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Aurora nears daily oversoldACB continued its recent pattern of lower lows, dumping the whole day and closing down over 16% in one of the most stand-out bearish days this sector has seen. There is no doubt in my mind this weakness is in large part to the overall stock market dumping for the past four weeks, so be sure to keep an eye on the correlation to SPY. We've now given back 80% of the run up from August 14th to all time high over the past 10 trading days. Where we stand, Aurora has a lack of support here. Regular readers know I anticipated a bounce before our key weekly level 7.65, which we broke today by 10 cents. This was very unlikely to happen, which speaks to just how weak this chart is. The daily RSI is approaching oversold, and is the lowest level it's been since August 14th. I'm now anticipating an oversold bounce. Why do I anticipate a bounce in the very near future? RSI levels on multiple timeframes are currently at or near historical bounce levels: Daily - 30 4hr - 21 1hr - 21 If you did not stop out on one of the bear breaks over the past two weeks, now isn't the time you want to sell your position. Instead, you probably want to wait for a bounce to get underway, as we are likely to see at least a couple days of follow-through. Of course, if your mindset is to hold your position for years, then stop checking the price every day or you will drive yourself crazy. In my opinion, the bounce will not start until the CGC bounce starts....which will not start until the S&P bounce starts. If you are one of the people who have asked me over the past couple months about a good time to buy Aurora, these conditions are ideal for starting to SLOWLY scale into a long term entry you plan to hold for years. Just be sure not to invest all your money at once. Keep in mind we have no more upcoming catalysts for the sector, and the correlation to the S&P500 could mean several months of continued downside for ACB. I'm looking at the 1hr chart right now for our levels. We remain in a downtrend with clear lower highs and lower lows Key levels to watch for trend change/continuation Support: low of day 7.55, 6.67, 6.07 Resistance: 9.38, 9.88, 10.07 While Canopy and Aphria have a lack of resistance once they clear their two levels, Aurora has many more resistance levels to deal with. _____ For anybody looking at any individual stock it is imperative to keep an eye on the overall market and the analysis I do on SPY. The correlation of every individual name and sector to the market is very real and the market has been showing significant weakness over the past four weeks. This correlation affects every stock you own.
TSX:ACB
by McGuireTO
Aphria nears daily oversoldAPH followed Canopy Growth's lead breaking its 4hr equilibrium bearish, and shortly later confirmed the daily bear flag, dumping the rest of the day closing down over 17% in one of the most stand-out bearish days this sector has seen. There is no doubt in my mind this weakness is in large part to the overall stock market dumping for the past four weeks, so be sure to keep an eye on the correlation to SPY. We've now given back almost 70% of the run up from August 14th to legalization over the past 10 trading days. Where we stand, Aphria has a lack of support here. Regular readers know we long ago lost the daily and weekly uptrends. The daily RSI is approaching oversold, and is the lowest level it's been since August 14th. I'm now anticipating an oversold bounce. Why do I anticipate a bounce in the very near future? RSI levels on multiple timeframes are currently at or near historical bounce levels: Daily - 34 4hr - 28 1hr - 23 If you did not stop out on one of the bear breaks over the past two weeks, now isn't the time you want to sell your position. Instead, you probably want to wait for a bounce to get underway, as we are likely to see at least a couple days of follow-through. Of course, if your mindset is to hold your position for years, then stop checking the price every day or you will drive yourself crazy. In my opinion, the bounce will not start until the CGC bounce starts....which will not start until the S&P bounce starts. If you are one of the people who have asked me over the past couple months about a good time to buy Aphria, these conditions are ideal for starting to SLOWLY scale into a long term entry you plan to hold for years. Just be sure not to invest all your money at once. Keep in mind we have no more upcoming catalysts for the sector, and the correlation to the S&P500 could mean several months of continued downside for APH. I'm looking at the 4hr chart right now for our levels. We remain in a downtrend with clear lower highs and lower lows Key levels to watch for trend change/continuation Support: low of day 12.60, 11.98, 11.68 Resistance: 16.77, 17.33 After 17.33 there is a lack of resistance to 20.69 though I don't anticipate we bounce that hard. _____ For anybody looking at any individual stock it is imperative to keep an eye on the overall market and the analysis I do on SPY. The correlation of every individual name and sector to the market is very real and the market has been showing significant weakness over the past four weeks. This correlation affects every stock you own.
