Triangle morphs into falling wedge retains pennant shapeThe triangle btcusd’s priceaction has been in for awhile is now appearing to morph into a falling wedge on the 1 day chart. We are looking at the weekly chart though to show how that falling wedge is also part of a bigger bull pennant. I made the pole of the pennant lavender and the wedge yellow. The red line represents the neckline of a 1 day chart head and shoulders pattern. The wedge has yet to be fully validated yet..still looking for one more touch of one of the wedges trendline on the daily chart to confirm but odds are good it will. Another reason i chose to show the weekly chart here instead of the daily chart is to show you that the 50 weekly ma (in orange) is still providing powerful support. If it continues to hold such support then we will indeed break up out o the pennant/wedge. I placed the measured moves of such a breakout at the convergence of the red neckline of the potential head and shoulders pattern and the yellow top trendline of the wedge. My presumption is that if the orange weekly 50ma maintains support it will likely help push the price out of the pennant/wedge right at that convergence point or possibly a few candles sooner to get ahead of the herd. If it does break out at that convergence point I have put a dotted line to chart the measured breakout move target of both the wedge and the pennant right at the point of convergence. The dotted purple line leads to the pennant’s breakout target. The dotted yellow line leads tot he projected falling wedge breakout target. If we breakout before the point of the converge the measured move targets for each will of course then be slightly higher. As always we must be prepared however if it does break below the red head and shoulder neckline. I wouldn’t be convinced it’s going to break down however unless we were to lip the weekly 50ma to solidified resistance first. Keeping this idea neutral for now until I see a confirmed break one way or the other. *not financial advice*
Weekly50ma
ETHUSD breaks bullishly up out of falling wedge target= $261 Lots of bullish signals converging at the same time on the ethusd pair right now. First was the golden cross on the 1 day chart that occurred a few weeks back and now appears to be sustained. 2nd we have the bullish breakout of this weekly rising wedge pattern(a pattern that typically breaks bearish). For a bearish pattern to break confidently bullish like this is a very bullish indicator. Our next bullish signal is that the weekly 50 ma(shown here in orange) appears to be holding solidified support. This is clutch...if it can maintain support the $261 price target should be hit with little to no pullbacks. The only cause for concern here is having the stochrsi on both the daily and weekly charts now in the overextended zone..but as we all know on bull runs it can stay over extended for quite some time so thats nothing to be alarmed about just yet.
Support vs Resistance Epic Showdown! 1wk Stochrsi vs 1wk 50mathe 2 big players in that have been battling it out in the charts for the past couple weeks have been this strong weekly ascending trendline on the stochrsi as support and the weekly 50ma(in orange) as strong resistance. It has been a crazy battle one it looked like only a few days ago the weekly 50ma was going to win...but as we touched down on the stochrsi we saw yet another bounce to keep price action fighting the resistance of the 50 weekly and at least for now refusing to back down. If I had to pick a safe spot to try and sell any of my position this would be it with price action touching the underside of the 50week ma still as resistance. I would then put a stop loss auto buy a few pips above here around 5670. Bottom line is what we are looking for is a weekly candle to close above the 50 weekly ma until then probability slightly favors that it will be the stochrsi trendline that breaks first....pay no mind to the random lines just under the weekly 50ma...those are triangle patterns that only make sense on smaller timeframe charts. I may sell a little more here with a tight stoploss auto buy above but we still have over 3 days left in this weekly candle and I think its true direction isn't going to reveal itself just yet until closer to the weekly candle close. one thing to watch until we get closer to that weekly close is the greed fear indicator on bitcin if there is more greed by the time we close the candle we are likely going down...if theres more fear we may actually break above. Lastly, if we do close a weekly candle above the 50 week ma it will be very interesting but it is still not absolute confirmation that we will be continuing upward we always need to show patience and see how the follow up confirmation candle behaves as well as the volume before things are fully confirmed. As of right now though, this stochrsi trendline and the 50 weekly ma are definitely the 2 that are battling it out...we should see who wins by early next week if not sooner.