaded area).
Previous price peaks and consolidations suggest this zone is strong supply.
Breakout above this zone could trigger momentum towards the higher target.
🔹 Support Zone:
Area: ~72,000 to ~75,000 USD
Historical reaction level where buyers previously stepped in.
Coincides with the lower wedge boundary and recent bounce points.
Repeated tests strengthen this as a reliable accumulation zone.
🎯 4. Trade Setup Strategy
💼 Entry Strategy:
Trigger: A confirmed breakout above the wedge’s upper trendline (black diagonal line).
Confirmation: A strong bullish daily close above the trendline, ideally with volume spike.
The current price (~77,130) is near the lower boundary—offering a potential early entry or low-risk setup with a tight stop.
📌 Stop-Loss Placement:
Level: 70,916 USD
Below the wedge’s lower support and beneath the broader support zone.
Ensures exit if the pattern fails or bears regain control.
🧭 Target Projection:
Target Price: 114,562 USD
Based on the height of the wedge projected from the breakout point, a standard wedge breakout measurement.
Aligns with historical highs and psychological resistance.
🧮 Risk-Reward Ratio: Assuming entry around 77,130:
Risk (Stop-Loss): ~6,200 points
Reward (Target): ~37,432 points
R:R Ratio ≈ 1:6 – Highly favorable
⚙️ 5. Market Psychology & Price Action Insight
The falling wedge pattern suggests exhaustion of sellers.
Buyers are defending the support zone aggressively—creating higher lows within the wedge.
Each bounce is slightly more aggressive, indicating growing bullish sentiment.
A breakout from the wedge could act as a catalyst for rapid price acceleration as sidelined bulls enter and shorts cover.
📊 6. Summary of the Setup
Component Detail
Pattern Falling Wedge (Bullish)
Timeframe 1-Day Chart
Entry Point Breakout above upper trendline
Stop Loss 70,916 USD
Target 114,562 USD
Support Zone 72,000–75,000 USD
Resistance Zone 100,000–108,000 USD
Risk/Reward Approx. 1:6
Bias Bullish
📌 Final Thoughts
This setup provides a technically sound opportunity with clear invalidation (stop loss) and a well-defined profit target. The risk-to-reward ratio is attractive, and the price structure suggests a bullish reversal is likely, pending a confirmed breakout.
XAUUSD Analysis Falling Wedge breakout Setup to Target🔍 1. Market Context & Structure
Gold has recently experienced a sharp decline, as evident from the aggressive bearish candles leading into the consolidation phase. Following this downward momentum, the market began to consolidate, forming a Falling Wedge pattern—a bullish reversal structure that often signals an impending upside breakout, especially after a strong bearish trend.
📉 2. Falling Wedge Pattern
The wedge is formed by two downward-sloping trendlines that converge, containing price within lower highs and lower lows.
Notice how price is respecting both boundaries, confirming the validity of the pattern.
The pattern also features a series of higher lows, showing a loss of bearish momentum.
🟩 3. Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Zone: Around $3,035 to $3,045 — This level previously acted as a strong supply zone where price was rejected multiple times.
Support Zone: Around $2,972 to $2,985 — Clearly marked area where buyers stepped in strongly during the sharp pullback.
These levels are critical to observe for any breakout or breakdown confirmation.
📊 4. Trade Plan Based on the Chart
✅ Bullish Bias:
Given the falling wedge setup and slowing bearish pressure, the trade idea favors a breakout to the upside.
🔵 Entry Point:
A confirmed breakout above the wedge’s upper boundary (around $3,030–$3,035), ideally on strong bullish volume.
🎯 Target:
The first take profit level is marked at $3,078.438, aligning with a prior resistance and measured move projection from the wedge’s height.
🔴 Stop Loss:
Positioned just below the most recent swing low and wedge boundary at $3,013.707, offering protection if the breakout fails.
🧠 5. Why This Setup Matters
Wedge patterns are high-probability when they form after a sharp move, as seen here.
Volume confirmation on the breakout would solidify this as a reliable opportunity.
Risk-to-reward ratio appears favorable, with a tight stop and a higher projected upside.
🧭 Conclusion
This is a textbook falling wedge breakout scenario. The consolidation after a bearish leg, narrowing price action, and repeated support reactions indicate that bulls are gearing up. If Gold breaks above the wedge with momentum, there’s potential to ride the move toward $3,078. Always wait for confirmation and manage your risk accordingly.
TOTAL Bearish PennantThe Parameter known as TOTAL has a currently working bearish pennant formation.
Market is bearish and every green candle on Total means another Short opportuinty.
If Total breaks 2.58T (which is a montly pivot value), we can expect more dumps. 2.36 would be the main target.
When Total reachs 2.36, look for a long wick. If the daily candle close isn't happening, it's a Long opportuinty.
USD Bear is here: Important Analysis on FX Pairs, Stock MarketIn this video I got over some important outlooks on the EUR/USD, GBP/USD and USD/JPY along with outlook on the stock market.
The U.S. Dollar has been getting absolutely crushed along with the stock market which usually has the opposite effect. Considering we may be into a stagflation scenario, this is not surprising.
Tariffs have spiked volatility and puts the Federal Reserve in a very tight spot of Interest Rate Policy. Interesting times ahead to say the least.