A
by McGuireTO
Canopy Growth nears daily oversoldCGC today broke its 4hr equilibrium bearish, and shortly later confirmed the daily bear flag, dumping the rest of the day closing down almost 15% in one of the most stand-out bearish days this sector has seen. There is no doubt in my mind this weakness is in large part to the overall stock market dumping for the past four weeks, so be sure to keep an eye on the correlation to SPY. We've now given back 75% of the run up from August 14th to all time high in the past 10 trading days. Where we stand, Canopy has a lack of support here. We're closing in on the daily MA200 at 31.32, and have price action supports at 30.20 and 29.05. The gap to fill from before the Constellation investment announcement is down at 26.37. Regular readers know we long ago lost the daily and weekly uptrends. I've been watching this descending wedge pattern for the RSI for weeks at this point, and after a false breakout it has now dumped through the bottom of the wedge, backtested former support as resistance, and dropped to lower lows. The daily RSI is approaching oversold, and is the lowest level it's been since June 6th 2017. I'm now anticipating an oversold bounce. Why do I anticipate a bounce in the very near future? RSI levels on multiple timeframes are currently at historical bounce levels: Daily - 31 4hr - 27 1hr - 22 If you did not stop out on one of the bear breaks over the past two weeks, now isn't the time you want to sell your position. Instead, you probably want to wait for a bounce to get underway, as we are likely to see at least a couple days of follow-through. Of course, if your mindset is to hold your position for years, then stop checking the price every day or you will drive yourself crazy. In my opinion, the bounce will not start until S&P bounce starts. If you are one of the people who have asked me over the past couple months about a good time to buy Canopy, these conditions are ideal for starting to SLOWLY scale into a long term entry you plan to hold for years. Just be sure not to invest all your money at once. Keep in mind we have no more upcoming catalysts for the sector, and the correlation to the S&P500 could mean several months of continued downside for CGC. I'm looking at the 4hr chart right now for our levels. We've been in a downtrend for two weeks at this point with lower highs and lower lows Key levels to watch for trend change/continuation Support: low of day 32.31, MA200 31.32, 30.20, 29.05 Resistance: 40, 41.06, 42.43 After 42.43 there is a lack of resistance to 48.13 _____ For anybody looking at any individual stock it is imperative to keep an eye on the overall market and the analysis I do on SPY. The correlation of every individual name and sector to the market is very real and the market has been showing significant weakness over the past four weeks. This correlation affects every stock you own.
C
by McGuireTO
APH in a 4hr wide equilibrium APH is in a similar boat to Canopy right now, stuck inside a 4hr equilibrium. The range here is 18%, over twice as large as the range Canopy finds itself inside. We are seeing the MACD start to curl upwards for the first time in quite a while, and we are patiently waiting for our higher low to be set relative to 14.11. APH has also bounced off of the golden pocket retrace from the low of its August consolidation to its recent highs. In my opinion, this chart is just waiting (along with the rest of the sector) for Canopy to make a break of it's right range. Key levels for Monday Support: 16.77 Resistance: 14.11 _____ For anybody looking at any individual stock it is imperative to keep an eye on the overall market. The correlation of every individual name and sector to the market is very real and the market is showing significant weakness over the past three weeks.
