GOLD: Building divergence at 1285Hi Guys,
the title speaks for itself. The trend is still down below 200SMA but the building divergence with RSI at 1285 may well favour a pull back into the 200SMA but AToW 50SMA still pushing down. OTOH it could still push and break below 1285 before mid week13.
Don't forget the Cup & Hanlde Formation and the Bull Run started mid-Aug'18 which Gold is now retracing at 1285 (related ideas linked below). IMHO it will extend into the handle for a little time longer but the intra-day pullback may present an opportunity.
Let's see how the move unfolds.
Thank you for your support and for sharing your ideas.
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Disclaimer:
Please note that I am not a professional trader and these are my personal ideas only. The information contained in this presentation is solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. The risk of trading in securities markets can be substantial. You should carefully consider if engaging in such activity is suitable to your own financial situation. Cozzamara is not responsible for any liabilities arising from the result of your market involvement or individual trade activities.
Week13
GOLD: Accumulation Wyckoff Events (week13-14)Hi Guys,
I hope Richard Demille Wyckoff will forgive me for this. Lol
To view Wyckoff's accumulation structure referred above click this link d.stockcharts.com
For a brief introduction to The Wyckoff Method please click this link: stockcharts.com
Thank you for your support and for sharing your ideas.
Don't forget to put a like if you appreciate the post and to follow me if you want to receive notifications on new and updated ideas.
Disclaimer:
Please note that I am not a professional trader and these are my personal ideas only. The information contained in this presentation is solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. The risk of trading in securities markets can be substantial. You should carefully consider if engaging in such activity is suitable to your own financial situation. Cozzamara is not responsible for any liabilities arising from the result of your market involvement or individual trade activities.
USDJPY, bullish trend in Week 13, how about Week 14?USDJPY moved accordingly to our analysis of Week 13, it made a bullish move as expected. Even though the move was not large, but any traders making a long position would be able to make good gains out of their trades. Congratulations to all traders longing USDJPY!
For the week of 13, we can see that it completed a three level of Bullish trend. Even though the last level is very small and close, but it does fulfill the principles of the analysis, thus it was being identified as a bullish zone.
On Friday, it ended the week with a possible reversal pattern at level 3 of the bullish, thus we gain comfort in looking at the pair to regain the bearish move in Week 14.
I would be monitoring the pair and would be shorting them for Week 14, align with the outlook of the analysis.
I hope all traders continue to make a good profit in the coming Week 14. If my analysis helped you in any way, please like and follow me in Tradingview, thank you!!
USDCHF, slow move in Week 13, can it resume in Week 14?USDCHF did move upwards in Week 13, even though it moved according to analysis, but the move is more of a consolidating move than a strong move. Nonetheless, traders who went long on this pair would be able to get some profit out of USDCHF.
In Week 13, it managed to break into Bullish level 2. Possible reversal pattern was spotted at level 2 and the lack of a strong move pointed me to a possible trend reset at this area. Meaning a brand new Bearish or Bullish might be formed.
At this current stage, it doesn't seem that the Trend Reset has been completed, thus I am putting a neutral take on this pair. It is unlikely to expect the move after the Trend Reset as it can be bearish or bullish.
So for Week 14, it would be wise to avoid and watch the movement of USDCHF. I would suggest for traders to wait on the line and continue to monitor until a firm signal has been issued.
I hope all traders continue to make a good profit in the coming Week 14. If my analysis helped you in any way, please like and follow me in Tradingview, thank you!!
EURUSD, Beautiful Drop in Week 13, get ready for Week 14EURUSD made a wonderful drop in Week 13 as expected. For all traders who shorted, congrats to your big profit! It was a swift move and it didn't post much risk to traders shorting them.
The bearish move of EURUSD was quite strong, and it only started to consolidate and giving hints of reversal on Friday.
The bearish trend sees 4 level of drop rather than 3, even though the last level of the drop is not really a consolidation level, but it fulfilled certain criteria so I named it as level 4.
Nonetheless, even though it is a 4 level drop, traders who shorted it might see minimum losses if they expected the reversal to be at level 3.
For Week 14, I am expected a bullish movement and the analysis pointed a bullish trend in Week 14. Therefore I would be going Long on EURUSD for Week 14.
I hope all traders continue to make a good profit in the coming Week 14. If my analysis helped you in any way, please like and follow me in Tradingview, thank you!!
GBPUSD, what is going to happen in Week 14?GBPUSD moved as expected in Week 13. A good drop and forming a level 3 for the bearish trend. I made some profits from the move, and I hope other traders have profited from the move as well.
The second level of the bearish trend did make me think twice about my analysis, not the question that it may be a bull trend. But rather, is there a trend reset going on and would the pair continue heading south. I arrived at my conclusion that I might be over thinking and I would just follow the analysis and manage my trades well.
The bear move was strong, however, Friday seems to have halted the move. It moved another 100 pips downwards on Friday but it ended the week with a push upwards. It showed a sign of bull returning into the market and that gave me comfort to say that for Week 14, a rise is very possible.