From a pure technical analysis point of view, the USD may be set for much further losses as monthly patterns suggest a big move may be on the horizon. Will be keeping a very close eye on these as we move forward in these stormy waters of the U.S. economy.
As always, Good Luck & Trade Safe.
BITCOIN → The price is consolidating, but there is a BUT!BINANCE:BTCUSDT is forming a consolidation after a false breakout of trend resistance. Against the backdrop of the global market crash (stock market, futures, forex) bitcoin looks quite strong, but I wouldn't get excited ahead of time
Bitcoin is trading inside a downtrend and also inside a range (global 81200 - 88800 and local 81200 - 85600). As long as the price is inside the local range and below trend resistance it is worth considering selling. There have been periods in history when the price seemed strong in the moment, but then, bitcoin caught up with the fall of indices...
The fundamental background for bitcoin is unstable:
First of all, the price has hardly reacted in any way to the introduction of tariffs, backlash and economic data. The Fed is not giving a clear signal, the market is in uncertainty. Any info noise ( China, Fed rhetoric, company reports ) can cause shake-ups. But at the same time, the same old problems remain: the crypto community is not getting any support. Bitcoin's dominance is growing against the backdrop of its decline. Altcoins continue to storm the bottom.
Technically , the situation is weak, the price cannot update local highs and consolidate above any strong support. It is possible to retest the trend resistance, or the zone of interest 85590 before the reversal and fall. Or, emphasis on the trigger 81187. A breakdown will provoke an impulse.
Resistance levels: trend, 85585, 88840.
Support levels: 81187, 78170, 73500
Buying in the medium term can be considered either after reaching the main target - 73-66K, or after the exit from the descending channel and price fixation above 88840. Now the emphasis is on a possible fall either from the resistance 85580, or when the support 81180 is broken
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin Holding PRZ Support Lines – Is a Weekend Rebound Coming?First of all, I would like to say that the Trading Volume is generally low on Saturdays and Sundays , so I don't expect the Support Lines and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) [$82,340-$82,000 ] to break. Of course, we should always be prepared for any scenario.
Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is moving near the Support lines and PRZ , and with the help of the Failed Falling Wedge Pattern , Bitcoin has declined in the last few hours .
Educational Note : In technical analysis, if a Reversal Pattern fails , it often acts as a Continuation Pattern instead .
I expect Bitcoin to trend upward in the coming hours and be able to reach the targets I have outlined on the chart.
Note: If Bitcoin touches $81,900, we should most likely expect more dumping.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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EUR/JPY Falling Wedge Breakout | Bullish Potential Ahead🔍 Chart Overview: EUR/JPY – Daily Timeframe
This chart illustrates the price action of the Euro against the Japanese Yen and highlights a Falling Wedge Pattern developing over several months. This is a classic bullish continuation/reversal setup, supported by key technical levels.
📐 1. Chart Pattern: Falling Wedge
A falling wedge is a bullish chart pattern that occurs when the market consolidates between two downward-sloping trendlines.
Characteristics Seen in the Chart:
Converging Trendlines: The upper (resistance) and lower (support) boundaries are both sloping downward, indicating a narrowing price range.
Volume (not shown) usually decreases during the formation, followed by a surge on breakout.
Multiple Touch Points: The price action respects both boundaries multiple times, confirming the pattern's validity.
🏛️ 2. Key Levels
✅ Support Level (Demand Zone):
Marked around 156.000 – 158.000
Multiple bounces from this area, indicating strong buying interest.
Aligned with the lower wedge trendline and historical price reaction zones.
🚫 Resistance Level (Supply Zone / Breakout Zone):
Around 164.500 – 166.000
Price repeatedly failed to break this level, confirming it as a strong supply area.
Confluence of horizontal resistance and the upper wedge boundary.
📊 3. Trade Setup
💼 Entry Strategy:
Confirmation Buy: Enter a long position upon a daily candle close above the wedge resistance (around 166.000).
Aggressive traders may consider an earlier entry near the wedge’s support with a tight stop.
🎯 Target:
The projected target is 172.962, calculated based on the height of the wedge pattern added to the breakout point.
This aligns with a previous swing high area, serving as a logical profit-taking zone.
🛑 Stop Loss:
Positioned at 155.576, just below the key support zone.
This allows the trade room to breathe while protecting against a full pattern failure.
⚖️ 4. Risk Management
Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR): Target around 172.962 and Stop Loss at 155.576 offer a favorable RRR of approximately 2.5:1 or more, depending on entry.
Position Sizing: Use appropriate lot size based on your account risk tolerance (e.g., 1-2% of equity per trade).
📅 5. Timeframe Outlook
Medium to Long-Term Setup: Since this is a daily chart, the trade may take weeks to months to fully play out.
Patience and proper trade management are essential.
🔎 6. Additional Notes
Retest Opportunity: If price breaks out, look for a retest of the resistance zone as new support before continuation to the upside.
Fundamental Factors: Keep an eye on EUR and JPY economic data, ECB and BoJ policy announcements, and global risk sentiment, which can influence the pair.
🧭 Professional Takeaway
This is a textbook bullish falling wedge pattern within a well-defined technical structure. The chart provides:
A clear pattern breakout level,
Strong historical support/resistance zones,
A defined risk management plan,
And a realistic price target based on technical projection.
If you are a swing trader or position trader, this setup offers a high-probability opportunity with favorable risk-reward dynamics—provided a breakout is confirmed.