A
by McGuireTO
APH well positioned for a sector-wide bull breakAPH is also in a 4hr equilibrium, the break of which will give us clues to either further sell off or to the low of the dump being in. I'm looking at support of 14.11 and resistance of 17.33. Our lower high may be set at 16.77 but I'm not yet convinced by this. A break of 14.11 and we're looking down to 13.76. A break of resistance and we have a lack of resistance on the daily up until 20.69. Watch the Middle Bollinger Band on the daily chart as a likely profit target, as price tends to reject the first test of this level. That's currently at 17.69. Update that level each day. The daily setup here is a bear flag, I need to see a bull break of the equilibrium to negate the bear flag. The bull volume does stand out on Aphria, however the direction CGC breaks will likely dictate how the rest of the sector breaks. _____ For anybody looking at any individual stock it is imperative to keep an eye on the overall market. The correlation of every individual name and sector to SPY is very real and the market is showing significant weakness over the past three weeks with warning signs of further potential weakness potential into next week. By the way, I do analysis on the entire sector across all the mj charts I publish. If you're not looking at all the names I talk about, you're not getting the full sector-wide analysis. Follow me to get updates when I publish ideas and pay attention to the mj names you typically don't look at too, so you can stay in the know and get the full picture.
A
by McGuireTO
ACB trying to hand on waiting for Canopy's breakAurora has a much weaker setup, and looks clearest to me on the hourly chart. Unlike Canopy, Aurora has broken down to lower lows although bulls are still buying the dip so far. Friday closed with weakness heading back down towards the end of the day. We remain in a clear hourly downtrend with lower highs of resistance on each little bounce. The bear breaks on the hourly chart have so far been met with little followthrough as Canopy remains in its equilibrium. This correlation favours the Aurora bears; if Canopy breaks bearish, Aurora is well positioned for greater downside because of how much weaker the chart currently is. ACB is also down close to the golden pocket retrace from the low of its August consolidation to new all time high, but has broken below the .65 unlike other names with stronger setups Key levels for Monday Support: 9.00 Resistance: 9.88 _____ For anybody looking at any individual stock it is imperative to keep an eye on the overall market. The correlation of every individual name and sector to the market is very real and the market is showing significant weakness over the past three weeks.
TSX:ACB
by McGuireTO
4
CGC equilibrium on watch for MondayHeading into next week I'm still watching CGC in a 4hr equilibrium. Our key support is a double bottom of 37.32 and 37.35. Canopy finished the day with some weakness looking down towards that level after setting a lower high of 40.37, our new key resistance to break. We can see the 12EMA on the 4hr driving the price down continually since the all time high on Oct 16th. Bulls need to break above 40.37 and close above that 12EMA in order to get this bounce underway, where we would look to set a lower high on the daily timeframe. The strength of this bounce will give us clues on what to expect next. I'm watching the potential for hidden bearish RSI divergence with the indicator making higher highs and the price making lower highs; however the MACD has started to curl upwards a bit giving a conflicting signal. Further, when turning off extended hours on the 4hr chart, the bull volume does seem greater than the bear volume. I have pulled a fib on the daily chart from the low of August consolidation to the all time high, and notice that we bounced right off the .65 retracement. That golden pocket range is a high profitability zone to enter into a long position for resumption of an uptrend, and for anybody who has entered position in the past few days based on this indicator, be certain to have a stop loss set for the appropriate level on the bear break of this 4hr eq - if your plan is to exit the trade on a bear break, that is. I'm still not holding any position in the sector, patiently waiting for this downtrend to change and for much more favourable trading conditions. This equilibrium should break Monday and give us some short term direction. The sector at large will likely following CGC on the direction of its break. Until that break comes, I'm being very patient and waiting to re-enter a position. Key levels for Monday Support: 37.32 Resistance: 40.37 _____ For anybody looking at any individual stock it is imperative to keep an eye on the overall market. The correlation of every individual name and sector to SPY -1.76% market is very real and the market is showing significant weakness over the past three weeks.