So for the coming Week 14, I am confident that the move would be point upwards. I would be monitoring and taking long on GBPUSD.
I hope all traders continue to make a good profit in the coming Week 14. If my analysis helped you in any way, please like and follow me in Tradingview, thank you!!
GBPUSD, can Week 12's bear continue its move in Week 13?Before I begin, a big apology to my fellow traders as I did not post the analysis for Week 11. I was in one of the broker's annual dinner hosted in Malaysia and I did not have my laptop with me, thus I didn't present my analysis for week 12. But nonetheless, I traded and I hope all other traders profited from the up and down movement. So lets us dive into the analysis for Week 12 now and see what can we learn for our trades in Week 13.
GBPUSD was expected to make a three-level bullish move in Week 11, however, it stopped at just two levels in Week 12. I was hoping that it can reach a higher high but seems like it didn't manage to.
The bearish move came in in Week 12 moving the price downwards aggressively and ending Week 12 in a bearish level two zone.
The analysis pointed to us that GBPUSD may continue to finish its third level bearish move in Week 13 and probably make a reversal pattern which can bring us to a bullish zone one in Week 13. That would be ideal but traders would still need to proceed with caution especially a big move has been made, the market might enter into consolidation after such movement.
My general direction still remains bearish until a pattern is being formed to indicate a bullish move. I would be monitoring and scaling in for my short position in Week 13!
I hope you guys continue to make a great profit in Week 13, and please help me to like and follow me if my analysis helped you in any way! Thank you!
USDJPY, Week 12 was bearish, can it change for Week 13?Before I begin, a big apology to my fellow traders as I did not post the analysis for Week 11. I was in one of the broker's annual dinner hosted in Malaysia and I did not have my laptop with me, thus I didn't present my analysis for week 12. But nonetheless, I traded and I hope all other traders profited from the up and down movement. So lets us dive into the analysis for Week 12 now and see what can we learn for our trades in Week 13.
USDJPY seems to have reset the prevailing trend and move back up which creates another reversal pattern in Week 11, pointing to the direction that the pair would drop.
In Week 12, USDJPY continues the bearish trend and ended the week with a new low and a possible level 3 bearish zone which is the zone where the pair would have its reversal from bearish to bullish.
There is no pattern being formed and no other possible signal that we can spot here, so we should continue monitoring and no entry for USDJPY for the time being.
It would be good to wait till the formation of a reversal pattern before we decide to trade USDJPY, however, the general direction for Week 13 would be bullish for the time being.
I hope you guys continue to make a great profit in Week 13, and please help me to like and follow me if my analysis helped you in any way! Thank you!
USDCHF, a rebound in Week 12, can it stay bullish in Week 13?Before I begin, a big apology to my fellow traders as I did not post the analysis for Week 11. I was in one of the broker's annual dinner hosted in Malaysia and I did not have my laptop with me, thus I didn't present my analysis for week 12. But nonetheless, I traded and I hope all other traders profited from the up and down movement. So lets us dive into the analysis for Week 12 now and see what can we learn for our trades in Week 13.
USDCHF continues its slide since Week 11. For all traders who went short, it would have been a smooth journey. The three levels of bearish movement took some time to end for USDCHF, it took almost two weeks, but nonetheless, it finished the bearish movement.
On Friday of Week 12, it rebounded and made a reversal pattern which brings the USDCHF to almost a level one of the bullish trend. However, looking at how big the reversal pattern of the preceding bearish trend, it can be possible for the price to go back to the low of the reversal pattern, form another reversal pattern and reset the bullish trend.
That being said, I am comfortable with taking a bullish outlook on USDCHF for now and would wait for good timing to scale in my position for USDCHF. No hurry for next week, it seems like it will consolidate for a while.
I hope you guys continue to make a great profit in Week 13, and please help me to like and follow me if my analysis helped you in anyway! Thank you!
EURUSD, can Week 12's drop continue in Week 13?Before I begin, a big apology to my fellow traders as I did not post the analysis for Week 11. I was in one of the broker's annual dinner hosted in Malaysia and I did not have my laptop with me, thus I didn't present my analysis for week 12. But nonetheless, I traded and I hope all other traders profited from the up and down movement. So lets us dive into the analysis for Week 12 now and see what can we learn for our trades in Week 13.
EURUSD made great moves in Week 12, it is very profitable for traders holding positions not more than 3 days. It has got a great rise and followed by a great fall.
In the first half of Week 12, it completed a 3 level of bullish movement which hinted to us that a bearish trend should be coming soon. During the second half of Week 12, it made two great drops which completed two levels of the bearish movement and now we can see that it ended the week staying in the region of the second bearish zone.
The analysis pointed to us that it would continue the Bearish move, however, be cautious that it can continue to stay in the consolidated second bearish zone for some time since it has dropped two levels in just a short span of two days.
However, the current outlook still points to a bearish trend. I would be staying at the sideline to watch the market movement first before scaling into the market.
I hope you guys continue to make a great profit in Week 13, and please help me to like and follow me if my analysis helped you in anyway! Thank you!