C
by McGuireTO
Aurora the weakest of the big 3ACB is the weakest 4hr setup of the three names I typically follow in the mj sector. We're in a 4hr equilibrium but the bulls are not giving any confidence here, having failed to even set a lower high the way Canopy and Aphria already have. support to hold is 9.14 and resistance is 11.29. A break of 9.14 support area and we're looking down towards 9 psychological, and then 8.64. A break of 11.29 resistance and we're looking to set a daily lower high, compared to 14.36. I'd be watching the Middle Bollinger Band on the daily chart as a likely profit target, as price tends to reject the first test of this level. That's currently at 12.43. Update that level each day. The addition of ACB to the NYSE opens it up to a whole new class of people who can short the stock. I didn't realize that OTC tickers could not be shorted. This could explain for the much greater weakness in this name. The direction CGC breaks will likely dictate how the rest of the sector breaks. I'll be looking to play the more bullish names on a bull break, and I'll be looking to play the weaker names like ACB on a bear break. The daily setup here is a bear flag, I need to see a bull break of the equilibrium to negate the bear flag. IF we get a bull break, it would almost certainly not happen tomorrow, but next week instead. _____ For anybody looking at any individual stock it is imperative to keep an eye on the overall market. The correlation of every individual name and sector to SPY is very real and the market is showing significant weakness over the past three weeks with warning signs of further potential weakness potential into next week. By the way, I do analysis on the entire sector across all the mj charts I publish. If you're not looking at all the names I talk about, you're not getting the full sector-wide analysis. Follow me to get updates when I publish ideas and pay attention to the mj names you typically don't look at too, so you can stay in the know and get the full picture.
TSX:ACB
by McGuireTO
8
CGC searching for a new base of supportThe post-legalization sell-off may or may not be over, and I'm watching CGC 4 hour chart for clues. We're in a 4hr equilibrium and the support to hold is 37.32 and resistance is 41.06. A break of 37.32 and we're looking down towards 36.62 low of the dump and then 30.20. A break of 41.06 resistance and we're looking to set a daily lower high, compared to the all time high. First resistance is 42.43 and then a lack of resistance because of the aggression of the dump. I would have a target in the area of the daily Middle Bollinger Band, currently at 47.42. Update that level each day. The MACD is currently curling upward, if we break bullish out of this range I will need to see a more convincing MACD cross to feel confident. The direction CGC breaks will likely dictate how the rest of the sector breaks. The daily setup here is a bear flag, and being mindful of this I will only attempt to bottomfish very close to the low of this equilibrium, otherwise I'll wait for the break to negate the bear flag. _____ For anybody looking at any individual stock it is imperative to keep an eye on the overall market. The correlation of every individual name and sector to SPY 1.79% market is very real and the market is showing significant weakness over the past three weeks with warning signs of further potential weakness potential into next week. By the way, I do analysis on the entire sector across all the mj charts I publish. If you're not looking at all the names I talk about, you're not getting the full sector-wide analysis. Follow me to get updates when I publish ideas and pay attention to the mj names you typically don't look at too, so you can stay in the know and get the full picture.
C
by McGuireTO
1
Supreme Cannabis Company: ProducerReentry price levels to watch. Short term short looking for price entry. Description The Supreme Cannabis Company, Inc., a development stage company, engages in the production of medical cannabis in Canada. The company was formerly known as Supreme Pharmaceuticals Inc. and changed its name to The Supreme Cannabis Company, Inc. in December 2017. The Supreme Cannabis Company, Inc. was incorporated in 1979 and is based in Toronto, Canada. News: finance.yahoo.com Highlights: (1) Supreme Cannabis’ fourth quarter revenues were $3.55M, 71% greater than its third quarter of $2.07M. The fourth quarter represents an annualized revenue run rate of $14.2M which trails the industry leaders for now, but is already greater than other notable industry names such as Cronos Group and The Green Organic Dutchman. (2) Revenues for fiscal 2018 were $8.85M, which is one of the best first four quarters of revenue among all licensed producers including market leaders like Canopy Growth and Tilray Inc., who recorded revenues of $1.9M and $6.9M, respectively, in their first four quarters of sale. (3) Supreme Cannabis trades at a significant discount to others when comping revenue Current Total Square Ft: 304,920 Future Total Square Ft: 304,920 Location: Kincardine, Ontario, Canada Website: www.supreme.ca Number of Employees: Unknown Market Cap: 435.729M Ave Volume: 507,741
SShort
by Charts_and_Such_1
8
Tilray to $260+ by end of 2018 TLRY LongThe ascending triangle is most often a continuation pattern, so we should expect a bullish break to US $260 by the end of the year if the pattern plays out. This is support by Tilray's plans for global expansion and the decision today to legalise recreational use of marijuana in Canada. Recently the Tilray price has dropped despite a lot of good news for the marijuana industry in Canada. I believe this is because of lot of people are profit taking at these levels as they invested a while back when the price of Tilray (TLRY) was much lower.
NASDAQ:TLRYLong
by James_Winsoar
CGC at risk of losing long time weekly uptrendTaking a different approach today, starting with the long term weekly chart and we're at risk of losing the weekly uptrend that's been intact since July 2017. We're looking at must-hold support of 44.90, the loss of which would break the uptrend. This level will be in play next week. If 44.90 breaks our next support is 10% lower at 40.68, and then there's nothing on the weekly chart until 24.46, however I would expect to find support somewhere in the $37 range close to the Constellation bought deal price from August. We also have the weekly MA20 in that range which should strengthen the support in that area. The weekly candle is a bearish reversal candle and a potential volume climax, this is often a signal of a trend reversal. Losing 44.90 would break the uptrend but it wouldn't immediately put us into a downtrend, we'd have to wait until we find a bottom, bounce, and then set a lower low to initiate a downtrend. Regardless, a break of this level would be significant. We're also looking at bearish divergence on the weekly chart, where price action has set a higher high relative to January but RSI has set a lower high. The MACD does not show the same divergence. "So, what happened this past week?" This is a question a few people have asked me in person and online over the past 24 hours. Let's go back to the daily chart to look at the setup we had going into last week. I've annotated the levels we were watching last weekend. Bulls needed a break of 51.21 and bears needed a break of 46.42. First thing Monday we got that break with big volume and a close at the high of the day. In almost every idea I've published over the past few weeks I've been reminding people that the sector has run over 100% in just a few weeks, and that was neither normal nor sustainable. Therefore, we were looking for a sell-the-news reaction to legalization. I was expecting that Wednesday and we got that on Tuesday instead, in the form of a gap up open, a volume climax and a bearish reversal candle. Wednesday and Thursday we saw a weak bounce attempt with a potential daily bear flag setup, with the low of Wednesday a must hold level. When we broke below 48.30 we confirmed that bear flag and confirmed Tuesday's bearish reversal candle. So for clues on direction we zoom into the hourly chart. We can see since the initial dump on Tuesday, every bounce has been just a lower high on the hourly. Once we stabilized a little bit we had our range between 48.30 support and 52.87 resistance (annotated with white lines). For me this was a no-touch zone because the action inside tightening ranges is choppy and difficult to play. I we watched as we set a lower high, then a higher low, and another low high (annotated with yellow lines). On Friday we had a clear equilibrium bear break, which was a signal for bulls to jump out and a signal for bears to open short positions. Anybody bull acting on this signal saved themselves over 6% of downside, and any bear acting on this signal had a nice 6% profit on the subsequent dump on Friday. We bottomed out after 2pm on Friday after touching hourly oversold but the bounce so far is weak and is a potential hourly bear flag setup. That will confirm if we break the low of Friday 45.43. I do anticipate that level to be tested first thing Monday, we can see the bull volume on the bounce is much weaker compared to the bear volume on the dump. CGC is the sector leader so if it shows continued weakness Monday and Tuesday you can anticipate weakness in other names as well. If you're the type of person looking years out and holding, you don't care much about the last half of this post but you are very interested in the weekly chart above. If that level breaks you have an opportunity to stop out and look to reload, for example, 10% more shares for 10% cheaper with the same amount of capital. That's one more way you can compound your gains on these positions even when we see consolidation on the longer term charts. _____ For anybody looking at any individual stock it is imperative to keep an eye on the overall market. The correlation of every individual name and sector to SPY market is very real and the market is showing significant weakness over the past three weeks with warning signs of further potential weakness potential into next week. By the way, I do analysis on the entire sector across all the mj charts I publish. If you're not looking at all the names I talk about, you're not getting the full sector-wide analysis. Follow me to get updates when I publish ideas and pay attention to the mj names you typically don't look at too, so you can stay in the know and get the full picture.
CShort
by McGuireTO
4
APH searching higher low in daily equilibriumTaking a different approach today, starting with the long term weekly chart. APH looks more and more toppy with each passing week with bear volume standing out and upper wicks of profit taking. Bulls were barely able to break the high of last week. Our weekly lower high is now set at 20.96 and the must hold level to maintain the weekly uptrend is 15.76 doublebottom. A break of that level would put us into a weekly downtrend but we are nowhere near at risk of that right now. We do have a longer term trendline crossing our price level just above our weekly support level next week; something to watch if we do fade down to test that low. "So, what happened this past week?" This is a question a few people have asked me in person and online over the past 24 hours. Let's go back to the daily chart to look at the setup we had going into last week. I've annotated the levels we were watching last weekend. Monday we saw APH with the weaker move out of the names I follow. In almost every idea I've published over the past few weeks I've been reminding people that the sector has run over 100% in just a few weeks, and that was neither normal nor sustainable. Therefore, we were looking for a sell-the-news reaction to legalization. I was expecting that Wednesday and we got that on Tuesday instead, in the form of a gap up open, a volume climax and a bearish reversal candle. The low of Wednesday is our daily key level. APH has not yet lost that level, making it a stronger chart than Canopy which broke that level on Friday. The APH daily chart confirmed the bearish reversal candle from Thursday and rejected from our daily RSI resistance line. The MACD is still weak and the bear volume stands out when compared to the bull volume. I am anticipating a higher low above 16.77 but in the current setup if that level breaks, we would initiate a daily downtrend with a daily lower high and lower low. We have the daily MA50 lining up with that support level; update that line daily. On any bounce I would look for a lower high compared to 20.69. Let's zoom in for more detail. Looking into the hourly chart we see an hourly bear flag setup. Friday we bottomed out when CGC hit hourly oversold and the sector saw very weak bounces on low volume when compared to the bear volume on the dump. Confirming that bear flag by breaking 17.78 means the bulls have not yet found their 4hr higher low and we will continue to look down towards 16.77 support. If you're the type of person looking years out and holding, you don't care much about the last half of this post but you are very interested in the weekly chart above. While the weekly trend on APH is not yet at risk Canopy will be testing that level on Monday. This signal from the sector leader gives you an opportunity to stop out and look to reload, for example, 10% more shares for 10% cheaper with the same amount of capital. That's one more way you can compound your gains on these positions even when we see consolidation on the longer term charts. _____ For anybody looking at any individual stock it is imperative to keep an eye on the overall market. The correlation of every individual name and sector to SPY market is very real and the market is showing significant weakness over the past three weeks with warning signs of further potential weakness potential into next week. By the way, I do analysis on the entire sector across all the mj charts I publish. If you're not looking at all the names I talk about, you're not getting the full sector-wide analysis. Follow me to get updates when I publish ideas and pay attention to the mj names you typically don't look at too, so you can stay in the know and get the full picture.
A
by McGuireTO
Watch ACB 4hr for short term momentumTaking a different approach today, starting with the long term weekly chart. ACB has a bearish reversal candle on the weekly chart and a potential volume climax. The weekly trend is not at risk of being lost anytime soon because of how hard we have run up. Our weekly support currently is at 7.65 and now that we've lost the daily uptrend we are in search of a new weekly support level. We have support with weekly MA20 and MA50 in the low $9 range. Update these levels weekly. "So, what happened this past week?" This is a question a few people have asked me in person and online over the past 24 hours. Let's go back to the daily chart to look at the setup we had going into last week. Monday we saw continuation of the daily breakout from the previous Friday and finished strong at the high of the day. In almost every idea I've published over the past few weeks I've been reminding people that the sector has run over 100% in just a few weeks, and that was neither normal nor sustainable. Therefore, we were looking for a sell-the-news reaction to legalization. I was expecting that Wednesday and we got that on Tuesday instead, in the form of a gap up open, a volume climax and a bearish reversal candle. Wednesday and Thursday we saw a weak bounce attempt with a potential daily bear flag setup, with the low of Wednesday a must hold level. ACB has not yet lost that level, making it a stronger chart than Canopy which broke that level on Friday and confirmed the daily bear flag. ACB currently sits within a daily range between 11.91 support and 14.36 resistance. On Friday we saw the bulls make an attempt at that resistance but fell short and dumped for the rest of the day, finishing close to the low of the day on increasing bear volume and looking to start with further weakness into next week. ACB has wicked below the daily MA20 but has yet to close below that level. The daily chart has broken below an RSI support line and the MACD is initiating the strongest bear move it's made since back in July. As I've mentioned we've already lost the daily uptrend; losing 11.91 support would initiate a daily downtrend with a lower high and a lower low on the daily chart. The $9-10 range has good support with the MA50, MA100 and MA200 all overlapping in this range. Update these levels daily. With weekly and daily indicators all lining up, I would expect the bulls to defend this level on the longer term timeframe. The 4hr chart shows the clearest details in my opinion. Bulls are trying to hold 12.69 as the higher low in the 4hr equilibrium but we're not yet confident that our higher low is set. This is a tightening range that could continue for several days before we see a clear break of this pattern. I have no real interest in playing within this pattern because the action is generally choppy, and I know the break of these tightening ranges will carry significant momentum and followthrough for me to play either as a bull or a bear. Let's zoom in for more detail better explain why I anticipate further downside. Looking into the hourly chart we see exactly why we have a setup for further weakness with an hourly bear flag. Friday we bottomed out when CGC hit hourly oversold and the sector saw very weak bounces on low volume when compared to the bear volume on the dump. Confirming that bear flag by breaking 12.69 means the bulls have not yet found their 4hr higher low and we will continue to look down towards 11.91 support. For anybody interested in playing within this range, the closer we get to 11.91 the better your Risk:Reward becomes as you have an entry much closer to your stop loss level. If you're the type of person looking years out and holding, you don't care much about the last half of this post but you are very interested in the weekly chart above. While the weekly trend on ACB is not yet at risk Canopy will be testing that level on Monday. This signal from the sector leader gives you an opportunity to stop out and look to reload, for example, 10% more shares for 10% cheaper with the same amount of capital. That's one more way you can compound your gains on these positions even when we see consolidation on the longer term charts. _____ For anybody looking at any individual stock it is imperative to keep an eye on the overall market. The correlation of every individual name and sector to SPY market is very real and the market is showing significant weakness over the past three weeks with warning signs of further potential weakness potential into next week. By the way, I do analysis on the entire sector across all the mj charts I publish. If you're not looking at all the names I talk about, you're not getting the full sector-wide analysis. Follow me to get updates when I publish ideas and pay attention to the mj names you typically don't look at too, so you can stay in the know and get the full picture.
TSX:ACB
by McGuireTO
11